Racing Santander v Real Sociedad — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627

La Liga xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Racing Santander

16:00 UTC

Real Sociedad

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 25 Oct, 11:02 · 677h before kick-off

Racing Santander win

48.2%

model 46.2%

Draw

22.6%

model 22.8%

Real Sociedad win

29.2%

model 31.0%

482329

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.1%
2-1 9.1%
1-2 7.3%
1-0 7.0%
2-2 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	63.1%	Under 2.5	36.9%
BTTS yes	63.9%	BTTS no	36.1%
Racing Santander 1+	83.6%	Racing Santander 2+	53.9%
Real Sociedad 1+	76.4%	Real Sociedad 2+	42.4%

Expected goals 1.81 – 1.45. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

87/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

92%

★ Best pick

Racing Santander scores more in 1st half

Home highest scoring half · usually 28%

53.7% fair odds 1.86

strong signal · 115 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Over 0.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT · usually 68%

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 383 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Racing Santander have created 1.43 xG a match over their last five while Real Sociedad have allowed 1.92.
At home Racing Santander average 2.03 xG a match.
Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Real Sociedad were missing 0.62 expected goal involvements a match against 0.31.

Risk factors

Real Sociedad have scored 2.80 a match from 1.45 xG over five matches, which usually corrects.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Racing Santander have an estimated 48.2% win probability, against 29.2% for Real Sociedad and 22.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.81 for Racing Santander and 1.45 for Real Sociedad.

Why Racing Santander

Racing Santander have created 1.43 xG a match over their last five while Real Sociedad have allowed 1.92. At home Racing Santander average 2.03 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Real Sociedad were missing 0.62 expected goal involvements a match against 0.31.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Real Sociedad can win

Real Sociedad have created 1.45 xG a match over their last five while Racing Santander have allowed 2.14. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five. Away from home Real Sociedad average 1.48 xG a match.

Key players

Racing Santander's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Yassir Zabiri (0.33), Andrés Martín (0.29), Iñigo Vicente (0.26). Real Sociedad's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mikel Oyarzabal (0.50), Orri Óskarsson (0.36), Carlos Soler (0.23).

Availability

Nothing reported for either side.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Racing Santander: 51% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.53 xG a match from set pieces. Real Sociedad: 47% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.35 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Racing Santander are the model's most likely outcome at 48.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.1%. Confidence 87/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Racing Santander are conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 4.6 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

DLWLWLLDLW last 10 scored 15 from 14.3 xG conceded 26 from 21.4 xG

Real Sociedad are finishing above their chances — 3.5 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off.

DLLWDWLWWW last 10 scored 18 from 14.5 xG conceded 18 from 19.2 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	462331	1.81–1.45	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	382339	1.69–1.73	1-1 10%	66%	67%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to win	59.9%	54.0%	46.4%	1.16×	1.85
Draw	21.2%	24.5%	25.4%	0.96×	4.09
Real Sociedad to win	18.9%	19.4%	28.4%	0.68×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander & not both score	30.7%	29.6%	24.8%	1.20×	3.38
Racing Santander & both teams score	29.2%	25.2%	21.7%	1.16×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	16.4%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.57
Real Sociedad & both teams score	10.3%	13.3%	14.1%	0.94×	7.54
Real Sociedad & not both score	8.6%	8.3%	14.4%	0.58×	12.01
Draw & not both score	4.7%	4.9%	5.3%	0.93×	20.52

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander & over 1.5	50.4%	48.8%	33.9%	1.44×	2.05
Racing Santander & over 2.5	40.8%	40.2%	28.0%	1.43×	2.49
Racing Santander & under 3.5	35.5%	34.9%	32.4%	1.08×	2.87
Racing Santander & over 3.5	24.4%	21.6%	14.1%	1.53×	4.63
Racing Santander & under 2.5	19.1%	18.0%	18.5%	0.98×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	16.4%	18.0%	20.2%	0.89×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	14.6%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Draw & under 3.5	14.6%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.79
Real Sociedad & over 1.5	14.0%	12.8%	21.5%	0.60×	7.79
Real Sociedad & under 3.5	13.5%	12.8%	21.4%	0.60×	7.79
Real Sociedad & over 2.5	11.4%	12.8%	17.2%	0.75×	7.79
Racing Santander & under 1.5	9.5%	7.9%	12.6%	0.63×	12.63
Real Sociedad & under 2.5	7.5%	7.9%	11.3%	0.70×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	5.1%	1.54×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	5.1%	1.54×	12.63
Real Sociedad & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	7.1%	1.11×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	4.7%	4.8%	5.3%	0.91×	20.81
Real Sociedad & under 1.5	4.9%	4.8%	7.0%	0.69×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (1UP)	73.0%	75.2%	62.8%	1.20×	1.33
Real Sociedad (1UP)	37.6%	34.1%	47.2%	0.72×	2.93

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (2UP)	59.9%	55.1%	48.1%	1.14×	1.82
Real Sociedad (2UP)	18.9%	17.3%	30.0%	0.58×	5.79

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.1%	36.3%	32.9%	1.10×	2.76
Racing Santander to win 2nd half	36.4%	36.2%	39.6%	0.91×	2.76
Real Sociedad to win 2nd half	24.5%	24.2%	27.6%	0.88×	4.13

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad under 1.5 in 2nd half	88.8%	86.9%	84.2%	1.03×	1.15
Real Sociedad under 0.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	54.3%	47.8%	1.14×	1.84
Real Sociedad over 0.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	45.7%	52.2%	0.87×	2.19
Real Sociedad over 1.5 in 2nd half	11.2%	13.1%	15.8%	0.83×	7.63

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander under 1.5 in 2nd half	82.2%	82.7%	79.6%	1.04×	1.21
Racing Santander over 0.5 in 2nd half	53.4%	55.2%	59.1%	0.93×	1.81
Racing Santander under 0.5 in 2nd half	46.6%	44.8%	40.9%	1.10×	2.23
Racing Santander over 1.5 in 2nd half	17.8%	17.3%	20.4%	0.85×	5.77

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad (+2.5)	82.0%	82.5%	89.8%	0.92×	1.21
Racing Santander (+0.5)	81.1%	82.5%	71.6%	1.15×	1.21
Real Sociedad (+1.5)	63.7%	62.9%	79.3%	0.79×	1.59
Racing Santander (-0.5)	59.9%	57.0%	46.4%	1.23×	1.75
Real Sociedad (+0.5)	40.1%	43.0%	53.6%	0.80×	2.33
Racing Santander (-1.5)	36.3%	37.1%	20.7%	1.79×	2.70
Real Sociedad (-0.5)	18.9%	17.5%	28.4%	0.62×	5.73
Racing Santander (-2.5)	18.0%	17.5%	10.2%	1.72×	5.73

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad to concede	86.6%	86.2%	80.5%	1.07×	1.16
Real Sociedad clean sheet	13.4%	13.8%	19.5%	0.70×	7.27

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad to concede in 1st half	71.2%	76.5%	47.7%	1.61×	1.31
Real Sociedad clean sheet in 1st half	28.8%	23.5%	52.3%	0.45×	4.25

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad to concede in 2nd half	53.4%	54.8%	59.1%	0.93×	1.82
Real Sociedad clean sheet in 2nd half	46.6%	45.2%	40.9%	1.11×	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad over 2.5 corners	88.0%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Real Sociedad over 3.5 corners	77.1%	76.1%	—	—	1.32
Real Sociedad over 4.5 corners	63.9%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Real Sociedad under 6.5 corners	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Real Sociedad over 5.5 corners	50.2%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Real Sociedad under 5.5 corners	49.8%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Real Sociedad over 6.5 corners	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Real Sociedad under 4.5 corners	36.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Real Sociedad under 3.5 corners	22.9%	24.0%	—	—	4.18
Real Sociedad under 2.5 corners	12.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad under 3.5 goals	97.9%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Real Sociedad under 2.5 goals	91.3%	92.3%	89.4%	1.03×	1.08
Real Sociedad under 1.5 goals	72.2%	71.8%	67.9%	1.06×	1.39
Real Sociedad over 0.5 goals	64.6%	63.2%	70.1%	0.90×	1.58
Real Sociedad under 0.5 goals	35.4%	36.8%	29.9%	1.23×	2.72
Real Sociedad over 1.5 goals	27.8%	28.2%	32.1%	0.88×	3.55
Real Sociedad over 2.5 goals	8.7%	7.7%	10.6%	0.72×	13.05
Real Sociedad over 3.5 goals	2.1%	2.5%	2.9%	0.86×	39.96

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad under 1.5 in 1st half	92.0%	93.8%	92.7%	1.01×	1.07
Real Sociedad under 0.5 in 1st half	62.7%	63.4%	63.2%	1.00×	1.58
Real Sociedad over 0.5 in 1st half	37.3%	36.6%	36.8%	1.00×	2.73
Real Sociedad over 1.5 in 1st half	8.0%	6.2%	7.3%	0.86×	16.08

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad scores equally in both	45.5%	48.1%	41.6%	1.16×	2.08
Real Sociedad scores more in 2nd half	30.7%	33.2%	37.7%	0.88×	3.02
Real Sociedad scores more in 1st half	23.8%	21.8%	20.8%	1.05×	4.58

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (away no bet)	73.9%	68.4%	64.7%	1.06×	1.46
Draw (away no bet)	26.1%	31.6%	35.3%	0.89×	3.17

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad even goals	56.3%	56.9%	53.2%	1.07×	1.76
Real Sociedad odd goals	43.7%	43.1%	46.8%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	80.3%	82.7%	85.8%	0.96×	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	19.7%	17.3%	14.2%	1.22×	5.78

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	69.9%	68.5%	62.5%	1.10×	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	30.1%	31.5%	37.5%	0.84×	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	63.5%	60.0%	52.6%	1.14×	1.67
Racing Santander to score 2+ in a row	51.6%	50.9%	34.5%	1.47×	1.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.3%	25.0%	19.2%	1.30×	3.99
Racing Santander to score 3+ in a row	23.5%	19.6%	13.1%	1.50×	5.09
Real Sociedad to score 2+ in a row	18.8%	16.2%	23.9%	0.68×	6.16
Real Sociedad to score 3+ in a row	4.1%	2.6%	6.6%	0.40×	38.32

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad corners (+3.5)	81.4%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Racing Santander corners (+3.5)	79.1%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Real Sociedad corners (+2.5)	74.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Racing Santander corners (+2.5)	71.5%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Real Sociedad corners (+1.5)	65.9%	65.9%	—	—	1.52
Racing Santander corners (+1.5)	62.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Real Sociedad corners (-1.5)	37.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Racing Santander corners (-1.5)	34.1%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
Real Sociedad corners (-2.5)	28.5%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Racing Santander corners (-2.5)	25.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Real Sociedad corners (-3.5)	21.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Racing Santander corners (-3.5)	18.6%	20.2%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	47.4%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	27.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
0-8 corners	24.7%	25.7%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	83.1%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	75.3%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 9.5 corners	66.4%	67.8%	—	—	1.47
Under 12.5 corners	61.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 10.5 corners	56.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 11.5 corners	52.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 11.5 corners	47.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Under 10.5 corners	43.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 12.5 corners	38.4%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 9.5 corners	33.6%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 8.5 corners	24.7%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Under 7.5 corners	16.9%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	9.5%	7.4%	12.6%	0.59×	13.51
1-1	9.9%	7.4%	15.2%	0.49×	13.51
2-0	9.6%	7.4%	6.0%	1.24×	13.51
2-1	10.0%	7.4%	9.7%	0.76×	13.51
3-1	6.7%	7.4%	3.6%	2.04×	13.51
1-2	5.1%	7.4%	8.2%	0.91×	13.51
2-2	5.2%	7.4%	4.2%	1.76×	13.51
3-0	6.4%	7.4%	4.4%	1.67×	13.51
Any other score	5.7%	7.4%	3.4%	2.18×	13.51
0-0	4.7%	1.7%	5.3%	0.33×	58.29
0-1	4.9%	1.7%	7.0%	0.24×	58.29
0-2	2.6%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.30
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.10×	58.32
1-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.67×	58.32
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.73×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.94×	58.32
3-2	3.5%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.30
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.63×	58.31
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.4%	4.89×	58.32
4-0	3.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.30
4-1	3.4%	1.7%	2.1%	0.82×	58.30
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.3%	1.33×	58.31
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.45×	58.32
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	14.68×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (2nd half DNB)	59.7%	60.0%	58.9%	1.02×	1.67
Real Sociedad (2nd half DNB)	40.3%	40.0%	41.1%	0.97×	2.50

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander leading at HT (DNB)	80.1%	85.0%	61.5%	1.38×	1.18
Real Sociedad leading at HT (DNB)	19.9%	15.0%	38.5%	0.39×	6.66

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander or draw (1X)	81.1%	80.6%	71.6%	1.13×	1.24
Racing Santander or Real Sociedad (12)	78.8%	75.5%	74.7%	1.01×	1.32
Real Sociedad or draw (X2)	40.1%	46.0%	53.6%	0.86×	2.17

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander or draw at HT	86.1%	88.1%	78.1%	1.13×	1.14
Racing Santander or Real Sociedad at HT	69.8%	67.2%	56.8%	1.18×	1.49
Real Sociedad or draw at HT	44.1%	43.1%	65.0%	0.66×	2.32

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander or draw (1UP)	81.1%	88.5%	78.0%	1.14×	1.13
Real Sociedad or draw (1UP)	40.1%	52.4%	60.3%	0.87×	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander or draw in 2nd half	75.5%	75.8%	72.4%	1.05×	1.32
Real Sociedad or draw in 2nd half	63.6%	63.8%	60.4%	1.06×	1.57
Racing Santander or Real Sociedad in 2nd half	60.9%	63.7%	67.1%	0.95×	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	57.5%	58.7%	62.1%	0.95×	1.70
Neither half drawn	42.5%	41.3%	37.9%	1.09×	2.42

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (DNB)	76.0%	74.7%	62.0%	1.20×	1.34
Real Sociedad (DNB)	24.0%	25.3%	38.0%	0.67×	3.96

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to score first	62.8%	64.1%	55.2%	1.16×	1.56
Real Sociedad to score first	32.4%	27.7%	39.7%	0.70×	3.61
No goal scored	4.7%	4.4%	5.3%	0.83×	22.94

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.9%	55.0%	55.8%	0.99×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.1%	45.0%	44.2%	1.02×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.0%	44.3%	40.8%	1.09×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.4%	34.5%	34.8%	0.99×	2.90
Not both score & over 2.5	12.7%	12.4%	9.5%	1.31×	8.09
Both score & under 2.5	9.9%	8.3%	15.2%	0.55×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.4%	82.6%	85.9%	0.96×	1.21
Both teams to score 2+	16.6%	17.4%	14.1%	1.23×	5.75

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.8%	74.8%	70.7%	1.06×	1.34
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.2%	25.2%	29.3%	0.86×	3.97

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.4%	59.9%	59.7%	1.00×	1.67
Both score 1st half only	20.4%	20.9%	11.1%	1.88×	4.79
Both score 2nd half only	17.0%	15.0%	23.8%	0.63×	6.66
Both score in both halves	6.2%	6.8%	5.6%	1.21×	14.72

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.4%	79.7%	83.4%	0.96×	1.26
Both teams to score by HT	26.6%	20.3%	16.6%	1.22×	4.93

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	60.4%	59.5%	55.2%	1.08×	1.68
A half without a goal	39.6%	40.5%	44.8%	0.90×	2.47

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.5%	42.2%	49.3%	0.86×	2.37
4-6 goals	32.8%	30.7%	23.7%	1.30×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.2%	20.2%	24.7%	0.82×	4.95
7+ goals	3.6%	1.8%	2.6%	0.72×	54.17

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	38.1%	0.94×	2.78
Real Sociedad to score exactly 0	35.4%	35.9%	29.9%	1.20×	2.78
Real Sociedad to score exactly 2	19.1%	19.6%	21.6%	0.91×	5.11
Real Sociedad to score 3+	8.7%	8.6%	10.6%	0.81×	11.68

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to score 3+	32.6%	32.6%	19.7%	1.65×	3.07
Racing Santander to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	22.7%	1.17×	3.77
Racing Santander to score exactly 1	26.9%	26.5%	38.3%	0.69×	3.77
Racing Santander to score exactly 0	13.4%	14.3%	19.5%	0.73×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander leading at HT	56.0%	56.9%	35.0%	1.62×	1.76
Draw at HT	30.2%	32.8%	43.2%	0.76×	3.05
Real Sociedad leading at HT	13.9%	11.9%	21.9%	0.54×	8.43

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander -1: 2	40.1%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Racing Santander -1: 1	36.3%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
Racing Santander -1: X	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad (0:1)	40.1%	42.6%	53.6%	0.79×	2.35
Racing Santander (0:1)	36.3%	37.3%	20.7%	1.80×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	23.6%	24.2%	25.8%	0.94×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad (0:2)	63.7%	67.1%	79.3%	0.85×	1.49
Draw (0:2)	18.3%	15.3%	10.6%	1.44×	6.55
Racing Santander (0:2)	18.0%	15.3%	10.2%	1.50×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad (0:3)	82.0%	85.3%	89.8%	0.95×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	10.6%	9.9%	7.1%	1.39×	10.11
Racing Santander (0:3)	7.4%	5.8%	3.2%	1.84×	17.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad (0:4)	92.6%	94.5%	96.8%	0.98×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	4.8%	1.2%	2.3%	0.52×	81.63
Racing Santander (0:4)	2.6%	1.2%	0.9%	1.31×	81.88

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (1:0)	81.1%	81.3%	71.6%	1.14×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	12.2%	12.7%	17.5%	0.72×	7.87
Real Sociedad (1:0)	6.7%	6.9%	11.0%	0.63×	14.49

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander (2:0)	93.3%	94.0%	89.0%	1.06×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	4.9%	2.3%	7.0%	0.33×	43.58
Real Sociedad (2:0)	1.9%	2.3%	4.1%	0.56×	43.77

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1st half highest scoring	46.4%	48.7%	25.8%	1.89×	2.06
2nd half highest scoring	30.0%	26.2%	51.3%	0.51×	3.81
Halves equal	23.6%	24.4%	23.1%	1.06×	4.10

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to concede	64.6%	63.7%	70.1%	0.91×	1.57
Racing Santander clean sheet	35.4%	36.3%	29.9%	1.21×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander clean sheet in 1st half	62.7%	63.3%	63.2%	1.00×	1.58
Racing Santander to concede in 1st half	37.3%	36.7%	36.8%	1.00×	2.72

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander clean sheet in 2nd half	56.6%	54.6%	47.8%	1.14×	1.83
Racing Santander to concede in 2nd half	43.4%	45.4%	52.2%	0.87×	2.20

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander over 2.5 corners	87.0%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Racing Santander over 3.5 corners	75.5%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Racing Santander under 6.5 corners	64.7%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Racing Santander over 4.5 corners	61.8%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Racing Santander under 5.5 corners	52.1%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Racing Santander over 5.5 corners	47.9%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Racing Santander under 4.5 corners	38.2%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Racing Santander over 6.5 corners	35.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Racing Santander under 3.5 corners	24.5%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Racing Santander under 2.5 corners	13.0%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander over 0.5 goals	86.6%	87.3%	80.5%	1.08×	1.15
Racing Santander under 3.5 goals	85.5%	87.2%	92.4%	0.94×	1.15
Racing Santander under 2.5 goals	67.4%	67.9%	80.3%	0.85×	1.47
Racing Santander over 1.5 goals	59.7%	58.6%	42.3%	1.39×	1.71
Racing Santander under 1.5 goals	40.3%	41.4%	57.7%	0.72×	2.42
Racing Santander over 2.5 goals	32.6%	32.1%	19.7%	1.62×	3.12
Racing Santander over 3.5 goals	14.5%	12.8%	7.6%	1.68×	7.84
Racing Santander under 0.5 goals	13.4%	12.7%	19.5%	0.65×	7.84

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander over 0.5 in 1st half	71.2%	79.2%	47.7%	1.66×	1.26
Racing Santander under 1.5 in 1st half	64.6%	64.1%	85.8%	0.75×	1.56
Racing Santander over 1.5 in 1st half	35.4%	35.9%	14.2%	2.53×	2.79
Racing Santander under 0.5 in 1st half	28.8%	20.8%	52.3%	0.40×	4.81

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander scores more in 1st half	47.7%	47.2%	27.5%	1.71×	2.12
Racing Santander scores equally in both	29.5%	27.9%	32.2%	0.87×	3.59
Racing Santander scores more in 2nd half	22.8%	21.1%	40.4%	0.52×	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	52.8%	51.4%	47.2%	1.09×	1.95
Real Sociedad (home no bet)	47.2%	48.6%	52.8%	0.92×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander even goals	50.9%	50.7%	47.4%	1.07×	1.97
Racing Santander odd goals	49.1%	49.3%	52.6%	0.94×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	22.5%	24.3%	22.0%	1.10×	4.11
HT 0-0	18.0%	18.5%	32.2%	0.57×	5.40
Any other HT score	14.1%	11.0%	4.5%	2.47×	9.09
HT 2-0	14.0%	11.0%	6.7%	1.65×	9.09
HT 1-1	10.5%	11.0%	10.1%	1.09×	9.12
HT 0-1	8.4%	6.9%	16.0%	0.43×	14.45
HT 2-1	6.5%	6.9%	3.0%	2.27×	14.47
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.4%	1.6%	1.45×	42.05
HT 0-2	2.0%	2.4%	3.6%	0.65×	42.08
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.4%	1.2%	2.03×	42.11

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander at HT / Racing Santander at FT	47.6%	46.6%	26.2%	1.78×	2.15
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.8%	12.6%	14.1%	0.90×	7.91
Draw at HT / Racing Santander at FT	11.0%	12.6%	17.9%	0.70×	7.92
Real Sociedad at HT / Real Sociedad at FT	9.6%	6.1%	13.2%	0.46×	16.37
Draw at HT / Real Sociedad at FT	7.4%	6.1%	11.5%	0.53×	16.44
Racing Santander at HT / Draw at FT	6.4%	6.1%	5.2%	1.18×	16.46
Real Sociedad at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.5%	6.3%	0.55×	28.86
Racing Santander at HT / Real Sociedad at FT	2.0%	3.5%	3.9%	0.90×	28.90
Real Sociedad at HT / Racing Santander at FT	1.3%	3.5%	2.6%	1.34×	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to score last	62.8%	62.2%	54.9%	1.13×	1.61
Real Sociedad to score last	32.4%	32.4%	39.9%	0.81×	3.09
No goal scored	4.7%	4.4%	5.3%	0.83×	22.94

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.3%	95.6%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Racing Santander to lead by 1 at any time	73.0%	74.1%	62.8%	1.18×	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.5%	50.9%	41.9%	1.21×	1.97
Racing Santander to lead by 2 at any time	43.3%	39.3%	26.5%	1.48×	2.55
Real Sociedad to lead by 1 at any time	37.6%	34.7%	47.2%	0.74×	2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	24.0%	19.6%	17.2%	1.14×	5.10
Racing Santander to lead by 3 at any time	21.1%	19.5%	12.4%	1.57×	5.12
Real Sociedad to lead by 2 at any time	11.5%	10.5%	15.8%	0.66×	9.53
Real Sociedad to lead by 3 at any time	2.9%	1.6%	4.9%	0.33×	62.13

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad most corners	46.7%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Racing Santander most corners	43.5%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	9.8%	8.3%	—	—	11.98

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.4%	87.4%	88.7%	0.99×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.2%	78.7%	72.9%	1.08×	1.27
1-4 goals	76.0%	78.7%	80.5%	0.98×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.9%	72.3%	69.3%	1.04×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.5%	63.3%	61.1%	1.04×	1.58
1-3 goals	58.9%	59.1%	68.7%	0.86×	1.69
3-6 goals	55.2%	59.1%	47.7%	1.24×	1.69
3-5 goals	49.9%	48.5%	44.0%	1.10×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.5%	43.6%	49.3%	0.88×	2.29
3-4 goals	39.5%	39.2%	35.9%	1.09×	2.55
1-2 goals	36.5%	39.2%	44.7%	0.88×	2.55
4-6 goals	32.8%	35.2%	23.7%	1.48×	2.84
4-5 goals	27.5%	30.2%	20.1%	1.50×	3.31
5-6 goals	15.7%	18.8%	11.9%	1.58×	5.31
7+ goals	3.6%	2.6%	2.6%	1.00×	39.09

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander never behind	57.6%	62.5%	52.8%	1.18×	1.60
Real Sociedad never behind	22.3%	25.0%	37.2%	0.67×	4.00

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.9%	50.9%	53.7%	0.95×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.1%	49.1%	46.3%	1.06×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	51.6%	51.7%	54.5%	0.95×	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	48.4%	48.3%	45.6%	1.06×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.5%	52.0%	49.3%	1.05×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.5%	48.1%	50.7%	0.95×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.3%	95.4%	94.7%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	91.1%	92.3%	93.8%	0.98×	1.08
Over 1.5 goals	80.8%	82.3%	75.4%	1.09×	1.22
Under 4.5 goals	80.7%	82.3%	85.6%	0.96×	1.22
Under 3.5 goals	63.7%	61.7%	73.8%	0.84×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	58.7%	58.6%	50.1%	1.17×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	41.3%	41.4%	49.9%	0.83×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	36.3%	38.3%	26.2%	1.46×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	19.2%	17.7%	24.7%	0.72×	5.65
Over 4.5 goals	19.3%	17.7%	14.4%	1.23×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	8.9%	7.7%	6.2%	1.25×	12.94
Under 0.5 goals	4.7%	4.6%	5.3%	0.87×	21.82

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.2%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	90.1%	92.4%	93.3%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	76.8%	75.9%	83.7%	0.91×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	75.3%	75.9%	67.0%	1.13×	1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.2%	51.9%	65.6%	0.79×	1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.8%	48.1%	34.4%	1.40×	2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	24.7%	24.1%	33.0%	0.73×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	23.2%	24.1%	16.3%	1.48×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	9.9%	7.6%	6.7%	1.13×	13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.8%	2.8%	2.7%	1.05×	35.56

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half	82.0%	85.7%	67.8%	1.26×	1.17
Under 2.5 in 1st half	75.4%	78.4%	90.0%	0.87×	1.28
Over 1.5 in 1st half	51.1%	54.5%	30.0%	1.82×	1.84
Under 1.5 in 1st half	48.9%	45.5%	70.0%	0.65×	2.20
Over 2.5 in 1st half	24.6%	21.6%	10.0%	2.17×	4.64
Under 0.5 in 1st half	18.0%	14.3%	32.2%	0.44×	7.01

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	84.9%	83.0%	79.0%	1.05×	1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	73.7%	77.6%	82.1%	0.95×	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	61.5%	61.3%	53.3%	1.15×	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	38.5%	38.7%	46.7%	0.83×	2.58
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	26.3%	22.4%	17.9%	1.25×	4.47
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	15.1%	17.0%	21.0%	0.81×	5.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad not to score in both halves	83.8%	84.2%	81.0%	1.04×	1.19
Racing Santander not to score in both halves	61.9%	63.2%	73.7%	0.86×	1.58
Racing Santander to score in both halves	38.1%	36.8%	26.3%	1.40×	2.72
Real Sociedad to score in both halves	16.2%	15.8%	19.0%	0.83×	6.35

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.9%	58.6%	55.8%	1.05×	1.71
Only Racing Santander scores	30.7%	33.3%	24.8%	1.34×	3.01
Only Real Sociedad scores	8.6%	7.1%	14.4%	0.50×	14.02
Neither team scores	4.7%	4.6%	5.3%	0.88×	21.59

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.1%	0.94×	4.43
Exactly 2 goals	22.1%	22.6%	25.4%	0.89×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	17.1%	17.5%	11.9%	1.47×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	14.5%	12.1%	19.5%	0.62×	8.25
Exactly 5 goals	10.4%	12.1%	8.3%	1.46×	8.25
6 or more goals	8.9%	7.6%	6.2%	1.23×	13.14
Exactly 0 goals	4.7%	4.5%	5.3%	0.85×	22.35

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	30.9%	35.6%	37.9%	0.94×	2.81
2 goals in 1st half	26.5%	28.5%	20.1%	1.42×	3.51
3+ goals in 1st half	24.6%	21.5%	10.0%	2.16×	4.65
No goals in 1st half	18.0%	15.6%	32.2%	0.48×	6.41

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	38.5%	40.5%	46.7%	0.87×	2.47
1 goal in 2nd half	35.1%	40.0%	35.5%	1.13×	2.50
No goals in 2nd half	26.3%	29.4%	17.9%	1.64×	3.41

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad not to win both halves	96.6%	97.2%	94.6%	1.03×	1.03
Racing Santander not to win both halves	79.7%	75.6%	88.1%	0.86×	1.32
Racing Santander to win both halves	20.3%	24.4%	11.9%	2.05×	4.09
Real Sociedad to win both halves	3.4%	2.8%	5.4%	0.52×	35.61

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander to win either half	72.0%	72.9%	62.6%	1.16×	1.37
Real Sociedad to win neither half	65.0%	67.6%	55.9%	1.21×	1.48
Real Sociedad to win either half	35.0%	32.4%	44.1%	0.73×	3.09
Racing Santander to win neither half	28.0%	27.1%	37.4%	0.73×	3.69

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad not to win to nil	91.4%	92.1%	85.6%	1.08×	1.09
Racing Santander not to win to nil	69.3%	69.7%	75.2%	0.93×	1.44
Racing Santander to win to nil	30.7%	30.3%	24.8%	1.22×	3.30
Real Sociedad to win to nil	8.6%	7.9%	14.4%	0.55×	12.60

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Racing Santander by 1	23.6%	24.1%	25.8%	0.93×	4.15
Draw	21.2%	24.1%	25.4%	0.95×	4.15
Racing Santander by 2	18.3%	17.0%	10.6%	1.60×	5.87
Racing Santander by 3+	18.0%	17.0%	10.2%	1.68×	5.87
Real Sociedad by 1	12.2%	11.8%	17.5%	0.67×	8.51
Real Sociedad by 2	4.9%	2.7%	7.0%	0.39×	36.78
Real Sociedad by 3+	1.9%	2.7%	4.1%	0.66×	36.87