Racing Club v Sarmiento (Junín) — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 19 September 2026 · ARG-Liga Profesional · 2627

ARG-Liga Profesional results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Racing Club

00:15 UTC

Sarmiento (Junín)

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 9 Sep, 11:32 · 229h before kick-off

Racing Club win

47.1%

model 47.1%

Draw

26.4%

model 26.9%

Sarmiento (Junín) win

26.4%

model 26.0%

472626

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.8%
1-0 11.5%
2-1 9.2%
2-0 8.9%
0-0 8.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	46.2%	Under 2.5	53.8%
BTTS yes	50.3%	BTTS no	49.7%
Racing Club 1+	77.3%	Racing Club 2+	43.7%
Sarmiento (Junín) 1+	64.5%	Sarmiento (Junín) 2+	27.8%

Expected goals 1.48 – 1.04. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

55/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Over 2 (void on exactly 2)

Over/Under (whole line) · usually 46%

62.3% fair odds 1.61

strong signal · 8425 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1603 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Racing Club carry the stronger rating, 1536 Elo against 1493.

Risk factors

Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0032 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Racing Club have an estimated 47.1% win probability, against 26.4% for the draw and 26.4% for Sarmiento (Junín). Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.48 for Racing Club and 1.04 for Sarmiento (Junín).

Why Racing Club

Racing Club carry the stronger rating, 1536 Elo against 1493.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.4%. Draws run at 31% in this competition.

Why Sarmiento (Junín) can win

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Racing Club, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sarmiento (Junín), so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Racing Club: 58% possession, 15.0 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sarmiento (Junín): 36% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Racing Club's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Racing Club are the model's most likely outcome at 47.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	472726	1.48–1.04	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	472727	1.50–1.07	1-1 13%	47%	51%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to win	46.6%	47.4%	41.8%	1.14×	2.11
Draw	26.7%	27.8%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59
Sarmiento (Junín) to win	26.7%	27.8%	27.7%	1.01×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club & not both score	26.2%	25.1%	27.7%	0.91×	3.98
Racing Club & both teams score	20.4%	21.8%	14.2%	1.54×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	18.6%	17.9%	15.9%	1.13×	5.58
Sarmiento (Junín) & not both score	14.3%	13.3%	17.2%	0.77×	7.54
Sarmiento (Junín) & both teams score	12.4%	13.3%	10.6%	1.25×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.1%	8.4%	14.9%	0.56×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club & over 1.5	35.5%	34.8%	27.7%	1.26×	2.87
Racing Club & under 3.5	33.2%	30.8%	34.8%	0.89×	3.24
Racing Club & over 2.5	26.9%	26.0%	18.3%	1.42×	3.84
Draw & under 2.5	20.9%	21.6%	28.1%	0.77×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.9%	21.6%	28.1%	0.77×	4.63
Sarmiento (Junín) & under 3.5	20.3%	21.6%	23.6%	0.92×	4.63
Racing Club & under 2.5	19.7%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.6%	18.0%	15.9%	1.13×	5.56
Sarmiento (Junín) & over 1.5	18.9%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Sarmiento (Junín) & over 2.5	14.5%	12.9%	13.2%	0.98×	7.76
Racing Club & over 3.5	13.4%	12.9%	7.1%	1.82×	7.76
Sarmiento (Junín) & under 2.5	12.2%	12.9%	14.6%	0.88×	7.76
Racing Club & under 1.5	11.1%	12.9%	14.2%	0.91×	7.76
Draw & under 1.5	8.1%	7.9%	14.9%	0.53×	12.65
Sarmiento (Junín) & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	10.3%	0.77×	12.65
Sarmiento (Junín) & over 3.5	6.3%	7.9%	4.2%	1.87×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	5.9%	7.9%	2.6%	3.00×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	2.6%	3.00×	12.65

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (1UP)	61.2%	63.1%	—	—	1.59
Sarmiento (Junín) (1UP)	43.7%	39.4%	—	—	2.54

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (2UP)	46.6%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Sarmiento (Junín) (2UP)	26.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to win 2nd half	37.8%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
2nd half drawn	36.8%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
Sarmiento (Junín) to win 2nd half	25.4%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) under 1.5 in 2nd half	86.4%	86.6%	—	—	1.15
Sarmiento (Junín) under 0.5 in 2nd half	52.7%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Sarmiento (Junín) over 0.5 in 2nd half	47.3%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
Sarmiento (Junín) over 1.5 in 2nd half	13.6%	13.4%	—	—	7.48

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.0%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Racing Club over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.3%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
Racing Club under 0.5 in 2nd half	42.7%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Racing Club over 1.5 in 2nd half	21.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) (+2.5)	90.7%	92.0%	95.0%	0.97×	1.09
Sarmiento (Junín) (+1.5)	76.5%	78.4%	82.5%	0.95×	1.28
Racing Club (+0.5)	73.3%	73.8%	72.3%	1.02×	1.36
Sarmiento (Junín) (+0.5)	53.4%	52.4%	58.2%	0.90×	1.91
Racing Club (-0.5)	46.6%	47.6%	41.8%	1.14×	2.10
Sarmiento (Junín) (-0.5)	26.7%	26.2%	27.7%	0.95×	3.81
Racing Club (-1.5)	23.5%	21.6%	17.5%	1.23×	4.63
Racing Club (-2.5)	9.3%	8.0%	5.0%	1.58×	12.58

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) to concede	77.6%	78.9%	68.1%	1.16×	1.27
Sarmiento (Junín) clean sheet	22.4%	21.1%	31.9%	0.66×	4.75

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) to concede in 1st half	47.4%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Sarmiento (Junín) clean sheet in 1st half	52.6%	49.3%	—	—	2.03

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) to concede in 2nd half	57.3%	58.6%	—	—	1.71
Sarmiento (Junín) clean sheet in 2nd half	42.7%	41.4%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) under 6.5 corners	93.5%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
Sarmiento (Junín) under 5.5 corners	87.2%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Sarmiento (Junín) under 4.5 corners	76.8%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Sarmiento (Junín) under 3.5 corners	61.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Sarmiento (Junín) over 2.5 corners	58.5%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Sarmiento (Junín) under 2.5 corners	41.5%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Sarmiento (Junín) over 3.5 corners	38.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Sarmiento (Junín) over 4.5 corners	23.2%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Sarmiento (Junín) over 5.5 corners	12.8%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Sarmiento (Junín) over 6.5 corners	6.5%	10.0%	—	—	9.96

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) under 3.5 goals	97.6%	97.5%	98.9%	0.99×	1.03
Sarmiento (Junín) under 2.5 goals	90.7%	92.3%	93.4%	0.99×	1.08
Sarmiento (Junín) under 1.5 goals	71.0%	71.9%	78.1%	0.92×	1.39
Sarmiento (Junín) over 0.5 goals	65.7%	68.0%	57.6%	1.18×	1.47
Sarmiento (Junín) under 0.5 goals	34.3%	32.0%	42.4%	0.75×	3.12
Sarmiento (Junín) over 1.5 goals	29.0%	28.1%	21.9%	1.29×	3.55
Sarmiento (Junín) over 2.5 goals	9.3%	7.7%	6.6%	1.16×	12.99
Sarmiento (Junín) over 3.5 goals	2.4%	2.5%	1.1%	2.18×	40.06

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) under 1.5 in 1st half	93.1%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Sarmiento (Junín) under 0.5 in 1st half	65.2%	68.3%	—	—	1.46
Sarmiento (Junín) over 0.5 in 1st half	34.8%	31.7%	—	—	3.16
Sarmiento (Junín) over 1.5 in 1st half	6.9%	5.8%	—	—	17.24

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) scores equally in both	44.4%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
Sarmiento (Junín) scores more in 2nd half	34.8%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Sarmiento (Junín) scores more in 1st half	20.8%	22.4%	—	—	4.47

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (away no bet)	63.5%	62.0%	57.7%	1.07×	1.61
Draw (away no bet)	36.5%	38.0%	42.3%	0.90×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) even goals	55.9%	56.9%	58.5%	0.97×	1.76
Sarmiento (Junín) odd goals	44.1%	43.1%	41.5%	1.04×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.2%	87.7%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.8%	12.3%	—	—	8.14

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	60.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals	39.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	52.8%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Racing Club to score 2+ in a row	36.5%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Sarmiento (Junín) to score 2+ in a row	21.5%	19.5%	—	—	5.14
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.1%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Racing Club to score 3+ in a row	13.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
Sarmiento (Junín) to score 3+ in a row	5.3%	5.6%	—	—	17.91

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club corners (+3.5)	97.2%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Racing Club corners (+2.5)	94.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Racing Club corners (+1.5)	90.9%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Racing Club corners (-1.5)	67.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Racing Club corners (-2.5)	56.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (+3.5)	54.2%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Racing Club corners (-3.5)	45.8%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (+2.5)	43.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (+1.5)	32.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (-1.5)	9.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.57
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (-2.5)	5.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Sarmiento (Junín) corners (-3.5)	2.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.68

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	41.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
9-11 corners	29.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.6%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 11.5 corners	71.0%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	69.5%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	62.0%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	58.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	51.9%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	48.1%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	41.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	38.0%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	30.5%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	29.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	21.4%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.7%	11.4%	13.4%	0.85×	8.74
1-0	11.1%	11.4%	14.2%	0.81×	8.74
2-0	8.6%	7.4%	9.5%	0.78×	13.50
2-1	9.2%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.50
0-0	8.1%	7.4%	14.9%	0.50×	13.50
0-1	7.8%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.50
1-2	6.6%	7.4%	7.1%	1.04×	13.50
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.29
0-2	4.4%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.29
0-3	1.6%	1.7%	2.1%	0.83×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.6%	3.00×	58.32
1-3	2.3%	1.7%	1.9%	0.88×	58.31
1-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	5.00×	58.32
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.1%	14.99×	58.32
3-0	4.3%	1.7%	2.7%	0.62×	58.29
3-1	4.6%	1.7%	3.0%	0.58×	58.29
3-2	2.5%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.31
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.3%	5.00×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	14.99×	58.32
4-0	1.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.50×	58.31
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.14×	58.31
4-2	0.9%	1.7%	0.3%	5.00×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.2%	7.49×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	7.49×	58.32
Any other score	2.3%	1.7%	0.9%	1.87×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (2nd half DNB)	59.8%	60.8%	—	—	1.64
Sarmiento (Junín) (2nd half DNB)	40.2%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club leading at HT (DNB)	62.8%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Sarmiento (Junín) leading at HT (DNB)	37.2%	34.5%	—	—	2.90

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw (1X)	73.3%	72.2%	72.3%	1.00×	1.39
Racing Club or Sarmiento (Junín) (12)	73.3%	72.2%	69.3%	1.04×	1.39
Sarmiento (Junín) or draw (X2)	53.4%	52.6%	58.2%	0.90×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw at HT	79.3%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Sarmiento (Junín) or draw at HT	65.2%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Racing Club or Sarmiento (Junín) at HT	55.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw (1UP)	73.3%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
Sarmiento (Junín) or draw (1UP)	53.4%	59.2%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club or draw in 2nd half	74.6%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Racing Club or Sarmiento (Junín) in 2nd half	63.2%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Sarmiento (Junín) or draw in 2nd half	62.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	64.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	35.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (DNB)	63.6%	62.9%	60.1%	1.05×	1.59
Sarmiento (Junín) (DNB)	36.4%	37.1%	39.9%	0.93×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to score first	53.6%	53.9%	—	—	1.86
Sarmiento (Junín) to score first	38.3%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	8.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.4%	51.3%	40.5%	1.27×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.6%	48.7%	59.5%	0.82×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	40.0%	41.6%	52.9%	0.79×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	38.6%	38.5%	27.2%	1.41×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.7%	12.3%	13.4%	0.92×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	8.6%	8.3%	6.8%	1.24×	11.99

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.2%	85.6%	94.1%	0.91×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.8%	14.4%	6.0%	2.42×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.7%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.3%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.6%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	22.8%	20.9%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	12.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.5%	5.0%	—	—	19.82

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.4%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	51.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
A half without a goal	48.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.4%	47.3%	47.3%	1.00×	2.11
0-1 goals	27.0%	26.6%	39.1%	0.68×	3.76
4-6 goals	24.0%	22.8%	13.4%	1.71×	4.38
7+ goals	1.6%	1.8%	0.5%	3.99×	54.73

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) to score exactly 1	36.7%	36.0%	35.8%	1.00×	2.78
Sarmiento (Junín) to score exactly 0	34.3%	33.8%	42.4%	0.80×	2.96
Sarmiento (Junín) to score exactly 2	19.6%	19.6%	15.3%	1.28×	5.09
Sarmiento (Junín) to score 3+	9.3%	8.6%	6.6%	1.29×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to score exactly 1	33.5%	32.6%	36.5%	0.89×	3.07
Racing Club to score exactly 2	25.1%	26.5%	21.7%	1.22×	3.78
Racing Club to score exactly 0	22.4%	23.2%	31.9%	0.73×	4.31
Racing Club to score 3+	19.0%	18.9%	10.1%	1.88×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	44.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Racing Club leading at HT	34.8%	33.8%	—	—	2.96
Sarmiento (Junín) leading at HT	20.7%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club -1: 2	53.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Racing Club -1: 1	23.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Racing Club -1: X	23.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) (0:1)	53.4%	51.2%	58.2%	0.88×	1.95
Racing Club (0:1)	23.5%	24.3%	17.5%	1.39×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	23.1%	24.3%	24.4%	1.00×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) (0:2)	76.5%	79.4%	82.5%	0.96×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.2%	10.9%	12.6%	0.87×	9.16
Racing Club (0:2)	9.3%	7.7%	5.0%	1.53×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) (0:3)	90.7%	92.6%	95.0%	0.98×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	6.3%	5.8%	3.4%	1.68×	17.30
Racing Club (0:3)	3.0%	2.4%	1.7%	1.38×	42.10

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) (0:4)	97.0%	98.1%	98.3%	1.00×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.2%	1.2%	1.3%	0.95×	83.50
Racing Club (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	0.6%	2.09×	83.66

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (1:0)	73.3%	72.6%	72.3%	1.00×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	16.4%	17.0%	18.7%	0.91×	5.89
Sarmiento (Junín) (1:0)	10.3%	12.8%	9.2%	1.39×	7.84

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club (2:0)	89.7%	88.5%	90.8%	0.97×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.3%	6.5%	6.3%	1.03×	15.50
Sarmiento (Junín) (2:0)	3.0%	2.3%	3.0%	0.77×	43.66

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.6%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	26.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to concede	65.7%	66.5%	57.6%	1.16×	1.50
Racing Club clean sheet	34.3%	33.5%	42.4%	0.79×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club clean sheet in 1st half	65.2%	68.6%	—	—	1.46
Racing Club to concede in 1st half	34.8%	31.4%	—	—	3.19

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club clean sheet in 2nd half	52.7%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
Racing Club to concede in 2nd half	47.3%	46.6%	—	—	2.14

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club over 2.5 corners	91.4%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Racing Club over 3.5 corners	82.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Racing Club over 4.5 corners	70.9%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Racing Club over 5.5 corners	58.0%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Racing Club under 6.5 corners	54.8%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Racing Club over 6.5 corners	45.2%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Racing Club under 5.5 corners	42.0%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Racing Club under 4.5 corners	29.1%	28.1%	—	—	3.55
Racing Club under 3.5 corners	17.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.26
Racing Club under 2.5 corners	8.6%	10.7%	—	—	9.32

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club under 3.5 goals	93.5%	92.2%	97.1%	0.95×	1.08
Racing Club under 2.5 goals	81.0%	82.1%	89.9%	0.91×	1.22
Racing Club over 0.5 goals	77.6%	77.7%	68.1%	1.14×	1.29
Racing Club under 1.5 goals	56.0%	58.8%	68.3%	0.86×	1.70
Racing Club over 1.5 goals	44.0%	41.2%	31.7%	1.30×	2.43
Racing Club under 0.5 goals	22.4%	22.3%	31.9%	0.70×	4.49
Racing Club over 2.5 goals	19.0%	17.9%	10.1%	1.78×	5.58
Racing Club over 3.5 goals	6.5%	7.8%	2.9%	2.71×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club under 1.5 in 1st half	86.4%	89.7%	—	—	1.11
Racing Club over 0.5 in 1st half	47.4%	50.9%	—	—	1.97
Racing Club under 0.5 in 1st half	52.6%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
Racing Club over 1.5 in 1st half	13.6%	10.3%	—	—	9.74

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club scores more in 2nd half	37.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Racing Club scores equally in both	36.5%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Racing Club scores more in 1st half	25.6%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	50.1%	51.4%	52.5%	0.98×	1.94
Sarmiento (Junín) (home no bet)	49.9%	48.6%	47.5%	1.02×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club even goals	52.5%	50.6%	55.7%	0.91×	1.98
Racing Club odd goals	47.5%	49.4%	44.3%	1.12×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	34.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
HT 1-0	22.0%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	14.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	9.5%	7.1%	—	—	13.99
HT 2-0	7.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
Any other HT score	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.43
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 2-1	3.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.48
HT 1-2	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.56
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.66

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club at HT / Racing Club at FT	27.7%	27.0%	—	—	3.70
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.9%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Racing Club at FT	16.6%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Sarmiento (Junín) at HT / Sarmiento (Junín) at FT	13.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / Sarmiento (Junín) at FT	11.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
Racing Club at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Sarmiento (Junín) at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Sarmiento (Junín) at HT / Racing Club at FT	2.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Racing Club at HT / Sarmiento (Junín) at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to score last	53.6%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Sarmiento (Junín) to score last	38.3%	38.5%	—	—	2.60
No goal scored	8.1%	7.5%	—	—	13.28

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.9%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Racing Club to lead by 1 at any time	61.2%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	44.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Sarmiento (Junín) to lead by 1 at any time	43.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Racing Club to lead by 2 at any time	29.4%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Sarmiento (Junín) to lead by 2 at any time	15.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.74
Racing Club to lead by 3 at any time	11.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Sarmiento (Junín) to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	1.7%	—	—	60.35

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club most corners	77.2%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
Sarmiento (Junín) most corners	14.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Corners level	7.9%	8.4%	—	—	11.91

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.2%	87.4%	84.2%	1.04×	1.15
1-4 goals	80.1%	83.4%	79.9%	1.04×	1.20
2-6 goals	71.4%	72.4%	60.5%	1.20×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.3%	68.9%	60.0%	1.15×	1.45
1-3 goals	66.3%	68.9%	71.5%	0.96×	1.45
2-4 goals	61.2%	63.4%	55.6%	1.14×	1.58
2-3 goals	47.4%	48.6%	47.3%	1.03×	2.06
3-6 goals	45.6%	48.6%	33.5%	1.45×	2.06
1-2 goals	44.6%	43.6%	51.4%	0.85×	2.30
3-5 goals	42.6%	43.6%	33.0%	1.32×	2.30
3-4 goals	35.5%	39.2%	28.6%	1.37×	2.55
4-6 goals	24.0%	24.5%	13.4%	1.83×	4.08
4-5 goals	21.0%	24.5%	12.8%	1.91×	4.08
5-6 goals	10.1%	14.8%	5.0%	2.95×	6.74
7+ goals	1.6%	2.6%	0.5%	5.58×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club never behind	48.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Sarmiento (Junín) never behind	30.7%	35.5%	—	—	2.82

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.8%	50.8%	49.1%	1.04×	1.97
Even number of goals	51.2%	49.2%	50.9%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	44.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.8%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.2%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.4%	95.4%	99.0%	0.96×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.9%	92.2%	85.1%	1.08×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	88.3%	87.6%	94.6%	0.93×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	74.4%	72.5%	86.3%	0.84×	1.38
Over 1.5 goals	73.0%	72.5%	60.9%	1.19×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	52.8%	52.6%	66.1%	0.80×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	47.2%	47.4%	33.9%	1.40×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	27.0%	27.5%	39.1%	0.70×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	25.6%	27.5%	13.7%	2.00×	3.63
Over 4.5 goals	11.8%	12.4%	5.4%	2.30×	8.08
Under 0.5 goals	8.1%	7.8%	14.9%	0.52×	12.87
Over 5.5 goals	4.6%	4.6%	1.0%	4.43×	21.91

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.3%	97.2%	99.5%	0.98×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.0%	97.2%	98.9%	0.98×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	86.4%	86.7%	94.1%	0.92×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	67.3%	67.5%	82.8%	0.81×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	63.6%	61.9%	46.4%	1.33×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	36.4%	38.1%	53.6%	0.71×	2.63
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	32.7%	32.5%	17.2%	1.89×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	13.6%	13.3%	5.9%	2.26×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	5.0%	2.8%	1.1%	2.60×	35.78
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.7%	2.8%	0.5%	6.06×	35.88

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	90.6%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	70.9%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Over 0.5 in 1st half	65.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half	34.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half	29.1%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	9.4%	7.4%	—	—	13.47

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.0%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.9%	54.7%	—	—	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.1%	45.3%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.0%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) not to score in both halves	83.5%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Racing Club not to score in both halves	72.8%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Racing Club to score in both halves	27.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.81
Sarmiento (Junín) to score in both halves	16.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.42

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.4%	53.9%	40.5%	1.33×	1.86
Only Racing Club scores	26.2%	26.0%	27.7%	0.94×	3.84
Only Sarmiento (Junín) scores	14.3%	11.0%	17.2%	0.64×	9.09
Neither team scores	8.1%	7.2%	14.9%	0.48×	13.90

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.7%	24.9%	27.1%	0.92×	4.02
Exactly 3 goals	21.6%	22.6%	20.3%	1.12×	4.43
Exactly 1 goals	18.9%	17.4%	24.4%	0.72×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	13.9%	12.1%	8.5%	1.43×	8.27
Exactly 0 goals	8.1%	7.6%	14.9%	0.51×	13.08
Exactly 5 goals	7.1%	7.6%	4.5%	1.71×	13.08
6 or more goals	4.6%	4.5%	1.0%	4.33×	22.40

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.6%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	34.4%	35.9%	—	—	2.78
2 goals in 1st half	19.7%	15.3%	—	—	6.53
3+ goals in 1st half	9.4%	7.4%	—	—	13.47

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.1%	44.7%	—	—	2.24
1 goal in 2nd half	33.2%	33.4%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	22.6%	23.0%	—	—	4.34

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) not to win both halves	94.7%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Racing Club not to win both halves	86.8%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Racing Club to win both halves	13.2%	12.1%	—	—	8.26
Sarmiento (Junín) to win both halves	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.75

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Club to win either half	59.4%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Sarmiento (Junín) to win neither half	59.2%	59.6%	—	—	1.68
Sarmiento (Junín) to win either half	40.8%	40.4%	—	—	2.47
Racing Club to win neither half	40.6%	40.4%	—	—	2.47

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Sarmiento (Junín) not to win to nil	85.7%	88.1%	82.8%	1.06×	1.14
Racing Club not to win to nil	73.8%	75.4%	72.3%	1.04×	1.33
Racing Club to win to nil	26.2%	24.6%	27.7%	0.89×	4.06
Sarmiento (Junín) to win to nil	14.3%	11.9%	17.2%	0.69×	8.43

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.7%	27.9%	30.7%	0.91×	3.59
Racing Club by 1	23.1%	24.2%	24.4%	0.99×	4.14
Sarmiento (Junín) by 1	16.4%	16.9%	18.7%	0.91×	5.91
Racing Club by 2	14.2%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.49
Racing Club by 3+	9.3%	7.2%	5.0%	1.44×	13.80
Sarmiento (Junín) by 2	7.3%	7.2%	6.3%	1.15×	13.81
Sarmiento (Junín) by 3+	3.0%	2.7%	3.0%	0.92×	36.66