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Randers FC v Odense Boldklub — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · DEN-Superliga · 2627

DEN-Superliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Randers FC win
39.7%
model 37.9%
Draw
29.3%
model 27.3%
Odense Boldklub win
30.9%
model 34.8%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (574 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 13.0%
  2. 1-0 8.5%
  3. 2-1 8.5%
  4. 1-2 8.1%
  5. 0-1 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.550.8% Under 2.549.2%
BTTS yes55.7% BTTS no44.3%
Randers FC 1+75.0% Randers FC 2+40.4%
Odense Boldklub 1+73.2% Odense Boldklub 2+38.0%

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.32. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
79/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)
Over/Under (whole line) · usually 52%
62.3% fair odds 1.61
strong signal · 8425 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Randers FC (2:0)
Handicap 2:0 · usually 84%
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 4434 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Randers FC carry the stronger rating, 1430 Elo against 1402.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Randers FC have an estimated 39.7% win probability, against 30.9% for Odense Boldklub and 29.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.39 for Randers FC and 1.32 for Odense Boldklub.

Why Randers FC

Randers FC carry the stronger rating, 1430 Elo against 1402.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.3%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.39 to 1.32. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Odense Boldklub can win

Nothing in the data singles out Odense Boldklub.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Randers FC, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Odense Boldklub, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Randers FC: 43% possession, 9.4 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Odense Boldklub: 49% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 16.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Randers FC are the model's most likely outcome at 39.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.0%. Confidence 79/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.39–1.32 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.46–1.30 1-1 13% 52% 57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to win 40.3% 43.0% 44.8% 0.96× 2.33
Odense Boldklub to win 32.7% 30.4% 29.9% 1.02× 3.29
Draw 26.9% 27.8% 25.5% 1.09× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC & not both score 20.2% 21.8% 20.6% 1.06× 4.58
Randers FC & both teams score 20.1% 21.8% 24.5% 0.89× 4.58
Draw & both teams score 19.8% 17.9% 19.8% 0.91× 5.58
Odense Boldklub & both teams score 16.7% 17.9% 16.8% 1.07× 5.58
Odense Boldklub & not both score 16.0% 17.9% 13.5% 1.33× 5.58
Draw & not both score 7.1% 8.4% 6.0% 1.39× 11.94
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC & over 1.5 31.9% 30.8% 35.4% 0.87× 3.24
Randers FC & under 3.5 27.4% 26.0% 27.2% 0.96× 3.84
Randers FC & over 2.5 25.1% 26.0% 29.4% 0.89× 3.84
Odense Boldklub & over 1.5 25.3% 26.0% 26.1% 1.00× 3.84
Odense Boldklub & under 3.5 22.8% 21.6% 18.4% 1.17× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 19.8% 18.0% 19.8% 0.91× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 19.9% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 19.9% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.56
Odense Boldklub & over 2.5 20.0% 18.0% 20.9% 0.86× 5.56
Randers FC & under 2.5 15.3% 18.0% 15.7% 1.15× 5.56
Randers FC & over 3.5 13.0% 12.9% 17.9% 0.72× 7.76
Odense Boldklub & under 2.5 12.7% 12.9% 9.3% 1.38× 7.76
Odense Boldklub & over 3.5 9.9% 7.9% 11.8% 0.67× 12.65
Randers FC & under 1.5 8.5% 7.9% 9.6% 0.82× 12.65
Odense Boldklub & under 1.5 7.4% 7.9% 4.1% 1.92× 12.65
Draw & under 1.5 7.1% 7.9% 6.0% 1.31× 12.65
Draw & over 2.5 7.1% 7.9% 9.1% 0.87× 12.65
Draw & over 3.5 7.1% 7.9% 9.1% 0.87× 12.65
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (1UP) 57.2% 58.1% 1.72
Odense Boldklub (1UP) 50.7% 52.7% 1.90
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (2UP) 40.3% 47.5% 2.11
Odense Boldklub (2UP) 32.7% 30.9% 3.24
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 35.7% 35.9% 2.79
Randers FC to win 2nd half 33.8% 34.5% 2.90
Odense Boldklub to win 2nd half 30.6% 34.4% 2.90
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub under 1.5 in 2nd half 81.7% 84.2% 1.19
Odense Boldklub over 0.5 in 2nd half 54.1% 53.5% 1.87
Odense Boldklub under 0.5 in 2nd half 45.9% 46.5% 2.15
Odense Boldklub over 1.5 in 2nd half 18.3% 15.8% 6.33
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC under 1.5 in 2nd half 79.6% 75.8% 1.32
Randers FC over 0.5 in 2nd half 56.6% 58.9% 1.70
Randers FC under 0.5 in 2nd half 43.4% 41.1% 2.44
Randers FC over 1.5 in 2nd half 20.4% 24.2% 4.14
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub (+2.5) 92.4% 92.1% 91.8% 1.00× 1.09
Odense Boldklub (+1.5) 80.2% 82.4% 78.8% 1.05× 1.21
Randers FC (+0.5) 67.3% 68.7% 70.1% 0.98× 1.46
Odense Boldklub (+0.5) 59.7% 57.0% 55.2% 1.03× 1.75
Randers FC (-0.5) 40.3% 43.0% 44.8% 0.96× 2.33
Odense Boldklub (-0.5) 32.7% 31.3% 29.9% 1.05× 3.20
Randers FC (-1.5) 19.8% 17.6% 21.2% 0.83× 5.70
Randers FC (-2.5) 7.6% 7.9% 8.2% 0.96× 12.59
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub to concede 76.9% 78.9% 80.8% 0.98× 1.27
Odense Boldklub clean sheet 23.1% 21.1% 19.2% 1.10× 4.75
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub to concede in 1st half 46.7% 50.7% 1.97
Odense Boldklub clean sheet in 1st half 53.3% 49.3% 2.03
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub to concede in 2nd half 56.6% 58.5% 1.71
Odense Boldklub clean sheet in 2nd half 43.4% 41.5% 2.41
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub over 2.5 corners 84.3% 81.4% 1.23
Odense Boldklub over 3.5 corners 71.4% 71.6% 1.40
Odense Boldklub under 6.5 corners 69.5% 67.6% 1.48
Odense Boldklub under 5.5 corners 57.2% 57.1% 1.75
Odense Boldklub over 4.5 corners 56.9% 57.1% 1.75
Odense Boldklub under 4.5 corners 43.1% 42.9% 2.33
Odense Boldklub over 5.5 corners 42.8% 42.9% 2.33
Odense Boldklub over 6.5 corners 30.5% 32.4% 3.08
Odense Boldklub under 3.5 corners 28.6% 28.4% 3.52
Odense Boldklub under 2.5 corners 15.7% 18.6% 5.37
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub under 3.5 goals 95.7% 97.5% 93.7% 1.04× 1.03
Odense Boldklub under 2.5 goals 85.8% 87.8% 84.1% 1.04× 1.14
Odense Boldklub over 0.5 goals 72.7% 71.9% 73.6% 0.98× 1.39
Odense Boldklub under 1.5 goals 62.8% 63.1% 57.7% 1.09× 1.59
Odense Boldklub over 1.5 goals 37.2% 36.9% 42.3% 0.87× 2.71
Odense Boldklub under 0.5 goals 27.3% 28.1% 26.4% 1.07× 3.56
Odense Boldklub over 2.5 goals 14.2% 12.2% 15.9% 0.76× 8.23
Odense Boldklub over 3.5 goals 4.3% 2.5% 6.3% 0.40× 39.96
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub under 1.5 in 1st half 90.4% 94.1% 1.06
Odense Boldklub under 0.5 in 1st half 59.5% 62.7% 1.60
Odense Boldklub over 0.5 in 1st half 40.5% 37.3% 2.68
Odense Boldklub over 1.5 in 1st half 9.6% 5.9% 16.95
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub scores equally in both 39.5% 36.5% 2.74
Odense Boldklub scores more in 2nd half 38.2% 36.5% 2.74
Odense Boldklub scores more in 1st half 22.2% 22.4% 4.46
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (away no bet) 60.0% 57.4% 63.7% 0.90× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 40.0% 42.6% 36.3% 1.17× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub even goals 53.7% 52.8% 57.7% 0.92× 1.89
Odense Boldklub odd goals 46.3% 47.2% 42.3% 1.12× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 84.7% 83.1% 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 15.3% 16.9% 5.91
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 64.9% 58.3% 1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals 35.1% 41.7% 2.40
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 56.1% 55.1% 1.82
Randers FC to score 2+ in a row 34.3% 29.2% 3.43
Odense Boldklub to score 2+ in a row 28.4% 25.1% 3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row 19.6% 16.4% 6.11
Randers FC to score 3+ in a row 11.5% 12.1% 8.25
Odense Boldklub to score 3+ in a row 8.4% 5.7% 17.66
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC corners (+3.5) 84.3% 79.8% 1.25
Randers FC corners (+2.5) 77.7% 74.8% 1.34
Odense Boldklub corners (+3.5) 76.3% 74.8% 1.34
Randers FC corners (+1.5) 69.7% 65.8% 1.52
Odense Boldklub corners (+2.5) 68.3% 65.8% 1.52
Odense Boldklub corners (+1.5) 59.1% 57.1% 1.75
Randers FC corners (-1.5) 40.9% 42.9% 2.33
Randers FC corners (-2.5) 31.7% 34.2% 2.93
Odense Boldklub corners (-1.5) 30.3% 34.2% 2.93
Randers FC corners (-3.5) 23.7% 25.2% 3.97
Odense Boldklub corners (-2.5) 22.3% 25.2% 3.97
Odense Boldklub corners (-3.5) 15.7% 20.2% 4.95
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 44.4% 38.3% 2.61
9-11 corners 28.4% 31.2% 3.20
0-8 corners 27.2% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 81.1% 80.7% 1.24
Over 8.5 corners 72.8% 72.6% 1.38
Under 12.5 corners 64.4% 63.3% 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 63.6% 63.3% 1.58
Under 11.5 corners 55.6% 57.9% 1.73
Over 10.5 corners 53.9% 53.2% 1.88
Under 10.5 corners 46.1% 46.8% 2.14
Over 11.5 corners 44.4% 42.1% 2.37
Under 9.5 corners 36.4% 36.7% 2.72
Over 12.5 corners 35.6% 36.7% 2.73
Under 8.5 corners 27.2% 27.4% 3.65
Under 7.5 corners 18.9% 19.3% 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 12.8% 11.4% 11.0% 1.04× 8.74
1-0 8.5% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.50
2-1 8.8% 7.4% 10.2% 0.73× 13.50
0-0 7.1% 7.4% 6.0% 1.23× 13.50
0-1 7.4% 7.4% 4.1% 1.80× 13.50
1-2 7.8% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.50
2-0 6.8% 7.4% 6.3% 1.17× 13.50
0-2 5.3% 7.4% 5.5% 1.35× 13.50
2-2 5.7% 7.4% 6.9% 1.08× 13.50
0-3 2.3% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.31
0-4 0.7% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.32
1-3 3.4% 1.7% 2.7% 0.62× 58.30
1-4 1.1% 1.7% 2.7% 0.62× 58.31
2-3 2.5% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.31
2-4 0.8% 1.7% 0.5% 3.12× 58.31
3-0 3.3% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.30
3-1 4.3% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.29
3-2 2.8% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.30
3-3 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.31
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.3% 6.24× 58.32
4-0 1.2% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.31
4-1 1.6% 1.7% 1.1% 1.56× 58.31
4-2 1.0% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.31
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.5% 3.12× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.3% 6.24× 58.32
Any other score 2.7% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (2nd half DNB) 52.5% 53.2% 1.88
Odense Boldklub (2nd half DNB) 47.5% 46.8% 2.14
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC leading at HT (DNB) 56.3% 58.3% 1.72
Odense Boldklub leading at HT (DNB) 43.7% 41.7% 2.40
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC or Odense Boldklub (12) 73.1% 72.2% 74.5% 0.97× 1.39
Randers FC or draw (1X) 67.3% 69.6% 70.1% 0.99× 1.44
Odense Boldklub or draw (X2) 59.7% 57.0% 55.2% 1.03× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC or draw at HT 75.2% 79.9% 1.25
Odense Boldklub or draw at HT 68.0% 66.3% 1.51
Randers FC or Odense Boldklub at HT 56.8% 56.9% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC or draw (1UP) 67.3% 76.0% 1.32
Odense Boldklub or draw (1UP) 59.7% 62.9% 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC or draw in 2nd half 69.4% 65.6% 1.53
Odense Boldklub or draw in 2nd half 66.2% 65.5% 1.53
Randers FC or Odense Boldklub in 2nd half 64.3% 64.1% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.6% 61.7% 1.62
Neither half drawn 37.4% 38.3% 2.61
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (DNB) 55.2% 58.1% 59.9% 0.97× 1.72
Odense Boldklub (DNB) 44.8% 41.9% 40.1% 1.05× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to score first 49.3% 45.7% 2.19
Odense Boldklub to score first 43.6% 41.9% 2.39
No goal scored 7.1% 7.5% 13.35
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 56.6% 54.9% 60.4% 0.91× 1.82
Not both teams to score 43.4% 45.1% 39.6% 1.14× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 43.8% 41.7% 49.7% 0.84× 2.40
Not both score & under 2.5 35.1% 38.4% 30.5% 1.26× 2.60
Both score & under 2.5 12.8% 12.3% 11.0% 1.12× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.3% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 11.99
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 84.0% 82.9% 80.2% 1.03× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 16.0% 17.1% 19.8% 0.87× 5.84
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 69.1% 67.7% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 30.9% 32.3% 3.09
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 55.9% 59.3% 1.69
Both score 2nd half only 25.1% 26.5% 3.77
Both score 1st half only 13.3% 10.7% 9.31
Both score in both halves 5.8% 6.7% 14.86
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 81.0% 82.4% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 19.0% 17.6% 5.68
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 55.0% 57.2% 1.75
A half without a goal 45.0% 42.8% 2.34
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.1% 47.3% 42.9% 1.10× 2.12
4-6 goals 27.7% 26.6% 36.5% 0.73× 3.76
0-1 goals 23.0% 22.8% 19.2% 1.19× 4.38
7+ goals 2.3% 1.8% 1.9% 0.95× 54.66
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub to score exactly 1 35.5% 36.0% 31.6% 1.14× 2.78
Odense Boldklub to score exactly 0 27.3% 27.4% 26.4% 1.04× 3.65
Odense Boldklub to score exactly 2 23.0% 22.4% 26.6% 0.84× 4.47
Odense Boldklub to score 3+ 14.2% 12.9% 15.9% 0.81× 7.78
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to score exactly 1 33.9% 32.6% 33.5% 0.97× 3.07
Randers FC to score exactly 2 24.8% 23.2% 26.1% 0.89× 4.30
Randers FC to score exactly 0 23.1% 23.2% 19.2% 1.21× 4.31
Randers FC to score 3+ 18.2% 18.9% 21.7% 0.87× 5.29
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 43.2% 43.1% 2.32
Randers FC leading at HT 32.0% 33.7% 2.97
Odense Boldklub leading at HT 24.8% 20.1% 4.97
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC -1: 2 59.7% 56.7% 1.76
Randers FC -1: X 20.5% 23.6% 4.24
Randers FC -1: 1 19.8% 17.5% 5.73
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub (0:1) 59.7% 55.8% 55.2% 1.01× 1.79
Draw (0:1) 20.5% 24.3% 23.9% 1.01× 4.12
Randers FC (0:1) 19.8% 17.8% 21.2% 0.84× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub (0:2) 80.2% 82.9% 78.8% 1.05× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 12.2% 10.9% 13.2% 0.83× 9.16
Randers FC (0:2) 7.6% 7.7% 8.2% 0.94× 12.97
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub (0:3) 92.4% 92.6% 91.8% 1.01× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.2% 5.8% 3.6% 1.62× 17.32
Randers FC (0:3) 2.4% 2.4% 4.9% 0.48× 42.12
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub (0:4) 97.6% 98.1% 95.1% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.7% 1.2% 3.3% 0.36× 83.55
Randers FC (0:4) 0.6% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.68
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (1:0) 67.3% 70.0% 70.1% 1.00× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 18.1% 17.0% 14.6% 1.17× 5.88
Odense Boldklub (1:0) 14.6% 12.8% 15.7% 0.82× 7.82
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC (2:0) 85.4% 88.4% 84.3% 1.05× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 9.6% 6.5% 8.2% 0.78× 15.47
Odense Boldklub (2:0) 5.0% 6.4% 7.7% 0.84× 15.53
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.5% 48.2% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 26.6% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 25.9% 26.5% 3.78
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to concede 72.7% 73.1% 73.6% 0.99× 1.37
Randers FC clean sheet 27.3% 26.9% 26.4% 1.02× 3.71
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC clean sheet in 1st half 59.5% 62.7% 1.60
Randers FC to concede in 1st half 40.5% 37.3% 2.68
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to concede in 2nd half 54.1% 53.4% 1.87
Randers FC clean sheet in 2nd half 45.9% 46.6% 2.15
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC over 2.5 corners 88.2% 86.3% 1.16
Randers FC over 3.5 corners 77.4% 76.6% 1.31
Randers FC over 4.5 corners 64.4% 62.3% 1.61
Randers FC under 6.5 corners 61.7% 62.2% 1.61
Randers FC over 5.5 corners 50.9% 52.6% 1.90
Randers FC under 5.5 corners 49.1% 47.4% 2.11
Randers FC over 6.5 corners 38.3% 37.8% 2.65
Randers FC under 4.5 corners 35.6% 37.7% 2.65
Randers FC under 3.5 corners 22.6% 23.4% 4.27
Randers FC under 2.5 corners 11.8% 13.7% 7.31
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC under 3.5 goals 93.9% 92.2% 91.2% 1.01× 1.08
Randers FC under 2.5 goals 81.8% 82.1% 78.3% 1.05× 1.22
Randers FC over 0.5 goals 76.9% 77.7% 80.8% 0.96× 1.29
Randers FC under 1.5 goals 57.0% 58.8% 52.5% 1.12× 1.70
Randers FC over 1.5 goals 43.0% 41.2% 47.5% 0.87× 2.43
Randers FC under 0.5 goals 23.1% 22.3% 19.2% 1.16× 4.49
Randers FC over 2.5 goals 18.2% 17.9% 21.7% 0.83× 5.58
Randers FC over 3.5 goals 6.1% 7.8% 8.8% 0.88× 12.89
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC under 1.5 in 1st half 86.8% 89.8% 1.11
Randers FC over 0.5 in 1st half 46.7% 50.8% 1.97
Randers FC under 0.5 in 1st half 53.3% 49.2% 2.03
Randers FC over 1.5 in 1st half 13.2% 10.2% 9.76
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC scores more in 2nd half 37.6% 37.7% 2.66
Randers FC scores equally in both 37.0% 37.7% 2.66
Randers FC scores more in 1st half 25.5% 28.0% 3.57
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub (home no bet) 54.9% 51.5% 54.0% 0.95× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 45.1% 48.5% 46.0% 1.05× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC even goals 52.7% 50.6% 50.5% 1.00× 1.98
Randers FC odd goals 47.3% 49.4% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 31.9% 32.2% 3.10
HT 1-0 19.8% 18.7% 5.35
HT 0-1 16.3% 18.6% 5.37
HT 1-1 10.5% 10.9% 9.17
HT 2-0 6.3% 7.1% 14.04
HT 0-2 4.3% 2.3% 43.39
Any other HT score 4.2% 2.3% 43.40
HT 2-1 3.3% 2.3% 43.46
HT 1-2 2.7% 2.3% 43.51
HT 2-2 0.8% 2.3% 43.64
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC at HT / Randers FC at FT 23.8% 21.8% 4.59
Odense Boldklub at HT / Odense Boldklub at FT 17.5% 16.8% 5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.3% 16.7% 5.97
Draw at HT / Randers FC at FT 14.2% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Odense Boldklub at FT 12.8% 12.7% 7.89
Randers FC at HT / Draw at FT 5.7% 6.0% 16.71
Odense Boldklub at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 3.5% 28.73
Randers FC at HT / Odense Boldklub at FT 2.4% 3.5% 28.83
Odense Boldklub at HT / Randers FC at FT 2.3% 3.5% 28.83
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to score last 49.3% 46.8% 2.14
Odense Boldklub to score last 43.6% 40.1% 2.49
No goal scored 7.1% 7.5% 13.35
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.9% 92.6% 1.08
Randers FC to lead by 1 at any time 57.2% 55.1% 1.82
Odense Boldklub to lead by 1 at any time 50.7% 50.7% 1.97
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 46.5% 43.9% 2.28
Randers FC to lead by 2 at any time 26.2% 25.4% 3.93
Odense Boldklub to lead by 2 at any time 20.6% 19.5% 5.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.3% 14.9% 6.73
Randers FC to lead by 3 at any time 9.6% 6.7% 15.00
Odense Boldklub to lead by 3 at any time 6.7% 6.6% 15.14
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC most corners 50.7% 51.9% 1.93
Odense Boldklub most corners 39.4% 39.2% 2.55
Corners level 9.8% 8.4% 11.89
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.7% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.15
1-4 goals 78.3% 78.6% 73.9% 1.06× 1.27
2-6 goals 74.7% 72.4% 79.1% 0.91× 1.38
2-5 goals 70.8% 72.4% 72.3% 1.00× 1.38
1-3 goals 63.0% 63.4% 56.0% 1.13× 1.58
2-4 goals 62.4% 63.4% 60.7% 1.04× 1.58
3-6 goals 49.8% 48.6% 57.1% 0.85× 2.06
2-3 goals 47.1% 48.6% 42.9% 1.13× 2.06
3-5 goals 45.9% 48.6% 50.3% 0.97× 2.06
1-2 goals 40.8% 43.6% 35.4% 1.23× 2.30
3-4 goals 37.5% 39.2% 38.7% 1.01× 2.55
4-6 goals 27.7% 30.3% 36.5% 0.83× 3.30
4-5 goals 23.8% 24.5% 29.7% 0.83× 4.08
5-6 goals 12.3% 14.9% 18.7% 0.80× 6.73
7+ goals 2.3% 2.6% 1.9% 1.33× 39.14
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC never behind 42.2% 48.2% 2.07
Odense Boldklub never behind 35.7% 44.5% 2.25
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.3% 50.8% 47.0% 1.08× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.7% 49.2% 53.0% 0.93× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.3% 57.4% 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 44.7% 42.6% 2.35
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.5% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.5% 48.0% 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 93.8% 92.2% 91.2% 1.01× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 92.9% 92.2% 94.0% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 85.4% 87.6% 79.7% 1.10× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 77.0% 77.4% 80.8% 0.96× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 70.1% 72.4% 61.8% 1.17× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 52.1% 52.6% 58.8% 0.89× 1.90
Under 2.5 goals 47.9% 47.4% 41.2% 1.15× 2.11
Over 3.5 goals 29.9% 27.6% 38.2% 0.72× 3.63
Under 1.5 goals 23.0% 22.6% 19.2% 1.18× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 14.6% 12.4% 20.3% 0.61× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 7.1% 7.8% 6.0% 1.29× 12.87
Over 5.5 goals 6.2% 7.8% 8.8% 0.88× 12.88
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.6% 97.2% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 93.3% 92.4% 90.1% 1.03× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 82.7% 81.0% 75.3% 1.08× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 69.4% 67.5% 75.4% 0.90× 1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 61.5% 61.9% 51.9% 1.19× 1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 38.5% 38.1% 48.1% 0.79× 2.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 30.6% 32.5% 24.6% 1.32× 3.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 17.3% 19.0% 24.7% 0.77× 5.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 6.7% 7.6% 9.9% 0.76× 13.16
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.4% 2.8% 2.1% 1.35× 35.86
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 89.1% 89.1% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 68.2% 69.1% 1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half 68.0% 69.1% 1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half 32.0% 30.9% 3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half 31.9% 30.9% 3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.0% 10.9% 9.14
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 79.8% 79.8% 1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 78.0% 79.8% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 51.8% 53.3% 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 48.2% 46.7% 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 22.0% 20.2% 4.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 20.2% 20.2% 4.95
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub not to score in both halves 78.1% 78.3% 1.28
Randers FC not to score in both halves 73.6% 73.8% 1.36
Randers FC to score in both halves 26.4% 26.2% 3.81
Odense Boldklub to score in both halves 21.9% 21.7% 4.60
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 56.6% 58.4% 60.4% 0.97× 1.71
Only Randers FC scores 20.2% 22.3% 20.6% 1.08× 4.49
Only Odense Boldklub scores 16.0% 16.0% 13.5% 1.19× 6.24
Neither team scores 7.1% 7.2% 6.0% 1.19× 13.91
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 24.9% 22.6% 22.3% 1.02× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 22.2% 22.6% 20.9% 1.08× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 15.9% 17.4% 13.5% 1.30× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 15.3% 17.4% 18.1% 0.96× 5.74
Exactly 5 goals 8.5% 7.6% 11.8% 0.65× 13.08
Exactly 0 goals 7.1% 7.6% 6.0% 1.26× 13.08
6 or more goals 6.2% 7.6% 8.8% 0.87× 13.09
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 36.2% 37.1% 2.70
No goals in 1st half 31.9% 35.9% 2.79
2 goals in 1st half 21.0% 21.7% 4.61
3+ goals in 1st half 11.0% 10.8% 9.23
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 48.2% 44.8% 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 31.6% 33.3% 3.00
No goals in 2nd half 20.2% 22.9% 4.36
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub not to win both halves 92.3% 94.0% 1.06
Randers FC not to win both halves 89.1% 88.0% 1.14
Randers FC to win both halves 10.9% 12.0% 8.32
Odense Boldklub to win both halves 7.7% 6.0% 16.57
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Randers FC to win either half 54.8% 55.0% 1.82
Odense Boldklub to win neither half 52.3% 54.9% 1.82
Odense Boldklub to win either half 47.7% 45.1% 2.22
Randers FC to win neither half 45.2% 45.0% 2.22
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odense Boldklub not to win to nil 84.0% 83.1% 86.5% 0.96× 1.20
Randers FC not to win to nil 79.8% 78.1% 79.4% 0.98× 1.28
Randers FC to win to nil 20.2% 21.9% 20.6% 1.06× 4.57
Odense Boldklub to win to nil 16.0% 16.9% 13.5% 1.26× 5.92
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 26.9% 27.9% 25.5% 1.09× 3.59
Randers FC by 1 20.5% 24.2% 23.9% 1.01× 4.14
Odense Boldklub by 1 18.1% 16.9% 14.6% 1.16× 5.91
Randers FC by 2 12.2% 11.8% 13.2% 0.89× 8.49
Odense Boldklub by 2 9.6% 7.2% 8.2% 0.88× 13.80
Randers FC by 3+ 7.6% 7.2% 8.2% 0.88× 13.81
Odense Boldklub by 3+ 5.0% 7.2% 7.7% 0.94× 13.82
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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