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Pendikspor v Bodrum — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · TUR-1. Lig · 2627

TUR-1. Lig results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Pendikspor win
31.3%
model 32.2%
Draw
31.3%
model 31.3%
Bodrum win
37.4%
model 36.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (7,697 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.9%
  2. 0-0 11.0%
  3. 0-1 9.6%
  4. 1-0 8.8%
  5. 1-2 8.1%

Goals

Over 2.542.5% Under 2.557.5%
BTTS yes50.1% BTTS no49.9%
Pendikspor 1+68.2% Pendikspor 2+31.8%
Bodrum 1+70.9% Bodrum 2+35.0%

Expected goals 1.15 – 1.23. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
27/100
Data quality
30/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Under 2.5 goals
Over/Under · usually 43%
57.8% fair odds 1.73
strong signal · 12482 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Pendikspor (2:0)
Handicap 2:0 · usually 83%
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 4434 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Away from home Bodrum average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 30/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • Pendikspor have only 1 matches on record.
  • Bodrum have only 0 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Bodrum have an estimated 37.4% win probability, against 31.3% for Pendikspor and 31.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.15 for Pendikspor and 1.23 for Bodrum.

Why Pendikspor

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.3%. A combined 2.38 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.15 to 1.23.

Why Bodrum can win

Away from home Bodrum average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Pendikspor, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Bodrum, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Pendikspor: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Bodrum: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-10 15:23 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-10 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Bodrum are the model's most likely outcome at 37.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.9%. Confidence 27/100, data quality 30/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.15–1.23 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.03–1.13 1-1 15% 37% 45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum to win 36.0% 36.2% 32.0% 1.13× 2.76
Draw 33.1% 30.6% 23.0% 1.33× 3.27
Pendikspor to win 30.9% 30.6% 45.5% 0.67× 3.27
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum & not both score 22.3% 21.8% 15.8% 1.38× 4.60
Draw & both teams score 19.7% 18.0% 16.2% 1.11× 5.55
Pendikspor & not both score 18.9% 18.0% 27.5% 0.66× 5.55
Bodrum & both teams score 13.7% 13.2% 16.7% 0.79× 7.55
Draw & not both score 13.4% 13.2% 7.2% 1.84× 7.55
Pendikspor & both teams score 12.0% 13.2% 18.5% 0.72× 7.55
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw & under 2.5 28.6% 25.9% 19.4% 1.34× 3.86
Draw & under 3.5 28.6% 25.9% 19.4% 1.34× 3.86
Bodrum & under 3.5 28.9% 25.9% 19.8% 1.31× 3.86
Pendikspor & under 3.5 25.2% 25.9% 25.2% 1.03× 3.86
Bodrum & over 1.5 24.8% 21.6% 26.6% 0.81× 4.63
Pendikspor & over 1.5 20.9% 21.6% 37.4% 0.58× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 19.7% 18.0% 16.2% 1.11× 5.57
Bodrum & under 2.5 18.6% 18.0% 8.6% 2.10× 5.57
Bodrum & over 2.5 17.5% 18.0% 23.9% 0.75× 5.57
Pendikspor & under 2.5 16.1% 18.0% 15.8% 1.14× 5.57
Pendikspor & over 2.5 14.8% 12.9% 30.2% 0.43× 7.77
Draw & under 1.5 13.4% 12.9% 7.2% 1.78× 7.77
Bodrum & under 1.5 11.2% 12.9% 5.9% 2.20× 7.78
Pendikspor & under 1.5 10.0% 12.9% 8.6% 1.50× 7.78
Bodrum & over 3.5 7.1% 8.0% 12.6% 0.63× 12.56
Pendikspor & over 3.5 5.8% 8.0% 20.7% 0.38× 12.57
Draw & over 2.5 4.5% 4.9% 4.1% 1.20× 20.52
Draw & over 3.5 4.5% 4.9% 4.1% 1.20× 20.52
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum (1UP) 50.7% 52.7% 1.90
Pendikspor (1UP) 46.0% 43.2% 2.32
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum (2UP) 36.0% 37.1% 2.70
Pendikspor (2UP) 30.9% 30.7% 3.26
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 41.9% 41.1% 2.43
Bodrum to win 2nd half 31.9% 34.5% 2.90
Pendikspor to win 2nd half 26.2% 26.4% 3.79
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum under 1.5 in 2nd half 85.2% 86.5% 1.16
Bodrum under 0.5 in 2nd half 50.7% 53.2% 1.88
Bodrum over 0.5 in 2nd half 49.3% 46.8% 2.14
Bodrum over 1.5 in 2nd half 14.8% 13.5% 7.43
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor under 1.5 in 2nd half 88.2% 88.0% 1.14
Pendikspor under 0.5 in 2nd half 55.6% 58.8% 1.70
Pendikspor over 0.5 in 2nd half 44.4% 41.2% 2.43
Pendikspor over 1.5 in 2nd half 11.8% 12.0% 8.34
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum (+2.5) 96.4% 96.3% 82.9% 1.16× 1.04
Bodrum (+1.5) 87.5% 88.3% 69.8% 1.27× 1.13
Bodrum (+0.5) 69.1% 68.7% 54.5% 1.26× 1.46
Pendikspor (+0.5) 64.0% 63.0% 68.0% 0.93× 1.59
Bodrum (-0.5) 36.0% 37.0% 32.0% 1.16× 2.71
Pendikspor (-0.5) 30.9% 31.3% 45.5% 0.69× 3.20
Pendikspor (-1.5) 12.5% 11.7% 30.2% 0.39× 8.58
Pendikspor (-2.5) 3.6% 3.7% 17.1% 0.22× 26.76
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum to concede 64.3% 68.0% 77.5% 0.88× 1.47
Bodrum clean sheet 35.7% 32.0% 22.5% 1.42× 3.13
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum clean sheet in 1st half 64.2% 65.0% 1.54
Bodrum to concede in 1st half 35.8% 35.0% 2.86
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum clean sheet in 2nd half 55.6% 58.4% 1.71
Bodrum to concede in 2nd half 44.4% 41.6% 2.40
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum under 3.5 goals 97.2% 97.4% 92.3% 1.06× 1.03
Bodrum under 2.5 goals 89.4% 87.9% 81.5% 1.08× 1.14
Bodrum under 1.5 goals 68.8% 67.9% 67.1% 1.01× 1.47
Bodrum over 0.5 goals 67.7% 67.9% 65.8% 1.03× 1.47
Bodrum under 0.5 goals 32.3% 32.1% 34.2% 0.94× 3.11
Bodrum over 1.5 goals 31.2% 32.1% 32.9% 0.98× 3.11
Bodrum over 2.5 goals 10.6% 12.1% 18.5% 0.65× 8.27
Bodrum over 3.5 goals 2.8% 2.6% 7.7% 0.34× 38.79
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum under 1.5 in 1st half 92.4% 94.2% 1.06
Bodrum under 0.5 in 1st half 63.6% 64.2% 1.56
Bodrum over 0.5 in 1st half 36.4% 35.8% 2.79
Bodrum over 1.5 in 1st half 7.6% 5.8% 17.17
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum scores equally in both 43.0% 43.8% 2.28
Bodrum scores more in 2nd half 35.8% 36.4% 2.75
Bodrum scores more in 1st half 21.2% 22.4% 4.47
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (away no bet) 51.7% 51.2% 33.6% 1.53× 1.95
Pendikspor (away no bet) 48.3% 48.8% 66.4% 0.73× 2.05
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum even goals 55.2% 56.9% 54.5% 1.04× 1.76
Bodrum odd goals 44.8% 43.1% 45.5% 0.95× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 91.8% 92.5% 1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals 8.2% 7.5% 13.35
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 51.5% 50.1% 2.00
Both halves under 1.5 goals 48.5% 50.0% 2.00
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 43.7% 38.3% 2.61
Bodrum to score 2+ in a row 25.3% 25.0% 4.00
Pendikspor to score 2+ in a row 21.7% 19.5% 5.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row 12.5% 12.2% 8.23
Bodrum to score 3+ in a row 7.1% 5.6% 17.76
Pendikspor to score 3+ in a row 5.5% 5.6% 17.89
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 15.3% 13.5% 12.6% 1.07× 7.39
0-0 13.4% 11.4% 7.2% 1.58× 8.80
0-1 11.2% 11.4% 5.9% 1.94× 8.80
1-0 10.0% 11.4% 8.6% 1.33× 8.81
0-2 7.4% 7.4% 3.2% 2.34× 13.54
1-2 7.6% 7.4% 7.2% 1.03× 13.54
2-1 6.9% 7.4% 6.3% 1.17× 13.54
2-0 6.1% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.54
0-3 2.8% 1.7% 5.0% 0.35× 57.57
0-4 0.8% 1.7% 1.4% 1.29× 57.58
1-3 2.9% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 57.57
1-4 0.8% 1.7% 2.7% 0.64× 57.58
2-2 3.9% 1.7% 3.6% 0.48× 57.56
2-3 1.5% 1.7% 2.3% 0.77× 57.57
2-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.9% 1.93× 57.58
3-0 2.1% 1.7% 4.1% 0.43× 57.57
3-1 2.4% 1.7% 5.0% 0.35× 57.57
3-2 1.3% 1.7% 0.9% 1.93× 57.57
3-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.9% 1.93× 57.58
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.29× 57.58
4-0 0.5% 1.7% 5.4% 0.32× 57.58
4-1 0.6% 1.7% 4.5% 0.39× 57.58
4-2 0.3% 1.7% 1.8% 0.96× 57.58
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 1.4% 1.29× 57.58
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.5% 3.86× 57.58
Any other score 1.0% 1.7% 7.2% 0.24× 57.57
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum (2nd half DNB) 54.9% 53.4% 1.87
Pendikspor (2nd half DNB) 45.1% 46.6% 2.15
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum leading at HT (DNB) 50.7% 55.8% 1.79
Pendikspor leading at HT (DNB) 49.3% 44.2% 2.26
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum or draw (X2) 69.1% 69.4% 54.5% 1.27× 1.44
Pendikspor or Bodrum (12) 66.9% 69.4% 77.0% 0.90× 1.44
Pendikspor or draw (1X) 64.0% 63.8% 68.0% 0.94× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum or draw at HT 75.4% 79.9% 1.25
Pendikspor or draw at HT 74.7% 74.4% 1.34
Pendikspor or Bodrum at HT 49.9% 52.7% 1.90
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum or draw (1UP) 69.1% 76.1% 1.31
Pendikspor or draw (1UP) 64.0% 71.8% 1.39
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum or draw in 2nd half 73.8% 73.6% 1.36
Pendikspor or draw in 2nd half 68.1% 65.5% 1.53
Pendikspor or Bodrum in 2nd half 58.1% 58.9% 1.70
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 69.1% 69.6% 1.44
Neither half drawn 30.9% 30.4% 3.29
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum (DNB) 53.8% 50.1% 41.3% 1.21× 2.00
Pendikspor (DNB) 46.2% 49.9% 58.7% 0.85× 2.00
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum to score first 45.3% 45.4% 2.20
Pendikspor to score first 41.3% 41.7% 2.40
No goal scored 13.4% 10.3% 9.71
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 54.6% 51.6% 49.6% 1.04× 1.94
Both teams to score 45.4% 48.4% 50.5% 0.96× 2.07
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 48.1% 44.2% 30.6% 1.44× 2.26
Both score & over 2.5 30.1% 34.3% 38.3% 0.90× 2.91
Both score & under 2.5 15.3% 21.3% 12.6% 1.69× 4.69
Not both score & over 2.5 6.6% 8.4% 19.4% 0.43× 11.94
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 91.4% 88.9% 90.1% 0.99× 1.13
Both teams to score 2+ 8.6% 11.1% 9.9% 1.12× 9.00
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 77.5% 75.2% 1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half 22.5% 24.8% 4.04
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 67.0% 62.1% 1.61
Both score 2nd half only 19.7% 15.8% 6.34
Both score 1st half only 10.5% 10.7% 9.36
Both score in both halves 2.8% 5.0% 20.17
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 86.7% 86.2% 1.16
Both teams to score by HT 13.3% 13.8% 7.23
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 56.6% 57.3% 1.75
A goal in each half 43.4% 42.7% 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.1% 46.9% 43.2% 1.08× 2.13
0-1 goals 34.6% 30.9% 20.7% 1.49× 3.23
4-6 goals 16.6% 20.2% 32.9% 0.62× 4.94
7+ goals 0.7% 1.9% 4.1% 0.46× 54.05
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum to score exactly 1 36.5% 35.8% 33.3% 1.07× 2.80
Bodrum to score exactly 0 32.3% 33.6% 34.2% 0.98× 2.97
Bodrum to score exactly 2 20.6% 22.5% 14.9% 1.51× 4.45
Bodrum to score 3+ 10.6% 13.0% 18.5% 0.70× 7.71
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.5% 33.8% 1.05× 2.81
Pendikspor to score exactly 0 35.7% 35.5% 22.5% 1.58× 2.81
Pendikspor to score exactly 2 18.9% 19.2% 18.9% 1.01× 5.21
Pendikspor to score 3+ 8.6% 10.5% 25.7% 0.41× 9.53
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 50.1% 47.3% 2.11
Bodrum leading at HT 25.3% 25.6% 3.90
Pendikspor leading at HT 24.6% 20.1% 4.97
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum -1: 1 64.0% 62.8% 1.59
Bodrum -1: X 20.4% 23.6% 4.23
Bodrum -1: 2 15.6% 17.3% 5.80
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum (0:1) 69.1% 65.3% 54.5% 1.20× 1.53
Draw (0:1) 18.4% 17.7% 15.8% 1.13× 5.64
Pendikspor (0:1) 12.5% 13.9% 30.2% 0.46× 7.17
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum (0:2) 87.5% 86.9% 69.8% 1.24× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 8.9% 7.7% 13.5% 0.57× 12.98
Pendikspor (0:2) 3.6% 3.8% 17.1% 0.22× 26.41
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum (0:3) 96.4% 96.6% 82.9% 1.17× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 2.8% 2.4% 8.1% 0.29× 42.28
Pendikspor (0:3) 0.8% 2.4% 9.5% 0.25× 42.36
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum (0:4) 99.2% 98.1% 90.5% 1.08× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.7% 1.2% 5.9% 0.21× 81.89
Pendikspor (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 4.1% 0.30× 81.94
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor (1:0) 64.0% 65.3% 68.0% 0.96× 1.53
Draw (1:0) 20.4% 21.7% 15.3% 1.42× 4.60
Bodrum (1:0) 15.6% 17.1% 17.1% 1.00× 5.86
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor (2:0) 84.4% 84.6% 82.9% 1.02× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 10.7% 10.4% 6.8% 1.54× 9.62
Bodrum (2:0) 4.9% 2.4% 10.8% 0.22× 41.23
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 43.4% 48.5% 2.06
Halves equal 31.5% 29.4% 3.41
1st half highest scoring 25.1% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor to concede 67.7% 66.6% 65.8% 1.01× 1.50
Pendikspor clean sheet 32.3% 33.4% 34.2% 0.98× 2.99
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor clean sheet in 1st half 63.6% 64.2% 1.56
Pendikspor to concede in 1st half 36.4% 35.8% 2.79
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor clean sheet in 2nd half 50.7% 53.2% 1.88
Pendikspor to concede in 2nd half 49.3% 46.8% 2.14
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor under 3.5 goals 97.9% 96.3% 84.2% 1.14× 1.04
Pendikspor under 2.5 goals 91.4% 92.1% 74.3% 1.24× 1.09
Pendikspor under 1.5 goals 72.5% 74.3% 55.9% 1.33× 1.35
Pendikspor over 0.5 goals 64.3% 63.3% 77.5% 0.82× 1.58
Pendikspor under 0.5 goals 35.7% 36.7% 22.5% 1.63× 2.73
Pendikspor over 1.5 goals 27.5% 25.7% 44.1% 0.58× 3.89
Pendikspor over 2.5 goals 8.6% 7.9% 25.7% 0.31× 12.67
Pendikspor over 3.5 goals 2.1% 3.7% 15.8% 0.23× 27.00
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor under 1.5 in 1st half 92.7% 95.4% 1.05
Pendikspor under 0.5 in 1st half 64.2% 64.8% 1.54
Pendikspor over 0.5 in 1st half 35.8% 35.2% 2.84
Pendikspor over 1.5 in 1st half 7.3% 4.6% 21.85
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor scores equally in both 45.6% 46.9% 2.13
Pendikspor scores more in 2nd half 32.0% 32.8% 3.05
Pendikspor scores more in 1st half 22.4% 21.5% 4.64
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum (home no bet) 52.1% 51.5% 58.2% 0.89× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 47.9% 48.5% 41.8% 1.16× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor even goals 56.4% 55.3% 53.6% 1.03× 1.81
Pendikspor odd goals 43.6% 44.7% 46.4% 0.96× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 41.2% 40.8% 2.45
HT 0-1 18.2% 18.7% 5.36
HT 1-0 17.8% 18.7% 5.36
HT 1-1 8.5% 7.1% 14.01
HT 0-2 4.2% 2.3% 43.40
HT 2-0 4.0% 2.3% 43.41
Any other HT score 2.1% 2.3% 43.55
HT 1-2 1.9% 2.3% 43.57
HT 2-1 1.8% 2.3% 43.57
HT 2-2 0.4% 2.3% 43.68
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 22.9% 21.8% 4.60
Bodrum at HT / Bodrum at FT 19.1% 16.8% 5.96
Pendikspor at HT / Pendikspor at FT 17.2% 16.8% 5.97
Draw at HT / Bodrum at FT 15.0% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Pendikspor at FT 12.2% 12.7% 7.90
Pendikspor at HT / Draw at FT 5.4% 6.0% 16.73
Bodrum at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% 28.74
Pendikspor at HT / Bodrum at FT 1.9% 3.5% 28.85
Bodrum at HT / Pendikspor at FT 1.4% 3.5% 28.87
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum to score last 45.4% 46.6% 2.15
Pendikspor to score last 41.3% 40.0% 2.50
No goal scored 13.4% 9.7% 10.32
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 86.6% 90.4% 1.11
Bodrum to lead by 1 at any time 50.7% 50.7% 1.97
Pendikspor to lead by 1 at any time 46.0% 43.9% 2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 36.5% 34.8% 2.87
Bodrum to lead by 2 at any time 20.0% 14.9% 6.70
Pendikspor to lead by 2 at any time 16.6% 14.9% 6.73
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 10.6% 10.4% 9.59
Bodrum to lead by 3 at any time 6.0% 6.6% 15.17
Pendikspor to lead by 3 at any time 4.6% 1.7% 59.92
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.3% 83.3% 85.1% 0.98× 1.20
1-4 goals 79.8% 78.5% 73.4% 1.07× 1.27
1-3 goals 69.3% 68.9% 56.8% 1.21× 1.45
2-6 goals 64.7% 63.1% 75.7% 0.83× 1.58
2-5 goals 63.1% 63.1% 71.6% 0.88× 1.58
2-4 goals 58.6% 59.3% 59.9% 0.99× 1.69
1-2 goals 50.0% 48.5% 36.0% 1.34× 2.06
2-3 goals 48.1% 48.5% 43.2% 1.12× 2.06
3-6 goals 36.0% 39.3% 53.6% 0.73× 2.55
3-5 goals 34.4% 35.3% 49.6% 0.71× 2.83
3-4 goals 29.8% 30.6% 37.8% 0.81× 3.26
4-6 goals 16.6% 18.9% 32.9% 0.57× 5.30
4-5 goals 15.0% 15.1% 28.8% 0.52× 6.64
5-6 goals 6.2% 9.0% 16.2% 0.55× 11.14
7+ goals 0.7% 2.6% 4.1% 0.63× 38.98
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bodrum never behind 40.6% 48.1% 2.08
Pendikspor never behind 36.0% 44.6% 2.24
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 45.7% 50.9% 50.0% 1.02× 1.96
Even number of goals 54.3% 49.1% 50.0% 0.98× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 59.0% 57.6% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 41.0% 42.4% 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 55.2% 58.0% 1.73
Odd goals in 2nd half 44.8% 42.0% 2.38
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 97.7% 95.4% 91.9% 1.04× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 93.2% 92.2% 80.2% 1.15× 1.09
Over 0.5 goals 86.6% 87.4% 92.8% 0.94× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 82.7% 82.1% 63.5% 1.29× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 65.4% 66.0% 79.3% 0.83× 1.52
Under 2.5 goals 63.3% 61.9% 42.8% 1.45× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 36.7% 38.1% 57.2% 0.67× 2.63
Under 1.5 goals 34.6% 34.0% 20.7% 1.64× 2.94
Over 3.5 goals 17.3% 17.9% 36.5% 0.49× 5.60
Under 0.5 goals 13.4% 12.6% 7.2% 1.74× 7.96
Over 4.5 goals 6.8% 7.8% 19.8% 0.39× 12.82
Over 5.5 goals 2.3% 4.6% 8.1% 0.57× 21.74
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.3% 97.2% 95.8% 1.01× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 97.6% 97.2% 90.8% 1.07× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 92.4% 92.4% 76.2% 1.21× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 78.5% 75.9% 54.0% 1.41× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 51.5% 52.4% 73.4% 0.71× 1.91
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 48.5% 47.6% 26.6% 1.79× 2.10
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 21.5% 24.1% 46.0% 0.52× 4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 7.6% 7.6% 23.8% 0.32× 13.13
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 2.4% 2.9% 9.2% 0.31× 35.09
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.7% 2.8% 4.2% 0.67× 35.13
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 93.8% 92.8% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 77.1% 78.8% 1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half 58.8% 62.8% 1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half 41.2% 37.2% 2.69
Over 1.5 in 1st half 22.9% 21.2% 4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half 6.2% 7.2% 13.91
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 86.5% 85.3% 1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 71.2% 77.6% 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 63.3% 61.7% 1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 36.7% 38.3% 2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 28.8% 22.4% 4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 13.5% 14.7% 6.82
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor not to score in both halves 84.1% 84.4% 1.18
Bodrum not to score in both halves 82.1% 84.3% 1.19
Bodrum to score in both halves 17.9% 15.7% 6.39
Pendikspor to score in both halves 15.9% 15.6% 6.43
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 45.4% 50.4% 50.5% 1.00× 1.99
Only Bodrum scores 22.3% 22.0% 15.8% 1.40× 4.54
Only Pendikspor scores 18.9% 16.0% 27.5% 0.58× 6.25
Neither team scores 13.4% 11.1% 7.2% 1.54× 9.02
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 28.7% 24.7% 22.5% 1.10× 4.05
Exactly 1 goals 21.2% 22.4% 14.0% 1.61× 4.46
Exactly 3 goals 19.4% 17.6% 21.2% 0.83× 5.70
Exactly 0 goals 13.4% 12.0% 7.2% 1.67× 8.30
Exactly 4 goals 10.5% 12.0% 17.1% 0.70× 8.31
Exactly 5 goals 4.5% 4.5% 12.2% 0.37× 22.19
6 or more goals 2.3% 4.5% 8.1% 0.56× 22.22
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 41.2% 41.4% 2.41
1 goal in 1st half 35.9% 37.1% 2.70
2 goals in 1st half 16.7% 15.2% 6.57
3+ goals in 1st half 6.2% 7.2% 13.91
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 36.7% 40.0% 2.50
1 goal in 2nd half 34.4% 33.4% 3.00
No goals in 2nd half 28.8% 29.8% 3.35
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor not to win both halves 93.3% 94.0% 1.06
Bodrum not to win both halves 91.7% 94.0% 1.06
Bodrum to win both halves 8.3% 6.1% 16.53
Pendikspor to win both halves 6.7% 6.0% 16.65
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor to win neither half 55.9% 59.4% 1.68
Bodrum to win neither half 51.1% 54.8% 1.82
Bodrum to win either half 48.9% 45.2% 2.21
Pendikspor to win either half 44.1% 40.6% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Pendikspor not to win to nil 81.1% 83.1% 72.5% 1.15× 1.20
Bodrum not to win to nil 77.7% 78.3% 84.2% 0.93× 1.28
Bodrum to win to nil 22.3% 21.7% 15.8% 1.37× 4.62
Pendikspor to win to nil 18.9% 16.9% 27.5% 0.61× 5.93
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 33.1% 27.6% 23.0% 1.20× 3.63
Bodrum by 1 20.4% 24.2% 15.3% 1.58× 4.14
Pendikspor by 1 18.4% 16.9% 15.8% 1.07× 5.92
Bodrum by 2 10.7% 11.7% 6.8% 1.74× 8.52
Pendikspor by 2 8.9% 7.3% 13.5% 0.54× 13.73
Bodrum by 3+ 4.9% 2.8% 10.8% 0.26× 35.48
Pendikspor by 3+ 3.6% 2.8% 17.1% 0.16× 35.52
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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