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Rangers v Falkirk — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 28 November 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Rangers win
73.1%
model 73.9%
Draw
17.2%
model 15.1%
Falkirk win
9.7%
model 10.9%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (94 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 2-0 9.8%
  2. 2-1 9.1%
  3. 3-0 8.6%
  4. 3-1 8.0%
  5. 1-0 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.569.2% Under 2.530.8%
BTTS yes56.1% BTTS no43.9%
Rangers 1+92.9% Rangers 2+74.0%
Falkirk 1+60.5% Falkirk 2+23.9%

Expected goals 2.64 – 0.93. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
77/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Rangers (-1.5)
Asian handicap · usually 26%
52.2% fair odds 1.92
strong signal · 1133 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Rangers leading at HT (DNB)
DNB half time
84.4% fair odds 1.19
weak signal · 70 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1684 Elo against 1436.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Rangers have an estimated 73.1% win probability, against 17.2% for the draw and 9.7% for Falkirk. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.64 for Rangers and 0.93 for Falkirk.

Why Rangers

Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1684 Elo against 1436. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.2%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why Falkirk can win

Nothing in the data singles out Falkirk.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Rangers, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Falkirk, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Rangers: 56% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 9.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Falkirk: 49% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rangers's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-27 10:01 · team_stats 2026-10-27 06:03 · availability 2026-10-27 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Rangers are the model's most likely outcome at 73.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 9.8%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 2.64–0.93 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.54–1.04 2-1 9% 69% 59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to win 70.0% 64.9% 45.9% 1.42× 1.54
Draw 16.5% 19.4% 23.3% 0.83× 5.16
Falkirk to win 13.5% 13.5% 31.0% 0.43× 7.43
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers & both teams score 37.3% 33.3% 18.6% 1.79× 3.00
Rangers & not both score 32.7% 29.6% 27.5% 1.08× 3.38
Draw & both teams score 13.8% 13.3% 17.8% 0.75× 7.54
Falkirk & both teams score 8.3% 8.3% 16.3% 0.51× 12.00
Falkirk & not both score 5.2% 8.3% 14.9% 0.56× 12.01
Draw & not both score 2.7% 4.9% 5.8% 0.84× 20.54
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers & over 1.5 62.8% 54.7% 36.6% 1.50× 1.83
Rangers & over 2.5 53.8% 48.9% 28.1% 1.74× 2.05
Rangers & over 3.5 36.8% 34.9% 15.9% 2.19× 2.87
Rangers & under 3.5 33.2% 30.8% 30.2% 1.02× 3.25
Rangers & under 2.5 16.2% 18.0% 18.0% 1.00× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 13.8% 12.8% 17.8% 0.72× 7.79
Falkirk & over 1.5 10.5% 12.8% 24.4% 0.53× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 10.0% 7.9% 14.9% 0.53× 12.63
Draw & under 3.5 10.0% 7.9% 14.9% 0.53× 12.63
Falkirk & over 2.5 9.0% 7.9% 20.5% 0.39× 12.63
Falkirk & under 3.5 8.8% 7.9% 22.5% 0.35× 12.63
Rangers & under 1.5 7.2% 7.9% 9.5% 0.83× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 6.5% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 6.5% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Falkirk & under 2.5 4.5% 4.8% 10.7% 0.45× 20.81
Falkirk & over 3.5 4.7% 4.8% 8.7% 0.55× 20.81
Draw & under 1.5 2.7% 4.8% 5.8% 0.83× 20.83
Falkirk & under 1.5 3.0% 4.8% 6.8% 0.70× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (1UP) 81.2% 87.4% — — 1.15
Falkirk (1UP) 33.2% 33.0% — — 3.03
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (2UP) 70.0% 68.5% — — 1.46
Falkirk (2UP) 13.5% 14.0% — — 7.15
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to win 2nd half 57.2% 61.4% — — 1.63
2nd half drawn 26.8% 26.1% — — 3.84
Falkirk to win 2nd half 16.0% 17.7% — — 5.63
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 2nd half 87.1% 87.1% — — 1.15
Falkirk under 0.5 in 2nd half 53.6% 52.5% — — 1.91
Falkirk over 0.5 in 2nd half 46.4% 47.5% — — 2.10
Falkirk over 1.5 in 2nd half 12.9% 12.9% — — 7.75
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers over 0.5 in 2nd half 76.5% 75.2% — — 1.33
Rangers under 1.5 in 2nd half 57.6% 58.0% — — 1.72
Rangers over 1.5 in 2nd half 42.4% 42.0% — — 2.38
Rangers under 0.5 in 2nd half 23.5% 24.8% — — 4.04
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (+0.5) 86.5% 88.5% 69.0% 1.28× 1.13
Falkirk (+2.5) 71.8% 73.7% 87.8% 0.84× 1.36
Rangers (-0.5) 70.0% 68.7% 45.9% 1.50× 1.46
Falkirk (+1.5) 51.7% 52.4% 73.6% 0.71× 1.91
Rangers (-1.5) 48.3% 47.6% 26.4% 1.80× 2.10
Falkirk (+0.5) 30.0% 31.3% 54.1% 0.58× 3.19
Rangers (-2.5) 28.2% 26.3% 12.2% 2.16× 3.80
Falkirk (-0.5) 13.5% 11.5% 31.0% 0.37× 8.66
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk to concede 92.1% 91.7% 79.5% 1.15× 1.09
Falkirk clean sheet 7.9% 8.3% 20.5% 0.41× 12.00
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk to concede in 1st half 66.5% 71.2% — — 1.41
Falkirk clean sheet in 1st half 33.5% 28.8% — — 3.47
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk to concede in 2nd half 76.5% 74.8% — — 1.34
Falkirk clean sheet in 2nd half 23.5% 25.2% — — 3.97
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk under 6.5 corners 89.4% 85.2% — — 1.17
Falkirk under 5.5 corners 80.9% 81.4% — — 1.23
Falkirk under 4.5 corners 68.2% 67.6% — — 1.48
Falkirk over 2.5 corners 67.8% 67.6% — — 1.48
Falkirk under 3.5 corners 51.3% 53.1% — — 1.88
Falkirk over 3.5 corners 48.7% 46.9% — — 2.13
Falkirk under 2.5 corners 32.2% 32.4% — — 3.09
Falkirk over 4.5 corners 31.8% 32.4% — — 3.09
Falkirk over 5.5 corners 19.1% 18.6% — — 5.38
Falkirk over 6.5 corners 10.6% 14.8% — — 6.78
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk under 3.5 goals 97.9% 97.5% 96.3% 1.01× 1.03
Falkirk under 2.5 goals 91.3% 92.3% 85.5% 1.08× 1.08
Falkirk under 1.5 goals 72.2% 71.8% 63.2% 1.14× 1.39
Falkirk over 0.5 goals 64.6% 63.2% 66.9% 0.94× 1.58
Falkirk under 0.5 goals 35.4% 36.8% 33.1% 1.11× 2.72
Falkirk over 1.5 goals 27.8% 28.2% 36.8% 0.77× 3.55
Falkirk over 2.5 goals 8.7% 7.7% 14.5% 0.53× 13.06
Falkirk over 3.5 goals 2.1% 2.5% 3.7% 0.67× 39.86
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk under 1.5 in 1st half 93.4% 94.0% — — 1.06
Falkirk under 0.5 in 1st half 66.0% 70.2% — — 1.43
Falkirk over 0.5 in 1st half 34.0% 29.8% — — 3.35
Falkirk over 1.5 in 1st half 6.6% 6.0% — — 16.57
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk scores equally in both 45.2% 48.0% — — 2.08
Falkirk scores more in 2nd half 34.3% 33.3% — — 3.00
Falkirk scores more in 1st half 20.5% 21.7% — — 4.60
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (away no bet) 80.9% 82.6% 66.3% 1.25× 1.21
Draw (away no bet) 19.1% 17.4% 33.7% 0.52× 5.74
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk even goals 56.3% 56.9% 57.6% 0.99× 1.76
Falkirk odd goals 43.7% 43.1% 42.4% 1.02× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 72.8% 77.2% — — 1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals 27.2% 22.8% — — 4.39
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 78.4% 72.3% — — 1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals 21.6% 27.7% — — 3.61
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 73.1% 71.9% — — 1.39
Rangers to score 2+ in a row 64.3% 60.1% — — 1.66
Either team to score 3+ in a row 38.1% 36.5% — — 2.74
Rangers to score 3+ in a row 35.1% 36.4% — — 2.75
Falkirk to score 2+ in a row 17.3% 16.1% — — 6.19
Falkirk to score 3+ in a row 3.5% 2.6% — — 38.83
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers corners (+3.5) 95.9% 95.7% — — 1.05
Rangers corners (+2.5) 92.8% 89.6% — — 1.12
Rangers corners (+1.5) 88.1% 84.5% — — 1.18
Rangers corners (-1.5) 63.0% 61.9% — — 1.62
Falkirk corners (+3.5) 58.5% 57.2% — — 1.75
Rangers corners (-2.5) 52.2% 52.4% — — 1.91
Falkirk corners (+2.5) 47.8% 47.6% — — 2.10
Rangers corners (-3.5) 41.5% 42.8% — — 2.33
Falkirk corners (+1.5) 37.0% 38.1% — — 2.62
Falkirk corners (-1.5) 11.9% 15.5% — — 6.45
Falkirk corners (-2.5) 7.2% 10.4% — — 9.60
Falkirk corners (-3.5) 4.1% 4.3% — — 23.46
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 34.8% 33.2% — — 3.01
12+ corners 34.4% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 30.8% 33.2% — — 3.01
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 75.2% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 74.1% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 65.6% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 65.2% 67.8% — — 1.48
Under 10.5 corners 55.9% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 54.6% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 9.5 corners 45.4% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 10.5 corners 44.1% 42.1% — — 2.37
Under 8.5 corners 34.8% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 34.4% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 12.5 corners 25.9% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 24.8% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 11.7% 11.5% 4.1% 2.78× 8.71
2-0 9.0% 7.4% 8.7% 0.85× 13.51
2-1 9.4% 7.4% 7.0% 1.05× 13.51
1-0 7.2% 7.4% 9.5% 0.78× 13.51
1-1 7.3% 7.4% 9.3% 0.80× 13.51
3-0 7.6% 7.4% 5.6% 1.33× 13.51
3-1 7.9% 7.4% 5.6% 1.33× 13.51
4-1 5.0% 7.4% 1.4% 5.12× 13.51
2-2 4.9% 1.7% 6.6% 0.26× 58.29
4-0 4.9% 1.7% 3.5% 0.49× 58.29
0-0 2.7% 1.7% 5.8% 0.30× 58.30
0-1 3.0% 1.7% 6.8% 0.25× 58.30
0-2 1.5% 1.7% 4.1% 0.42× 58.31
0-3 0.5% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.32
0-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.32
1-2 3.8% 1.7% 8.9% 0.19× 58.30
1-3 1.3% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.31
1-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.8% 2.07× 58.32
2-3 1.7% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
2-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.8% 2.07× 58.32
3-2 4.1% 1.7% 2.9% 0.59× 58.30
3-3 1.4% 1.7% 2.3% 0.75× 58.31
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.4% 4.15× 58.32
4-2 2.6% 1.7% 0.6% 2.77× 58.30
4-3 0.9% 1.7% 0.8% 2.08× 58.31
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 8.30× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (2nd half DNB) 78.1% 79.8% — — 1.25
Falkirk (2nd half DNB) 21.9% 20.2% — — 4.96
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers leading at HT (DNB) 79.0% 75.6% — — 1.32
Falkirk leading at HT (DNB) 21.0% 24.4% — — 4.10
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers or draw (1X) 86.5% 86.5% 69.0% 1.25× 1.16
Rangers or Falkirk (12) 83.5% 80.6% 76.7% 1.05× 1.24
Falkirk or draw (X2) 30.0% 35.1% 54.1% 0.65× 2.85
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers or draw at HT 86.0% 88.1% — — 1.14
Rangers or Falkirk at HT 66.6% 67.2% — — 1.49
Falkirk or draw at HT 47.4% 51.3% — — 1.95
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers or draw (1UP) 86.5% 91.9% — — 1.09
Falkirk or draw (1UP) 33.2% 39.3% — — 2.54
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers or draw in 2nd half 84.0% 82.3% — — 1.22
Rangers or Falkirk in 2nd half 73.2% 73.9% — — 1.35
Falkirk or draw in 2nd half 42.8% 38.6% — — 2.59
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 51.3% 50.1% — — 2.00
Neither half drawn 48.7% 49.9% — — 2.00
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (DNB) 83.8% 80.4% 59.7% 1.35× 1.24
Falkirk (DNB) 16.2% 19.6% 40.3% 0.49× 5.11
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to score first 69.1% 69.4% — — 1.44
Falkirk to score first 28.2% 27.9% — — 3.58
No goal scored 2.7% 4.3% — — 23.02
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 59.4% 55.0% 52.3% 1.05× 1.82
Not both teams to score 40.6% 45.0% 47.7% 0.94× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 52.1% 47.2% 43.2% 1.09× 2.12
Not both score & under 2.5 23.4% 27.9% 34.1% 0.82× 3.59
Not both score & over 2.5 17.2% 21.5% 13.8% 1.55× 4.65
Both score & under 2.5 7.3% 8.3% 9.3% 0.89× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 79.9% 79.8% 83.9% 0.95× 1.25
Both teams to score 2+ 20.1% 20.2% 16.1% 1.25× 4.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 64.6% 66.0% — — 1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half 35.4% 34.0% — — 2.94
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 50.0% 54.6% — — 1.83
Both score 2nd half only 27.4% 26.8% — — 3.74
Both score 1st half only 14.6% 10.8% — — 9.29
Both score in both halves 8.0% 6.8% — — 14.71
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 77.4% 81.0% — — 1.24
Both teams to score by HT 22.6% 19.0% — — 5.25
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 68.0% 65.5% — — 1.53
A half without a goal 32.0% 34.5% — — 2.90
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 40.9% 42.2% 31.2% 1.35× 2.37
2-3 goals 39.1% 35.1% 45.7% 0.77× 2.85
0-1 goals 12.9% 16.9% 21.7% 0.78× 5.90
7+ goals 7.1% 7.6% 1.9% 4.10× 13.13
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.9% 30.4% 1.18× 2.78
Falkirk to score exactly 0 35.4% 35.9% 33.1% 1.09× 2.79
Falkirk to score exactly 2 19.1% 19.5% 22.5% 0.87× 5.12
Falkirk to score 3+ 8.7% 8.6% 14.5% 0.59× 11.69
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to score 3+ 46.6% 37.5% 23.8% 1.58× 2.67
Rangers to score exactly 2 25.5% 26.6% 25.0% 1.06× 3.77
Rangers to score exactly 1 20.0% 23.3% 31.2% 0.75× 4.30
Rangers to score exactly 0 7.9% 10.3% 20.5% 0.51× 9.66
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers leading at HT 52.6% 48.7% — — 2.06
Draw at HT 33.4% 32.8% — — 3.05
Falkirk leading at HT 14.0% 11.9% — — 8.42
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers -1: 1 48.3% 46.9% — — 2.13
Rangers -1: 2 30.0% 30.0% — — 3.33
Rangers -1: X 21.7% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (0:1) 48.3% 46.1% 26.4% 1.74× 2.17
Falkirk (0:1) 30.0% 30.1% 54.1% 0.56× 3.32
Draw (0:1) 21.7% 24.2% 19.6% 1.23× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk (0:2) 51.7% 58.1% 73.6% 0.79× 1.72
Rangers (0:2) 28.2% 24.1% 12.2% 1.98× 4.15
Draw (0:2) 20.1% 20.2% 14.5% 1.40× 4.94
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk (0:3) 71.8% 77.6% 87.8% 0.88× 1.29
Draw (0:3) 14.2% 9.9% 6.8% 1.45× 10.09
Rangers (0:3) 14.0% 9.9% 5.6% 1.78× 10.09
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk (0:4) 86.0% 91.9% 94.4% 0.97× 1.09
Draw (0:4) 8.0% 4.7% 4.8% 0.98× 21.48
Rangers (0:4) 5.9% 4.6% 1.0% 4.47× 21.66
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (1:0) 86.5% 86.1% 69.0% 1.25× 1.16
Draw (1:0) 8.9% 6.9% 17.8% 0.39× 14.47
Falkirk (1:0) 4.6% 3.3% 13.4% 0.24× 30.42
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers (2:0) 95.4% 96.8% 86.6% 1.12× 1.03
Draw (2:0) 3.3% 2.3% 7.6% 0.30× 43.72
Falkirk (2:0) 1.2% 2.3% 6.0% 0.38× 43.85
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 50.8% 50.2% — — 1.99
1st half highest scoring 28.2% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 21.1% 24.4% — — 4.09
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to concede 64.6% 63.7% 66.9% 0.95× 1.57
Rangers clean sheet 35.4% 36.3% 33.1% 1.10× 2.75
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers clean sheet in 1st half 66.0% 70.5% — — 1.42
Rangers to concede in 1st half 34.0% 29.5% — — 3.39
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers clean sheet in 2nd half 53.6% 52.6% — — 1.90
Rangers to concede in 2nd half 46.4% 47.5% — — 2.11
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers over 2.5 corners 92.2% 89.2% — — 1.12
Rangers over 3.5 corners 83.7% 81.0% — — 1.24
Rangers over 4.5 corners 72.3% 71.9% — — 1.39
Rangers over 5.5 corners 59.3% 57.5% — — 1.74
Rangers under 6.5 corners 53.7% 52.6% — — 1.90
Rangers over 6.5 corners 46.3% 47.4% — — 2.11
Rangers under 5.5 corners 40.7% 42.5% — — 2.35
Rangers under 4.5 corners 27.7% 28.1% — — 3.56
Rangers under 3.5 corners 16.3% 19.0% — — 5.26
Rangers under 2.5 corners 7.8% 10.8% — — 9.28
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers over 0.5 goals 92.1% 92.2% 79.5% 1.16× 1.09
Rangers under 3.5 goals 74.9% 74.2% 92.1% 0.81× 1.35
Rangers over 1.5 goals 72.1% 74.2% 48.6% 1.53× 1.35
Rangers under 2.5 goals 53.4% 53.2% 76.2% 0.70× 1.88
Rangers over 2.5 goals 46.6% 46.8% 23.8% 1.97× 2.14
Rangers under 1.5 goals 27.9% 25.8% 51.4% 0.50× 3.88
Rangers over 3.5 goals 25.1% 25.8% 7.9% 3.28× 3.88
Rangers under 0.5 goals 7.9% 7.8% 20.5% 0.38× 12.83
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers under 1.5 in 1st half 70.2% 79.0% — — 1.27
Rangers over 0.5 in 1st half 66.5% 69.3% — — 1.44
Rangers under 0.5 in 1st half 33.5% 30.7% — — 3.26
Rangers over 1.5 in 1st half 29.8% 21.0% — — 4.76
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers scores more in 2nd half 45.2% 47.1% — — 2.12
Rangers scores more in 1st half 28.5% 27.9% — — 3.59
Rangers scores equally in both 26.3% 27.8% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 55.0% 56.3% 43.0% 1.31× 1.78
Falkirk (home no bet) 45.0% 43.7% 57.0% 0.77× 2.29
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers even goals 50.3% 50.7% 51.7% 0.98× 1.97
Rangers odd goals 49.7% 49.3% 48.3% 1.02× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 1-0 24.2% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 0-0 22.1% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 2-0 13.2% 11.0% — — 9.10
Any other HT score 10.6% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 1-1 10.0% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 0-1 9.2% 6.9% — — 14.52
HT 2-1 5.5% 6.9% — — 14.57
HT 1-2 2.1% 2.4% — — 42.28
HT 0-2 1.9% 2.4% — — 42.30
HT 2-2 1.1% 2.4% — — 42.35
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers at HT / Rangers at FT 47.2% 46.6% — — 2.15
Draw at HT / Rangers at FT 19.1% 16.8% — — 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 8.8% 6.1% — — 16.44
Falkirk at HT / Falkirk at FT 6.8% 6.1% — — 16.50
Draw at HT / Falkirk at FT 5.4% 6.0% — — 16.54
Rangers at HT / Draw at FT 4.1% 3.5% — — 28.89
Falkirk at HT / Rangers at FT 3.6% 3.5% — — 28.90
Falkirk at HT / Draw at FT 3.6% 3.5% — — 28.91
Rangers at HT / Falkirk at FT 1.3% 3.5% — — 28.99
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to score last 69.0% 70.5% — — 1.42
Falkirk to score last 28.3% 27.4% — — 3.66
No goal scored 2.7% 4.3% — — 23.02
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 97.3% 95.6% — — 1.05
Rangers to lead by 1 at any time 81.2% 87.4% — — 1.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 64.6% 61.3% — — 1.63
Rangers to lead by 2 at any time 55.7% 54.8% — — 1.82
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 34.4% 29.8% — — 3.36
Falkirk to lead by 1 at any time 33.2% 29.7% — — 3.36
Rangers to lead by 3 at any time 32.2% 29.7% — — 3.37
Falkirk to lead by 2 at any time 9.3% 6.7% — — 14.96
Falkirk to lead by 3 at any time 2.2% 1.6% — — 63.11
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers most corners 73.0% 70.6% — — 1.42
Falkirk most corners 18.5% 19.3% — — 5.19
Corners level 8.5% 8.3% — — 11.99
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 82.1% 83.4% 87.0% 0.96× 1.20
2-6 goals 80.1% 83.4% 76.7% 1.09× 1.20
2-5 goals 71.9% 72.3% 71.1% 1.02× 1.38
1-4 goals 68.4% 68.8% 79.8% 0.86× 1.45
3-6 goals 62.3% 63.3% 55.2% 1.15× 1.58
2-4 goals 58.2% 59.1% 63.8% 0.93× 1.69
3-5 goals 54.1% 53.2% 49.6% 1.07× 1.88
1-3 goals 49.3% 48.5% 61.6% 0.79× 2.06
4-6 goals 40.9% 43.6% 31.2% 1.40× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.4% 43.6% 42.4% 1.03× 2.29
2-3 goals 39.1% 39.2% 45.7% 0.86× 2.55
4-5 goals 32.8% 35.2% 25.6% 1.37× 2.84
1-2 goals 28.0% 30.2% 37.6% 0.80× 3.31
5-6 goals 21.8% 24.4% 13.0% 1.88× 4.09
7+ goals 7.1% 8.9% 1.9% 4.77× 11.26
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers never behind 64.1% 68.5% — — 1.46
Falkirk never behind 16.1% 18.1% — — 5.52
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.9% 50.9% 51.2% 0.99× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.1% 49.1% 48.8% 1.01× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 52.4% 51.7% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 47.6% 48.3% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.7% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.3% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 97.3% 95.4% 94.2% 1.01× 1.05
Over 1.5 goals 87.1% 87.6% 78.3% 1.12× 1.14
Under 5.5 goals 84.8% 82.3% 92.6% 0.89× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 71.1% 72.5% 85.3% 0.85× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 69.3% 66.3% 56.8% 1.17× 1.51
Under 3.5 goals 52.0% 52.5% 67.1% 0.78× 1.90
Over 3.5 goals 48.0% 47.5% 32.9% 1.45× 2.11
Under 2.5 goals 30.7% 33.7% 43.2% 0.78× 2.97
Over 4.5 goals 28.9% 27.5% 14.7% 1.88× 3.63
Over 5.5 goals 15.2% 17.7% 7.4% 2.38× 5.66
Under 1.5 goals 12.9% 12.4% 21.7% 0.57× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 2.7% 4.6% 5.8% 0.79× 21.83
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 92.3% 92.4% 98.0% 0.94× 1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 84.3% 81.1% 72.4% 1.12× 1.23
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 82.4% 81.1% 92.0% 0.88× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 64.3% 61.9% 82.1% 0.75× 1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 61.0% 61.9% 43.2% 1.43× 1.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 39.0% 38.1% 56.8% 0.67× 2.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 35.7% 38.1% 17.9% 2.12× 2.63
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 17.6% 18.9% 8.0% 2.36× 5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 15.7% 18.9% 27.6% 0.68× 5.29
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 7.7% 7.6% 2.0% 3.85× 13.19
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 80.7% 85.6% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half 77.9% 78.1% — — 1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half 55.5% 64.5% — — 1.55
Over 1.5 in 1st half 44.5% 35.5% — — 2.82
Under 0.5 in 1st half 22.1% 21.9% — — 4.57
Over 2.5 in 1st half 19.3% 14.4% — — 6.95
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 87.4% 85.4% — — 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 65.8% 68.4% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 61.2% 61.4% — — 1.63
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 38.8% 38.6% — — 2.59
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 34.2% 31.6% — — 3.16
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 12.6% 14.6% — — 6.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk not to score in both halves 84.2% 84.4% — — 1.19
Rangers to score in both halves 50.8% 55.7% — — 1.80
Rangers not to score in both halves 49.2% 44.3% — — 2.26
Falkirk to score in both halves 15.8% 15.6% — — 6.40
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 59.4% 58.6% 52.3% 1.12× 1.71
Only Rangers scores 32.7% 33.3% 27.5% 1.21× 3.01
Only Falkirk scores 5.2% 7.1% 14.9% 0.48× 14.02
Neither team scores 2.7% 4.6% 5.8% 0.80× 21.61
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 21.3% 22.6% 24.2% 0.93× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 19.1% 17.5% 18.4% 0.95× 5.73
Exactly 2 goals 17.8% 17.5% 21.7% 0.80× 5.73
6 or more goals 15.2% 17.5% 7.4% 2.35× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 13.7% 12.1% 7.4% 1.63× 8.25
Exactly 1 goals 10.2% 12.1% 16.1% 0.75× 8.26
Exactly 0 goals 2.7% 4.5% 5.8% 0.77× 22.36
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 33.4% 35.7% — — 2.80
2 goals in 1st half 25.2% 28.5% — — 3.50
No goals in 1st half 22.1% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 19.3% 15.7% — — 6.36
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 61.2% 58.7% — — 1.70
1 goal in 2nd half 26.2% 29.1% — — 3.44
No goals in 2nd half 12.6% 14.4% — — 6.92
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk not to win both halves 97.8% 97.2% — — 1.03
Rangers not to win both halves 69.9% 70.3% — — 1.42
Rangers to win both halves 30.1% 29.7% — — 3.37
Falkirk to win both halves 2.2% 2.8% — — 36.31
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers to win either half 79.8% 79.9% — — 1.25
Falkirk to win neither half 72.2% 73.0% — — 1.37
Falkirk to win either half 27.8% 27.0% — — 3.71
Rangers to win neither half 20.2% 20.1% — — 4.98
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Falkirk not to win to nil 94.8% 92.1% 85.1% 1.08× 1.09
Rangers not to win to nil 67.3% 69.7% 72.5% 0.96× 1.44
Rangers to win to nil 32.7% 30.3% 27.5% 1.10× 3.30
Falkirk to win to nil 5.2% 7.9% 14.9% 0.53× 12.70
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rangers by 3+ 28.2% 27.9% 12.2% 2.29× 3.59
Rangers by 1 21.7% 24.1% 19.6% 1.23× 4.15
Rangers by 2 20.1% 24.1% 14.5% 1.67× 4.15
Draw 16.5% 17.0% 23.3% 0.73× 5.87
Falkirk by 1 8.9% 7.2% 17.8% 0.40× 13.90
Falkirk by 2 3.3% 2.7% 7.6% 0.35× 36.87
Falkirk by 3+ 1.2% 2.7% 6.0% 0.45× 36.93
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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