Platense v Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 8 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Platense

20:00 UTC

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,366h before kick-off

Platense win

41.2%

model 43.6%

Draw

31.6%

model 30.1%

Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) win

27.3%

model 26.3%

413227

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.5%
1-1 13.5%
0-0 12.5%
0-1 10.4%
2-0 9.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	35.2%	Under 2.5	64.8%
BTTS yes	41.8%	BTTS no	58.2%
Platense 1+	70.6%	Platense 2+	34.6%
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1+	58.7%	Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 2+	22.2%

Expected goals 1.22 – 0.88. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

21/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Platense carry the stronger rating, 1463 Elo against 1435.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Platense have an estimated 41.2% win probability, against 31.6% for the draw and 27.3% for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero). Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.22 for Platense and 0.88 for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero).

Why Platense

Platense carry the stronger rating, 1463 Elo against 1435.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.6%. A combined 2.11 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) can win

Nothing in the data singles out Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero).

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Platense, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero), so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Platense: 49% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero): 45% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 18.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Platense's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Platense are the model's most likely outcome at 41.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.5%. Confidence 21/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	373330	0.99–0.87	0-0 16%	29%	37%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to win	36.8%	36.4%	41.7%	0.87×	2.75
Draw	32.9%	30.4%	30.6%	0.99×	3.29
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win	30.3%	30.3%	27.8%	1.09×	3.30

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense & not both score	26.0%	25.2%	27.8%	0.91×	3.97
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & not both score	21.2%	21.9%	17.2%	1.27×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	17.0%	17.9%	15.9%	1.12×	5.58
Draw & not both score	15.9%	17.9%	14.8%	1.21×	5.58
Platense & both teams score	10.9%	13.2%	14.1%	0.94×	7.55
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & both teams score	9.1%	8.4%	10.7%	0.79×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense & under 3.5	31.8%	30.9%	34.9%	0.89×	3.24
Draw & under 2.5	29.7%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	29.7%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & under 3.5	26.5%	26.0%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Platense & under 2.5	22.7%	21.7%	23.6%	0.92×	4.62
Platense & over 1.5	21.8%	21.7%	27.6%	0.78×	4.62
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & under 2.5	19.0%	18.0%	14.7%	1.23×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & over 1.5	17.1%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Draw & under 1.5	15.9%	18.0%	14.8%	1.22×	5.56
Platense & under 1.5	15.0%	18.0%	14.2%	1.26×	5.56
Platense & over 2.5	14.2%	12.9%	18.2%	0.71×	7.77
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & under 1.5	13.1%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.77
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & over 2.5	11.3%	12.9%	13.2%	0.98×	7.77
Platense & over 3.5	5.0%	4.8%	7.0%	0.68×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	3.2%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	3.2%	4.8%	2.6%	1.81×	20.94
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & over 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	4.2%	1.13×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (1UP)	48.9%	43.4%	—	—	2.31
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (1UP)	42.8%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (2UP)	36.8%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (2UP)	30.3%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	44.7%	41.3%	—	—	2.42
Platense to win 2nd half	29.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win 2nd half	26.2%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (+2.5)	96.0%	96.3%	95.0%	1.01×	1.04
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (+1.5)	85.9%	88.5%	82.5%	1.07×	1.13
Platense (+0.5)	69.7%	68.7%	72.2%	0.95×	1.46
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (+0.5)	63.2%	62.9%	58.3%	1.08×	1.59
Platense (-0.5)	36.8%	37.1%	41.7%	0.89×	2.70
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (-0.5)	30.3%	31.3%	27.8%	1.13×	3.20
Platense (-1.5)	14.1%	11.5%	17.5%	0.66×	8.70
Platense (-2.5)	4.0%	3.7%	5.0%	0.74×	26.82

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to concede	62.9%	67.3%	68.1%	0.99×	1.49
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet	37.1%	32.7%	31.9%	1.03×	3.06

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet in 1st half	65.3%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to concede in 1st half	34.7%	31.0%	—	—	3.23

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 6.5 corners	92.9%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 5.5 corners	86.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 4.5 corners	75.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 2.5 corners	59.9%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 3.5 corners	59.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 3.5 corners	40.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 2.5 corners	40.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 4.5 corners	24.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 5.5 corners	13.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 6.5 corners	7.1%	10.0%	—	—	9.99

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 3.5 goals	98.8%	97.6%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 2.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 1.5 goals	78.3%	76.2%	78.2%	0.97×	1.31
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 0.5 goals	58.1%	59.5%	57.6%	1.03×	1.68
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 0.5 goals	41.9%	40.5%	42.4%	0.95×	2.47
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 1.5 goals	21.7%	23.8%	21.8%	1.09×	4.21
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 2.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	6.7%	1.15×	13.06
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 3.5 goals	1.2%	2.5%	1.1%	2.14×	40.82

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 1.5 in 1st half	95.2%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 0.5 in 1st half	70.6%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 0.5 in 1st half	29.4%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 1.5 in 1st half	4.8%	4.4%	—	—	22.64

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (away no bet)	52.8%	51.2%	57.7%	0.89×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	47.2%	48.8%	42.3%	1.15×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) even goals	58.8%	56.9%	58.4%	0.97×	1.76
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) odd goals	41.2%	43.1%	41.6%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	94.6%	93.1%	—	—	1.07
Both halves over 1.5 goals	5.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.56

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	57.4%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Not both halves under 1.5	42.7%	39.8%	—	—	2.51

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	36.8%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Platense to score 2+ in a row	21.6%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score 2+ in a row	17.3%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	9.4%	5.7%	—	—	17.58
Platense to score 3+ in a row	5.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.89
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score 3+ in a row	3.9%	2.6%	—	—	38.25

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense corners (+3.5)	95.5%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Platense corners (+2.5)	91.8%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Platense corners (+1.5)	86.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (+3.5)	66.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Platense corners (-1.5)	56.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (+2.5)	55.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Platense corners (-2.5)	44.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (+1.5)	43.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Platense corners (-3.5)	33.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (-1.5)	13.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (-2.5)	8.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.57
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (-3.5)	4.5%	4.2%	—	—	23.61

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	51.4%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	28.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	20.1%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.1%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	79.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	72.0%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	62.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	60.2%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	51.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	48.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	39.8%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	37.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	28.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 11.5 corners	20.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	13.9%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-0	15.9%	13.8%	14.8%	0.93×	7.27
1-0	15.0%	13.7%	14.2%	0.97×	7.28
1-1	13.8%	11.5%	13.4%	0.85×	8.73
0-1	13.1%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
2-0	7.6%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.48
2-1	6.7%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.48
0-2	5.9%	7.4%	4.5%	1.66×	13.48
1-2	5.8%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.48
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.48
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	2.98×	58.49
1-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.88×	58.48
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
2-2	2.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.47
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.49
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
3-0	2.5%	1.7%	2.8%	0.62×	58.48
3-1	2.2%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.48
3-2	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.91×	58.49
4-0	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.49×	58.49
4-1	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-2	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	4.97×	58.49
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.45×	58.49
Any other score	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.86×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense leading at HT (DNB)	56.1%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) leading at HT (DNB)	43.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense or draw (1X)	69.7%	69.7%	72.2%	0.96×	1.44
Platense or Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (12)	67.1%	69.6%	69.4%	1.00×	1.44
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or draw (X2)	63.2%	63.6%	58.3%	1.09×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense or draw at HT	79.5%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or draw at HT	73.8%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Platense or Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at HT	46.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense or draw (1UP)	69.7%	76.2%	—	—	1.31
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or draw (1UP)	63.2%	71.8%	—	—	1.39

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense or draw in 2nd half	73.8%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or draw in 2nd half	70.9%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Platense or Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) in 2nd half	55.3%	58.7%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	73.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Neither half drawn	26.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (DNB)	54.9%	51.1%	60.1%	0.85×	1.96
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (DNB)	45.1%	48.9%	39.9%	1.23×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to score first	44.8%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score first	39.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	15.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.83

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	63.1%	56.5%	59.5%	0.95×	1.77
Both teams to score	36.9%	43.5%	40.5%	1.07×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	57.6%	47.2%	52.9%	0.89×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	23.1%	27.7%	27.2%	1.02×	3.61
Both score & under 2.5	13.8%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.10
Not both score & over 2.5	5.5%	8.4%	6.8%	1.23×	11.97

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.3%	89.1%	94.2%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.7%	10.9%	5.8%	1.86×	9.21

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	82.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	17.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	73.8%	69.2%	—	—	1.45
Both score 2nd half only	15.9%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
Both score 1st half only	8.5%	6.8%	—	—	14.71
Both score in both halves	1.8%	4.9%	—	—	20.40

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.7%	86.6%	—	—	1.15
Both teams to score by HT	10.3%	13.4%	—	—	7.48

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	64.1%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
A goal in each half	35.9%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1 goals	44.1%	42.1%	39.1%	1.08×	2.38
2-3 goals	44.0%	42.1%	47.4%	0.89×	2.38
4-6 goals	11.6%	16.9%	13.3%	1.27×	5.92
7+ goals	0.3%	1.8%	0.5%	3.98×	54.78

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score exactly 0	41.9%	37.0%	42.4%	0.87×	2.70
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score exactly 1	36.4%	36.0%	35.9%	1.00×	2.78
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score exactly 2	15.9%	19.5%	15.3%	1.28×	5.12
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score 3+	5.8%	8.4%	6.7%	1.27×	11.85

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to score exactly 0	37.1%	35.6%	31.9%	1.12×	2.81
Platense to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.6%	36.6%	0.97×	2.81
Platense to score exactly 2	18.2%	18.9%	21.8%	0.87×	5.29
Platense to score 3+	7.9%	10.3%	10.0%	1.03×	9.72

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	53.3%	47.9%	—	—	2.09
Platense leading at HT	26.2%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) leading at HT	20.5%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense -1: 2	63.2%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Platense -1: X	22.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Platense -1: 1	14.1%	14.0%	—	—	7.16

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (0:1)	63.2%	61.5%	58.3%	1.06×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	22.7%	24.3%	24.3%	1.00×	4.12
Platense (0:1)	14.1%	13.9%	17.5%	0.79×	7.22

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (0:2)	85.9%	86.9%	82.5%	1.05×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	10.1%	10.9%	12.6%	0.87×	9.14
Platense (0:2)	4.0%	3.8%	5.0%	0.75×	26.52

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (0:3)	96.0%	96.6%	95.0%	1.02×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	3.1%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.14
Platense (0:3)	0.9%	2.4%	1.7%	1.38×	42.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (0:4)	99.1%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.7%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.67
Platense (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	0.6%	2.08×	83.74

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (1:0)	69.7%	70.0%	72.2%	0.97×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.9%	17.1%	18.7%	0.91×	5.86
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (1:0)	10.4%	12.8%	9.2%	1.39×	7.82

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense (2:0)	89.6%	88.4%	90.8%	0.97×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.8%	6.5%	6.3%	1.02×	15.49
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (2:0)	2.6%	2.3%	3.0%	0.76×	44.22

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Halves equal	32.2%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
1st half highest scoring	25.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to concede	58.1%	61.0%	57.6%	1.06×	1.64
Platense clean sheet	41.9%	39.0%	42.4%	0.92×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense clean sheet in 1st half	70.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Platense to concede in 1st half	29.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense over 2.5 corners	85.7%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Platense over 3.5 corners	73.2%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Platense under 6.5 corners	68.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Platense over 4.5 corners	58.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Platense under 5.5 corners	55.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Platense over 5.5 corners	44.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Platense under 4.5 corners	41.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Platense over 6.5 corners	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Platense under 3.5 corners	26.8%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Platense under 2.5 corners	14.3%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense under 3.5 goals	98.2%	96.4%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Platense under 2.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	90.0%	1.02×	1.08
Platense under 1.5 goals	73.9%	74.2%	68.3%	1.09×	1.35
Platense over 0.5 goals	62.9%	63.5%	68.1%	0.93×	1.58
Platense under 0.5 goals	37.1%	36.5%	31.9%	1.14×	2.74
Platense over 1.5 goals	26.1%	25.8%	31.7%	0.82×	3.88
Platense over 2.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	10.0%	0.78×	12.91
Platense over 3.5 goals	1.9%	3.6%	2.9%	1.27×	27.54

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense under 1.5 in 1st half	93.1%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Platense under 0.5 in 1st half	65.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Platense over 0.5 in 1st half	34.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Platense over 1.5 in 1st half	6.9%	4.5%	—	—	22.02

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.1%	51.6%	52.5%	0.98×	1.94
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (home no bet)	47.9%	48.4%	47.5%	1.02×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense even goals	56.9%	55.4%	55.7%	0.99×	1.80
Platense odd goals	43.1%	44.6%	44.3%	1.01×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	46.2%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
HT 1-0	19.6%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 0-1	16.0%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 2-0	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 0-2	2.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.50
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.60
Any other HT score	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.60
HT 1-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.62
HT 2-2	0.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.69

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	24.2%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Platense at HT / Platense at FT	20.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Draw at HT / Platense at FT	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at HT / Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at FT	13.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Platense at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.76
Platense at HT / Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.87
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at HT / Platense at FT	1.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense to score last	44.8%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score last	39.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	15.9%	11.9%	—	—	8.43

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	84.1%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
Platense to lead by 1 at any time	48.9%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to lead by 1 at any time	42.8%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	31.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.41
Platense to lead by 2 at any time	17.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to lead by 2 at any time	13.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.54
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	8.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.07
Platense to lead by 3 at any time	4.8%	1.7%	—	—	59.69
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to lead by 3 at any time	3.2%	1.6%	—	—	61.17

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense most corners	68.0%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) most corners	21.9%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Corners level	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	82.9%	83.5%	84.3%	0.99×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.0%	78.6%	80.0%	0.98×	1.27
1-3 goals	72.2%	72.4%	71.7%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	55.6%	59.2%	60.6%	0.98×	1.69
1-2 goals	55.5%	59.2%	51.5%	1.15×	1.69
2-5 goals	54.7%	53.2%	60.0%	0.89×	1.88
2-4 goals	51.8%	53.2%	55.7%	0.95×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.0%	43.6%	47.4%	0.92×	2.30
3-6 goals	28.3%	30.2%	33.5%	0.90×	3.31
3-5 goals	27.4%	30.2%	32.9%	0.92×	3.31
3-4 goals	24.5%	24.5%	28.7%	0.85×	4.09
4-6 goals	11.6%	14.9%	13.3%	1.12×	6.73
4-5 goals	10.7%	14.9%	12.7%	1.17×	6.73
5-6 goals	3.8%	2.6%	4.9%	0.52×	39.17
7+ goals	0.3%	2.5%	0.5%	5.54×	39.34

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Platense never behind	41.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) never behind	35.2%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.0%	50.8%	49.1%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.0%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	60.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	39.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.9%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.1%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.8%	95.5%	99.0%	0.97×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	95.9%	95.5%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 3.5 goals	88.1%	87.7%	86.4%	1.02×	1.14
Over 0.5 goals	84.1%	82.4%	85.2%	0.97×	1.21
Under 2.5 goals	71.4%	72.5%	66.2%	1.10×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	55.9%	58.8%	60.9%	0.97×	1.70
Under 1.5 goals	44.1%	41.2%	39.1%	1.05×	2.43
Over 2.5 goals	28.6%	27.5%	33.8%	0.81×	3.64
Under 0.5 goals	15.9%	17.6%	14.8%	1.19×	5.68
Over 3.5 goals	11.9%	12.3%	13.6%	0.90×	8.10
Over 4.5 goals	4.1%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.20
Over 5.5 goals	1.2%	4.5%	1.0%	4.35×	22.25

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.7%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.8%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	95.5%	97.2%	94.2%	1.03×	1.03
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	85.7%	86.7%	82.9%	1.05×	1.15
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	60.6%	62.1%	53.6%	1.16×	1.61
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	39.4%	37.9%	46.4%	0.82×	2.64
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	14.3%	13.3%	17.1%	0.78×	7.54
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	4.5%	2.8%	5.8%	0.48×	36.10
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.2%	2.8%	1.1%	2.56×	36.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.3%	2.8%	0.5%	5.98×	36.23

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	95.6%	96.3%	—	—	1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half	81.7%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	53.8%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half	46.2%	43.2%	—	—	2.31
Over 1.5 in 1st half	18.3%	13.8%	—	—	7.25
Over 2.5 in 1st half	4.4%	3.7%	—	—	27.38

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	90.3%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	70.2%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	66.2%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	33.8%	32.6%	—	—	3.07
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	29.8%	22.4%	—	—	4.46
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	9.7%	11.4%	—	—	8.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) not to score in both halves	88.0%	85.9%	—	—	1.17
Platense not to score in both halves	85.0%	85.6%	—	—	1.17
Platense to score in both halves	15.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.96
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score in both halves	12.0%	14.1%	—	—	7.07

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	36.9%	39.9%	40.5%	0.98×	2.51
Only Platense scores	26.0%	26.1%	27.8%	0.94×	3.83
Only Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) scores	21.2%	22.3%	17.2%	1.30×	4.48
Neither team scores	15.9%	16.1%	14.8%	1.09×	6.23

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 1 goals	28.1%	25.0%	24.4%	1.02×	4.00
Exactly 2 goals	27.3%	25.0%	27.2%	0.92×	4.00
Exactly 3 goals	16.7%	17.4%	20.3%	0.86×	5.74
Exactly 0 goals	15.9%	17.4%	14.8%	1.18×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	7.8%	7.6%	8.5%	0.90×	13.09
Exactly 5 goals	2.9%	4.4%	4.4%	1.01×	22.68
6 or more goals	1.2%	4.4%	1.0%	4.27×	22.71

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.4%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
No goals in 2nd half	33.8%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
2+ goals in 2nd half	29.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) not to win both halves	94.6%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Platense not to win both halves	92.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Platense to win both halves	7.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.58
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win both halves	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.74

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win neither half	58.7%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Platense to win neither half	52.4%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Platense to win either half	47.6%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win either half	41.3%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) not to win to nil	78.8%	78.1%	82.8%	0.94×	1.28
Platense not to win to nil	74.0%	75.3%	72.2%	1.04×	1.33
Platense to win to nil	26.0%	24.7%	27.8%	0.89×	4.05
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win to nil	21.2%	21.9%	17.2%	1.27×	4.56

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	32.9%	27.7%	30.6%	0.90×	3.62
Platense by 1	22.7%	24.2%	24.3%	0.99×	4.14
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) by 1	19.9%	16.9%	18.7%	0.91×	5.90
Platense by 2	10.1%	11.8%	12.6%	0.93×	8.48
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) by 2	7.8%	7.3%	6.3%	1.15×	13.79
Platense by 3+	4.0%	2.7%	5.0%	0.54×	36.97
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) by 3+	2.6%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	37.01