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Parma Calcio 1913 v Cagliari — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 30 September 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

Parma Calcio 1913
2–3
2.99 – 3.06 xG
Cagliari
Shots
18 – 12
On target
4 – 4
Shots in box
10 – 7
xG per shot
0.17 – 0.25
Set-piece xG
1.27 – 0.62
Goals − xG
-0.99 – -0.06
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.91.72.63.40'15'30'45'60'75'90'Nadir Zortea 33' — goalDennis Man 61' — goalRazvan Marin 74' — goalRoberto Piccoli 86' — goalHernani 86' — goal
Parma Calcio 1913 2.99 xGCagliari 3.06 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Antoine Makoumbou 2' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Roberto Piccoli 2' — Saved Shot (0.33 xG, From Corner)Sebastiano Luperto 5' — Shot On Post (0.25 xG, From Corner)Adrián Bernabé 12' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Direct Freekick)Enrico Del Prato 15' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Mihai Valentin Mihaila 15' — Saved Shot (0.21 xG, Open Play)Emanuele Valeri 28' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Emanuele Valeri 28' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Nadir Zortea 33' — Goal (0.53 xG, Open Play)Roberto Piccoli 35' — Shot On Post (0.54 xG, Open Play)Dennis Man 36' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Nicolas Viola 39' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ange-Yoan Bonny 42' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Hernani 43' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Ange-Yoan Bonny 46' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Yordan Osorio 46' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Nadir Zortea 50' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Pontus Almqvist 55' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Dennis Man 59' — Missed Shot (0.23 xG, Open Play)Dennis Man 61' — Goal (0.45 xG, Open Play)Simon Sohm 65' — Missed Shot (0.49 xG, Open Play)Roberto Piccoli 69' — Missed Shot (0.35 xG, Open Play)Razvan Marin 74' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)Adrián Bernabé 76' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Gaetano 78' — Missed Shot (0.57 xG, Open Play)Pontus Almqvist 79' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Gianluca Gaetano 83' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Roberto Piccoli 86' — Goal (0.32 xG, Open Play)Hernani 86' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Dennis Man 94' — Missed Shot (0.35 xG, From Corner)
Parma Calcio 1913 attacking right Cagliari attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
2' Cagliari Antoine Makoumbou 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot —
2' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.33 From Corner — Saved Shot —
5' Cagliari Sebastiano Luperto 0.25 From Corner — Shot On Post Nicolas Viola
12' Parma Calcio 1913 Adrián Bernabé 0.05 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot —
15' Parma Calcio 1913 Enrico Del Prato 0.07 From Corner — Missed Shot Adrián Bernabé
15' Parma Calcio 1913 Mihai Valentin Mihaila 0.21 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ange-Yoan Bonny
28' Parma Calcio 1913 Emanuele Valeri 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Hernani
28' Parma Calcio 1913 Emanuele Valeri 0.01 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Enrico Del Prato
33' Cagliari Nadir Zortea 0.53 Open Play — Goal Zito
35' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.54 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post —
36' Parma Calcio 1913 Dennis Man 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Enrico Del Prato
39' Cagliari Nicolas Viola 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot —
42' Parma Calcio 1913 Ange-Yoan Bonny 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Hernani
43' Parma Calcio 1913 Hernani 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Botond Balogh
46' Parma Calcio 1913 Ange-Yoan Bonny 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Antoine Hainaut
46' Parma Calcio 1913 Yordan Osorio 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Dennis Man
50' Cagliari Nadir Zortea 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Gabriele Zappa
55' Parma Calcio 1913 Pontus Almqvist 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Adrián Bernabé
59' Parma Calcio 1913 Dennis Man 0.23 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Adrián Bernabé
61' Parma Calcio 1913 Dennis Man 0.45 Open Play Left Foot Goal Woyo Coulibaly
65' Parma Calcio 1913 Simon Sohm 0.49 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Dennis Man
69' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.35 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gianluca Gaetano
74' Cagliari Razvan Marin 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Goal Ndary Adopo
76' Parma Calcio 1913 Adrián Bernabé 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Hernani
78' Cagliari Gianluca Gaetano 0.57 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ndary Adopo
79' Parma Calcio 1913 Pontus Almqvist 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Adrián Bernabé
83' Cagliari Gianluca Gaetano 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Nadir Zortea
86' Cagliari Roberto Piccoli 0.32 Open Play Right Foot Goal Gianluca Gaetano
86' Parma Calcio 1913 Hernani 0.76 Right Foot Goal —
94' Parma Calcio 1913 Dennis Man 0.35 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot —

Players

Parma Calcio 1913

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Dennis Man AMR 90 1 0 4 2 1.07 0.52 1.23
Hernani DMC 90 1 0 2 3 0.78 0.11 1.11
Enrico Del Prato DR 90 0 0 1 2 0.07 0.05 0.50
Adrián Bernabé DMC 90 0 0 2 4 0.07 0.38 1.57
Yordan Osorio DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.31
Zion Suzuki GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.28
Antoine Hainaut AMC 79 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.24
Ange-Yoan Bonny FW 71 0 0 2 1 0.14 0.21 0.39
Botond Balogh DC 62 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.08
Mihai Valentin Mihaila AML 47 0 0 1 0 0.21 0.00 0.30
Emanuele Valeri DL 47 0 0 2 0 0.04 0.00 0.33
Pontus Almqvist Sub 43 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.88
Woyo Coulibaly Sub 43 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.45 0.73
Simon Sohm Sub 28 0 0 1 0 0.49 0.00 0.96
Gabriel Charpentier Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Anas Haj Mohamed Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Cagliari

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Roberto Piccoli FW 90 1 0 4 0 1.54 0.00 1.21
Nadir Zortea MR 90 1 0 2 1 0.55 0.02 0.98
Sebastiano Luperto DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.25 0.00 0.88
Antoine Makoumbou MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.61
Gabriele Zappa DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Ndary Adopo MC 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.64 1.84
Simone Scuffet GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Zito FW 74 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.53 0.88
Yerry Mina DC 74 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.35
Nicolas Viola AMC 65 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.25 1.10
Adam Obert ML 65 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.53
Gianluca Gaetano Sub 25 0 1 2 2 0.59 0.67 1.26
Tommaso Augello Sub 25 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Razvan Marin Sub 16 1 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.98
José Luis Palomino Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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