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Parma Calcio 1913 v Udinese — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 16 September 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

2–3
0.88 – 3.09 xG
Shots
9 – 18
On target
3 – 6
Shots in box
7 – 13
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.19
Set-piece xG
0.30 – 0.04
Goals − xG
+1.12 – -0.40
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.01.92.93.80'15'30'45'60'75'90'Enrico Del Prato 1' — goalAnge-Yoan Bonny 42' — goalLorenzo Lucca 49' — goalFlorian Thauvin 67' — goalFlorian Thauvin 76' — goal
Parma Calcio 1913 0.88 xGUdinese 3.40 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Enrico Del Prato 1' — Goal (0.28 xG, From Corner)Florian Thauvin 5' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Matteo Cancellieri 7' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Sandi Lovric 8' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Dennis Man 15' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 16' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Florian Thauvin 18' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Sandi Lovric 19' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Mihai Valentin Mihaila 21' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Martín Payero 26' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Hassane Kamara 33' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Jesper Karlström 35' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Florian Thauvin 41' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Ange-Yoan Bonny 42' — Goal (0.13 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 45' — Shot On Post (0.09 xG, Open Play)Ange-Yoan Bonny 46' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 49' — Goal (0.58 xG, Open Play)Mihai Valentin Mihaila 56' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Kingsley Ehizibue 59' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 60' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Florian Thauvin 67' — Goal (0.97 xG, Open Play)Keinan Davis 67' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Florian Thauvin 76' — Goal (0.51 xG, Open Play)Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 76' — Saved Shot (0.61 xG, Open Play)Hernani 85' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Brenner 88' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Drissa Camara 93' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Parma Calcio 1913 attacking right Udinese attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Parma Calcio 1913 Enrico Del Prato 0.28 From Corner Right Foot Goal Mihai Valentin Mihaila
5' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Hassane Kamara
7' Parma Calcio 1913 Matteo Cancellieri 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Mihai Valentin Mihaila
8' Udinese Sandi Lovric 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Hassane Kamara
15' Parma Calcio 1913 Dennis Man 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Adrián Bernabé
16' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Kingsley Ehizibue
18' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Hassane Kamara
19' Udinese Sandi Lovric 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Florian Thauvin
21' Parma Calcio 1913 Mihai Valentin Mihaila 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Enrico Del Prato
26' Udinese Martín Payero 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
33' Udinese Hassane Kamara 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Martín Payero
35' Udinese Jesper Karlström 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Kingsley Ehizibue
41' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Kingsley Ehizibue
42' Parma Calcio 1913 Ange-Yoan Bonny 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Goal Dennis Man
45' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Florian Thauvin
46' Parma Calcio 1913 Ange-Yoan Bonny 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Dennis Man
49' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.58 Open Play Goal Hassane Kamara
56' Parma Calcio 1913 Mihai Valentin Mihaila 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
59' Udinese Kingsley Ehizibue 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
60' Udinese Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot
67' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.97 Open Play Left Foot Goal Keinan Davis
67' Udinese Keinan Davis 0.06 Open Play Blocked Shot Oier Zarraga
76' Udinese Florian Thauvin 0.51 Open Play Left Foot Goal
76' Udinese Jurgen Ekkelenkamp 0.61 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Keinan Davis
85' Parma Calcio 1913 Hernani 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Woyo Coulibaly
88' Udinese Brenner 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Keinan Davis
93' Parma Calcio 1913 Drissa Camara 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot

Players

Parma Calcio 1913

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Enrico Del Prato DR 90 1 0 1 1 0.28 0.03 0.32
Ange-Yoan Bonny FW 90 1 0 2 0 0.26 0.00 0.35
Adrián Bernabé DMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.30
Alessandro Circati DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.17
Woyo Coulibaly DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.12
Leandro Chichizola GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.28
Mihai Valentin Mihaila AMC 89 0 1 2 2 0.11 0.40 0.37
Botond Balogh DC 89 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.26
Dennis Man AMR 71 0 1 1 2 0.05 0.26 0.43
Simon Sohm DMC 71 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Matteo Cancellieri AML 56 0 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.12
Hernani Sub 19 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.00
Pontus Almqvist Sub 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mandela Keita Sub 18 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Drissa Camara Sub 1 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Antoine Hainaut Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Udinese

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Kingsley Ehizibue DR 90 0 0 1 3 0.04 0.13 0.44
Jesper Karlström MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 1.06
Hassane Kamara DL 90 0 1 1 4 0.01 0.77 1.45
Maduka Okoye GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16
Jaka Bijol DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.96
Thomas Thiesson Kristensen DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.86
Florian Thauvin FW 86 2 0 5 2 1.64 0.11 1.95
Lorenzo Lucca FW 67 1 0 3 0 0.75 0.00 0.75
Sandi Lovric MC 67 0 0 2 0 0.09 0.00 0.95
Martín Payero MC 47 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.01 0.18
Lautaro Giannetti DC 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.28
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp Sub 43 0 0 2 0 0.65 0.00 0.67
Christian Kabasele Sub 43 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Keinan Davis Sub 23 0 1 1 3 0.06 1.69 1.75
Oier Zarraga Sub 23 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.06
Brenner Sub 4 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.11
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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