PSV Eindhoven v PEC Zwolle — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 December 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

PSV Eindhoven

20:00 UTC

PEC Zwolle

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 23 Oct, 10:58 · 1,377h before kick-off

PSV Eindhoven win

86.6%

model 85.6%

Draw

7.7%

model 9.5%

PEC Zwolle win

5.7%

model 4.9%

8786

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (6 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

3-0 8.4%
3-1 7.7%
4-0 7.7%
4-1 7.1%
2-0 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	83.4%	Under 2.5	16.6%
BTTS yes	58.8%	BTTS no	41.2%
PSV Eindhoven 1+	97.4%	PSV Eindhoven 2+	88.0%
PEC Zwolle 1+	60.0%	PEC Zwolle 2+	23.3%

Expected goals 3.66 – 0.92. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

79/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

PSV Eindhoven (-2.5)

Asian handicap · usually 13%

52.2% fair odds 1.92

strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

PEC Zwolle not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.3% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 828 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

PSV Eindhoven carry the stronger rating, 1814 Elo against 1436.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

PSV Eindhoven have an estimated 86.6% win probability, against 7.7% for the draw and 5.7% for PEC Zwolle. Expected goals from the ensemble are 3.66 for PSV Eindhoven and 0.92 for PEC Zwolle.

Why PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven carry the stronger rating, 1814 Elo against 1436. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 7.7%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why PEC Zwolle can win

Nothing in the data singles out PEC Zwolle.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for PSV Eindhoven, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for PEC Zwolle, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

PSV Eindhoven: 63% possession, 21.6 shots a match, 7.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. PEC Zwolle: 40% possession, 10.2 shots a match, 20.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. PSV Eindhoven's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-23 14:52 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-23 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

PSV Eindhoven are the model's most likely outcome at 86.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 3-0 at 8.4%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	86105	3.66–0.92	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	8884	4.02–0.99	4-0 7%	88%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to win	87.4%	88.0%	44.4%	1.98×	1.14
Draw	8.2%	8.2%	25.6%	0.32×	12.26
PEC Zwolle to win	4.4%	5.4%	30.1%	0.18×	18.56

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven & both teams score	51.4%	48.1%	21.2%	2.28×	2.08
PSV Eindhoven & not both score	36.0%	33.3%	23.4%	1.42×	3.00
Draw & both teams score	7.2%	8.3%	22.2%	0.37×	12.01
PEC Zwolle & both teams score	3.5%	4.9%	17.2%	0.28×	20.59
Draw & not both score	1.0%	4.8%	3.5%	1.38×	20.66
PEC Zwolle & not both score	0.9%	4.8%	13.1%	0.37×	20.67

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven & over 1.5	85.0%	84.1%	36.2%	2.32×	1.19
PSV Eindhoven & over 2.5	79.6%	76.0%	28.9%	2.63×	1.32
PSV Eindhoven & over 3.5	66.9%	67.6%	17.0%	3.97×	1.48
PSV Eindhoven & under 3.5	20.6%	21.6%	27.5%	0.78×	4.63
PSV Eindhoven & under 2.5	7.9%	7.9%	15.7%	0.51×	12.63
Draw & over 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	22.2%	0.36×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.2%	4.8%	10.7%	0.45×	20.81
Draw & under 2.5	4.0%	4.8%	15.1%	0.32×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.2%	4.8%	10.7%	0.45×	20.81
Draw & under 3.5	4.0%	4.8%	15.1%	0.32×	20.81
PEC Zwolle & over 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	26.2%	0.18×	20.81
PEC Zwolle & over 2.5	3.7%	4.8%	20.4%	0.24×	20.81
PSV Eindhoven & under 1.5	2.4%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.82
PEC Zwolle & over 3.5	2.2%	4.8%	10.4%	0.46×	20.82
PEC Zwolle & under 3.5	2.2%	4.8%	19.9%	0.24×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	1.0%	4.8%	3.5%	1.37×	20.83
PEC Zwolle & under 1.5	0.4%	4.8%	4.1%	1.17×	20.83
PEC Zwolle & under 2.5	0.7%	4.8%	9.9%	0.49×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (1UP)	93.3%	94.8%	—	—	1.06
PEC Zwolle (1UP)	23.1%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (2UP)	87.4%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
PEC Zwolle (2UP)	5.0%	6.6%	—	—	15.05

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to win 2nd half	75.4%	76.9%	—	—	1.30
2nd half drawn	16.6%	18.0%	—	—	5.55
PEC Zwolle to win 2nd half	8.0%	7.0%	—	—	14.30

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.9%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
PEC Zwolle under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.1%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
PEC Zwolle over 0.5 in 2nd half	44.9%	45.6%	—	—	2.20
PEC Zwolle over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.1%	13.2%	—	—	7.59

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.8%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 in 2nd half	66.3%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
PSV Eindhoven under 1.5 in 2nd half	33.7%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
PSV Eindhoven under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.2%	11.4%	—	—	8.78

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (+0.5)	95.6%	96.3%	69.9%	1.38×	1.04
PSV Eindhoven (-0.5)	87.4%	88.5%	44.4%	1.99×	1.13
PSV Eindhoven (-1.5)	74.5%	73.7%	25.3%	2.92×	1.36
PSV Eindhoven (-2.5)	57.1%	57.0%	13.2%	4.31×	1.75
PEC Zwolle (+2.5)	42.9%	43.0%	86.8%	0.50×	2.33
PEC Zwolle (+1.5)	25.5%	26.3%	74.7%	0.35×	3.80
PEC Zwolle (+0.5)	12.6%	11.5%	55.6%	0.21×	8.67
PEC Zwolle (-0.5)	4.4%	3.7%	30.1%	0.12×	27.02

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle to concede	98.2%	96.7%	83.6%	1.16×	1.03
PEC Zwolle clean sheet	1.8%	3.3%	16.4%	0.20×	30.76

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle to concede in 1st half	82.2%	83.8%	—	—	1.19
PEC Zwolle clean sheet in 1st half	17.8%	16.2%	—	—	6.17

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle to concede in 2nd half	89.8%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
PEC Zwolle clean sheet in 2nd half	10.2%	8.1%	—	—	12.37

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle under 6.5 corners	93.6%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
PEC Zwolle under 5.5 corners	87.6%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
PEC Zwolle under 4.5 corners	77.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
PEC Zwolle under 3.5 corners	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
PEC Zwolle over 2.5 corners	57.1%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
PEC Zwolle under 2.5 corners	42.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
PEC Zwolle over 3.5 corners	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
PEC Zwolle over 4.5 corners	22.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
PEC Zwolle over 5.5 corners	12.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
PEC Zwolle over 6.5 corners	6.4%	10.1%	—	—	9.91

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.5%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
PEC Zwolle under 2.5 goals	92.1%	92.3%	84.9%	1.09×	1.08
PEC Zwolle under 1.5 goals	73.8%	71.9%	58.1%	1.24×	1.39
PEC Zwolle over 0.5 goals	63.0%	63.2%	73.2%	0.86×	1.58
PEC Zwolle under 0.5 goals	37.0%	36.8%	26.8%	1.37×	2.72
PEC Zwolle over 1.5 goals	26.2%	28.1%	41.9%	0.67×	3.56
PEC Zwolle over 2.5 goals	7.9%	7.7%	15.1%	0.51×	13.05
PEC Zwolle over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.5%	5.6%	0.44×	39.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle under 1.5 in 1st half	93.9%	93.9%	—	—	1.06
PEC Zwolle under 0.5 in 1st half	67.2%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
PEC Zwolle over 0.5 in 1st half	32.8%	30.6%	—	—	3.27
PEC Zwolle over 1.5 in 1st half	6.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.52

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle scores equally in both	46.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
PEC Zwolle scores more in 2nd half	33.5%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
PEC Zwolle scores more in 1st half	20.1%	21.9%	—	—	4.56

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (away no bet)	91.4%	92.3%	63.5%	1.45×	1.08
Draw (away no bet)	8.6%	7.7%	36.5%	0.21×	13.06

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle even goals	56.8%	56.9%	57.4%	0.99×	1.76
PEC Zwolle odd goals	43.2%	43.1%	42.6%	1.01×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	51.1%	54.0%	—	—	1.85
Both halves over 1.5 goals	48.9%	46.0%	—	—	2.17

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	92.0%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
Both halves under 1.5 goals	8.0%	8.6%	—	—	11.62

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	89.5%	90.9%	—	—	1.10
PSV Eindhoven to score 2+ in a row	86.2%	88.6%	—	—	1.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	65.2%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
PSV Eindhoven to score 3+ in a row	63.9%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
PEC Zwolle to score 2+ in a row	13.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.29
PEC Zwolle to score 3+ in a row	2.1%	2.5%	—	—	39.46

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven corners (+3.5)	98.8%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
PSV Eindhoven corners (+2.5)	97.6%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
PSV Eindhoven corners (+1.5)	95.7%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
PSV Eindhoven corners (-1.5)	82.3%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
PSV Eindhoven corners (-2.5)	74.9%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
PSV Eindhoven corners (-3.5)	66.5%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
PEC Zwolle corners (+3.5)	33.5%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
PEC Zwolle corners (+2.5)	25.1%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
PEC Zwolle corners (+1.5)	17.7%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
PEC Zwolle corners (-1.5)	4.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.42
PEC Zwolle corners (-2.5)	2.4%	4.3%	—	—	23.48
PEC Zwolle corners (-3.5)	1.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.51

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	49.7%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	26.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
0-8 corners	23.9%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	83.5%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	76.1%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	67.6%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 10.5 corners	58.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 12.5 corners	59.0%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	50.3%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	49.7%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 10.5 corners	41.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 12.5 corners	41.0%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	32.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	23.9%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Under 7.5 corners	16.5%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	36.9%	31.1%	6.5%	4.75×	3.22
3-0	7.3%	7.4%	4.3%	1.74×	13.51
3-1	7.2%	7.4%	3.7%	2.03×	13.51
4-0	7.3%	7.4%	1.8%	4.05×	13.50
4-1	7.3%	7.4%	3.2%	2.32×	13.51
2-0	5.4%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
2-1	5.4%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.51
0-0	1.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
0-1	0.4%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.32
0-2	0.3%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.32
0-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.32
1-0	2.4%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.31
1-1	3.0%	1.7%	11.7%	0.15×	58.30
1-2	1.3%	1.7%	8.1%	0.21×	58.31
1-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.32
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.32
2-2	2.7%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.30
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
3-2	3.6%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-2	3.6%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.30
4-3	1.2%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.31
4-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (2nd half DNB)	90.4%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
PEC Zwolle (2nd half DNB)	9.6%	8.1%	—	—	12.40

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven leading at HT (DNB)	89.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
PEC Zwolle leading at HT (DNB)	10.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven or draw (1X)	95.6%	94.6%	69.9%	1.35×	1.06
PSV Eindhoven or PEC Zwolle (12)	91.8%	91.8%	74.4%	1.23×	1.09
PEC Zwolle or draw (X2)	12.6%	12.0%	55.6%	0.22×	8.34

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven or draw at HT	92.1%	91.4%	—	—	1.09
PSV Eindhoven or PEC Zwolle at HT	78.2%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
PEC Zwolle or draw at HT	29.7%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven or draw (1UP)	95.6%	97.1%	—	—	1.03
PEC Zwolle or draw (1UP)	23.1%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven or draw in 2nd half	92.0%	93.0%	—	—	1.08
PSV Eindhoven or PEC Zwolle in 2nd half	83.4%	82.0%	—	—	1.22
PEC Zwolle or draw in 2nd half	24.6%	23.1%	—	—	4.34

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	65.6%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
A half drawn	34.4%	32.0%	—	—	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (DNB)	95.2%	95.1%	59.6%	1.60×	1.05
PEC Zwolle (DNB)	4.8%	4.9%	40.4%	0.12×	20.30

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to score first	79.4%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
PEC Zwolle to score first	19.7%	18.8%	—	—	5.32
No goal scored	1.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.78

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	62.1%	56.6%	60.3%	0.94×	1.77
Not both teams to score	37.9%	43.4%	39.7%	1.09×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	59.1%	47.6%	48.7%	0.98×	2.10
Not both score & over 2.5	28.3%	33.3%	11.1%	3.00×	3.00
Not both score & under 2.5	9.5%	8.3%	28.8%	0.29×	12.06
Both score & under 2.5	3.0%	4.6%	11.7%	0.40×	21.57

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	76.2%	79.6%	80.4%	0.99×	1.26
Both teams to score 2+	23.8%	20.4%	19.6%	1.04×	4.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	59.6%	65.3%	—	—	1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half	40.4%	34.7%	—	—	2.88

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	43.4%	50.5%	—	—	1.98
Both score 2nd half only	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Both score 1st half only	16.1%	15.0%	—	—	6.68
Both score in both halves	10.9%	10.7%	—	—	9.39

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	27.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	83.2%	81.8%	—	—	1.22
A half without a goal	16.8%	18.2%	—	—	5.51

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	50.3%	41.2%	33.8%	1.22×	2.43
7+ goals	23.1%	22.9%	4.1%	5.57×	4.37
2-3 goals	22.9%	22.9%	46.7%	0.49×	4.37
0-1 goals	3.8%	1.8%	15.7%	0.12×	54.12

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle to score exactly 0	37.0%	35.9%	26.8%	1.34×	2.78
PEC Zwolle to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	31.5%	1.14×	2.78
PEC Zwolle to score exactly 2	18.3%	19.6%	26.9%	0.73×	5.11
PEC Zwolle to score 3+	7.9%	8.6%	15.1%	0.57×	11.69

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to score 3+	76.1%	74.4%	23.7%	3.13×	1.34
PSV Eindhoven to score exactly 2	14.7%	14.3%	26.9%	0.53×	6.98
PSV Eindhoven to score exactly 1	7.3%	10.3%	33.2%	0.31×	9.71
PSV Eindhoven to score exactly 0	1.8%	6.1%	16.4%	0.37×	16.37

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven leading at HT	70.3%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Draw at HT	21.8%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
PEC Zwolle leading at HT	7.9%	8.6%	—	—	11.69

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven -1: 1	74.5%	66.1%	—	—	1.51
PSV Eindhoven -1: X	12.9%	13.9%	—	—	7.17
PSV Eindhoven -1: 2	12.6%	13.9%	—	—	7.18

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (0:1)	74.5%	71.1%	25.3%	2.82×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	12.9%	13.7%	19.3%	0.71×	7.29
PEC Zwolle (0:1)	12.6%	13.7%	55.6%	0.25×	7.29

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (0:2)	57.1%	62.9%	13.2%	4.75×	1.59
PEC Zwolle (0:2)	25.5%	23.9%	74.7%	0.32×	4.18
Draw (0:2)	17.4%	15.3%	12.2%	1.26×	6.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle (0:3)	42.9%	49.4%	86.8%	0.57×	2.02
PSV Eindhoven (0:3)	38.9%	34.2%	5.6%	6.08×	2.92
Draw (0:3)	18.2%	16.2%	7.8%	2.09×	6.18

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle (0:4)	61.1%	67.4%	94.4%	0.71×	1.48
PSV Eindhoven (0:4)	23.4%	17.0%	3.2%	5.31×	5.89
Draw (0:4)	15.5%	10.0%	2.6%	3.86×	10.00

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (1:0)	95.6%	93.9%	69.9%	1.34×	1.07
Draw (1:0)	3.0%	3.3%	14.8%	0.22×	30.64
PEC Zwolle (1:0)	1.4%	3.2%	15.5%	0.21×	30.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (2:0)	98.6%	96.8%	84.5%	1.15×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.1%	2.3%	8.8%	0.26×	43.76
PEC Zwolle (2:0)	0.3%	2.3%	6.8%	0.33×	43.81

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	53.7%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	18.0%	19.4%	—	—	5.14

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to concede	63.0%	63.7%	73.2%	0.87×	1.57
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet	37.0%	36.3%	26.8%	1.36×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet in 1st half	67.2%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
PSV Eindhoven to concede in 1st half	32.8%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet in 2nd half	55.1%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
PSV Eindhoven to concede in 2nd half	44.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven over 2.5 corners	96.7%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
PSV Eindhoven over 3.5 corners	92.5%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
PSV Eindhoven over 4.5 corners	86.1%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
PSV Eindhoven over 5.5 corners	77.9%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
PSV Eindhoven over 6.5 corners	68.3%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
PSV Eindhoven under 6.5 corners	31.7%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
PSV Eindhoven under 5.5 corners	22.1%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
PSV Eindhoven under 4.5 corners	13.9%	13.8%	—	—	7.26
PSV Eindhoven under 3.5 corners	7.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
PSV Eindhoven under 2.5 corners	3.3%	5.1%	—	—	19.55

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven over 0.5 goals	98.2%	96.4%	83.6%	1.15×	1.04
PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals	90.8%	92.2%	50.5%	1.83×	1.08
PSV Eindhoven over 2.5 goals	76.1%	77.7%	23.7%	3.27×	1.29
PSV Eindhoven over 3.5 goals	56.5%	58.6%	10.8%	5.42×	1.71
PSV Eindhoven under 3.5 goals	43.5%	41.4%	89.2%	0.46×	2.42
PSV Eindhoven under 2.5 goals	23.9%	22.3%	76.3%	0.29×	4.49
PSV Eindhoven under 1.5 goals	9.2%	7.8%	49.5%	0.16×	12.87
PSV Eindhoven under 0.5 goals	1.8%	3.6%	16.4%	0.22×	27.58

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven over 0.5 in 1st half	82.2%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 in 1st half	51.4%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
PSV Eindhoven under 1.5 in 1st half	48.6%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
PSV Eindhoven under 0.5 in 1st half	17.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.13

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven scores more in 2nd half	50.4%	57.0%	—	—	1.75
PSV Eindhoven scores more in 1st half	29.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
PSV Eindhoven scores equally in both	20.2%	21.1%	—	—	4.73

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	65.2%	64.1%	45.9%	1.40×	1.56
PEC Zwolle (home no bet)	34.8%	35.9%	54.1%	0.66×	2.79

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven even goals	50.0%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
PSV Eindhoven odd goals	50.0%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other HT score	25.4%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
HT 1-0	20.6%	24.4%	—	—	4.10
HT 2-0	17.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 0-0	12.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.08
HT 1-1	8.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.47
HT 2-1	7.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 0-1	4.7%	2.4%	—	—	41.97
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.19
HT 0-2	0.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.22

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven at HT / PSV Eindhoven at FT	67.4%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Draw at HT / PSV Eindhoven at FT	16.2%	16.7%	—	—	5.99
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	4.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
PEC Zwolle at HT / PSV Eindhoven at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.63
PSV Eindhoven at HT / Draw at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.68
PEC Zwolle at HT / PEC Zwolle at FT	2.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.68
PEC Zwolle at HT / Draw at FT	1.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.69
Draw at HT / PEC Zwolle at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.71
PSV Eindhoven at HT / PEC Zwolle at FT	0.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.74

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to score last	79.3%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
PEC Zwolle to score last	19.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
No goal scored	1.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.78

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	99.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
PSV Eindhoven to lead by 1 at any time	93.3%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	84.2%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
PSV Eindhoven to lead by 2 at any time	80.2%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	62.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
PSV Eindhoven to lead by 3 at any time	61.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
PEC Zwolle to lead by 1 at any time	23.1%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
PEC Zwolle to lead by 2 at any time	5.0%	1.7%	—	—	59.96
PEC Zwolle to lead by 3 at any time	1.0%	1.6%	—	—	63.76

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven most corners	88.2%	86.4%	—	—	1.16
PEC Zwolle most corners	7.4%	8.3%	—	—	11.98
Corners level	4.4%	4.2%	—	—	23.75

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	73.2%	72.4%	80.4%	0.90×	1.38
3-6 goals	64.4%	63.3%	55.7%	1.14×	1.58
1-5 goals	61.2%	63.3%	87.5%	0.72×	1.58
2-5 goals	58.4%	59.1%	75.3%	0.78×	1.69
4-6 goals	50.3%	53.2%	33.8%	1.57×	1.88
3-5 goals	49.6%	48.5%	50.7%	0.96×	2.06
1-4 goals	43.4%	43.6%	75.8%	0.58×	2.29
2-4 goals	40.6%	43.6%	63.6%	0.68×	2.30
4-5 goals	35.5%	39.2%	28.8%	1.36×	2.55
5-6 goals	32.6%	35.2%	16.9%	2.08×	2.84
3-4 goals	31.9%	35.2%	39.0%	0.90×	2.84
1-3 goals	25.7%	30.2%	58.9%	0.51×	3.31
2-3 goals	22.9%	24.5%	46.7%	0.52×	4.08
7+ goals	23.1%	24.5%	4.1%	5.96×	4.08
1-2 goals	11.6%	14.8%	37.0%	0.40×	6.75

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven never behind	75.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
PEC Zwolle never behind	5.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.4%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.6%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	50.8%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	49.2%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.4%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.6%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99.0%	95.4%	96.5%	0.99×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	96.2%	95.4%	84.3%	1.13×	1.05
Over 2.5 goals	87.5%	87.6%	59.7%	1.47×	1.14
Over 3.5 goals	73.3%	72.5%	37.7%	1.92×	1.38
Under 5.5 goals	62.1%	61.7%	90.9%	0.68×	1.62
Over 4.5 goals	55.6%	58.6%	20.9%	2.81×	1.71
Under 4.5 goals	44.4%	41.4%	79.1%	0.52×	2.42
Over 5.5 goals	37.9%	38.3%	9.1%	4.19×	2.61
Under 3.5 goals	26.7%	27.5%	62.3%	0.44×	3.63
Under 2.5 goals	12.5%	12.4%	40.3%	0.31×	8.06
Under 1.5 goals	3.8%	4.6%	15.7%	0.29×	21.86
Under 0.5 goals	1.0%	4.6%	3.5%	1.30×	21.90

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	95.9%	97.2%	79.2%	1.23×	1.03
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	85.4%	86.7%	48.3%	1.79×	1.15
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	72.9%	72.4%	95.7%	0.76×	1.38
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	67.6%	67.4%	25.1%	2.69×	1.48
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	54.0%	51.9%	89.7%	0.58×	1.93
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	46.0%	48.1%	10.3%	4.65×	2.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	32.4%	32.6%	74.9%	0.43×	3.07
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	27.1%	27.6%	4.3%	6.38×	3.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	14.6%	13.3%	51.7%	0.26×	7.53
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	4.1%	2.8%	20.8%	0.14×	35.54

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	88.0%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Under 2.5 in 1st half	64.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half	62.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 1.5 in 1st half	37.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half	35.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Under 0.5 in 1st half	12.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	94.3%	90.6%	—	—	1.10
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	78.2%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	54.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	45.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	21.8%	20.6%	—	—	4.85
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	5.7%	9.4%	—	—	10.65

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle not to score in both halves	85.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
PSV Eindhoven to score in both halves	73.8%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
PSV Eindhoven not to score in both halves	26.2%	26.0%	—	—	3.84
PEC Zwolle to score in both halves	14.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.77

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	62.1%	60.3%	60.3%	1.00×	1.66
Only PSV Eindhoven scores	36.0%	39.9%	23.4%	1.70×	2.51
Neither team scores	1.0%	4.6%	3.5%	1.31×	21.80
Only PEC Zwolle scores	0.9%	4.6%	13.1%	0.35×	21.81

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	37.9%	27.5%	9.1%	3.01×	3.64
Exactly 4 goals	17.7%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	17.7%	17.5%	11.9%	1.47×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	14.1%	12.1%	22.1%	0.55×	8.24
Exactly 2 goals	8.8%	7.6%	24.8%	0.31×	13.13
Exactly 1 goals	2.8%	4.5%	12.3%	0.36×	22.40
Exactly 0 goals	1.0%	4.5%	3.5%	1.27×	22.42

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
3+ goals in 1st half	35.6%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	27.1%	28.2%	—	—	3.54
1 goal in 1st half	25.3%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
No goals in 1st half	12.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	78.2%	75.6%	—	—	1.32
1 goal in 2nd half	16.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.10
No goals in 2nd half	5.7%	9.5%	—	—	10.49

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle not to win both halves	99.4%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
PSV Eindhoven not to win both halves	46.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
PSV Eindhoven to win both halves	53.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
PEC Zwolle to win both halves	0.6%	2.7%	—	—	36.51

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to win either half	92.6%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
PEC Zwolle to win neither half	84.7%	83.9%	—	—	1.19
PEC Zwolle to win either half	15.3%	16.1%	—	—	6.21
PSV Eindhoven to win neither half	7.4%	6.4%	—	—	15.62

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PEC Zwolle not to win to nil	99.1%	96.2%	86.9%	1.11×	1.04
PSV Eindhoven not to win to nil	64.0%	66.6%	76.6%	0.87×	1.50
PSV Eindhoven to win to nil	36.0%	33.4%	23.4%	1.42×	3.00
PEC Zwolle to win to nil	0.9%	3.8%	13.1%	0.29×	26.61

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven by 3+	57.1%	48.7%	13.2%	3.68×	2.05
PSV Eindhoven by 2	17.4%	17.0%	12.2%	1.40×	5.87
PSV Eindhoven by 1	12.9%	11.8%	19.3%	0.61×	8.51
Draw	8.2%	7.2%	25.6%	0.28×	13.90
PEC Zwolle by 1	3.0%	2.7%	14.8%	0.18×	36.81
PEC Zwolle by 2	1.1%	2.7%	8.8%	0.31×	36.87
PEC Zwolle by 3+	0.3%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.89