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Rapid Vienna v LASK Linz — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 December 2026 · AUT-Bundesliga · 2627

AUT-Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Rapid Vienna win
27.8%
model 28.4%
Draw
23.1%
model 25.0%
LASK Linz win
49.2%
model 46.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.3%
  2. 1-2 9.3%
  3. 2-1 7.1%
  4. 0-2 6.6%
  5. 2-2 6.5%

Goals

Over 2.562.6% Under 2.537.4%
BTTS yes64.3% BTTS no35.7%
Rapid Vienna 1+75.3% Rapid Vienna 2+40.8%
LASK Linz 1+83.9% LASK Linz 2+54.5%

Expected goals 1.40 – 1.83. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
22/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
99%
★ Best pick
LASK Linz or draw (X2)
Double chance · usually 57%
72.6% fair odds 1.38
strong signal · 1941 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 2.5 in 1st half
Over/Under 1HT
84.1% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • LASK Linz carry the stronger rating, 1703 Elo against 1542.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0103 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

LASK Linz have an estimated 49.2% win probability, against 27.8% for Rapid Vienna and 23.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.40 for Rapid Vienna and 1.83 for LASK Linz.

Why Rapid Vienna

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.1%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why LASK Linz can win

LASK Linz carry the stronger rating, 1703 Elo against 1542. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Rapid Vienna, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for LASK Linz, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Rapid Vienna: 58% possession, 18.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. LASK Linz: 58% possession, 19.0 shots a match, 8.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

LASK Linz are the model's most likely outcome at 49.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.3%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.40–1.83 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.37–1.83 1-1 11% 62% 64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to win 47.3% 47.4% 31.4% 1.51× 2.11
Rapid Vienna to win 27.7% 27.9% 43.5% 0.64× 3.58
Draw 25.0% 27.9% 25.4% 1.10× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz & both teams score 27.0% 25.2% 16.9% 1.49× 3.97
LASK Linz & not both score 20.3% 21.8% 14.7% 1.48× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 19.8% 18.0% 18.3% 0.98× 5.56
Rapid Vienna & both teams score 16.8% 18.0% 21.1% 0.85× 5.57
Rapid Vienna & not both score 10.8% 13.3% 22.6% 0.59× 7.54
Draw & not both score 5.2% 8.3% 7.4% 1.13× 12.02
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz & over 1.5 40.9% 40.2% 25.4% 1.58× 2.49
LASK Linz & over 2.5 34.1% 30.8% 20.0% 1.54× 3.25
LASK Linz & under 3.5 26.8% 26.1% 22.1% 1.18× 3.84
Rapid Vienna & over 1.5 23.2% 21.6% 34.7% 0.62× 4.63
LASK Linz & over 3.5 20.5% 21.6% 9.5% 2.27× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 19.8% 18.0% 18.3% 0.98× 5.56
Rapid Vienna & over 2.5 19.4% 18.0% 27.6% 0.65× 5.56
Rapid Vienna & under 3.5 17.0% 18.0% 30.4% 0.59× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 16.6% 18.0% 19.7% 0.91× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 16.6% 18.0% 19.7% 0.91× 5.56
LASK Linz & under 2.5 13.2% 12.8% 11.6% 1.10× 7.79
Rapid Vienna & over 3.5 10.6% 12.8% 13.3% 0.96× 7.79
Rapid Vienna & under 2.5 8.3% 7.9% 16.2% 0.49× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 8.5% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 8.5% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
LASK Linz & under 1.5 6.4% 7.9% 6.2% 1.28× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 5.2% 7.9% 7.4% 1.08× 12.63
Rapid Vienna & under 1.5 4.5% 4.8% 9.0% 0.53× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (1UP) 64.7% 63.0% — — 1.59
Rapid Vienna (1UP) 48.2% 43.9% — — 2.28
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (2UP) 47.3% 50.1% — — 2.00
Rapid Vienna (2UP) 27.7% 25.2% — — 3.97
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to win 2nd half 42.4% 42.0% — — 2.38
2nd half drawn 32.3% 34.3% — — 2.91
Rapid Vienna to win 2nd half 25.4% 25.8% — — 3.88
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz under 1.5 in 2nd half 70.0% 75.1% — — 1.33
LASK Linz over 0.5 in 2nd half 66.6% 70.0% — — 1.43
LASK Linz under 0.5 in 2nd half 33.4% 30.0% — — 3.33
LASK Linz over 1.5 in 2nd half 30.0% 24.9% — — 4.02
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna under 1.5 in 2nd half 81.6% 82.4% — — 1.21
Rapid Vienna over 0.5 in 2nd half 54.1% 55.2% — — 1.81
Rapid Vienna under 0.5 in 2nd half 45.9% 44.8% — — 2.23
Rapid Vienna over 1.5 in 2nd half 18.4% 17.6% — — 5.69
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (+2.5) 95.6% 96.3% 90.7% 1.06× 1.04
LASK Linz (+1.5) 87.4% 88.5% 77.0% 1.15× 1.13
LASK Linz (+0.5) 72.3% 73.7% 56.5% 1.30× 1.36
Rapid Vienna (+0.5) 52.7% 52.4% 68.6% 0.76× 1.91
LASK Linz (-0.5) 47.3% 47.6% 31.4% 1.52× 2.10
Rapid Vienna (-0.5) 27.7% 26.3% 43.5% 0.61× 3.80
Rapid Vienna (-1.5) 12.6% 11.5% 23.0% 0.50× 8.67
Rapid Vienna (-2.5) 4.4% 3.7% 9.3% 0.40× 27.03
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to concede 74.5% 76.8% 78.1% 0.98× 1.30
LASK Linz clean sheet 25.5% 23.2% 21.9% 1.06× 4.30
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz clean sheet in 1st half 55.6% 56.9% — — 1.76
LASK Linz to concede in 1st half 44.4% 43.1% — — 2.32
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to concede in 2nd half 54.1% 55.0% — — 1.82
LASK Linz clean sheet in 2nd half 45.9% 45.0% — — 2.22
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz under 6.5 corners 80.4% 81.4% — — 1.23
LASK Linz over 2.5 corners 76.1% 76.0% — — 1.32
LASK Linz under 5.5 corners 69.8% 67.6% — — 1.48
LASK Linz over 3.5 corners 60.0% 61.8% — — 1.62
LASK Linz under 4.5 corners 56.0% 57.2% — — 1.75
LASK Linz over 4.5 corners 44.0% 42.8% — — 2.33
LASK Linz under 3.5 corners 40.0% 38.2% — — 2.62
LASK Linz over 5.5 corners 30.2% 32.4% — — 3.09
LASK Linz under 2.5 corners 23.9% 24.0% — — 4.17
LASK Linz over 6.5 corners 19.6% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz under 3.5 goals 88.7% 87.8% 96.9% 0.91× 1.14
LASK Linz over 0.5 goals 83.9% 81.5% 70.3% 1.16× 1.23
LASK Linz under 2.5 goals 72.3% 71.9% 86.9% 0.83× 1.39
LASK Linz over 1.5 goals 54.6% 53.5% 35.2% 1.52× 1.87
LASK Linz under 1.5 goals 45.4% 46.5% 64.8% 0.72× 2.15
LASK Linz over 2.5 goals 27.7% 28.1% 13.1% 2.15× 3.56
LASK Linz under 0.5 goals 16.1% 18.5% 29.7% 0.62× 5.40
LASK Linz over 3.5 goals 11.3% 12.2% 3.1% 3.95× 8.21
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz under 1.5 in 1st half 83.3% 83.2% — — 1.20
LASK Linz over 0.5 in 1st half 51.9% 55.6% — — 1.80
LASK Linz under 0.5 in 1st half 48.1% 44.4% — — 2.25
LASK Linz over 1.5 in 1st half 16.7% 16.8% — — 5.97
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz scores more in 2nd half 44.0% 43.8% — — 2.29
LASK Linz scores equally in both 31.8% 33.4% — — 3.00
LASK Linz scores more in 1st half 24.2% 22.1% — — 4.52
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (away no bet) 52.5% 51.7% 63.1% 0.82× 1.94
Draw (away no bet) 47.5% 48.3% 36.9% 1.31× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz even goals 51.3% 52.6% 53.4% 0.98× 1.90
LASK Linz odd goals 48.7% 47.4% 46.6% 1.02× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 78.8% 81.3% — — 1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals 21.2% 18.8% — — 5.33
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 73.2% 67.5% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 26.8% 32.5% — — 3.07
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 64.1% 60.1% — — 1.66
LASK Linz to score 2+ in a row 44.5% 38.8% — — 2.58
Rapid Vienna to score 2+ in a row 28.8% 25.2% — — 3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row 25.6% 25.1% — — 3.98
LASK Linz to score 3+ in a row 17.8% 16.3% — — 6.15
Rapid Vienna to score 3+ in a row 8.3% 5.6% — — 17.89
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna corners (+3.5) 88.9% 84.5% — — 1.18
Rapid Vienna corners (+2.5) 83.2% 79.8% — — 1.25
Rapid Vienna corners (+1.5) 75.6% 74.8% — — 1.34
LASK Linz corners (+3.5) 73.6% 70.7% — — 1.41
LASK Linz corners (+2.5) 64.6% 61.8% — — 1.62
LASK Linz corners (+1.5) 54.4% 52.4% — — 1.91
Rapid Vienna corners (-1.5) 45.6% 47.6% — — 2.10
Rapid Vienna corners (-2.5) 35.4% 38.2% — — 2.62
Rapid Vienna corners (-3.5) 26.4% 29.3% — — 3.42
LASK Linz corners (-1.5) 24.4% 25.2% — — 3.97
LASK Linz corners (-2.5) 16.8% 20.2% — — 4.94
LASK Linz corners (-3.5) 11.1% 15.5% — — 6.45
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 37.6% 34.0% — — 2.94
12+ corners 32.9% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 29.5% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 75.0% 76.6% — — 1.31
Over 7.5 corners 72.4% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 67.1% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 62.4% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 10.5 corners 57.9% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 52.1% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 9.5 corners 47.9% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 10.5 corners 42.1% 42.1% — — 2.38
Under 8.5 corners 37.6% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 11.5 corners 32.9% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 27.6% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 25.0% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 11.4% 11.5% 12.6% 0.91× 8.72
1-2 9.4% 7.4% 7.8% 0.94× 13.50
0-2 6.9% 7.4% 5.7% 1.30× 13.51
2-1 7.0% 7.4% 10.5% 0.71× 13.51
0-0 5.2% 7.4% 7.4% 1.01× 13.51
0-1 6.4% 7.4% 6.2% 1.20× 13.51
1-3 5.7% 7.4% 4.5% 1.64× 13.51
2-2 6.4% 7.4% 5.5% 1.36× 13.51
Any other score 5.1% 7.4% 4.3% 1.73× 13.51
0-3 4.2% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.30
0-4 1.9% 1.7% 0.5% 3.61× 58.31
1-0 4.5% 1.7% 9.0% 0.19× 58.29
1-4 2.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.81× 58.30
2-0 3.8% 1.7% 7.4% 0.23× 58.30
2-3 3.9% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.30
2-4 1.8% 1.7% 0.5% 3.61× 58.31
3-0 1.7% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.31
3-1 3.2% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.30
3-2 2.9% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.30
3-3 1.8% 1.7% 0.7% 2.41× 58.31
3-4 0.8% 1.7% 0.7% 2.41× 58.31
4-0 0.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.80× 58.32
4-1 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 0.90× 58.31
4-2 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.31
4-3 0.6% 1.7% 0.2% 7.22× 58.32
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.2% 7.22× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (2nd half DNB) 62.6% 62.9% — — 1.59
Rapid Vienna (2nd half DNB) 37.4% 37.1% — — 2.69
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz leading at HT (DNB) 57.4% 57.2% — — 1.75
Rapid Vienna leading at HT (DNB) 42.6% 42.8% — — 2.34
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna or LASK Linz (12) 75.0% 72.1% 74.6% 0.97× 1.39
LASK Linz or draw (X2) 72.3% 72.1% 56.5% 1.28× 1.39
Rapid Vienna or draw (1X) 52.7% 52.6% 68.6% 0.77× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz or draw at HT 74.4% 75.0% — — 1.33
Rapid Vienna or draw at HT 65.5% 67.1% — — 1.49
Rapid Vienna or LASK Linz at HT 60.1% 61.3% — — 1.63
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz or draw (1UP) 72.3% 79.7% — — 1.26
Rapid Vienna or draw (1UP) 52.7% 58.7% — — 1.70
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz or draw in 2nd half 74.6% 74.2% — — 1.35
Rapid Vienna or LASK Linz in 2nd half 67.7% 65.7% — — 1.52
Rapid Vienna or draw in 2nd half 57.6% 58.0% — — 1.73
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 58.0% 58.4% — — 1.71
Neither half drawn 42.0% 41.6% — — 2.41
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (DNB) 63.1% 62.7% 41.9% 1.50× 1.59
Rapid Vienna (DNB) 36.9% 37.3% 58.1% 0.64× 2.68
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to score first 54.3% 53.4% — — 1.87
Rapid Vienna to score first 40.5% 41.6% — — 2.41
No goal scored 5.2% 7.4% — — 13.54
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 63.6% 56.7% 55.8% 1.02× 1.77
Not both teams to score 36.4% 43.3% 44.2% 0.98× 2.31
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 52.3% 47.3% 43.5% 1.09× 2.12
Not both score & under 2.5 26.7% 33.3% 34.7% 0.96× 3.00
Both score & under 2.5 11.4% 12.4% 12.6% 0.98× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 9.6% 8.3% 9.7% 0.85× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 78.4% 79.7% 86.9% 0.92× 1.26
Both teams to score 2+ 21.6% 20.3% 13.1% 1.56× 4.92
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 63.6% 65.6% — — 1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half 36.4% 34.4% — — 2.91
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 48.6% 53.0% — — 1.89
Both score 2nd half only 28.1% 27.2% — — 3.68
Both score 1st half only 14.9% 10.8% — — 9.27
Both score in both halves 8.3% 6.8% — — 14.65
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 76.8% 81.0% — — 1.24
Both teams to score by HT 23.2% 19.0% — — 5.26
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 62.6% 59.7% — — 1.68
A half without a goal 37.4% 40.3% — — 2.48
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.3% 42.1% 49.9% 0.84× 2.37
4-6 goals 35.2% 35.1% 26.6% 1.32× 2.85
0-1 goals 16.1% 20.2% 22.1% 0.92× 4.95
7+ goals 4.4% 1.9% 1.9% 0.97× 54.06
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to score exactly 1 29.4% 27.4% 35.4% 0.77× 3.65
LASK Linz to score 3+ 27.7% 27.4% 13.1% 2.10× 3.65
LASK Linz to score exactly 2 26.9% 27.4% 22.3% 1.23× 3.65
LASK Linz to score exactly 0 16.1% 19.6% 29.7% 0.66× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to score exactly 1 34.9% 32.6% 34.9% 0.93× 3.07
Rapid Vienna to score exactly 0 25.5% 26.5% 21.9% 1.21× 3.77
Rapid Vienna to score exactly 2 23.8% 23.3% 25.4% 0.92× 4.29
Rapid Vienna to score 3+ 15.8% 18.8% 18.3% 1.03× 5.33
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 39.9% 38.7% — — 2.59
LASK Linz leading at HT 34.5% 32.9% — — 3.04
Rapid Vienna leading at HT 25.6% 25.0% — — 4.00
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz -1: 1 52.7% 52.1% — — 1.92
LASK Linz -1: 2 26.7% 26.5% — — 3.77
LASK Linz -1: X 20.6% 23.5% — — 4.26
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (0:1) 72.3% 71.1% 56.5% 1.26× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 15.1% 17.8% 20.7% 0.86× 5.62
Rapid Vienna (0:1) 12.6% 13.7% 23.0% 0.60× 7.29
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (0:2) 87.4% 87.1% 77.0% 1.13× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 8.2% 7.7% 14.0% 0.55× 13.03
Rapid Vienna (0:2) 4.4% 3.8% 9.3% 0.41× 26.61
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (0:3) 95.6% 96.6% 90.7% 1.06× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 3.1% 2.4% 6.2% 0.38× 42.07
Rapid Vienna (0:3) 1.3% 2.4% 3.3% 0.71× 42.15
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (0:4) 98.7% 98.1% 96.7% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 0.73× 82.00
Rapid Vienna (0:4) 0.3% 1.2% 1.9% 0.64× 82.07
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (1:0) 52.7% 54.0% 68.6% 0.79× 1.85
LASK Linz (1:0) 26.7% 25.0% 15.2% 1.65× 4.00
Draw (1:0) 20.6% 21.7% 16.4% 1.32× 4.61
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (2:0) 73.3% 76.6% 84.8% 0.90× 1.31
Draw (2:0) 14.7% 10.3% 10.2% 1.01× 9.70
LASK Linz (2:0) 12.1% 10.3% 5.2% 1.97× 9.72
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.6% 48.8% — — 2.05
1st half highest scoring 26.2% 26.2% — — 3.82
Halves equal 24.2% 24.5% — — 4.08
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to concede 83.9% 80.9% 70.3% 1.15× 1.24
Rapid Vienna clean sheet 16.1% 19.1% 29.7% 0.64× 5.25
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to concede in 1st half 51.9% 55.6% — — 1.80
Rapid Vienna clean sheet in 1st half 48.1% 44.4% — — 2.25
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to concede in 2nd half 66.6% 66.9% — — 1.50
Rapid Vienna clean sheet in 2nd half 33.4% 33.1% — — 3.02
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna over 2.5 corners 85.9% 86.2% — — 1.16
Rapid Vienna over 3.5 corners 74.0% 71.9% — — 1.39
Rapid Vienna under 6.5 corners 65.9% 66.7% — — 1.50
Rapid Vienna over 4.5 corners 60.2% 62.2% — — 1.61
Rapid Vienna under 5.5 corners 53.5% 52.6% — — 1.90
Rapid Vienna over 5.5 corners 46.5% 47.4% — — 2.11
Rapid Vienna under 4.5 corners 39.8% 37.8% — — 2.65
Rapid Vienna over 6.5 corners 34.1% 33.3% — — 3.01
Rapid Vienna under 3.5 corners 26.0% 28.1% — — 3.55
Rapid Vienna under 2.5 corners 14.1% 13.8% — — 7.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna under 3.5 goals 95.0% 96.4% 92.4% 1.04× 1.04
Rapid Vienna under 2.5 goals 84.2% 82.2% 81.7% 1.01× 1.22
Rapid Vienna over 0.5 goals 74.5% 74.3% 78.1% 0.95× 1.35
Rapid Vienna under 1.5 goals 60.4% 63.6% 56.5% 1.12× 1.57
Rapid Vienna over 1.5 goals 39.6% 36.4% 43.5% 0.84× 2.75
Rapid Vienna under 0.5 goals 25.5% 25.7% 21.9% 1.18× 3.89
Rapid Vienna over 2.5 goals 15.8% 17.8% 18.3% 0.97× 5.62
Rapid Vienna over 3.5 goals 5.0% 3.6% 7.6% 0.48× 27.44
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna under 1.5 in 1st half 88.2% 90.3% — — 1.11
Rapid Vienna under 0.5 in 1st half 55.6% 56.7% — — 1.76
Rapid Vienna over 0.5 in 1st half 44.4% 43.3% — — 2.31
Rapid Vienna over 1.5 in 1st half 11.8% 9.7% — — 10.29
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna scores equally in both 38.6% 37.8% — — 2.65
Rapid Vienna scores more in 2nd half 36.5% 37.7% — — 2.65
Rapid Vienna scores more in 1st half 24.9% 21.3% — — 4.69
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz (home no bet) 65.4% 64.0% 55.2% 1.16× 1.56
Draw (home no bet) 34.6% 36.0% 44.8% 0.80× 2.78
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna even goals 53.3% 50.7% 52.0% 0.97× 1.97
Rapid Vienna odd goals 46.7% 49.3% 48.0% 1.03× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 26.9% 28.2% — — 3.54
HT 0-1 19.4% 18.7% — — 5.36
HT 1-0 15.5% 18.6% — — 5.38
HT 1-1 11.7% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 0-2 7.2% 6.9% — — 14.47
Any other HT score 5.9% 6.9% — — 14.49
HT 2-0 4.6% 2.4% — — 41.99
HT 1-2 4.2% 2.4% — — 42.02
HT 2-1 3.4% 2.4% — — 42.08
HT 2-2 1.2% 2.4% — — 42.22
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz at HT / LASK Linz at FT 27.3% 27.4% — — 3.65
Draw at HT / LASK Linz at FT 16.2% 16.7% — — 5.98
Rapid Vienna at HT / Rapid Vienna at FT 16.1% 16.7% — — 5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 14.1% 12.7% — — 7.89
Draw at HT / Rapid Vienna at FT 9.5% 6.0% — — 16.55
Rapid Vienna at HT / Draw at FT 5.8% 6.0% — — 16.66
LASK Linz at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.0% — — 16.68
Rapid Vienna at HT / LASK Linz at FT 3.7% 3.5% — — 28.65
LASK Linz at HT / Rapid Vienna at FT 2.1% 3.5% — — 28.71
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to score last 54.3% 52.2% — — 1.91
Rapid Vienna to score last 40.4% 39.9% — — 2.51
No goal scored 5.2% 7.4% — — 13.54
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.8% 92.7% — — 1.08
LASK Linz to lead by 1 at any time 64.7% 61.5% — — 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 53.6% 50.9% — — 1.97
Rapid Vienna to lead by 1 at any time 48.2% 44.5% — — 2.25
LASK Linz to lead by 2 at any time 34.6% 29.9% — — 3.34
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 21.4% 19.6% — — 5.10
Rapid Vienna to lead by 2 at any time 19.3% 15.0% — — 6.68
LASK Linz to lead by 3 at any time 15.1% 14.9% — — 6.72
Rapid Vienna to lead by 3 at any time 6.3% 6.7% — — 14.96
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna most corners 56.2% 55.7% — — 1.80
LASK Linz most corners 33.5% 34.3% — — 2.91
Corners level 10.3% 10.4% — — 9.59
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.3% 83.4% 86.2% 0.97× 1.20
2-6 goals 79.5% 78.7% 76.2% 1.03× 1.27
2-5 goals 73.5% 72.4% 71.5% 1.01× 1.38
1-4 goals 72.9% 72.4% 79.3% 0.91× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.1% 63.3% 64.6% 0.98× 1.58
3-6 goals 57.5% 59.1% 51.3% 1.15× 1.69
1-3 goals 55.2% 59.1% 64.6% 0.91× 1.69
3-5 goals 51.4% 53.2% 46.6% 1.14× 1.88
2-3 goals 44.3% 43.6% 49.9% 0.87× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.1% 43.6% 39.7% 1.10× 2.30
4-6 goals 35.2% 39.2% 26.6% 1.47× 2.55
1-2 goals 32.9% 35.2% 39.9% 0.88× 2.84
4-5 goals 29.2% 30.2% 21.9% 1.38× 3.31
5-6 goals 17.4% 18.8% 11.9% 1.59× 5.31
7+ goals 4.4% 2.6% 1.9% 1.35× 39.02
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz never behind 46.6% 56.6% — — 1.77
Rapid Vienna never behind 30.1% 36.1% — — 2.77
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.7% 50.9% 47.7% 1.07× 1.96
Even number of goals 52.3% 49.1% 52.3% 0.94× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.0% 51.6% — — 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 46.0% 48.4% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.9% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.1% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.8% 92.3% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 89.5% 87.6% 93.3% 0.94× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 83.9% 82.3% 77.9% 1.06× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 78.2% 77.3% 86.5% 0.89× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 61.9% 61.7% 53.0% 1.17× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 60.4% 61.7% 71.7% 0.86× 1.62
Over 3.5 goals 39.6% 38.3% 28.3% 1.35× 2.61
Under 2.5 goals 38.1% 38.3% 47.0% 0.81× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 21.8% 22.7% 13.5% 1.68× 4.41
Under 1.5 goals 16.1% 17.7% 22.1% 0.80× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 10.5% 12.4% 6.7% 1.86× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 5.2% 7.7% 7.4% 1.05× 12.95
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 95.3% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 88.2% 86.7% 92.9% 0.93× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 79.4% 75.9% 70.6% 1.08× 1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 73.4% 72.4% 84.1% 0.86× 1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 51.0% 51.9% 37.5% 1.38× 1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 49.0% 48.1% 62.5% 0.77× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 26.6% 27.6% 15.9% 1.74× 3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 20.6% 24.1% 29.4% 0.82× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 11.8% 13.3% 7.1% 1.86× 7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 4.7% 2.8% 2.0% 1.41× 35.52
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 85.3% 89.1% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 73.1% 71.6% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 61.8% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 38.2% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half 26.9% 28.4% — — 3.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half 14.7% 10.9% — — 9.17
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 84.3% 83.3% — — 1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 71.0% 77.5% — — 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 56.3% 54.8% — — 1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 43.7% 45.2% — — 2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 29.0% 22.5% — — 4.45
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 15.7% 16.7% — — 5.98
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna not to score in both halves 76.0% 78.4% — — 1.28
LASK Linz not to score in both halves 65.4% 69.8% — — 1.43
LASK Linz to score in both halves 34.6% 30.2% — — 3.31
Rapid Vienna to score in both halves 24.0% 21.6% — — 4.64
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 63.6% 60.4% 55.8% 1.08× 1.66
Only LASK Linz scores 20.3% 22.2% 14.7% 1.51× 4.50
Only Rapid Vienna scores 10.8% 11.0% 22.6% 0.49× 9.07
Neither team scores 5.2% 7.1% 7.4% 0.97× 14.06
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 22.0% 22.6% 25.2% 0.90× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 24.9% 0.91× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 17.8% 17.5% 15.0% 1.17× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 11.4% 12.1% 7.1% 1.70× 8.25
Exactly 1 goals 10.9% 12.1% 15.0% 0.81× 8.25
6 or more goals 10.5% 12.1% 6.7% 1.82× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 5.2% 7.6% 7.4% 1.03× 13.14
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 34.9% 35.9% — — 2.79
No goals in 1st half 26.9% 28.4% — — 3.52
2 goals in 1st half 23.5% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 14.7% 10.8% — — 9.25
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 56.3% 54.1% — — 1.85
1 goal in 2nd half 28.0% 29.2% — — 3.42
No goals in 2nd half 15.7% 16.4% — — 6.11
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna not to win both halves 93.4% 94.1% — — 1.06
LASK Linz not to win both halves 85.2% 87.9% — — 1.14
LASK Linz to win both halves 14.8% 12.1% — — 8.25
Rapid Vienna to win both halves 6.6% 5.9% — — 17.04
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
LASK Linz to win either half 62.0% 65.1% — — 1.54
Rapid Vienna to win neither half 55.7% 59.1% — — 1.69
Rapid Vienna to win either half 44.3% 40.9% — — 2.44
LASK Linz to win neither half 38.0% 34.9% — — 2.86
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna not to win to nil 89.2% 88.1% 77.4% 1.14× 1.14
LASK Linz not to win to nil 79.7% 78.2% 85.3% 0.92× 1.28
LASK Linz to win to nil 20.3% 21.8% 14.7% 1.48× 4.58
Rapid Vienna to win to nil 10.8% 11.9% 22.6% 0.53× 8.42
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 25.0% 27.9% 25.4% 1.10× 3.59
LASK Linz by 1 20.6% 24.1% 16.4% 1.47× 4.15
Rapid Vienna by 1 15.1% 17.0% 20.7% 0.82× 5.87
LASK Linz by 2 14.7% 11.8% 10.2% 1.15× 8.50
LASK Linz by 3+ 12.1% 11.8% 5.2% 2.25× 8.51
Rapid Vienna by 2 8.2% 7.2% 14.0% 0.51× 13.90
Rapid Vienna by 3+ 4.4% 2.7% 9.3% 0.29× 36.77
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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