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Queens Park Rangers v Wolverhampton Wanderers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 8 December 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Queens Park Rangers win
38.3%
model 36.0%
Draw
23.2%
model 24.5%
Wolverhampton Wanderers win
38.5%
model 39.5%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 10.4%
  2. 1-2 8.3%
  3. 2-1 7.9%
  4. 2-2 7.1%
  5. 1-3 4.9%

Goals

Over 2.567.7% Under 2.532.3%
BTTS yes69.2% BTTS no30.8%
Queens Park Rangers 1+81.8% Queens Park Rangers 2+50.8%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1+83.3% Wolverhampton Wanderers 2+53.3%

Expected goals 1.70 – 1.79. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
41/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
90%
★ Best pick
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)
Over/Under (whole line) · usually 32%
55.9% fair odds 1.79
strong signal · 764 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 2.5 in 1st half
Over/Under 1HT
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 387 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Wolverhampton Wanderers have an estimated 38.5% win probability, against 38.3% for Queens Park Rangers and 23.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.70 for Queens Park Rangers and 1.79 for Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Why Queens Park Rangers

Queens Park Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1453 Elo against 1417. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.2%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.70 to 1.79. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Wolverhampton Wanderers can win

Nothing in the data singles out Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Key players

Wolverhampton Wanderers's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Adam Armstrong (0.34), Tolu Arokodare (0.24), Mateus Mané (0.19).

Availability

No lineup on record for Queens Park Rangers, so availability is unknown. 1 of Wolverhampton Wanderers's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Queens Park Rangers: 49% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Wolverhampton Wanderers: 50% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.54 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-22 14:54 · team_stats 2026-10-20 06:04 · availability 2026-10-22 14:58 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Wolverhampton Wanderers are the model's most likely outcome at 38.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%. Confidence 41/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Wolverhampton Wanderers are finishing below their chances — 3.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 2.3 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WWDLLLDLDD last 10 scored 9 from 12.7 xG conceded 17 from 19.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.70–1.79 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.82–2.33 1-2 8% 78% 76%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win 48.9% 47.4% 29.1% 1.63× 2.11
Queens Park Rangers to win 29.7% 27.9% 43.4% 0.64× 3.58
Draw 21.4% 24.4% 27.6% 0.88× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers & both teams score 35.1% 33.3% 13.9% 2.39× 3.01
Queens Park Rangers & both teams score 22.4% 21.8% 20.2% 1.08× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 19.0% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.57
Wolverhampton Wanderers & not both score 13.8% 13.3% 15.2% 0.87× 7.53
Queens Park Rangers & not both score 7.3% 8.3% 23.3% 0.36× 12.01
Draw & not both score 2.4% 4.8% 7.3% 0.66× 20.62
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 1.5 46.1% 45.0% 21.4% 2.10× 2.22
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 2.5 41.8% 40.3% 16.2% 2.48× 2.48
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 3.5 30.7% 30.8% 6.8% 4.53× 3.25
Queens Park Rangers & over 1.5 27.6% 26.1% 32.5% 0.80× 3.84
Queens Park Rangers & over 2.5 25.0% 26.1% 26.4% 0.99× 3.84
Draw & over 1.5 19.0% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 3.5 18.3% 18.0% 22.3% 0.81× 5.56
Queens Park Rangers & over 3.5 17.4% 18.0% 11.1% 1.62× 5.56
Queens Park Rangers & under 3.5 12.3% 12.8% 32.4% 0.40× 7.79
Draw & over 2.5 11.5% 12.8% 5.9% 2.16× 7.79
Draw & over 3.5 11.5% 12.8% 5.9% 2.16× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 9.9% 7.9% 21.8% 0.36× 12.63
Draw & under 3.5 9.9% 7.9% 21.8% 0.36× 12.63
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 2.5 7.2% 7.9% 12.9% 0.61× 12.63
Queens Park Rangers & under 2.5 4.7% 4.8% 17.1% 0.28× 20.81
Draw & under 1.5 2.4% 4.8% 7.3% 0.66× 20.82
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 1.5 2.9% 4.8% 7.7% 0.62× 20.82
Queens Park Rangers & under 1.5 2.1% 4.8% 11.0% 0.43× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (1UP) 69.1% 70.2% — — 1.42
Queens Park Rangers (1UP) 53.8% 52.7% — — 1.90
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (2UP) 48.9% 50.2% — — 1.99
Queens Park Rangers (2UP) 29.7% 25.4% — — 3.94
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win 2nd half 44.9% 42.0% — — 2.38
Queens Park Rangers to win 2nd half 27.6% 25.8% — — 3.88
2nd half drawn 27.4% 25.8% — — 3.88
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 0.5 in 2nd half 75.3% 78.9% — — 1.27
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 1.5 in 2nd half 59.2% 54.7% — — 1.83
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 in 2nd half 40.8% 45.3% — — 2.21
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 0.5 in 2nd half 24.7% 21.1% — — 4.73
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 1.5 in 2nd half 72.2% 73.9% — — 1.35
Queens Park Rangers over 0.5 in 2nd half 64.5% 63.3% — — 1.58
Queens Park Rangers under 0.5 in 2nd half 35.5% 36.7% — — 2.73
Queens Park Rangers over 1.5 in 2nd half 27.8% 26.1% — — 3.84
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (+2.5) 93.6% 92.1% 91.9% 1.00× 1.09
Wolverhampton Wanderers (+1.5) 84.6% 82.5% 80.7% 1.02× 1.21
Wolverhampton Wanderers (+0.5) 70.3% 73.6% 56.6% 1.30× 1.36
Queens Park Rangers (+0.5) 51.1% 52.4% 70.9% 0.74× 1.91
Wolverhampton Wanderers (-0.5) 48.9% 47.6% 29.1% 1.64× 2.10
Queens Park Rangers (-0.5) 29.7% 26.4% 43.4% 0.61× 3.79
Queens Park Rangers (-1.5) 15.4% 17.5% 19.3% 0.91× 5.73
Queens Park Rangers (-2.5) 6.4% 7.9% 8.1% 0.98× 12.70
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to concede 83.8% 81.5% 77.6% 1.05× 1.23
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet 16.2% 18.5% 22.4% 0.82× 5.42
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to concede in 1st half 54.3% 50.6% — — 1.98
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet in 1st half 45.7% 49.4% — — 2.03
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to concede in 2nd half 64.5% 61.8% — — 1.62
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet in 2nd half 35.5% 38.2% — — 2.62
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 6.5 corners 92.8% 89.9% — — 1.11
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 5.5 corners 87.1% 85.2% — — 1.17
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 4.5 corners 78.1% 76.0% — — 1.32
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 3.5 corners 64.7% 61.8% — — 1.62
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 2.5 corners 53.1% 53.1% — — 1.89
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 2.5 corners 46.9% 46.9% — — 2.13
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 3.5 corners 35.3% 38.2% — — 2.62
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 4.5 corners 21.9% 24.0% — — 4.17
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 5.5 corners 12.9% 14.8% — — 6.77
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 6.5 corners 7.2% 10.1% — — 9.91
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 0.5 goals 90.3% 92.3% 69.5% 1.33× 1.08
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 3.5 goals 79.3% 76.3% 97.8% 0.78× 1.31
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 goals 67.6% 68.0% 30.0% 2.27× 1.47
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 2.5 goals 58.8% 59.4% 90.6% 0.66× 1.68
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 2.5 goals 41.2% 40.6% 9.4% 4.30× 2.46
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 1.5 goals 32.4% 32.0% 70.0% 0.46× 3.12
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 3.5 goals 20.7% 23.7% 2.2% 10.74× 4.22
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 0.5 goals 9.7% 7.7% 30.5% 0.25× 13.03
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 1.5 in 1st half 76.1% 75.4% — — 1.33
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 0.5 in 1st half 60.7% 63.5% — — 1.58
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 0.5 in 1st half 39.3% 36.5% — — 2.74
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 in 1st half 24.0% 24.6% — — 4.07
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers scores more in 2nd half 47.7% 48.2% — — 2.08
Wolverhampton Wanderers scores equally in both 27.2% 26.3% — — 3.80
Wolverhampton Wanderers scores more in 1st half 25.1% 26.2% — — 3.82
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers (away no bet) 58.2% 57.4% 61.1% 0.94× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 41.8% 42.6% 38.9% 1.10× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers even goals 50.5% 52.6% 52.4% 1.00× 1.90
Wolverhampton Wanderers odd goals 49.5% 47.4% 47.6% 1.00× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 64.3% 65.8% — — 1.52
Both halves over 1.5 goals 35.7% 34.2% — — 2.93
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 85.7% 82.5% — — 1.21
Both halves under 1.5 goals 14.3% 17.5% — — 5.71
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 76.8% 75.6% — — 1.32
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 2+ in a row 54.7% 51.1% — — 1.96
Queens Park Rangers to score 2+ in a row 39.1% 36.7% — — 2.73
Either team to score 3+ in a row 36.7% 36.6% — — 2.73
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 3+ in a row 24.8% 19.7% — — 5.08
Queens Park Rangers to score 3+ in a row 13.4% 12.1% — — 8.29
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers corners (+3.5) 93.2% 89.6% — — 1.12
Queens Park Rangers corners (+2.5) 88.6% 84.5% — — 1.18
Queens Park Rangers corners (+1.5) 81.8% 79.8% — — 1.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+3.5) 71.4% 70.7% — — 1.41
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+2.5) 61.5% 61.8% — — 1.62
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+1.5) 50.1% 52.4% — — 1.91
Queens Park Rangers corners (-1.5) 49.9% 47.6% — — 2.10
Queens Park Rangers corners (-2.5) 38.5% 38.2% — — 2.62
Queens Park Rangers corners (-3.5) 28.6% 29.3% — — 3.42
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-1.5) 18.2% 20.2% — — 4.94
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-2.5) 11.4% 15.5% — — 6.45
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-3.5) 6.8% 10.4% — — 9.59
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 62.6% 48.4% — — 2.07
9-11 corners 22.4% 25.7% — — 3.90
12+ corners 15.0% 22.5% — — 4.44
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 89.5% 83.1% — — 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 85.0% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 10.5 corners 79.1% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 9.5 corners 71.6% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 8.5 corners 62.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 7.5 corners 52.2% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 7.5 corners 47.8% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 8.5 corners 37.4% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 9.5 corners 28.4% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 10.5 corners 20.9% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 11.5 corners 15.0% 19.3% — — 5.18
Over 12.5 corners 10.5% 16.9% — — 5.92
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 12.1% 11.5% 3.0% 3.86× 8.72
1-1 7.5% 7.4% 14.5% 0.51× 13.50
1-2 7.8% 7.4% 8.0% 0.93× 13.50
2-2 7.1% 7.4% 5.2% 1.43× 13.51
1-3 6.1% 7.4% 3.1% 2.42× 13.51
2-1 6.1% 7.4% 11.5% 0.65× 13.51
2-3 5.5% 7.4% 1.7% 4.36× 13.51
0-0 2.4% 1.7% 7.3% 0.23× 58.31
0-1 2.9% 1.7% 7.7% 0.22× 58.30
0-2 4.3% 1.7% 5.3% 0.33× 58.30
0-3 3.3% 1.7% 1.6% 1.06× 58.30
0-4 1.9% 1.7% 0.4% 4.04× 58.31
1-0 2.1% 1.7% 11.0% 0.16× 58.31
1-4 3.5% 1.7% 0.6% 2.88× 58.30
2-0 2.6% 1.7% 6.1% 0.28× 58.30
2-4 3.2% 1.7% 0.3% 6.73× 58.30
3-0 1.6% 1.7% 4.0% 0.43× 58.31
3-1 3.7% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.30
3-2 4.3% 1.7% 1.8% 0.96× 58.29
3-3 3.3% 1.7% 0.9% 2.02× 58.30
3-4 1.9% 1.7% 0.3% 6.73× 58.31
4-0 0.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.01× 58.32
4-1 1.7% 1.7% 0.9% 2.02× 58.31
4-2 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 2.24× 58.31
4-3 1.5% 1.7% 0.2% 10.09× 58.31
4-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.1% 20.18× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (2nd half DNB) 61.9% 62.5% — — 1.60
Queens Park Rangers (2nd half DNB) 38.1% 37.5% — — 2.67
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers leading at HT (DNB) 56.3% 57.2% — — 1.75
Queens Park Rangers leading at HT (DNB) 43.7% 42.8% — — 2.34
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers or Wolverhampton Wanderers (12) 78.6% 75.6% 72.4% 1.04× 1.32
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw (X2) 70.3% 72.1% 56.6% 1.27× 1.39
Queens Park Rangers or draw (1X) 51.1% 52.6% 70.9% 0.74× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw at HT 71.2% 75.0% — — 1.33
Queens Park Rangers or Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT 66.0% 66.6% — — 1.50
Queens Park Rangers or draw at HT 62.8% 61.6% — — 1.62
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw (1UP) 70.3% 79.5% — — 1.26
Queens Park Rangers or draw (1UP) 53.8% 58.8% — — 1.70
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers or Wolverhampton Wanderers in 2nd half 72.6% 74.2% — — 1.35
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw in 2nd half 72.4% 74.2% — — 1.35
Queens Park Rangers or draw in 2nd half 55.1% 58.0% — — 1.73
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half drawn 48.8% 50.1% — — 2.00
A half drawn 51.2% 49.9% — — 2.00
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (DNB) 62.2% 62.7% 40.1% 1.56× 1.60
Queens Park Rangers (DNB) 37.8% 37.3% 59.9% 0.62× 2.68
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score first 54.8% 53.5% — — 1.87
Queens Park Rangers to score first 42.8% 41.7% — — 2.40
No goal scored 2.4% 4.2% — — 23.55
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 76.4% 62.0% 54.4% 1.14× 1.61
Not both teams to score 23.6% 38.0% 45.6% 0.83× 2.63
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 69.0% 57.3% 39.9% 1.44× 1.74
Not both score & under 2.5 14.2% 12.4% 37.1% 0.33× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 9.4% 8.3% 8.6% 0.97× 12.06
Both score & under 2.5 7.5% 8.3% 14.5% 0.57× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 63.3% 71.0% 89.0% 0.80× 1.41
Both teams to score 2+ 36.7% 29.0% 11.0% 2.65× 3.45
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 51.1% 51.3% — — 1.95
Both teams to score in 2nd half 48.9% 48.7% — — 2.06
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 34.1% 27.6% — — 3.62
Both score 2nd half only 32.9% 27.4% — — 3.66
Both score 1st half only 17.1% 15.0% — — 6.66
Both score in both halves 16.0% 15.0% — — 6.68
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 67.0% 70.4% — — 1.42
Both teams to score by HT 33.0% 29.6% — — 3.38
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 75.2% 77.0% — — 1.30
A half without a goal 24.8% 23.0% — — 4.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 46.9% 47.2% 22.4% 2.10× 2.12
2-3 goals 33.2% 30.7% 50.5% 0.61× 3.25
7+ goals 12.6% 16.9% 1.4% 12.44× 5.91
0-1 goals 7.3% 7.6% 25.9% 0.29× 13.13
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 3+ 41.2% 37.3% 9.4% 3.95× 2.68
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 2 26.4% 27.4% 20.6% 1.33× 3.66
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 1 22.7% 22.3% 39.6% 0.56× 4.49
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 0 9.7% 8.6% 30.5% 0.28× 11.67
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers to score exactly 1 29.5% 26.6% 37.0% 0.72× 3.77
Queens Park Rangers to score 3+ 27.4% 26.5% 16.1% 1.64× 3.77
Queens Park Rangers to score exactly 2 26.8% 26.5% 24.6% 1.08× 3.77
Queens Park Rangers to score exactly 0 16.2% 18.8% 22.4% 0.84× 5.33
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers leading at HT 37.2% 38.4% — — 2.60
Draw at HT 34.0% 33.4% — — 3.00
Queens Park Rangers leading at HT 28.8% 25.0% — — 4.01
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: 1 51.1% 52.1% — — 1.92
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: 2 30.3% 30.0% — — 3.33
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: X 18.6% 17.5% — — 5.70
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:1) 70.3% 71.0% 56.6% 1.25× 1.41
Queens Park Rangers (0:1) 15.4% 17.8% 19.3% 0.92× 5.62
Draw (0:1) 14.3% 13.7% 24.2% 0.57× 7.28
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:2) 84.6% 83.0% 80.7% 1.03× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 8.9% 7.7% 11.3% 0.68× 13.03
Queens Park Rangers (0:2) 6.4% 7.7% 8.1% 0.95× 13.05
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:3) 93.6% 92.7% 91.9% 1.01× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 4.2% 2.4% 4.8% 0.50× 42.01
Queens Park Rangers (0:3) 2.3% 2.4% 3.4% 0.70× 42.09
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:4) 97.7% 98.1% 96.6% 1.02× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.6% 1.2% 2.4% 0.51× 81.93
Queens Park Rangers (0:4) 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 1.10× 82.03
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers (1:0) 51.1% 53.9% 70.9% 0.76× 1.85
Wolverhampton Wanderers (1:0) 30.3% 29.9% 11.7% 2.55× 3.34
Draw (1:0) 18.6% 17.1% 17.4% 0.98× 5.85
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers (2:0) 69.7% 71.1% 88.3% 0.81× 1.41
Wolverhampton Wanderers (2:0) 15.7% 15.8% 3.2% 4.89× 6.34
Draw (2:0) 14.6% 10.3% 8.6% 1.20× 9.70
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 53.2% 50.2% — — 1.99
1st half highest scoring 26.4% 26.2% — — 3.82
Halves equal 20.4% 24.3% — — 4.12
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers to concede 90.3% 92.7% 69.5% 1.33× 1.08
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet 9.7% 7.3% 30.5% 0.24× 13.75
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers to concede in 1st half 60.7% 63.4% — — 1.58
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet in 1st half 39.3% 36.6% — — 2.73
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers to concede in 2nd half 75.3% 82.7% — — 1.21
Queens Park Rangers clean sheet in 2nd half 24.7% 17.3% — — 5.77
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 6.5 corners 76.1% 76.5% — — 1.31
Queens Park Rangers over 2.5 corners 75.1% 76.5% — — 1.31
Queens Park Rangers under 5.5 corners 66.1% 66.7% — — 1.50
Queens Park Rangers over 3.5 corners 60.5% 62.2% — — 1.61
Queens Park Rangers under 4.5 corners 53.7% 52.6% — — 1.90
Queens Park Rangers over 4.5 corners 46.3% 47.4% — — 2.11
Queens Park Rangers under 3.5 corners 39.5% 37.8% — — 2.65
Queens Park Rangers over 5.5 corners 33.9% 33.3% — — 3.01
Queens Park Rangers under 2.5 corners 24.9% 23.5% — — 4.26
Queens Park Rangers over 6.5 corners 23.9% 23.5% — — 4.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 3.5 goals 88.8% 87.3% 94.8% 0.92× 1.15
Queens Park Rangers over 0.5 goals 83.8% 82.2% 77.6% 1.06× 1.22
Queens Park Rangers under 2.5 goals 72.6% 74.2% 83.9% 0.89× 1.35
Queens Park Rangers over 1.5 goals 54.3% 53.2% 40.6% 1.31× 1.88
Queens Park Rangers under 1.5 goals 45.7% 46.8% 59.4% 0.79× 2.14
Queens Park Rangers over 2.5 goals 27.4% 25.8% 16.1% 1.60× 3.88
Queens Park Rangers under 0.5 goals 16.2% 17.8% 22.4% 0.79× 5.62
Queens Park Rangers over 3.5 goals 11.2% 12.7% 5.2% 2.46× 7.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers under 1.5 in 1st half 81.5% 83.7% — — 1.20
Queens Park Rangers over 0.5 in 1st half 54.3% 50.4% — — 1.98
Queens Park Rangers under 0.5 in 1st half 45.7% 49.6% — — 2.02
Queens Park Rangers over 1.5 in 1st half 18.5% 16.3% — — 6.12
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers scores more in 2nd half 40.8% 42.0% — — 2.38
Queens Park Rangers scores equally in both 32.3% 32.9% — — 3.04
Queens Park Rangers scores more in 1st half 26.9% 27.8% — — 3.60
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (home no bet) 69.6% 64.3% 51.3% 1.25× 1.56
Draw (home no bet) 30.4% 35.7% 48.7% 0.73× 2.80
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers even goals 51.3% 50.7% 50.5% 1.00× 1.97
Queens Park Rangers odd goals 48.7% 49.3% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 18.1% 18.6% — — 5.38
HT 0-1 16.7% 18.6% — — 5.39
HT 1-0 13.9% 11.0% — — 9.06
HT 1-1 13.3% 11.0% — — 9.07
Any other HT score 11.0% 11.0% — — 9.09
HT 0-2 7.8% 6.9% — — 14.48
HT 1-2 6.1% 6.9% — — 14.51
HT 2-0 5.5% 6.9% — — 14.51
HT 2-1 5.1% 6.9% — — 14.52
HT 2-2 2.4% 2.4% — — 42.12
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT 29.3% 27.3% — — 3.66
Queens Park Rangers at HT / Queens Park Rangers at FT 18.0% 16.7% — — 5.98
Draw at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT 14.8% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 10.3% 12.6% — — 7.92
Draw at HT / Queens Park Rangers at FT 9.0% 6.0% — — 16.57
Queens Park Rangers at HT / Draw at FT 5.9% 6.0% — — 16.66
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% — — 16.68
Queens Park Rangers at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT 4.9% 3.5% — — 28.59
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Queens Park Rangers at FT 2.8% 3.5% — — 28.66
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score last 54.9% 52.3% — — 1.91
Queens Park Rangers to score last 42.7% 40.0% — — 2.50
No goal scored 2.4% 4.2% — — 23.55
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 97.6% 95.7% — — 1.05
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 1 at any time 69.1% 69.5% — — 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 64.8% 61.5% — — 1.63
Queens Park Rangers to lead by 1 at any time 53.8% 50.9% — — 1.97
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 2 at any time 41.0% 39.1% — — 2.56
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 30.3% 29.8% — — 3.36
Queens Park Rangers to lead by 2 at any time 24.9% 19.7% — — 5.08
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 3 at any time 20.5% 19.6% — — 5.10
Queens Park Rangers to lead by 3 at any time 9.8% 6.8% — — 14.80
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers most corners 61.7% 60.5% — — 1.65
Wolverhampton Wanderers most corners 27.3% 31.1% — — 3.21
Corners level 11.0% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-6 goals 80.1% 83.4% 72.8% 1.15× 1.20
1-5 goals 73.8% 72.4% 88.8% 0.82× 1.38
2-5 goals 68.9% 68.8% 70.2% 0.98× 1.45
3-6 goals 65.7% 68.8% 47.2% 1.46× 1.45
1-4 goals 57.6% 59.1% 83.3% 0.71× 1.69
3-5 goals 54.5% 53.2% 44.5% 1.19× 1.88
2-4 goals 52.7% 53.2% 64.7% 0.82× 1.88
4-6 goals 46.9% 48.5% 22.4% 2.16× 2.06
1-3 goals 38.1% 39.2% 69.1% 0.57× 2.55
3-4 goals 38.3% 39.2% 39.1% 1.00× 2.55
4-5 goals 35.7% 39.2% 19.8% 1.98× 2.55
2-3 goals 33.2% 35.2% 50.5% 0.70× 2.84
5-6 goals 27.4% 30.2% 8.2% 3.71× 3.31
1-2 goals 19.3% 18.8% 44.4% 0.42× 5.31
7+ goals 12.6% 14.8% 1.4% 10.90× 6.75
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers never behind 43.8% 48.6% — — 2.06
Queens Park Rangers never behind 28.6% 30.1% — — 3.32
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.4% 50.9% 49.4% 1.03× 1.96
Even number of goals 51.6% 49.1% 50.6% 0.97× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 51.9% 51.6% — — 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 48.1% 48.4% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.9% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.1% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 97.6% 95.4% 92.7% 1.03× 1.05
Over 1.5 goals 92.7% 92.3% 74.1% 1.25× 1.08
Over 2.5 goals 78.3% 77.3% 48.4% 1.60× 1.29
Under 5.5 goals 76.2% 77.3% 96.0% 0.81× 1.29
Under 4.5 goals 60.0% 58.6% 90.6% 0.65× 1.71
Over 3.5 goals 59.5% 58.6% 23.7% 2.47× 1.71
Under 3.5 goals 40.5% 41.4% 76.3% 0.54× 2.42
Over 4.5 goals 40.0% 41.4% 9.4% 4.39× 2.42
Over 5.5 goals 23.8% 22.7% 4.0% 5.69× 4.41
Under 2.5 goals 21.7% 22.7% 51.6% 0.44× 4.41
Under 1.5 goals 7.3% 7.7% 25.9% 0.30× 12.94
Under 0.5 goals 2.4% 4.6% 7.3% 0.63× 21.88
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 91.5% 92.4% 65.1% 1.42× 1.08
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 85.8% 86.7% 98.6% 0.88× 1.15
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 73.3% 72.4% 31.5% 2.30× 1.38
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 71.6% 72.4% 95.8% 0.76× 1.38
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 50.3% 51.9% 89.0% 0.58× 1.93
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 49.7% 48.1% 11.0% 4.37× 2.08
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 28.4% 27.6% 4.2% 6.54× 3.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 26.7% 27.6% 68.5% 0.40× 3.62
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 14.2% 13.3% 1.4% 9.52× 7.53
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 8.5% 7.6% 34.9% 0.22× 13.15
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half 81.9% 85.8% — — 1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half 75.3% 78.0% — — 1.28
Over 1.5 in 1st half 51.3% 55.0% — — 1.82
Under 1.5 in 1st half 48.7% 45.0% — — 2.22
Over 2.5 in 1st half 24.7% 22.0% — — 4.56
Under 0.5 in 1st half 18.1% 14.2% — — 7.03
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 91.0% 89.6% — — 1.12
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 70.2% 77.3% — — 1.29
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 56.1% 54.8% — — 1.82
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 43.9% 45.2% — — 2.22
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 29.8% 22.7% — — 4.40
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 9.0% 10.4% — — 9.62
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers not to score in both halves 65.0% 63.8% — — 1.57
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to score in both halves 54.3% 55.6% — — 1.80
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score in both halves 45.7% 44.4% — — 2.25
Queens Park Rangers to score in both halves 35.0% 36.2% — — 2.76
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 76.4% 66.9% 54.4% 1.23× 1.49
Only Wolverhampton Wanderers scores 13.8% 11.0% 15.2% 0.73× 9.05
Only Queens Park Rangers scores 7.3% 7.1% 23.3% 0.31× 14.04
Neither team scores 2.4% 4.6% 7.3% 0.63× 21.74
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
6 or more goals 23.8% 22.6% 4.0% 5.65× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 19.5% 17.5% 14.4% 1.22× 5.73
Exactly 3 goals 18.8% 17.5% 24.8% 0.70× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 16.2% 17.5% 5.5% 3.16× 5.73
Exactly 2 goals 14.4% 12.1% 25.7% 0.47× 8.24
Exactly 1 goals 4.9% 4.5% 18.7% 0.24× 22.36
Exactly 0 goals 2.4% 4.5% 7.3% 0.61× 22.40
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 30.6% 35.8% — — 2.79
2 goals in 1st half 26.6% 28.2% — — 3.54
3+ goals in 1st half 24.7% 21.6% — — 4.64
No goals in 1st half 18.1% 15.7% — — 6.39
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 70.2% 68.1% — — 1.47
1 goal in 2nd half 20.8% 22.7% — — 4.41
No goals in 2nd half 9.0% 10.6% — — 9.48
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers not to win both halves 91.9% 94.1% — — 1.06
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to win both halves 83.1% 83.9% — — 1.19
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win both halves 16.9% 16.1% — — 6.22
Queens Park Rangers to win both halves 8.1% 5.9% — — 16.94
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win either half 65.3% 67.7% — — 1.48
Queens Park Rangers to win neither half 51.6% 54.3% — — 1.84
Queens Park Rangers to win either half 48.4% 45.7% — — 2.19
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win neither half 34.7% 32.3% — — 3.09
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Queens Park Rangers not to win to nil 92.7% 92.1% 76.7% 1.20× 1.09
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to win to nil 86.2% 88.1% 84.8% 1.04× 1.14
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win to nil 13.8% 11.9% 15.2% 0.78× 8.40
Queens Park Rangers to win to nil 7.3% 7.9% 23.3% 0.34× 12.66
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 21.4% 24.1% 27.6% 0.87× 4.15
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 1 18.6% 17.1% 17.4% 0.98× 5.86
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 3+ 15.7% 17.0% 3.2% 5.28× 5.87
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 2 14.6% 11.8% 8.6% 1.37× 8.50
Queens Park Rangers by 1 14.3% 11.8% 24.2% 0.49× 8.50
Queens Park Rangers by 2 8.9% 7.2% 11.3% 0.64× 13.90
Queens Park Rangers by 3+ 6.4% 7.2% 8.1% 0.89× 13.91
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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