Pyramids FC v Gor Mahia — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 13 September 2026 · CAF-Champions League · 2627
CAF Champions League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (147 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-0 14.4%
- 2-0 13.7%
- 1-1 9.8%
- 2-1 9.3%
- 3-0 8.7%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 47.6% | Under 2.5 | 52.4% |
| BTTS yes | 41.9% | BTTS no | 58.1% |
| Pyramids FC 1+ | 85.0% | Pyramids FC 2+ | 56.6% |
| Gor Mahia 1+ | 49.2% | Gor Mahia 2+ | 14.8% |
Expected goals 1.90 – 0.68. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Pyramids FC have an estimated 67.7% win probability, against 21.8% for the draw and 10.4% for Gor Mahia. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.90 for Pyramids FC and 0.68 for Gor Mahia.
Why Pyramids FC
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 21.8%. Draws run at 33% in this competition.
Why Gor Mahia can win
Nothing in the data singles out Gor Mahia.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Pyramids FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Gor Mahia, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Pyramids FC: 61% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 7.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Gor Mahia: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Pyramids FC are the model's most likely outcome at 67.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.4%. Confidence 19/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.66–0.84 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC to win | 66.4% | 66.2% | 44.8% | 1.48× | 1.51 |
| Draw | 21.0% | 22.9% | 26.1% | 0.88× | 4.37 |
| Gor Mahia to win | 12.5% | 13.0% | 29.1% | 0.45× | 7.70 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC & not both score | 43.1% | 42.1% | 24.9% | 1.69× | 2.38 |
| Pyramids FC & both teams score | 23.3% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 1.10× | 4.58 |
| Draw & both teams score | 13.4% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 0.69× | 7.92 |
| Draw & not both score | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 1.00× | 12.92 |
| Gor Mahia & not both score | 7.4% | 7.7% | 15.2% | 0.51× | 12.92 |
| Gor Mahia & both teams score | 5.2% | 7.7% | 13.9% | 0.56× | 12.92 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC & over 1.5 | 52.0% | 51.5% | 33.7% | 1.53× | 1.94 |
| Pyramids FC & under 3.5 | 46.1% | 47.3% | 31.4% | 1.51× | 2.11 |
| Pyramids FC & over 2.5 | 38.3% | 36.8% | 26.3% | 1.40× | 2.72 |
| Pyramids FC & under 2.5 | 28.1% | 26.5% | 18.5% | 1.43× | 3.78 |
| Pyramids FC & over 3.5 | 20.3% | 21.9% | 13.4% | 1.63× | 4.57 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 17.4% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 0.89× | 5.66 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 17.4% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 0.89× | 5.66 |
| Pyramids FC & under 1.5 | 14.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 1.12× | 8.05 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 13.4% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 0.67× | 8.05 |
| Gor Mahia & under 3.5 | 10.6% | 12.4% | 21.1% | 0.59× | 8.05 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 0.98× | 13.17 |
| Gor Mahia & over 1.5 | 7.4% | 7.6% | 21.4% | 0.35× | 13.17 |
| Gor Mahia & under 2.5 | 6.9% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 0.63× | 13.17 |
| Gor Mahia & under 1.5 | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 0.99× | 13.17 |
| Gor Mahia & over 2.5 | 5.6% | 7.6% | 17.1% | 0.45× | 13.17 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 0.68× | 23.48 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 0.68× | 23.48 |
| Gor Mahia & over 3.5 | 1.9% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 0.53× | 23.49 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC (1UP) | 75.6% | 83.4% | 60.0% | 1.39× | 1.20 |
| Gor Mahia (1UP) | 27.0% | 23.7% | 50.3% | 0.47× | 4.23 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC (2UP) | 66.4% | 68.0% | 45.4% | 1.50× | 1.47 |
| Gor Mahia (2UP) | 12.5% | 14.8% | 34.1% | 0.43× | 6.77 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC to win 2nd half | 52.5% | 51.6% | 37.7% | 1.37× | 1.94 |
| 2nd half drawn | 33.6% | 31.8% | 32.6% | 0.97× | 3.15 |
| Gor Mahia to win 2nd half | 13.8% | 14.1% | 29.7% | 0.48× | 7.08 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC (+0.5) | 87.5% | 87.9% | 70.9% | 1.24× | 1.14 |
| Gor Mahia (+2.5) | 80.1% | 83.1% | 90.8% | 0.92× | 1.20 |
| Pyramids FC (-0.5) | 66.4% | 67.9% | 44.8% | 1.52× | 1.47 |
| Gor Mahia (+1.5) | 59.5% | 58.6% | 78.2% | 0.75× | 1.71 |
| Pyramids FC (-1.5) | 40.5% | 41.4% | 21.8% | 1.90× | 2.42 |
| Gor Mahia (+0.5) | 33.6% | 32.1% | 55.2% | 0.58× | 3.12 |
| Pyramids FC (-2.5) | 19.9% | 16.9% | 9.2% | 1.83× | 5.93 |
| Gor Mahia (-0.5) | 12.5% | 12.1% | 29.1% | 0.42× | 8.24 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia to concede | 85.0% | 88.6% | 77.1% | 1.15× | 1.13 |
| Gor Mahia clean sheet | 15.0% | 11.4% | 22.9% | 0.50× | 8.76 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia to concede in 1st half | 55.8% | 55.8% | 48.3% | 1.16× | 1.79 |
| Gor Mahia clean sheet in 1st half | 44.2% | 44.2% | 51.7% | 0.85× | 2.26 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia under 3.5 goals | 99.5% | 97.6% | 96.4% | 1.01× | 1.02 |
| Gor Mahia under 2.5 goals | 96.8% | 97.6% | 88.3% | 1.11× | 1.03 |
| Gor Mahia under 1.5 goals | 85.2% | 87.6% | 67.9% | 1.29× | 1.14 |
| Gor Mahia under 0.5 goals | 50.7% | 54.1% | 32.7% | 1.66× | 1.85 |
| Gor Mahia over 0.5 goals | 49.3% | 45.9% | 67.3% | 0.68× | 2.18 |
| Gor Mahia over 1.5 goals | 14.8% | 12.4% | 32.1% | 0.39× | 8.06 |
| Gor Mahia over 2.5 goals | 3.2% | 2.4% | 11.7% | 0.20× | 41.81 |
| Gor Mahia over 3.5 goals | 0.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 0.66× | 41.91 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia under 1.5 in 1st half | 96.9% | 96.1% | 89.5% | 1.07× | 1.04 |
| Gor Mahia under 0.5 in 1st half | 76.2% | 74.6% | 59.1% | 1.26× | 1.34 |
| Gor Mahia over 0.5 in 1st half | 23.8% | 25.4% | 40.9% | 0.62× | 3.94 |
| Gor Mahia over 1.5 in 1st half | 3.1% | 3.9% | 10.5% | 0.37× | 25.51 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC (away no bet) | 76.0% | 74.5% | 63.1% | 1.18× | 1.34 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 24.0% | 25.5% | 36.9% | 0.69× | 3.93 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia even goals | 62.9% | 60.5% | 55.8% | 1.08× | 1.65 |
| Gor Mahia odd goals | 37.1% | 39.5% | 44.2% | 0.89× | 2.53 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 87.0% | 87.6% | 82.8% | 1.06× | 1.14 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 13.0% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 0.72× | 8.05 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 60.5% | 62.6% | 66.1% | 0.95× | 1.60 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 39.5% | 37.4% | 33.9% | 1.10× | 2.68 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 57.5% | 58.2% | 58.6% | 0.99× | 1.72 |
| Pyramids FC to score 2+ in a row | 51.1% | 52.9% | 37.0% | 1.43× | 1.89 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 25.0% | 25.6% | 22.9% | 1.12× | 3.90 |
| Pyramids FC to score 3+ in a row | 23.6% | 21.3% | 14.2% | 1.50× | 4.69 |
| Gor Mahia to score 2+ in a row | 9.7% | 7.5% | 28.6% | 0.26× | 13.31 |
| Gor Mahia to score 3+ in a row | 1.5% | 3.1% | 9.1% | 0.35× | 31.92 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | 14.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 1.05× | 8.62 |
| 2-0 | 13.7% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 1.57× | 8.62 |
| 1-1 | 9.8% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 0.61× | 13.46 |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 0.83× | 13.46 |
| 0-0 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 0.96× | 13.46 |
| 3-0 | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.88× | 13.46 |
| 0-1 | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 0.97× | 13.46 |
| 3-1 | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.80× | 13.46 |
| 3-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.69× | 60.47 |
| 4-0 | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.03× | 60.45 |
| 4-1 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.06× | 60.46 |
| 4-2 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.87× | 60.46 |
| 4-3 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.55× | 60.47 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 15.76× | 60.47 |
| Any other score | 4.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 0.50× | 60.45 |
| 0-2 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 0.38× | 60.46 |
| 0-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.79× | 60.46 |
| 0-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.31× | 60.47 |
| 1-2 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.24× | 60.45 |
| 1-3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.67× | 60.46 |
| 1-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.93× | 60.47 |
| 2-2 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 0.32× | 60.45 |
| 2-3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.81× | 60.46 |
| 2-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.15× | 60.47 |
| 3-2 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.63× | 60.46 |
| 3-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.64× | 60.46 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC leading at HT (DNB) | 80.0% | 78.5% | 56.8% | 1.38× | 1.27 |
| Gor Mahia leading at HT (DNB) | 20.0% | 21.5% | 43.2% | 0.50× | 4.65 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC or draw (1X) | 87.5% | 87.0% | 70.9% | 1.23× | 1.15 |
| Pyramids FC or Gor Mahia (12) | 79.0% | 77.1% | 73.9% | 1.04× | 1.30 |
| Gor Mahia or draw (X2) | 33.6% | 33.8% | 55.2% | 0.61× | 2.96 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC or draw at HT | 88.3% | 88.7% | 74.2% | 1.20× | 1.13 |
| Pyramids FC or Gor Mahia at HT | 58.4% | 57.3% | 59.7% | 0.96× | 1.75 |
| Gor Mahia or draw at HT | 53.2% | 54.2% | 66.0% | 0.82× | 1.84 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC or draw (1UP) | 87.5% | 91.3% | 74.2% | 1.23× | 1.10 |
| Gor Mahia or draw (1UP) | 33.6% | 40.3% | 63.8% | 0.63× | 2.48 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC or draw in 2nd half | 86.2% | 85.9% | 70.3% | 1.22× | 1.16 |
| Pyramids FC or Gor Mahia in 2nd half | 66.4% | 68.2% | 67.4% | 1.01× | 1.47 |
| Gor Mahia or draw in 2nd half | 47.5% | 48.4% | 62.3% | 0.78× | 2.07 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 61.2% | 59.3% | 58.8% | 1.01× | 1.69 |
| Neither half drawn | 38.8% | 40.7% | 41.2% | 0.99× | 2.46 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC (DNB) | 84.1% | 82.3% | 60.6% | 1.36× | 1.22 |
| Gor Mahia (DNB) | 15.9% | 17.7% | 39.4% | 0.45× | 5.64 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC to score first | 68.1% | 73.5% | 51.4% | 1.43× | 1.36 |
| Gor Mahia to score first | 24.3% | 17.2% | 42.8% | 0.40× | 5.81 |
| No goal scored | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 1.14× | 14.95 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 58.1% | 55.6% | 47.8% | 1.16× | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | 41.9% | 44.4% | 52.2% | 0.85× | 2.25 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 42.6% | 41.9% | 38.2% | 1.10× | 2.39 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 32.1% | 34.5% | 40.1% | 0.86× | 2.90 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 15.5% | 18.6% | 9.6% | 1.93× | 5.38 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 9.8% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 0.65× | 12.64 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 91.6% | 90.0% | 86.1% | 1.05× | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 0.72× | 10.01 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 77.9% | 73.6% | 70.3% | 1.05× | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 22.1% | 26.4% | 29.7% | 0.89× | 3.79 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 67.6% | 65.0% | 57.9% | 1.12× | 1.54 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 19.2% | 18.6% | 23.7% | 0.79× | 5.37 |
| Both score 1st half only | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 0.96× | 8.38 |
| Both score in both halves | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 0.81× | 20.70 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 86.7% | 83.9% | 81.6% | 1.03× | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 13.3% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 0.88× | 6.20 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 51.4% | 52.9% | 59.0% | 0.90× | 1.89 |
| A half without a goal | 48.6% | 47.1% | 41.0% | 1.15× | 2.12 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.9% | 46.8% | 45.9% | 1.02× | 2.14 |
| 0-1 goals | 27.2% | 27.1% | 26.5% | 1.02× | 3.70 |
| 4-6 goals | 24.3% | 22.9% | 25.7% | 0.89× | 4.36 |
| 7+ goals | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.88× | 55.75 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia to score exactly 0 | 50.7% | 51.0% | 32.7% | 1.56× | 1.96 |
| Gor Mahia to score exactly 1 | 34.4% | 32.8% | 35.3% | 0.93× | 3.05 |
| Gor Mahia to score exactly 2 | 11.7% | 13.0% | 20.4% | 0.64× | 7.72 |
| Gor Mahia to score 3+ | 3.2% | 3.9% | 11.7% | 0.34× | 25.37 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC to score 3+ | 29.6% | 26.5% | 18.9% | 1.40× | 3.77 |
| Pyramids FC to score exactly 1 | 28.4% | 26.5% | 33.8% | 0.78× | 3.77 |
| Pyramids FC to score exactly 2 | 27.0% | 26.5% | 24.3% | 1.09× | 3.77 |
| Pyramids FC to score exactly 0 | 15.0% | 13.1% | 22.9% | 0.57× | 7.64 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC leading at HT | 46.8% | 45.8% | 34.0% | 1.35× | 2.19 |
| Draw at HT | 41.6% | 42.7% | 40.3% | 1.06× | 2.34 |
| Gor Mahia leading at HT | 11.7% | 11.3% | 25.8% | 0.44× | 8.86 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC -1: 1 | 40.5% | 41.2% | — | — | 2.43 |
| Pyramids FC -1: 2 | 33.6% | 30.0% | — | — | 3.34 |
| Pyramids FC -1: X | 25.9% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC (0:1) | 40.5% | 40.9% | 21.8% | 1.88× | 2.45 |
| Gor Mahia (0:1) | 33.6% | 30.5% | 55.2% | 0.55× | 3.28 |
| Draw (0:1) | 25.9% | 27.9% | 23.0% | 1.21× | 3.58 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia (0:2) | 59.5% | 59.1% | 78.2% | 0.76× | 1.69 |
| Draw (0:2) | 20.6% | 21.3% | 12.5% | 1.70× | 4.69 |
| Pyramids FC (0:2) | 19.9% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 1.72× | 6.30 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia (0:3) | 80.1% | 85.4% | 90.8% | 0.94× | 1.17 |
| Draw (0:3) | 11.9% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 2.01× | 8.62 |
| Pyramids FC (0:3) | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.81× | 15.91 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia (0:4) | 92.0% | 93.8% | 96.5% | 0.97× | 1.07 |
| Draw (0:4) | 5.3% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 2.72× | 15.80 |
| Pyramids FC (0:4) | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.12× | 77.91 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC (1:0) | 87.5% | 86.8% | 70.9% | 1.22× | 1.15 |
| Draw (1:0) | 9.3% | 7.0% | 17.1% | 0.41× | 14.22 |
| Gor Mahia (1:0) | 3.3% | 3.2% | 12.0% | 0.27× | 31.22 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC (2:0) | 96.7% | 96.9% | 88.0% | 1.10× | 1.03 |
| Draw (2:0) | 2.6% | 2.3% | 7.4% | 0.31× | 42.96 |
| Gor Mahia (2:0) | 0.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 0.51× | 43.04 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 46.4% | 48.8% | 48.5% | 1.01× | 2.05 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.7% | 26.1% | 26.3% | 0.99× | 3.83 |
| Halves equal | 25.9% | 26.1% | 25.2% | 1.04× | 3.83 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC clean sheet | 50.7% | 54.1% | 32.7% | 1.66× | 1.85 |
| Pyramids FC to concede | 49.3% | 45.9% | 67.3% | 0.68× | 2.18 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC clean sheet in 1st half | 76.2% | 76.1% | 59.1% | 1.29× | 1.31 |
| Pyramids FC to concede in 1st half | 23.8% | 23.9% | 40.9% | 0.58× | 4.19 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC under 3.5 goals | 87.5% | 87.7% | 93.2% | 0.94× | 1.14 |
| Pyramids FC over 0.5 goals | 85.0% | 87.6% | 77.1% | 1.14× | 1.14 |
| Pyramids FC under 2.5 goals | 70.4% | 74.4% | 81.1% | 0.92× | 1.34 |
| Pyramids FC over 1.5 goals | 56.6% | 57.5% | 43.3% | 1.33× | 1.74 |
| Pyramids FC under 1.5 goals | 43.4% | 42.5% | 56.7% | 0.75× | 2.36 |
| Pyramids FC over 2.5 goals | 29.6% | 25.6% | 18.9% | 1.35× | 3.91 |
| Pyramids FC under 0.5 goals | 15.0% | 12.4% | 22.9% | 0.54× | 8.09 |
| Pyramids FC over 3.5 goals | 12.5% | 12.3% | 6.8% | 1.81× | 8.10 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC under 1.5 in 1st half | 80.3% | 81.2% | 85.8% | 0.95× | 1.23 |
| Pyramids FC over 0.5 in 1st half | 55.8% | 55.8% | 48.3% | 1.16× | 1.79 |
| Pyramids FC under 0.5 in 1st half | 44.2% | 44.2% | 51.7% | 0.85× | 2.26 |
| Pyramids FC over 1.5 in 1st half | 19.7% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 1.33× | 5.32 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 62.6% | 60.1% | 47.3% | 1.27× | 1.66 |
| Gor Mahia (home no bet) | 37.4% | 39.9% | 52.7% | 0.76× | 2.51 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC even goals | 51.1% | 50.8% | 52.3% | 0.97× | 1.97 |
| Pyramids FC odd goals | 48.9% | 49.2% | 47.7% | 1.03× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 33.7% | 31.8% | 29.2% | 1.09× | 3.15 |
| HT 1-0 | 27.5% | 26.3% | 20.8% | 1.27× | 3.80 |
| HT 2-0 | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.1% | 1.55× | 9.03 |
| HT 0-1 | 9.1% | 7.8% | 16.4% | 0.48× | 12.83 |
| HT 1-1 | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 0.76× | 12.85 |
| Any other HT score | 5.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.64× | 12.87 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 0.75× | 40.86 |
| HT 0-2 | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 0.50× | 40.94 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.90× | 40.95 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 2.79× | 40.98 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC at HT / Pyramids FC at FT | 42.2% | 38.3% | 25.9% | 1.48× | 2.61 |
| Draw at HT / Pyramids FC at FT | 21.8% | 21.1% | 14.7% | 1.44× | 4.74 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 14.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 0.86× | 8.26 |
| Gor Mahia at HT / Gor Mahia at FT | 6.0% | 6.5% | 17.3% | 0.37× | 15.44 |
| Draw at HT / Gor Mahia at FT | 5.8% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 0.56× | 15.44 |
| Pyramids FC at HT / Draw at FT | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 0.72× | 27.10 |
| Gor Mahia at HT / Draw at FT | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 0.66× | 27.11 |
| Gor Mahia at HT / Pyramids FC at FT | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.26× | 27.14 |
| Pyramids FC at HT / Gor Mahia at FT | 0.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.23× | 27.18 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC to score last | 68.1% | 67.4% | 51.3% | 1.31× | 1.48 |
| Gor Mahia to score last | 24.3% | 20.1% | 42.8% | 0.47× | 4.99 |
| No goal scored | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 1.14× | 14.95 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 92.4% | 93.3% | 94.1% | 0.99× | 1.07 |
| Pyramids FC to lead by 1 at any time | 75.6% | 83.3% | 60.0% | 1.39× | 1.20 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 51.2% | 50.8% | 48.3% | 1.05× | 1.97 |
| Pyramids FC to lead by 2 at any time | 45.5% | 46.9% | 28.4% | 1.65× | 2.13 |
| Gor Mahia to lead by 1 at any time | 27.0% | 24.8% | 50.3% | 0.49× | 4.03 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 23.0% | 20.3% | 19.5% | 1.04× | 4.92 |
| Pyramids FC to lead by 3 at any time | 22.0% | 20.3% | 12.2% | 1.67× | 4.92 |
| Gor Mahia to lead by 2 at any time | 5.8% | 7.6% | 20.2% | 0.38× | 13.12 |
| Gor Mahia to lead by 3 at any time | 1.0% | 2.7% | 7.3% | 0.36× | 37.54 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.7% | 87.4% | 86.6% | 1.01× | 1.15 |
| 1-4 goals | 80.5% | 82.6% | 78.7% | 1.05× | 1.21 |
| 2-6 goals | 71.2% | 72.5% | 71.5% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 68.1% | 68.7% | 67.9% | 1.01× | 1.46 |
| 1-3 goals | 66.5% | 68.7% | 64.6% | 1.06× | 1.46 |
| 2-4 goals | 60.9% | 62.9% | 59.9% | 1.05× | 1.59 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.9% | 47.4% | 45.9% | 1.03× | 2.11 |
| 3-6 goals | 46.0% | 47.4% | 47.6% | 0.99× | 2.11 |
| 1-2 goals | 44.8% | 44.1% | 42.6% | 1.03× | 2.27 |
| 3-5 goals | 42.9% | 44.1% | 44.0% | 1.00× | 2.27 |
| 3-4 goals | 35.7% | 39.0% | 36.1% | 1.08× | 2.57 |
| 4-6 goals | 24.3% | 23.3% | 25.7% | 0.91× | 4.29 |
| 4-5 goals | 21.2% | 23.3% | 22.0% | 1.06× | 4.29 |
| 5-6 goals | 10.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 1.15× | 7.53 |
| 7+ goals | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.05× | 46.86 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC never behind | 65.4% | 71.2% | 49.7% | 1.43× | 1.41 |
| Gor Mahia never behind | 16.8% | 18.8% | 40.0% | 0.47× | 5.32 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 49.7% | 50.1% | 50.2% | 1.00× | 2.00 |
| Even number of goals | 50.3% | 49.9% | 49.8% | 1.00× | 2.00 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 55.7% | 55.2% | 53.6% | 1.03× | 1.81 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 44.3% | 44.8% | 46.4% | 0.97× | 2.23 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.5% | 51.7% | 51.1% | 1.01× | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.5% | 48.3% | 48.9% | 0.99× | 2.07 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 95.3% | 96.3% | 94.4% | 1.02× | 1.04 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 92.4% | 92.3% | 92.3% | 1.00× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88.1% | 88.2% | 86.4% | 1.02× | 1.13 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74.1% | 72.3% | 72.3% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.8% | 72.3% | 73.5% | 0.98× | 1.38 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52.4% | 51.1% | 50.3% | 1.02× | 1.96 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.6% | 48.9% | 49.7% | 0.98× | 2.05 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27.2% | 27.7% | 26.5% | 1.05× | 3.60 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.9% | 27.7% | 27.7% | 1.00× | 3.61 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11.9% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 0.87× | 8.44 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 0.99× | 13.00 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 0.66× | 26.99 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.3% | 97.5% | 97.9% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 94.9% | 92.0% | 93.9% | 0.98× | 1.09 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 86.1% | 87.4% | 84.2% | 1.04× | 1.14 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 66.9% | 66.7% | 64.5% | 1.03× | 1.50 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 63.6% | 62.4% | 65.2% | 0.96× | 1.60 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 36.4% | 37.6% | 34.8% | 1.08× | 2.66 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 33.1% | 33.3% | 35.5% | 0.94× | 3.01 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 13.9% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 0.80× | 7.93 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 1.31× | 12.44 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.18× | 40.31 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 90.3% | 91.9% | 88.5% | 1.04× | 1.09 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 70.3% | 72.6% | 66.3% | 1.09× | 1.38 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 66.3% | 68.0% | 70.8% | 0.96× | 1.47 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 33.7% | 32.0% | 29.2% | 1.10× | 3.13 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 29.7% | 27.4% | 33.7% | 0.81× | 3.65 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 9.7% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 0.70× | 12.33 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 81.2% | 83.4% | 77.6% | 1.08× | 1.20 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 77.5% | 78.9% | 82.3% | 0.96× | 1.27 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 56.1% | 57.0% | 50.3% | 1.13× | 1.75 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 43.9% | 43.0% | 49.7% | 0.87× | 2.33 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 22.5% | 21.1% | 17.7% | 1.19× | 4.73 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 18.8% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 0.74× | 6.04 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia not to score in both halves | 92.1% | 90.0% | 77.6% | 1.16× | 1.11 |
| Pyramids FC not to score in both halves | 63.1% | 65.4% | 70.4% | 0.93× | 1.53 |
| Pyramids FC to score in both halves | 36.9% | 34.6% | 29.6% | 1.17× | 2.89 |
| Gor Mahia to score in both halves | 7.9% | 10.0% | 22.4% | 0.45× | 10.04 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Only Pyramids FC scores | 43.1% | 46.4% | 24.9% | 1.86× | 2.16 |
| Both teams score | 41.9% | 46.3% | 52.2% | 0.89× | 2.16 |
| Neither team scores | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 0.90× | 14.28 |
| Only Gor Mahia scores | 7.4% | 7.0% | 15.2% | 0.46× | 14.28 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 25.2% | 25.4% | 23.9% | 1.06× | 3.94 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.7% | 22.4% | 22.0% | 1.02× | 4.46 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 19.6% | 17.8% | 18.7% | 0.95× | 5.62 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 14.0% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 0.87× | 8.19 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 0.98× | 13.21 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 0.95× | 13.21 |
| 6 or more goals | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 0.68× | 26.05 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 43.9% | 42.6% | 49.7% | 0.86× | 2.35 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 33.6% | 34.2% | 32.6% | 1.05× | 2.93 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 22.5% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 1.17× | 4.85 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia not to win both halves | 98.4% | 97.2% | 91.8% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| Pyramids FC not to win both halves | 75.4% | 80.3% | 86.7% | 0.93× | 1.25 |
| Pyramids FC to win both halves | 24.6% | 19.7% | 13.3% | 1.48× | 5.08 |
| Gor Mahia to win both halves | 1.6% | 2.8% | 8.2% | 0.35× | 35.38 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia to win neither half | 76.1% | 81.8% | 52.7% | 1.55× | 1.22 |
| Pyramids FC to win either half | 74.7% | 70.9% | 58.4% | 1.21× | 1.41 |
| Pyramids FC to win neither half | 25.3% | 29.1% | 41.6% | 0.70× | 3.43 |
| Gor Mahia to win either half | 23.9% | 18.2% | 47.3% | 0.38× | 5.49 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gor Mahia not to win to nil | 92.6% | 92.6% | 84.8% | 1.09× | 1.08 |
| Pyramids FC not to win to nil | 56.9% | 57.4% | 75.1% | 0.76× | 1.74 |
| Pyramids FC to win to nil | 43.1% | 42.6% | 24.9% | 1.71× | 2.35 |
| Gor Mahia to win to nil | 7.4% | 7.4% | 15.2% | 0.49× | 13.51 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pyramids FC by 1 | 25.9% | 28.2% | 23.0% | 1.23× | 3.54 |
| Pyramids FC by 2 | 20.6% | 23.5% | 12.5% | 1.87× | 4.26 |
| Draw | 21.0% | 23.5% | 26.1% | 0.90× | 4.26 |
| Pyramids FC by 3+ | 19.9% | 17.5% | 9.2% | 1.90× | 5.70 |
| Gor Mahia by 1 | 9.3% | 7.1% | 17.1% | 0.42× | 14.12 |
| Gor Mahia by 2 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 7.4% | 0.35× | 38.31 |
| Gor Mahia by 3+ | 0.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 0.57× | 38.36 |