PSV Eindhoven v Telstar — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · NED-Eredivisie · 2627

Eredivisie results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

PSV Eindhoven

20:00 UTC

Telstar

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,185h before kick-off

PSV Eindhoven win

82.2%

model 79.8%

Draw

10.7%

model 12.8%

Telstar win

7.1%

model 7.4%

82117

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (68 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

3-0 8.5%
3-1 8.2%
2-0 8.0%
2-1 7.7%
4-0 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	78.3%	Under 2.5	21.7%
BTTS yes	59.9%	BTTS no	40.1%
PSV Eindhoven 1+	95.9%	PSV Eindhoven 2+	82.6%
Telstar 1+	62.0%	Telstar 2+	25.2%

Expected goals 3.18 – 0.97. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

75/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

PSV Eindhoven (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 25%

63.7% fair odds 1.57

strong signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Telstar not to score in both halves

Score both halves

84.2% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 827 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

PSV Eindhoven carry the stronger rating, 1814 Elo against 1502.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

PSV Eindhoven have an estimated 82.2% win probability, against 10.7% for the draw and 7.1% for Telstar. Expected goals from the ensemble are 3.18 for PSV Eindhoven and 0.97 for Telstar.

Why PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven carry the stronger rating, 1814 Elo against 1502. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 10.7%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Telstar can win

Nothing in the data singles out Telstar.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for PSV Eindhoven, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Telstar, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

PSV Eindhoven: 63% possession, 21.6 shots a match, 7.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Telstar: 44% possession, 7.2 shots a match, 18.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. PSV Eindhoven's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

PSV Eindhoven are the model's most likely outcome at 82.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 3-0 at 8.5%. Confidence 75/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	80137	3.18–0.97	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	731512	3.10–1.26	3-1 8%	81%	69%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to win	73.2%	73.8%	44.4%	1.66×	1.35
Draw	15.0%	19.4%	25.6%	0.76×	5.17
Telstar to win	11.8%	13.4%	30.1%	0.45×	7.44

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven & both teams score	46.8%	43.0%	21.2%	2.03×	2.33
PSV Eindhoven & not both score	26.4%	25.2%	23.4%	1.07×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	13.2%	13.3%	22.2%	0.60×	7.54
Telstar & both teams score	9.1%	8.3%	17.2%	0.48×	12.00
Telstar & not both score	2.7%	4.9%	13.1%	0.37×	20.58
Draw & not both score	1.8%	4.9%	3.5%	1.39×	20.60

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven & over 1.5	69.8%	68.0%	36.2%	1.88×	1.47
PSV Eindhoven & over 2.5	63.6%	54.9%	28.9%	1.90×	1.82
PSV Eindhoven & over 3.5	49.5%	45.1%	17.0%	2.64×	2.22
PSV Eindhoven & under 3.5	23.6%	21.6%	27.5%	0.78×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	13.2%	12.8%	22.2%	0.58×	7.79
Telstar & over 1.5	10.7%	12.8%	26.2%	0.49×	7.79
PSV Eindhoven & under 2.5	9.6%	7.9%	15.7%	0.51×	12.63
Telstar & over 2.5	9.7%	7.9%	20.4%	0.39×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	7.7%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & under 2.5	7.4%	7.9%	15.1%	0.53×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	7.7%	7.9%	10.7%	0.74×	12.63
Draw & under 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	15.1%	0.53×	12.63
Telstar & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	10.4%	0.77×	12.63
Telstar & under 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	19.9%	0.40×	12.63
PSV Eindhoven & under 1.5	3.4%	4.8%	8.4%	0.57×	20.82
Draw & under 1.5	1.8%	4.8%	3.5%	1.37×	20.83
Telstar & under 2.5	2.1%	4.8%	9.9%	0.49×	20.82
Telstar & under 1.5	1.1%	4.8%	4.1%	1.17×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (1UP)	84.8%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Telstar (1UP)	34.5%	33.2%	—	—	3.02

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (2UP)	73.2%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Telstar (2UP)	11.8%	13.9%	—	—	7.22

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to win 2nd half	61.1%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
2nd half drawn	23.4%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
Telstar to win 2nd half	15.5%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
Telstar over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.2%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Telstar under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.8%	47.3%	—	—	2.12
Telstar over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.34

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven over 0.5 in 2nd half	82.8%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
PSV Eindhoven under 1.5 in 2nd half	47.4%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
PSV Eindhoven under 0.5 in 2nd half	17.2%	17.3%	—	—	5.78

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (+0.5)	88.2%	88.5%	69.9%	1.27×	1.13
PSV Eindhoven (-0.5)	73.2%	73.7%	44.4%	1.66×	1.36
Telstar (+2.5)	64.3%	63.0%	86.8%	0.73×	1.59
PSV Eindhoven (-1.5)	54.9%	52.4%	25.3%	2.07×	1.91
Telstar (+1.5)	45.1%	47.6%	74.7%	0.64×	2.10
PSV Eindhoven (-2.5)	35.7%	37.0%	13.2%	2.80×	2.70
Telstar (+0.5)	26.8%	26.3%	55.6%	0.47×	3.80
Telstar (-0.5)	11.8%	11.5%	30.1%	0.38×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar to concede	95.5%	96.2%	83.6%	1.15×	1.04
Telstar clean sheet	4.5%	3.8%	16.4%	0.23×	26.63

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar to concede in 1st half	73.6%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Telstar clean sheet in 1st half	26.4%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar to concede in 2nd half	82.8%	81.2%	—	—	1.23
Telstar clean sheet in 2nd half	17.2%	18.8%	—	—	5.32

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar under 6.5 corners	89.6%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Telstar under 5.5 corners	81.6%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Telstar under 4.5 corners	69.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Telstar over 2.5 corners	65.4%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Telstar under 3.5 corners	53.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Telstar over 3.5 corners	46.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Telstar under 2.5 corners	34.6%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Telstar over 4.5 corners	30.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Telstar over 5.5 corners	18.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
Telstar over 6.5 corners	10.4%	14.7%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar under 3.5 goals	96.0%	97.5%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Telstar under 2.5 goals	86.5%	87.8%	84.9%	1.03×	1.14
Telstar over 0.5 goals	71.7%	71.8%	73.2%	0.98×	1.39
Telstar under 1.5 goals	64.0%	63.2%	58.1%	1.09×	1.58
Telstar over 1.5 goals	36.0%	36.8%	41.9%	0.88×	2.72
Telstar under 0.5 goals	28.3%	28.2%	26.8%	1.05×	3.55
Telstar over 2.5 goals	13.5%	12.2%	15.1%	0.81×	8.20
Telstar over 3.5 goals	4.0%	2.5%	5.6%	0.45×	39.86

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar under 1.5 in 1st half	90.8%	93.7%	—	—	1.07
Telstar under 0.5 in 1st half	60.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Telstar over 0.5 in 1st half	39.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Telstar over 1.5 in 1st half	9.2%	6.3%	—	—	15.98

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar scores equally in both	40.2%	43.4%	—	—	2.30
Telstar scores more in 2nd half	37.8%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Telstar scores more in 1st half	22.1%	21.8%	—	—	4.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (away no bet)	82.9%	82.8%	63.5%	1.30×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	17.1%	17.2%	36.5%	0.47×	5.80

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar even goals	54.0%	52.6%	57.4%	0.92×	1.90
Telstar odd goals	46.0%	47.4%	42.6%	1.11×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	60.7%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Both halves over 1.5 goals	39.3%	36.0%	—	—	2.78

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	87.5%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Both halves under 1.5 goals	12.5%	16.5%	—	—	6.07

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	81.8%	80.5%	—	—	1.24
PSV Eindhoven to score 2+ in a row	73.3%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Either team to score 3+ in a row	48.3%	46.2%	—	—	2.17
PSV Eindhoven to score 3+ in a row	44.5%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Telstar to score 2+ in a row	21.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
Telstar to score 3+ in a row	4.8%	2.6%	—	—	37.94

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven corners (+3.5)	98.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
PSV Eindhoven corners (+2.5)	96.8%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
PSV Eindhoven corners (+1.5)	94.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
PSV Eindhoven corners (-1.5)	80.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
PSV Eindhoven corners (-2.5)	73.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
PSV Eindhoven corners (-3.5)	65.2%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Telstar corners (+3.5)	34.8%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Telstar corners (+2.5)	26.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Telstar corners (+1.5)	19.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Telstar corners (-1.5)	5.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.60
Telstar corners (-2.5)	3.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.47
Telstar corners (-3.5)	1.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.51

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	57.2%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	24.1%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
0-8 corners	18.7%	22.6%	—	—	4.42

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	87.5%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Over 8.5 corners	81.3%	80.6%	—	—	1.24
Over 9.5 corners	74.0%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 10.5 corners	65.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Over 11.5 corners	57.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 12.5 corners	51.4%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 12.5 corners	48.6%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 11.5 corners	42.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 10.5 corners	34.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 9.5 corners	26.0%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 8.5 corners	18.7%	19.4%	—	—	5.17
Under 7.5 corners	12.5%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	20.7%	20.1%	6.5%	3.06×	4.99
2-1	7.8%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.51
3-1	8.0%	7.4%	3.7%	2.03×	13.51
1-1	5.6%	7.4%	11.7%	0.63×	13.51
2-0	6.1%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.51
3-0	6.3%	7.4%	4.3%	1.74×	13.51
3-2	5.1%	7.4%	2.9%	2.56×	13.51
4-1	6.2%	7.4%	3.2%	2.32×	13.51
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	8.7%	0.20×	58.29
4-0	4.9%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	58.29
0-0	1.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.31
0-1	1.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.31
0-2	1.0%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.31
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.32
1-0	3.4%	1.7%	8.4%	0.20×	58.30
1-2	3.2%	1.7%	8.1%	0.21×	58.30
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.6%	0.66×	58.31
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.32
2-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.31
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	58.32
3-3	2.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.80×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.32
4-2	3.9%	1.7%	1.2%	1.41×	58.30
4-3	1.7%	1.7%	0.6%	2.82×	58.31
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.2%	11.27×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (2nd half DNB)	79.8%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Telstar (2nd half DNB)	20.2%	19.2%	—	—	5.22

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven leading at HT (DNB)	80.4%	85.1%	—	—	1.18
Telstar leading at HT (DNB)	19.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.70

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven or draw (1X)	88.2%	86.6%	69.9%	1.24×	1.16
PSV Eindhoven or Telstar (12)	85.0%	80.6%	74.4%	1.08×	1.24
Telstar or draw (X2)	26.8%	26.2%	55.6%	0.47×	3.82

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven or draw at HT	86.0%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
PSV Eindhoven or Telstar at HT	71.2%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Telstar or draw at HT	42.8%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven or draw (1UP)	88.2%	92.1%	—	—	1.09
Telstar or draw (1UP)	34.5%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven or draw in 2nd half	84.5%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
PSV Eindhoven or Telstar in 2nd half	76.6%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Telstar or draw in 2nd half	38.9%	40.7%	—	—	2.46

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	55.3%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
A half drawn	44.7%	41.4%	—	—	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (DNB)	86.2%	87.0%	59.6%	1.46×	1.15
Telstar (DNB)	13.8%	13.0%	40.4%	0.32×	7.71

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to score first	69.7%	69.9%	—	—	1.43
Telstar to score first	28.5%	27.9%	—	—	3.58
No goal scored	1.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	69.0%	58.5%	60.3%	0.97×	1.71
Not both teams to score	31.0%	41.5%	39.7%	1.04×	2.41

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	63.5%	50.5%	48.7%	1.04×	1.98
Not both score & over 2.5	17.5%	21.6%	11.1%	1.94×	4.64
Not both score & under 2.5	13.5%	12.4%	28.8%	0.43×	8.08
Both score & under 2.5	5.6%	8.3%	11.7%	0.71×	12.09

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	70.7%	80.4%	80.4%	1.00×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	29.3%	19.6%	19.6%	1.00×	5.10

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	55.8%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Both teams to score in 2nd half	44.2%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	39.3%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Both score 2nd half only	31.4%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
Both score 1st half only	16.4%	15.0%	—	—	6.67
Both score in both halves	12.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	70.7%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	29.3%	20.6%	—	—	4.86

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	77.6%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
A half without a goal	22.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.60

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	48.4%	47.2%	33.8%	1.40×	2.12
2-3 goals	30.4%	30.7%	46.7%	0.66×	3.26
7+ goals	14.9%	17.0%	4.1%	4.14×	5.88
0-1 goals	6.3%	7.6%	15.7%	0.48×	13.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar to score exactly 1	35.7%	35.9%	31.5%	1.14×	2.78
Telstar to score exactly 0	28.3%	27.4%	26.8%	1.02×	3.65
Telstar to score exactly 2	22.6%	22.3%	26.9%	0.83×	4.49
Telstar to score 3+	13.5%	12.9%	15.1%	0.86×	7.76

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to score 3+	59.7%	45.4%	23.7%	1.91×	2.21
PSV Eindhoven to score exactly 2	21.7%	23.3%	26.9%	0.87×	4.29
PSV Eindhoven to score exactly 1	14.0%	14.3%	33.2%	0.43×	6.98
PSV Eindhoven to score exactly 0	4.5%	6.2%	16.4%	0.38×	16.10

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven leading at HT	57.2%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
Draw at HT	28.8%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Telstar leading at HT	14.0%	11.9%	—	—	8.42

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven -1: 1	54.9%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
PSV Eindhoven -1: 2	26.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
PSV Eindhoven -1: X	18.3%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (0:1)	54.9%	51.4%	25.3%	2.03×	1.95
Telstar (0:1)	26.8%	27.0%	55.6%	0.49×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	18.3%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar (0:2)	45.1%	50.8%	74.7%	0.68×	1.97
PSV Eindhoven (0:2)	35.7%	38.1%	13.2%	2.87×	2.63
Draw (0:2)	19.3%	15.3%	12.2%	1.25×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar (0:3)	64.3%	66.3%	86.8%	0.76×	1.51
PSV Eindhoven (0:3)	20.1%	19.0%	5.6%	3.38×	5.25
Draw (0:3)	15.6%	16.2%	7.8%	2.08×	6.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar (0:4)	79.9%	81.5%	94.4%	0.86×	1.23
Draw (0:4)	10.3%	9.8%	2.6%	3.77×	10.25
PSV Eindhoven (0:4)	9.8%	4.7%	3.2%	1.47×	21.26

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (1:0)	88.2%	86.1%	69.9%	1.23×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	7.1%	6.9%	14.8%	0.47×	14.48
Telstar (1:0)	4.6%	3.3%	15.5%	0.21×	30.40

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven (2:0)	95.4%	96.8%	84.5%	1.15×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.2%	2.3%	8.8%	0.26×	43.69
Telstar (2:0)	1.4%	2.3%	6.8%	0.33×	43.80

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	52.6%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	19.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to concede	71.7%	73.1%	73.2%	1.00×	1.37
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet	28.3%	26.9%	26.8%	1.01×	3.71

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet in 1st half	60.3%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
PSV Eindhoven to concede in 1st half	39.7%	36.9%	—	—	2.71

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to concede in 2nd half	53.2%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
PSV Eindhoven clean sheet in 2nd half	46.8%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven over 2.5 corners	97.2%	94.9%	—	—	1.05
PSV Eindhoven over 3.5 corners	93.5%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
PSV Eindhoven over 4.5 corners	87.9%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
PSV Eindhoven over 5.5 corners	80.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
PSV Eindhoven over 6.5 corners	71.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
PSV Eindhoven under 6.5 corners	28.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
PSV Eindhoven under 5.5 corners	19.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
PSV Eindhoven under 4.5 corners	12.1%	13.8%	—	—	7.27
PSV Eindhoven under 3.5 corners	6.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
PSV Eindhoven under 2.5 corners	2.8%	5.1%	—	—	19.58

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven over 0.5 goals	95.5%	96.4%	83.6%	1.15×	1.04
PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 goals	81.4%	82.2%	50.5%	1.63×	1.22
PSV Eindhoven under 3.5 goals	62.7%	63.6%	89.2%	0.71×	1.57
PSV Eindhoven over 2.5 goals	59.7%	58.7%	23.7%	2.47×	1.71
PSV Eindhoven under 2.5 goals	40.3%	41.4%	76.3%	0.54×	2.42
PSV Eindhoven over 3.5 goals	37.3%	36.4%	10.8%	3.37×	2.75
PSV Eindhoven under 1.5 goals	18.6%	17.8%	49.5%	0.36×	5.62
PSV Eindhoven under 0.5 goals	4.5%	3.6%	16.4%	0.22×	27.47

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven over 0.5 in 1st half	73.6%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
PSV Eindhoven under 1.5 in 1st half	61.6%	63.9%	—	—	1.57
PSV Eindhoven over 1.5 in 1st half	38.4%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
PSV Eindhoven under 0.5 in 1st half	26.4%	20.5%	—	—	4.88

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven scores more in 2nd half	47.6%	47.1%	—	—	2.12
PSV Eindhoven scores more in 1st half	29.1%	27.9%	—	—	3.59
PSV Eindhoven scores equally in both	23.3%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.1%	56.4%	45.9%	1.23×	1.77
Telstar (home no bet)	43.9%	43.6%	54.1%	0.81×	2.29

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven even goals	50.1%	50.7%	51.0%	0.99×	1.97
PSV Eindhoven odd goals	49.9%	49.3%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	21.1%	24.3%	—	—	4.12
Any other HT score	16.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 0-0	16.0%	18.5%	—	—	5.41
HT 2-0	14.1%	11.0%	—	—	9.09
HT 1-1	10.8%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 0-1	8.0%	6.9%	—	—	14.45
HT 2-1	7.1%	6.9%	—	—	14.46
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.03
HT 0-2	2.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.07
HT 2-2	1.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.09

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven at HT / PSV Eindhoven at FT	51.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Draw at HT / PSV Eindhoven at FT	17.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	7.4%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Telstar at HT / Telstar at FT	6.1%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
Telstar at HT / PSV Eindhoven at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
PSV Eindhoven at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Draw at HT / Telstar at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Telstar at HT / Draw at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
PSV Eindhoven at HT / Telstar at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to score last	69.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Telstar to score last	28.4%	27.6%	—	—	3.62
No goal scored	1.8%	4.3%	—	—	23.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	98.2%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
PSV Eindhoven to lead by 1 at any time	84.8%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	73.1%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
PSV Eindhoven to lead by 2 at any time	63.5%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	43.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
PSV Eindhoven to lead by 3 at any time	41.0%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Telstar to lead by 1 at any time	34.5%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
Telstar to lead by 2 at any time	10.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Telstar to lead by 3 at any time	2.8%	1.6%	—	—	62.22

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven most corners	86.6%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Telstar most corners	8.8%	8.3%	—	—	11.98
Corners level	4.6%	4.2%	—	—	23.67

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	78.8%	78.7%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
1-5 goals	71.0%	72.3%	87.5%	0.83×	1.38
2-5 goals	66.5%	68.8%	75.3%	0.91×	1.45
3-6 goals	66.0%	68.8%	55.7%	1.24×	1.45
1-4 goals	54.2%	53.2%	75.8%	0.70×	1.88
3-5 goals	53.8%	53.2%	50.7%	1.05×	1.88
2-4 goals	49.7%	48.5%	63.6%	0.76×	2.06
4-6 goals	48.4%	48.5%	33.8%	1.43×	2.06
3-4 goals	37.0%	39.2%	39.0%	1.01×	2.55
4-5 goals	36.1%	39.2%	28.8%	1.36×	2.55
1-3 goals	34.9%	35.2%	58.9%	0.60×	2.84
2-3 goals	30.4%	35.2%	46.7%	0.75×	2.84
5-6 goals	29.1%	30.2%	16.9%	1.79×	3.31
1-2 goals	17.2%	18.8%	37.0%	0.51×	5.31
7+ goals	14.9%	14.8%	4.1%	3.61×	6.75

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven never behind	63.6%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Telstar never behind	13.3%	12.3%	—	—	8.14

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.9%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.1%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.5%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	48.5%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.7%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.3%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	98.2%	95.4%	96.5%	0.99×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	93.7%	92.3%	84.3%	1.09×	1.08
Over 2.5 goals	81.0%	82.3%	59.7%	1.38×	1.22
Under 5.5 goals	72.9%	72.5%	90.9%	0.80×	1.38
Over 3.5 goals	63.3%	61.7%	37.7%	1.64×	1.62
Under 4.5 goals	56.0%	58.6%	79.1%	0.74×	1.71
Over 4.5 goals	44.0%	41.4%	20.9%	1.99×	2.42
Under 3.5 goals	36.7%	38.3%	62.3%	0.61×	2.61
Over 5.5 goals	27.1%	27.5%	9.1%	3.01×	3.63
Under 2.5 goals	19.0%	17.7%	40.3%	0.44×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	6.3%	7.7%	15.7%	0.49×	12.95
Under 0.5 goals	1.8%	4.6%	3.5%	1.31×	21.87

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	92.8%	92.4%	79.2%	1.17×	1.08
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	83.0%	81.1%	95.7%	0.85×	1.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.9%	75.9%	48.3%	1.57×	1.32
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	67.4%	67.5%	89.7%	0.75×	1.48
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	54.5%	51.9%	25.1%	2.07×	1.93
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	45.5%	48.1%	74.9%	0.64×	2.08
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	32.6%	32.5%	10.3%	3.15×	3.07
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.1%	24.1%	51.7%	0.47×	4.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	17.0%	18.9%	4.3%	4.37×	5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	7.2%	7.6%	20.8%	0.36×	13.17

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	84.0%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half	72.1%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Over 1.5 in 1st half	54.9%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 1st half	45.1%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 1st half	27.9%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
Under 0.5 in 1st half	16.0%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	91.8%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	71.9%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	53.9%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	46.1%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	28.1%	22.5%	—	—	4.45
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	8.2%	9.9%	—	—	10.08

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar not to score in both halves	78.9%	78.6%	—	—	1.27
PSV Eindhoven to score in both halves	61.0%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
PSV Eindhoven not to score in both halves	39.0%	36.9%	—	—	2.71
Telstar to score in both halves	21.1%	21.4%	—	—	4.67

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	69.0%	60.0%	60.3%	1.00×	1.67
Only PSV Eindhoven scores	26.4%	26.0%	23.4%	1.11×	3.84
Only Telstar scores	2.7%	4.6%	13.1%	0.35×	21.68
Neither team scores	1.8%	4.6%	3.5%	1.32×	21.71

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
6 or more goals	27.1%	24.9%	9.1%	2.72×	4.02
Exactly 4 goals	19.3%	17.5%	17.0%	1.02×	5.73
Exactly 3 goals	17.7%	17.5%	22.1%	0.79×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	16.8%	17.5%	11.9%	1.47×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	12.7%	12.1%	24.8%	0.49×	8.25
Exactly 1 goals	4.5%	4.5%	12.3%	0.36×	22.35
Exactly 0 goals	1.8%	4.5%	3.5%	1.28×	22.39

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	29.1%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
3+ goals in 1st half	27.9%	28.5%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	27.0%	28.5%	—	—	3.51
No goals in 1st half	16.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.43

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	71.9%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
1 goal in 2nd half	19.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
No goals in 2nd half	8.2%	10.1%	—	—	9.93

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar not to win both halves	97.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
PSV Eindhoven not to win both halves	64.9%	69.8%	—	—	1.43
PSV Eindhoven to win both halves	35.1%	30.2%	—	—	3.31
Telstar to win both halves	2.2%	2.8%	—	—	36.09

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven to win either half	83.2%	83.7%	—	—	1.20
Telstar to win neither half	72.7%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Telstar to win either half	27.3%	27.1%	—	—	3.69
PSV Eindhoven to win neither half	16.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.14

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Telstar not to win to nil	97.3%	96.2%	86.9%	1.11×	1.04
PSV Eindhoven not to win to nil	73.6%	75.4%	76.6%	0.98×	1.33
PSV Eindhoven to win to nil	26.4%	24.6%	23.4%	1.05×	4.06
Telstar to win to nil	2.7%	3.8%	13.1%	0.29×	26.11

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
PSV Eindhoven by 3+	35.7%	34.6%	13.2%	2.61×	2.89
PSV Eindhoven by 2	19.3%	17.1%	12.2%	1.40×	5.86
PSV Eindhoven by 1	18.3%	17.0%	19.3%	0.88×	5.87
Draw	15.0%	17.0%	25.6%	0.67×	5.87
Telstar by 1	7.1%	7.2%	14.8%	0.49×	13.91
Telstar by 2	3.2%	2.7%	8.8%	0.31×	36.83
Telstar by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	6.8%	0.40×	36.89