Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 2 November 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Portland Timbers

01:00 UTC

Houston Dynamo

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 182h before kick-off

Portland Timbers win

39.8%

model 38.0%

Draw

28.9%

model 28.1%

Houston Dynamo win

31.2%

model 34.0%

402931

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.4%
1-0 9.7%
0-1 9.0%
0-0 8.6%
2-1 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.6%	Under 2.5	53.4%
BTTS yes	52.3%	BTTS no	47.7%
Portland Timbers 1+	73.1%	Portland Timbers 2+	37.7%
Houston Dynamo 1+	70.7%	Houston Dynamo 2+	34.7%

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.23. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

60/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Under 2.5 goals

Over/Under · usually 40%

52.9% fair odds 1.89

strong signal · 1367 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Houston Dynamo (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%

83.6% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Portland Timbers.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Portland Timbers have an estimated 39.8% win probability, against 31.2% for Houston Dynamo and 28.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.31 for Portland Timbers and 1.23 for Houston Dynamo.

Why Portland Timbers

Nothing in the data singles out Portland Timbers.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.31 to 1.23. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Houston Dynamo can win

Houston Dynamo carry the stronger rating, 1561 Elo against 1489. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Portland Timbers, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Houston Dynamo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Portland Timbers: 47% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 16.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Houston Dynamo: 49% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 11.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Portland Timbers are the model's most likely outcome at 39.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.4%. Confidence 60/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	382834	1.31–1.23	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	402733	1.41–1.25	1-1 13%	50%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to win	39.9%	36.4%	45.3%	0.80×	2.75
Houston Dynamo to win	32.8%	30.4%	30.0%	1.01×	3.29
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	24.8%	1.13×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers & not both score	20.9%	21.8%	21.1%	1.03×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.6%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Portland Timbers & both teams score	19.0%	18.0%	24.4%	0.74×	5.56
Houston Dynamo & not both score	16.9%	18.0%	12.1%	1.49×	5.57
Houston Dynamo & both teams score	15.9%	18.0%	18.0%	1.00×	5.57
Draw & not both score	7.7%	8.3%	5.8%	1.45×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers & over 1.5	30.7%	30.7%	37.2%	0.83×	3.25
Portland Timbers & under 3.5	28.1%	26.1%	28.4%	0.92×	3.84
Houston Dynamo & over 1.5	24.7%	21.6%	23.7%	0.91×	4.63
Portland Timbers & over 2.5	23.8%	21.6%	31.0%	0.70×	4.63
Houston Dynamo & under 3.5	23.6%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.7%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.7%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.6%	18.0%	19.2%	0.94×	5.56
Houston Dynamo & over 2.5	19.2%	18.0%	20.5%	0.88×	5.56
Portland Timbers & under 2.5	16.1%	18.0%	14.4%	1.25×	5.56
Houston Dynamo & under 2.5	13.6%	12.8%	9.6%	1.34×	7.79
Portland Timbers & over 3.5	11.9%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.79
Portland Timbers & under 1.5	9.2%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.63
Houston Dynamo & over 3.5	9.1%	7.9%	11.3%	0.70×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.7%	7.9%	5.8%	1.38×	12.63
Houston Dynamo & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	6.4%	1.23×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.6%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.6%	7.9%	8.9%	0.89×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (1UP)	56.3%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Houston Dynamo (1UP)	50.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (2UP)	39.9%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Houston Dynamo (2UP)	32.8%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.4%	36.2%	—	—	2.76
Portland Timbers to win 2nd half	33.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Houston Dynamo to win 2nd half	30.3%	34.1%	—	—	2.93

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.6%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Houston Dynamo over 0.5 in 2nd half	52.8%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Houston Dynamo under 0.5 in 2nd half	47.2%	47.3%	—	—	2.11
Houston Dynamo over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.4%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.9%	82.6%	—	—	1.21
Portland Timbers over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.1%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Portland Timbers under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Portland Timbers over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.2%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (+2.5)	92.9%	92.1%	89.4%	1.03×	1.09
Houston Dynamo (+1.5)	80.9%	82.5%	76.8%	1.08×	1.21
Portland Timbers (+0.5)	67.2%	68.7%	70.0%	0.98×	1.46
Houston Dynamo (+0.5)	60.1%	62.9%	54.7%	1.15×	1.59
Portland Timbers (-0.5)	39.9%	37.1%	45.3%	0.82×	2.70
Houston Dynamo (-0.5)	32.8%	31.3%	30.0%	1.04×	3.19
Portland Timbers (-1.5)	19.1%	17.5%	23.2%	0.75×	5.73
Portland Timbers (-2.5)	7.1%	7.9%	10.6%	0.74×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to concede	75.5%	78.7%	82.3%	0.96×	1.27
Houston Dynamo clean sheet	24.5%	21.3%	17.7%	1.20×	4.71

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo clean sheet in 1st half	54.7%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Houston Dynamo to concede in 1st half	45.3%	49.4%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to concede in 2nd half	55.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Houston Dynamo clean sheet in 2nd half	44.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo under 6.5 corners	80.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Houston Dynamo over 2.5 corners	76.2%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Houston Dynamo under 5.5 corners	69.5%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Houston Dynamo over 3.5 corners	60.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Houston Dynamo under 4.5 corners	55.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Houston Dynamo over 4.5 corners	44.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Houston Dynamo under 3.5 corners	39.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Houston Dynamo over 5.5 corners	30.5%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Houston Dynamo under 2.5 corners	23.8%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Houston Dynamo over 6.5 corners	19.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.37

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo under 3.5 goals	96.2%	97.5%	94.0%	1.04×	1.03
Houston Dynamo under 2.5 goals	86.8%	87.8%	83.3%	1.05×	1.14
Houston Dynamo over 0.5 goals	71.4%	71.8%	73.3%	0.98×	1.39
Houston Dynamo under 1.5 goals	64.4%	63.2%	61.2%	1.03×	1.58
Houston Dynamo over 1.5 goals	35.6%	36.8%	38.8%	0.95×	2.72
Houston Dynamo under 0.5 goals	28.6%	28.2%	26.7%	1.05×	3.55
Houston Dynamo over 2.5 goals	13.2%	12.2%	16.7%	0.73×	8.20
Houston Dynamo over 3.5 goals	3.8%	2.5%	6.0%	0.42×	39.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
Houston Dynamo under 0.5 in 1st half	60.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Houston Dynamo over 0.5 in 1st half	39.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Houston Dynamo over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	6.3%	—	—	15.99

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo scores equally in both	40.4%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Houston Dynamo scores more in 2nd half	37.6%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Houston Dynamo scores more in 1st half	22.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (away no bet)	59.4%	57.5%	64.6%	0.89×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.6%	42.5%	35.4%	1.20×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo even goals	54.1%	52.6%	53.6%	0.98×	1.90
Houston Dynamo odd goals	45.9%	47.4%	46.4%	1.02×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.1%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.9%	12.2%	—	—	8.19

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.1%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Portland Timbers to score 2+ in a row	32.8%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Houston Dynamo to score 2+ in a row	27.3%	25.0%	—	—	3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.3%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
Portland Timbers to score 3+ in a row	10.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.35
Houston Dynamo to score 3+ in a row	7.9%	5.5%	—	—	18.04

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers corners (+3.5)	88.6%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Portland Timbers corners (+2.5)	82.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Portland Timbers corners (+1.5)	75.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Houston Dynamo corners (+3.5)	74.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Houston Dynamo corners (+2.5)	65.1%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Houston Dynamo corners (+1.5)	55.0%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Portland Timbers corners (-1.5)	45.0%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Portland Timbers corners (-2.5)	34.9%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Portland Timbers corners (-3.5)	26.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Houston Dynamo corners (-1.5)	24.9%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Houston Dynamo corners (-2.5)	17.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95
Houston Dynamo corners (-3.5)	11.4%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	37.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	32.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	75.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.3%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 8.5 corners	62.1%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.8%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.2%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 10.5 corners	41.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	37.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	32.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	27.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	24.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.0%	11.5%	10.4%	1.11×	8.71
1-0	9.2%	7.4%	8.2%	0.90×	13.51
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	10.0%	0.74×	13.51
0-0	7.7%	7.4%	5.8%	1.29×	13.51
0-1	8.1%	7.4%	6.4%	1.15×	13.51
1-2	7.7%	7.4%	7.7%	0.97×	13.51
2-0	6.9%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.51
0-2	5.5%	7.4%	3.3%	2.26×	13.51
2-2	5.4%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.51
0-3	2.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.31
0-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
1-3	3.2%	1.7%	3.4%	0.51×	58.30
1-4	1.0%	1.7%	1.4%	1.27×	58.31
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
3-0	3.2%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.30
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	4.8%	0.35×	58.30
3-2	2.5%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
3-3	1.1%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.54×	58.32
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.31
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.09×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.17×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.80×	58.32
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (2nd half DNB)	52.3%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Houston Dynamo (2nd half DNB)	47.7%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers leading at HT (DNB)	56.1%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Houston Dynamo leading at HT (DNB)	43.9%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo (12)	72.7%	72.1%	75.2%	0.96×	1.39
Portland Timbers or draw (1X)	67.2%	69.6%	70.0%	0.99×	1.44
Houston Dynamo or draw (X2)	60.1%	63.6%	54.7%	1.16×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers or draw at HT	75.5%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Houston Dynamo or draw at HT	68.7%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo at HT	55.8%	57.6%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers or draw (1UP)	67.2%	76.3%	—	—	1.31
Houston Dynamo or draw (1UP)	60.1%	71.4%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers or draw in 2nd half	69.7%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Houston Dynamo or draw in 2nd half	66.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Portland Timbers or Houston Dynamo in 2nd half	63.6%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (DNB)	54.9%	51.0%	60.2%	0.85×	1.96
Houston Dynamo (DNB)	45.1%	49.0%	39.8%	1.23×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to score first	48.8%	46.1%	—	—	2.17
Houston Dynamo to score first	43.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	7.7%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	54.5%	51.3%	61.3%	0.84×	1.95
Not both teams to score	45.5%	48.7%	38.7%	1.26×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.5%	41.6%	51.1%	0.81×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	37.5%	38.4%	29.5%	1.30×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.0%	12.4%	10.4%	1.19×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.0%	8.3%	9.2%	0.90×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	85.4%	85.6%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	14.6%	14.4%	20.5%	0.70×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	70.7%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.3%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.9%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	24.1%	21.0%	—	—	4.76
Both score 1st half only	12.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	5.2%	6.8%	—	—	14.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	53.0%	53.0%	—	—	1.89
A half without a goal	47.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	47.2%	43.0%	1.10×	2.12
4-6 goals	25.7%	26.6%	33.0%	0.80×	3.76
0-1 goals	25.0%	26.6%	20.2%	1.32×	3.76
7+ goals	1.9%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.34

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 1	35.8%	35.9%	34.6%	1.04×	2.78
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 0	28.6%	27.4%	26.7%	1.03×	3.65
Houston Dynamo to score exactly 2	22.4%	22.3%	22.2%	1.00×	4.49
Houston Dynamo to score 3+	13.2%	12.9%	16.7%	0.77×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to score exactly 1	34.5%	32.6%	31.1%	1.05×	3.07
Portland Timbers to score exactly 0	24.5%	23.3%	17.7%	1.32×	4.29
Portland Timbers to score exactly 2	24.2%	23.3%	26.4%	0.88×	4.29
Portland Timbers to score 3+	16.8%	18.8%	25.0%	0.75×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.2%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Portland Timbers leading at HT	31.3%	32.8%	—	—	3.04
Houston Dynamo leading at HT	24.5%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers -1: 2	60.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Portland Timbers -1: X	20.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Portland Timbers -1: 1	19.1%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (0:1)	60.1%	61.3%	54.7%	1.12×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	20.8%	24.2%	22.2%	1.09×	4.13
Portland Timbers (0:1)	19.1%	17.8%	23.2%	0.77×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (0:2)	80.9%	82.9%	76.8%	1.08×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.0%	11.0%	12.7%	0.86×	9.10
Portland Timbers (0:2)	7.1%	7.7%	10.6%	0.72×	13.05

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (0:3)	92.9%	92.7%	89.4%	1.04×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.0%	2.4%	6.7%	0.36×	42.01
Portland Timbers (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	4.1%	0.58×	42.13

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (0:4)	97.9%	98.1%	95.9%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	2.0%	0.60×	81.99
Portland Timbers (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	82.11

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (1:0)	67.2%	70.1%	70.0%	1.00×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.5%	17.1%	17.1%	1.00×	5.85
Houston Dynamo (1:0)	14.3%	12.7%	13.0%	0.98×	7.86

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (2:0)	85.7%	88.5%	87.0%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	9.5%	6.4%	8.6%	0.75×	15.65
Houston Dynamo (2:0)	4.8%	2.3%	4.5%	0.51×	43.59

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.1%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82
Halves equal	26.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to concede	71.4%	73.1%	73.3%	1.00×	1.37
Portland Timbers clean sheet	28.6%	26.9%	26.7%	1.01×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers clean sheet in 1st half	60.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Portland Timbers to concede in 1st half	39.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to concede in 2nd half	52.8%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Portland Timbers clean sheet in 2nd half	47.2%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers over 2.5 corners	85.6%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Portland Timbers over 3.5 corners	73.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Portland Timbers under 6.5 corners	66.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Portland Timbers over 4.5 corners	59.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Portland Timbers under 5.5 corners	54.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Portland Timbers over 5.5 corners	45.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Portland Timbers under 4.5 corners	40.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Portland Timbers over 6.5 corners	33.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Portland Timbers under 3.5 corners	26.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Portland Timbers under 2.5 corners	14.4%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers under 3.5 goals	94.6%	92.2%	90.6%	1.02×	1.08
Portland Timbers under 2.5 goals	83.2%	82.2%	75.0%	1.10×	1.22
Portland Timbers over 0.5 goals	75.5%	77.7%	82.3%	0.94×	1.29
Portland Timbers under 1.5 goals	59.0%	58.6%	48.7%	1.20×	1.71
Portland Timbers over 1.5 goals	41.0%	41.4%	51.3%	0.81×	2.42
Portland Timbers under 0.5 goals	24.5%	22.3%	17.7%	1.26×	4.49
Portland Timbers over 2.5 goals	16.8%	17.8%	25.0%	0.71×	5.63
Portland Timbers over 3.5 goals	5.4%	7.8%	9.4%	0.83×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers under 1.5 in 1st half	87.7%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Portland Timbers under 0.5 in 1st half	54.7%	50.4%	—	—	1.98
Portland Timbers over 0.5 in 1st half	45.3%	49.6%	—	—	2.02
Portland Timbers over 1.5 in 1st half	12.3%	9.8%	—	—	10.16

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers scores equally in both	37.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.64
Portland Timbers scores more in 2nd half	36.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Portland Timbers scores more in 1st half	25.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo (home no bet)	54.6%	51.4%	54.7%	0.94×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	45.4%	48.6%	45.3%	1.07×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers even goals	53.0%	50.7%	51.0%	1.00×	1.97
Portland Timbers odd goals	47.0%	49.3%	49.0%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	33.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
HT 1-0	19.9%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 0-1	16.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 1-1	10.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 2-0	6.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.48
HT 0-2	4.1%	2.4%	—	—	41.94
Any other HT score	3.8%	2.4%	—	—	41.96
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.01
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.04
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.16

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers at HT / Portland Timbers at FT	23.4%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Houston Dynamo at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	17.4%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Portland Timbers at FT	14.3%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	13.0%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Portland Timbers at HT / Draw at FT	5.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.49
Houston Dynamo at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Portland Timbers at HT / Houston Dynamo at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Houston Dynamo at HT / Portland Timbers at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to score last	48.9%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Houston Dynamo to score last	43.5%	40.2%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	7.7%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Portland Timbers to lead by 1 at any time	56.3%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Houston Dynamo to lead by 1 at any time	50.1%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.9%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Portland Timbers to lead by 2 at any time	25.2%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Houston Dynamo to lead by 2 at any time	19.9%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.73
Portland Timbers to lead by 3 at any time	8.9%	6.7%	—	—	14.89
Houston Dynamo to lead by 3 at any time	6.3%	6.7%	—	—	15.01

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers most corners	55.6%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Houston Dynamo most corners	34.1%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.3%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	83.4%	1.05×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.3%	78.7%	73.2%	1.08×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.1%	72.4%	75.9%	0.95×	1.38
2-5 goals	69.7%	68.8%	69.0%	1.00×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.7%	63.3%	57.4%	1.10×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.9%	63.3%	58.7%	1.08×	1.58
3-6 goals	47.7%	48.5%	56.3%	0.86×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.5%	43.0%	1.13×	2.06
3-5 goals	44.2%	43.6%	49.4%	0.88×	2.29
1-2 goals	42.8%	43.6%	34.2%	1.28×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.5%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	25.7%	30.2%	33.0%	0.91×	3.31
4-5 goals	22.3%	24.5%	26.2%	0.94×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.2%	14.8%	17.2%	0.86×	6.76
7+ goals	1.9%	2.6%	4.1%	0.63×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers never behind	42.2%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Houston Dynamo never behind	36.0%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.5%	50.9%	50.5%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.5%	49.1%	49.5%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	94.3%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.9%	87.6%	78.8%	1.11×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	75.0%	72.5%	79.8%	0.91×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	72.4%	72.5%	63.0%	1.15×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	50.4%	52.5%	39.8%	1.32×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	49.6%	47.5%	60.2%	0.79×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	27.6%	27.5%	37.0%	0.74×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	25.0%	27.5%	20.2%	1.36×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	13.1%	12.4%	21.2%	0.59×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	5.8%	1.34×	12.95
Over 5.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	10.9%	0.71×	12.96

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.0%	97.2%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.2%	92.4%	87.8%	1.05×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	84.7%	81.1%	74.8%	1.08×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	66.4%	67.4%	74.9%	0.90×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	64.6%	62.0%	51.8%	1.20×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	35.4%	38.0%	48.2%	0.79×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	33.6%	32.6%	25.1%	1.30×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	15.3%	18.9%	25.2%	0.75×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.8%	7.6%	12.2%	0.62×	13.18
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.0%	2.8%	4.4%	0.64×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.0%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	69.6%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	66.8%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	33.2%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	30.4%	31.4%	—	—	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	79.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	21.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo not to score in both halves	79.2%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
Portland Timbers not to score in both halves	75.0%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Portland Timbers to score in both halves	25.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Houston Dynamo to score in both halves	20.8%	21.4%	—	—	4.67

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	54.5%	53.9%	61.3%	0.88×	1.86
Only Portland Timbers scores	20.9%	22.3%	21.1%	1.06×	4.49
Only Houston Dynamo scores	16.9%	16.0%	12.1%	1.33×	6.24
Neither team scores	7.7%	7.1%	5.8%	1.24×	14.03

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.4%	24.9%	19.7%	1.26×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.4%	17.5%	14.5%	1.20×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.6%	12.1%	15.9%	0.76×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	7.7%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	7.7%	7.6%	10.4%	0.73×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.3%	7.6%	10.9%	0.70×	13.15

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	33.2%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.3%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	10.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	46.1%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.4%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
No goals in 2nd half	21.4%	22.6%	—	—	4.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo not to win both halves	92.5%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Portland Timbers not to win both halves	89.5%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Portland Timbers to win both halves	10.5%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Houston Dynamo to win both halves	7.5%	5.9%	—	—	17.05

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to win either half	54.0%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Houston Dynamo to win neither half	52.7%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Houston Dynamo to win either half	47.3%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Portland Timbers to win neither half	46.0%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Houston Dynamo not to win to nil	83.1%	83.1%	87.9%	0.95×	1.20
Portland Timbers not to win to nil	79.1%	78.1%	78.9%	0.99×	1.28
Portland Timbers to win to nil	20.9%	21.9%	21.1%	1.04×	4.57
Houston Dynamo to win to nil	16.9%	16.9%	12.1%	1.40×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	27.3%	27.9%	24.8%	1.12×	3.59
Portland Timbers by 1	20.8%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.15
Houston Dynamo by 1	18.5%	17.1%	17.1%	0.99×	5.87
Portland Timbers by 2	12.0%	11.8%	12.7%	0.92×	8.51
Houston Dynamo by 2	9.5%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.90
Portland Timbers by 3+	7.1%	7.2%	10.6%	0.68×	13.91
Houston Dynamo by 3+	4.8%	2.7%	4.5%	0.60×	36.78