Racing Santander v Espanyol — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627

La Liga xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Racing Santander

16:00 UTC

Espanyol

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 29h before kick-off

Racing Santander win

49.2%

model 48.2%

Draw

23.0%

model 22.7%

Espanyol win

27.7%

model 29.1%

492328

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.2%
2-1 9.3%
1-0 7.3%
1-2 7.0%
2-0 6.7%

Goals

Over 2.5	62.4%	Under 2.5	37.6%
BTTS yes	63.0%	BTTS no	37.0%
Racing Santander 1+	84.1%	Racing Santander 2+	54.8%
Espanyol 1+	74.9%	Espanyol 2+	40.2%

Expected goals 1.84 – 1.38. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

94/100

Data quality

100/100

Model agreement

94%

★ Best pick

Racing Santander scores more in 1st half

Home highest scoring half · usually 27%

54.3% fair odds 1.84

strong signal · 113 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both teams to score 2+

GG/NG 2+ · usually 86%

83.0% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 264 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Racing Santander carry the stronger rating, 1538 Elo against 1447.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Racing Santander have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.7% for Espanyol and 23.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.84 for Racing Santander and 1.38 for Espanyol.

Why Racing Santander

Racing Santander carry the stronger rating, 1538 Elo against 1447.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Espanyol can win

Away from home Espanyol average 1.17 xG a match.

Key players

Racing Santander's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Yassir Zabiri (0.33), Andrés Martín (0.29), Iñigo Vicente (0.26). Espanyol's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Roberto Fernández (0.35), Kike García (0.29), Javi Hernández (0.28).

Availability

1 of Racing Santander's top three contributors did not start their last match. 1 of Espanyol's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of Espanyol's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Racing Santander: 51% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 17.8 faced, 0.21 xG a match from set pieces. Espanyol: 44% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.19 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Racing Santander are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.2%. Confidence 94/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Racing Santander are conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 4.2 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DLWLWLLDL last 9 scored 13 from 11.4 xG conceded 25 from 20.8 xG

Espanyol have scored 12 from 13.4 expected and conceded 13 from 13.9 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

DWLLDWLLDL last 10 scored 12 from 13.4 xG conceded 13 from 13.9 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482329	1.84–1.38	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	422434	1.64–1.46	1-1 11%	60%	62%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to win	64.8%	58.3%	46.3%	1.26×	1.72
Draw	20.2%	24.4%	25.5%	0.96×	4.09
Espanyol to win	15.0%	13.5%	28.3%	0.48×	7.39

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander & not both score	36.4%	33.3%	24.8%	1.34×	3.00
Racing Santander & both teams score	28.4%	25.2%	21.6%	1.16×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	14.9%	13.3%	20.3%	0.65×	7.53
Espanyol & both teams score	7.6%	8.3%	14.1%	0.59×	12.01
Espanyol & not both score	7.4%	8.3%	14.3%	0.58×	12.01
Draw & not both score	5.3%	8.3%	5.3%	1.57×	12.02

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander & over 1.5	53.8%	48.9%	33.8%	1.44×	2.05
Racing Santander & over 2.5	42.5%	40.3%	28.0%	1.44×	2.48
Racing Santander & under 3.5	39.9%	34.9%	32.3%	1.08×	2.86
Racing Santander & over 3.5	24.9%	21.6%	14.1%	1.53×	4.63
Racing Santander & under 2.5	22.3%	21.6%	18.4%	1.17×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	14.9%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 2.5	14.9%	12.8%	20.4%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.9%	12.8%	20.4%	0.63×	7.79
Espanyol & under 3.5	11.5%	12.8%	21.3%	0.60×	7.79
Racing Santander & under 1.5	11.0%	12.8%	12.6%	1.02×	7.79
Espanyol & over 1.5	10.3%	12.8%	21.4%	0.60×	7.79
Espanyol & over 2.5	8.3%	7.9%	17.0%	0.46×	12.63
Espanyol & under 2.5	6.7%	7.9%	11.4%	0.69×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	5.3%	7.9%	5.3%	1.50×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	5.2%	1.53×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.3%	7.9%	5.2%	1.53×	12.63
Espanyol & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	7.1%	0.68×	20.81
Espanyol & over 3.5	3.5%	4.8%	7.2%	0.67×	20.82

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (1UP)	75.8%	78.6%	62.7%	1.25×	1.27
Espanyol (1UP)	32.2%	32.9%	47.1%	0.70×	3.04

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (2UP)	64.8%	68.8%	48.1%	1.43×	1.45
Espanyol (2UP)	15.0%	14.4%	29.9%	0.48×	6.95

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.4%	36.1%	33.0%	1.09×	2.77
Racing Santander to win 2nd half	38.2%	36.0%	39.6%	0.91×	2.78
Espanyol to win 2nd half	22.4%	24.1%	27.6%	0.87×	4.15

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.2%	91.5%	84.2%	1.09×	1.09
Espanyol under 0.5 in 2nd half	59.2%	54.6%	47.9%	1.14×	1.83
Espanyol over 0.5 in 2nd half	40.8%	45.4%	52.1%	0.87×	2.21
Espanyol over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.8%	8.5%	15.8%	0.54×	11.79

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.5%	82.4%	79.6%	1.04×	1.21
Racing Santander over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.2%	55.2%	59.1%	0.93×	1.81
Racing Santander under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.8%	44.8%	40.9%	1.10×	2.23
Racing Santander over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.5%	17.6%	20.4%	0.86×	5.69

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (+0.5)	85.0%	88.4%	71.7%	1.23×	1.13
Espanyol (+2.5)	79.3%	78.5%	89.8%	0.87×	1.27
Racing Santander (-0.5)	64.8%	63.0%	46.3%	1.36×	1.59
Espanyol (+1.5)	59.5%	57.1%	79.3%	0.72×	1.75
Racing Santander (-1.5)	40.5%	42.9%	20.7%	2.08×	2.33
Espanyol (+0.5)	35.2%	37.0%	53.7%	0.69×	2.70
Racing Santander (-2.5)	20.7%	21.5%	10.2%	2.10×	4.65
Espanyol (-0.5)	15.0%	11.6%	28.3%	0.41×	8.65

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol to concede	87.2%	86.3%	80.5%	1.07×	1.16
Espanyol clean sheet	12.8%	13.7%	19.5%	0.70×	7.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol to concede in 1st half	72.0%	77.1%	47.7%	1.62×	1.30
Espanyol clean sheet in 1st half	28.0%	22.9%	52.3%	0.44×	4.37

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol to concede in 2nd half	54.2%	55.0%	59.1%	0.93×	1.82
Espanyol clean sheet in 2nd half	45.8%	45.0%	40.9%	1.10×	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol under 6.5 corners	84.1%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Espanyol under 5.5 corners	74.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Espanyol over 2.5 corners	73.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Espanyol under 4.5 corners	60.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Espanyol over 3.5 corners	55.8%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Espanyol under 3.5 corners	44.2%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Espanyol over 4.5 corners	39.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Espanyol under 2.5 corners	26.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Espanyol over 5.5 corners	25.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Espanyol over 6.5 corners	15.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol under 3.5 goals	98.8%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Espanyol under 2.5 goals	94.2%	92.3%	89.4%	1.03×	1.08
Espanyol under 1.5 goals	78.2%	76.3%	67.9%	1.12×	1.31
Espanyol over 0.5 goals	58.2%	59.4%	70.0%	0.85×	1.68
Espanyol under 0.5 goals	41.8%	40.6%	30.0%	1.35×	2.46
Espanyol over 1.5 goals	21.8%	23.7%	32.1%	0.74×	4.21
Espanyol over 2.5 goals	5.8%	7.7%	10.6%	0.72×	13.07
Espanyol over 3.5 goals	1.2%	2.5%	2.9%	0.85×	39.97

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol under 1.5 in 1st half	95.2%	95.9%	92.8%	1.03×	1.04
Espanyol under 0.5 in 1st half	70.6%	68.4%	63.1%	1.08×	1.46
Espanyol over 0.5 in 1st half	29.4%	31.6%	36.9%	0.86×	3.16
Espanyol over 1.5 in 1st half	4.8%	4.1%	7.2%	0.57×	24.30

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol scores equally in both	49.8%	48.0%	41.7%	1.15×	2.08
Espanyol scores more in 2nd half	31.3%	33.4%	37.6%	0.89×	3.00
Espanyol scores more in 1st half	19.0%	17.9%	20.8%	0.86×	5.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (away no bet)	76.2%	73.5%	64.5%	1.14×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	23.8%	26.5%	35.5%	0.75×	3.78

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol even goals	58.7%	57.0%	53.2%	1.07×	1.76
Espanyol odd goals	41.3%	43.0%	46.8%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	81.9%	82.9%	85.9%	0.97×	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	18.1%	17.1%	14.1%	1.21×	5.85

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.7%	68.5%	62.4%	1.10×	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.3%	31.6%	37.6%	0.84×	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.8%	60.1%	52.4%	1.15×	1.67
Racing Santander to score 2+ in a row	53.9%	51.1%	34.5%	1.48×	1.96
Either team to score 3+ in a row	28.1%	25.2%	19.2%	1.31×	3.97
Racing Santander to score 3+ in a row	25.7%	25.1%	13.2%	1.91×	3.98
Espanyol to score 2+ in a row	14.2%	12.1%	23.8%	0.51×	8.27
Espanyol to score 3+ in a row	2.7%	2.6%	6.5%	0.39×	39.10

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander corners (+3.5)	92.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Racing Santander corners (+2.5)	88.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Racing Santander corners (+1.5)	81.9%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Espanyol corners (+3.5)	66.3%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Espanyol corners (+2.5)	56.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Racing Santander corners (-1.5)	54.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Espanyol corners (+1.5)	45.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Racing Santander corners (-2.5)	43.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Racing Santander corners (-3.5)	33.7%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Espanyol corners (-1.5)	18.1%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Espanyol corners (-2.5)	11.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Espanyol corners (-3.5)	7.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	35.2%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
0-8 corners	35.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
9-11 corners	29.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	74.7%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	73.1%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	64.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	64.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	55.5%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	54.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	44.5%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	35.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	35.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 12.5 corners	26.9%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	25.3%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	11.3%	11.5%	6.0%	1.91×	8.72
1-0	11.0%	11.5%	12.6%	0.91×	8.72
1-1	9.6%	7.4%	15.3%	0.48×	13.50
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.50
3-0	7.8%	7.4%	4.5%	1.66×	13.51
3-1	6.8%	7.4%	3.5%	2.10×	13.51
Any other score	5.9%	7.4%	3.4%	2.17×	13.51
0-0	5.3%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.51
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.92×	58.32
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.86×	58.32
4-0	4.0%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.30
4-1	3.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.30
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	1.3%	1.33×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.43×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.59×	58.32
0-1	4.7%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.29
0-2	2.0%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.31
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.32
1-2	4.2%	1.7%	8.1%	0.21×	58.30
1-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.65×	58.32
2-2	4.3%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.29

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (2nd half DNB)	63.0%	62.9%	58.9%	1.07×	1.59
Espanyol (2nd half DNB)	37.0%	37.1%	41.1%	0.90×	2.70

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander leading at HT (DNB)	85.7%	86.3%	61.5%	1.40×	1.16
Espanyol leading at HT (DNB)	14.3%	13.7%	38.5%	0.36×	7.28

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander or draw (1X)	85.0%	86.5%	71.7%	1.21×	1.16
Racing Santander or Espanyol (12)	79.8%	75.6%	74.5%	1.01×	1.32
Espanyol or draw (X2)	35.2%	41.7%	53.7%	0.78×	2.40

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander or draw at HT	89.9%	88.1%	78.1%	1.13×	1.14
Racing Santander or Espanyol at HT	70.5%	74.8%	56.8%	1.32×	1.34
Espanyol or draw at HT	39.6%	28.3%	65.0%	0.44×	3.53

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander or draw (1UP)	85.0%	91.6%	78.0%	1.18×	1.09
Espanyol or draw (1UP)	35.2%	40.8%	60.3%	0.68×	2.45

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander or draw in 2nd half	77.6%	75.9%	72.4%	1.05×	1.32
Espanyol or draw in 2nd half	61.8%	64.0%	60.4%	1.06×	1.56
Racing Santander or Espanyol in 2nd half	60.6%	63.9%	67.0%	0.95×	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.3%	58.4%	62.1%	0.94×	1.71
Neither half drawn	42.7%	41.6%	37.9%	1.10×	2.40

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (DNB)	81.2%	80.2%	62.0%	1.29×	1.25
Espanyol (DNB)	18.8%	19.8%	38.0%	0.52×	5.06

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to score first	66.5%	69.3%	55.1%	1.26×	1.44
Espanyol to score first	28.2%	28.0%	39.7%	0.70×	3.58
No goal scored	5.3%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.53

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.8%	51.3%	55.8%	0.92×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.2%	48.7%	44.2%	1.10×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.2%	41.6%	40.7%	1.02×	2.41
Not both score & under 2.5	34.3%	34.5%	34.9%	0.99×	2.90
Not both score & over 2.5	14.9%	12.4%	9.4%	1.32×	8.08
Both score & under 2.5	9.6%	8.3%	15.3%	0.54×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.8%	85.6%	85.8%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.2%	14.4%	14.2%	1.01×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.9%	74.7%	70.8%	1.06×	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.1%	25.3%	29.2%	0.86×	3.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.4%	65.6%	59.7%	1.10×	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	17.4%	15.0%	23.7%	0.63×	6.67
Both score 1st half only	16.5%	14.9%	11.2%	1.34×	6.69
Both score in both halves	4.7%	5.0%	5.7%	0.88×	20.09

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.8%	81.1%	83.3%	0.97×	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.2%	18.9%	16.7%	1.13×	5.28

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.5%	57.3%	55.1%	1.04×	1.74
A half without a goal	41.5%	42.7%	44.9%	0.95×	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.3%	47.2%	49.2%	0.96×	2.12
4-6 goals	30.7%	30.7%	23.7%	1.29×	3.26
0-1 goals	21.0%	22.9%	24.7%	0.93×	4.37
7+ goals	3.0%	1.8%	2.6%	0.71×	54.20

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol to score exactly 0	41.8%	37.3%	30.0%	1.24×	2.68
Espanyol to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.9%	38.1%	0.94×	2.78
Espanyol to score exactly 2	15.9%	19.6%	21.6%	0.90×	5.11
Espanyol to score 3+	5.8%	8.5%	10.6%	0.81×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to score 3+	33.8%	32.6%	19.7%	1.65×	3.07
Racing Santander to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	22.7%	1.17×	3.77
Racing Santander to score exactly 1	26.3%	26.5%	38.3%	0.69×	3.77
Racing Santander to score exactly 0	12.8%	14.3%	19.5%	0.73×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander leading at HT	60.4%	71.7%	35.0%	2.05×	1.40
Draw at HT	29.5%	25.2%	43.2%	0.58×	3.97
Espanyol leading at HT	10.1%	11.9%	21.9%	0.54×	8.38

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander -1: 1	40.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Racing Santander -1: 2	35.2%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Racing Santander -1: X	24.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (0:1)	40.5%	42.6%	20.7%	2.06×	2.35
Espanyol (0:1)	35.2%	37.3%	53.7%	0.69×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	24.3%	24.2%	25.7%	0.94×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol (0:2)	59.5%	63.1%	79.3%	0.80×	1.59
Racing Santander (0:2)	20.7%	20.3%	10.2%	1.98×	4.93
Draw (0:2)	19.8%	15.3%	10.6%	1.45×	6.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol (0:3)	79.3%	80.6%	89.8%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	11.9%	9.9%	7.2%	1.39×	10.06
Racing Santander (0:3)	8.8%	5.8%	3.2%	1.83×	17.19

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol (0:4)	91.2%	94.5%	96.8%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.6%	4.6%	2.4%	1.95×	21.77
Racing Santander (0:4)	3.2%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	81.75

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (1:0)	85.0%	86.0%	71.7%	1.20×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	10.3%	12.7%	17.5%	0.72×	7.88
Espanyol (1:0)	4.7%	3.3%	10.9%	0.30×	30.38

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (2:0)	95.3%	96.8%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.6%	2.3%	7.1%	0.33×	43.61
Espanyol (2:0)	1.1%	2.3%	4.0%	0.57×	43.76

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	44.9%	44.9%	25.8%	1.74×	2.23
2nd half highest scoring	30.8%	29.4%	51.2%	0.57×	3.40
Halves equal	24.3%	24.5%	23.1%	1.06×	4.08

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to concede	58.2%	60.7%	70.0%	0.87×	1.65
Racing Santander clean sheet	41.8%	39.3%	30.0%	1.31×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander clean sheet in 1st half	70.6%	67.1%	63.1%	1.06×	1.49
Racing Santander to concede in 1st half	29.4%	32.9%	36.9%	0.89×	3.04

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander clean sheet in 2nd half	59.2%	55.1%	47.9%	1.15×	1.82
Racing Santander to concede in 2nd half	40.8%	44.9%	52.1%	0.86×	2.23

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander over 2.5 corners	89.5%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Racing Santander over 3.5 corners	79.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Racing Santander over 4.5 corners	67.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Racing Santander under 6.5 corners	59.0%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Racing Santander over 5.5 corners	53.7%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Racing Santander under 5.5 corners	46.3%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Racing Santander over 6.5 corners	41.0%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Racing Santander under 4.5 corners	33.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Racing Santander under 3.5 corners	20.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Racing Santander under 2.5 corners	10.5%	13.7%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander over 0.5 goals	87.2%	87.3%	80.5%	1.08×	1.15
Racing Santander under 3.5 goals	84.7%	82.2%	92.4%	0.89×	1.22
Racing Santander under 2.5 goals	66.2%	68.0%	80.3%	0.85×	1.47
Racing Santander over 1.5 goals	60.9%	63.6%	42.3%	1.50×	1.57
Racing Santander under 1.5 goals	39.1%	36.4%	57.7%	0.63×	2.75
Racing Santander over 2.5 goals	33.8%	32.0%	19.7%	1.62×	3.12
Racing Santander over 3.5 goals	15.3%	17.8%	7.6%	2.33×	5.63
Racing Santander under 0.5 goals	12.8%	12.7%	19.5%	0.65×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander over 0.5 in 1st half	72.0%	79.1%	47.7%	1.66×	1.26
Racing Santander under 1.5 in 1st half	63.6%	64.7%	85.9%	0.75×	1.55
Racing Santander over 1.5 in 1st half	36.4%	35.3%	14.1%	2.49×	2.84
Racing Santander under 0.5 in 1st half	28.0%	20.9%	52.3%	0.40×	4.78

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander scores more in 1st half	48.1%	47.2%	27.4%	1.72×	2.12
Racing Santander scores equally in both	29.1%	27.8%	32.3%	0.86×	3.60
Racing Santander scores more in 2nd half	22.8%	21.3%	40.4%	0.53×	4.70

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	57.4%	56.4%	47.4%	1.19×	1.77
Espanyol (home no bet)	42.6%	43.6%	52.6%	0.83×	2.30

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander even goals	50.8%	50.7%	47.5%	1.07×	1.97
Racing Santander odd goals	49.2%	49.3%	52.5%	0.94×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	25.2%	28.2%	22.0%	1.28×	3.55
HT 0-0	19.7%	18.7%	32.2%	0.58×	5.36
HT 2-0	16.0%	18.6%	6.6%	2.82×	5.38
Any other HT score	14.2%	11.0%	4.5%	2.46×	9.10
HT 1-1	8.8%	6.9%	10.1%	0.68×	14.45
HT 0-1	6.9%	6.9%	16.1%	0.43×	14.48
HT 2-1	5.6%	6.9%	3.1%	2.25×	14.50
HT 1-2	1.5%	2.4%	1.6%	1.44×	42.20
HT 0-2	1.2%	2.4%	3.5%	0.67×	42.22
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.4%	1.2%	2.01×	42.23

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander at HT / Racing Santander at FT	52.4%	53.8%	26.3%	2.05×	1.86
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.6%	12.6%	14.1%	0.89×	7.91
Draw at HT / Racing Santander at FT	11.3%	12.6%	17.8%	0.71×	7.91
Espanyol at HT / Espanyol at FT	6.6%	6.0%	13.2%	0.46×	16.63
Draw at HT / Espanyol at FT	6.6%	6.0%	11.5%	0.52×	16.63
Racing Santander at HT / Draw at FT	6.2%	6.0%	5.2%	1.16×	16.64
Espanyol at HT / Draw at FT	2.3%	3.5%	6.4%	0.55×	28.70
Racing Santander at HT / Espanyol at FT	1.7%	3.5%	3.8%	0.92×	28.73
Espanyol at HT / Racing Santander at FT	1.1%	3.5%	2.6%	1.34×	28.75

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to score last	66.4%	70.2%	54.9%	1.28×	1.43
Espanyol to score last	28.2%	27.7%	39.9%	0.69×	3.61
No goal scored	5.3%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.53

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.7%	92.7%	94.7%	0.98×	1.08
Racing Santander to lead by 1 at any time	75.8%	78.2%	62.7%	1.25×	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	55.0%	50.9%	41.9%	1.21×	1.97
Racing Santander to lead by 2 at any time	46.8%	44.5%	26.5%	1.68×	2.25
Espanyol to lead by 1 at any time	32.2%	29.8%	47.1%	0.63×	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.4%	25.5%	17.2%	1.48×	3.93
Racing Santander to lead by 3 at any time	23.6%	19.7%	12.5%	1.58×	5.09
Espanyol to lead by 2 at any time	8.4%	6.7%	15.8%	0.43×	14.87
Espanyol to lead by 3 at any time	1.8%	1.6%	4.8%	0.33×	62.92

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander most corners	64.4%	60.6%	—	—	1.65
Espanyol most corners	26.1%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Corners level	9.5%	8.4%	—	—	11.96

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	88.6%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	77.4%	78.7%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
2-6 goals	76.0%	78.7%	72.9%	1.08×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.3%	72.4%	69.2%	1.05×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.7%	63.3%	61.0%	1.04×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.0%	63.3%	68.6%	0.92×	1.58
3-6 goals	53.1%	53.2%	47.5%	1.12×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.4%	48.5%	43.8%	1.11×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.3%	48.5%	49.2%	0.98×	2.06
3-4 goals	38.8%	39.2%	35.6%	1.10×	2.55
1-2 goals	38.6%	39.2%	44.9%	0.87×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.7%	35.2%	23.7%	1.48×	2.84
4-5 goals	26.0%	30.2%	20.1%	1.50×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.3%	14.8%	12.0%	1.24×	6.75
7+ goals	3.0%	2.6%	2.6%	0.99×	39.09

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander never behind	62.5%	68.2%	52.9%	1.29×	1.47
Espanyol never behind	18.8%	18.5%	37.3%	0.50×	5.39

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	53.6%	0.95×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	46.4%	1.06×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.0%	51.5%	54.3%	0.95×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	48.0%	48.5%	45.7%	1.06×	2.06

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.7%	51.9%	49.4%	1.05×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.3%	48.1%	50.6%	0.95×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.7%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.3%	92.3%	93.8%	0.98×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.7%	82.3%	85.5%	0.96×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	79.0%	77.3%	75.3%	1.03×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	66.3%	66.3%	73.8%	0.90×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	56.1%	58.6%	49.9%	1.17×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	43.9%	41.4%	50.1%	0.83×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	33.7%	33.7%	26.2%	1.29×	2.97
Under 1.5 goals	21.0%	22.7%	24.7%	0.92×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	17.3%	17.7%	14.5%	1.22×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.7%	7.7%	6.2%	1.24×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	5.3%	7.7%	5.3%	1.46×	12.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.9%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.5%	92.4%	93.2%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.3%	75.9%	83.6%	0.91×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.7%	72.4%	66.9%	1.08×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.6%	55.8%	65.6%	0.85×	1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.4%	44.2%	34.4%	1.29×	2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.3%	27.6%	33.1%	0.83×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.7%	24.1%	16.4%	1.47×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.5%	7.6%	6.8%	1.12×	13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.1%	2.8%	2.7%	1.05×	35.57

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	80.3%	85.7%	67.8%	1.26×	1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half	77.8%	78.4%	90.0%	0.87×	1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half	51.8%	54.5%	70.1%	0.78×	1.83
Over 1.5 in 1st half	48.2%	45.5%	29.9%	1.52×	2.20
Over 2.5 in 1st half	22.2%	21.6%	10.0%	2.16×	4.62
Under 0.5 in 1st half	19.7%	14.3%	32.2%	0.45×	6.98

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.6%	85.4%	79.0%	1.08×	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.9%	77.6%	82.0%	0.95×	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.5%	61.7%	53.4%	1.16×	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.5%	38.3%	46.6%	0.82×	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.1%	22.4%	18.0%	1.24×	4.46
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	14.6%	21.0%	0.70×	6.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol not to score in both halves	88.0%	85.6%	81.0%	1.06×	1.17
Racing Santander not to score in both halves	60.9%	63.4%	73.6%	0.86×	1.58
Racing Santander to score in both halves	39.1%	36.6%	26.4%	1.39×	2.73
Espanyol to score in both halves	12.0%	14.4%	19.0%	0.76×	6.94

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.8%	53.8%	55.8%	0.96×	1.86
Only Racing Santander scores	36.4%	39.9%	24.8%	1.61×	2.51
Only Espanyol scores	7.4%	7.1%	14.3%	0.50×	14.04
Neither team scores	5.3%	7.1%	5.3%	1.35×	14.06

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.9%	22.6%	25.5%	0.89×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	23.9%	0.95×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.4%	17.5%	11.9%	1.47×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.7%	17.5%	19.5%	0.89×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.6%	7.6%	8.3%	0.91×	13.13
6 or more goals	7.7%	7.6%	6.2%	1.22×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	5.3%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.14

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	32.0%	35.8%	38.0%	0.94×	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	26.0%	28.4%	20.0%	1.42×	3.52
3+ goals in 1st half	22.2%	21.5%	10.0%	2.14×	4.66
No goals in 1st half	19.7%	15.7%	32.2%	0.49×	6.36

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.5%	39.1%	46.6%	0.84×	2.56
1 goal in 2nd half	35.4%	38.9%	35.5%	1.10×	2.57
No goals in 2nd half	27.1%	29.2%	18.0%	1.62×	3.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol not to win both halves	97.7%	97.2%	94.7%	1.03×	1.03
Racing Santander not to win both halves	76.9%	75.3%	88.0%	0.86×	1.33
Racing Santander to win both halves	23.1%	24.7%	12.0%	2.05×	4.06
Espanyol to win both halves	2.3%	2.8%	5.3%	0.53×	35.88

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to win either half	75.5%	79.6%	62.5%	1.27×	1.26
Espanyol to win neither half	69.8%	67.8%	55.8%	1.21×	1.48
Espanyol to win either half	30.2%	32.2%	44.2%	0.73×	3.11
Racing Santander to win neither half	24.5%	20.4%	37.5%	0.54×	4.91

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Espanyol not to win to nil	92.6%	92.1%	85.7%	1.08×	1.09
Racing Santander not to win to nil	63.6%	66.6%	75.2%	0.89×	1.50
Racing Santander to win to nil	36.4%	33.4%	24.8%	1.35×	2.99
Espanyol to win to nil	7.4%	7.9%	14.3%	0.55×	12.66

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander by 1	24.3%	24.1%	25.7%	0.94×	4.15
Racing Santander by 3+	20.7%	24.1%	10.2%	2.36×	4.15
Draw	20.2%	24.1%	25.5%	0.95×	4.15
Racing Santander by 2	19.8%	17.1%	10.6%	1.61×	5.86
Espanyol by 1	10.3%	11.7%	17.5%	0.67×	8.51
Espanyol by 2	3.6%	2.7%	7.1%	0.39×	36.79
Espanyol by 3+	1.1%	2.7%	4.0%	0.68×	36.87