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Platense v Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Platense win
43.2%
model 42.1%
Draw
29.4%
model 30.3%
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) win
27.4%
model 27.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.8%
  2. 1-0 13.6%
  3. 0-0 12.3%
  4. 0-1 10.3%
  5. 2-0 8.6%

Goals

Over 2.536.4% Under 2.563.6%
BTTS yes43.3% BTTS no56.7%
Platense 1+70.4% Platense 2+34.4%
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 1+60.6% Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 2+23.9%

Expected goals 1.22 – 0.93. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
23/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
2-5 goals
Multi goal · usually 60%
62.1% fair odds 1.61
moderate signal · 3852 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) not to score in both halves
Score both halves
84.3% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 829 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Platense carry the stronger rating, 1457 Elo against 1430.

Risk factors

  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Platense have an estimated 43.2% win probability, against 29.4% for the draw and 27.4% for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero). Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.22 for Platense and 0.93 for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero).

Why Platense

Platense carry the stronger rating, 1457 Elo against 1430.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.4%. A combined 2.15 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) can win

Nothing in the data singles out Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero).

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Platense, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero), so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Platense: 47% possession, 14.4 shots a match, 9.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero): 47% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 17.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Platense's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Platense are the model's most likely outcome at 43.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.8%. Confidence 23/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.22–0.93 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.05–0.87 0-0 15% 30% 39%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense to win 38.5% 36.4% 41.8% 0.87× 2.75
Draw 32.6% 30.4% 30.7% 0.99× 3.29
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win 28.9% 27.9% 27.6% 1.01× 3.58
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense & not both score 26.6% 25.2% 27.7% 0.91× 3.97
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & not both score 19.7% 18.0% 17.1% 1.05× 5.56
Draw & both teams score 17.4% 18.0% 16.0% 1.13× 5.57
Draw & not both score 15.1% 18.0% 14.8% 1.21× 5.57
Platense & both teams score 11.9% 13.3% 14.3% 0.93× 7.54
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & both teams score 9.2% 8.3% 10.6% 0.79× 11.99
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense & under 3.5 32.7% 30.8% 34.8% 0.88× 3.25
Draw & under 2.5 29.1% 26.1% 28.2% 0.93× 3.84
Draw & under 3.5 29.1% 26.1% 28.2% 0.93× 3.84
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & under 3.5 25.1% 26.1% 23.5% 1.11× 3.84
Platense & over 1.5 23.8% 21.6% 27.8% 0.78× 4.63
Platense & under 2.5 22.8% 21.6% 23.6% 0.92× 4.63
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & under 2.5 17.7% 18.0% 14.6% 1.23× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 17.4% 18.0% 16.0% 1.13× 5.56
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & over 1.5 16.8% 18.0% 17.4% 1.03× 5.56
Platense & over 2.5 15.7% 18.0% 18.4% 0.98× 5.56
Draw & under 1.5 15.1% 18.0% 14.8% 1.21× 5.56
Platense & under 1.5 14.7% 12.8% 14.1% 0.91× 7.79
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & under 1.5 12.1% 12.8% 10.3% 1.25× 7.79
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & over 2.5 11.3% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.79
Platense & over 3.5 5.8% 7.9% 7.2% 1.10× 12.63
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) & over 3.5 3.8% 4.8% 4.2% 1.14× 20.82
Draw & over 2.5 3.4% 4.8% 2.6% 1.83× 20.82
Draw & over 3.5 3.4% 4.8% 2.6% 1.83× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense (1UP) 50.9% 52.3% — — 1.91
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (1UP) 42.1% 38.6% — — 2.59
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense (2UP) 38.5% 37.4% — — 2.68
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (2UP) 28.9% 25.3% — — 3.95
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 43.9% 42.1% — — 2.38
Platense to win 2nd half 30.5% 34.0% — — 2.95
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win 2nd half 25.6% 26.0% — — 3.84
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 1.5 in 2nd half 90.2% 91.5% — — 1.09
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 0.5 in 2nd half 59.2% 54.5% — — 1.84
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 0.5 in 2nd half 40.8% 45.5% — — 2.20
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 1.5 in 2nd half 9.8% 8.5% — — 11.75
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense under 1.5 in 2nd half 87.8% 88.8% — — 1.13
Platense under 0.5 in 2nd half 54.8% 55.1% — — 1.82
Platense over 0.5 in 2nd half 45.2% 44.9% — — 2.23
Platense over 1.5 in 2nd half 12.2% 11.2% — — 8.95
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (+2.5) 95.3% 96.3% 95.0% 1.01× 1.04
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (+1.5) 84.5% 82.6% 82.3% 1.00× 1.21
Platense (+0.5) 71.1% 73.6% 72.4% 1.02× 1.36
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (+0.5) 61.5% 62.9% 58.2% 1.08× 1.59
Platense (-0.5) 38.5% 37.1% 41.8% 0.89× 2.70
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (-0.5) 28.9% 26.4% 27.6% 0.96× 3.80
Platense (-1.5) 15.5% 17.4% 17.7% 0.99× 5.74
Platense (-2.5) 4.7% 3.7% 5.0% 0.74× 27.04
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to concede 65.1% 72.2% 68.2% 1.06× 1.38
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet 34.9% 27.8% 31.8% 0.87× 3.60
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet in 1st half 63.6% 64.6% — — 1.55
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to concede in 1st half 36.4% 35.4% — — 2.83
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) clean sheet in 2nd half 54.8% 54.6% — — 1.83
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to concede in 2nd half 45.2% 45.4% — — 2.20
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 6.5 corners 92.7% 89.9% — — 1.11
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 5.5 corners 86.0% 85.2% — — 1.17
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 4.5 corners 75.1% 76.0% — — 1.32
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 2.5 corners 60.3% 61.7% — — 1.62
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 3.5 corners 59.3% 57.2% — — 1.75
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 3.5 corners 40.7% 42.8% — — 2.34
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 2.5 corners 39.7% 38.3% — — 2.61
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 4.5 corners 24.9% 24.0% — — 4.17
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 5.5 corners 14.0% 14.8% — — 6.77
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 6.5 corners 7.3% 10.1% — — 9.90
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 3.5 goals 98.8% 97.5% 98.9% 0.99× 1.03
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 2.5 goals 94.1% 92.4% 93.4% 0.99× 1.08
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 1.5 goals 78.2% 76.3% 78.2% 0.97× 1.31
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 0.5 goals 58.3% 59.4% 57.6% 1.03× 1.68
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 0.5 goals 41.7% 40.6% 42.4% 0.96× 2.47
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 1.5 goals 21.8% 23.7% 21.8% 1.09× 4.21
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 2.5 goals 5.9% 7.6% 6.6% 1.16× 13.09
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 3.5 goals 1.2% 2.5% 1.1% 2.20× 39.91
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 1.5 in 1st half 95.1% 95.9% — — 1.04
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) under 0.5 in 1st half 70.5% 67.7% — — 1.48
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 0.5 in 1st half 29.5% 32.3% — — 3.10
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) over 1.5 in 1st half 4.9% 4.1% — — 24.62
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) scores equally in both 49.7% 48.3% — — 2.07
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) scores more in 2nd half 31.2% 33.2% — — 3.01
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) scores more in 1st half 19.0% 18.2% — — 5.51
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense (away no bet) 54.2% 51.7% 57.7% 0.90× 1.93
Draw (away no bet) 45.8% 48.3% 42.3% 1.14× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) even goals 58.7% 56.9% 58.4% 0.98× 1.76
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) odd goals 41.3% 43.1% 41.6% 1.04× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 94.0% 92.0% — — 1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals 6.0% 8.0% — — 12.51
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals 55.4% 60.1% — — 1.67
Not both halves under 1.5 44.6% 39.9% — — 2.50
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 38.4% 36.5% — — 2.74
Platense to score 2+ in a row 23.6% 19.5% — — 5.12
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score 2+ in a row 17.2% 16.1% — — 6.19
Either team to score 3+ in a row 10.2% 12.1% — — 8.27
Platense to score 3+ in a row 6.4% 5.5% — — 18.27
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score 3+ in a row 3.8% 2.6% — — 38.64
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense corners (+3.5) 95.3% 95.7% — — 1.05
Platense corners (+2.5) 91.5% 89.6% — — 1.12
Platense corners (+1.5) 85.7% 84.5% — — 1.18
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (+3.5) 67.4% 65.9% — — 1.52
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (+2.5) 56.3% 57.2% — — 1.75
Platense corners (-1.5) 55.6% 57.1% — — 1.75
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (+1.5) 44.4% 42.9% — — 2.33
Platense corners (-2.5) 43.7% 42.8% — — 2.33
Platense corners (-3.5) 32.6% 34.1% — — 2.93
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (-1.5) 14.3% 15.5% — — 6.45
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (-2.5) 8.5% 10.4% — — 9.59
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) corners (-3.5) 4.7% 4.3% — — 23.44
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 51.8% 45.3% — — 2.21
9-11 corners 28.4% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 19.8% 22.6% — — 4.43
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 86.3% 83.1% — — 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 80.2% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 72.3% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 9.5 corners 62.7% 63.3% — — 1.58
Over 7.5 corners 59.9% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 8.5 corners 51.8% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 8.5 corners 48.2% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 7.5 corners 40.1% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 9.5 corners 37.3% 36.7% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 27.7% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 11.5 corners 19.8% 19.3% — — 5.17
Over 12.5 corners 13.7% 16.9% — — 5.91
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-0 15.1% 13.8% 14.8% 0.93× 7.24
1-0 14.7% 11.5% 14.1% 0.81× 8.71
1-1 14.0% 11.5% 13.5% 0.85× 8.71
0-1 12.1% 11.5% 10.3% 1.12× 8.71
2-0 8.1% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.51
2-1 7.1% 7.4% 8.7% 0.85× 13.51
0-2 5.6% 7.4% 4.4% 1.66× 13.51
1-2 5.9% 7.4% 7.1% 1.05× 13.51
0-3 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 0.84× 58.31
0-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.6% 3.01× 58.32
1-3 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 0.88× 58.31
1-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.3% 5.01× 58.32
2-2 3.1% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.30
2-3 0.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.16× 58.31
2-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.1% 15.04× 58.32
3-0 2.8% 1.7% 2.7% 0.63× 58.30
3-1 2.5% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.31
3-2 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 1.07× 58.31
3-3 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 5.01× 58.32
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.1% 15.04× 58.32
4-0 0.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.50× 58.31
4-1 0.7% 1.7% 0.8% 2.15× 58.32
4-2 0.3% 1.7% 0.3% 5.01× 58.32
4-3 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.52× 58.32
4-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.2% 7.52× 58.32
Any other score 0.7% 1.7% 0.9% 1.88× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense (2nd half DNB) 54.4% 54.7% — — 1.83
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (2nd half DNB) 45.6% 45.3% — — 2.21
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense leading at HT (DNB) 57.8% 55.6% — — 1.80
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) leading at HT (DNB) 42.2% 44.4% — — 2.25
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense or draw (1X) 71.1% 72.1% 72.4% 1.00× 1.39
Platense or Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (12) 67.4% 69.6% 69.3% 1.00× 1.44
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or draw (X2) 61.5% 63.6% 58.2% 1.09× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense or draw at HT 79.9% 79.7% — — 1.25
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or draw at HT 72.5% 74.5% — — 1.34
Platense or Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at HT 47.6% 51.4% — — 1.95
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense or draw (1UP) 71.1% 79.5% — — 1.26
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or draw (1UP) 61.5% 71.6% — — 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense or draw in 2nd half 74.4% 74.0% — — 1.35
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) or draw in 2nd half 69.5% 66.0% — — 1.51
Platense or Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) in 2nd half 56.1% 57.9% — — 1.73
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 72.7% 70.9% — — 1.41
Neither half drawn 27.3% 29.1% — — 3.44
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense (DNB) 57.1% 58.1% 60.3% 0.96× 1.72
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (DNB) 42.9% 41.9% 39.7% 1.05× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense to score first 46.4% 45.8% — — 2.18
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score first 38.5% 32.8% — — 3.05
No goal scored 15.1% 16.5% — — 6.05
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 61.4% 56.6% 59.4% 0.95× 1.77
Both teams to score 38.6% 43.4% 40.6% 1.07× 2.31
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 55.6% 47.4% 52.8% 0.90× 2.11
Both score & over 2.5 24.6% 27.9% 27.3% 1.02× 3.58
Both score & under 2.5 14.0% 12.4% 13.5% 0.92× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 5.8% 8.3% 6.7% 1.23× 12.08
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 93.8% 89.0% 94.1% 0.95× 1.12
Both teams to score 2+ 6.2% 11.0% 5.9% 1.85× 9.11
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 81.4% 72.9% — — 1.37
Both teams to score in 2nd half 18.6% 27.1% — — 3.69
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 72.5% 68.4% — — 1.46
Both score 2nd half only 16.7% 14.9% — — 6.69
Both score 1st half only 8.9% 6.8% — — 14.66
Both score in both halves 2.0% 4.8% — — 20.77
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 89.1% 85.2% — — 1.17
Both teams to score by HT 10.9% 14.8% — — 6.75
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 62.4% 59.4% — — 1.68
A goal in each half 37.6% 40.6% — — 2.46
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.0% 47.2% 47.3% 1.00× 2.12
0-1 goals 42.0% 42.2% 39.0% 1.08× 2.37
4-6 goals 12.6% 16.9% 13.5% 1.26× 5.90
7+ goals 0.4% 1.8% 0.5% 4.02× 54.53
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score exactly 0 41.7% 37.3% 42.4% 0.88× 2.68
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score exactly 1 36.5% 35.9% 35.9% 1.00× 2.78
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score exactly 2 15.9% 19.5% 15.3% 1.28× 5.12
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score 3+ 5.9% 8.5% 6.6% 1.29× 11.72
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense to score exactly 1 36.7% 35.5% 36.5% 0.97× 2.81
Platense to score exactly 0 34.9% 32.6% 31.8% 1.02× 3.07
Platense to score exactly 2 19.4% 18.8% 21.8% 0.86× 5.32
Platense to score 3+ 9.0% 10.4% 10.1% 1.02× 9.65
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 52.4% 48.6% — — 2.06
Platense leading at HT 27.5% 25.5% — — 3.92
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) leading at HT 20.1% 20.3% — — 4.93
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense -1: 2 61.5% 62.5% — — 1.60
Platense -1: X 23.0% 23.5% — — 4.25
Platense -1: 1 15.5% 17.5% — — 5.72
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (0:1) 61.5% 61.4% 58.2% 1.06× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 23.0% 24.2% 24.3% 1.00× 4.13
Platense (0:1) 15.5% 17.8% 17.7% 1.01× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (0:2) 84.5% 83.0% 82.3% 1.01× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 10.9% 11.0% 12.8% 0.86× 9.11
Platense (0:2) 4.7% 3.8% 5.0% 0.75× 26.63
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (0:3) 95.3% 96.6% 95.0% 1.02× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 3.6% 2.4% 3.4% 0.70× 41.98
Platense (0:3) 1.1% 2.4% 1.7% 1.39× 42.09
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (0:4) 98.9% 98.1% 98.3% 1.00× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 0.97× 81.87
Platense (0:4) 0.2% 1.2% 0.6% 2.14× 81.95
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense (1:0) 71.1% 72.4% 72.4% 1.00× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 18.9% 17.1% 18.6% 0.92× 5.85
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (1:0) 10.0% 12.7% 9.1% 1.39× 7.88
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense (2:0) 90.0% 88.5% 90.9% 0.97× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 7.5% 6.4% 6.3% 1.02× 15.66
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (2:0) 2.5% 2.3% 3.0% 0.77× 43.77
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 42.5% 45.2% — — 2.21
Halves equal 31.9% 31.6% — — 3.17
1st half highest scoring 25.6% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense to concede 58.3% 60.7% 57.6% 1.05× 1.65
Platense clean sheet 41.7% 39.3% 42.4% 0.93× 2.54
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense clean sheet in 1st half 70.5% 66.6% — — 1.50
Platense to concede in 1st half 29.5% 33.4% — — 3.00
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense clean sheet in 2nd half 59.2% 54.9% — — 1.82
Platense to concede in 2nd half 40.8% 45.1% — — 2.22
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense over 2.5 corners 85.3% 86.2% — — 1.16
Platense over 3.5 corners 72.6% 71.9% — — 1.39
Platense under 6.5 corners 69.0% 66.7% — — 1.50
Platense over 4.5 corners 58.0% 57.5% — — 1.74
Platense under 5.5 corners 56.4% 57.5% — — 1.74
Platense over 5.5 corners 43.6% 42.5% — — 2.35
Platense under 4.5 corners 42.0% 42.5% — — 2.35
Platense over 6.5 corners 31.0% 33.3% — — 3.01
Platense under 3.5 corners 27.4% 28.1% — — 3.56
Platense under 2.5 corners 14.7% 13.8% — — 7.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense under 3.5 goals 97.8% 96.4% 97.1% 0.99× 1.04
Platense under 2.5 goals 91.0% 92.2% 89.9% 1.03× 1.09
Platense under 1.5 goals 71.6% 74.2% 68.2% 1.09× 1.35
Platense over 0.5 goals 65.1% 67.9% 68.2% 1.00× 1.47
Platense under 0.5 goals 34.9% 32.1% 31.8% 1.01× 3.12
Platense over 1.5 goals 28.4% 25.8% 31.8% 0.81× 3.88
Platense over 2.5 goals 9.0% 7.8% 10.1% 0.77× 12.82
Platense over 3.5 goals 2.2% 3.6% 2.9% 1.27× 27.59
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense under 1.5 in 1st half 92.4% 94.7% — — 1.06
Platense under 0.5 in 1st half 63.6% 64.4% — — 1.55
Platense over 0.5 in 1st half 36.4% 35.6% — — 2.81
Platense over 1.5 in 1st half 7.6% 5.3% — — 19.03
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense scores equally in both 45.0% 47.1% — — 2.12
Platense scores more in 2nd half 32.4% 33.2% — — 3.01
Platense scores more in 1st half 22.6% 21.0% — — 4.77
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 53.0% 51.4% 52.6% 0.98× 1.94
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) (home no bet) 47.0% 48.6% 47.4% 1.03× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense even goals 56.1% 55.3% 55.6% 0.99× 1.81
Platense odd goals 43.9% 44.7% 44.4% 1.01× 2.24
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 44.9% 40.6% — — 2.46
HT 1-0 20.2% 24.3% — — 4.11
HT 0-1 15.6% 18.5% — — 5.40
HT 1-1 7.2% 6.9% — — 14.55
HT 2-0 4.6% 2.4% — — 42.12
HT 0-2 2.7% 2.4% — — 42.24
HT 2-1 1.6% 2.4% — — 42.32
Any other HT score 1.7% 2.4% — — 42.31
HT 1-2 1.2% 2.4% — — 42.34
HT 2-2 0.3% 2.4% — — 42.40
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 23.6% 21.6% — — 4.62
Platense at HT / Platense at FT 21.4% 21.6% — — 4.63
Draw at HT / Platense at FT 15.7% 16.7% — — 5.97
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at HT / Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at FT 14.5% 12.7% — — 7.88
Draw at HT / Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at FT 13.1% 12.7% — — 7.89
Platense at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% — — 28.86
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at HT / Draw at FT 4.2% 3.5% — — 28.88
Platense at HT / Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at FT 1.3% 3.5% — — 28.99
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) at HT / Platense at FT 1.4% 3.5% — — 28.99
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense to score last 46.4% 46.3% — — 2.16
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score last 38.4% 38.7% — — 2.58
No goal scored 15.1% 12.6% — — 7.95
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 84.9% 88.1% — — 1.14
Platense to lead by 1 at any time 50.9% 50.6% — — 1.98
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to lead by 1 at any time 42.1% 39.2% — — 2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 32.4% 29.7% — — 3.37
Platense to lead by 2 at any time 19.2% 14.9% — — 6.73
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to lead by 2 at any time 13.2% 10.6% — — 9.42
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 8.7% 6.7% — — 14.98
Platense to lead by 3 at any time 5.6% 6.6% — — 15.13
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to lead by 3 at any time 3.2% 1.6% — — 62.18
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense most corners 67.2% 64.5% — — 1.55
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) most corners 22.5% 25.9% — — 3.86
Corners level 10.3% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 83.4% 83.4% 84.3% 0.99× 1.20
1-4 goals 80.2% 83.4% 79.9% 1.04× 1.20
1-3 goals 71.8% 72.3% 71.5% 1.01× 1.38
2-6 goals 57.6% 59.1% 60.7% 0.97× 1.69
2-5 goals 56.6% 59.1% 60.1% 0.98× 1.69
1-2 goals 54.5% 53.2% 51.4% 1.03× 1.88
2-4 goals 53.4% 53.2% 55.8% 0.95× 1.88
2-3 goals 45.0% 48.4% 47.3% 1.02× 2.06
3-6 goals 30.0% 35.2% 33.5% 1.05× 2.84
3-5 goals 29.0% 30.2% 33.0% 0.92× 3.31
3-4 goals 25.7% 30.2% 28.6% 1.06× 3.31
4-6 goals 12.6% 14.8% 13.5% 1.10× 6.76
4-5 goals 11.6% 14.8% 12.9% 1.15× 6.76
5-6 goals 4.3% 2.6% 5.0% 0.51× 39.08
7+ goals 0.4% 2.5% 0.5% 5.59× 39.25
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Platense never behind 42.7% 48.8% — — 2.05
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) never behind 34.0% 36.4% — — 2.75
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.7% 50.9% 48.9% 1.04× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.3% 49.1% 51.1% 0.96× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 60.2% 58.0% — — 1.72
Odd goals in 1st half 39.8% 42.0% — — 2.38
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 55.7% 58.9% — — 1.70
Odd goals in 2nd half 44.3% 41.1% — — 2.43
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 98.6% 95.4% 99.0% 0.96× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 95.4% 95.4% 94.6% 1.01× 1.05
Under 3.5 goals 87.0% 87.6% 86.2% 1.02× 1.14
Over 0.5 goals 84.9% 82.3% 85.2% 0.97× 1.22
Under 2.5 goals 69.6% 66.3% 66.1% 1.00× 1.51
Over 1.5 goals 58.0% 58.6% 61.0% 0.96× 1.71
Under 1.5 goals 42.0% 41.4% 39.0% 1.06× 2.42
Over 2.5 goals 30.4% 33.7% 33.9% 0.99× 2.97
Under 0.5 goals 15.1% 17.7% 14.8% 1.19× 5.66
Over 3.5 goals 13.0% 12.4% 13.8% 0.90× 8.07
Over 4.5 goals 4.6% 4.6% 5.4% 0.86× 21.80
Over 5.5 goals 1.4% 4.6% 1.0% 4.46× 21.85
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 99.6% 97.2% 99.5% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 98.5% 97.2% 98.9% 0.98× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 94.9% 92.4% 94.1% 0.98× 1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 84.3% 81.1% 82.7% 0.98× 1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 58.0% 55.8% 53.5% 1.04× 1.79
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 42.0% 44.2% 46.5% 0.95× 2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 15.7% 18.9% 17.3% 1.09× 5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 5.1% 7.6% 5.9% 1.29× 13.21
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 1.5% 2.8% 1.1% 2.61× 35.65
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 0.4% 2.8% 0.5% 6.11× 35.68
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 95.2% 96.1% — — 1.04
Under 1.5 in 1st half 80.7% 85.6% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half 55.1% 64.5% — — 1.55
Under 0.5 in 1st half 44.9% 35.5% — — 2.82
Over 1.5 in 1st half 19.3% 14.4% — — 6.95
Over 2.5 in 1st half 4.8% 3.9% — — 25.61
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 89.5% 85.5% — — 1.17
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 68.8% 68.6% — — 1.46
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 67.3% 68.5% — — 1.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 32.7% 31.5% — — 3.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 31.2% 31.4% — — 3.18
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 10.5% 14.5% — — 6.89
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) not to score in both halves 88.0% 85.6% — — 1.17
Platense not to score in both halves 83.5% 84.4% — — 1.19
Platense to score in both halves 16.5% 15.6% — — 6.39
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to score in both halves 12.0% 14.4% — — 6.97
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 38.6% 39.9% 40.6% 0.98× 2.51
Only Platense scores 26.6% 26.1% 27.7% 0.94× 3.84
Only Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) scores 19.7% 16.1% 17.1% 0.94× 6.23
Neither team scores 15.1% 16.0% 14.8% 1.08× 6.24
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.6% 24.9% 27.3% 0.91× 4.02
Exactly 1 goals 26.8% 24.9% 24.3% 1.02× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 17.4% 17.5% 20.2% 0.86× 5.73
Exactly 0 goals 15.1% 17.5% 14.8% 1.18× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 8.4% 7.6% 8.6% 0.89× 13.13
Exactly 5 goals 3.2% 4.5% 4.4% 1.01× 22.35
6 or more goals 1.4% 4.5% 1.0% 4.35× 22.38
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 44.9% 40.6% — — 2.46
1 goal in 1st half 35.8% 37.2% — — 2.69
2 goals in 1st half 14.5% 10.9% — — 9.15
3+ goals in 1st half 4.8% 3.9% — — 25.61
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 2nd half 36.1% 39.7% — — 2.52
No goals in 2nd half 32.7% 33.9% — — 2.95
2+ goals in 2nd half 31.2% 33.8% — — 2.96
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) not to win both halves 94.8% 94.2% — — 1.06
Platense not to win both halves 91.5% 94.1% — — 1.06
Platense to win both halves 8.5% 5.9% — — 17.04
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win both halves 5.2% 5.8% — — 17.28
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win neither half 59.6% 59.1% — — 1.69
Platense to win neither half 50.5% 54.3% — — 1.84
Platense to win either half 49.5% 45.7% — — 2.19
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win either half 40.4% 40.9% — — 2.45
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) not to win to nil 80.3% 83.1% 82.9% 1.00× 1.20
Platense not to win to nil 73.4% 75.3% 72.3% 1.04× 1.33
Platense to win to nil 26.6% 24.7% 27.7% 0.89× 4.05
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) to win to nil 19.7% 16.9% 17.1% 0.99× 5.91
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 32.6% 27.7% 30.7% 0.90× 3.61
Platense by 1 23.0% 24.1% 24.3% 0.99× 4.15
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) by 1 18.9% 17.1% 18.6% 0.92× 5.86
Platense by 2 10.9% 11.8% 12.8% 0.92× 8.51
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) by 2 7.5% 7.2% 6.3% 1.15× 13.91
Platense by 3+ 4.7% 2.7% 5.0% 0.54× 36.83
Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) by 3+ 2.5% 2.7% 3.0% 0.91× 36.89
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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