Parma Calcio 1913 v Udinese — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · ITA-Serie A · 2627

Serie A xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Parma Calcio 1913

17:30 UTC

Udinese

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 127h before kick-off

Parma Calcio 1913 win

29.5%

model 32.9%

Draw

27.3%

model 25.8%

Udinese win

43.2%

model 41.3%

302743

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.3%
0-1 9.8%
1-2 8.8%
1-0 8.6%
2-1 7.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.1%	Under 2.5	49.9%
BTTS yes	54.2%	BTTS no	45.8%
Parma Calcio 1913 1+	71.3%	Parma Calcio 1913 2+	35.5%
Udinese 1+	76.0%	Udinese 2+	41.8%

Expected goals 1.25 – 1.43. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

98/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Udinese (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 60%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

moderate signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Parma Calcio 1913 not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 77%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Udinese have created 1.13 xG a match over their last five while Parma Calcio 1913 have allowed 2.08.
Away from home Udinese average 1.14 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Udinese have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.5% for Parma Calcio 1913 and 27.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.25 for Parma Calcio 1913 and 1.43 for Udinese.

Why Parma Calcio 1913

Parma Calcio 1913 have created 0.86 xG a match over their last five while Udinese have allowed 2.11. At home Parma Calcio 1913 average 1.06 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.25 to 1.43. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Udinese can win

Udinese have created 1.13 xG a match over their last five while Parma Calcio 1913 have allowed 2.08. Away from home Udinese average 1.14 xG a match.

Key players

Parma Calcio 1913's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mateo Pellegrino (0.33), Gabriel Strefezza (0.23), Adrián Bernabé (0.19). Udinese's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Keinan Davis (0.40), Nicolo Zaniolo (0.33), Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (0.24).

Availability

2 of Parma Calcio 1913's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Parma Calcio 1913's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Udinese's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Udinese's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Parma Calcio 1913: 43% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.29 xG a match from set pieces. Udinese: 54% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.32 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Udinese are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 98/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Parma Calcio 1913 are conceding fewer than expected — 3.9 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LLWLLDLWLL last 10 scored 7 from 8.6 xG conceded 17 from 20.9 xG

Udinese are conceding fewer than expected — 3.1 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WLLDWLLLLL last 10 scored 11 from 11.3 xG conceded 18 from 21.1 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	332641	1.25–1.43	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	312742	1.10–1.35	1-1 13%	44%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to win	40.3%	42.9%	33.6%	1.28×	2.33
Parma Calcio 1913 to win	32.6%	30.4%	40.1%	0.76×	3.29
Draw	27.1%	27.9%	26.4%	1.06×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese & not both score	23.0%	21.8%	20.5%	1.06×	4.58
Parma Calcio 1913 & not both score	18.4%	18.0%	22.6%	0.80×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Udinese & both teams score	17.3%	18.0%	13.2%	1.36×	5.57
Parma Calcio 1913 & both teams score	14.2%	13.3%	17.6%	0.75×	7.53
Draw & not both score	8.4%	8.3%	7.9%	1.05×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese & under 3.5	30.1%	30.8%	26.3%	1.17×	3.25
Udinese & over 1.5	29.2%	26.1%	24.6%	1.06×	3.84
Parma Calcio 1913 & under 3.5	25.0%	21.6%	29.5%	0.73×	4.63
Parma Calcio 1913 & over 1.5	22.9%	21.6%	30.0%	0.72×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	21.3%	21.6%	19.7%	1.10×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	21.3%	21.6%	19.7%	1.10×	4.63
Udinese & over 2.5	21.9%	21.6%	18.1%	1.19×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Udinese & under 2.5	18.4%	18.0%	15.6%	1.15×	5.56
Parma Calcio 1913 & over 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	23.4%	0.77×	5.56
Parma Calcio 1913 & under 2.5	15.4%	18.0%	16.8%	1.07×	5.56
Udinese & under 1.5	11.1%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Udinese & over 3.5	10.2%	12.8%	7.4%	1.72×	7.79
Parma Calcio 1913 & under 1.5	9.8%	7.9%	10.2%	0.78×	12.63
Parma Calcio 1913 & over 3.5	7.6%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	8.4%	7.9%	7.9%	1.00×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.8%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.8%	7.9%	6.8%	1.16×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (1UP)	55.5%	57.9%	50.4%	1.15×	1.73
Parma Calcio 1913 (1UP)	48.7%	44.0%	55.3%	0.79×	2.27

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (2UP)	40.3%	47.0%	36.1%	1.30×	2.13
Parma Calcio 1913 (2UP)	32.6%	30.5%	41.9%	0.73×	3.28

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	35.8%	35.9%	35.1%	1.03×	2.78
Udinese to win 2nd half	32.3%	34.3%	30.1%	1.14×	2.91
Parma Calcio 1913 to win 2nd half	31.9%	34.3%	34.9%	0.98×	2.91

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.4%	84.2%	85.0%	0.99×	1.19
Udinese over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	52.5%	50.1%	1.05×	1.91
Udinese under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	47.5%	49.9%	0.95×	2.10
Udinese over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.6%	15.8%	15.0%	1.06×	6.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.7%	82.4%	81.4%	1.01×	1.21
Parma Calcio 1913 over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.1%	55.2%	53.8%	1.03×	1.81
Parma Calcio 1913 under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.9%	44.8%	46.2%	0.97×	2.23
Parma Calcio 1913 over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.3%	17.6%	18.6%	0.94×	5.70

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (+2.5)	95.8%	96.3%	92.3%	1.04×	1.04
Udinese (+1.5)	86.7%	88.5%	82.5%	1.07×	1.13
Udinese (+0.5)	67.4%	68.7%	59.9%	1.15×	1.46
Parma Calcio 1913 (+0.5)	59.7%	57.1%	66.4%	0.86×	1.75
Udinese (-0.5)	40.3%	42.9%	33.6%	1.28×	2.33
Parma Calcio 1913 (-0.5)	32.6%	31.3%	40.1%	0.78×	3.19
Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)	13.3%	11.5%	17.5%	0.66×	8.66
Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)	4.2%	3.7%	7.7%	0.48×	27.04

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to concede	68.5%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
Udinese clean sheet	31.5%	27.6%	28.3%	0.98×	3.62

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese clean sheet in 1st half	68.6%	71.0%	57.9%	1.23×	1.41
Udinese to concede in 1st half	31.4%	29.0%	42.1%	0.69×	3.45

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to concede in 2nd half	54.1%	55.0%	53.8%	1.02×	1.82
Udinese clean sheet in 2nd half	45.9%	45.0%	46.2%	0.97×	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 6.5 corners	84.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Udinese under 5.5 corners	74.9%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Udinese over 2.5 corners	70.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Udinese under 4.5 corners	62.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Udinese over 3.5 corners	53.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Udinese under 3.5 corners	46.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Udinese over 4.5 corners	37.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Udinese under 2.5 corners	29.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Udinese over 5.5 corners	25.1%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Udinese over 6.5 corners	15.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 3.5 goals	95.5%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Udinese under 2.5 goals	85.3%	87.8%	88.1%	1.00×	1.14
Udinese over 0.5 goals	73.2%	71.9%	69.6%	1.03×	1.39
Udinese under 1.5 goals	62.1%	63.2%	64.9%	0.97×	1.58
Udinese over 1.5 goals	37.9%	36.8%	35.1%	1.05×	2.72
Udinese under 0.5 goals	26.8%	28.1%	30.4%	0.93×	3.56
Udinese over 2.5 goals	14.7%	12.2%	11.9%	1.03×	8.19
Udinese over 3.5 goals	4.5%	2.5%	2.9%	0.87×	39.80

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese under 1.5 in 1st half	90.0%	93.9%	89.9%	1.04×	1.07
Udinese under 0.5 in 1st half	58.8%	62.0%	58.8%	1.05×	1.61
Udinese over 0.5 in 1st half	41.2%	38.0%	41.2%	0.92×	2.63
Udinese over 1.5 in 1st half	10.0%	6.1%	10.1%	0.60×	16.46

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese scores equally in both	39.2%	37.4%	43.3%	0.86×	2.67
Udinese scores more in 2nd half	38.2%	37.4%	32.9%	1.14×	2.68
Udinese scores more in 1st half	22.6%	22.1%	23.9%	0.93×	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 (away no bet)	54.6%	51.7%	60.3%	0.86×	1.93
Draw (away no bet)	45.4%	48.3%	39.7%	1.22×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese even goals	53.6%	52.6%	55.6%	0.95×	1.90
Udinese odd goals	46.4%	47.4%	44.4%	1.07×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.3%	88.0%	87.3%	1.01×	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.7%	12.0%	12.7%	0.95×	8.30

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.7%	60.5%	60.3%	1.00×	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.3%	39.5%	39.7%	0.99×	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	50.4%	50.9%	53.4%	0.95×	1.97
Udinese to score 2+ in a row	30.5%	29.1%	27.7%	1.05×	3.43
Parma Calcio 1913 to score 2+ in a row	24.8%	19.7%	31.8%	0.62×	5.08
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.1%	16.2%	17.9%	0.91×	6.17
Udinese to score 3+ in a row	9.6%	5.6%	7.9%	0.71×	17.79
Parma Calcio 1913 to score 3+ in a row	6.8%	5.6%	10.1%	0.55×	18.01

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 corners (+3.5)	88.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Parma Calcio 1913 corners (+2.5)	82.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Udinese corners (+3.5)	76.2%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Parma Calcio 1913 corners (+1.5)	74.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Udinese corners (+2.5)	67.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Udinese corners (+1.5)	57.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Parma Calcio 1913 corners (-1.5)	42.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Parma Calcio 1913 corners (-2.5)	32.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Udinese corners (-1.5)	25.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Parma Calcio 1913 corners (-3.5)	23.8%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Udinese corners (-2.5)	17.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Udinese corners (-3.5)	11.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	48.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	27.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	24.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	82.3%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	75.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	62.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	58.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	51.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	48.2%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	41.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	37.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	32.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	24.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 12.5 corners	17.7%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.8%	11.5%	11.9%	0.97×	8.72
0-1	11.1%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.72
0-0	8.4%	7.4%	7.9%	0.93×	13.51
1-0	9.8%	7.4%	10.2%	0.73×	13.50
1-2	8.5%	7.4%	7.4%	0.99×	13.51
0-2	7.3%	7.4%	6.6%	1.12×	13.51
2-1	7.4%	7.4%	9.4%	0.79×	13.51
2-0	5.6%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.51
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.29
0-3	3.2%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
0-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.79×	58.31
1-3	3.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.84×	58.30
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.38×	58.31
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.9%	0.60×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
3-0	2.2%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.31
3-1	2.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.30
3-2	1.9%	1.7%	3.2%	0.53×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.32
4-1	0.8%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.14×	58.32
Any other score	1.8%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (2nd half DNB)	50.4%	52.6%	46.3%	1.14×	1.90
Parma Calcio 1913 (2nd half DNB)	49.6%	47.4%	53.7%	0.88×	2.11

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese leading at HT (DNB)	60.3%	65.5%	48.8%	1.34×	1.53
Parma Calcio 1913 leading at HT (DNB)	39.7%	34.5%	51.2%	0.67×	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 or Udinese (12)	72.9%	72.1%	73.6%	0.98×	1.39
Udinese or draw (X2)	67.4%	69.6%	59.9%	1.16×	1.44
Parma Calcio 1913 or draw (1X)	59.7%	57.1%	66.4%	0.86×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese or draw at HT	79.7%	79.4%	71.5%	1.11×	1.26
Parma Calcio 1913 or draw at HT	69.1%	67.2%	72.9%	0.92×	1.49
Parma Calcio 1913 or Udinese at HT	51.2%	47.7%	55.5%	0.86×	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese or draw (1UP)	67.4%	76.2%	65.4%	1.17×	1.31
Parma Calcio 1913 or draw (1UP)	59.7%	63.2%	71.7%	0.88×	1.58

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese or draw in 2nd half	68.1%	65.7%	65.1%	1.01×	1.52
Parma Calcio 1913 or draw in 2nd half	67.7%	65.7%	69.9%	0.94×	1.52
Parma Calcio 1913 or Udinese in 2nd half	64.2%	64.1%	64.9%	0.99×	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	67.2%	68.1%	63.5%	1.07×	1.47
Neither half drawn	32.8%	31.9%	36.5%	0.87×	3.14

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (DNB)	55.3%	58.0%	45.6%	1.27×	1.72
Parma Calcio 1913 (DNB)	44.7%	42.0%	54.4%	0.77×	2.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to score first	48.8%	46.1%	43.6%	1.06×	2.17
Parma Calcio 1913 to score first	42.8%	41.7%	48.6%	0.86×	2.40
No goal scored	8.4%	7.5%	7.9%	0.95×	13.35

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.1%	51.3%	49.2%	1.04×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.9%	48.7%	50.8%	0.96×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	42.3%	41.6%	40.1%	1.04×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	37.3%	38.4%	37.5%	1.03×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.8%	12.4%	11.9%	1.04×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.6%	8.3%	10.8%	0.77×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.8%	85.6%	86.4%	0.99×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.2%	14.4%	13.6%	1.06×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.6%	73.6%	74.8%	0.98×	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.4%	26.4%	25.2%	1.05×	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.4%	65.6%	62.7%	1.05×	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	25.6%	27.1%	20.4%	1.33×	3.69
Both score 1st half only	9.1%	6.8%	12.2%	0.56×	14.60
Both score in both halves	3.8%	4.9%	4.9%	1.00×	20.27

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.1%	85.3%	83.0%	1.03×	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	12.9%	14.7%	17.0%	0.86×	6.82

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	52.8%	52.8%	47.2%	1.12×	1.89
A goal in each half	47.2%	47.2%	52.8%	0.89×	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.0%	47.2%	48.4%	0.98×	2.12
0-1 goals	29.3%	26.6%	27.0%	0.99×	3.76
4-6 goals	22.3%	22.9%	23.9%	0.96×	4.37
7+ goals	1.3%	1.8%	1.0%	1.92×	54.37

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to score exactly 1	35.3%	35.9%	34.7%	1.04×	2.78
Udinese to score exactly 0	26.8%	27.4%	30.4%	0.90×	3.65
Udinese to score exactly 2	23.2%	22.3%	23.3%	0.96×	4.48
Udinese to score 3+	14.7%	12.9%	11.9%	1.09×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.6%	32.1%	1.11×	2.81
Parma Calcio 1913 to score exactly 0	31.5%	32.5%	28.3%	1.15×	3.07
Parma Calcio 1913 to score exactly 2	21.0%	23.3%	24.7%	0.94×	4.29
Parma Calcio 1913 to score 3+	11.1%	14.3%	15.1%	0.95×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.8%	52.3%	44.5%	1.17×	1.91
Udinese leading at HT	30.9%	32.8%	27.1%	1.21×	3.05
Parma Calcio 1913 leading at HT	20.3%	20.6%	28.5%	0.73×	4.84

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese -1: 1	59.7%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Udinese -1: X	22.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Udinese -1: 2	18.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (0:1)	67.4%	65.2%	59.9%	1.09×	1.53
Draw (0:1)	19.3%	17.8%	22.7%	0.79×	5.61
Parma Calcio 1913 (0:1)	13.3%	13.7%	17.5%	0.78×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (0:2)	86.7%	87.1%	82.5%	1.06×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	9.1%	7.7%	10.0%	0.77×	13.03
Parma Calcio 1913 (0:2)	4.2%	3.8%	7.7%	0.49×	26.63

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (0:3)	95.8%	96.6%	92.3%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.1%	2.4%	4.7%	0.51×	42.07
Parma Calcio 1913 (0:3)	1.1%	2.4%	3.1%	0.76×	42.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (0:4)	98.9%	98.1%	96.9%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	2.3%	0.53×	82.01
Parma Calcio 1913 (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.27×	82.08

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 (1:0)	59.7%	58.4%	66.4%	0.88×	1.71
Draw (1:0)	22.0%	21.7%	19.3%	1.12×	4.61
Udinese (1:0)	18.3%	17.1%	14.4%	1.19×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 (2:0)	81.7%	84.6%	85.6%	0.99×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	11.8%	10.3%	8.6%	1.19×	9.73
Udinese (2:0)	6.5%	6.4%	5.9%	1.08×	15.70

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.7%	50.4%	46.2%	1.09×	1.99
Halves equal	25.4%	26.2%	26.9%	0.97×	3.82
1st half highest scoring	21.9%	24.4%	27.0%	0.90×	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 to concede	73.2%	73.2%	69.6%	1.05×	1.37
Parma Calcio 1913 clean sheet	26.8%	26.8%	30.4%	0.88×	3.73

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 clean sheet in 1st half	58.8%	62.0%	58.8%	1.05×	1.61
Parma Calcio 1913 to concede in 1st half	41.2%	38.0%	41.2%	0.92×	2.63

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 to concede in 2nd half	54.4%	52.6%	50.1%	1.05×	1.90
Parma Calcio 1913 clean sheet in 2nd half	45.6%	47.4%	49.9%	0.95×	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 over 2.5 corners	80.0%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Parma Calcio 1913 under 6.5 corners	73.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Parma Calcio 1913 over 3.5 corners	66.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Parma Calcio 1913 under 5.5 corners	62.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Parma Calcio 1913 over 4.5 corners	51.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Parma Calcio 1913 under 4.5 corners	48.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Parma Calcio 1913 over 5.5 corners	37.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Parma Calcio 1913 under 3.5 corners	34.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Parma Calcio 1913 over 6.5 corners	26.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Parma Calcio 1913 under 2.5 corners	20.0%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 under 3.5 goals	97.0%	96.4%	95.3%	1.01×	1.04
Parma Calcio 1913 under 2.5 goals	88.9%	87.3%	84.9%	1.03×	1.15
Parma Calcio 1913 over 0.5 goals	68.5%	68.0%	71.7%	0.95×	1.47
Parma Calcio 1913 under 1.5 goals	67.9%	68.0%	60.3%	1.13×	1.47
Parma Calcio 1913 over 1.5 goals	32.1%	32.0%	39.7%	0.81×	3.12
Parma Calcio 1913 under 0.5 goals	31.5%	32.0%	28.3%	1.13×	3.12
Parma Calcio 1913 over 2.5 goals	11.1%	12.7%	15.1%	0.84×	7.86
Parma Calcio 1913 over 3.5 goals	3.0%	3.6%	4.7%	0.78×	27.53

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 under 1.5 in 1st half	94.4%	94.9%	89.3%	1.06×	1.05
Parma Calcio 1913 under 0.5 in 1st half	68.6%	69.2%	57.9%	1.20×	1.45
Parma Calcio 1913 over 0.5 in 1st half	31.4%	30.8%	42.1%	0.73×	3.25
Parma Calcio 1913 over 1.5 in 1st half	5.6%	5.1%	10.7%	0.48×	19.52

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 scores more in 2nd half	42.0%	42.2%	36.3%	1.16×	2.37
Parma Calcio 1913 scores equally in both	41.4%	42.2%	41.7%	1.01×	2.37
Parma Calcio 1913 scores more in 1st half	16.5%	15.2%	22.2%	0.69×	6.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese (home no bet)	59.8%	56.5%	56.0%	1.01×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	40.2%	43.5%	44.0%	0.99×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 even goals	55.0%	50.7%	56.2%	0.90×	1.97
Parma Calcio 1913 odd goals	45.0%	49.3%	43.8%	1.13×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.3%	38.6%	33.7%	1.14×	2.59
HT 0-1	21.4%	24.3%	18.1%	1.34×	4.11
HT 1-0	15.2%	18.6%	18.5%	1.01×	5.38
HT 1-1	8.1%	6.9%	10.3%	0.67×	14.46
HT 0-2	5.7%	6.9%	5.4%	1.28×	14.50
HT 2-0	2.9%	2.4%	5.8%	0.41×	42.11
Any other HT score	2.3%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.14
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.4%	2.6%	0.90×	42.16
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.4%	2.4%	0.99×	42.20
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	0.7%	3.28×	42.27

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese at HT / Udinese at FT	22.7%	21.7%	19.1%	1.13×	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.5%	16.7%	16.1%	1.04×	5.97
Draw at HT / Udinese at FT	15.8%	16.7%	12.8%	1.30×	5.98
Draw at HT / Parma Calcio 1913 at FT	15.6%	16.7%	15.8%	1.06×	5.98
Parma Calcio 1913 at HT / Parma Calcio 1913 at FT	14.5%	12.7%	22.1%	0.57×	7.89
Udinese at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.0%	5.9%	1.02×	16.66
Parma Calcio 1913 at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	4.7%	0.75×	28.65
Udinese at HT / Parma Calcio 1913 at FT	2.5%	3.5%	2.4%	1.45×	28.70
Parma Calcio 1913 at HT / Udinese at FT	1.8%	3.5%	1.9%	1.81×	28.72

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese to score last	48.8%	46.6%	44.1%	1.06×	2.15
Parma Calcio 1913 to score last	42.8%	40.0%	48.1%	0.83×	2.50
No goal scored	8.4%	7.5%	7.9%	0.95×	13.35

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.6%	92.6%	92.1%	1.01×	1.08
Udinese to lead by 1 at any time	55.5%	54.8%	50.4%	1.09×	1.82
Parma Calcio 1913 to lead by 1 at any time	48.7%	44.6%	55.3%	0.81×	2.24
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	41.9%	39.1%	43.7%	0.90×	2.56
Udinese to lead by 2 at any time	23.8%	19.7%	20.2%	0.98×	5.08
Parma Calcio 1913 to lead by 2 at any time	18.3%	15.0%	24.0%	0.62×	6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.6%	10.5%	15.1%	0.69×	9.54
Udinese to lead by 3 at any time	8.1%	6.7%	6.5%	1.04×	14.88
Parma Calcio 1913 to lead by 3 at any time	5.5%	6.7%	8.8%	0.76×	15.00

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 most corners	54.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Udinese most corners	35.2%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Corners level	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.5%	87.4%	89.2%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.1%	83.4%	80.7%	1.03×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.3%	68.8%	72.1%	0.95×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.9%	68.8%	67.5%	1.02×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.7%	68.8%	70.1%	0.98×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.2%	63.3%	61.6%	1.03×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.0%	48.5%	48.4%	1.00×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.7%	48.5%	44.1%	1.10×	2.06
3-6 goals	43.6%	43.6%	47.3%	0.92×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.9%	43.6%	45.3%	0.96×	2.30
3-4 goals	34.4%	35.2%	36.7%	0.96×	2.84
4-6 goals	22.3%	24.5%	23.9%	1.02×	4.08
4-5 goals	19.6%	18.8%	21.8%	0.86×	5.31
5-6 goals	9.2%	8.9%	10.7%	0.83×	11.25
7+ goals	1.3%	2.6%	1.0%	2.66×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Udinese never behind	42.9%	48.5%	44.7%	1.09×	2.06
Parma Calcio 1913 never behind	36.1%	44.0%	49.6%	0.89×	2.28

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	51.6%	0.99×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	48.4%	1.01×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.1%	58.0%	56.5%	1.03×	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	41.9%	42.0%	43.5%	0.97×	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.2%	51.9%	50.7%	1.02×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.8%	48.1%	49.3%	0.97×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.0%	95.4%	97.0%	0.98×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.6%	92.3%	92.1%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.5%	87.6%	88.5%	0.99×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	76.4%	77.3%	75.3%	1.03×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	70.7%	72.5%	73.0%	0.99×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	55.1%	58.6%	51.9%	1.13×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	44.9%	41.4%	48.1%	0.86×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	29.3%	27.5%	27.0%	1.02×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	23.6%	22.7%	24.7%	0.92×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	10.5%	12.4%	11.5%	1.08×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.4%	7.7%	7.9%	0.98×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.0%	4.6%	3.0%	1.52×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.2%	99.0%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.7%	97.2%	96.7%	1.00×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.9%	86.7%	86.7%	1.00×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	70.0%	67.5%	67.7%	1.00×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	60.5%	61.9%	64.1%	0.97×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.5%	38.1%	35.9%	1.06×	2.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.0%	32.5%	32.3%	1.01×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.1%	13.3%	13.3%	1.00×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.3%	2.8%	3.3%	0.86×	35.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.8%	1.0%	2.86×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.6%	92.7%	91.2%	1.02×	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.0%	78.3%	70.1%	1.12×	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.7%	63.9%	66.3%	0.96×	1.57
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.3%	36.1%	33.7%	1.07×	2.77
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.0%	21.7%	29.9%	0.72×	4.62
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.4%	7.3%	8.8%	0.83×	13.78

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.3%	79.2%	82.4%	0.96×	1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.1%	79.2%	78.6%	1.01×	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.7%	53.0%	56.9%	0.93×	1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.3%	47.0%	43.1%	1.09×	2.13
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.9%	20.8%	21.4%	0.97×	4.80
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.7%	20.8%	17.6%	1.18×	4.80

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 not to score in both halves	83.0%	84.3%	75.8%	1.11×	1.19
Udinese not to score in both halves	77.6%	78.5%	78.4%	1.00×	1.27
Udinese to score in both halves	22.4%	21.5%	21.6%	0.99×	4.65
Parma Calcio 1913 to score in both halves	17.0%	15.7%	24.3%	0.65×	6.38

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.1%	53.8%	49.2%	1.09×	1.86
Only Udinese scores	23.0%	22.3%	20.5%	1.08×	4.49
Only Parma Calcio 1913 scores	18.4%	16.0%	22.6%	0.71×	6.24
Neither team scores	8.4%	7.1%	7.9%	0.90×	14.03

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.8%	24.9%	25.0%	1.00×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.3%	22.6%	23.5%	0.96×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	20.9%	22.6%	19.2%	1.17×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	13.1%	12.1%	13.3%	0.91×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.4%	7.6%	7.9%	0.96×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.5%	7.6%	8.6%	0.88×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.0%	4.5%	3.0%	1.49×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	40.3%	38.6%	33.7%	1.14×	2.59
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.3%	36.5%	1.02×	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	16.6%	15.6%	21.2%	0.74×	6.40
3+ goals in 1st half	6.4%	7.3%	8.8%	0.83×	13.78

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.3%	45.2%	43.1%	1.05×	2.21
1 goal in 2nd half	32.7%	33.9%	35.7%	0.95×	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.9%	22.9%	21.4%	1.07×	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 not to win both halves	93.5%	94.1%	89.9%	1.05×	1.06
Udinese not to win both halves	90.0%	94.0%	91.1%	1.03×	1.06
Udinese to win both halves	10.0%	6.0%	8.9%	0.67×	16.80
Parma Calcio 1913 to win both halves	6.5%	5.9%	10.1%	0.58×	17.05

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 to win neither half	54.3%	54.3%	46.7%	1.16×	1.84
Udinese to win either half	53.2%	54.3%	48.4%	1.12×	1.84
Udinese to win neither half	46.8%	45.7%	51.6%	0.89×	2.19
Parma Calcio 1913 to win either half	45.7%	45.7%	53.3%	0.86×	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Parma Calcio 1913 not to win to nil	81.6%	83.1%	77.4%	1.07×	1.20
Udinese not to win to nil	77.0%	78.1%	79.5%	0.98×	1.28
Udinese to win to nil	23.0%	21.9%	20.5%	1.07×	4.57
Parma Calcio 1913 to win to nil	18.4%	16.9%	22.6%	0.75×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.1%	27.9%	26.4%	1.06×	3.59
Udinese by 1	22.0%	24.1%	19.3%	1.25×	4.15
Parma Calcio 1913 by 1	19.3%	17.1%	22.7%	0.75×	5.87
Udinese by 2	11.8%	11.8%	8.6%	1.36×	8.51
Parma Calcio 1913 by 2	9.1%	7.2%	10.0%	0.72×	13.90
Udinese by 3+	6.5%	7.2%	5.9%	1.22×	13.91
Parma Calcio 1913 by 3+	4.2%	2.7%	7.7%	0.35×	36.77