Portsmouth v Stoke City — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Portsmouth

12:30 UTC

Stoke City

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 290h before kick-off

Portsmouth win

47.0%

model 45.4%

Draw

26.5%

model 27.4%

Stoke City win

26.5%

model 27.2%

472727

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.0%
2-1 9.4%
1-0 8.3%
2-0 7.8%
0-0 7.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	53.3%	Under 2.5	46.7%
BTTS yes	57.4%	BTTS no	42.6%
Portsmouth 1+	80.0%	Portsmouth 2+	47.8%
Stoke City 1+	70.0%	Stoke City 2+	33.9%

Expected goals 1.61 – 1.20. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

46/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 47%

52.2% fair odds 1.92

moderate signal · 1994 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

82.3% fair odds 1.22

moderate signal · 1272 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Portsmouth carry the stronger rating, 1410 Elo against 1333.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Portsmouth have an estimated 47.0% win probability, against 26.5% for the draw and 26.5% for Stoke City. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.61 for Portsmouth and 1.20 for Stoke City.

Why Portsmouth

Portsmouth carry the stronger rating, 1410 Elo against 1333.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.5%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Stoke City can win

Nothing in the data singles out Stoke City.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Portsmouth, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Stoke City, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Portsmouth: 57% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 11.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Stoke City: 38% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Portsmouth's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Portsmouth are the model's most likely outcome at 47.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 46/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	452727	1.61–1.20	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	382933	1.42–1.30	1-1 14%	51%	57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth to win	38.5%	36.4%	43.4%	0.84×	2.75
Stoke City to win	32.9%	30.4%	29.1%	1.05×	3.29
Draw	28.6%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw & both teams score	20.5%	21.8%	20.4%	1.07×	4.59
Portsmouth & both teams score	19.3%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Portsmouth & not both score	19.2%	18.0%	23.3%	0.77×	5.56
Stoke City & both teams score	16.8%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.57
Stoke City & not both score	16.1%	18.0%	15.2%	1.18×	5.57
Draw & not both score	8.1%	8.3%	7.3%	1.14×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth & over 1.5	30.6%	30.7%	32.5%	0.95×	3.25
Portsmouth & under 3.5	26.3%	26.0%	32.4%	0.80×	3.84
Stoke City & over 1.5	25.8%	26.0%	21.4%	1.22×	3.84
Portsmouth & over 2.5	23.9%	21.6%	26.4%	0.82×	4.63
Stoke City & under 3.5	23.0%	21.6%	22.3%	0.97×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	21.7%	21.6%	21.8%	0.99×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	21.7%	21.6%	21.8%	0.99×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	20.5%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Stoke City & over 2.5	20.3%	21.6%	16.2%	1.33×	4.63
Portsmouth & under 2.5	14.6%	12.8%	17.1%	0.75×	7.79
Stoke City & under 2.5	12.7%	12.8%	12.9%	0.99×	7.79
Portsmouth & over 3.5	12.2%	12.8%	11.1%	1.15×	7.79
Stoke City & over 3.5	10.0%	7.9%	6.8%	1.17×	12.62
Draw & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Portsmouth & under 1.5	7.9%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.9%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.9%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Stoke City & under 1.5	7.1%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth (1UP)	55.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Stoke City (1UP)	50.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth (2UP)	38.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Stoke City (2UP)	32.9%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	36.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Portsmouth to win 2nd half	32.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Stoke City to win 2nd half	30.9%	34.0%	—	—	2.94

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.6%	84.0%	—	—	1.19
Stoke City over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.1%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Stoke City under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.9%	47.5%	—	—	2.11
Stoke City over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.4%	16.0%	—	—	6.27

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth under 1.5 in 2nd half	80.5%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Portsmouth over 0.5 in 2nd half	55.5%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Portsmouth under 0.5 in 2nd half	44.5%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Portsmouth over 1.5 in 2nd half	19.5%	17.7%	—	—	5.65

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (+2.5)	93.0%	92.1%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Stoke City (+1.5)	81.2%	82.6%	80.7%	1.02×	1.21
Portsmouth (+0.5)	67.1%	68.7%	70.9%	0.97×	1.46
Stoke City (+0.5)	61.5%	62.9%	56.6%	1.11×	1.59
Portsmouth (-0.5)	38.5%	37.1%	43.4%	0.85×	2.70
Stoke City (-0.5)	32.9%	31.3%	29.1%	1.08×	3.19
Portsmouth (-1.5)	18.8%	17.4%	19.3%	0.90×	5.73
Portsmouth (-2.5)	7.0%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to concede	75.8%	78.7%	77.6%	1.01×	1.27
Stoke City clean sheet	24.2%	21.3%	22.4%	0.95×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City clean sheet in 1st half	54.3%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Stoke City to concede in 1st half	45.7%	49.0%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to concede in 2nd half	55.5%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Stoke City clean sheet in 2nd half	44.5%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City over 2.5 corners	80.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Stoke City over 3.5 corners	68.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Stoke City under 6.5 corners	68.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Stoke City under 5.5 corners	57.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Stoke City over 4.5 corners	55.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Stoke City under 4.5 corners	45.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Stoke City over 5.5 corners	42.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Stoke City under 3.5 corners	31.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Stoke City over 6.5 corners	31.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Stoke City under 2.5 corners	19.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City under 3.5 goals	95.7%	97.5%	97.8%	1.00×	1.03
Stoke City under 2.5 goals	85.7%	87.8%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Stoke City over 0.5 goals	72.7%	71.8%	69.5%	1.03×	1.39
Stoke City under 1.5 goals	62.7%	63.2%	70.0%	0.90×	1.58
Stoke City over 1.5 goals	37.3%	36.8%	30.0%	1.23×	2.72
Stoke City under 0.5 goals	27.3%	28.2%	30.5%	0.92×	3.55
Stoke City over 2.5 goals	14.3%	12.2%	9.4%	1.29×	8.19
Stoke City over 3.5 goals	4.3%	2.5%	2.2%	1.14×	39.75

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City under 1.5 in 1st half	90.4%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Stoke City under 0.5 in 1st half	59.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Stoke City over 0.5 in 1st half	40.5%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Stoke City over 1.5 in 1st half	9.6%	6.1%	—	—	16.26

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City scores equally in both	39.5%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Stoke City scores more in 2nd half	38.2%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Stoke City scores more in 1st half	22.3%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth (away no bet)	57.4%	57.3%	61.1%	0.94×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.6%	42.7%	38.9%	1.10×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City even goals	53.7%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Stoke City odd goals	46.3%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	85.3%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	14.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.17

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.4%	57.7%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.6%	42.3%	—	—	2.36

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	55.3%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Portsmouth to score 2+ in a row	33.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Stoke City to score 2+ in a row	28.7%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Portsmouth to score 3+ in a row	10.8%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Stoke City to score 3+ in a row	8.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.08

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth corners (+3.5)	85.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Portsmouth corners (+2.5)	80.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Portsmouth corners (+1.5)	74.7%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Stoke City corners (+3.5)	63.8%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Stoke City corners (+2.5)	56.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Portsmouth corners (-1.5)	51.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Stoke City corners (+1.5)	48.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Portsmouth corners (-2.5)	43.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Portsmouth corners (-3.5)	36.2%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Stoke City corners (-1.5)	25.3%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Stoke City corners (-2.5)	19.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Stoke City corners (-3.5)	14.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	54.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	22.7%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
0-8 corners	22.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	84.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	77.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	70.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 10.5 corners	62.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 11.5 corners	54.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 12.5 corners	52.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 12.5 corners	47.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 11.5 corners	45.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	37.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 9.5 corners	29.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 8.5 corners	22.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Under 7.5 corners	15.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.6%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.71
2-1	8.6%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
0-0	8.1%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-1	7.1%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
1-0	7.9%	7.4%	11.0%	0.67×	13.51
1-2	7.9%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
2-0	6.6%	7.4%	6.1%	1.21×	13.51
0-2	5.6%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
0-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.31
0-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.31
1-3	3.4%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
1-4	1.1%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.31
2-3	2.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
2-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.31
3-0	3.1%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.30
3-1	4.1%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.30
3-2	2.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.30
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	1.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.31
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32
Any other score	2.5%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth (2nd half DNB)	51.4%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Stoke City (2nd half DNB)	48.6%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth leading at HT (DNB)	55.3%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Stoke City leading at HT (DNB)	44.7%	44.7%	—	—	2.24

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth or Stoke City (12)	71.4%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
Portsmouth or draw (1X)	67.1%	69.6%	70.9%	0.98×	1.44
Stoke City or draw (X2)	61.5%	63.6%	56.6%	1.12×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth or draw at HT	74.9%	74.6%	—	—	1.34
Stoke City or draw at HT	69.0%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Portsmouth or Stoke City at HT	56.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth or draw (1UP)	67.1%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Stoke City or draw (1UP)	61.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth or draw in 2nd half	69.1%	66.0%	—	—	1.51
Stoke City or draw in 2nd half	67.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Portsmouth or Stoke City in 2nd half	63.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.8%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	37.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth (DNB)	53.9%	50.9%	59.9%	0.85×	1.96
Stoke City (DNB)	46.1%	49.1%	40.1%	1.22×	2.04

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth to score first	48.0%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Stoke City to score first	43.9%	41.8%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	8.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	56.6%	55.0%	54.4%	1.01×	1.82
Not both teams to score	43.4%	45.0%	45.6%	0.99×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.0%	41.6%	39.9%	1.04×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	35.3%	38.4%	37.1%	1.04×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.6%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	8.1%	8.3%	8.6%	0.97×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.5%	82.7%	89.0%	0.93×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	15.5%	17.3%	11.0%	1.58×	5.77

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.5%	67.3%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.5%	32.7%	—	—	3.06

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.3%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Both score 2nd half only	25.0%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Both score 1st half only	13.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	5.6%	6.7%	—	—	14.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.2%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	18.8%	16.6%	—	—	6.01

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	45.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.9%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
4-6 goals	26.9%	26.6%	22.4%	1.19×	3.76
0-1 goals	23.1%	22.9%	25.9%	0.89×	4.36
7+ goals	2.1%	1.8%	1.4%	1.35×	54.35

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City to score exactly 1	35.4%	35.9%	39.6%	0.91×	2.78
Stoke City to score exactly 0	27.3%	27.4%	30.5%	0.90×	3.65
Stoke City to score exactly 2	23.0%	22.3%	20.6%	1.08×	4.49
Stoke City to score 3+	14.3%	12.9%	9.4%	1.37×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth to score exactly 1	34.3%	32.6%	37.0%	0.88×	3.07
Portsmouth to score exactly 2	24.4%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.29
Portsmouth to score exactly 0	24.2%	23.3%	22.4%	1.04×	4.29
Portsmouth to score 3+	17.1%	18.8%	16.1%	1.16×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	43.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Portsmouth leading at HT	31.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Stoke City leading at HT	25.1%	25.4%	—	—	3.93

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth -1: 2	61.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Portsmouth -1: X	19.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.71
Portsmouth -1: 1	18.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (0:1)	61.5%	61.4%	56.6%	1.09×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	19.6%	17.8%	24.2%	0.74×	5.61
Portsmouth (0:1)	18.8%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (0:2)	81.2%	82.9%	80.7%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.8%	11.0%	11.3%	0.97×	9.10
Portsmouth (0:2)	7.0%	7.7%	8.1%	0.95×	13.06

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (0:3)	93.0%	92.7%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.9%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	41.92
Portsmouth (0:3)	2.1%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.05

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (0:4)	97.9%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	81.72
Portsmouth (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	1.1%	1.11×	81.84

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth (1:0)	67.1%	70.2%	70.9%	0.99×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	17.8%	17.1%	17.4%	0.98×	5.85
Stoke City (1:0)	15.1%	17.1%	11.7%	1.46×	5.85

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth (2:0)	84.9%	84.6%	88.3%	0.96×	1.18
Draw (2:0)	9.9%	6.4%	8.6%	0.75×	15.63
Stoke City (2:0)	5.2%	6.4%	3.2%	1.98×	15.68

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.8%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.1%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth to concede	72.7%	73.0%	69.5%	1.05×	1.37
Portsmouth clean sheet	27.3%	27.0%	30.5%	0.88×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth clean sheet in 1st half	59.5%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Portsmouth to concede in 1st half	40.5%	37.6%	—	—	2.66

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth to concede in 2nd half	54.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Portsmouth clean sheet in 2nd half	45.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth over 2.5 corners	90.2%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Portsmouth over 3.5 corners	82.2%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Portsmouth over 4.5 corners	72.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Portsmouth over 5.5 corners	62.2%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Portsmouth over 6.5 corners	51.9%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Portsmouth under 6.5 corners	48.1%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Portsmouth under 5.5 corners	37.8%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Portsmouth under 4.5 corners	27.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Portsmouth under 3.5 corners	17.8%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Portsmouth under 2.5 corners	9.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth under 3.5 goals	94.4%	92.2%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
Portsmouth under 2.5 goals	82.9%	82.2%	83.9%	0.98×	1.22
Portsmouth over 0.5 goals	75.8%	77.7%	77.6%	1.00×	1.29
Portsmouth under 1.5 goals	58.5%	58.7%	59.4%	0.99×	1.71
Portsmouth over 1.5 goals	41.5%	41.3%	40.6%	1.02×	2.42
Portsmouth under 0.5 goals	24.2%	22.3%	22.4%	0.99×	4.49
Portsmouth over 2.5 goals	17.1%	17.8%	16.1%	1.10×	5.62
Portsmouth over 3.5 goals	5.6%	7.8%	5.2%	1.50×	12.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth under 1.5 in 1st half	87.5%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Portsmouth under 0.5 in 1st half	54.3%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Portsmouth over 0.5 in 1st half	45.7%	49.2%	—	—	2.03
Portsmouth over 1.5 in 1st half	12.5%	9.8%	—	—	10.18

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth scores equally in both	37.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Portsmouth scores more in 2nd half	37.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Portsmouth scores more in 1st half	25.2%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City (home no bet)	53.5%	51.5%	51.3%	1.00×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	46.5%	48.5%	48.7%	1.00×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth even goals	52.9%	50.8%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Portsmouth odd goals	47.1%	49.2%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	32.5%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
HT 1-0	19.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 0-1	16.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	10.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 2-0	6.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 0-2	4.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
Any other HT score	4.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.14
HT 2-1	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.35

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth at HT / Portsmouth at FT	22.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.63
Stoke City at HT / Stoke City at FT	17.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.6%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Portsmouth at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Stoke City at FT	12.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Portsmouth at HT / Draw at FT	5.9%	6.1%	—	—	16.52
Stoke City at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Portsmouth at HT / Stoke City at FT	2.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.93
Stoke City at HT / Portsmouth at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth to score last	48.1%	46.4%	—	—	2.16
Stoke City to score last	43.9%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	8.1%	7.6%	—	—	13.17

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.9%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Portsmouth to lead by 1 at any time	55.7%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Stoke City to lead by 1 at any time	50.9%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.8%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Portsmouth to lead by 2 at any time	25.1%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Stoke City to lead by 2 at any time	21.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Portsmouth to lead by 3 at any time	9.0%	6.7%	—	—	14.97
Stoke City to lead by 3 at any time	6.9%	6.6%	—	—	15.07

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth most corners	59.9%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Stoke City most corners	32.3%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	7.8%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.1%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.0%	78.7%	83.3%	0.94×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.8%	72.3%	72.8%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	71.1%	72.3%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
1-3 goals	62.9%	63.3%	69.1%	0.92×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.9%	63.3%	64.7%	0.98×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.0%	48.4%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.9%	48.4%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.3%	48.4%	44.5%	1.09×	2.07
1-2 goals	40.8%	43.6%	44.4%	0.98×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.1%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	26.9%	30.2%	22.4%	1.35×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.2%	24.5%	19.8%	1.24×	4.09
5-6 goals	11.9%	14.8%	8.2%	1.81×	6.76
7+ goals	2.1%	2.6%	1.4%	1.88×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth never behind	41.0%	48.7%	—	—	2.06
Stoke City never behind	36.2%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.9%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.1%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.7%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	44.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	96.0%	0.96×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	91.9%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	86.0%	87.6%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.9%	77.3%	74.1%	1.04×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	71.0%	72.5%	76.3%	0.95×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.1%	52.5%	48.4%	1.08×	1.90
Under 2.5 goals	48.9%	47.5%	51.6%	0.92×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	29.0%	27.5%	23.7%	1.16×	3.63
Under 1.5 goals	23.1%	22.7%	25.9%	0.88×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	14.0%	12.4%	9.4%	1.32×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	8.1%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	4.0%	1.93×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.8%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.7%	92.4%	95.8%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	83.5%	81.1%	89.0%	0.91×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.9%	67.5%	65.1%	1.04×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.8%	61.9%	68.5%	0.90×	1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.2%	38.1%	31.5%	1.21×	2.63
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.1%	32.5%	34.9%	0.93×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	16.5%	18.9%	11.0%	1.72×	5.29
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.3%	7.6%	4.2%	1.79×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.2%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.4%	89.1%	—	—	1.12
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Over 0.5 in 1st half	67.5%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	32.5%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.5%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half	10.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.16

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.1%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.6%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.4%	20.5%	—	—	4.89
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.9%	20.4%	—	—	4.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City not to score in both halves	78.1%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Portsmouth not to score in both halves	74.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Portsmouth to score in both halves	25.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
Stoke City to score in both halves	21.9%	21.6%	—	—	4.64

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	56.6%	58.6%	54.4%	1.08×	1.71
Only Portsmouth scores	19.2%	16.1%	23.3%	0.69×	6.23
Only Stoke City scores	16.1%	16.0%	15.2%	1.05×	6.24
Neither team scores	8.1%	7.1%	7.3%	0.98×	14.00

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.8%	24.9%	25.7%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	15.0%	17.4%	18.7%	0.93×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	15.0%	17.4%	14.4%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	8.1%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	8.2%	7.6%	5.5%	1.38×	13.13
6 or more goals	5.8%	7.6%	4.0%	1.91×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.0%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	32.5%	35.8%	—	—	2.80
2 goals in 1st half	20.9%	21.4%	—	—	4.68
3+ goals in 1st half	10.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.24

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.6%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
1 goal in 2nd half	31.4%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	20.9%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City not to win both halves	92.0%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Portsmouth not to win both halves	89.6%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Portsmouth to win both halves	10.4%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Stoke City to win both halves	8.0%	5.9%	—	—	17.08

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Portsmouth to win either half	53.3%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Stoke City to win neither half	52.0%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Stoke City to win either half	48.0%	45.7%	—	—	2.19
Portsmouth to win neither half	46.7%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Stoke City not to win to nil	83.9%	83.1%	84.8%	0.98×	1.20
Portsmouth not to win to nil	80.8%	83.1%	76.7%	1.08×	1.20
Portsmouth to win to nil	19.2%	16.9%	23.3%	0.73×	5.91
Stoke City to win to nil	16.1%	16.9%	15.2%	1.11×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.6%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Portsmouth by 1	19.6%	17.1%	24.2%	0.70×	5.87
Stoke City by 1	17.8%	17.0%	17.4%	0.98×	5.87
Portsmouth by 2	11.8%	11.8%	11.3%	1.04×	8.51
Stoke City by 2	9.9%	7.2%	8.6%	0.84×	13.90
Portsmouth by 3+	7.0%	7.2%	8.1%	0.89×	13.91
Stoke City by 3+	5.2%	7.2%	3.2%	2.23×	13.92