Racing Club v Independiente — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 18 October 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 06:01 UTC

Racing Club

18:00 UTC

Independiente

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,028h before kick-off

Racing Club win

37.3%

model 37.7%

Draw

31.4%

model 30.2%

Independiente win

31.4%

model 32.1%

373131

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 13.8%
1-0 12.8%
0-0 12.0%
0-1 11.5%
2-1 7.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	36.4%	Under 2.5	63.6%
BTTS yes	43.7%	BTTS no	56.3%
Racing Club 1+	67.7%	Racing Club 2+	31.2%
Independiente 1+	64.0%	Independiente 2+	27.2%

Expected goals 1.13 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Racing Club.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0033 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Racing Club have an estimated 37.3% win probability, against 31.4% for Independiente and 31.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.13 for Racing Club and 1.02 for Independiente.

Why Racing Club

Nothing in the data singles out Racing Club.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 31.4%. A combined 2.15 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.13 to 1.02. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Independiente can win

Nothing in the data singles out Independiente.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Racing Club, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Independiente, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Racing Club: 58% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Independiente: 56% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 12.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Racing Club are the model's most likely outcome at 37.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.8%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	393031	1.16–1.02	1-1 14%	37%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to win	38.5%	36.3%	41.8%	0.87×	2.75
Independiente to win	31.3%	30.4%	27.7%	1.10×	3.29
Draw	30.2%	30.4%	30.7%	0.99×	3.29

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club & not both score	24.4%	21.9%	27.7%	0.79×	4.58
Independiente & not both score	19.6%	17.9%	17.2%	1.05×	5.58
Draw & both teams score	18.3%	17.9%	15.9%	1.13×	5.58
Racing Club & both teams score	14.1%	13.3%	14.2%	0.94×	7.54
Draw & not both score	11.9%	13.3%	14.9%	0.89×	7.54
Independiente & both teams score	11.7%	13.3%	10.6%	1.25×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club & under 3.5	31.0%	30.8%	34.8%	0.89×	3.24
Racing Club & over 1.5	25.8%	26.0%	27.7%	0.94×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	25.7%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Draw & under 3.5	25.7%	26.0%	28.1%	0.93×	3.84
Independiente & under 3.5	25.7%	26.0%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Racing Club & under 2.5	20.3%	21.6%	23.6%	0.92×	4.63
Independiente & over 1.5	20.2%	21.6%	17.5%	1.23×	4.63
Racing Club & over 2.5	18.2%	18.0%	18.3%	0.98×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.3%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Independiente & under 2.5	17.0%	18.0%	14.6%	1.23×	5.56
Independiente & over 2.5	14.3%	12.9%	13.2%	0.98×	7.76
Racing Club & under 1.5	12.7%	12.9%	14.2%	0.91×	7.76
Draw & under 1.5	11.9%	12.9%	14.9%	0.87×	7.76
Independiente & under 1.5	11.1%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.76
Racing Club & over 3.5	7.5%	7.9%	7.1%	1.11×	12.65
Independiente & over 3.5	5.6%	7.9%	4.2%	1.87×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	4.5%	4.8%	2.6%	1.82×	20.85
Draw & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	2.6%	1.82×	20.85

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (1UP)	52.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
Independiente (1UP)	45.9%	43.2%	—	—	2.32

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (2UP)	38.5%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Independiente (2UP)	31.3%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	40.9%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Racing Club to win 2nd half	31.1%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Independiente to win 2nd half	28.0%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.5%	86.7%	—	—	1.15
Independiente under 0.5 in 2nd half	54.4%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
Independiente over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.6%	46.5%	—	—	2.15
Independiente over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.5%	13.3%	—	—	7.51

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.8%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Racing Club under 0.5 in 2nd half	51.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Racing Club over 0.5 in 2nd half	48.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Racing Club over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.2%	12.2%	—	—	8.17

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente (+2.5)	94.7%	92.1%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Independiente (+1.5)	83.6%	82.5%	82.5%	1.00×	1.21
Racing Club (+0.5)	68.7%	68.7%	72.3%	0.95×	1.46
Independiente (+0.5)	61.5%	62.9%	58.2%	1.08×	1.59
Racing Club (-0.5)	38.5%	37.1%	41.8%	0.89×	2.70
Independiente (-0.5)	31.3%	31.3%	27.7%	1.13×	3.20
Racing Club (-1.5)	16.4%	17.5%	17.5%	1.00×	5.70
Racing Club (-2.5)	5.3%	7.9%	5.0%	1.57×	12.62

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente to concede	68.6%	72.5%	68.1%	1.07×	1.38
Independiente clean sheet	31.4%	27.5%	31.9%	0.86×	3.64

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente clean sheet in 1st half	60.8%	64.7%	—	—	1.55
Independiente to concede in 1st half	39.2%	35.3%	—	—	2.83

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente clean sheet in 2nd half	51.7%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Independiente to concede in 2nd half	48.3%	47.3%	—	—	2.12

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente under 6.5 corners	86.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Independiente under 5.5 corners	76.5%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Independiente over 2.5 corners	71.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Independiente under 4.5 corners	63.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Independiente over 3.5 corners	53.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Independiente under 3.5 corners	46.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Independiente over 4.5 corners	36.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Independiente under 2.5 corners	28.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Independiente over 5.5 corners	23.5%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Independiente over 6.5 corners	14.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.76

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente under 3.5 goals	98.0%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Independiente under 2.5 goals	91.7%	92.3%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Independiente under 1.5 goals	73.0%	71.9%	78.1%	0.92×	1.39
Independiente over 0.5 goals	63.8%	63.1%	57.6%	1.10×	1.59
Independiente under 0.5 goals	36.2%	36.9%	42.4%	0.87×	2.71
Independiente over 1.5 goals	27.0%	28.1%	21.9%	1.29×	3.56
Independiente over 2.5 goals	8.3%	7.7%	6.6%	1.16×	13.00
Independiente over 3.5 goals	2.0%	2.5%	1.1%	2.18×	40.08

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente under 1.5 in 1st half	93.7%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Independiente under 0.5 in 1st half	66.6%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Independiente over 0.5 in 1st half	33.4%	31.5%	—	—	3.17
Independiente over 1.5 in 1st half	6.3%	5.8%	—	—	17.31

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente scores equally in both	45.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07
Independiente scores more in 2nd half	33.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Independiente scores more in 1st half	20.3%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (away no bet)	56.1%	57.3%	57.7%	0.99×	1.75
Draw (away no bet)	43.9%	42.7%	42.3%	1.01×	2.34

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente even goals	56.6%	56.9%	58.5%	0.97×	1.76
Independiente odd goals	43.4%	43.1%	41.5%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.7%	92.5%	—	—	1.08
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.3%	7.5%	—	—	13.29

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both halves under 1.5 goals	48.9%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
Not both halves under 1.5	51.1%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	44.0%	38.4%	—	—	2.61
Racing Club to score 2+ in a row	26.3%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Independiente to score 2+ in a row	21.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row	12.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Racing Club to score 3+ in a row	7.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.72
Independiente to score 3+ in a row	5.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.91

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club corners (+3.5)	90.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Racing Club corners (+2.5)	85.2%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Racing Club corners (+1.5)	77.4%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Independiente corners (+3.5)	75.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Independiente corners (+2.5)	66.2%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Independiente corners (+1.5)	55.1%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Racing Club corners (-1.5)	44.9%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Racing Club corners (-2.5)	33.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Racing Club corners (-3.5)	24.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Independiente corners (-1.5)	22.6%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Independiente corners (-2.5)	14.8%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Independiente corners (-3.5)	9.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	46.6%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	23.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	83.2%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	76.3%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	67.7%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	64.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 9.5 corners	57.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	53.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	46.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	42.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 7.5 corners	35.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	32.3%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	23.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	16.8%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	13.8%	11.4%	13.4%	0.85×	8.74
1-0	12.7%	11.4%	14.2%	0.81×	8.74
0-0	11.9%	11.4%	14.9%	0.77×	8.74
0-1	11.1%	11.4%	10.3%	1.11×	8.74
1-2	6.8%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.50
2-0	7.6%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.50
2-1	7.7%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.50
0-2	5.9%	7.4%	4.5%	1.66×	13.50
0-3	2.0%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	3.00×	58.32
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	5.00×	58.32
2-2	3.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.30
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.1%	14.99×	58.32
3-0	2.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.62×	58.30
3-1	3.0%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.30
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.3%	5.00×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.99×	58.32
4-0	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.31
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	0.8%	2.14×	58.31
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	0.3%	5.00×	58.32
4-3	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.49×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	7.49×	58.32
Any other score	1.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (2nd half DNB)	52.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Independiente (2nd half DNB)	47.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club leading at HT (DNB)	56.3%	58.3%	—	—	1.72
Independiente leading at HT (DNB)	43.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or Independiente (12)	69.8%	69.6%	69.3%	1.00×	1.44
Racing Club or draw (1X)	68.7%	69.6%	72.3%	0.96×	1.44
Independiente or draw (X2)	61.5%	63.7%	58.2%	1.09×	1.57

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw at HT	77.8%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Independiente or draw at HT	71.4%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Racing Club or Independiente at HT	50.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw (1UP)	68.7%	76.1%	—	—	1.31
Independiente or draw (1UP)	61.5%	71.7%	—	—	1.40

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw in 2nd half	72.0%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Independiente or draw in 2nd half	68.9%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Racing Club or Independiente in 2nd half	59.1%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.5%	69.7%	—	—	1.44
Neither half drawn	30.5%	30.3%	—	—	3.30

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (DNB)	55.2%	58.1%	60.1%	0.97×	1.72
Independiente (DNB)	44.8%	41.9%	39.9%	1.05×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to score first	47.0%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
Independiente to score first	41.2%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	11.9%	9.9%	—	—	10.11

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.8%	54.9%	59.5%	0.92×	1.82
Both teams to score	44.2%	45.1%	40.5%	1.11×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	49.2%	44.3%	52.9%	0.84×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	30.4%	34.4%	27.2%	1.26×	2.91
Both score & under 2.5	13.8%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	6.7%	8.3%	6.8%	1.23×	12.00

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	91.3%	89.1%	94.1%	0.95×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	8.7%	10.9%	6.0%	1.84×	9.14

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.8%	75.3%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.2%	24.7%	—	—	4.05

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	67.5%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Both score 2nd half only	19.3%	15.8%	—	—	6.35
Both score 1st half only	10.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.36
Both score in both halves	2.9%	5.0%	—	—	20.16

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.8%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Both teams to score by HT	13.2%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	57.0%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A goal in each half	43.0%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.8%	47.3%	47.3%	1.00×	2.12
0-1 goals	35.7%	35.1%	39.1%	0.90×	2.85
4-6 goals	16.8%	20.3%	13.4%	1.52×	4.93
7+ goals	0.7%	1.8%	0.5%	3.99×	54.82

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	35.8%	1.00×	2.78
Independiente to score exactly 0	36.2%	36.0%	42.4%	0.85×	2.78
Independiente to score exactly 2	18.7%	19.6%	15.3%	1.28×	5.10
Independiente to score 3+	8.3%	8.5%	6.6%	1.29×	11.71

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to score exactly 1	36.4%	35.6%	36.5%	0.98×	2.81
Racing Club to score exactly 0	31.4%	32.6%	31.9%	1.02×	3.07
Racing Club to score exactly 2	21.1%	23.2%	21.7%	1.07×	4.31
Racing Club to score 3+	11.2%	14.4%	10.1%	1.43×	6.95

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	49.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Racing Club leading at HT	28.6%	25.8%	—	—	3.88
Independiente leading at HT	22.2%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club -1: 2	61.5%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Racing Club -1: X	22.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Racing Club -1: 1	16.4%	17.4%	—	—	5.74

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente (0:1)	61.5%	61.5%	58.2%	1.06×	1.63
Draw (0:1)	22.1%	24.3%	24.4%	1.00×	4.12
Racing Club (0:1)	16.4%	17.8%	17.5%	1.02×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente (0:2)	83.6%	82.9%	82.5%	1.01×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	11.1%	10.9%	12.6%	0.87×	9.17
Racing Club (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	5.0%	1.53×	13.00

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente (0:3)	94.7%	92.7%	95.0%	0.98×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	3.9%	2.4%	3.4%	0.69×	42.05
Racing Club (0:3)	1.4%	2.4%	1.7%	1.38×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente (0:4)	98.6%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.63
Racing Club (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	0.6%	2.09×	83.72

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (1:0)	68.7%	70.0%	72.3%	0.97×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	19.3%	17.0%	18.7%	0.91×	5.88
Independiente (1:0)	11.9%	12.8%	9.2%	1.39×	7.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (2:0)	88.1%	88.4%	90.8%	0.97×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.5%	6.5%	6.3%	1.03×	15.48
Independiente (2:0)	3.4%	2.3%	3.0%	0.77×	43.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	44.4%	48.8%	—	—	2.05
Halves equal	29.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
1st half highest scoring	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to concede	63.8%	63.6%	57.6%	1.10×	1.57
Racing Club clean sheet	36.2%	36.4%	42.4%	0.86×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club clean sheet in 1st half	66.6%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
Racing Club to concede in 1st half	33.4%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club clean sheet in 2nd half	54.4%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Racing Club to concede in 2nd half	45.6%	46.6%	—	—	2.15

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club over 2.5 corners	83.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Racing Club under 6.5 corners	72.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Racing Club over 3.5 corners	69.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Racing Club under 5.5 corners	60.1%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Racing Club over 4.5 corners	54.4%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Racing Club under 4.5 corners	45.6%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Racing Club over 5.5 corners	39.9%	37.8%	—	—	2.65
Racing Club under 3.5 corners	30.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Racing Club over 6.5 corners	27.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Racing Club under 2.5 corners	16.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club under 3.5 goals	97.0%	96.3%	97.1%	0.99×	1.04
Racing Club under 2.5 goals	88.8%	87.2%	89.9%	0.97×	1.15
Racing Club over 0.5 goals	68.6%	67.9%	68.1%	1.00×	1.47
Racing Club under 1.5 goals	67.8%	67.9%	68.3%	0.99×	1.47
Racing Club over 1.5 goals	32.2%	32.1%	31.7%	1.01×	3.12
Racing Club under 0.5 goals	31.4%	32.1%	31.9%	1.01×	3.12
Racing Club over 2.5 goals	11.2%	12.8%	10.1%	1.27×	7.83
Racing Club over 3.5 goals	3.0%	3.7%	2.9%	1.28×	27.31

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club under 1.5 in 1st half	91.0%	95.3%	—	—	1.05
Racing Club under 0.5 in 1st half	60.8%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Racing Club over 0.5 in 1st half	39.2%	35.5%	—	—	2.82
Racing Club over 1.5 in 1st half	9.0%	4.7%	—	—	21.25

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club scores equally in both	42.6%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Racing Club scores more in 2nd half	33.9%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Racing Club scores more in 1st half	23.5%	21.6%	—	—	4.64

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente (home no bet)	50.9%	51.5%	47.5%	1.08×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	49.1%	48.5%	52.5%	0.92×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club even goals	54.9%	50.6%	55.7%	0.91×	1.98
Racing Club odd goals	45.1%	49.4%	44.3%	1.11×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	40.6%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
HT 1-0	20.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	16.4%	18.6%	—	—	5.37
HT 1-1	8.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 2-0	5.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 0-2	3.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
Any other HT score	2.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.54
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.55
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.58
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.68

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club at HT / Racing Club at FT	21.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	20.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
Independiente at HT / Independiente at FT	16.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Racing Club at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Independiente at FT	13.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Racing Club at HT / Draw at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Independiente at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
Racing Club at HT / Independiente at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Independiente at HT / Racing Club at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to score last	47.0%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Independiente to score last	41.2%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	11.9%	9.3%	—	—	10.77

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	88.2%	90.7%	—	—	1.10
Racing Club to lead by 1 at any time	52.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Independiente to lead by 1 at any time	45.9%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	36.8%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Racing Club to lead by 2 at any time	20.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Independiente to lead by 2 at any time	16.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Racing Club to lead by 3 at any time	6.4%	6.6%	—	—	15.15
Independiente to lead by 3 at any time	4.3%	1.7%	—	—	60.13

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club most corners	56.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Independiente most corners	32.3%	34.3%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.8%	87.4%	84.2%	1.04×	1.15
1-4 goals	81.2%	83.4%	79.9%	1.04×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.6%	72.4%	71.5%	1.01×	1.38
2-6 goals	63.6%	63.4%	60.5%	1.05×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.0%	63.4%	60.0%	1.06×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.4%	59.1%	55.6%	1.06×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.1%	53.1%	51.4%	1.03×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.8%	48.6%	47.3%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	36.3%	39.2%	33.5%	1.17×	2.55
3-5 goals	34.6%	35.3%	33.0%	1.07×	2.83
3-4 goals	30.0%	35.3%	28.6%	1.23×	2.83
4-6 goals	16.8%	18.7%	13.4%	1.40×	5.34
4-5 goals	15.2%	18.7%	12.8%	1.46×	5.34
5-6 goals	6.3%	8.8%	5.0%	1.75×	11.33
7+ goals	0.7%	2.6%	0.5%	5.57×	39.21

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club never behind	42.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
Independiente never behind	35.8%	44.5%	—	—	2.25

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.4%	50.8%	49.1%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.6%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	58.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	41.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.36

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	54.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	45.7%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.6%	95.4%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	93.0%	92.2%	94.6%	0.97×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	88.2%	87.6%	85.1%	1.03×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	82.5%	82.3%	86.3%	0.95×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	64.3%	61.7%	60.9%	1.01×	1.62
Under 2.5 goals	63.0%	61.7%	66.1%	0.93×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	37.0%	38.3%	33.9%	1.13×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.7%	38.3%	39.1%	0.98×	2.61
Over 3.5 goals	17.5%	17.7%	13.7%	1.29×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	11.9%	12.4%	14.9%	0.83×	8.08
Over 4.5 goals	7.0%	7.8%	5.4%	1.44×	12.87
Over 5.5 goals	2.4%	4.6%	1.0%	4.43×	21.94

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.3%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.5%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	92.2%	92.4%	94.1%	0.98×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	78.2%	75.9%	82.8%	0.92×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	50.9%	51.9%	46.4%	1.12×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	49.1%	48.1%	53.6%	0.90×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	21.8%	24.1%	17.2%	1.40×	4.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	7.8%	7.6%	5.9%	1.30×	13.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.5%	2.8%	1.1%	2.59×	35.85
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.7%	2.8%	0.5%	6.05×	35.90

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.6%	92.8%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	77.0%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.0%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.4%	7.2%	—	—	13.89

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	86.4%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	71.7%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	63.6%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	36.4%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	28.3%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	13.6%	14.7%	—	—	6.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente not to score in both halves	84.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Racing Club not to score in both halves	81.0%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Racing Club to score in both halves	19.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
Independiente to score in both halves	15.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.44

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.2%	46.6%	40.5%	1.15×	2.15
Only Racing Club scores	24.4%	22.3%	27.7%	0.81×	4.49
Only Independiente scores	19.6%	16.0%	17.2%	0.94×	6.23
Neither team scores	11.9%	11.0%	14.9%	0.74×	9.10

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	27.3%	24.9%	27.1%	0.92×	4.01
Exactly 1 goals	23.8%	22.6%	24.4%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.5%	17.4%	20.3%	0.86×	5.73
Exactly 0 goals	11.9%	12.1%	14.9%	0.81×	8.28
Exactly 4 goals	10.6%	12.1%	8.5%	1.43×	8.28
Exactly 5 goals	4.6%	4.5%	4.5%	1.00×	22.40
6 or more goals	2.4%	4.5%	1.0%	4.33×	22.44

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	40.6%	41.2%	—	—	2.43
1 goal in 1st half	36.4%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
2 goals in 1st half	16.6%	15.2%	—	—	6.57
3+ goals in 1st half	6.4%	7.2%	—	—	13.89

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	36.4%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
1 goal in 2nd half	35.4%	39.8%	—	—	2.51
No goals in 2nd half	28.3%	29.8%	—	—	3.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente not to win both halves	93.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Racing Club not to win both halves	91.0%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Racing Club to win both halves	9.0%	6.1%	—	—	16.48
Independiente to win both halves	6.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.68

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente to win neither half	56.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Racing Club to win either half	50.7%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Racing Club to win neither half	49.3%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Independiente to win either half	43.9%	40.6%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Independiente not to win to nil	80.4%	83.1%	82.8%	1.00×	1.20
Racing Club not to win to nil	75.6%	78.1%	72.3%	1.08×	1.28
Racing Club to win to nil	24.4%	21.9%	27.7%	0.79×	4.56
Independiente to win to nil	19.6%	16.9%	17.2%	0.99×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	30.2%	27.6%	30.7%	0.90×	3.63
Racing Club by 1	22.1%	24.2%	24.4%	0.99×	4.14
Independiente by 1	19.3%	16.9%	18.7%	0.91×	5.90
Racing Club by 2	11.1%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.50
Independiente by 2	8.5%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.80
Racing Club by 3+	5.3%	7.2%	5.0%	1.44×	13.82
Independiente by 3+	3.4%	2.7%	3.0%	0.92×	36.65