Racing Club v Aldosivi — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Racing Club

20:00 UTC

Aldosivi

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 27 Oct, 10:57 · 129h before kick-off

Racing Club win

53.2%

model 53.3%

Draw

27.7%

model 27.4%

Aldosivi win

19.1%

model 19.3%

532819

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (466 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 14.7%
1-1 12.6%
2-0 11.4%
0-0 10.7%
2-1 9.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	40.0%	Under 2.5	60.0%
BTTS yes	42.9%	BTTS no	57.1%
Racing Club 1+	77.5%	Racing Club 2+	44.0%
Aldosivi 1+	54.7%	Aldosivi 2+	18.8%

Expected goals 1.49 – 0.79. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

23/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Racing Club (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 42%

52.2% fair odds 1.92

moderate signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Racing Club or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Racing Club carry the stronger rating, 1536 Elo against 1346.

Risk factors

The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0026 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Racing Club have an estimated 53.2% win probability, against 27.7% for the draw and 19.1% for Aldosivi. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for Racing Club and 0.79 for Aldosivi.

Why Racing Club

Racing Club carry the stronger rating, 1536 Elo against 1346.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.7%. A combined 2.28 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Aldosivi can win

Nothing in the data singles out Aldosivi.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Racing Club, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Aldosivi, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Racing Club: 58% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Aldosivi: 38% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 18.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Racing Club's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Racing Club are the model's most likely outcome at 53.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 14.7%. Confidence 23/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	532719	1.49–0.79	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	552916	1.39–0.63	1-0 18%	33%	36%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to win	54.9%	51.6%	41.8%	1.23×	1.94
Draw	28.7%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.58
Aldosivi to win	16.4%	19.4%	27.6%	0.70×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club & not both score	39.3%	33.4%	27.7%	1.20×	3.00
Racing Club & both teams score	15.5%	18.0%	14.3%	1.26×	5.57
Draw & both teams score	15.0%	13.3%	16.0%	0.83×	7.54
Draw & not both score	13.7%	13.3%	14.8%	0.89×	7.54
Aldosivi & not both score	11.1%	13.3%	17.1%	0.78×	7.54
Aldosivi & both teams score	5.3%	8.3%	10.6%	0.79×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club & under 3.5	44.6%	40.3%	34.8%	1.16×	2.48
Racing Club & over 1.5	37.1%	34.9%	27.8%	1.25×	2.87
Racing Club & under 2.5	30.6%	30.7%	23.6%	1.30×	3.25
Draw & under 2.5	25.9%	26.1%	28.2%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.9%	26.1%	28.2%	0.93×	3.84
Racing Club & over 2.5	24.3%	21.6%	18.4%	1.18×	4.63
Racing Club & under 1.5	17.8%	18.0%	14.1%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	15.0%	12.8%	16.0%	0.80×	7.79
Aldosivi & under 3.5	14.7%	12.8%	23.5%	0.55×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	13.7%	12.8%	14.8%	0.87×	7.79
Racing Club & over 3.5	10.2%	12.8%	7.2%	1.79×	7.79
Aldosivi & under 2.5	10.5%	12.8%	14.6%	0.88×	7.79
Aldosivi & over 1.5	8.6%	7.9%	17.4%	0.45×	12.63
Aldosivi & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.63
Aldosivi & over 2.5	6.0%	7.9%	13.1%	0.60×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	2.8%	4.8%	2.6%	1.83×	20.82
Draw & over 3.5	2.8%	4.8%	2.6%	1.83×	20.82
Aldosivi & over 3.5	1.7%	4.8%	4.2%	1.14×	20.83

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (1UP)	64.7%	63.0%	—	—	1.59
Aldosivi (1UP)	29.3%	27.0%	—	—	3.70

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (2UP)	54.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Aldosivi (2UP)	16.4%	16.9%	—	—	5.93

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to win 2nd half	42.4%	42.0%	—	—	2.38
2nd half drawn	41.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Aldosivi to win 2nd half	16.2%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi under 1.5 in 2nd half	94.4%	92.0%	—	—	1.09
Aldosivi under 0.5 in 2nd half	68.4%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Aldosivi over 0.5 in 2nd half	31.6%	30.3%	—	—	3.30
Aldosivi over 1.5 in 2nd half	5.6%	8.0%	—	—	12.49

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.1%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Racing Club over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.8%	55.1%	—	—	1.82
Racing Club under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.2%	44.9%	—	—	2.23
Racing Club over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.9%	17.7%	—	—	5.65

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi (+2.5)	89.3%	88.5%	95.0%	0.93×	1.13
Racing Club (+0.5)	83.6%	82.6%	72.4%	1.14×	1.21
Aldosivi (+1.5)	72.3%	73.7%	82.3%	0.89×	1.36
Racing Club (-0.5)	54.9%	52.4%	41.8%	1.25×	1.91
Aldosivi (+0.5)	45.1%	47.6%	58.2%	0.82×	2.10
Racing Club (-1.5)	27.7%	26.3%	17.7%	1.49×	3.80
Aldosivi (-0.5)	16.4%	17.4%	27.6%	0.63×	5.74
Racing Club (-2.5)	10.7%	11.5%	5.0%	2.30×	8.68

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi to concede	75.2%	78.7%	68.2%	1.15×	1.27
Aldosivi clean sheet	24.8%	21.3%	31.8%	0.67×	4.70

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi clean sheet in 1st half	54.9%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Aldosivi to concede in 1st half	45.1%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi to concede in 2nd half	54.8%	54.6%	—	—	1.83
Aldosivi clean sheet in 2nd half	45.2%	45.4%	—	—	2.20

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi under 6.5 corners	93.9%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Aldosivi under 5.5 corners	87.9%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Aldosivi under 4.5 corners	77.8%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Aldosivi under 3.5 corners	62.4%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Aldosivi over 2.5 corners	57.4%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Aldosivi under 2.5 corners	42.6%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Aldosivi over 3.5 corners	37.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Aldosivi over 4.5 corners	22.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Aldosivi over 5.5 corners	12.1%	14.8%	—	—	6.78
Aldosivi over 6.5 corners	6.1%	10.1%	—	—	9.92

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi under 3.5 goals	99.6%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Aldosivi under 2.5 goals	97.3%	97.5%	93.4%	1.04×	1.03
Aldosivi under 1.5 goals	86.7%	87.8%	78.2%	1.12×	1.14
Aldosivi under 0.5 goals	53.0%	53.5%	42.4%	1.26×	1.87
Aldosivi over 0.5 goals	47.0%	46.5%	57.6%	0.81×	2.15
Aldosivi over 1.5 goals	13.3%	12.2%	21.8%	0.56×	8.20
Aldosivi over 2.5 goals	2.7%	2.5%	6.6%	0.38×	39.83
Aldosivi over 3.5 goals	0.4%	2.5%	1.1%	2.20×	39.95

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi under 1.5 in 1st half	97.3%	96.2%	—	—	1.04
Aldosivi under 0.5 in 1st half	77.6%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Aldosivi over 0.5 in 1st half	22.4%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
Aldosivi over 1.5 in 1st half	2.7%	3.8%	—	—	26.52

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi scores equally in both	58.3%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
Aldosivi scores more in 2nd half	25.7%	26.4%	—	—	3.78
Aldosivi scores more in 1st half	16.0%	17.9%	—	—	5.59

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (away no bet)	65.7%	66.4%	57.7%	1.15×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	34.3%	33.6%	42.3%	0.80×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi even goals	64.1%	59.2%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
Aldosivi odd goals	35.9%	40.9%	41.6%	0.98×	2.45

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	93.1%	91.8%	—	—	1.09
Both halves over 1.5 goals	6.9%	8.2%	—	—	12.20

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	52.8%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Not both halves under 1.5	47.2%	49.1%	—	—	2.04

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	43.5%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
Racing Club to score 2+ in a row	36.0%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Either team to score 3+ in a row	14.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
Racing Club to score 3+ in a row	13.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Aldosivi to score 2+ in a row	9.6%	5.6%	—	—	18.01
Aldosivi to score 3+ in a row	1.5%	2.5%	—	—	40.05

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club corners (+3.5)	97.3%	95.7%	—	—	1.04
Racing Club corners (+2.5)	94.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Racing Club corners (+1.5)	91.0%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Racing Club corners (-1.5)	67.4%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Racing Club corners (-2.5)	56.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Aldosivi corners (+3.5)	54.6%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Racing Club corners (-3.5)	45.4%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Aldosivi corners (+2.5)	43.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Aldosivi corners (+1.5)	32.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Aldosivi corners (-1.5)	9.0%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Aldosivi corners (-2.5)	5.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Aldosivi corners (-3.5)	2.7%	4.3%	—	—	23.50

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.6%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	27.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	79.8%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	72.4%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	63.5%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.4%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	53.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.6%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	36.5%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	27.6%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	20.2%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	17.8%	13.8%	14.1%	0.98×	7.23
0-0	13.7%	11.5%	14.8%	0.77×	8.71
2-0	12.8%	11.5%	9.6%	1.20×	8.71
1-1	12.2%	11.5%	13.5%	0.85×	8.71
0-1	7.8%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.51
2-1	8.1%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.51
3-0	5.9%	7.4%	2.7%	2.70×	13.51
0-2	2.6%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.30
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.84×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.6%	3.01×	58.32
1-2	3.7%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.30
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
2-2	2.6%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-3	0.5%	1.7%	1.5%	1.16×	58.32
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
3-1	3.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.56×	58.30
3-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
3-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.1%	15.04×	58.32
4-0	2.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.31
4-1	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.15×	58.31
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.01×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.52×	58.32
Any other score	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (2nd half DNB)	72.3%	71.4%	—	—	1.40
Aldosivi (2nd half DNB)	27.7%	28.6%	—	—	3.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club leading at HT (DNB)	74.0%	74.7%	—	—	1.34
Aldosivi leading at HT (DNB)	26.0%	25.3%	—	—	3.96

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw (1X)	83.6%	80.6%	72.4%	1.11×	1.24
Racing Club or Aldosivi (12)	71.3%	72.1%	69.3%	1.04×	1.39
Aldosivi or draw (X2)	45.1%	48.4%	58.2%	0.83×	2.07

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw at HT	86.9%	88.2%	—	—	1.13
Aldosivi or draw at HT	62.7%	60.9%	—	—	1.64
Racing Club or Aldosivi at HT	50.5%	48.4%	—	—	2.07

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw (1UP)	83.6%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
Aldosivi or draw (1UP)	45.1%	52.8%	—	—	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw in 2nd half	83.8%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Racing Club or Aldosivi in 2nd half	58.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Aldosivi or draw in 2nd half	57.6%	58.0%	—	—	1.72

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.8%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	30.2%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (DNB)	77.0%	74.7%	60.3%	1.24×	1.34
Aldosivi (DNB)	23.0%	25.3%	39.7%	0.64×	3.96

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to score first	59.3%	62.6%	—	—	1.60
Aldosivi to score first	27.0%	27.8%	—	—	3.60
No goal scored	13.7%	10.2%	—	—	9.82

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	64.2%	56.7%	59.4%	0.95×	1.77
Both teams to score	35.8%	43.3%	40.6%	1.07×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	54.8%	47.3%	52.8%	0.90×	2.12
Both score & over 2.5	23.7%	27.9%	27.3%	1.02×	3.59
Both score & under 2.5	12.2%	12.4%	13.5%	0.92×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.4%	8.3%	6.7%	1.23×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	94.6%	89.0%	94.1%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	5.4%	11.0%	5.9%	1.85×	9.12

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	82.5%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	17.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	74.0%	69.2%	—	—	1.44
Both score 2nd half only	15.8%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Both score 1st half only	8.4%	6.8%	—	—	14.68
Both score in both halves	1.8%	4.8%	—	—	20.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	89.8%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	10.2%	14.7%	—	—	6.79

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	60.1%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
A goal in each half	39.9%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.9%	47.2%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	39.4%	35.1%	39.0%	0.90×	2.85
4-6 goals	14.3%	17.0%	13.5%	1.26×	5.90
7+ goals	0.5%	1.8%	0.5%	4.02×	54.52

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi to score exactly 0	53.0%	47.2%	42.4%	1.11×	2.12
Aldosivi to score exactly 1	33.6%	33.8%	35.9%	0.94×	2.96
Aldosivi to score exactly 2	10.7%	12.9%	15.3%	0.84×	7.77
Aldosivi to score 3+	2.7%	4.6%	6.6%	0.69×	21.89

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to score exactly 1	34.6%	32.6%	36.5%	0.89×	3.07
Racing Club to score exactly 0	24.8%	23.3%	31.8%	0.73×	4.29
Racing Club to score exactly 2	24.1%	23.3%	21.8%	1.07×	4.29
Racing Club to score 3+	16.5%	18.8%	10.1%	1.85×	5.32

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.5%	51.6%	—	—	1.94
Racing Club leading at HT	37.3%	39.1%	—	—	2.56
Aldosivi leading at HT	13.1%	11.8%	—	—	8.49

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club -1: 2	45.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Racing Club -1: 1	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Racing Club -1: X	27.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi (0:1)	45.1%	46.0%	58.2%	0.79×	2.17
Racing Club (0:1)	27.7%	27.0%	17.7%	1.53×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	27.2%	27.0%	24.3%	1.11×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi (0:2)	72.3%	75.6%	82.3%	0.92×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	17.0%	15.3%	12.8%	1.19×	6.56
Racing Club (0:2)	10.7%	11.0%	5.0%	2.19×	9.11

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi (0:3)	89.3%	90.6%	95.0%	0.95×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.4%	5.8%	3.4%	1.70×	17.24
Racing Club (0:3)	3.3%	2.4%	1.7%	1.39×	41.99

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi (0:4)	96.7%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.5%	1.2%	1.3%	0.98×	81.70
Racing Club (0:4)	0.9%	1.2%	0.6%	2.14×	81.87

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (1:0)	83.6%	81.5%	72.4%	1.12×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.1%	12.7%	18.6%	0.68×	7.87
Aldosivi (1:0)	4.3%	3.3%	9.1%	0.36×	30.46

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (2:0)	95.7%	96.8%	90.9%	1.06×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.5%	2.3%	6.3%	0.36×	43.71
Aldosivi (2:0)	0.8%	2.3%	3.0%	0.77×	43.88

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	42.9%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Halves equal	30.8%	30.8%	—	—	3.25
1st half highest scoring	26.3%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club clean sheet	53.0%	53.2%	42.4%	1.25×	1.88
Racing Club to concede	47.0%	46.8%	57.6%	0.81×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club clean sheet in 1st half	77.6%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
Racing Club to concede in 1st half	22.4%	22.0%	—	—	4.54

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club clean sheet in 2nd half	68.4%	66.9%	—	—	1.50
Racing Club to concede in 2nd half	31.6%	33.1%	—	—	3.02

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club over 2.5 corners	91.0%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Racing Club over 3.5 corners	81.8%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Racing Club over 4.5 corners	70.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Racing Club over 5.5 corners	56.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Racing Club under 6.5 corners	55.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Racing Club over 6.5 corners	44.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Racing Club under 5.5 corners	43.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Racing Club under 4.5 corners	30.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Racing Club under 3.5 corners	18.2%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Racing Club under 2.5 corners	9.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club under 3.5 goals	94.7%	92.2%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
Racing Club under 2.5 goals	83.5%	82.2%	89.9%	0.91×	1.22
Racing Club over 0.5 goals	75.2%	77.7%	68.2%	1.14×	1.29
Racing Club under 1.5 goals	59.4%	58.7%	68.2%	0.86×	1.70
Racing Club over 1.5 goals	40.6%	41.3%	31.8%	1.30×	2.42
Racing Club under 0.5 goals	24.8%	22.3%	31.8%	0.70×	4.49
Racing Club over 2.5 goals	16.5%	17.8%	10.1%	1.75×	5.62
Racing Club over 3.5 goals	5.3%	7.8%	2.9%	2.73×	12.86

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club under 1.5 in 1st half	87.8%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Racing Club under 0.5 in 1st half	54.9%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Racing Club over 0.5 in 1st half	45.1%	49.3%	—	—	2.03
Racing Club over 1.5 in 1st half	12.2%	9.9%	—	—	10.10

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club scores equally in both	38.1%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Racing Club scores more in 2nd half	36.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Racing Club scores more in 1st half	25.1%	27.8%	—	—	3.60

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	63.6%	60.0%	52.6%	1.14×	1.67
Aldosivi (home no bet)	36.4%	40.0%	47.4%	0.84×	2.50

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club even goals	53.1%	50.8%	55.6%	0.91×	1.97
Racing Club odd goals	46.9%	49.2%	44.4%	1.11×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	42.7%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
HT 1-0	25.4%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
HT 0-1	10.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.12
HT 2-0	7.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.54
HT 1-1	6.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.56
Any other HT score	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 2-1	1.9%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 0-2	1.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.33
HT 1-2	0.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.37
HT 2-2	0.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.40

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club at HT / Racing Club at FT	32.4%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	21.0%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Racing Club at FT	20.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Draw at HT / Aldosivi at FT	7.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
Aldosivi at HT / Aldosivi at FT	7.8%	6.1%	—	—	16.47
Racing Club at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.89
Aldosivi at HT / Draw at FT	3.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.91
Aldosivi at HT / Racing Club at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.98
Racing Club at HT / Aldosivi at FT	0.8%	3.4%	—	—	29.01

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to score last	59.4%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Aldosivi to score last	26.9%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	13.7%	9.6%	—	—	10.43

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	86.3%	91.1%	—	—	1.10
Racing Club to lead by 1 at any time	64.7%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.1%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Racing Club to lead by 2 at any time	31.6%	29.7%	—	—	3.37
Aldosivi to lead by 1 at any time	29.3%	25.3%	—	—	3.95
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	13.1%	10.6%	—	—	9.42
Racing Club to lead by 3 at any time	12.0%	10.6%	—	—	9.44
Aldosivi to lead by 2 at any time	6.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.08
Aldosivi to lead by 3 at any time	1.1%	1.6%	—	—	64.18

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club most corners	77.1%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Aldosivi most corners	14.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Corners level	8.0%	8.3%	—	—	11.99

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.5%	83.4%	84.3%	0.99×	1.20
1-4 goals	80.8%	83.4%	79.9%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	71.5%	72.3%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	60.2%	63.3%	60.7%	1.04×	1.58
2-5 goals	58.9%	59.1%	60.1%	0.98×	1.69
2-4 goals	55.1%	59.1%	55.8%	1.06×	1.69
1-2 goals	53.2%	53.2%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
2-3 goals	45.9%	48.4%	47.3%	1.02×	2.06
3-6 goals	32.6%	35.2%	33.5%	1.05×	2.84
3-5 goals	31.3%	35.2%	33.0%	1.07×	2.84
3-4 goals	27.6%	30.2%	28.6%	1.06×	3.31
4-6 goals	14.3%	14.8%	13.5%	1.10×	6.75
4-5 goals	13.0%	14.8%	12.9%	1.15×	6.75
5-6 goals	5.0%	8.9%	5.0%	1.77×	11.28
7+ goals	0.5%	2.5%	0.5%	5.59×	39.25

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club never behind	57.0%	62.4%	—	—	1.60
Aldosivi never behind	21.6%	25.0%	—	—	3.99

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.1%	50.9%	48.9%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.9%	49.1%	51.1%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	59.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	40.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	55.1%	58.4%	—	—	1.71
Odd goals in 2nd half	44.9%	41.6%	—	—	2.41

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	98.2%	95.4%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	94.5%	92.3%	94.6%	0.98×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	86.3%	87.6%	85.2%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	85.2%	87.6%	86.2%	1.02×	1.14
Under 2.5 goals	66.9%	66.3%	66.1%	1.00×	1.51
Over 1.5 goals	60.6%	61.7%	61.0%	1.01×	1.62
Under 1.5 goals	39.4%	38.3%	39.0%	0.98×	2.61
Over 2.5 goals	33.1%	33.7%	33.9%	0.99×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	14.8%	12.4%	13.8%	0.90×	8.06
Under 0.5 goals	13.7%	12.4%	14.8%	0.84×	8.06
Over 4.5 goals	5.5%	7.7%	5.4%	1.44×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	1.8%	4.6%	1.0%	4.46×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.5%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	98.2%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	93.9%	92.4%	94.1%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	81.9%	81.1%	82.7%	0.98×	1.23
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	54.3%	51.9%	53.5%	0.97×	1.93
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	45.7%	48.1%	46.5%	1.04×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	18.1%	18.9%	17.3%	1.10×	5.29
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	6.1%	7.6%	5.9%	1.29×	13.20
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	1.8%	2.8%	1.1%	2.62×	35.64
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.5%	2.8%	0.5%	6.11×	35.68

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	94.5%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	78.9%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	57.3%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Under 0.5 in 1st half	42.7%	35.3%	—	—	2.83
Over 1.5 in 1st half	21.1%	21.9%	—	—	4.58
Over 2.5 in 1st half	5.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.18

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	88.5%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.9%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.0%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	33.0%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.1%	31.4%	—	—	3.18
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	11.5%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi not to score in both halves	92.9%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Racing Club not to score in both halves	75.3%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Racing Club to score in both halves	24.7%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Aldosivi to score in both halves	7.1%	9.3%	—	—	10.74

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Only Racing Club scores	39.3%	39.9%	27.7%	1.44×	2.50
Both teams score	35.8%	39.9%	40.6%	0.98×	2.51
Neither team scores	13.7%	11.0%	14.8%	0.74×	9.06
Only Aldosivi scores	11.1%	11.0%	17.1%	0.64×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.6%	24.9%	27.3%	0.91×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	25.7%	24.9%	24.3%	1.02×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	18.3%	17.5%	20.2%	0.87×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	13.7%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.25
Exactly 4 goals	9.3%	7.6%	8.6%	0.89×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	3.8%	4.5%	4.4%	1.01×	22.34
6 or more goals	1.8%	4.5%	1.0%	4.36×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	42.7%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 1st half	36.2%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	15.6%	15.6%	—	—	6.40
3+ goals in 1st half	5.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.18

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 2nd half	35.9%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
2+ goals in 2nd half	33.0%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	31.1%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi not to win both halves	97.8%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Racing Club not to win both halves	84.1%	83.5%	—	—	1.20
Racing Club to win both halves	15.9%	16.5%	—	—	6.08
Aldosivi to win both halves	2.2%	2.8%	—	—	36.34

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi to win neither half	72.8%	73.1%	—	—	1.37
Racing Club to win either half	63.8%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Racing Club to win neither half	36.2%	35.0%	—	—	2.86
Aldosivi to win either half	27.2%	26.9%	—	—	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Aldosivi not to win to nil	88.9%	88.1%	82.9%	1.06×	1.14
Racing Club not to win to nil	60.7%	66.5%	72.3%	0.92×	1.50
Racing Club to win to nil	39.3%	33.5%	27.7%	1.21×	2.98
Aldosivi to win to nil	11.1%	11.9%	17.1%	0.69×	8.42

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.7%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59
Racing Club by 1	27.2%	27.9%	24.3%	1.15×	3.59
Racing Club by 2	17.0%	17.0%	12.8%	1.33×	5.87
Aldosivi by 1	12.1%	11.8%	18.6%	0.63×	8.51
Racing Club by 3+	10.7%	11.8%	5.0%	2.34×	8.51
Aldosivi by 2	3.5%	2.7%	6.3%	0.43×	36.86
Aldosivi by 3+	0.8%	2.7%	3.0%	0.91×	36.95