Parma Calcio 1913 v Torino — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 17 October 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 06:09 UTC

Parma Calcio 1913

13:00 UTC

Torino

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 913h before kick-off

Parma Calcio 1913 win

30.9%

model 33.4%

Draw

29.3%

model 27.1%

Torino win

39.8%

model 39.5%

312940

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (574 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.9%
0-1 11.0%
1-0 9.9%
0-0 8.5%
1-2 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.9%	Under 2.5	55.1%
BTTS yes	50.2%	BTTS no	49.8%
Parma Calcio 1913 1+	69.0%	Parma Calcio 1913 2+	32.7%
Torino 1+	72.7%	Torino 2+	37.3%

Expected goals 1.17 – 1.30. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

93/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Parma Calcio 1913 to win neither half

Win either half · usually 48%

53.8% fair odds 1.86

moderate signal · 1077 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Parma Calcio 1913 (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 86%

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 382 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Torino have created 1.33 xG a match over their last five while Parma Calcio 1913 have allowed 1.82.
Away from home Torino average 0.91 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Torino have an estimated 39.8% win probability, against 30.9% for Parma Calcio 1913 and 29.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.17 for Parma Calcio 1913 and 1.30 for Torino.

Why Parma Calcio 1913

Parma Calcio 1913 have created 0.78 xG a match over their last five while Torino have allowed 1.75. At home Parma Calcio 1913 average 1.02 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.17 to 1.30. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Torino can win

Torino have created 1.33 xG a match over their last five while Parma Calcio 1913 have allowed 1.82. Away from home Torino average 0.91 xG a match.

Key players

Parma Calcio 1913's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mateo Pellegrino (0.33), Simone Lontani (0.25), Gabriel Strefezza (0.22). Torino's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Giovanni Simeone (0.35), Nikola Vlasic (0.33), Che Adams (0.30).

Availability

3 of Parma Calcio 1913's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Parma Calcio 1913's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Torino's top three contributors did not start their last match. Torino changed goalkeeper for their last match. 55% of Torino's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Parma Calcio 1913: 45% possession, 8.2 shots a match, 17.0 faced, 0.45 xG a match from set pieces. Torino: 51% possession, 9.4 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.28 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

Torino are the model's most likely outcome at 39.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%. Confidence 93/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Parma Calcio 1913 are conceding sharply fewer than expected — 7.2 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DWWLLLWLLD last 10 scored 7 from 7.8 xG conceded 11 from 18.2 xG

Torino are conceding fewer than expected — 2.5 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WDDLWLDLLW last 10 scored 13 from 13.3 xG conceded 15 from 17.5 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	332740	1.17–1.30	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	322642	1.20–1.41	1-1 12%	48%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino to win	39.5%	37.4%	34.0%	1.10×	2.67
Parma Calcio 1913 to win	33.4%	29.0%	39.4%	0.74×	3.45
Draw	27.1%	27.5%	26.8%	1.03×	3.63

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino & not both score	22.6%	22.7%	20.8%	1.09×	4.41
Parma Calcio 1913 & not both score	18.8%	17.8%	22.6%	0.79×	5.61
Draw & both teams score	18.7%	17.8%	18.7%	0.95×	5.61
Torino & both teams score	17.0%	17.8%	13.3%	1.34×	5.62
Parma Calcio 1913 & both teams score	14.5%	12.1%	16.9%	0.72×	8.23
Draw & not both score	8.5%	7.3%	8.2%	0.89×	13.68

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino & under 3.5	29.6%	25.6%	26.6%	0.96×	3.91
Torino & over 1.5	28.5%	25.5%	24.6%	1.04×	3.91
Parma Calcio 1913 & under 3.5	25.5%	25.5%	29.4%	0.87×	3.92
Parma Calcio 1913 & over 1.5	23.5%	21.5%	29.0%	0.74×	4.66
Draw & under 2.5	21.3%	21.5%	19.9%	1.08×	4.66
Draw & under 3.5	21.3%	21.5%	19.9%	1.08×	4.66
Torino & over 2.5	21.4%	21.5%	18.1%	1.19×	4.66
Draw & over 1.5	18.7%	17.6%	18.7%	0.94×	5.68
Torino & under 2.5	18.1%	17.6%	16.0%	1.10×	5.68
Parma Calcio 1913 & over 2.5	17.7%	17.6%	22.5%	0.78×	5.68
Parma Calcio 1913 & under 2.5	15.7%	17.6%	17.0%	1.03×	5.68
Torino & under 1.5	11.0%	12.7%	9.5%	1.34×	7.88
Torino & over 3.5	9.9%	7.5%	7.4%	1.01×	13.33
Parma Calcio 1913 & under 1.5	9.9%	7.5%	10.5%	0.72×	13.33
Draw & under 1.5	8.5%	7.5%	8.2%	0.91×	13.33
Parma Calcio 1913 & over 3.5	7.9%	7.5%	10.1%	0.74×	13.34
Draw & over 2.5	5.8%	7.5%	6.9%	1.08×	13.35
Draw & over 3.5	5.8%	7.5%	6.9%	1.08×	13.35

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (1UP)	54.8%	52.7%	51.1%	1.03×	1.90
Parma Calcio 1913 (1UP)	49.4%	44.7%	54.7%	0.82×	2.24

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (2UP)	39.5%	40.7%	36.5%	1.12×	2.46
Parma Calcio 1913 (2UP)	33.4%	30.4%	41.0%	0.74×	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino to win 2nd half	38.2%	37.5%	29.5%	1.27×	2.67
2nd half drawn	34.0%	33.8%	35.9%	0.94×	2.96
Parma Calcio 1913 to win 2nd half	27.7%	27.5%	34.7%	0.79×	3.63

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.9%	77.8%	85.2%	0.91×	1.29
Torino over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.8%	60.9%	49.5%	1.23×	1.64
Torino under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.2%	39.1%	50.5%	0.77×	2.56
Torino over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.1%	22.2%	14.8%	1.50×	4.50

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.7%	80.7%	81.3%	0.99×	1.24
Parma Calcio 1913 over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.7%	54.6%	53.7%	1.02×	1.83
Parma Calcio 1913 under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.3%	45.4%	46.3%	0.98×	2.20
Parma Calcio 1913 over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.3%	19.3%	18.7%	1.03×	5.18

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (+2.5)	95.6%	97.1%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Torino (+1.5)	86.2%	89.0%	83.0%	1.07×	1.12
Torino (+0.5)	66.6%	69.1%	60.6%	1.14×	1.45
Parma Calcio 1913 (+0.5)	60.5%	63.9%	66.0%	0.97×	1.57
Torino (-0.5)	39.5%	36.1%	34.0%	1.06×	2.77
Parma Calcio 1913 (-0.5)	33.4%	30.9%	39.4%	0.78×	3.24
Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)	13.8%	11.0%	17.0%	0.65×	9.08
Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)	4.4%	2.9%	7.6%	0.38×	34.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino to concede	69.0%	71.5%	71.1%	1.01×	1.40
Torino clean sheet	31.0%	28.5%	28.9%	0.99×	3.51

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino clean sheet in 1st half	65.5%	68.1%	58.8%	1.16×	1.47
Torino to concede in 1st half	34.5%	31.9%	41.2%	0.78×	3.13

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino to concede in 2nd half	52.7%	54.7%	53.7%	1.02×	1.83
Torino clean sheet in 2nd half	47.3%	45.3%	46.3%	0.98×	2.21

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino under 3.5 goals	95.7%	97.2%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Torino under 2.5 goals	85.7%	89.1%	88.4%	1.01×	1.12
Torino over 0.5 goals	72.7%	72.0%	69.3%	1.04×	1.39
Torino under 1.5 goals	62.7%	63.9%	65.4%	0.98×	1.57
Torino over 1.5 goals	37.3%	36.1%	34.6%	1.04×	2.77
Torino under 0.5 goals	27.3%	28.0%	30.7%	0.91×	3.58
Torino over 2.5 goals	14.3%	10.9%	11.6%	0.94×	9.13
Torino over 3.5 goals	4.3%	2.8%	2.9%	0.95×	36.14

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino under 1.5 in 1st half	94.8%	93.4%	90.2%	1.04×	1.07
Torino under 0.5 in 1st half	69.5%	67.3%	59.0%	1.14×	1.49
Torino over 0.5 in 1st half	30.5%	32.7%	41.0%	0.80×	3.05
Torino over 1.5 in 1st half	5.2%	6.6%	9.8%	0.67×	15.14

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino scores more in 2nd half	48.6%	46.8%	32.7%	1.43×	2.14
Torino scores equally in both	37.4%	38.8%	43.6%	0.89×	2.58
Torino scores more in 1st half	14.0%	12.7%	23.9%	0.53×	7.87

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 (away no bet)	55.2%	59.0%	59.5%	0.99×	1.69
Draw (away no bet)	44.8%	41.0%	40.5%	1.01×	2.44

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino even goals	53.7%	52.2%	55.7%	0.94×	1.91
Torino odd goals	46.3%	47.8%	44.3%	1.08×	2.09

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	90.7%	92.0%	87.2%	1.05×	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	9.3%	8.0%	12.8%	0.63×	12.49

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.5%	56.2%	59.6%	0.94×	1.78
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.5%	43.8%	40.4%	1.08×	2.28

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.4%	52.8%	52.8%	1.00×	1.89
Torino to score 2+ in a row	29.9%	25.3%	27.7%	0.91×	3.95
Parma Calcio 1913 to score 2+ in a row	25.4%	25.1%	31.1%	0.81×	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.1%	17.8%	17.3%	1.03×	5.62
Torino to score 3+ in a row	9.3%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.55
Parma Calcio 1913 to score 3+ in a row	7.0%	7.3%	9.7%	0.75×	13.65

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.9%	11.6%	11.9%	0.98×	8.61
0-1	11.0%	11.6%	9.5%	1.22×	8.62
1-0	9.9%	7.3%	10.5%	0.69×	13.75
0-0	8.5%	7.3%	8.2%	0.89×	13.76
1-2	8.4%	7.3%	7.6%	0.96×	13.76
2-1	7.5%	7.3%	9.2%	0.79×	13.76
0-2	7.1%	7.3%	6.7%	1.09×	13.77
2-0	5.8%	7.3%	6.7%	1.09×	13.77
2-2	4.9%	1.8%	6.1%	0.30×	55.39
0-3	3.1%	1.8%	3.3%	0.55×	55.43
1-3	3.6%	1.8%	1.9%	0.95×	55.42
3-1	2.9%	1.8%	3.0%	0.60×	55.44
2-3	2.1%	1.8%	3.0%	0.60×	55.46
3-0	2.3%	1.8%	3.4%	0.53×	55.45
3-2	1.9%	1.8%	2.9%	0.62×	55.46
Any other score	1.8%	1.8%	2.8%	0.65×	55.46
0-4	1.0%	1.8%	1.0%	1.78×	55.48
1-4	1.2%	1.8%	0.8%	2.38×	55.48
2-4	0.7%	1.8%	0.1%	14.27×	55.49
3-3	0.8%	1.8%	0.9%	2.04×	55.49
3-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.3%	7.14×	55.50
4-0	0.7%	1.8%	1.6%	1.10×	55.49
4-1	0.9%	1.8%	1.1%	1.59×	55.49
4-2	0.6%	1.8%	0.1%	14.27×	55.49
4-3	0.2%	1.8%	0.3%	7.13×	55.50
4-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.3%	7.13×	55.51

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (2nd half DNB)	57.9%	58.7%	46.0%	1.28×	1.70
Parma Calcio 1913 (2nd half DNB)	42.1%	41.3%	54.0%	0.76×	2.42

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 leading at HT (DNB)	54.5%	55.2%	50.1%	1.10×	1.81
Torino leading at HT (DNB)	45.5%	44.8%	49.9%	0.90×	2.23

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 or Torino (12)	72.9%	72.5%	73.2%	0.99×	1.38
Torino or draw (X2)	66.6%	71.0%	60.6%	1.17×	1.41
Parma Calcio 1913 or draw (1X)	60.5%	62.6%	66.0%	0.95×	1.60

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 or draw at HT	78.5%	78.9%	72.6%	1.09×	1.27
Torino or draw at HT	74.3%	71.3%	72.5%	0.98×	1.40
Parma Calcio 1913 or Torino at HT	47.2%	47.4%	54.8%	0.87×	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino or draw (1UP)	66.6%	75.0%	66.3%	1.13×	1.33
Parma Calcio 1913 or draw (1UP)	60.5%	67.5%	71.3%	0.95×	1.48

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino or draw in 2nd half	72.3%	72.5%	65.3%	1.11×	1.38
Parma Calcio 1913 or Torino in 2nd half	66.0%	66.2%	64.1%	1.03×	1.51
Parma Calcio 1913 or draw in 2nd half	61.8%	62.5%	70.5%	0.89×	1.60

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	68.9%	66.2%	64.4%	1.03×	1.51
Neither half drawn	31.1%	33.8%	35.6%	0.95×	2.96

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (DNB)	54.2%	53.2%	46.3%	1.15×	1.88
Parma Calcio 1913 (DNB)	45.8%	46.8%	53.7%	0.87×	2.14

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino to score first	48.2%	46.1%	44.2%	1.04×	2.17
Parma Calcio 1913 to score first	43.4%	41.4%	47.7%	0.87×	2.41
No goal scored	8.5%	6.3%	8.2%	0.77×	15.92

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.2%	53.1%	48.6%	1.09×	1.89
Not both teams to score	49.8%	46.9%	51.4%	0.91×	2.13

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.3%	42.3%	41.0%	1.03×	2.36
Both score & over 2.5	37.3%	37.5%	36.9%	1.02×	2.67
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	11.7%	11.9%	0.99×	8.54
Not both score & over 2.5	7.5%	8.6%	10.5%	0.83×	11.57

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.8%	85.4%	86.9%	0.98×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.2%	14.6%	13.1%	1.11×	6.87

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	68.0%	69.5%	74.7%	0.93×	1.44
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.0%	30.5%	25.3%	1.21×	3.27

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.8%	59.4%	63.1%	0.94×	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	28.7%	24.8%	20.5%	1.21×	4.03
Both score 1st half only	7.1%	6.4%	11.7%	0.55×	15.59
Both score in both halves	3.4%	4.9%	4.9%	0.99×	20.55

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.5%	85.7%	83.5%	1.03×	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	10.5%	14.3%	16.5%	0.87×	6.98

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	55.7%	55.6%	48.2%	1.15×	1.80
A goal in each half	44.3%	44.4%	51.8%	0.86×	2.25

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.0%	45.9%	48.0%	0.96×	2.18
0-1 goals	29.3%	27.8%	27.9%	1.00×	3.60
4-6 goals	22.3%	22.7%	23.5%	0.97×	4.40
7+ goals	1.3%	1.9%	0.9%	2.16×	52.28

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino to score exactly 1	35.4%	34.6%	34.8%	0.99×	2.89
Torino to score exactly 0	27.3%	27.1%	30.7%	0.88×	3.70
Torino to score exactly 2	23.0%	24.1%	23.1%	1.04×	4.15
Torino to score 3+	14.3%	13.4%	11.6%	1.16×	7.45

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 to score exactly 1	36.3%	36.1%	32.3%	1.12×	2.77
Parma Calcio 1913 to score exactly 0	31.0%	30.4%	28.9%	1.05×	3.29
Parma Calcio 1913 to score exactly 2	21.3%	22.9%	24.6%	0.93×	4.36
Parma Calcio 1913 to score 3+	11.4%	13.4%	14.4%	0.93×	7.44

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	52.8%	52.6%	45.2%	1.16×	1.90
Parma Calcio 1913 leading at HT	25.7%	28.7%	27.5%	1.04×	3.49
Torino leading at HT	21.5%	21.1%	27.4%	0.77×	4.75

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino -1: 1	60.5%	60.7%	—	—	1.65
Torino -1: X	21.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Torino -1: 2	17.8%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (0:1)	66.6%	69.9%	60.6%	1.15×	1.43
Draw (0:1)	19.6%	18.3%	22.5%	0.82×	5.46
Parma Calcio 1913 (0:1)	13.8%	10.7%	17.0%	0.63×	9.39

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (0:2)	86.2%	89.6%	83.0%	1.08×	1.12
Draw (0:2)	9.4%	7.2%	9.6%	0.75×	13.90
Parma Calcio 1913 (0:2)	4.4%	3.0%	7.6%	0.40×	32.83

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (0:3)	95.6%	97.1%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (0:3)	3.3%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.12
Parma Calcio 1913 (0:3)	1.1%	2.3%	3.2%	0.73×	43.59

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	2.3%	0.54×	81.68
Parma Calcio 1913 (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.21×	82.02

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 (1:0)	60.5%	64.3%	66.0%	0.97×	1.56
Draw (1:0)	21.8%	22.9%	19.9%	1.15×	4.38
Torino (1:0)	17.8%	16.4%	14.1%	1.16×	6.09

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 (2:0)	82.2%	84.3%	85.9%	0.98×	1.19
Draw (2:0)	11.5%	11.9%	8.5%	1.41×	8.37
Torino (2:0)	6.2%	6.5%	5.8%	1.12×	15.40

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	58.8%	59.8%	46.6%	1.28×	1.67
Halves equal	24.0%	23.2%	26.8%	0.87×	4.31
1st half highest scoring	17.3%	16.0%	26.8%	0.60×	6.26

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 to concede	72.7%	71.4%	69.3%	1.03×	1.40
Parma Calcio 1913 clean sheet	27.3%	28.6%	30.7%	0.93×	3.50

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 clean sheet in 1st half	69.5%	67.4%	59.0%	1.14×	1.48
Parma Calcio 1913 to concede in 1st half	30.5%	32.6%	41.0%	0.79×	3.07

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 to concede in 2nd half	60.8%	60.8%	49.5%	1.23×	1.65
Parma Calcio 1913 clean sheet in 2nd half	39.2%	39.2%	50.5%	0.78×	2.55

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 under 3.5 goals	96.9%	97.7%	95.5%	1.02×	1.02
Parma Calcio 1913 under 2.5 goals	88.6%	87.8%	85.6%	1.03×	1.14
Parma Calcio 1913 over 0.5 goals	69.0%	68.9%	71.1%	0.97×	1.45
Parma Calcio 1913 under 1.5 goals	67.3%	68.9%	61.1%	1.13×	1.45
Parma Calcio 1913 over 1.5 goals	32.7%	31.1%	38.9%	0.80×	3.21
Parma Calcio 1913 under 0.5 goals	31.0%	31.1%	28.9%	1.07×	3.22
Parma Calcio 1913 over 2.5 goals	11.4%	12.2%	14.4%	0.85×	8.20
Parma Calcio 1913 over 3.5 goals	3.1%	2.3%	4.5%	0.50×	44.37

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 under 1.5 in 1st half	93.2%	93.2%	90.2%	1.03×	1.07
Parma Calcio 1913 under 0.5 in 1st half	65.5%	68.8%	58.8%	1.17×	1.45
Parma Calcio 1913 over 0.5 in 1st half	34.5%	31.2%	41.2%	0.76×	3.20
Parma Calcio 1913 over 1.5 in 1st half	6.8%	6.8%	9.8%	0.69×	14.65

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 scores equally in both	41.6%	40.3%	42.2%	0.96×	2.48
Parma Calcio 1913 scores more in 2nd half	39.6%	38.7%	36.5%	1.06×	2.58
Parma Calcio 1913 scores more in 1st half	18.8%	16.6%	21.5%	0.77×	6.02

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino (home no bet)	59.3%	54.6%	55.9%	0.98×	1.83
Draw (home no bet)	40.7%	45.4%	44.1%	1.03×	2.20

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 even goals	54.8%	50.3%	56.6%	0.89×	1.99
Parma Calcio 1913 odd goals	45.2%	49.7%	43.4%	1.14×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	45.6%	43.0%	34.3%	1.25×	2.33
HT 1-0	19.2%	18.9%	18.3%	1.03×	5.28
HT 0-1	16.6%	18.9%	18.4%	1.02×	5.30
HT 1-1	7.0%	7.7%	10.5%	0.73×	13.00
HT 2-0	4.1%	2.5%	5.6%	0.45×	39.77
HT 0-2	3.0%	2.5%	5.4%	0.46×	39.83
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.5%	2.5%	0.99×	39.93
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.5%	2.3%	1.10×	39.92
Any other HT score	1.5%	2.5%	3.0%	0.83×	39.91
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.5%	0.6%	3.96×	39.98

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Torino at FT	20.2%	21.3%	13.0%	1.64×	4.69
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.0%	16.8%	16.7%	1.01×	5.95
Parma Calcio 1913 at HT / Parma Calcio 1913 at FT	17.1%	16.8%	21.3%	0.79×	5.96
Torino at HT / Torino at FT	16.2%	16.8%	19.2%	0.87×	5.96
Draw at HT / Parma Calcio 1913 at FT	14.7%	12.0%	15.8%	0.76×	8.36
Parma Calcio 1913 at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.6%	4.4%	1.48×	15.26
Torino at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.4%	5.9%	0.57×	29.35
Parma Calcio 1913 at HT / Torino at FT	3.1%	3.4%	2.0%	1.69×	29.37
Torino at HT / Parma Calcio 1913 at FT	1.6%	3.4%	2.5%	1.35×	29.44

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino to score last	48.2%	49.2%	43.6%	1.13×	2.03
Parma Calcio 1913 to score last	43.4%	40.4%	48.4%	0.84×	2.48
No goal scored	8.5%	6.3%	8.2%	0.77×	15.92

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.5%	93.7%	91.8%	1.02×	1.07
Torino to lead by 1 at any time	54.8%	51.1%	51.1%	1.00×	1.96
Parma Calcio 1913 to lead by 1 at any time	49.4%	46.2%	54.7%	0.84×	2.17
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.9%	42.1%	42.6%	0.99×	2.38
Torino to lead by 2 at any time	23.2%	19.8%	20.1%	0.99×	5.04
Parma Calcio 1913 to lead by 2 at any time	18.8%	17.6%	22.9%	0.77×	5.67
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.5%	11.4%	14.5%	0.78×	8.79
Torino to lead by 3 at any time	7.8%	7.1%	6.3%	1.12×	14.18
Parma Calcio 1913 to lead by 3 at any time	5.7%	7.0%	8.3%	0.84×	14.27

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.5%	87.9%	89.1%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.1%	81.5%	80.7%	1.01×	1.23
2-6 goals	69.3%	68.3%	71.3%	0.96×	1.46
1-3 goals	67.9%	68.3%	67.7%	1.01×	1.46
2-5 goals	66.7%	68.3%	69.4%	0.98×	1.46
2-4 goals	60.2%	62.2%	61.0%	1.02×	1.61
2-3 goals	47.0%	48.0%	48.0%	1.00×	2.08
1-2 goals	46.7%	48.0%	44.7%	1.07×	2.08
3-6 goals	43.5%	43.6%	46.5%	0.94×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.9%	43.6%	44.6%	0.98×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.4%	34.1%	36.1%	0.94×	2.94
4-6 goals	22.3%	24.7%	23.5%	1.05×	4.04
4-5 goals	19.6%	18.2%	21.6%	0.84×	5.50
5-6 goals	9.2%	8.9%	10.5%	0.85×	11.25
7+ goals	1.3%	2.0%	0.9%	2.25×	50.24

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Torino never behind	42.2%	50.5%	45.3%	1.12×	1.98
Parma Calcio 1913 never behind	36.8%	45.5%	48.9%	0.93×	2.20

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.6%	50.2%	51.8%	0.97×	1.99
Even number of goals	50.4%	49.8%	48.2%	1.03×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.4%	59.9%	56.8%	1.05×	1.67
Odd goals in 1st half	39.6%	40.1%	43.2%	0.93×	2.50

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	51.7%	51.4%	1.01×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.3%	48.6%	0.99×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.0%	95.7%	97.2%	0.98×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.5%	93.0%	91.8%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.5%	88.8%	88.8%	1.00×	1.13
Under 3.5 goals	76.4%	78.1%	75.8%	1.03×	1.28
Over 1.5 goals	70.7%	72.6%	72.1%	1.01×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	55.1%	57.5%	52.8%	1.09×	1.74
Over 2.5 goals	44.9%	42.5%	47.2%	0.90×	2.35
Under 1.5 goals	29.3%	27.4%	27.9%	0.98×	3.64
Over 3.5 goals	23.6%	21.9%	24.2%	0.90×	4.56
Over 4.5 goals	10.5%	11.2%	11.2%	1.00×	8.92
Under 0.5 goals	8.5%	7.0%	8.2%	0.86×	14.23
Over 5.5 goals	4.0%	4.3%	2.8%	1.56×	23.03

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.3%	99.1%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.7%	97.2%	97.0%	1.00×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.9%	88.2%	87.1%	1.01×	1.13
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.0%	72.1%	68.5%	1.05×	1.39
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	60.5%	62.3%	62.9%	0.99×	1.61
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.5%	37.7%	37.1%	1.02×	2.65
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.0%	27.9%	31.5%	0.89×	3.58
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.1%	11.8%	12.9%	0.91×	8.49
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.3%	2.8%	3.0%	0.91×	36.10
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.7%	0.9%	3.04×	36.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.5%	97.1%	91.9%	1.06×	1.03
Under 1.5 in 1st half	81.4%	83.5%	70.8%	1.18×	1.20
Over 0.5 in 1st half	54.4%	58.1%	65.7%	0.88×	1.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half	45.6%	41.9%	34.3%	1.22×	2.39
Over 1.5 in 1st half	18.6%	16.5%	29.2%	0.57×	6.06
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.5%	2.9%	8.1%	0.36×	34.64

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.4%	82.0%	77.9%	1.05×	1.22
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	80.3%	82.3%	0.98×	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.8%	51.8%	56.8%	0.91×	1.93
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.2%	48.2%	43.2%	1.12×	2.08
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	19.7%	17.7%	1.11×	5.09
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.6%	18.0%	22.1%	0.82×	5.55

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 not to score in both halves	81.8%	81.6%	76.3%	1.07×	1.23
Torino not to score in both halves	81.5%	81.6%	78.8%	1.04×	1.23
Torino to score in both halves	18.5%	18.4%	21.2%	0.87×	5.44
Parma Calcio 1913 to score in both halves	18.2%	18.4%	23.7%	0.77×	5.44

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.2%	54.8%	48.6%	1.13×	1.82
Only Torino scores	22.6%	22.8%	20.8%	1.10×	4.38
Only Parma Calcio 1913 scores	18.8%	16.3%	22.6%	0.72×	6.15
Neither team scores	8.5%	6.6%	8.2%	0.81×	15.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.8%	24.6%	25.0%	0.99×	4.06
Exactly 3 goals	21.2%	21.6%	23.1%	0.93×	4.63
Exactly 1 goals	20.9%	21.6%	19.8%	1.09×	4.63
Exactly 4 goals	13.1%	12.3%	13.1%	0.94×	8.10
Exactly 0 goals	8.5%	7.6%	8.2%	0.93×	13.12
Exactly 5 goals	6.5%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.0%	4.3%	2.8%	1.56×	23.03

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	45.6%	43.0%	34.3%	1.25×	2.33
1 goal in 1st half	35.8%	37.3%	36.6%	1.02×	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	14.1%	12.0%	21.2%	0.56×	8.36
3+ goals in 1st half	4.5%	2.9%	8.1%	0.36×	34.64

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.2%	47.4%	43.2%	1.10×	2.11
1 goal in 2nd half	31.3%	33.1%	34.8%	0.95×	3.02
No goals in 2nd half	18.6%	18.4%	22.1%	0.83×	5.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 not to win both halves	92.9%	93.4%	90.3%	1.04×	1.07
Torino not to win both halves	91.8%	93.4%	91.4%	1.02×	1.07
Torino to win both halves	8.2%	6.6%	8.6%	0.77×	15.18
Parma Calcio 1913 to win both halves	7.1%	6.6%	9.7%	0.67×	15.25

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 to win neither half	53.7%	53.8%	47.5%	1.13×	1.86
Torino to win either half	51.5%	53.8%	48.4%	1.11×	1.86
Torino to win neither half	48.5%	46.2%	51.6%	0.90×	2.16
Parma Calcio 1913 to win either half	46.3%	46.2%	52.5%	0.88×	2.17

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 not to win to nil	81.2%	83.4%	77.4%	1.08×	1.20
Torino not to win to nil	77.4%	77.2%	79.2%	0.98×	1.30
Torino to win to nil	22.6%	22.8%	20.8%	1.10×	4.38
Parma Calcio 1913 to win to nil	18.8%	16.6%	22.6%	0.73×	6.03

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.1%	27.9%	26.8%	1.04×	3.59
Torino by 1	21.8%	23.9%	19.9%	1.20×	4.19
Parma Calcio 1913 by 1	19.6%	17.1%	22.5%	0.76×	5.85
Torino by 2	11.5%	11.7%	8.5%	1.38×	8.54
Parma Calcio 1913 by 2	9.4%	7.1%	9.6%	0.73×	14.18
Torino by 3+	6.2%	7.0%	5.8%	1.21×	14.25
Parma Calcio 1913 by 3+	4.4%	2.9%	7.6%	0.38×	35.08