Pau v Grenoble — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 23 October 2026 · FRA-Ligue 2 · 2627

FRA-Ligue 2 results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Pau

18:00 UTC

Grenoble

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,148h before kick-off

Pau win

38.9%

model 38.9%

Draw

28.3%

model 28.1%

Grenoble win

32.7%

model 33.0%

392833

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.3%
1-0 10.6%
0-1 9.5%
0-0 9.0%
2-1 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	44.7%	Under 2.5	55.3%
BTTS yes	50.5%	BTTS no	49.5%
Pau 1+	72.6%	Pau 2+	37.1%
Grenoble 1+	69.0%	Grenoble 2+	32.7%

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.17. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

78/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Pau.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Pau have an estimated 38.9% win probability, against 32.7% for Grenoble and 28.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.29 for Pau and 1.17 for Grenoble.

Why Pau

Nothing in the data singles out Pau.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.29 to 1.17. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Grenoble can win

Grenoble carry the stronger rating, 1452 Elo against 1403.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Pau, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Grenoble, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Pau: 45% possession, 12.6 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Grenoble: 38% possession, 6.8 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Pau are the model's most likely outcome at 38.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	372736	1.31–1.30	1-1 13%	48%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau to win	36.7%	36.3%	42.6%	0.85×	2.75
Grenoble to win	36.4%	36.3%	29.8%	1.22×	2.75
Draw	26.9%	27.8%	27.8%	1.00×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau & not both score	19.6%	17.9%	24.0%	0.75×	5.58
Grenoble & not both score	19.4%	17.9%	17.7%	1.02×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	19.3%	17.9%	18.9%	0.95×	5.58
Pau & both teams score	17.1%	17.9%	18.7%	0.96×	5.58
Grenoble & both teams score	17.0%	17.9%	12.3%	1.46×	5.58
Draw & not both score	7.6%	8.4%	9.1%	0.92×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau & over 1.5	27.4%	26.0%	30.0%	0.87×	3.84
Grenoble & over 1.5	27.1%	26.0%	20.1%	1.29×	3.84
Pau & under 3.5	26.6%	26.0%	29.5%	0.88×	3.84
Grenoble & under 3.5	26.4%	26.0%	23.0%	1.13×	3.84
Pau & over 2.5	21.1%	21.6%	24.1%	0.90×	4.63
Grenoble & over 2.5	20.9%	21.6%	16.3%	1.33×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.4%	21.6%	20.7%	1.04×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.4%	21.6%	20.7%	1.04×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.3%	18.0%	18.9%	0.95×	5.56
Pau & under 2.5	15.6%	18.0%	18.6%	0.97×	5.56
Grenoble & under 2.5	15.5%	18.0%	13.7%	1.32×	5.56
Pau & over 3.5	10.1%	12.9%	13.2%	0.98×	7.76
Grenoble & over 3.5	10.0%	12.9%	6.9%	1.86×	7.76
Pau & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	12.8%	0.62×	12.65
Grenoble & under 1.5	9.3%	7.9%	9.8%	0.80×	12.65
Draw & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	7.2%	1.09×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	7.2%	1.09×	12.65

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau (1UP)	53.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Grenoble (1UP)	53.0%	52.8%	—	—	1.89

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau (2UP)	36.7%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Grenoble (2UP)	36.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.70

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.5%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Grenoble to win 2nd half	32.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Pau to win 2nd half	30.7%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Grenoble over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Grenoble under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Grenoble over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.32

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.8%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Pau over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Pau under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Pau over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble (+2.5)	94.2%	92.1%	92.2%	1.00×	1.09
Grenoble (+1.5)	83.5%	82.5%	80.8%	1.02×	1.21
Pau (+0.5)	63.6%	62.9%	70.2%	0.90×	1.59
Grenoble (+0.5)	63.3%	62.9%	57.5%	1.10×	1.59
Pau (-0.5)	36.7%	37.1%	42.6%	0.87×	2.70
Grenoble (-0.5)	36.4%	37.1%	29.8%	1.24×	2.70
Pau (-1.5)	16.5%	17.5%	19.2%	0.91×	5.70
Pau (-2.5)	5.8%	7.9%	7.8%	1.01×	12.61

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble to concede	73.0%	76.6%	73.4%	1.04×	1.31
Grenoble clean sheet	27.0%	23.4%	26.6%	0.88×	4.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble clean sheet in 1st half	57.0%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Grenoble to concede in 1st half	43.0%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble to concede in 2nd half	52.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Grenoble clean sheet in 2nd half	47.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble under 6.5 corners	93.7%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Grenoble under 5.5 corners	87.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Grenoble under 4.5 corners	77.6%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Grenoble under 3.5 corners	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Grenoble over 2.5 corners	57.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Grenoble under 2.5 corners	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Grenoble over 3.5 corners	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Grenoble over 4.5 corners	22.4%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Grenoble over 5.5 corners	12.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Grenoble over 6.5 corners	6.3%	10.0%	—	—	9.97

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble under 3.5 goals	95.7%	97.5%	97.2%	1.00×	1.03
Grenoble under 2.5 goals	85.7%	87.8%	87.6%	1.00×	1.14
Grenoble over 0.5 goals	72.8%	71.9%	67.1%	1.07×	1.39
Grenoble under 1.5 goals	62.6%	63.1%	68.4%	0.92×	1.59
Grenoble over 1.5 goals	37.4%	36.9%	31.6%	1.17×	2.71
Grenoble under 0.5 goals	27.2%	28.1%	32.9%	0.86×	3.56
Grenoble over 2.5 goals	14.3%	12.2%	12.4%	0.98×	8.23
Grenoble over 3.5 goals	4.3%	2.5%	2.8%	0.91×	39.95

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble under 1.5 in 1st half	90.3%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Grenoble under 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Grenoble over 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Grenoble over 1.5 in 1st half	9.7%	5.9%	—	—	16.94

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble scores equally in both	39.4%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Grenoble scores more in 2nd half	38.3%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Grenoble scores more in 1st half	22.3%	22.4%	—	—	4.46

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau (away no bet)	57.7%	57.3%	60.5%	0.95×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.3%	42.7%	39.5%	1.08×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble even goals	53.7%	52.8%	54.2%	0.97×	1.89
Grenoble odd goals	46.3%	47.2%	45.8%	1.03×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.7%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.3%	12.3%	—	—	8.11

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	61.4%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	38.6%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	53.1%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Pau to score 2+ in a row	29.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Grenoble to score 2+ in a row	29.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.6%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Pau to score 3+ in a row	9.0%	5.7%	—	—	17.61
Grenoble to score 3+ in a row	8.9%	5.7%	—	—	17.62

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau corners (+3.5)	97.1%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Pau corners (+2.5)	94.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Pau corners (+1.5)	90.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Pau corners (-1.5)	66.6%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Pau corners (-2.5)	55.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Grenoble corners (+3.5)	55.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Pau corners (-3.5)	44.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Grenoble corners (+2.5)	44.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Grenoble corners (+1.5)	33.4%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Grenoble corners (-1.5)	9.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
Grenoble corners (-2.5)	5.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Grenoble corners (-3.5)	2.9%	4.2%	—	—	23.68

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	43.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	27.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	72.6%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	67.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	63.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	56.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	54.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	43.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	36.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	32.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	27.4%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	20.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.8%	11.4%	11.8%	0.97×	8.74
0-1	9.3%	7.4%	9.8%	0.75×	13.50
1-0	9.3%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.50
0-0	7.6%	7.4%	9.1%	0.82×	13.50
1-2	8.2%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.50
2-1	8.2%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.50
0-2	6.2%	7.4%	4.0%	1.85×	13.50
2-0	6.3%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.50
2-2	5.3%	7.4%	5.8%	1.27×	13.50
0-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
0-4	0.9%	1.7%	0.5%	3.72×	58.31
1-3	3.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.30
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.31
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.02×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.32
3-0	2.7%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
3-1	3.6%	1.7%	4.5%	0.39×	58.30
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.70×	58.31
3-3	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.12×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.72×	58.32
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
4-1	1.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.59×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.40×	58.32
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.79×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	11.16×	58.32
Any other score	2.2%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble (2nd half DNB)	51.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Pau (2nd half DNB)	48.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau leading at HT (DNB)	52.5%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Grenoble leading at HT (DNB)	47.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau or Grenoble (12)	73.1%	72.2%	72.2%	1.00×	1.39
Pau or draw (1X)	63.6%	63.7%	70.2%	0.91×	1.57
Grenoble or draw (X2)	63.3%	63.7%	57.5%	1.11×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau or draw at HT	73.7%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Grenoble or draw at HT	70.9%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Pau or Grenoble at HT	55.4%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau or draw (1UP)	63.6%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Grenoble or draw (1UP)	63.3%	71.8%	—	—	1.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble or draw in 2nd half	69.3%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Pau or draw in 2nd half	67.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Pau or Grenoble in 2nd half	63.5%	64.1%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau (DNB)	50.2%	50.8%	58.8%	0.86×	1.97
Grenoble (DNB)	49.8%	49.2%	41.2%	1.19×	2.03

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau to score first	46.3%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Grenoble to score first	46.1%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
No goal scored	7.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.31

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	53.4%	51.4%	49.6%	1.04×	1.95
Not both teams to score	46.6%	48.6%	50.4%	0.97×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	40.6%	41.6%	37.9%	1.10×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	38.8%	38.5%	41.0%	0.94×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.8%	12.3%	11.8%	1.04×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	7.8%	8.3%	9.5%	0.88×	12.00

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.9%	85.6%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.1%	14.4%	14.4%	1.00×	6.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.4%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.6%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.9%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.6%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	5.0%	5.1%	—	—	19.71

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.5%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.5%	17.6%	—	—	5.70

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A half without a goal	48.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.1%	47.3%	41.8%	1.13×	2.12
0-1 goals	26.3%	26.6%	31.3%	0.85×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.9%	22.8%	25.2%	0.91×	4.38
7+ goals	1.7%	1.8%	2.0%	0.92×	54.71

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble to score exactly 1	35.4%	36.0%	35.6%	1.01×	2.78
Grenoble to score exactly 0	27.2%	27.4%	32.9%	0.83×	3.65
Grenoble to score exactly 2	23.1%	22.4%	19.4%	1.16×	4.47
Grenoble to score 3+	14.3%	12.9%	12.4%	1.03×	7.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.6%	33.8%	1.05×	2.81
Pau to score exactly 0	27.0%	26.5%	26.6%	1.00×	3.77
Pau to score exactly 2	23.1%	23.2%	22.1%	1.05×	4.31
Pau to score 3+	14.5%	14.4%	17.8%	0.81×	6.94

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.6%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Pau leading at HT	29.1%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Grenoble leading at HT	26.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau -1: 2	63.3%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Pau -1: X	20.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Pau -1: 1	16.5%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble (0:1)	63.3%	61.5%	57.5%	1.07×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.2%	24.3%	23.5%	1.03×	4.12
Pau (0:1)	16.5%	17.8%	19.2%	0.93×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble (0:2)	83.5%	82.9%	80.8%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	10.7%	10.9%	11.5%	0.95×	9.17
Pau (0:2)	5.8%	7.7%	7.8%	0.98×	12.99

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble (0:3)	94.2%	92.6%	92.2%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.1%	2.4%	4.3%	0.55×	42.04
Pau (0:3)	1.6%	2.4%	3.7%	0.64×	42.16

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble (0:4)	98.4%	98.1%	96.3%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.2%	1.2%	3.1%	0.39×	83.61
Pau (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	0.8%	1.56×	83.71

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau (1:0)	63.6%	65.2%	70.2%	0.93×	1.53
Draw (1:0)	20.1%	21.8%	17.5%	1.25×	4.58
Grenoble (1:0)	16.3%	17.0%	12.4%	1.37×	5.89

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau (2:0)	83.7%	84.6%	87.6%	0.97×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	10.6%	10.4%	7.1%	1.47×	9.63
Grenoble (2:0)	5.7%	6.4%	5.5%	1.17×	15.52

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau to concede	72.8%	73.1%	67.1%	1.09×	1.37
Pau clean sheet	27.2%	26.9%	32.9%	0.82×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau clean sheet in 1st half	59.4%	62.7%	—	—	1.60
Pau to concede in 1st half	40.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau to concede in 2nd half	54.2%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Pau clean sheet in 2nd half	45.8%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau over 2.5 corners	90.4%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Pau over 3.5 corners	81.0%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Pau over 4.5 corners	69.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Pau under 6.5 corners	56.6%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Pau over 5.5 corners	56.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Pau under 5.5 corners	44.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Pau over 6.5 corners	43.4%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Pau under 4.5 corners	31.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Pau under 3.5 corners	19.0%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Pau under 2.5 corners	9.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.31

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau under 3.5 goals	95.6%	96.3%	93.4%	1.03×	1.04
Pau under 2.5 goals	85.5%	87.2%	82.2%	1.06×	1.15
Pau over 0.5 goals	73.0%	74.2%	73.4%	1.01×	1.35
Pau under 1.5 goals	62.4%	63.5%	60.2%	1.05×	1.57
Pau over 1.5 goals	37.6%	36.5%	39.8%	0.92×	2.74
Pau under 0.5 goals	27.0%	25.8%	26.6%	0.97×	3.88
Pau over 2.5 goals	14.5%	12.8%	17.8%	0.72×	7.81
Pau over 3.5 goals	4.4%	3.7%	6.6%	0.56×	27.25

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau under 1.5 in 1st half	89.0%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Pau under 0.5 in 1st half	57.0%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Pau over 0.5 in 1st half	43.0%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Pau over 1.5 in 1st half	11.0%	10.1%	—	—	9.87

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau scores equally in both	39.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Pau scores more in 2nd half	35.8%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Pau scores more in 1st half	24.6%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble (home no bet)	57.5%	56.6%	51.7%	1.09×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	42.5%	43.4%	48.3%	0.90×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau even goals	53.7%	50.6%	53.3%	0.95×	1.98
Pau odd goals	46.3%	49.4%	46.7%	1.06×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	19.0%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 0-1	17.6%	18.7%	—	—	5.36
HT 1-1	10.0%	7.2%	—	—	13.98
HT 2-0	5.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 0-2	4.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
Any other HT score	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.44
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.50
HT 1-2	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.51
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.65

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau at HT / Pau at FT	21.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Grenoble at HT / Grenoble at FT	19.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Grenoble at FT	14.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Pau at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Pau at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Grenoble at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.73
Pau at HT / Grenoble at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Grenoble at HT / Pau at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau to score last	46.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Grenoble to score last	46.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
No goal scored	7.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.31

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Pau to lead by 1 at any time	53.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Grenoble to lead by 1 at any time	53.0%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.0%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Pau to lead by 2 at any time	22.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Grenoble to lead by 2 at any time	22.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.7%	10.5%	—	—	9.51
Pau to lead by 3 at any time	7.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.10
Grenoble to lead by 3 at any time	7.3%	6.6%	—	—	15.11

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau most corners	76.5%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Grenoble most corners	15.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.27
Corners level	8.1%	8.4%	—	—	11.91

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.4%	87.4%	84.8%	1.03×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.0%	78.6%	78.8%	1.00×	1.27
2-6 goals	72.0%	72.4%	66.8%	1.08×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.8%	68.9%	62.5%	1.10×	1.45
1-3 goals	65.8%	68.9%	64.1%	1.08×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.3%	63.4%	56.5%	1.12×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.1%	48.6%	41.8%	1.16×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.7%	48.6%	45.5%	1.07×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.0%	43.6%	43.8%	1.00×	2.30
3-5 goals	43.4%	43.6%	41.2%	1.06×	2.30
3-4 goals	36.0%	39.2%	35.2%	1.11×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.9%	24.5%	25.2%	0.97×	4.08
4-5 goals	21.6%	24.5%	20.9%	1.17×	4.08
5-6 goals	10.7%	14.8%	10.4%	1.42×	6.74
7+ goals	1.7%	2.6%	2.0%	1.28×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau never behind	39.4%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
Grenoble never behind	39.2%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.2%	50.9%	49.9%	1.02×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.8%	49.2%	50.1%	0.98×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.0%	95.4%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.4%	92.2%	90.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.6%	87.6%	87.7%	1.00×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	73.7%	72.5%	68.7%	1.06×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	73.4%	72.5%	73.0%	0.99×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.6%	52.6%	52.7%	1.00×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	48.4%	47.4%	47.3%	1.00×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	26.6%	27.5%	27.0%	1.02×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	26.3%	27.5%	31.3%	0.88×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	12.4%	12.4%	12.3%	1.01×	8.08
Under 0.5 goals	7.6%	7.8%	9.1%	0.86×	12.87
Over 5.5 goals	5.0%	4.6%	6.3%	0.73×	21.90

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	97.9%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.6%	92.4%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.5%	86.7%	85.6%	1.01×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.0%	67.4%	66.1%	1.02×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	64.8%	61.9%	60.2%	1.03×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	35.2%	38.1%	39.8%	0.96×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.0%	32.6%	33.9%	0.96×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.5%	13.3%	14.4%	0.92×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.4%	7.6%	6.7%	1.13×	13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	2.1%	1.34×	35.87

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.5%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.1%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.9%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.5%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.2%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.8%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.8%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble not to score in both halves	78.0%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Pau not to score in both halves	77.4%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Pau to score in both halves	22.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Grenoble to score in both halves	22.0%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	53.4%	53.9%	49.6%	1.09×	1.86
Only Pau scores	19.6%	16.0%	24.0%	0.67×	6.23
Only Grenoble scores	19.4%	16.0%	17.7%	0.91×	6.23
Neither team scores	7.6%	7.2%	9.1%	0.79×	13.91

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.3%	24.9%	21.5%	1.16×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	20.4%	1.11×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.6%	17.4%	22.4%	0.78×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.2%	12.1%	14.9%	0.81×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	7.6%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	7.4%	7.6%	6.1%	1.24×	13.08
6 or more goals	5.0%	4.5%	6.3%	0.71×	22.40

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	33.9%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
2 goals in 1st half	19.9%	15.3%	—	—	6.53
3+ goals in 1st half	9.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.44

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.2%	44.6%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	21.8%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble not to win both halves	91.3%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Pau not to win both halves	91.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Pau to win both halves	9.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Grenoble to win both halves	8.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.50

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pau to win either half	50.8%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Grenoble to win either half	50.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Grenoble to win neither half	49.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Pau to win neither half	49.2%	45.1%	—	—	2.22

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Grenoble not to win to nil	80.6%	83.1%	82.3%	1.01×	1.20
Pau not to win to nil	80.4%	83.1%	76.0%	1.09×	1.20
Pau to win to nil	19.6%	16.9%	24.0%	0.71×	5.91
Grenoble to win to nil	19.4%	16.9%	17.7%	0.96×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.9%	27.9%	27.8%	1.00×	3.59
Pau by 1	20.2%	24.2%	23.5%	1.03×	4.14
Grenoble by 1	20.1%	24.2%	17.5%	1.38×	4.14
Pau by 2	10.7%	11.8%	11.5%	1.02×	8.50
Grenoble by 2	10.6%	11.8%	7.1%	1.67×	8.50
Pau by 3+	5.8%	7.2%	7.8%	0.92×	13.82
Grenoble by 3+	5.7%	7.2%	5.5%	1.31×	13.82