Portsmouth v Cardiff City — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627
Championship
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.48–1.59 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.47–1.28 | 1-1 13% | 52% | 57% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City to win | 39.3% | 37.2% | 29.0% | 1.28× | 2.69 |
| Portsmouth to win | 34.2% | 29.1% | 43.5% | 0.67× | 3.43 |
| Draw | 26.5% | 27.6% | 27.6% | 1.00× | 3.63 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City & both teams score | 22.4% | 22.6% | 13.8% | 1.63× | 4.42 |
| Draw & both teams score | 20.6% | 22.6% | 20.4% | 1.11× | 4.43 |
| Portsmouth & both teams score | 19.8% | 17.8% | 20.2% | 0.88× | 5.63 |
| Cardiff City & not both score | 16.9% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 1.16× | 5.64 |
| Portsmouth & not both score | 14.4% | 12.2% | 23.4% | 0.52× | 8.21 |
| Draw & not both score | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 1.00× | 13.71 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City & over 1.5 | 33.2% | 33.2% | 21.4% | 1.55× | 3.02 |
| Portsmouth & over 1.5 | 28.6% | 25.5% | 32.5% | 0.79× | 3.92 |
| Cardiff City & over 2.5 | 27.3% | 25.5% | 16.2% | 1.58× | 3.92 |
| Cardiff City & under 3.5 | 23.8% | 21.5% | 22.3% | 0.96× | 4.65 |
| Portsmouth & over 2.5 | 23.6% | 21.5% | 26.4% | 0.82× | 4.65 |
| Portsmouth & under 3.5 | 21.2% | 21.5% | 32.5% | 0.66× | 4.65 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 20.6% | 21.5% | 20.4% | 1.06× | 4.65 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 18.1% | 17.6% | 21.6% | 0.81× | 5.69 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 18.1% | 17.6% | 21.6% | 0.81× | 5.69 |
| Cardiff City & over 3.5 | 15.5% | 17.6% | 6.8% | 2.59× | 5.70 |
| Portsmouth & over 3.5 | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 1.15× | 7.86 |
| Cardiff City & under 2.5 | 12.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 0.98× | 7.86 |
| Portsmouth & under 2.5 | 10.6% | 12.7% | 17.2% | 0.74× | 7.87 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 1.24× | 13.40 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 1.24× | 13.40 |
| Cardiff City & under 1.5 | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 0.96× | 13.42 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 1.02× | 13.42 |
| Portsmouth & under 1.5 | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 0.67× | 13.42 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City (1UP) | 58.0% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Portsmouth (1UP) | 53.7% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.90 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City (2UP) | 39.3% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
| Portsmouth (2UP) | 34.2% | 30.7% | — | — | 3.26 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City to win 2nd half | 36.3% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.67 |
| 2nd half drawn | 33.7% | 33.8% | — | — | 2.96 |
| Portsmouth to win 2nd half | 30.0% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City (+2.5) | 93.7% | 92.3% | 91.9% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Cardiff City (+1.5) | 83.3% | 82.3% | 80.7% | 1.02× | 1.22 |
| Cardiff City (+0.5) | 65.8% | 68.9% | 56.5% | 1.22× | 1.45 |
| Portsmouth (+0.5) | 60.7% | 64.0% | 71.0% | 0.90× | 1.56 |
| Cardiff City (-0.5) | 39.3% | 36.0% | 29.0% | 1.24× | 2.78 |
| Portsmouth (-0.5) | 34.2% | 31.1% | 43.5% | 0.72× | 3.22 |
| Portsmouth (-1.5) | 16.7% | 17.7% | 19.3% | 0.91× | 5.66 |
| Portsmouth (-2.5) | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 0.95× | 13.05 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City to concede | 77.2% | 76.0% | 77.5% | 0.98× | 1.32 |
| Cardiff City clean sheet | 22.8% | 24.0% | 22.5% | 1.06× | 4.17 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City clean sheet in 1st half | 53.0% | 54.8% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Cardiff City to concede in 1st half | 47.0% | 45.2% | — | — | 2.21 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City under 3.5 goals | 92.2% | 92.6% | 97.8% | 0.95× | 1.08 |
| Cardiff City over 0.5 goals | 79.7% | 75.4% | 69.4% | 1.09× | 1.33 |
| Cardiff City under 2.5 goals | 78.5% | 75.3% | 90.6% | 0.83× | 1.33 |
| Cardiff City under 1.5 goals | 52.7% | 51.9% | 69.9% | 0.74× | 1.93 |
| Cardiff City over 1.5 goals | 47.3% | 48.1% | 30.1% | 1.60× | 2.08 |
| Cardiff City over 2.5 goals | 21.5% | 24.7% | 9.5% | 2.61× | 4.05 |
| Cardiff City under 0.5 goals | 20.3% | 24.6% | 30.6% | 0.81× | 4.06 |
| Cardiff City over 3.5 goals | 7.8% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 3.30× | 13.58 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City under 1.5 in 1st half | 86.6% | 87.5% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Cardiff City under 0.5 in 1st half | 52.9% | 50.9% | — | — | 1.96 |
| Cardiff City over 0.5 in 1st half | 47.1% | 49.1% | — | — | 2.04 |
| Cardiff City over 1.5 in 1st half | 13.4% | 12.5% | — | — | 8.03 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth (away no bet) | 56.3% | 58.9% | 61.2% | 0.96× | 1.70 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 43.7% | 41.1% | 38.8% | 1.06× | 2.43 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City even goals | 52.1% | 52.4% | 52.6% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| Cardiff City odd goals | 47.9% | 47.6% | 47.4% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 80.5% | 81.6% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 19.5% | 18.4% | — | — | 5.44 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 71.2% | 71.2% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 28.8% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 61.6% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Cardiff City to score 2+ in a row | 37.2% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Portsmouth to score 2+ in a row | 33.2% | 33.9% | — | — | 2.95 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 23.2% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
| Cardiff City to score 3+ in a row | 13.0% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.19 |
| Portsmouth to score 3+ in a row | 10.7% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.23 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 12.2% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 0.80× | 8.63 |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 0.92× | 13.74 |
| 2-1 | 8.1% | 7.3% | 11.4% | 0.64× | 13.74 |
| 2-2 | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.39× | 13.75 |
| 0-0 | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 1.00× | 13.75 |
| 0-1 | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 0.94× | 13.75 |
| 0-2 | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.37× | 13.75 |
| 1-0 | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 0.66× | 13.75 |
| 2-0 | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 1.18× | 13.76 |
| 1-3 | 4.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 0.58× | 55.39 |
| 3-1 | 4.0% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 0.42× | 55.41 |
| Any other score | 4.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 0.62× | 55.41 |
| 0-3 | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.11× | 55.43 |
| 2-3 | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.11× | 55.42 |
| 3-0 | 2.5% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 0.45× | 55.45 |
| 3-2 | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.00× | 55.43 |
| 0-4 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 4.20× | 55.48 |
| 1-4 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 3.00× | 55.46 |
| 2-4 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 6.99× | 55.47 |
| 3-3 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.10× | 55.47 |
| 4-1 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.10× | 55.47 |
| 3-4 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 6.99× | 55.49 |
| 4-0 | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.05× | 55.49 |
| 4-2 | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.33× | 55.48 |
| 4-3 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 10.49× | 55.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 20.97× | 55.50 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City leading at HT (DNB) | 50.1% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Portsmouth leading at HT (DNB) | 49.9% | 45.1% | — | — | 2.22 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth or Cardiff City (12) | 73.5% | 72.4% | 72.4% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| Cardiff City or draw (X2) | 65.8% | 70.9% | 56.5% | 1.25× | 1.41 |
| Portsmouth or draw (1X) | 60.7% | 62.8% | 71.0% | 0.89× | 1.59 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City or draw at HT | 70.6% | 71.4% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Portsmouth or draw at HT | 70.4% | 71.4% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Portsmouth or Cardiff City at HT | 59.0% | 58.2% | — | — | 1.72 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City or draw (1UP) | 65.8% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Portsmouth or draw (1UP) | 60.7% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City or draw in 2nd half | 70.0% | 66.3% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Portsmouth or Cardiff City in 2nd half | 66.3% | 66.2% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Portsmouth or draw in 2nd half | 63.7% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 59.4% | 58.1% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Neither half drawn | 40.6% | 41.9% | — | — | 2.39 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City (DNB) | 53.5% | 52.7% | 40.0% | 1.32× | 1.90 |
| Portsmouth (DNB) | 46.5% | 47.3% | 60.0% | 0.79× | 2.11 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City to score first | 48.8% | 46.3% | — | — | 2.16 |
| Portsmouth to score first | 45.2% | 46.0% | — | — | 2.17 |
| No goal scored | 5.9% | 6.2% | — | — | 16.08 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 62.8% | 57.5% | 54.2% | 1.06× | 1.74 |
| Not both teams to score | 37.2% | 42.5% | 45.8% | 0.93× | 2.35 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 50.6% | 46.8% | 39.9% | 1.17× | 2.14 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 28.5% | 31.5% | 37.3% | 0.85× | 3.17 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 12.2% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 0.81× | 8.53 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 1.02× | 11.45 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 79.4% | 83.9% | 89.0% | 0.94× | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 20.6% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 1.47× | 6.21 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 64.5% | 65.1% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 35.5% | 34.9% | — | — | 2.86 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 49.9% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 27.7% | 24.8% | — | — | 4.04 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.6% | 11.6% | — | — | 8.62 |
| Both score in both halves | 7.8% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.37 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 77.6% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 22.4% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.95 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 60.7% | 62.9% | — | — | 1.59 |
| A half without a goal | 39.3% | 37.1% | — | — | 2.70 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 45.5% | 45.9% | 50.4% | 0.91× | 2.18 |
| 4-6 goals | 33.1% | 31.6% | 22.4% | 1.41× | 3.16 |
| 0-1 goals | 17.6% | 20.7% | 25.9% | 0.80× | 4.83 |
| 7+ goals | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.43× | 50.81 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City to score exactly 1 | 32.4% | 33.2% | 39.4% | 0.84× | 3.01 |
| Cardiff City to score exactly 2 | 25.8% | 27.0% | 20.7% | 1.31× | 3.70 |
| Cardiff City to score 3+ | 21.5% | 24.0% | 9.5% | 2.53× | 4.18 |
| Cardiff City to score exactly 0 | 20.3% | 23.9% | 30.6% | 0.78× | 4.18 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth to score exactly 1 | 33.7% | 30.6% | 36.9% | 0.83× | 3.27 |
| Portsmouth to score exactly 2 | 24.9% | 23.0% | 24.6% | 0.94× | 4.35 |
| Portsmouth to score exactly 0 | 22.8% | 23.0% | 22.5% | 1.02× | 4.36 |
| Portsmouth to score 3+ | 18.5% | 18.5% | 16.2% | 1.15× | 5.40 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 41.0% | 41.8% | — | — | 2.40 |
| Cardiff City leading at HT | 29.6% | 28.6% | — | — | 3.49 |
| Portsmouth leading at HT | 29.4% | 28.6% | — | — | 3.49 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City -1: 1 | 60.7% | 60.6% | — | — | 1.65 |
| Cardiff City -1: 2 | 20.3% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.18 |
| Cardiff City -1: X | 19.0% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.27 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City (0:1) | 65.8% | 69.7% | 56.5% | 1.23× | 1.44 |
| Draw (0:1) | 17.5% | 18.3% | 24.2% | 0.75× | 5.47 |
| Portsmouth (0:1) | 16.7% | 18.3% | 19.3% | 0.94× | 5.48 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City (0:2) | 83.3% | 83.6% | 80.7% | 1.04× | 1.20 |
| Draw (0:2) | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 1.03× | 8.57 |
| Portsmouth (0:2) | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 0.89× | 13.99 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City (0:3) | 93.7% | 92.6% | 91.9% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 4.4% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 0.49× | 42.65 |
| Portsmouth (0:3) | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 0.69× | 43.16 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City (0:4) | 98.0% | 98.1% | 96.6% | 1.01× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 0.52× | 80.60 |
| Portsmouth (0:4) | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.20× | 81.09 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth (1:0) | 60.7% | 65.0% | 71.0% | 0.92× | 1.54 |
| Cardiff City (1:0) | 20.3% | 22.9% | 11.9% | 1.93× | 4.38 |
| Draw (1:0) | 19.0% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 0.95× | 6.10 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth (2:0) | 79.7% | 78.0% | 88.1% | 0.88× | 1.28 |
| Draw (2:0) | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 1.39× | 8.27 |
| Cardiff City (2:0) | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.03× | 15.10 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 48.7% | 48.7% | — | — | 2.05 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.3% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
| Halves equal | 25.0% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth to concede | 79.7% | 77.5% | 69.4% | 1.12× | 1.29 |
| Portsmouth clean sheet | 20.3% | 22.6% | 30.6% | 0.74× | 4.44 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth clean sheet in 1st half | 52.9% | 50.9% | — | — | 1.96 |
| Portsmouth to concede in 1st half | 47.1% | 49.1% | — | — | 2.04 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth under 3.5 goals | 93.7% | 92.1% | 94.8% | 0.97× | 1.09 |
| Portsmouth under 2.5 goals | 81.5% | 82.4% | 83.8% | 0.98× | 1.21 |
| Portsmouth over 0.5 goals | 77.2% | 76.7% | 77.5% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Portsmouth under 1.5 goals | 56.6% | 55.7% | 59.4% | 0.94× | 1.80 |
| Portsmouth over 1.5 goals | 43.4% | 44.3% | 40.6% | 1.09× | 2.26 |
| Portsmouth under 0.5 goals | 22.8% | 23.3% | 22.5% | 1.03× | 4.30 |
| Portsmouth over 2.5 goals | 18.5% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 1.09× | 5.68 |
| Portsmouth over 3.5 goals | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.53× | 12.69 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth under 1.5 in 1st half | 86.6% | 87.8% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Portsmouth under 0.5 in 1st half | 53.0% | 54.7% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Portsmouth over 0.5 in 1st half | 47.0% | 45.3% | — | — | 2.21 |
| Portsmouth over 1.5 in 1st half | 13.4% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.17 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City (home no bet) | 59.7% | 54.6% | 51.3% | 1.06× | 1.83 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 40.3% | 45.4% | 48.7% | 0.93× | 2.20 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth even goals | 52.6% | 50.3% | 50.5% | 0.99× | 1.99 |
| Portsmouth odd goals | 47.4% | 49.7% | 49.5% | 1.01× | 2.01 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 28.2% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| HT 0-1 | 17.6% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.29 |
| HT 1-0 | 17.6% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.29 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.6% | 11.2% | — | — | 8.94 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.7% | 7.7% | — | — | 13.03 |
| HT 2-0 | 5.6% | 7.7% | — | — | 13.03 |
| Any other HT score | 5.3% | 7.7% | — | — | 13.03 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.6% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.79 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.6% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.79 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.1% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.93 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City at HT / Cardiff City at FT | 22.0% | 21.4% | — | — | 4.67 |
| Portsmouth at HT / Portsmouth at FT | 20.2% | 21.4% | — | — | 4.68 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 15.3% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Cardiff City at FT | 14.1% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.34 |
| Draw at HT / Portsmouth at FT | 11.6% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.36 |
| Portsmouth at HT / Draw at FT | 6.0% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.25 |
| Cardiff City at HT / Draw at FT | 5.2% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.27 |
| Portsmouth at HT / Cardiff City at FT | 3.2% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.38 |
| Cardiff City at HT / Portsmouth at FT | 2.4% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.41 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City to score last | 48.9% | 49.2% | — | — | 2.04 |
| Portsmouth to score last | 45.2% | 48.9% | — | — | 2.04 |
| No goal scored | 5.9% | 6.2% | — | — | 16.08 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 94.1% | 93.8% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Cardiff City to lead by 1 at any time | 58.0% | 59.6% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Portsmouth to lead by 1 at any time | 53.7% | 51.0% | — | — | 1.96 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 51.1% | 50.9% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Cardiff City to lead by 2 at any time | 27.7% | 26.0% | — | — | 3.85 |
| Portsmouth to lead by 2 at any time | 23.8% | 19.8% | — | — | 5.04 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 19.1% | 17.7% | — | — | 5.65 |
| Cardiff City to lead by 3 at any time | 10.7% | 11.3% | — | — | 8.85 |
| Portsmouth to lead by 3 at any time | 8.5% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.15 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.0% | 81.6% | 88.8% | 0.92× | 1.23 |
| 2-6 goals | 78.7% | 78.9% | 72.8% | 1.08× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 74.4% | 73.7% | 83.4% | 0.88× | 1.36 |
| 2-5 goals | 73.3% | 73.6% | 70.2% | 1.05× | 1.36 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.7% | 62.3% | 64.8% | 0.96× | 1.61 |
| 1-3 goals | 57.2% | 58.7% | 69.1% | 0.85× | 1.70 |
| 3-6 goals | 55.5% | 58.7% | 47.1% | 1.25× | 1.70 |
| 3-5 goals | 50.1% | 52.3% | 44.5% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| 2-3 goals | 45.5% | 48.0% | 50.4% | 0.95× | 2.08 |
| 3-4 goals | 39.6% | 38.9% | 39.1% | 0.99× | 2.57 |
| 1-2 goals | 34.8% | 34.2% | 44.4% | 0.77× | 2.93 |
| 4-6 goals | 33.1% | 34.1% | 22.4% | 1.52× | 2.93 |
| 4-5 goals | 27.7% | 30.5% | 19.8% | 1.54× | 3.28 |
| 5-6 goals | 16.0% | 18.1% | 8.1% | 2.24× | 5.54 |
| 7+ goals | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.49× | 48.87 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City never behind | 40.4% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Portsmouth never behind | 36.1% | 45.3% | — | — | 2.21 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 47.3% | 50.1% | 49.4% | 1.01× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 52.7% | 49.9% | 50.6% | 0.99× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.4% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.6% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.3% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.7% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94.1% | 93.0% | 92.7% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 90.9% | 92.9% | 96.0% | 0.97× | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82.4% | 81.0% | 74.1% | 1.09× | 1.24 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80.3% | 80.9% | 90.6% | 0.89× | 1.24 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63.1% | 61.6% | 76.3% | 0.81× | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.2% | 57.8% | 48.4% | 1.19× | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.8% | 42.2% | 51.6% | 0.82× | 2.37 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.9% | 38.4% | 23.7% | 1.62× | 2.60 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 19.7% | 19.1% | 9.4% | 2.04× | 5.24 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17.6% | 19.0% | 25.9% | 0.73× | 5.25 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.79× | 14.14 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 0.96× | 14.21 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 96.1% | 97.2% | 98.6% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 89.8% | 88.2% | 95.8% | 0.92× | 1.13 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 77.1% | 76.5% | 65.1% | 1.18× | 1.31 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 76.2% | 76.5% | 89.1% | 0.86× | 1.31 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 52.5% | 53.1% | 68.5% | 0.77× | 1.88 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 47.5% | 46.9% | 31.5% | 1.49× | 2.13 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 23.8% | 23.5% | 10.9% | 2.15× | 4.25 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 22.9% | 23.5% | 34.9% | 0.67× | 4.25 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 10.2% | 11.8% | 4.2% | 2.83× | 8.46 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.98× | 35.84 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 86.3% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 71.8% | 72.4% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 63.4% | 63.1% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 36.6% | 36.9% | — | — | 2.71 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 28.2% | 27.6% | — | — | 3.63 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 13.7% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.35 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 83.0% | 82.1% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 73.1% | 76.3% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 45.9% | 51.8% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 54.1% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 26.9% | 23.7% | — | — | 4.22 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 17.0% | 17.9% | — | — | 5.58 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth not to score in both halves | 73.2% | 70.4% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Cardiff City not to score in both halves | 71.0% | 70.3% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Cardiff City to score in both halves | 29.0% | 29.7% | — | — | 3.37 |
| Portsmouth to score in both halves | 26.8% | 29.6% | — | — | 3.38 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 62.8% | 58.2% | 54.2% | 1.07× | 1.72 |
| Only Cardiff City scores | 16.9% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 1.07× | 6.11 |
| Only Portsmouth scores | 14.4% | 10.9% | 23.4% | 0.46× | 9.21 |
| Neither team scores | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 0.91× | 15.08 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 23.2% | 21.6% | 25.8% | 0.84× | 4.64 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.4% | 21.5% | 24.7% | 0.87× | 4.64 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 17.2% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 1.29× | 5.39 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 11.7% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 0.66× | 8.09 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 10.6% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 2.24× | 8.10 |
| 6 or more goals | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 1.93× | 13.11 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 1.04× | 13.16 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 54.1% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 28.9% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 17.0% | 18.3% | — | — | 5.46 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth not to win both halves | 91.0% | 93.3% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Cardiff City not to win both halves | 89.1% | 87.6% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Cardiff City to win both halves | 10.9% | 12.4% | — | — | 8.07 |
| Portsmouth to win both halves | 9.0% | 6.7% | — | — | 14.99 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff City to win either half | 54.9% | 54.0% | — | — | 1.85 |
| Portsmouth to win either half | 50.4% | 53.9% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Portsmouth to win neither half | 49.6% | 46.1% | — | — | 2.17 |
| Cardiff City to win neither half | 45.1% | 46.0% | — | — | 2.18 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth not to win to nil | 85.6% | 88.2% | 76.6% | 1.15× | 1.13 |
| Cardiff City not to win to nil | 83.1% | 83.3% | 84.7% | 0.98× | 1.20 |
| Cardiff City to win to nil | 16.9% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 1.09× | 5.98 |
| Portsmouth to win to nil | 14.4% | 11.8% | 23.4% | 0.50× | 8.48 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 26.5% | 28.0% | 27.6% | 1.02× | 3.57 |
| Cardiff City by 1 | 19.0% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 0.98× | 5.88 |
| Portsmouth by 1 | 17.5% | 17.0% | 24.2% | 0.70× | 5.89 |
| Cardiff City by 2 | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 1.37× | 8.44 |
| Portsmouth by 2 | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 1.04× | 8.45 |
| Cardiff City by 3+ | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.17× | 14.09 |
| Portsmouth by 3+ | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 0.88× | 14.13 |