Portland Timbers v St. Louis City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 10 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Portland Timbers

22:30

St. Louis City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 91h before kick-off

Portland Timbers win

47.0%

model 42.2%

Draw

22.8%

model 24.6%

St. Louis City win

30.2%

model 33.3%

472330

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (487 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.2%
2-1 8.9%
1-2 7.8%
1-0 6.9%
2-2 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.3%	Under 2.5	39.7%
BTTS yes	62.6%	BTTS no	37.4%
Portland Timbers 1+	81.0%	Portland Timbers 2+	49.5%
St. Louis City 1+	76.7%	St. Louis City 2+	42.7%

Expected goals 1.66 – 1.46. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

2-5 goals

Multi goal · usually 69%

73.5% fair odds 1.36

moderate signal · 2591 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Portland Timbers (2:0)

Handicap 2:0 · usually 87%

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 326 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Portland Timbers.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Portland Timbers have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 30.2% for St. Louis City and 22.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.66 for Portland Timbers and 1.46 for St. Louis City.

Why Portland Timbers

Nothing in the data singles out Portland Timbers.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.66 to 1.46. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why St. Louis City can win

St. Louis City carry the stronger rating, 1541 Elo against 1489. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Portland Timbers, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for St. Louis City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Portland Timbers: 47% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 17.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St. Louis City: 53% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Portland Timbers are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	422533	1.66–1.46	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	482329	1.86–1.41	1-1 10%	63%	64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to win	47.8%	47.5%	45.4%	1.05×	2.11
St. Louis City to win	28.8%	27.9%	29.9%	0.93×	3.59
Draw	23.4%	24.5%	24.9%	0.98×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers & both teams score	27.6%	25.2%	24.4%	1.03×	3.97
Portland Timbers & not both score	20.2%	21.9%	21.1%	1.04×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.2%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
St. Louis City & both teams score	17.5%	17.9%	17.8%	1.01×	5.58
St. Louis City & not both score	11.3%	13.3%	12.3%	1.08×	7.55
Draw & not both score	4.2%	4.9%	5.8%	0.83×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers & over 1.5	41.1%	40.3%	37.1%	1.09×	2.48
Portland Timbers & over 2.5	34.5%	30.9%	30.9%	1.00×	3.24
Portland Timbers & under 3.5	26.6%	26.0%	28.3%	0.92×	3.84
St. Louis City & over 1.5	23.9%	21.7%	23.5%	0.92×	4.62
Portland Timbers & over 3.5	21.2%	21.7%	17.2%	1.26×	4.62
St. Louis City & over 2.5	20.1%	21.7%	20.3%	1.07×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.2%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
St. Louis City & under 3.5	17.5%	18.0%	18.8%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.6%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	14.6%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
Portland Timbers & under 2.5	13.2%	12.9%	14.5%	0.88×	7.77
St. Louis City & over 3.5	11.3%	12.9%	11.2%	1.15×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	8.8%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
Draw & over 3.5	8.8%	7.9%	8.9%	0.88×	12.69
St. Louis City & under 2.5	8.7%	7.9%	9.7%	0.81×	12.69
Portland Timbers & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.70
St. Louis City & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	6.5%	0.73×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	4.2%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (1UP)	65.2%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
St. Louis City (1UP)	49.3%	43.4%	—	—	2.31

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (2UP)	47.8%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
St. Louis City (2UP)	28.8%	25.0%	—	—	4.01

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to win 2nd half	39.8%	36.2%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	31.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
St. Louis City to win 2nd half	28.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (+2.5)	87.8%	88.5%	89.5%	0.99×	1.13
St. Louis City (+1.5)	73.2%	73.7%	76.7%	0.96×	1.36
Portland Timbers (+0.5)	71.2%	73.7%	70.1%	1.05×	1.36
St. Louis City (+0.5)	52.2%	52.3%	54.6%	0.96×	1.91
Portland Timbers (-0.5)	47.8%	47.7%	45.4%	1.05×	2.10
St. Louis City (-0.5)	28.8%	26.3%	29.9%	0.88×	3.80
Portland Timbers (-1.5)	26.8%	26.3%	23.3%	1.13×	3.80
Portland Timbers (-2.5)	12.2%	11.5%	10.5%	1.09×	8.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to concede	84.4%	81.4%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
St. Louis City clean sheet	15.6%	18.6%	18.0%	1.04×	5.36

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to concede in 1st half	55.1%	58.3%	—	—	1.71
St. Louis City clean sheet in 1st half	44.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City over 2.5 corners	83.4%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
St. Louis City over 3.5 corners	70.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
St. Louis City under 6.5 corners	70.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
St. Louis City under 5.5 corners	58.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
St. Louis City over 4.5 corners	55.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
St. Louis City under 4.5 corners	44.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
St. Louis City over 5.5 corners	41.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
St. Louis City under 3.5 corners	29.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
St. Louis City over 6.5 corners	29.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
St. Louis City under 2.5 corners	16.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City under 3.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	93.9%	0.98×	1.08
St. Louis City under 2.5 goals	83.2%	81.4%	83.3%	0.98×	1.23
St. Louis City over 0.5 goals	75.5%	76.2%	73.2%	1.04×	1.31
St. Louis City under 1.5 goals	58.9%	59.5%	61.3%	0.97×	1.68
St. Louis City over 1.5 goals	41.1%	40.5%	38.7%	1.05×	2.47
St. Louis City under 0.5 goals	24.5%	23.8%	26.8%	0.89×	4.21
St. Louis City over 2.5 goals	16.8%	18.6%	16.7%	1.11×	5.38
St. Louis City over 3.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	6.1%	1.26×	13.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City under 1.5 in 1st half	89.0%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
St. Louis City under 0.5 in 1st half	56.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
St. Louis City over 0.5 in 1st half	43.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
St. Louis City over 1.5 in 1st half	11.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.20

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (away no bet)	67.1%	66.4%	64.6%	1.03×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.9%	33.6%	35.4%	0.95×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City even goals	53.0%	52.8%	53.6%	0.98×	1.89
St. Louis City odd goals	47.0%	47.2%	46.4%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.6%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.4%	17.8%	—	—	5.61

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.1%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.9%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	65.2%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Portland Timbers to score 2+ in a row	45.1%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
St. Louis City to score 2+ in a row	29.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Either team to score 3+ in a row	26.4%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Portland Timbers to score 3+ in a row	18.2%	16.4%	—	—	6.12
St. Louis City to score 3+ in a row	8.8%	5.7%	—	—	17.58

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers corners (+3.5)	82.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
St. Louis City corners (+3.5)	80.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Portland Timbers corners (+2.5)	74.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
St. Louis City corners (+2.5)	72.7%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Portland Timbers corners (+1.5)	66.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
St. Louis City corners (+1.5)	63.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Portland Timbers corners (-1.5)	36.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
St. Louis City corners (-1.5)	33.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Portland Timbers corners (-2.5)	27.3%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
St. Louis City corners (-2.5)	25.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Portland Timbers corners (-3.5)	19.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
St. Louis City corners (-3.5)	18.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	38.5%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
0-8 corners	32.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	69.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	67.6%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	61.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	57.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	52.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	47.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	42.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	38.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	32.4%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	30.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	23.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	10.4%	11.5%	10.3%	1.11×	8.73
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
1-0	6.7%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.48
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	7.4%	1.00×	13.48
2-0	6.6%	7.4%	6.3%	1.18×	13.48
2-2	6.5%	7.4%	6.1%	1.22×	13.48
3-1	5.8%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.48
Any other score	5.5%	7.4%	4.7%	1.58×	13.48
0-1	4.9%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.46
0-0	4.2%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.47
0-2	3.8%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.47
0-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.48
0-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
1-3	3.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.47
1-4	1.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.48
2-3	3.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.47
2-4	1.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
3-0	4.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.47
3-2	4.0%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.47
3-3	1.9%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.49
4-0	1.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.48
4-1	2.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.47
4-2	1.9%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
4-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.48
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers leading at HT (DNB)	61.7%	65.7%	—	—	1.52
St. Louis City leading at HT (DNB)	38.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers or St. Louis City (12)	76.6%	75.5%	75.1%	1.01×	1.32
Portland Timbers or draw (1X)	71.2%	72.1%	70.1%	1.03×	1.39
St. Louis City or draw (X2)	52.2%	52.5%	54.6%	0.96×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers or draw at HT	76.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
St. Louis City or draw at HT	62.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Portland Timbers or St. Louis City at HT	61.4%	62.1%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers or draw (1UP)	71.2%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
St. Louis City or draw (1UP)	52.2%	59.3%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers or draw in 2nd half	71.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Portland Timbers or St. Louis City in 2nd half	68.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
St. Louis City or draw in 2nd half	60.2%	63.8%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	42.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (DNB)	62.4%	62.8%	60.3%	1.04×	1.59
St. Louis City (DNB)	37.6%	37.2%	39.7%	0.94×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to score first	54.5%	53.9%	—	—	1.85
St. Louis City to score first	41.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	4.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.23

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	64.2%	56.5%	61.1%	0.93×	1.77
Not both teams to score	35.8%	43.5%	38.9%	1.12×	2.30

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	53.8%	47.1%	50.9%	0.93×	2.12
Not both score & under 2.5	26.2%	33.6%	29.9%	1.12×	2.98
Both score & under 2.5	10.4%	12.3%	10.3%	1.20×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.6%	8.4%	9.2%	0.91×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	77.2%	79.9%	79.5%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	22.8%	20.1%	20.5%	0.98×	4.98

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	62.6%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	37.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	47.6%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Both score 2nd half only	28.6%	26.6%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	14.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.26
Both score in both halves	8.8%	6.8%	—	—	14.65

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	76.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	23.8%	18.6%	—	—	5.39

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	63.5%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	36.5%	41.1%	—	—	2.44

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.9%	42.1%	42.5%	0.99×	2.38
4-6 goals	36.4%	35.1%	33.1%	1.06×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.8%	20.2%	20.5%	0.98×	4.96
7+ goals	4.9%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.30

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City to score exactly 1	34.4%	33.8%	34.6%	0.98×	2.96
St. Louis City to score exactly 0	24.5%	22.4%	26.8%	0.84×	4.46
St. Louis City to score exactly 2	24.2%	22.4%	22.1%	1.01×	4.46
St. Louis City to score 3+	16.8%	19.6%	16.7%	1.17×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to score exactly 1	29.0%	26.5%	31.0%	0.86×	3.77
Portland Timbers to score 3+	28.5%	26.5%	25.2%	1.05×	3.77
Portland Timbers to score exactly 2	26.9%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
Portland Timbers to score exactly 0	15.6%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.30

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	38.6%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Portland Timbers leading at HT	37.8%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
St. Louis City leading at HT	23.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers -1: 2	52.2%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Portland Timbers -1: 1	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Portland Timbers -1: X	21.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (0:1)	52.2%	51.1%	54.6%	0.94×	1.96
Portland Timbers (0:1)	26.8%	27.0%	23.3%	1.16×	3.71
Draw (0:1)	21.0%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (0:2)	73.2%	75.7%	76.7%	0.99×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	14.6%	11.0%	12.8%	0.86×	9.11
Portland Timbers (0:2)	12.2%	11.0%	10.5%	1.04×	9.12

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (0:3)	87.8%	90.8%	89.5%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.6%	5.8%	6.6%	0.88×	17.16
Portland Timbers (0:3)	4.6%	2.4%	4.0%	0.59×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (0:4)	95.4%	98.1%	96.0%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	3.1%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.31
Portland Timbers (0:4)	1.5%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	83.51

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (1:0)	71.2%	72.5%	70.1%	1.03×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	15.8%	17.0%	16.8%	1.01×	5.88
St. Louis City (1:0)	13.0%	12.8%	13.2%	0.97×	7.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers (2:0)	87.0%	88.4%	86.8%	1.02×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.4%	6.5%	8.7%	0.74×	15.47
St. Louis City (2:0)	4.7%	2.3%	4.6%	0.50×	44.07

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to concede	75.5%	75.9%	73.2%	1.04×	1.32
Portland Timbers clean sheet	24.5%	24.1%	26.8%	0.90×	4.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers clean sheet in 1st half	56.9%	62.3%	—	—	1.60
Portland Timbers to concede in 1st half	43.1%	37.7%	—	—	2.65

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers over 2.5 corners	84.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Portland Timbers over 3.5 corners	71.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Portland Timbers under 6.5 corners	68.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Portland Timbers over 4.5 corners	57.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Portland Timbers under 5.5 corners	56.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Portland Timbers over 5.5 corners	43.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Portland Timbers under 4.5 corners	42.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Portland Timbers over 6.5 corners	31.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Portland Timbers under 3.5 corners	28.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Portland Timbers under 2.5 corners	15.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers under 3.5 goals	88.2%	87.3%	90.6%	0.96×	1.15
Portland Timbers over 0.5 goals	84.4%	82.1%	82.0%	1.00×	1.22
Portland Timbers under 2.5 goals	71.5%	74.2%	74.8%	0.99×	1.35
Portland Timbers over 1.5 goals	55.5%	58.8%	51.1%	1.15×	1.70
Portland Timbers under 1.5 goals	44.5%	41.2%	48.9%	0.84×	2.43
Portland Timbers over 2.5 goals	28.5%	25.8%	25.2%	1.03×	3.87
Portland Timbers under 0.5 goals	15.6%	17.9%	18.0%	0.99×	5.59
Portland Timbers over 3.5 goals	11.8%	12.7%	9.4%	1.36×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers under 1.5 in 1st half	80.9%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Portland Timbers over 0.5 in 1st half	55.1%	58.0%	—	—	1.73
Portland Timbers under 0.5 in 1st half	44.9%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
Portland Timbers over 1.5 in 1st half	19.1%	15.9%	—	—	6.31

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City (home no bet)	55.1%	56.7%	54.6%	1.04×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.9%	43.4%	45.4%	0.95×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers even goals	51.2%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Portland Timbers odd goals	48.8%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	25.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.48
HT 1-0	20.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
HT 0-1	14.3%	10.9%	—	—	9.14
HT 1-1	11.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 2-0	8.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
Any other HT score	6.6%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 2-1	4.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.27
HT 0-2	4.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.31
HT 1-2	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.37
HT 2-2	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.52

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers at HT / Portland Timbers at FT	29.5%	26.9%	—	—	3.71
St. Louis City at HT / St. Louis City at FT	15.5%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Portland Timbers at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / St. Louis City at FT	10.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Portland Timbers at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
St. Louis City at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
St. Louis City at HT / Portland Timbers at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Portland Timbers at HT / St. Louis City at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to score last	54.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
St. Louis City to score last	41.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	4.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.23

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.8%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Portland Timbers to lead by 1 at any time	65.2%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.5%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
St. Louis City to lead by 1 at any time	49.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Portland Timbers to lead by 2 at any time	34.9%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	22.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
St. Louis City to lead by 2 at any time	20.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Portland Timbers to lead by 3 at any time	15.4%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
St. Louis City to lead by 3 at any time	6.7%	6.6%	—	—	15.10

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers most corners	46.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
St. Louis City most corners	43.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.62

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.4%	83.5%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.3%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
1-4 goals	72.6%	72.4%	73.1%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	72.9%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.0%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.5%	59.2%	55.9%	1.06×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.5%	53.2%	57.2%	0.93×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.1%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.9%	43.6%	42.5%	1.03×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	38.8%	1.12×	2.30
4-6 goals	36.4%	39.1%	33.1%	1.18×	2.56
1-2 goals	32.4%	35.4%	34.4%	1.03×	2.83
4-5 goals	29.9%	30.3%	26.1%	1.16×	3.31
5-6 goals	18.3%	18.6%	17.2%	1.08×	5.37
7+ goals	4.9%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.11

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers never behind	46.5%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
St. Louis City never behind	30.6%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.8%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.7%	87.7%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.2%	82.4%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	76.9%	77.3%	78.8%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	63.4%	61.8%	59.9%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	58.8%	58.8%	62.9%	0.94×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	41.2%	41.2%	37.1%	1.11×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	36.6%	38.2%	40.1%	0.95×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	23.1%	22.7%	21.2%	1.07×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	15.8%	17.6%	20.5%	0.86×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	11.3%	12.3%	11.1%	1.11×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	4.2%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.8%	92.5%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	87.2%	86.7%	87.6%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.0%	81.0%	74.5%	1.09×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	71.7%	72.6%	74.8%	0.97×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.0%	51.8%	48.1%	1.08×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	47.0%	48.2%	51.9%	0.93×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	28.3%	27.4%	25.2%	1.09×	3.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	20.0%	19.0%	25.5%	0.74×	5.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	12.8%	13.3%	12.4%	1.07×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.2%	7.5%	4.4%	1.70×	13.28

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	84.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	74.3%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	60.4%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half	39.6%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half	25.7%	28.7%	—	—	3.48
Over 2.5 in 1st half	15.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.0%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.2%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.8%	22.4%	—	—	4.46
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City not to score in both halves	75.4%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Portland Timbers not to score in both halves	64.0%	63.5%	—	—	1.57
Portland Timbers to score in both halves	36.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
St. Louis City to score in both halves	24.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	64.2%	60.3%	61.1%	0.99×	1.66
Only Portland Timbers scores	20.2%	22.3%	21.1%	1.06×	4.48
Only St. Louis City scores	11.3%	10.9%	12.3%	0.89×	9.15
Neither team scores	4.2%	4.6%	5.8%	0.79×	21.81

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	20.8%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	18.1%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	11.6%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	11.8%	12.1%	10.2%	1.19×	8.28
6 or more goals	11.3%	12.1%	11.1%	1.09×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	4.2%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
1 goal in 2nd half	28.1%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	15.0%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City not to win both halves	93.3%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Portland Timbers not to win both halves	84.8%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Portland Timbers to win both halves	15.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.39
St. Louis City to win both halves	6.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.58

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portland Timbers to win either half	62.5%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
St. Louis City to win neither half	54.8%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
St. Louis City to win either half	45.2%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Portland Timbers to win neither half	37.5%	34.9%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St. Louis City not to win to nil	88.7%	88.2%	87.7%	1.01×	1.13
Portland Timbers not to win to nil	79.8%	78.1%	78.9%	0.99×	1.28
Portland Timbers to win to nil	20.2%	21.9%	21.1%	1.04×	4.56
St. Louis City to win to nil	11.3%	11.8%	12.3%	0.96×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.4%	24.2%	24.9%	0.97×	4.14
Portland Timbers by 1	21.0%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
St. Louis City by 1	15.8%	16.9%	16.8%	1.01×	5.91
Portland Timbers by 2	14.6%	11.8%	12.8%	0.92×	8.47
Portland Timbers by 3+	12.2%	11.8%	10.5%	1.12×	8.48
St. Louis City by 2	8.4%	7.3%	8.7%	0.83×	13.78
St. Louis City by 3+	4.7%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	36.93