Rangers v St Mirren — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 9 September 2026 · SCO-Premiership · 2627

SCO-Premiership results-only Prediction generated 9 Sep 2026, 09:54 UTC

Rangers

1–0

18:45 UTC

St Mirren

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 9 Sep, 11:32 · 7h before kick-off

Rangers win

63.9%

model 65.1%

Draw

18.1%

model 19.5%

St Mirren win

17.9%

model 15.3%

641818

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (160 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 10.4%
2-1 9.9%
1-0 9.5%
1-1 9.1%
3-0 7.5%

Goals

Over 2.5	60.4%	Under 2.5	39.6%
BTTS yes	54.5%	BTTS no	45.5%
Rangers 1+	88.6%	Rangers 2+	63.9%
St Mirren 1+	61.4%	St Mirren 2+	24.7%

Expected goals 2.17 – 0.95. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

85/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Rangers (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 46%

69.1% fair odds 1.45

strong signal · 1062 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Rangers or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP

84.0% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1679 Elo against 1443.
Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Rangers have an estimated 63.9% win probability, against 18.1% for the draw and 17.9% for St Mirren. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.17 for Rangers and 0.95 for St Mirren.

Why Rangers

Rangers carry the stronger rating, 1679 Elo against 1443. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.1%. Draws run at 23% in this competition.

Why St Mirren can win

Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Rangers, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for St Mirren, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Rangers: 60% possession, 19.0 shots a match, 9.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. St Mirren: 48% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-09 15:30 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-09 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-09 09:54 ·

Rangers are the model's most likely outcome at 63.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 10.4%. Confidence 85/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	652015	2.17–0.95	0%	0%	0%	Home ✓
ai-blend-oos	681814	2.25–0.92	0%	0%	0%	Home ✓
dc-xg	642116	2.03–0.89	2-0 11%	56%	51%	Home ✓
dc-xg-oos	642116	2.03–0.89	2-0 11%	56%	51%	Home ✓

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers to win	63.7%	58.0%	45.9%	1.27×	1.72
Draw	20.7%	24.5%	23.4%	1.04×	4.08
St Mirren to win	15.6%	19.4%	30.9%	0.63×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers & not both score	35.6%	33.2%	27.4%	1.21×	3.02
Rangers & both teams score	28.1%	25.2%	18.7%	1.35×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	15.2%	17.9%	17.8%	1.00×	5.58
St Mirren & both teams score	7.9%	8.4%	16.4%	0.51×	11.93
St Mirren & not both score	7.7%	8.4%	14.7%	0.57×	11.93
Draw & not both score	5.5%	8.4%	5.8%	1.44×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers & over 1.5	52.8%	48.6%	36.7%	1.32×	2.06
Rangers & over 2.5	41.7%	40.3%	28.2%	1.43×	2.48
Rangers & under 3.5	39.4%	34.9%	30.1%	1.16×	2.87
Rangers & over 3.5	24.3%	21.6%	16.0%	1.35×	4.63
Rangers & under 2.5	22.0%	21.6%	17.8%	1.21×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	15.2%	18.0%	17.8%	1.01×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	15.3%	18.0%	14.9%	1.20×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	15.3%	18.0%	14.9%	1.20×	5.56
St Mirren & under 3.5	11.9%	12.9%	22.4%	0.58×	7.76
Rangers & under 1.5	10.9%	12.9%	9.3%	1.38×	7.76
St Mirren & over 1.5	10.9%	12.9%	24.5%	0.53×	7.76
St Mirren & over 2.5	8.7%	7.9%	20.5%	0.38×	12.65
St Mirren & under 2.5	6.9%	7.9%	10.6%	0.75×	12.65
Draw & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	5.8%	1.36×	12.65
Draw & over 2.5	5.4%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.65
St Mirren & under 1.5	4.8%	4.8%	6.6%	0.72×	20.85
St Mirren & over 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	8.7%	0.55×	20.86

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (1UP)	75.1%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
St Mirren (1UP)	33.0%	32.8%	—	—	3.05

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (2UP)	63.7%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
St Mirren (2UP)	15.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers to win 2nd half	51.1%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
2nd half drawn	31.8%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
St Mirren to win 2nd half	17.1%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 2nd half	89.9%	86.8%	—	—	1.15
St Mirren under 0.5 in 2nd half	58.6%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
St Mirren over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.4%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
St Mirren over 1.5 in 2nd half	10.1%	13.2%	—	—	7.59

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers over 0.5 in 2nd half	68.5%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Rangers under 1.5 in 2nd half	67.9%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Rangers over 1.5 in 2nd half	32.1%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Rangers under 0.5 in 2nd half	31.5%	28.8%	—	—	3.47

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (+0.5)	84.4%	82.5%	69.1%	1.19×	1.21
St Mirren (+2.5)	80.1%	82.4%	87.8%	0.94×	1.21
Rangers (-0.5)	63.7%	62.9%	45.9%	1.37×	1.59
St Mirren (+1.5)	60.6%	62.9%	73.4%	0.86×	1.59
Rangers (-1.5)	39.4%	37.1%	26.6%	1.40×	2.70
St Mirren (+0.5)	36.3%	37.1%	54.1%	0.68×	2.70
Rangers (-2.5)	19.9%	17.6%	12.2%	1.43×	5.70
St Mirren (-0.5)	15.6%	17.5%	30.9%	0.57×	5.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede	86.8%	86.3%	79.7%	1.08×	1.16
St Mirren clean sheet	13.2%	13.7%	20.3%	0.68×	7.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede in 1st half	58.2%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
St Mirren clean sheet in 1st half	41.8%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to concede in 2nd half	68.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
St Mirren clean sheet in 2nd half	31.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.00

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 6.5 corners	86.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
St Mirren under 5.5 corners	76.7%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
St Mirren over 2.5 corners	72.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
St Mirren under 4.5 corners	63.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
St Mirren over 3.5 corners	54.1%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
St Mirren under 3.5 corners	45.9%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
St Mirren over 4.5 corners	37.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
St Mirren under 2.5 corners	27.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
St Mirren over 5.5 corners	23.3%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
St Mirren over 6.5 corners	13.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 3.5 goals	98.7%	97.5%	96.3%	1.01×	1.03
St Mirren under 2.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	85.5%	1.08×	1.08
St Mirren under 1.5 goals	77.6%	76.2%	63.1%	1.21×	1.31
St Mirren over 0.5 goals	59.0%	59.4%	67.0%	0.89×	1.68
St Mirren under 0.5 goals	41.0%	40.6%	33.0%	1.23×	2.47
St Mirren over 1.5 goals	22.4%	23.8%	36.9%	0.64×	4.21
St Mirren over 2.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	14.5%	0.53×	13.02
St Mirren over 3.5 goals	1.3%	2.5%	3.7%	0.67×	40.11

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren under 1.5 in 1st half	95.0%	94.3%	—	—	1.06
St Mirren under 0.5 in 1st half	70.0%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
St Mirren over 0.5 in 1st half	30.0%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
St Mirren over 1.5 in 1st half	5.0%	5.7%	—	—	17.46

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren scores equally in both	49.2%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
St Mirren scores more in 2nd half	31.6%	34.1%	—	—	2.93
St Mirren scores more in 1st half	19.2%	18.0%	—	—	5.54

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (away no bet)	75.5%	73.5%	66.2%	1.11×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	24.5%	26.5%	33.8%	0.78×	3.77

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren even goals	58.4%	56.9%	57.7%	0.99×	1.76
St Mirren odd goals	41.6%	43.1%	42.3%	1.02×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.5%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.5%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	67.6%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	32.4%	31.5%	—	—	3.18

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	62.3%	59.9%	—	—	1.67
Rangers to score 2+ in a row	53.0%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
Either team to score 3+ in a row	27.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Rangers to score 3+ in a row	24.9%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
St Mirren to score 2+ in a row	14.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.19
St Mirren to score 3+ in a row	2.8%	2.6%	—	—	38.88

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers corners (+3.5)	96.0%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Rangers corners (+2.5)	93.2%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Rangers corners (+1.5)	88.9%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Rangers corners (-1.5)	66.4%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Rangers corners (-2.5)	56.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
St Mirren corners (+3.5)	53.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Rangers corners (-3.5)	46.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
St Mirren corners (+2.5)	43.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
St Mirren corners (+1.5)	33.6%	34.2%	—	—	2.93
St Mirren corners (-1.5)	11.1%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
St Mirren corners (-2.5)	6.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
St Mirren corners (-3.5)	4.0%	4.2%	—	—	23.65

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	44.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	29.3%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
0-8 corners	25.9%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	82.4%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Over 8.5 corners	74.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 9.5 corners	64.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 12.5 corners	64.4%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	55.2%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 10.5 corners	54.6%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 10.5 corners	45.4%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	44.8%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Under 9.5 corners	35.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 12.5 corners	35.6%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	25.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.64
Under 7.5 corners	17.6%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	10.9%	11.4%	9.3%	1.23×	8.74
2-0	11.1%	11.4%	8.7%	1.31×	8.74
1-1	9.8%	7.4%	9.3%	0.79×	13.50
2-1	9.9%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.50
3-0	7.5%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.50
3-1	6.7%	7.4%	5.6%	1.32×	13.50
0-0	5.5%	7.4%	5.8%	1.28×	13.50
Any other score	5.7%	7.4%	4.1%	1.79×	13.50
0-1	4.8%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
0-2	2.1%	1.7%	4.1%	0.41×	58.31
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	3.3%	0.52×	58.32
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.13×	58.32
1-2	4.3%	1.7%	8.9%	0.19×	58.29
1-3	1.3%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
2-2	4.4%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.29
2-3	1.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.30
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.4%	4.13×	58.32
4-0	3.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.30
4-1	3.4%	1.7%	1.5%	1.18×	58.30
4-2	1.5%	1.7%	0.6%	2.76×	58.31
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.07×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.27×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (2nd half DNB)	75.0%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
St Mirren (2nd half DNB)	25.0%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers leading at HT (DNB)	76.2%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
St Mirren leading at HT (DNB)	23.8%	22.5%	—	—	4.44

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers or draw (1X)	84.4%	80.6%	69.1%	1.17×	1.24
Rangers or St Mirren (12)	79.3%	75.5%	76.6%	0.99×	1.32
St Mirren or draw (X2)	36.3%	42.0%	54.1%	0.78×	2.38

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers or draw at HT	85.5%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Rangers or St Mirren at HT	60.9%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
St Mirren or draw at HT	53.6%	47.7%	—	—	2.10

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers or draw (1UP)	84.4%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
St Mirren or draw (1UP)	36.3%	42.2%	—	—	2.37

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers or draw in 2nd half	82.9%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
Rangers or St Mirren in 2nd half	68.2%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
St Mirren or draw in 2nd half	48.9%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.4%	58.0%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	41.6%	42.0%	—	—	2.38

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (DNB)	80.3%	80.4%	59.7%	1.35×	1.24
St Mirren (DNB)	19.7%	19.6%	40.3%	0.49×	5.09

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers to score first	65.7%	69.1%	—	—	1.45
St Mirren to score first	28.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
No goal scored	5.5%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	51.3%	51.3%	52.5%	0.98×	1.95
Not both teams to score	48.7%	48.7%	47.5%	1.02×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.4%	41.6%	43.4%	0.96×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	34.4%	34.4%	33.8%	1.02×	2.91
Not both score & over 2.5	14.4%	12.3%	13.9%	0.89×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	9.8%	8.3%	9.3%	0.89×	11.98

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.5%	85.6%	83.8%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.5%	14.4%	16.2%	0.89×	6.93

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.6%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	59.1%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.4%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	12.5%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	4.9%	5.1%	—	—	19.72

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.6%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.4%	17.6%	—	—	5.70

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	57.7%	57.3%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	42.3%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.4%	47.3%	45.9%	1.03×	2.12
4-6 goals	30.5%	30.7%	31.3%	0.98×	3.26
0-1 goals	21.1%	22.8%	21.4%	1.07×	4.38
7+ goals	2.9%	1.8%	1.9%	0.98×	54.59

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren to score exactly 0	41.0%	37.1%	33.0%	1.12×	2.70
St Mirren to score exactly 1	36.6%	36.0%	30.3%	1.19×	2.78
St Mirren to score exactly 2	16.3%	19.6%	22.6%	0.87×	5.10
St Mirren to score 3+	6.1%	8.5%	14.5%	0.59×	11.73

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers to score 3+	33.0%	32.6%	23.9%	1.37×	3.07
Rangers to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	25.1%	1.06×	3.77
Rangers to score exactly 1	26.7%	26.5%	31.1%	0.85×	3.77
Rangers to score exactly 0	13.2%	14.4%	20.3%	0.71×	6.94

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers leading at HT	46.4%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Draw at HT	39.1%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
St Mirren leading at HT	14.5%	12.1%	—	—	8.30

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers -1: 1	39.4%	37.4%	—	—	2.67
Rangers -1: 2	36.3%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Rangers -1: X	24.3%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (0:1)	39.4%	37.4%	26.6%	1.41×	2.67
St Mirren (0:1)	36.3%	37.3%	54.1%	0.69×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	24.3%	24.3%	19.5%	1.24×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:2)	60.6%	67.2%	73.4%	0.91×	1.49
Rangers (0:2)	19.9%	15.3%	12.2%	1.25×	6.55
Draw (0:2)	19.5%	15.3%	14.5%	1.05×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:3)	80.1%	85.1%	87.8%	0.97×	1.17
Draw (0:3)	11.6%	10.0%	6.8%	1.46×	10.03
Rangers (0:3)	8.4%	5.8%	5.6%	1.03×	17.26

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren (0:4)	91.6%	94.7%	94.4%	1.00×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	5.4%	4.6%	4.8%	0.96×	21.79
Rangers (0:4)	3.0%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.40

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (1:0)	84.4%	81.4%	69.1%	1.18×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	10.6%	12.8%	17.6%	0.72×	7.84
St Mirren (1:0)	5.0%	3.3%	13.5%	0.24×	30.65

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers (2:0)	95.0%	96.8%	86.5%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	3.8%	2.3%	7.7%	0.30×	43.61
St Mirren (2:0)	1.2%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	43.77

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
1st half highest scoring	27.8%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	24.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers to concede	59.0%	60.9%	67.0%	0.91×	1.64
Rangers clean sheet	41.0%	39.1%	33.0%	1.18×	2.56

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers clean sheet in 1st half	70.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Rangers to concede in 1st half	30.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers clean sheet in 2nd half	58.6%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Rangers to concede in 2nd half	41.4%	44.4%	—	—	2.25

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers over 2.5 corners	94.7%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Rangers over 3.5 corners	88.2%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Rangers over 4.5 corners	78.9%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Rangers over 5.5 corners	67.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Rangers over 6.5 corners	55.3%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Rangers under 6.5 corners	44.7%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Rangers under 5.5 corners	32.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Rangers under 4.5 corners	21.1%	23.4%	—	—	4.27
Rangers under 3.5 corners	11.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.30
Rangers under 2.5 corners	5.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.33

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers over 0.5 goals	86.8%	87.2%	79.7%	1.09×	1.15
Rangers under 3.5 goals	85.2%	87.2%	92.1%	0.95×	1.15
Rangers under 2.5 goals	67.0%	67.9%	76.1%	0.89×	1.47
Rangers over 1.5 goals	60.1%	63.5%	48.8%	1.30×	1.58
Rangers under 1.5 goals	39.9%	36.5%	51.2%	0.71×	2.74
Rangers over 2.5 goals	33.0%	32.1%	23.9%	1.35×	3.11
Rangers over 3.5 goals	14.8%	12.8%	7.9%	1.62×	7.81
Rangers under 0.5 goals	13.2%	12.8%	20.3%	0.63×	7.82

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers under 1.5 in 1st half	78.3%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Rangers over 0.5 in 1st half	58.2%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Rangers under 0.5 in 1st half	41.8%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Rangers over 1.5 in 1st half	21.7%	22.8%	—	—	4.40

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers scores more in 2nd half	42.3%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Rangers scores equally in both	30.2%	32.7%	—	—	3.05
Rangers scores more in 1st half	27.6%	28.0%	—	—	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	56.9%	56.6%	43.1%	1.31×	1.77
St Mirren (home no bet)	43.1%	43.4%	56.9%	0.76×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers even goals	50.9%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
Rangers odd goals	49.1%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	29.3%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 1-0	25.5%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 2-0	11.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-1	10.4%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 1-1	9.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
Any other HT score	6.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 2-1	4.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.41
HT 0-2	1.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.57
HT 1-2	1.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.59
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.65

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers at HT / Rangers at FT	40.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Draw at HT / Rangers at FT	20.0%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
St Mirren at HT / St Mirren at FT	7.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.65
Draw at HT / St Mirren at FT	6.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.69
Rangers at HT / Draw at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.75
St Mirren at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.77
St Mirren at HT / Rangers at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Rangers at HT / St Mirren at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.87

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers to score last	65.7%	70.0%	—	—	1.43
St Mirren to score last	28.9%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	5.5%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.5%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
Rangers to lead by 1 at any time	75.1%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.4%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Rangers to lead by 2 at any time	45.8%	43.9%	—	—	2.28
St Mirren to lead by 1 at any time	33.0%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	24.7%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Rangers to lead by 3 at any time	22.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
St Mirren to lead by 2 at any time	8.8%	6.7%	—	—	15.03
St Mirren to lead by 3 at any time	1.9%	1.6%	—	—	62.47

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers most corners	75.4%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
St Mirren most corners	17.0%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Corners level	7.6%	8.4%	—	—	11.89

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.0%	87.4%	86.9%	1.01×	1.15
1-4 goals	77.4%	78.6%	79.7%	0.99×	1.27
2-6 goals	75.9%	78.6%	77.0%	1.02×	1.27
2-5 goals	71.3%	72.4%	71.4%	1.01×	1.38
2-4 goals	61.8%	63.4%	64.1%	0.99×	1.58
1-3 goals	61.1%	63.4%	61.4%	1.03×	1.58
3-6 goals	52.9%	53.1%	55.4%	0.96×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.2%	48.6%	49.8%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.4%	48.6%	45.9%	1.06×	2.06
1-2 goals	38.7%	39.2%	37.3%	1.05×	2.55
3-4 goals	38.7%	39.2%	42.5%	0.92×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.5%	35.3%	31.3%	1.13×	2.83
4-5 goals	25.9%	30.3%	25.7%	1.18×	3.30
5-6 goals	14.2%	14.9%	13.1%	1.14×	6.73
7+ goals	2.9%	2.6%	1.9%	1.37×	39.11

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers never behind	61.5%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
St Mirren never behind	19.5%	18.9%	—	—	5.29

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.1%	51.5%	0.96×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.3%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.7%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.7%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.3%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.5%	92.2%	94.2%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.4%	92.2%	92.5%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.9%	82.3%	85.3%	0.97×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	78.9%	77.4%	78.6%	0.98×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	66.6%	66.2%	67.0%	0.99×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	55.8%	58.7%	57.1%	1.03×	1.71
Under 2.5 goals	44.2%	41.3%	42.9%	0.96×	2.42
Over 3.5 goals	33.4%	33.8%	33.0%	1.02×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	21.1%	22.6%	21.4%	1.06×	4.42
Over 4.5 goals	17.1%	17.7%	14.7%	1.20×	5.65
Over 5.5 goals	7.6%	7.8%	7.5%	1.04×	12.87
Under 0.5 goals	5.5%	7.8%	5.8%	1.34×	12.88

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.9%	97.2%	98.0%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.6%	92.4%	91.9%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.6%	75.9%	82.0%	0.93×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	72.5%	72.5%	72.8%	1.00×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.9%	55.6%	56.6%	0.98×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.1%	44.4%	43.4%	1.02×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	27.5%	27.5%	27.2%	1.01×	3.64
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.4%	24.1%	18.0%	1.34×	4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.4%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.1%	2.8%	2.0%	1.41×	35.83

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.3%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.7%	71.2%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.2%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.8%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	29.3%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.7%	11.0%	—	—	9.09

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.5%	82.7%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	76.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	50.4%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	49.6%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	24.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.5%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to score in both halves	87.6%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Rangers not to score in both halves	60.2%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Rangers to score in both halves	39.8%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
St Mirren to score in both halves	12.4%	14.2%	—	—	7.06

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	51.3%	53.9%	52.5%	1.03×	1.86
Only Rangers scores	35.6%	39.8%	27.4%	1.45×	2.51
Only St Mirren scores	7.7%	7.2%	14.7%	0.49×	13.91
Neither team scores	5.5%	7.2%	5.8%	1.24×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.1%	22.6%	21.8%	1.04×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.3%	0.93×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	16.3%	17.4%	18.5%	0.94×	5.73
Exactly 1 goals	15.7%	17.4%	15.8%	1.11×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	9.5%	7.6%	7.5%	1.02×	13.07
6 or more goals	7.6%	7.6%	7.5%	1.02×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	5.5%	7.6%	5.8%	1.32×	13.09

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	35.9%	37.1%	—	—	2.70
No goals in 1st half	29.3%	28.6%	—	—	3.50
2 goals in 1st half	22.1%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	12.7%	10.9%	—	—	9.17

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	50.4%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	31.2%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
No goals in 2nd half	18.5%	17.3%	—	—	5.79

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to win both halves	97.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Rangers not to win both halves	76.3%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Rangers to win both halves	23.7%	24.9%	—	—	4.02
St Mirren to win both halves	2.5%	2.8%	—	—	36.22

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers to win either half	73.8%	73.0%	—	—	1.37
St Mirren to win neither half	70.9%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
St Mirren to win either half	29.1%	27.2%	—	—	3.67
Rangers to win neither half	26.2%	27.0%	—	—	3.70

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
St Mirren not to win to nil	92.3%	92.0%	85.3%	1.08×	1.09
Rangers not to win to nil	64.4%	66.8%	72.6%	0.92×	1.50
Rangers to win to nil	35.6%	33.2%	27.4%	1.21×	3.01
St Mirren to win to nil	7.7%	8.0%	14.7%	0.54×	12.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rangers by 1	24.3%	24.2%	19.5%	1.24×	4.14
Draw	20.7%	24.2%	23.4%	1.03×	4.14
Rangers by 3+	19.9%	16.9%	12.2%	1.38×	5.90
Rangers by 2	19.5%	16.9%	14.5%	1.17×	5.90
St Mirren by 1	10.6%	11.8%	17.6%	0.67×	8.50
St Mirren by 2	3.8%	2.7%	7.7%	0.36×	36.64
St Mirren by 3+	1.2%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.72

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.