Portsmouth v Birmingham City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Portsmouth

15:00 UTC

Birmingham City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,180h before kick-off

Portsmouth win

31.2%

model 32.1%

Draw

28.9%

model 28.8%

Birmingham City win

39.9%

model 39.1%

312940

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.7%
1-2 8.7%
0-0 8.3%
0-1 8.2%
2-1 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	50.2%	Under 2.5	49.8%
BTTS yes	55.8%	BTTS no	44.2%
Portsmouth 1+	71.8%	Portsmouth 2+	36.1%
Birmingham City 1+	75.8%	Birmingham City 2+	41.4%

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.42. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

43/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Birmingham City (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 57%

68.7% fair odds 1.46

moderate signal · 1169 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Portsmouth not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 77%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Birmingham City carry the stronger rating, 1496 Elo against 1410.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Birmingham City have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.2% for Portsmouth and 28.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.26 for Portsmouth and 1.42 for Birmingham City.

Why Portsmouth

Nothing in the data singles out Portsmouth.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.26 to 1.42. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Birmingham City can win

Birmingham City carry the stronger rating, 1496 Elo against 1410.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Portsmouth, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Birmingham City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Portsmouth: 57% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Birmingham City: 46% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Birmingham City are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.7%. Confidence 43/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	322939	1.27–1.42	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	262944	1.05–1.44	1-1 14%	46%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City to win	44.5%	43.0%	29.1%	1.48×	2.33
Draw	29.4%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.58
Portsmouth to win	26.1%	27.9%	43.4%	0.64×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City & not both score	25.1%	25.2%	15.2%	1.65×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	19.7%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Birmingham City & both teams score	19.4%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Portsmouth & not both score	13.9%	13.3%	23.3%	0.57×	7.53
Portsmouth & both teams score	12.2%	13.3%	20.2%	0.66×	7.54
Draw & not both score	9.7%	8.3%	7.3%	1.14×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City & over 1.5	34.1%	30.8%	21.4%	1.44×	3.25
Birmingham City & under 3.5	32.1%	30.8%	22.3%	1.38×	3.25
Birmingham City & over 2.5	25.5%	26.1%	16.2%	1.61×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	23.8%	21.6%	21.8%	0.99×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.8%	21.6%	21.8%	0.99×	4.63
Portsmouth & under 3.5	20.0%	18.0%	32.4%	0.56×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	19.7%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Portsmouth & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	32.5%	0.55×	5.56
Birmingham City & under 2.5	18.9%	18.0%	12.9%	1.39×	5.56
Portsmouth & over 2.5	14.3%	12.8%	26.4%	0.49×	7.79
Birmingham City & over 3.5	12.4%	12.8%	6.8%	1.89×	7.79
Portsmouth & under 2.5	11.8%	12.8%	17.1%	0.75×	7.79
Birmingham City & under 1.5	10.4%	12.8%	7.7%	1.66×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	9.7%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Portsmouth & under 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63
Portsmouth & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.6%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (1UP)	59.5%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Portsmouth (1UP)	43.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (2UP)	44.5%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Portsmouth (2UP)	26.1%	25.1%	—	—	3.99

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City to win 2nd half	38.9%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	37.8%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Portsmouth to win 2nd half	23.3%	24.1%	—	—	4.14

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City under 1.5 in 2nd half	78.5%	79.0%	—	—	1.27
Birmingham City over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.9%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Birmingham City under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.1%	45.4%	—	—	2.20
Birmingham City over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.5%	21.0%	—	—	4.77

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.8%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Portsmouth under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Portsmouth over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.2%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Portsmouth over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.2%	11.6%	—	—	8.62

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (+2.5)	97.0%	96.3%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Birmingham City (+1.5)	89.6%	88.5%	80.7%	1.10×	1.13
Birmingham City (+0.5)	73.9%	73.7%	56.6%	1.30×	1.36
Portsmouth (+0.5)	55.5%	57.0%	70.9%	0.80×	1.75
Birmingham City (-0.5)	44.5%	43.0%	29.1%	1.48×	2.33
Portsmouth (-0.5)	26.1%	26.3%	43.4%	0.61×	3.80
Portsmouth (-1.5)	10.4%	11.5%	19.3%	0.60×	8.68
Portsmouth (-2.5)	3.0%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	27.11

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City to concede	65.1%	72.3%	77.6%	0.93×	1.38
Birmingham City clean sheet	34.9%	27.7%	22.4%	1.24×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City clean sheet in 1st half	63.6%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Birmingham City to concede in 1st half	36.4%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City clean sheet in 2nd half	54.8%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Birmingham City to concede in 2nd half	45.2%	44.9%	—	—	2.23

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City over 2.5 corners	82.3%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Birmingham City over 3.5 corners	70.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Birmingham City under 6.5 corners	65.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Birmingham City over 4.5 corners	57.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Birmingham City under 5.5 corners	54.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Birmingham City over 5.5 corners	45.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Birmingham City under 4.5 corners	42.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Birmingham City over 6.5 corners	34.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Birmingham City under 3.5 corners	29.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Birmingham City under 2.5 corners	17.7%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City under 3.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	97.8%	0.94×	1.08
Birmingham City under 2.5 goals	82.3%	81.5%	90.6%	0.90×	1.23
Birmingham City over 0.5 goals	76.4%	76.2%	69.5%	1.10×	1.31
Birmingham City under 1.5 goals	57.7%	59.4%	70.0%	0.85×	1.68
Birmingham City over 1.5 goals	42.3%	40.6%	30.0%	1.35×	2.46
Birmingham City under 0.5 goals	23.6%	23.8%	30.5%	0.78×	4.21
Birmingham City over 2.5 goals	17.7%	18.5%	9.4%	1.97×	5.39
Birmingham City over 3.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	2.2%	3.46×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City under 1.5 in 1st half	88.6%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Birmingham City under 0.5 in 1st half	56.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Birmingham City over 0.5 in 1st half	43.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Birmingham City over 1.5 in 1st half	11.4%	10.8%	—	—	9.28

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City scores more in 2nd half	40.0%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Birmingham City scores equally in both	37.0%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Birmingham City scores more in 1st half	23.0%	22.1%	—	—	4.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	53.0%	51.7%	38.9%	1.33×	1.93
Portsmouth (away no bet)	47.0%	48.3%	61.1%	0.79×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City even goals	52.8%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Birmingham City odd goals	47.2%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	88.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	11.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.25

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	59.5%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	40.5%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.4%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Birmingham City to score 2+ in a row	35.0%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Portsmouth to score 2+ in a row	21.2%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Either team to score 3+ in a row	17.1%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
Birmingham City to score 3+ in a row	12.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Portsmouth to score 3+ in a row	5.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.14

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth corners (+3.5)	81.1%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Portsmouth corners (+2.5)	75.0%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Birmingham City corners (+3.5)	72.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Portsmouth corners (+1.5)	67.8%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Birmingham City corners (+2.5)	65.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Birmingham City corners (+1.5)	57.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Portsmouth corners (-1.5)	42.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Portsmouth corners (-2.5)	34.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Birmingham City corners (-1.5)	32.2%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Portsmouth corners (-3.5)	27.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Birmingham City corners (-2.5)	25.0%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Birmingham City corners (-3.5)	18.9%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	49.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
0-8 corners	26.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
9-11 corners	24.3%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	80.9%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	73.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	65.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 12.5 corners	58.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	57.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	50.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	49.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	42.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 12.5 corners	41.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 9.5 corners	34.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	26.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	19.1%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	14.0%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.72
0-1	10.4%	11.5%	7.7%	1.48×	8.72
0-0	9.7%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.50
0-2	8.6%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
1-2	9.0%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
1-0	7.2%	7.4%	11.0%	0.67×	13.51
2-1	6.6%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
2-2	4.8%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.29
0-3	4.1%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.30
0-4	1.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.31
1-3	4.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.29
1-4	1.6%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.31
2-0	4.6%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.29
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.31
3-0	1.6%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
3-1	2.3%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.31
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.32
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32
Any other score	2.0%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (2nd half DNB)	62.5%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Portsmouth (2nd half DNB)	37.5%	37.1%	—	—	2.69

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City leading at HT (DNB)	57.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Portsmouth leading at HT (DNB)	42.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City or draw (X2)	73.9%	72.1%	56.6%	1.27×	1.39
Portsmouth or Birmingham City (12)	70.6%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
Portsmouth or draw (1X)	55.5%	57.0%	70.9%	0.80×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City or draw at HT	77.2%	79.2%	—	—	1.26
Portsmouth or draw at HT	69.0%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Portsmouth or Birmingham City at HT	53.8%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City or draw (1UP)	73.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Portsmouth or draw (1UP)	55.5%	62.9%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City or draw in 2nd half	76.7%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Portsmouth or Birmingham City in 2nd half	62.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Portsmouth or draw in 2nd half	61.1%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.9%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.1%	38.4%	—	—	2.61

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (DNB)	63.0%	62.7%	40.1%	1.56×	1.59
Portsmouth (DNB)	37.0%	37.3%	59.9%	0.62×	2.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City to score first	52.1%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Portsmouth to score first	38.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
No goal scored	9.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.2%	51.3%	54.4%	0.94×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.8%	48.7%	45.6%	1.07×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.5%	41.6%	37.1%	1.12×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	37.2%	38.4%	39.9%	0.96×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	14.0%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.3%	8.3%	8.6%	0.97×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.0%	85.6%	89.0%	0.96×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.0%	14.4%	11.0%	1.31×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.3%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	22.5%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.2%	5.0%	—	—	20.20

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.8%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.2%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	50.2%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	49.8%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.5%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
0-1 goals	27.3%	26.6%	25.9%	1.03×	3.76
4-6 goals	22.8%	22.9%	22.4%	1.02×	4.37
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	1.4%	1.35×	54.36

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City to score exactly 1	34.1%	33.8%	39.6%	0.85×	2.96
Birmingham City to score exactly 2	24.6%	22.3%	20.6%	1.08×	4.48
Birmingham City to score exactly 0	23.6%	22.3%	30.5%	0.73×	4.48
Birmingham City to score 3+	17.7%	19.6%	9.4%	2.08×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	37.0%	0.96×	2.81
Portsmouth to score exactly 0	34.9%	32.6%	22.4%	1.45×	3.07
Portsmouth to score exactly 2	19.4%	18.8%	24.6%	0.76×	5.33
Portsmouth to score 3+	9.0%	10.3%	16.1%	0.64×	9.69

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	46.2%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Birmingham City leading at HT	31.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Portsmouth leading at HT	22.8%	20.8%	—	—	4.82

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City -1: 1	55.5%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Birmingham City -1: 2	22.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Birmingham City -1: X	22.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (0:1)	73.9%	71.1%	56.6%	1.26×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.7%	17.8%	24.2%	0.74×	5.62
Portsmouth (0:1)	10.4%	13.7%	19.3%	0.71×	7.31

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (0:2)	89.6%	87.1%	80.7%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.4%	7.7%	11.3%	0.68×	13.04
Portsmouth (0:2)	3.0%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	26.70

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (0:3)	97.0%	96.6%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.3%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	42.11
Portsmouth (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (0:4)	99.3%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	82.04
Portsmouth (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.10×	82.09

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth (1:0)	55.5%	58.3%	70.9%	0.82×	1.72
Birmingham City (1:0)	22.5%	21.7%	11.7%	1.85×	4.61
Draw (1:0)	22.0%	21.7%	17.4%	1.25×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth (2:0)	77.5%	80.5%	88.3%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (2:0)	13.8%	10.3%	8.6%	1.20×	9.71
Birmingham City (2:0)	8.6%	6.4%	3.2%	1.98×	15.67

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.9%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	28.5%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.6%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth to concede	76.4%	76.1%	69.5%	1.09×	1.32
Portsmouth clean sheet	23.6%	23.9%	30.5%	0.79×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth clean sheet in 1st half	56.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Portsmouth to concede in 1st half	43.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth to concede in 2nd half	57.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Portsmouth clean sheet in 2nd half	42.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth over 2.5 corners	86.3%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Portsmouth over 3.5 corners	76.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Portsmouth over 4.5 corners	64.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Portsmouth under 6.5 corners	57.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Portsmouth over 5.5 corners	53.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Portsmouth under 5.5 corners	46.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Portsmouth over 6.5 corners	42.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Portsmouth under 4.5 corners	35.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Portsmouth under 3.5 corners	23.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Portsmouth under 2.5 corners	13.7%	13.8%	—	—	7.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth under 3.5 goals	97.8%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Portsmouth under 2.5 goals	91.0%	92.2%	83.9%	1.10×	1.08
Portsmouth under 1.5 goals	71.6%	74.2%	59.4%	1.25×	1.35
Portsmouth over 0.5 goals	65.1%	67.9%	77.6%	0.88×	1.47
Portsmouth under 0.5 goals	34.9%	32.1%	22.4%	1.43×	3.12
Portsmouth over 1.5 goals	28.4%	25.8%	40.6%	0.63×	3.88
Portsmouth over 2.5 goals	9.0%	7.8%	16.1%	0.48×	12.87
Portsmouth over 3.5 goals	2.2%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.56

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth under 1.5 in 1st half	92.4%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Portsmouth under 0.5 in 1st half	63.6%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Portsmouth over 0.5 in 1st half	36.4%	35.3%	—	—	2.84
Portsmouth over 1.5 in 1st half	7.6%	5.3%	—	—	18.92

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth scores equally in both	45.0%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Portsmouth scores more in 2nd half	32.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.02
Portsmouth scores more in 1st half	22.6%	21.3%	—	—	4.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City (home no bet)	60.2%	59.9%	51.3%	1.17×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	39.8%	40.1%	48.7%	0.82×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth even goals	56.1%	55.3%	50.5%	1.09×	1.81
Portsmouth odd goals	43.9%	44.7%	49.5%	0.90×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	36.0%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
HT 0-1	20.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	15.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	9.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 0-2	5.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 2-0	3.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
Any other HT score	3.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.09
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 2-1	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.26

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City at HT / Birmingham City at FT	24.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	19.1%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Birmingham City at FT	17.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Portsmouth at HT / Portsmouth at FT	14.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Portsmouth at FT	10.0%	12.6%	—	—	7.92
Portsmouth at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Birmingham City at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.61
Portsmouth at HT / Birmingham City at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.69
Birmingham City at HT / Portsmouth at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.73

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City to score last	52.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Portsmouth to score last	38.0%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
No goal scored	9.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	90.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Birmingham City to lead by 1 at any time	59.5%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Portsmouth to lead by 1 at any time	43.3%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Birmingham City to lead by 2 at any time	28.1%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Portsmouth to lead by 2 at any time	15.0%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Birmingham City to lead by 3 at any time	10.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Portsmouth to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	1.6%	—	—	60.76

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth most corners	51.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Birmingham City most corners	40.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	8.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.4%	78.7%	83.3%	0.94×	1.27
2-6 goals	71.3%	72.4%	72.8%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.5%	68.8%	70.2%	0.98×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.1%	68.8%	69.1%	1.00×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.9%	63.3%	64.7%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.5%	48.5%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.7%	43.6%	44.4%	0.98×	2.29
3-6 goals	44.1%	43.6%	47.2%	0.92×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.3%	43.6%	44.5%	0.98×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.7%	35.2%	39.1%	0.90×	2.84
4-6 goals	22.8%	24.5%	22.4%	1.09×	4.08
4-5 goals	20.0%	18.8%	19.8%	0.95×	5.31
5-6 goals	9.4%	8.9%	8.2%	1.09×	11.25
7+ goals	1.4%	2.6%	1.4%	1.88×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Birmingham City never behind	47.0%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Portsmouth never behind	30.8%	36.1%	—	—	2.77

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.6%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.4%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.8%	95.4%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	90.3%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.2%	87.6%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.8%	77.3%	76.3%	1.01×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	72.7%	72.5%	74.1%	0.98×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.5%	52.5%	51.6%	1.02×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	45.5%	47.5%	48.4%	0.98×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	27.3%	27.5%	25.9%	1.06×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	24.2%	22.7%	23.7%	0.96×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	10.8%	12.4%	9.4%	1.31×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	9.7%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	4.2%	4.6%	4.0%	1.15×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.6%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.5%	97.2%	95.8%	1.01×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.5%	86.7%	89.0%	0.97×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	69.3%	67.5%	68.5%	0.98×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	62.5%	61.9%	65.1%	0.95×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	37.5%	38.1%	34.9%	1.09×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	30.7%	32.5%	31.5%	1.03×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.5%	13.3%	11.0%	1.21×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.5%	2.8%	4.2%	0.67×	35.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.4%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	36.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	27.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.7%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	76.4%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	56.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	43.6%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.6%	20.9%	—	—	4.78
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth not to score in both halves	83.5%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Birmingham City not to score in both halves	74.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Birmingham City to score in both halves	25.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Portsmouth to score in both halves	16.5%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.2%	53.8%	54.4%	0.99×	1.86
Only Birmingham City scores	25.1%	26.0%	15.2%	1.71×	3.84
Only Portsmouth scores	13.9%	11.0%	23.3%	0.47×	9.06
Neither team scores	9.7%	7.1%	7.3%	0.98×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.2%	24.9%	25.7%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	17.6%	17.5%	18.7%	0.93×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.3%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	9.7%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.7%	7.6%	5.5%	1.38×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.2%	4.5%	4.0%	1.12×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	36.0%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	19.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	8.6%	7.4%	—	—	13.49

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	43.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
1 goal in 2nd half	32.8%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.6%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth not to win both halves	94.5%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Birmingham City not to win both halves	87.7%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Birmingham City to win both halves	12.3%	12.0%	—	—	8.31
Portsmouth to win both halves	5.5%	5.8%	—	—	17.12

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth to win neither half	59.4%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Birmingham City to win either half	57.6%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Birmingham City to win neither half	42.4%	40.8%	—	—	2.45
Portsmouth to win either half	40.6%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth not to win to nil	86.1%	88.1%	76.7%	1.15×	1.14
Birmingham City not to win to nil	74.9%	75.4%	84.8%	0.89×	1.33
Birmingham City to win to nil	25.1%	24.6%	15.2%	1.62×	4.06
Portsmouth to win to nil	13.9%	11.9%	23.3%	0.51×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	29.4%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.58
Birmingham City by 1	22.0%	24.1%	17.4%	1.38×	4.15
Portsmouth by 1	15.7%	17.0%	24.2%	0.70×	5.87
Birmingham City by 2	13.8%	11.8%	8.6%	1.37×	8.51
Birmingham City by 3+	8.6%	7.2%	3.2%	2.23×	13.90
Portsmouth by 2	7.4%	7.2%	11.3%	0.64×	13.91
Portsmouth by 3+	3.0%	2.7%	8.1%	0.34×	36.81