Queens Park Rangers v Burnley — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 3 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Queens Park Rangers

19:45 UTC

Burnley

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 201h before kick-off

Queens Park Rangers win

36.6%

model 35.5%

Draw

26.7%

model 29.1%

Burnley win

36.6%

model 35.4%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.9%
0-0 8.6%
2-1 8.2%
1-2 8.2%
1-0 7.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	49.3%	Under 2.5	50.7%
BTTS yes	55.3%	BTTS no	44.7%
Queens Park Rangers 1+	73.4%	Queens Park Rangers 2+	38.2%
Burnley 1+	73.4%	Burnley 2+	38.1%

Expected goals 1.32 – 1.32. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

43/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

88%

★ Best pick

Burnley (+0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 57%

63.8% fair odds 1.57

moderate signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Burnley (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 81%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Queens Park Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1453 Elo against 1396.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

The component models disagree more than usual (agreement 0.88).

Why the model thinks this

The price

Queens Park Rangers have an estimated 36.6% win probability, against 36.6% for Burnley and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.32 for Queens Park Rangers and 1.32 for Burnley.

Why Queens Park Rangers

Queens Park Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1453 Elo against 1396. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.32 to 1.32. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Burnley can win

Nothing in the data singles out Burnley.

Key players

Burnley's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Zian Flemming (0.35), Jaidon Anthony (0.24), Marcus Edwards (0.15).

Availability

No lineup on record for Queens Park Rangers, so availability is unknown. 1 of Burnley's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Queens Park Rangers: 49% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Burnley: 50% possession, 14.8 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.16 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Queens Park Rangers are the model's most likely outcome at 36.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.9%. Confidence 43/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Burnley are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.4 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

LDLLLLLDLD last 10 scored 6 from 10.4 xG conceded 19 from 20.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	352935	1.32–1.32	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	242847	1.06–1.55	1-1 14%	48%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to win	47.3%	47.4%	29.1%	1.63×	2.11
Draw	28.3%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.58
Queens Park Rangers to win	24.4%	24.5%	43.4%	0.56×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley & not both score	25.9%	25.2%	15.2%	1.66×	3.97
Burnley & both teams score	21.4%	21.8%	13.9%	1.56×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	19.5%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Queens Park Rangers & not both score	12.4%	13.3%	23.3%	0.57×	7.54
Queens Park Rangers & both teams score	12.0%	13.3%	20.2%	0.66×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.8%	8.3%	7.3%	1.14×	12.00

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley & over 1.5	37.4%	34.9%	21.4%	1.63×	2.87
Burnley & under 3.5	32.8%	30.8%	22.3%	1.38×	3.25
Burnley & over 2.5	28.5%	26.1%	16.2%	1.61×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	22.3%	21.6%	21.8%	0.99×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	22.3%	21.6%	21.8%	0.99×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	19.5%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.55
Burnley & under 2.5	18.8%	18.0%	12.9%	1.39×	5.55
Queens Park Rangers & over 1.5	18.1%	18.0%	32.5%	0.55×	5.55
Queens Park Rangers & under 3.5	18.3%	18.0%	32.4%	0.56×	5.55
Burnley & over 3.5	14.6%	12.8%	6.8%	1.89×	7.79
Queens Park Rangers & over 2.5	14.0%	12.8%	26.4%	0.49×	7.79
Queens Park Rangers & under 2.5	10.4%	12.8%	17.1%	0.75×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.63
Burnley & under 1.5	10.0%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.62
Queens Park Rangers & under 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	11.0%	0.72×	12.63
Queens Park Rangers & over 3.5	6.1%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.0%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.0%	7.9%	5.9%	1.33×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (1UP)	62.3%	62.9%	—	—	1.59
Queens Park Rangers (1UP)	42.2%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (2UP)	47.3%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Queens Park Rangers (2UP)	24.4%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to win 2nd half	41.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
2nd half drawn	36.5%	36.4%	—	—	2.74
Queens Park Rangers to win 2nd half	22.3%	24.3%	—	—	4.12

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 1.5 in 2nd half	76.1%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Burnley over 0.5 in 2nd half	60.6%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Burnley under 0.5 in 2nd half	39.4%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
Burnley over 1.5 in 2nd half	23.9%	20.6%	—	—	4.85

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.7%	88.8%	—	—	1.13
Queens Park Rangers under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.7%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Queens Park Rangers over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.3%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
Queens Park Rangers over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.3%	11.2%	—	—	8.92

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (+2.5)	97.2%	96.3%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Burnley (+1.5)	90.3%	92.1%	80.7%	1.14×	1.09
Burnley (+0.5)	75.6%	78.5%	56.6%	1.39×	1.27
Queens Park Rangers (+0.5)	52.7%	52.4%	70.9%	0.74×	1.91
Burnley (-0.5)	47.3%	47.6%	29.1%	1.64×	2.10
Queens Park Rangers (-0.5)	24.4%	21.5%	43.4%	0.50×	4.65
Queens Park Rangers (-1.5)	9.7%	7.9%	19.3%	0.41×	12.68
Queens Park Rangers (-2.5)	2.8%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	27.16

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to concede	65.3%	72.2%	77.6%	0.93×	1.38
Burnley clean sheet	34.7%	27.8%	22.4%	1.24×	3.60

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley clean sheet in 1st half	63.4%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Burnley to concede in 1st half	36.6%	35.3%	—	—	2.84

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley clean sheet in 2nd half	54.7%	54.5%	—	—	1.83
Burnley to concede in 2nd half	45.3%	45.5%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 6.5 corners	91.9%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Burnley under 5.5 corners	85.8%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Burnley under 4.5 corners	76.3%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Burnley under 3.5 corners	62.6%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Burnley over 2.5 corners	55.2%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Burnley under 2.5 corners	44.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Burnley over 3.5 corners	37.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Burnley over 4.5 corners	23.7%	24.0%	—	—	4.17
Burnley over 5.5 corners	14.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.77
Burnley over 6.5 corners	8.1%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 3.5 goals	92.7%	92.4%	97.8%	0.94×	1.08
Burnley under 2.5 goals	79.5%	76.3%	90.6%	0.84×	1.31
Burnley over 0.5 goals	78.9%	76.3%	69.5%	1.10×	1.31
Burnley under 1.5 goals	54.0%	53.5%	70.0%	0.76×	1.87
Burnley over 1.5 goals	46.0%	46.5%	30.0%	1.55×	2.15
Burnley under 0.5 goals	21.1%	23.7%	30.5%	0.78×	4.21
Burnley over 2.5 goals	20.5%	23.7%	9.4%	2.52×	4.21
Burnley over 3.5 goals	7.3%	7.7%	2.2%	3.46×	13.07

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley under 1.5 in 1st half	87.1%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Burnley under 0.5 in 1st half	53.7%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Burnley over 0.5 in 1st half	46.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Burnley over 1.5 in 1st half	12.9%	10.8%	—	—	9.29

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley scores more in 2nd half	41.3%	43.6%	—	—	2.29
Burnley scores equally in both	35.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Burnley scores more in 1st half	23.4%	21.8%	—	—	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	53.7%	51.7%	38.9%	1.33×	1.93
Queens Park Rangers (away no bet)	46.3%	48.3%	61.1%	0.79×	2.07

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley even goals	52.2%	52.6%	52.4%	1.00×	1.90
Burnley odd goals	47.8%	47.4%	47.6%	1.00×	2.11

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	86.7%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	13.3%	12.2%	—	—	8.23

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	62.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Both halves under 1.5 goals	37.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	54.0%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
Burnley to score 2+ in a row	38.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.74
Queens Park Rangers to score 2+ in a row	20.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	19.0%	16.2%	—	—	6.18
Burnley to score 3+ in a row	14.1%	12.2%	—	—	8.20
Queens Park Rangers to score 3+ in a row	5.1%	5.4%	—	—	18.36

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers corners (+3.5)	92.5%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Queens Park Rangers corners (+2.5)	87.7%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Queens Park Rangers corners (+1.5)	80.7%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Burnley corners (+3.5)	72.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Burnley corners (+2.5)	62.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Burnley corners (+1.5)	51.3%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Queens Park Rangers corners (-1.5)	48.7%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Queens Park Rangers corners (-2.5)	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Queens Park Rangers corners (-3.5)	27.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Burnley corners (-1.5)	19.3%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Burnley corners (-2.5)	12.3%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Burnley corners (-3.5)	7.5%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	61.3%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
9-11 corners	22.8%	25.7%	—	—	3.90
12+ corners	15.9%	22.5%	—	—	4.44

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	88.8%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	84.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 10.5 corners	78.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 9.5 corners	70.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 8.5 corners	61.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 7.5 corners	50.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 7.5 corners	49.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 8.5 corners	38.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	29.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 10.5 corners	22.0%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Over 11.5 corners	15.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.17
Over 12.5 corners	11.2%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.5%	11.5%	14.5%	0.79×	8.71
0-0	8.8%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.51
0-1	10.0%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.51
0-2	8.9%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.51
1-2	9.4%	7.4%	8.0%	0.93×	13.51
1-0	6.3%	7.4%	11.0%	0.67×	13.51
2-1	6.4%	7.4%	11.5%	0.65×	13.51
1-3	4.9%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.29
2-2	5.0%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.29
0-3	4.6%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.29
0-4	1.8%	1.7%	0.4%	4.04×	58.31
1-4	1.9%	1.7%	0.6%	2.88×	58.31
2-0	4.1%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.30
2-3	2.6%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.30
2-4	1.0%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.31
3-0	1.4%	1.7%	4.0%	0.43×	58.31
3-1	2.3%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.31
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.8%	0.96×	58.31
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.31
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.73×	58.32
4-0	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.01×	58.32
4-1	0.6%	1.7%	0.9%	2.02×	58.32
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.24×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	10.09×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	20.18×	58.32
Any other score	2.6%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (2nd half DNB)	65.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Queens Park Rangers (2nd half DNB)	35.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley leading at HT (DNB)	59.9%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Queens Park Rangers leading at HT (DNB)	40.1%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley or draw (X2)	75.6%	75.5%	56.6%	1.33×	1.32
Queens Park Rangers or Burnley (12)	71.7%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
Queens Park Rangers or draw (1X)	52.7%	52.6%	70.9%	0.74×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley or draw at HT	77.9%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Queens Park Rangers or draw at HT	67.0%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Queens Park Rangers or Burnley at HT	55.1%	57.4%	—	—	1.74

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley or draw (1UP)	75.6%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Queens Park Rangers or draw (1UP)	52.7%	58.7%	—	—	1.71

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley or draw in 2nd half	77.7%	75.7%	—	—	1.32
Queens Park Rangers or Burnley in 2nd half	63.5%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Queens Park Rangers or draw in 2nd half	58.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	63.4%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	36.6%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (DNB)	66.0%	67.4%	40.1%	1.68×	1.48
Queens Park Rangers (DNB)	34.0%	32.6%	59.9%	0.54×	3.07

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to score first	54.3%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Queens Park Rangers to score first	36.9%	32.7%	—	—	3.06
No goal scored	8.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.13

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	52.9%	51.3%	54.4%	0.94×	1.95
Not both teams to score	47.1%	48.7%	45.6%	1.07×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.4%	38.5%	39.9%	0.96×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	38.0%	38.5%	37.1%	1.04×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	13.5%	12.4%	14.5%	0.85×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.0%	8.3%	8.6%	0.97×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.9%	85.6%	89.0%	0.96×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.1%	14.4%	11.0%	1.31×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.0%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.0%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.5%	60.2%	—	—	1.66
Both score 2nd half only	23.3%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	4.6%	5.0%	—	—	20.20

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.8%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	17.2%	16.6%	—	—	6.03

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	52.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
A half without a goal	47.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	48.3%	47.2%	50.5%	0.94×	2.12
0-1 goals	25.1%	26.6%	25.9%	1.03×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.9%	22.9%	22.4%	1.02×	4.36
7+ goals	1.7%	1.8%	1.4%	1.35×	54.39

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to score exactly 1	32.9%	33.8%	39.6%	0.85×	2.96
Burnley to score exactly 2	25.5%	27.4%	20.6%	1.33×	3.65
Burnley to score exactly 0	21.1%	22.3%	30.5%	0.73×	4.49
Burnley to score 3+	20.5%	22.3%	9.4%	2.36×	4.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.5%	37.0%	0.96×	2.81
Queens Park Rangers to score exactly 0	34.7%	32.6%	22.4%	1.45×	3.07
Queens Park Rangers to score exactly 2	19.4%	18.8%	24.6%	0.77×	5.32
Queens Park Rangers to score 3+	9.1%	10.4%	16.1%	0.64×	9.65

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.9%	42.6%	—	—	2.35
Burnley leading at HT	33.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.04
Queens Park Rangers leading at HT	22.1%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley -1: 1	52.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Burnley -1: 2	25.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Burnley -1: X	22.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (0:1)	75.6%	73.7%	56.6%	1.30×	1.36
Draw (0:1)	14.7%	13.7%	24.2%	0.57×	7.28
Queens Park Rangers (0:1)	9.7%	9.3%	19.3%	0.48×	10.78

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (0:2)	90.3%	90.7%	80.7%	1.12×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	6.9%	7.7%	11.3%	0.68×	13.06
Queens Park Rangers (0:2)	2.8%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	26.74

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (0:3)	97.2%	96.6%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	4.8%	0.50×	42.04
Queens Park Rangers (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	3.4%	0.70×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (0:4)	99.3%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	2.4%	0.51×	81.84
Queens Park Rangers (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.1%	1.11×	81.89

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers (1:0)	52.7%	54.1%	70.9%	0.76×	1.85
Burnley (1:0)	25.1%	25.0%	11.7%	2.13×	4.00
Draw (1:0)	22.3%	21.7%	17.4%	1.25×	4.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers (2:0)	74.9%	76.6%	88.3%	0.87×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	14.8%	10.3%	8.6%	1.20×	9.69
Burnley (2:0)	10.2%	10.3%	3.2%	3.18×	9.74

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.7%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	25.7%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers to concede	78.9%	76.1%	69.5%	1.09×	1.31
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet	21.1%	23.9%	30.5%	0.78×	4.18

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet in 1st half	53.7%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Queens Park Rangers to concede in 1st half	46.3%	44.1%	—	—	2.27

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers to concede in 2nd half	60.6%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet in 2nd half	39.4%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 6.5 corners	76.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Queens Park Rangers over 2.5 corners	75.2%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Queens Park Rangers under 5.5 corners	66.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Queens Park Rangers over 3.5 corners	60.6%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Queens Park Rangers under 4.5 corners	53.6%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Queens Park Rangers over 4.5 corners	46.4%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Queens Park Rangers under 3.5 corners	39.4%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Queens Park Rangers over 5.5 corners	34.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Queens Park Rangers under 2.5 corners	24.8%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Queens Park Rangers over 6.5 corners	24.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 3.5 goals	97.7%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
Queens Park Rangers under 2.5 goals	90.9%	92.2%	83.9%	1.10×	1.09
Queens Park Rangers under 1.5 goals	71.4%	74.2%	59.4%	1.25×	1.35
Queens Park Rangers over 0.5 goals	65.3%	67.9%	77.6%	0.88×	1.47
Queens Park Rangers under 0.5 goals	34.7%	32.1%	22.4%	1.43×	3.12
Queens Park Rangers over 1.5 goals	28.6%	25.8%	40.6%	0.64×	3.88
Queens Park Rangers over 2.5 goals	9.1%	7.8%	16.1%	0.48×	12.82
Queens Park Rangers over 3.5 goals	2.3%	3.6%	5.2%	0.70×	27.59

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 1.5 in 1st half	92.3%	94.7%	—	—	1.06
Queens Park Rangers under 0.5 in 1st half	63.4%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Queens Park Rangers over 0.5 in 1st half	36.6%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Queens Park Rangers over 1.5 in 1st half	7.7%	5.3%	—	—	19.02

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers scores equally in both	44.9%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
Queens Park Rangers scores more in 2nd half	32.4%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
Queens Park Rangers scores more in 1st half	22.6%	21.1%	—	—	4.75

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley (home no bet)	62.6%	60.0%	51.3%	1.17×	1.67
Draw (home no bet)	37.4%	40.0%	48.7%	0.82×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers even goals	56.0%	55.3%	50.5%	1.10×	1.81
Queens Park Rangers odd goals	44.0%	44.7%	49.5%	0.90×	2.24

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.3%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
HT 0-1	20.9%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 1-0	15.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
HT 1-1	9.9%	6.9%	—	—	14.50
HT 0-2	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.55
Any other HT score	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 2-0	3.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.17
HT 1-2	3.0%	2.4%	—	—	42.21
HT 2-1	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.36

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley at HT / Burnley at FT	26.7%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	17.9%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Burnley at FT	17.7%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Queens Park Rangers at HT / Queens Park Rangers at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Queens Park Rangers at FT	9.3%	6.1%	—	—	16.43
Queens Park Rangers at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.53
Burnley at HT / Draw at FT	4.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Queens Park Rangers at HT / Burnley at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Burnley at HT / Queens Park Rangers at FT	1.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.97

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley to score last	54.4%	52.2%	—	—	1.92
Queens Park Rangers to score last	36.8%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	8.8%	7.6%	—	—	13.13

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.2%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Burnley to lead by 1 at any time	62.3%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	45.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
Queens Park Rangers to lead by 1 at any time	42.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Burnley to lead by 2 at any time	31.1%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	16.2%	14.8%	—	—	6.75
Queens Park Rangers to lead by 2 at any time	14.4%	10.6%	—	—	9.40
Burnley to lead by 3 at any time	12.3%	10.6%	—	—	9.43
Queens Park Rangers to lead by 3 at any time	3.9%	1.6%	—	—	61.48

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers most corners	60.4%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Burnley most corners	28.6%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	11.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.2%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.8%	78.7%	83.3%	0.94×	1.27
2-6 goals	73.2%	72.3%	72.8%	0.99×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.0%	68.8%	70.2%	0.98×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.6%	63.3%	69.1%	0.92×	1.58
2-4 goals	62.5%	63.3%	64.7%	0.98×	1.58
2-3 goals	48.3%	48.4%	50.5%	0.96×	2.06
3-6 goals	46.7%	48.4%	47.2%	1.03×	2.06
3-5 goals	43.5%	43.6%	44.5%	0.98×	2.29
1-2 goals	42.8%	43.6%	44.4%	0.98×	2.29
3-4 goals	36.0%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.9%	24.5%	22.4%	1.09×	4.09
4-5 goals	21.7%	24.4%	19.8%	1.24×	4.09
5-6 goals	10.7%	14.8%	8.2%	1.81×	6.76
7+ goals	1.7%	2.6%	1.4%	1.88×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Burnley never behind	49.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Queens Park Rangers never behind	28.9%	29.9%	—	—	3.34

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	46.8%	50.9%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	53.2%	49.1%	50.6%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.0%	95.4%	96.0%	0.99×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	87.6%	87.6%	90.6%	0.97×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	74.9%	72.5%	74.1%	0.98×	1.38
Under 3.5 goals	73.3%	72.5%	76.3%	0.95×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	51.5%	52.5%	51.6%	1.02×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	48.5%	47.5%	48.4%	0.98×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	26.7%	27.5%	23.7%	1.16×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	25.1%	27.5%	25.9%	1.06×	3.64
Over 4.5 goals	12.4%	12.4%	9.4%	1.31×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	5.0%	4.6%	4.0%	1.15×	21.79

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.2%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	94.6%	92.4%	95.8%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	85.5%	86.7%	89.0%	0.97×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	65.9%	67.5%	65.1%	1.04×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	65.9%	67.5%	68.5%	0.99×	1.48
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	34.1%	32.5%	34.9%	0.93×	3.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	34.1%	32.5%	31.5%	1.03×	3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	14.5%	13.3%	11.0%	1.21×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.4%	7.6%	4.2%	1.79×	13.20
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.8%	2.8%	1.4%	2.01×	35.63

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.5%	71.3%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.7%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.3%	31.5%	—	—	3.18
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.5%	28.7%	—	—	3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.64

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.0%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	78.0%	79.5%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	54.1%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	45.9%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.0%	20.5%	—	—	4.88
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	20.0%	20.4%	—	—	4.90

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers not to score in both halves	83.4%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Burnley not to score in both halves	71.9%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Burnley to score in both halves	28.1%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Queens Park Rangers to score in both halves	16.6%	15.7%	—	—	6.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	52.9%	53.8%	54.4%	0.99×	1.86
Only Burnley scores	25.9%	26.0%	15.2%	1.71×	3.84
Only Queens Park Rangers scores	12.4%	11.0%	23.3%	0.47×	9.07
Neither team scores	8.8%	7.1%	7.3%	0.98×	13.99

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.5%	24.9%	25.7%	0.97×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.8%	22.6%	24.8%	0.91×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	16.3%	17.5%	18.7%	0.93×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	14.2%	12.1%	14.4%	0.84×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.8%	7.6%	7.3%	1.04×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	7.4%	7.6%	5.5%	1.38×	13.14
6 or more goals	5.0%	4.5%	4.0%	1.12×	22.32

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
No goals in 1st half	34.3%	35.8%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	20.0%	15.8%	—	—	6.33
3+ goals in 1st half	9.5%	7.3%	—	—	13.64

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	45.9%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	32.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	22.0%	22.9%	—	—	4.37

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers not to win both halves	94.9%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Burnley not to win both halves	86.1%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Burnley to win both halves	13.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.27
Queens Park Rangers to win both halves	5.1%	5.8%	—	—	17.29

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers to win neither half	60.8%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Burnley to win either half	60.4%	64.9%	—	—	1.54
Burnley to win neither half	39.6%	35.1%	—	—	2.85
Queens Park Rangers to win either half	39.2%	35.1%	—	—	2.85

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Queens Park Rangers not to win to nil	87.6%	88.1%	76.7%	1.15×	1.14
Burnley not to win to nil	74.1%	75.3%	84.8%	0.89×	1.33
Burnley to win to nil	25.9%	24.7%	15.2%	1.62×	4.05
Queens Park Rangers to win to nil	12.4%	11.9%	23.3%	0.51×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.3%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Burnley by 1	22.3%	24.1%	17.4%	1.38×	4.15
Queens Park Rangers by 1	14.7%	11.8%	24.2%	0.49×	8.50
Burnley by 2	14.8%	11.8%	8.6%	1.37×	8.50
Burnley by 3+	10.2%	11.8%	3.2%	3.64×	8.51
Queens Park Rangers by 2	6.9%	7.2%	11.3%	0.64×	13.91
Queens Park Rangers by 3+	2.8%	2.7%	8.1%	0.34×	36.88