Queens Park Rangers v Lincoln City — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 7 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627
Championship
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.6%
- 1-0 11.3%
- 2-0 9.9%
- 0-0 9.8%
- 2-1 9.3%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 45.3% | Under 2.5 | 54.7% |
| BTTS yes | 49.6% | BTTS no | 50.4% |
| Queens Park Rangers 1+ | 78.6% | Queens Park Rangers 2+ | 45.6% |
| Lincoln City 1+ | 61.2% | Lincoln City 2+ | 24.5% |
Expected goals 1.54 – 0.95. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Lincoln City have only 4 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Queens Park Rangers have an estimated 49.7% win probability, against 28.6% for the draw and 21.8% for Lincoln City. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.54 for Queens Park Rangers and 0.95 for Lincoln City.
Why Queens Park Rangers
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 28.6%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.
Why Lincoln City can win
Nothing in the data singles out Lincoln City.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Queens Park Rangers, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Lincoln City, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Queens Park Rangers: 49% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Lincoln City: 33% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 16.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Queens Park Rangers's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
Queens Park Rangers are the model's most likely outcome at 49.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.6%. Confidence 41/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.54–0.95 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.44–0.93 | 1-1 14% | 42% | 48% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.