Pyunik Yerevan v Shirak Gyumri — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · ARM-Premier League · 2627

ARM-Premier League results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Pyunik Yerevan

15:00 UTC

Shirak Gyumri

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 99h before kick-off

Pyunik Yerevan win

68.2%

model 67.7%

Draw

23.7%

model 23.0%

Shirak Gyumri win

8.1%

model 9.3%

68248

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (1,419 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 17.6%
2-0 16.1%
0-0 10.9%
1-1 9.8%
3-0 9.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	39.8%	Under 2.5	60.2%
BTTS yes	33.5%	BTTS no	66.5%
Pyunik Yerevan 1+	83.0%	Pyunik Yerevan 2+	52.8%
Shirak Gyumri 1+	39.6%	Shirak Gyumri 2+	9.2%

Expected goals 1.77 – 0.51. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Only Pyunik Yerevan scores

Teams to score · usually 24%

50.8% fair odds 1.97

strong signal · 7636 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Shirak Gyumri (0:3)

Handicap 0:3 · usually 90%

84.4% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 2683 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

At home Pyunik Yerevan average 1.35 xG a match.
They have had 14 days' rest to Shirak Gyumri's 7.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Pyunik Yerevan have only 0 matches on record.
Shirak Gyumri have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Pyunik Yerevan have an estimated 68.2% win probability, against 23.7% for the draw and 8.1% for Shirak Gyumri. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.77 for Pyunik Yerevan and 0.51 for Shirak Gyumri.

Why Pyunik Yerevan

At home Pyunik Yerevan average 1.35 xG a match. They have had 14 days' rest to Shirak Gyumri's 7.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.7%. A combined 2.28 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes.

Why Shirak Gyumri can win

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Shirak Gyumri average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Pyunik Yerevan, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Shirak Gyumri, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Pyunik Yerevan: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Shirak Gyumri: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Pyunik Yerevan are the model's most likely outcome at 68.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 17.6%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	68239	1.77–0.51	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	70237	1.66–0.34	1-0 22%	32%	24%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan to win	70.0%	72.9%	44.4%	1.64×	1.37
Draw	23.4%	24.6%	25.0%	0.98×	4.07
Shirak Gyumri to win	6.6%	8.6%	30.6%	0.28×	11.63

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan & not both score	57.0%	50.3%	24.4%	2.06×	1.99
Draw & not both score	14.0%	13.2%	7.3%	1.81×	7.55
Pyunik Yerevan & both teams score	13.1%	13.2%	20.1%	0.66×	7.55
Draw & both teams score	9.4%	8.4%	17.7%	0.47×	11.94
Shirak Gyumri & not both score	5.0%	8.4%	16.0%	0.52×	11.95
Shirak Gyumri & both teams score	1.6%	4.9%	14.6%	0.34×	20.34

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan & under 3.5	57.1%	54.5%	30.3%	1.80×	1.84
Pyunik Yerevan & over 1.5	48.1%	44.8%	34.1%	1.32×	2.23
Pyunik Yerevan & under 2.5	40.5%	40.0%	17.5%	2.28×	2.50
Pyunik Yerevan & over 2.5	29.5%	25.9%	26.9%	0.96×	3.86
Draw & under 2.5	22.2%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.2%	21.6%	18.8%	1.15×	4.63
Pyunik Yerevan & under 1.5	21.9%	21.6%	10.4%	2.08×	4.63
Draw & under 1.5	14.0%	12.9%	7.3%	1.76×	7.77
Pyunik Yerevan & over 3.5	12.9%	12.9%	14.2%	0.91×	7.77
Draw & over 1.5	9.4%	8.0%	17.7%	0.45×	12.56
Shirak Gyumri & under 3.5	6.3%	8.0%	21.6%	0.37×	12.57
Shirak Gyumri & under 2.5	4.9%	4.9%	12.2%	0.40×	20.52
Shirak Gyumri & under 1.5	4.1%	4.9%	7.5%	0.65×	20.53
Shirak Gyumri & over 1.5	2.5%	4.9%	23.1%	0.21×	20.53
Shirak Gyumri & over 2.5	1.7%	4.9%	18.4%	0.27×	20.54
Draw & over 2.5	1.2%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.54
Draw & over 3.5	1.2%	4.9%	6.2%	0.78×	20.54
Shirak Gyumri & over 3.5	0.3%	4.9%	9.0%	0.54×	20.55

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (1UP)	75.5%	78.6%	59.8%	1.31×	1.27
Shirak Gyumri (1UP)	15.4%	21.3%	50.4%	0.42×	4.69

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (2UP)	70.0%	79.9%	45.2%	1.77×	1.25
Shirak Gyumri (2UP)	6.6%	8.3%	34.2%	0.24×	12.02

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan to win 2nd half	53.9%	52.5%	37.7%	1.40×	1.90
2nd half drawn	38.4%	36.0%	32.7%	1.10×	2.78
Shirak Gyumri to win 2nd half	7.7%	7.6%	29.7%	0.25×	13.21

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri under 1.5 in 2nd half	98.2%	94.9%	82.3%	1.15×	1.05
Shirak Gyumri under 0.5 in 2nd half	81.4%	84.2%	46.6%	1.81×	1.19
Shirak Gyumri over 0.5 in 2nd half	18.6%	15.8%	53.4%	0.30×	6.32
Shirak Gyumri over 1.5 in 2nd half	1.8%	5.1%	17.7%	0.29×	19.71

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan under 1.5 in 2nd half	75.5%	75.6%	77.4%	0.98×	1.32
Pyunik Yerevan over 0.5 in 2nd half	61.2%	62.5%	58.7%	1.07×	1.60
Pyunik Yerevan under 0.5 in 2nd half	38.8%	37.5%	41.4%	0.91×	2.67
Pyunik Yerevan over 1.5 in 2nd half	24.5%	24.4%	22.6%	1.08×	4.10

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (+0.5)	93.4%	92.1%	69.4%	1.33×	1.09
Shirak Gyumri (+2.5)	81.3%	82.6%	90.1%	0.92×	1.21
Pyunik Yerevan (-0.5)	70.0%	73.7%	44.4%	1.66×	1.36
Shirak Gyumri (+1.5)	58.9%	57.0%	77.7%	0.73×	1.76
Pyunik Yerevan (-1.5)	41.1%	43.0%	22.3%	1.93×	2.32
Shirak Gyumri (+0.5)	30.0%	26.3%	55.6%	0.47×	3.80
Pyunik Yerevan (-2.5)	18.7%	17.4%	9.9%	1.76×	5.74
Shirak Gyumri (-0.5)	6.6%	7.9%	30.6%	0.26×	12.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri to concede	81.0%	81.3%	76.7%	1.06×	1.23
Shirak Gyumri clean sheet	19.0%	18.7%	23.3%	0.80×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri clean sheet in 1st half	49.0%	50.8%	51.8%	0.98×	1.97
Shirak Gyumri to concede in 1st half	51.0%	49.2%	48.2%	1.02×	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri to concede in 2nd half	61.2%	60.1%	58.7%	1.03×	1.66
Shirak Gyumri clean sheet in 2nd half	38.8%	39.9%	41.4%	0.96×	2.51

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri under 3.5 goals	100.0%	97.4%	95.7%	1.02×	1.03
Shirak Gyumri under 2.5 goals	99.5%	97.4%	87.0%	1.12×	1.03
Shirak Gyumri under 1.5 goals	95.3%	97.4%	66.3%	1.47×	1.03
Shirak Gyumri under 0.5 goals	71.0%	71.8%	31.7%	2.27×	1.39
Shirak Gyumri over 0.5 goals	29.0%	28.2%	68.3%	0.41×	3.55
Shirak Gyumri over 1.5 goals	4.7%	2.6%	33.7%	0.08×	38.71
Shirak Gyumri over 2.5 goals	0.5%	2.6%	13.0%	0.20×	38.90
Shirak Gyumri over 3.5 goals	0.0%	2.6%	4.3%	0.59×	38.92

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri under 1.5 in 1st half	99.1%	96.2%	89.4%	1.08×	1.04
Shirak Gyumri under 0.5 in 1st half	87.2%	89.0%	59.0%	1.51×	1.12
Shirak Gyumri over 0.5 in 1st half	12.8%	11.0%	41.0%	0.27×	9.06
Shirak Gyumri over 1.5 in 1st half	0.9%	3.8%	10.6%	0.36×	26.10

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri scores equally in both	73.0%	73.0%	40.6%	1.80×	1.37
Shirak Gyumri scores more in 2nd half	16.4%	17.8%	36.5%	0.49×	5.62
Shirak Gyumri scores more in 1st half	10.6%	9.2%	22.9%	0.40×	10.87

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (away no bet)	75.0%	68.5%	64.0%	1.07×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	25.0%	31.5%	36.0%	0.87×	3.18

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri even goals	75.2%	78.9%	55.7%	1.42×	1.27
Shirak Gyumri odd goals	24.8%	21.1%	44.3%	0.48×	4.74

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.3%	92.8%	82.7%	1.12×	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.7%	7.2%	17.3%	0.41×	13.95

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	53.5%	50.5%	33.8%	1.49×	1.98
Not both halves under 1.5	46.5%	49.5%	66.2%	0.75×	2.02

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	48.8%	45.9%	58.6%	0.78×	2.18
Pyunik Yerevan to score 2+ in a row	46.6%	45.8%	36.9%	1.24×	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.8%	19.4%	22.9%	0.85×	5.14
Pyunik Yerevan to score 3+ in a row	20.6%	19.4%	14.2%	1.37×	5.14
Shirak Gyumri to score 2+ in a row	3.1%	2.6%	28.6%	0.09×	38.74
Shirak Gyumri to score 3+ in a row	0.3%	2.5%	9.1%	0.27×	40.54

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	21.9%	20.1%	10.4%	1.93×	4.98
2-0	18.6%	13.6%	7.2%	1.89×	7.37
0-0	14.0%	11.4%	7.3%	1.56×	8.80
3-0	10.3%	11.4%	3.9%	2.90×	8.81
1-1	8.2%	7.4%	11.5%	0.64×	13.54
2-1	6.4%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.54
0-1	4.1%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	57.56
0-2	0.8%	1.7%	4.7%	0.37×	57.58
0-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	57.58
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.9%	1.96×	57.58
1-2	1.3%	1.7%	7.0%	0.25×	57.57
1-3	0.2%	1.7%	2.8%	0.63×	57.58
1-4	0.0%	1.7%	1.0%	1.71×	57.58
2-2	1.1%	1.7%	5.1%	0.34×	57.57
2-3	0.1%	1.7%	2.1%	0.85×	57.58
2-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.6%	2.93×	57.58
3-1	3.5%	1.7%	4.2%	0.42×	57.56
3-2	0.6%	1.7%	2.6%	0.67×	57.58
3-3	0.1%	1.7%	1.0%	1.74×	57.58
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.71×	57.58
4-0	4.3%	1.7%	1.8%	0.99×	57.56
4-1	1.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.04×	57.57
4-2	0.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.90×	57.58
4-3	0.0%	1.7%	0.4%	4.68×	57.58
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	16.38×	57.58
Any other score	2.7%	1.7%	4.1%	0.43×	57.57

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (2nd half DNB)	87.4%	87.0%	55.9%	1.56×	1.15
Shirak Gyumri (2nd half DNB)	12.6%	13.0%	44.1%	0.30×	7.68

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan leading at HT (DNB)	87.7%	86.8%	56.7%	1.53×	1.15
Shirak Gyumri leading at HT (DNB)	12.3%	13.2%	43.3%	0.31×	7.57

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan or draw (1X)	93.4%	91.4%	69.4%	1.32×	1.09
Pyunik Yerevan or Shirak Gyumri (12)	76.6%	75.4%	75.0%	1.01×	1.33
Shirak Gyumri or draw (X2)	30.0%	27.1%	55.6%	0.49×	3.69

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan or draw at HT	93.5%	90.7%	74.1%	1.22×	1.10
Shirak Gyumri or draw at HT	53.6%	47.7%	66.2%	0.72×	2.10
Pyunik Yerevan or Shirak Gyumri at HT	52.9%	47.7%	59.7%	0.80×	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan or draw (1UP)	93.4%	93.8%	74.2%	1.27×	1.07
Shirak Gyumri or draw (1UP)	30.0%	32.4%	63.9%	0.51×	3.09

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan or draw in 2nd half	92.3%	92.4%	70.3%	1.31×	1.08
Pyunik Yerevan or Shirak Gyumri in 2nd half	61.6%	64.0%	67.3%	0.95×	1.56
Shirak Gyumri or draw in 2nd half	46.1%	47.5%	62.3%	0.76×	2.11

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.9%	69.4%	58.9%	1.18×	1.44
Neither half drawn	33.1%	30.6%	41.1%	0.75×	3.26

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (DNB)	91.4%	92.7%	59.2%	1.57×	1.08
Shirak Gyumri (DNB)	8.6%	7.3%	40.8%	0.18×	13.68

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan to score first	71.3%	74.7%	51.2%	1.46×	1.34
Shirak Gyumri to score first	14.7%	10.7%	42.9%	0.25×	9.38
No goal scored	14.0%	10.5%	5.9%	1.77×	9.55

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	76.0%	61.4%	47.6%	1.29×	1.63
Both teams to score	24.0%	38.6%	52.4%	0.74×	2.59

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	59.4%	46.8%	37.1%	1.26×	2.14
Not both score & over 2.5	16.6%	21.3%	10.6%	2.02×	4.69
Both score & over 2.5	15.8%	21.3%	40.9%	0.52×	4.69
Both score & under 2.5	8.2%	8.4%	11.5%	0.73×	11.94

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	97.7%	91.5%	86.0%	1.07×	1.09
Both teams to score 2+	2.3%	8.5%	14.0%	0.60×	11.82

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	88.4%	88.7%	70.2%	1.26×	1.13
Both teams to score in 2nd half	11.6%	11.3%	29.8%	0.38×	8.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	82.6%	83.0%	57.8%	1.44×	1.21
Both score 2nd half only	10.8%	10.7%	23.8%	0.45×	9.35
Both score 1st half only	5.9%	6.7%	12.5%	0.54×	14.85
Both score in both halves	0.7%	4.8%	6.0%	0.80×	20.63

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	93.4%	93.5%	81.5%	1.15×	1.07
Both teams to score by HT	6.6%	6.5%	18.5%	0.35×	15.46

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	60.5%	58.6%	41.1%	1.43×	1.71
A goal in each half	39.5%	41.4%	58.9%	0.70×	2.42

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.7%	46.9%	45.4%	1.03×	2.13
0-1 goals	40.0%	35.0%	25.2%	1.39×	2.86
4-6 goals	13.9%	17.2%	27.0%	0.64×	5.82
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	2.4%	0.76×	54.07

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri to score exactly 0	71.0%	67.3%	31.7%	2.12×	1.49
Shirak Gyumri to score exactly 1	24.3%	22.5%	34.6%	0.65×	4.44
Shirak Gyumri to score exactly 2	4.2%	4.6%	20.8%	0.22×	21.66
Shirak Gyumri to score 3+	0.5%	4.6%	13.0%	0.35×	21.89

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan to score exactly 1	31.6%	32.6%	33.1%	0.99×	3.07
Pyunik Yerevan to score exactly 2	26.2%	26.1%	24.0%	1.09×	3.83
Pyunik Yerevan to score 3+	23.2%	23.4%	19.7%	1.19×	4.28
Pyunik Yerevan to score exactly 0	19.0%	19.2%	23.3%	0.82×	5.21

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.1%	52.3%	40.3%	1.30×	1.91
Pyunik Yerevan leading at HT	46.4%	52.3%	33.8%	1.54×	1.91
Shirak Gyumri leading at HT	6.5%	9.3%	25.9%	0.36×	10.73

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan -1: 1	41.1%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Pyunik Yerevan -1: 2	30.0%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Pyunik Yerevan -1: X	28.9%	26.6%	—	—	3.75

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (0:1)	41.1%	42.5%	22.3%	1.91×	2.35
Shirak Gyumri (0:1)	30.0%	27.2%	55.6%	0.49×	3.68
Draw (0:1)	28.9%	27.1%	22.2%	1.22×	3.68

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri (0:2)	58.9%	63.4%	77.7%	0.82×	1.58
Draw (0:2)	22.4%	20.0%	12.3%	1.62×	5.00
Pyunik Yerevan (0:2)	18.7%	15.0%	9.9%	1.51×	6.66

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri (0:3)	81.3%	85.2%	90.1%	0.95×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	11.8%	10.0%	5.9%	1.71×	9.96
Pyunik Yerevan (0:3)	6.9%	5.9%	4.0%	1.46×	16.93

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri (0:4)	93.1%	94.5%	96.0%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.8%	1.2%	2.5%	0.48×	81.47
Pyunik Yerevan (0:4)	2.1%	1.2%	1.5%	0.81×	81.74

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (1:0)	93.4%	92.3%	69.4%	1.33×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	5.6%	7.0%	17.0%	0.41×	14.32
Shirak Gyumri (1:0)	1.1%	3.4%	13.6%	0.25×	29.08

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan (2:0)	98.9%	96.6%	86.4%	1.12×	1.04
Draw (2:0)	1.0%	2.4%	8.1%	0.30×	41.43
Shirak Gyumri (2:0)	0.1%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	41.48

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.3%	48.2%	48.6%	0.99×	2.07
Halves equal	31.1%	29.2%	25.2%	1.16×	3.43
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	26.5%	26.3%	1.01×	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan clean sheet	71.0%	73.1%	31.7%	2.31×	1.37
Pyunik Yerevan to concede	29.0%	26.9%	68.3%	0.39×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan clean sheet in 1st half	87.2%	87.2%	59.0%	1.48×	1.15
Pyunik Yerevan to concede in 1st half	12.8%	12.8%	41.0%	0.31×	7.80

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan clean sheet in 2nd half	81.4%	81.4%	46.6%	1.75×	1.23
Pyunik Yerevan to concede in 2nd half	18.6%	18.6%	53.4%	0.35×	5.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan under 3.5 goals	91.3%	92.1%	92.4%	1.00×	1.09
Pyunik Yerevan over 0.5 goals	81.0%	81.9%	76.7%	1.07×	1.22
Pyunik Yerevan under 2.5 goals	76.8%	77.4%	80.3%	0.96×	1.29
Pyunik Yerevan under 1.5 goals	50.5%	52.8%	56.3%	0.94×	1.90
Pyunik Yerevan over 1.5 goals	49.5%	47.2%	43.7%	1.08×	2.12
Pyunik Yerevan over 2.5 goals	23.2%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.43
Pyunik Yerevan under 0.5 goals	19.0%	18.1%	23.3%	0.78×	5.53
Pyunik Yerevan over 3.5 goals	8.7%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.67

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan under 1.5 in 1st half	83.9%	84.3%	85.9%	0.98×	1.19
Pyunik Yerevan under 0.5 in 1st half	49.0%	50.9%	51.8%	0.98×	1.96
Pyunik Yerevan over 0.5 in 1st half	51.0%	49.1%	48.2%	1.02×	2.04
Pyunik Yerevan over 1.5 in 1st half	16.1%	15.7%	14.1%	1.11×	6.38

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan scores more in 2nd half	39.4%	37.7%	38.0%	0.99×	2.65
Pyunik Yerevan scores equally in both	34.2%	32.9%	37.1%	0.89×	3.04
Pyunik Yerevan scores more in 1st half	26.4%	28.0%	24.9%	1.12×	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	77.9%	78.9%	44.9%	1.75×	1.27
Shirak Gyumri (home no bet)	22.1%	21.1%	55.1%	0.38×	4.73

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan even goals	51.8%	50.4%	52.8%	0.96×	1.98
Pyunik Yerevan odd goals	48.2%	49.6%	47.2%	1.05×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	42.8%	41.5%	29.3%	1.42×	2.41
HT 1-0	30.4%	32.1%	20.7%	1.55×	3.11
HT 2-0	10.9%	10.9%	7.1%	1.53×	9.17
HT 0-1	5.8%	7.1%	16.3%	0.44×	14.05
HT 1-1	4.3%	2.3%	10.2%	0.23×	43.39
Any other HT score	3.6%	2.3%	4.7%	0.49×	43.44
HT 2-1	1.5%	2.3%	3.3%	0.70×	43.59
HT 0-2	0.4%	2.3%	4.9%	0.47×	43.68
HT 1-2	0.3%	2.3%	2.8%	0.82×	43.68
HT 2-2	0.1%	2.3%	0.9%	2.56×	43.70

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan at HT / Pyunik Yerevan at FT	43.6%	43.4%	25.8%	1.68×	2.31
Draw at HT / Pyunik Yerevan at FT	25.1%	26.8%	14.7%	1.83×	3.73
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.6%	16.8%	14.1%	1.19×	5.96
Draw at HT / Shirak Gyumri at FT	3.4%	3.5%	11.6%	0.30×	28.79
Shirak Gyumri at HT / Shirak Gyumri at FT	3.0%	3.5%	17.4%	0.20×	28.81
Pyunik Yerevan at HT / Draw at FT	2.5%	3.5%	5.1%	0.68×	28.82
Shirak Gyumri at HT / Draw at FT	2.2%	3.5%	5.6%	0.62×	28.84
Shirak Gyumri at HT / Pyunik Yerevan at FT	1.3%	3.5%	2.9%	1.19×	28.87
Pyunik Yerevan at HT / Shirak Gyumri at FT	0.3%	3.5%	3.0%	1.16×	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan to score last	71.5%	72.3%	51.4%	1.41×	1.38
Shirak Gyumri to score last	14.6%	10.0%	42.7%	0.23×	9.99
No goal scored	14.0%	9.9%	5.9%	1.67×	10.14

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.0%	90.3%	94.1%	0.96×	1.11
Pyunik Yerevan to lead by 1 at any time	75.5%	77.9%	59.8%	1.30×	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.6%	43.9%	48.2%	0.91×	2.28
Pyunik Yerevan to lead by 2 at any time	43.8%	39.3%	28.2%	1.39×	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	20.0%	14.9%	19.5%	0.77×	6.70
Pyunik Yerevan to lead by 3 at any time	19.8%	14.9%	12.1%	1.23×	6.70
Shirak Gyumri to lead by 1 at any time	15.4%	14.8%	50.4%	0.29×	6.74
Shirak Gyumri to lead by 2 at any time	1.9%	1.6%	20.3%	0.08×	62.53
Shirak Gyumri to lead by 3 at any time	0.2%	1.6%	7.4%	0.21×	64.29

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.3%	83.3%	86.4%	0.96×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.7%	83.3%	78.0%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.7%	72.2%	63.3%	1.14×	1.38
2-6 goals	59.6%	59.3%	72.4%	0.82×	1.69
2-5 goals	58.4%	59.3%	68.5%	0.87×	1.69
2-4 goals	54.7%	53.4%	60.1%	0.89×	1.87
1-2 goals	53.6%	53.4%	41.2%	1.29×	1.87
2-3 goals	45.7%	48.4%	45.4%	1.07×	2.06
3-6 goals	32.0%	35.3%	49.0%	0.72×	2.83
3-5 goals	30.8%	35.3%	45.1%	0.78×	2.83
3-4 goals	27.1%	30.6%	36.8%	0.83×	3.26
4-6 goals	13.9%	15.1%	27.0%	0.56×	6.64
4-5 goals	12.7%	15.1%	23.0%	0.65×	6.64
5-6 goals	4.8%	2.6%	12.3%	0.21×	38.80
7+ goals	0.5%	2.6%	2.4%	1.06×	38.99

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan never behind	70.6%	76.5%	49.6%	1.54×	1.31
Shirak Gyumri never behind	10.6%	12.4%	40.2%	0.31×	8.05

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.1%	50.9%	50.2%	1.01×	1.96
Even number of goals	51.9%	49.1%	49.8%	0.99×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.3%	57.6%	53.7%	1.07×	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	40.7%	42.4%	46.3%	0.92×	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.3%	58.1%	51.1%	1.14×	1.72
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.7%	41.9%	48.9%	0.86×	2.39

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.3%	95.4%	93.7%	1.02×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.7%	92.2%	85.3%	1.08×	1.09
Over 0.5 goals	86.0%	87.4%	92.7%	0.94×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	85.6%	87.4%	70.6%	1.24×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	67.6%	66.0%	48.5%	1.36×	1.52
Over 1.5 goals	60.0%	61.9%	74.8%	0.83×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	40.0%	38.1%	25.2%	1.51×	2.63
Over 2.5 goals	32.4%	34.0%	51.5%	0.66×	2.94
Over 3.5 goals	14.4%	12.6%	29.4%	0.43×	7.96
Under 0.5 goals	14.0%	12.6%	7.3%	1.72×	7.96
Over 4.5 goals	5.3%	7.8%	14.7%	0.53×	12.83
Over 5.5 goals	1.7%	4.6%	6.3%	0.73×	21.75

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.2%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.3%	97.2%	93.1%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	94.2%	92.4%	82.8%	1.12×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	82.5%	80.5%	62.3%	1.29×	1.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	55.2%	55.2%	32.9%	1.68×	1.81
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	44.8%	44.8%	67.1%	0.67×	2.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	17.5%	19.5%	37.7%	0.52×	5.12
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	5.8%	7.6%	17.2%	0.44×	13.14
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.7%	2.8%	6.9%	0.41×	35.11
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.8%	2.5%	1.13×	35.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.5%	92.9%	88.4%	1.05×	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.9%	78.9%	66.3%	1.19×	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.2%	62.7%	70.7%	0.89×	1.60
Under 0.5 in 1st half	42.8%	37.3%	29.3%	1.28×	2.68
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.1%	21.1%	33.7%	0.63×	4.74
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.5%	7.1%	11.6%	0.62×	14.00

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	89.0%	85.5%	77.5%	1.10×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.2%	67.6%	82.3%	0.82×	1.48
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.8%	67.5%	50.2%	1.34×	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.2%	32.5%	49.8%	0.65×	3.08
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.8%	32.4%	17.7%	1.83×	3.08
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.0%	14.5%	22.5%	0.64×	6.88

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri not to score in both halves	97.6%	97.7%	77.6%	1.26×	1.02
Pyunik Yerevan not to score in both halves	68.8%	70.6%	70.5%	1.00×	1.42
Pyunik Yerevan to score in both halves	31.2%	29.4%	29.5%	1.00×	3.40
Shirak Gyumri to score in both halves	2.4%	2.3%	22.4%	0.10×	44.03

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Pyunik Yerevan scores	57.0%	58.6%	24.4%	2.40×	1.71
Both teams score	24.0%	22.0%	52.4%	0.42×	4.54
Neither team scores	14.0%	11.1%	7.3%	1.52×	9.02
Only Shirak Gyumri scores	5.0%	7.1%	16.0%	0.45×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.6%	24.7%	23.3%	1.06×	4.05
Exactly 1 goals	26.0%	24.7%	17.9%	1.38×	4.05
Exactly 3 goals	18.1%	17.6%	22.1%	0.79×	5.70
Exactly 0 goals	14.0%	12.0%	7.3%	1.65×	8.30
Exactly 4 goals	9.1%	7.8%	14.7%	0.53×	12.83
Exactly 5 goals	3.6%	4.5%	8.4%	0.54×	22.20
6 or more goals	1.7%	4.5%	6.3%	0.71×	22.23

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	42.8%	42.2%	29.3%	1.44×	2.37
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.1%	37.0%	1.00×	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	15.6%	15.2%	22.2%	0.69×	6.58
3+ goals in 1st half	5.5%	7.1%	11.6%	0.62×	14.00

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	36.1%	39.9%	32.5%	1.23×	2.51
2+ goals in 2nd half	32.2%	33.3%	49.8%	0.67×	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	31.8%	33.3%	17.7%	1.88×	3.00

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri not to win both halves	99.5%	97.3%	91.8%	1.06×	1.03
Pyunik Yerevan not to win both halves	74.9%	73.1%	86.8%	0.84×	1.37
Pyunik Yerevan to win both halves	25.1%	26.9%	13.2%	2.03×	3.72
Shirak Gyumri to win both halves	0.5%	2.7%	8.2%	0.33×	37.10

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri to win neither half	86.3%	91.7%	52.6%	1.74×	1.09
Pyunik Yerevan to win either half	75.1%	79.5%	58.3%	1.36×	1.26
Pyunik Yerevan to win neither half	24.9%	20.5%	41.7%	0.49×	4.87
Shirak Gyumri to win either half	13.7%	8.3%	47.4%	0.18×	12.02

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Shirak Gyumri not to win to nil	95.0%	92.1%	84.0%	1.10×	1.09
Pyunik Yerevan to win to nil	57.0%	59.9%	24.4%	2.46×	1.67
Pyunik Yerevan not to win to nil	43.0%	40.1%	75.6%	0.53×	2.49
Shirak Gyumri to win to nil	5.0%	7.9%	16.0%	0.49×	12.67

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Pyunik Yerevan by 1	28.9%	27.7%	22.2%	1.25×	3.61
Draw	23.4%	24.2%	25.0%	0.97×	4.14
Pyunik Yerevan by 2	22.4%	24.2%	12.3%	1.96×	4.14
Pyunik Yerevan by 3+	18.7%	16.9%	9.9%	1.70×	5.92
Shirak Gyumri by 1	5.6%	7.3%	17.0%	0.43×	13.75
Shirak Gyumri by 2	1.0%	2.8%	8.1%	0.35×	35.59
Shirak Gyumri by 3+	0.1%	2.8%	5.4%	0.52×	35.61