Preston North End v Southampton — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 7 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Preston North End

15:00 UTC

Southampton

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 292h before kick-off

Preston North End win

22.2%

model 21.8%

Draw

26.7%

model 25.1%

Southampton win

51.2%

model 53.0%

222751

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.8%
1-2 9.8%
0-2 8.6%
0-1 8.0%
0-0 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	57.8%	Under 2.5	42.2%
BTTS yes	58.8%	BTTS no	41.2%
Preston North End 1+	68.1%	Preston North End 2+	31.6%
Southampton 1+	84.5%	Southampton 2+	55.6%

Expected goals 1.14 – 1.87. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

48/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

Southampton over 1.5 goals

Away goals O/U · usually 30%

58.1% fair odds 1.72

strong signal · 830 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Southampton not to win both halves

Win both halves

83.3% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 588 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Southampton carry the stronger rating, 1628 Elo against 1317.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Southampton have an estimated 51.2% win probability, against 26.7% for the draw and 22.2% for Preston North End. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.14 for Preston North End and 1.86 for Southampton.

Why Preston North End

Nothing in the data singles out Preston North End.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Southampton can win

Southampton carry the stronger rating, 1628 Elo against 1317. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Southampton's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mateus Fernandes (0.20), Paul Onuachu (0.20), Cameron Archer (0.17).

Availability

No lineup on record for Preston North End, so availability is unknown. 2 of Southampton's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Preston North End: 45% possession, 14.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Southampton: 57% possession, 16.8 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.24 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Southampton are the model's most likely outcome at 51.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%. Confidence 48/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Southampton have scored 6 from 7.4 expected and conceded 18 from 18.4 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LDLLDLLDLL last 10 scored 6 from 7.4 xG conceded 18 from 18.4 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	222553	1.14–1.87	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	212455	1.16–1.98	1-1 11%	61%	60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win	55.1%	53.9%	29.1%	1.85×	1.86
Draw	24.1%	24.5%	27.6%	0.89×	4.09
Preston North End to win	20.9%	24.5%	43.4%	0.56×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton & both teams score	29.3%	25.2%	13.9%	1.81×	3.97
Southampton & not both score	25.7%	25.2%	15.2%	1.66×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Preston North End & both teams score	12.5%	13.3%	20.2%	0.66×	7.54
Preston North End & not both score	8.3%	8.3%	23.3%	0.36×	12.00
Draw & not both score	5.5%	8.3%	7.3%	1.14×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton & over 1.5	47.7%	45.1%	21.4%	2.10×	2.22
Southampton & over 2.5	39.2%	34.9%	16.2%	2.15×	2.87
Southampton & under 3.5	31.2%	30.7%	22.3%	1.38×	3.25
Southampton & over 3.5	23.8%	21.6%	6.8%	3.18×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.55
Preston North End & over 1.5	17.0%	18.0%	32.5%	0.55×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.7%	18.0%	21.8%	0.83×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.7%	18.0%	21.8%	0.83×	5.56
Southampton & under 2.5	15.8%	18.0%	12.9%	1.39×	5.56
Preston North End & over 2.5	14.1%	12.8%	26.4%	0.49×	7.79
Preston North End & under 3.5	13.7%	12.8%	32.4%	0.40×	7.79
Draw & over 2.5	7.4%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Southampton & under 1.5	7.4%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.63
Preston North End & under 2.5	6.8%	7.9%	17.1%	0.46×	12.63
Preston North End & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Preston North End & under 1.5	3.8%	4.8%	11.0%	0.43×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (1UP)	70.2%	75.0%	—	—	1.33
Preston North End (1UP)	41.0%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (2UP)	55.1%	54.5%	—	—	1.84
Preston North End (2UP)	20.9%	23.7%	—	—	4.23

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win 2nd half	48.1%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
2nd half drawn	31.6%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Preston North End to win 2nd half	20.3%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton over 0.5 in 2nd half	69.5%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
Southampton under 1.5 in 2nd half	66.8%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Southampton over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.2%	30.4%	—	—	3.29
Southampton under 0.5 in 2nd half	30.5%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.7%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Preston North End under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.5%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Preston North End over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.5%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Preston North End over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.3%	11.4%	—	—	8.76

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (+2.5)	97.4%	96.3%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Southampton (+1.5)	91.5%	92.1%	80.7%	1.14×	1.09
Southampton (+0.5)	79.1%	78.5%	56.6%	1.39×	1.27
Southampton (-0.5)	55.1%	57.0%	29.1%	1.96×	1.75
Preston North End (+0.5)	44.9%	43.0%	70.9%	0.61×	2.33
Preston North End (-0.5)	20.9%	21.5%	43.4%	0.50×	4.65
Preston North End (-1.5)	8.5%	7.9%	19.3%	0.41×	12.69
Preston North End (-2.5)	2.6%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	27.17

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to concede	68.7%	72.3%	77.6%	0.93×	1.38
Southampton clean sheet	31.3%	27.7%	22.4%	1.23×	3.61

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton clean sheet in 1st half	60.6%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Southampton to concede in 1st half	39.4%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton clean sheet in 2nd half	51.5%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Southampton to concede in 2nd half	48.5%	45.6%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton over 2.5 corners	85.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Southampton over 3.5 corners	75.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Southampton over 4.5 corners	63.6%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Southampton under 6.5 corners	59.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Southampton over 5.5 corners	51.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Southampton under 5.5 corners	48.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Southampton over 6.5 corners	41.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Southampton under 4.5 corners	36.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Southampton under 3.5 corners	24.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Southampton under 2.5 corners	14.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton over 0.5 goals	86.1%	87.8%	69.5%	1.26×	1.14
Southampton under 3.5 goals	86.1%	87.8%	97.8%	0.90×	1.14
Southampton under 2.5 goals	68.3%	68.0%	90.6%	0.75×	1.47
Southampton over 1.5 goals	58.8%	59.4%	30.0%	1.98×	1.68
Southampton under 1.5 goals	41.2%	40.6%	70.0%	0.58×	2.47
Southampton over 2.5 goals	31.7%	32.0%	9.4%	3.39×	3.13
Southampton under 0.5 goals	13.9%	12.2%	30.5%	0.40×	8.19
Southampton over 3.5 goals	13.9%	12.2%	2.2%	5.53×	8.19

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 1.5 in 1st half	81.2%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Southampton over 0.5 in 1st half	54.7%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Southampton under 0.5 in 1st half	45.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Southampton over 1.5 in 1st half	18.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.70

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton scores more in 2nd half	45.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.08
Southampton scores equally in both	30.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Southampton scores more in 1st half	24.6%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	53.6%	51.7%	38.9%	1.33×	1.93
Preston North End (away no bet)	46.4%	48.3%	61.1%	0.79×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton even goals	51.0%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Southampton odd goals	49.0%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	79.6%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals	20.4%	18.9%	—	—	5.30

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	72.4%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	27.6%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	64.2%	60.0%	—	—	1.67
Southampton to score 2+ in a row	49.8%	46.3%	—	—	2.16
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.0%	24.9%	—	—	4.01
Preston North End to score 2+ in a row	22.4%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Southampton to score 3+ in a row	21.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Preston North End to score 3+ in a row	5.5%	5.5%	—	—	18.33

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton corners (+3.5)	81.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Southampton corners (+2.5)	75.3%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Preston North End corners (+3.5)	72.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Southampton corners (+1.5)	68.0%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Preston North End corners (+2.5)	65.6%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Preston North End corners (+1.5)	57.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Southampton corners (-1.5)	42.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Southampton corners (-2.5)	34.4%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Preston North End corners (-1.5)	32.0%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Southampton corners (-3.5)	27.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Preston North End corners (-2.5)	24.7%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Preston North End corners (-3.5)	18.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	47.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
0-8 corners	27.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
9-11 corners	24.7%	25.7%	—	—	3.89

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	79.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 8.5 corners	72.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	64.1%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 12.5 corners	60.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 10.5 corners	55.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	52.5%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	47.5%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	44.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	39.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 9.5 corners	35.9%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 8.5 corners	27.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	20.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.2%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.72
0-2	8.5%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
1-2	9.8%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
0-1	7.4%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
1-3	6.5%	7.4%	3.1%	2.42×	13.51
0-0	5.5%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-3	5.6%	7.4%	1.6%	4.58×	13.51
2-1	5.8%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
2-2	5.7%	7.4%	5.2%	1.43×	13.51
Any other score	5.7%	7.4%	3.0%	2.49×	13.51
0-4	2.8%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.30
1-0	3.8%	1.7%	11.0%	0.16×	58.30
1-4	3.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.30
2-0	2.9%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
2-3	3.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.30
2-4	1.9%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.31
3-0	1.1%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
3-1	2.2%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-2	2.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.31
3-3	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.32
4-2	0.6%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.32
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (2nd half DNB)	70.4%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Preston North End (2nd half DNB)	29.6%	28.9%	—	—	3.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton leading at HT (DNB)	64.9%	66.8%	—	—	1.50
Preston North End leading at HT (DNB)	35.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw (X2)	79.1%	75.5%	56.6%	1.34×	1.32
Preston North End or Southampton (12)	75.9%	75.5%	72.4%	1.04×	1.32
Preston North End or draw (1X)	44.9%	46.1%	70.9%	0.65×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw at HT	78.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Preston North End or draw at HT	61.0%	61.0%	—	—	1.64
Preston North End or Southampton at HT	60.1%	61.0%	—	—	1.64

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw (1UP)	79.1%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
Preston North End or draw (1UP)	44.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.89

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw in 2nd half	79.7%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Preston North End or Southampton in 2nd half	68.4%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Preston North End or draw in 2nd half	51.9%	54.8%	—	—	1.83

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.5%	58.9%	—	—	1.70
Neither half drawn	42.5%	41.1%	—	—	2.43

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (DNB)	72.5%	71.4%	40.1%	1.78×	1.40
Preston North End (DNB)	27.5%	28.6%	59.9%	0.48×	3.50

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score first	59.5%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Preston North End to score first	35.0%	28.0%	—	—	3.57
No goal scored	5.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	60.4%	56.6%	54.4%	1.04×	1.77
Not both teams to score	39.6%	43.4%	45.6%	0.95×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	49.3%	44.3%	39.9%	1.11×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	28.1%	33.3%	37.1%	0.90×	3.00
Not both score & over 2.5	11.5%	12.4%	8.6%	1.44×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	11.2%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.0%	82.6%	89.0%	0.93×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	19.0%	17.4%	11.0%	1.59×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	65.9%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.1%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.5%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Both score 2nd half only	26.8%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Both score 1st half only	14.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.27
Both score in both halves	7.2%	6.8%	—	—	14.74

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.3%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.7%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	61.7%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
A half without a goal	38.3%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.9%	42.2%	50.5%	0.84×	2.37
4-6 goals	34.3%	30.8%	22.4%	1.37×	3.25
0-1 goals	16.7%	20.2%	25.9%	0.78×	4.95
7+ goals	4.1%	1.8%	1.4%	1.36×	54.15

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score 3+	31.7%	33.8%	9.4%	3.59×	2.96
Southampton to score exactly 1	27.4%	27.4%	39.6%	0.69×	3.65
Southampton to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	20.6%	1.33×	3.65
Southampton to score exactly 0	13.9%	12.9%	30.5%	0.42×	7.75

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End to score exactly 1	36.3%	35.5%	37.0%	0.96×	2.81
Preston North End to score exactly 0	31.3%	32.6%	22.4%	1.45×	3.07
Preston North End to score exactly 2	21.1%	23.3%	24.6%	0.95×	4.29
Preston North End to score 3+	11.3%	14.3%	16.1%	0.89×	7.00

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	39.9%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Southampton leading at HT	39.0%	39.0%	—	—	2.56
Preston North End leading at HT	21.1%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton -1: 1	44.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Southampton -1: 2	33.3%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Southampton -1: X	21.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:1)	79.1%	73.9%	56.6%	1.31×	1.35
Draw (0:1)	12.3%	13.7%	24.2%	0.57×	7.30
Preston North End (0:1)	8.5%	9.3%	19.3%	0.48×	10.81

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:2)	91.5%	90.7%	80.7%	1.12×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.9%	7.7%	11.3%	0.68×	13.07
Preston North End (0:2)	2.6%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	26.75

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:3)	97.4%	96.6%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.0%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	42.05
Preston North End (0:3)	0.6%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:4)	99.4%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	81.85
Preston North End (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.11×	81.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End (1:0)	44.9%	43.6%	70.9%	0.62×	2.29
Southampton (1:0)	33.3%	30.1%	11.7%	2.57×	3.32
Draw (1:0)	21.8%	21.7%	17.4%	1.24×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End (2:0)	66.7%	70.8%	88.3%	0.80×	1.41
Draw (2:0)	17.1%	15.9%	8.6%	1.85×	6.31
Southampton (2:0)	16.1%	15.8%	3.2%	4.90×	6.32

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.5%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	24.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End to concede	86.1%	85.5%	69.5%	1.23×	1.17
Preston North End clean sheet	13.9%	14.5%	30.5%	0.48×	6.90

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End to concede in 1st half	54.7%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Preston North End clean sheet in 1st half	45.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End to concede in 2nd half	69.5%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
Preston North End clean sheet in 2nd half	30.5%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End over 2.5 corners	81.6%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Preston North End over 3.5 corners	69.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Preston North End under 6.5 corners	66.9%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Preston North End over 4.5 corners	56.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Preston North End under 5.5 corners	56.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Preston North End under 4.5 corners	43.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Preston North End over 5.5 corners	43.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Preston North End over 6.5 corners	33.1%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Preston North End under 3.5 corners	30.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Preston North End under 2.5 corners	18.4%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End under 3.5 goals	96.9%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Preston North End under 2.5 goals	88.7%	87.3%	83.9%	1.04×	1.15
Preston North End over 0.5 goals	68.7%	67.9%	77.6%	0.88×	1.47
Preston North End under 1.5 goals	67.6%	67.9%	59.4%	1.14×	1.47
Preston North End over 1.5 goals	32.4%	32.1%	40.6%	0.79×	3.12
Preston North End under 0.5 goals	31.3%	32.1%	22.4%	1.43×	3.12
Preston North End over 2.5 goals	11.3%	12.7%	16.1%	0.79×	7.86
Preston North End over 3.5 goals	3.1%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.55

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Preston North End under 0.5 in 1st half	60.6%	64.3%	—	—	1.56
Preston North End over 0.5 in 1st half	39.4%	35.7%	—	—	2.80
Preston North End over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	5.4%	—	—	18.65

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End scores equally in both	42.5%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Preston North End scores more in 2nd half	34.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Preston North End scores more in 1st half	23.5%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (home no bet)	69.6%	64.3%	51.3%	1.25×	1.56
Draw (home no bet)	30.4%	35.7%	48.7%	0.73×	2.80

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End even goals	54.9%	50.8%	50.5%	1.01×	1.97
Preston North End odd goals	45.1%	49.2%	49.5%	0.99×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	27.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 0-1	21.5%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	13.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	11.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.11
HT 0-2	8.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.52
Any other HT score	6.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
HT 1-2	4.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.12
HT 2-0	3.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.18
HT 2-1	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.23
HT 2-2	1.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.33

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton at HT / Southampton at FT	32.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Draw at HT / Southampton at FT	18.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Preston North End at HT / Preston North End at FT	11.8%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Preston North End at FT	7.5%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Preston North End at HT / Draw at FT	5.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.54
Southampton at HT / Draw at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Preston North End at HT / Southampton at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.88
Southampton at HT / Preston North End at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score last	59.6%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Preston North End to score last	34.8%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	5.5%	7.5%	—	—	13.32

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.5%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Southampton to lead by 1 at any time	70.2%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.6%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Preston North End to lead by 1 at any time	41.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Southampton to lead by 2 at any time	40.8%	39.1%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	23.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Southampton to lead by 3 at any time	19.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.73
Preston North End to lead by 2 at any time	14.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Preston North End to lead by 3 at any time	3.9%	1.6%	—	—	61.42

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton most corners	51.2%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Preston North End most corners	40.1%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	8.6%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.6%	83.4%	88.8%	0.94×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.2%	78.7%	72.8%	1.08×	1.27
1-4 goals	73.6%	72.3%	83.3%	0.87×	1.38
2-5 goals	73.4%	72.3%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
2-4 goals	62.4%	63.3%	64.7%	0.98×	1.58
3-6 goals	56.7%	59.1%	47.2%	1.25×	1.69
1-3 goals	56.1%	59.1%	69.1%	0.86×	1.69
3-5 goals	50.9%	53.2%	44.5%	1.19×	1.88
2-3 goals	44.9%	43.6%	50.5%	0.86×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.9%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	34.3%	35.2%	22.4%	1.57×	2.84
1-2 goals	33.7%	35.2%	44.4%	0.79×	2.84
4-5 goals	28.5%	30.2%	19.8%	1.53×	3.31
5-6 goals	16.8%	18.8%	8.2%	2.31×	5.31
7+ goals	4.1%	2.6%	1.4%	1.88×	39.09

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton never behind	53.4%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Preston North End never behind	24.3%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.5%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.5%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	90.2%	92.3%	96.0%	0.96×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	83.3%	82.3%	74.1%	1.11×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	79.1%	77.3%	90.6%	0.85×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	61.6%	61.7%	76.3%	0.81×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	60.7%	61.7%	48.4%	1.27×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	39.3%	38.3%	51.6%	0.74×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	38.4%	38.3%	23.7%	1.62×	2.61
Over 4.5 goals	20.9%	22.7%	9.4%	2.41×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	16.7%	17.7%	25.9%	0.68×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	9.8%	7.7%	4.0%	1.94×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	95.7%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	88.9%	86.7%	95.8%	0.91×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	78.4%	75.9%	65.1%	1.17×	1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	74.7%	72.4%	89.0%	0.81×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	50.6%	51.8%	68.5%	0.76×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	49.4%	48.2%	31.5%	1.53×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	25.3%	27.6%	11.0%	2.51×	3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	21.6%	24.1%	34.9%	0.69×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	11.1%	13.3%	4.2%	3.14×	7.55
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	4.3%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	85.9%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	72.3%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half	62.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	37.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half	27.7%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	14.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	83.8%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	71.8%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	55.6%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	44.4%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	28.2%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	16.2%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End not to score in both halves	80.9%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Southampton not to score in both halves	62.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Southampton to score in both halves	38.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Preston North End to score in both halves	19.1%	15.8%	—	—	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	60.4%	60.2%	54.4%	1.11×	1.66
Only Southampton scores	25.7%	26.0%	15.2%	1.71×	3.84
Only Preston North End scores	8.3%	7.1%	23.3%	0.31×	14.00
Neither team scores	5.5%	7.1%	7.3%	0.98×	14.02

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.5%	22.6%	25.7%	0.88×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.5%	17.5%	14.4%	1.22×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	11.2%	12.1%	18.7%	0.65×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	11.0%	12.1%	5.5%	2.19×	8.26
6 or more goals	9.8%	7.6%	4.0%	1.91×	13.13
Exactly 0 goals	5.5%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.1%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	27.7%	28.6%	—	—	3.49
2 goals in 1st half	23.1%	21.4%	—	—	4.67
3+ goals in 1st half	14.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.14

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	55.6%	53.9%	—	—	1.85
1 goal in 2nd half	28.3%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
No goals in 2nd half	16.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.99

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End not to win both halves	95.6%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Southampton not to win both halves	81.0%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Southampton to win both halves	19.0%	16.6%	—	—	6.01
Preston North End to win both halves	4.4%	2.8%	—	—	35.41

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win either half	68.1%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Preston North End to win neither half	63.1%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Preston North End to win either half	36.9%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Southampton to win neither half	31.9%	32.1%	—	—	3.11

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Preston North End not to win to nil	91.7%	92.1%	76.7%	1.20×	1.09
Southampton not to win to nil	74.3%	75.3%	84.8%	0.89×	1.33
Southampton to win to nil	25.7%	24.7%	15.2%	1.62×	4.05
Preston North End to win to nil	8.3%	7.9%	23.3%	0.34×	12.63

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.1%	24.1%	27.6%	0.87×	4.15
Southampton by 1	21.8%	24.1%	17.4%	1.38×	4.15
Southampton by 2	17.1%	17.0%	8.6%	1.99×	5.87
Southampton by 3+	16.1%	17.0%	3.2%	5.28×	5.87
Preston North End by 1	12.3%	11.8%	24.2%	0.49×	8.51
Preston North End by 2	5.9%	7.2%	11.3%	0.64×	13.92
Preston North End by 3+	2.6%	2.7%	8.1%	0.34×	36.89