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Rapid Vienna v SV Josko Ried — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 December 2026 · AUT-Bundesliga · 2627

AUT-Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Rapid Vienna win
57.9%
model 58.7%
Draw
23.0%
model 23.6%
SV Josko Ried win
19.1%
model 17.8%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (346 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.1%
  2. 2-1 10.0%
  3. 2-0 9.8%
  4. 1-0 8.7%
  5. 3-1 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.557.8% Under 2.542.2%
BTTS yes56.2% BTTS no43.8%
Rapid Vienna 1+86.2% Rapid Vienna 2+59.0%
SV Josko Ried 1+63.9% SV Josko Ried 2+27.2%

Expected goals 1.98 – 1.02. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
22/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Rapid Vienna (-0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 44%
57.1% fair odds 1.75
strong signal · 1154 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Rapid Vienna or draw (1UP)
Double chance 1UP
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Rapid Vienna carry the stronger rating, 1542 Elo against 1440.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0103 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Rapid Vienna have an estimated 57.9% win probability, against 23.0% for the draw and 19.1% for SV Josko Ried. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.98 for Rapid Vienna and 1.02 for SV Josko Ried.

Why Rapid Vienna

Rapid Vienna carry the stronger rating, 1542 Elo against 1440. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.0%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why SV Josko Ried can win

Nothing in the data singles out SV Josko Ried.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Rapid Vienna, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for SV Josko Ried, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Rapid Vienna: 58% possession, 18.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. SV Josko Ried: 40% possession, 11.4 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Rapid Vienna are the model's most likely outcome at 57.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.1%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.98–1.02 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.84–0.97 1-1 12% 53% 54%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to win 56.6% 53.9% 43.5% 1.24× 1.86
Draw 24.9% 24.5% 25.4% 0.96× 4.09
SV Josko Ried to win 18.5% 19.4% 31.4% 0.62× 5.16
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna & not both score 30.6% 29.6% 22.6% 1.31× 3.38
Rapid Vienna & both teams score 26.0% 25.2% 21.1% 1.19× 3.98
Draw & both teams score 17.8% 18.0% 18.3% 0.98× 5.57
SV Josko Ried & both teams score 9.8% 8.3% 16.9% 0.49× 12.00
SV Josko Ried & not both score 8.7% 8.3% 14.7% 0.57× 12.01
Draw & not both score 7.1% 8.3% 7.4% 1.13× 12.01
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna & over 1.5 46.8% 45.0% 34.7% 1.30× 2.22
Rapid Vienna & over 2.5 36.6% 34.9% 27.6% 1.27× 2.87
Rapid Vienna & under 3.5 36.1% 34.9% 30.4% 1.15× 2.87
Rapid Vienna & over 3.5 20.5% 21.6% 13.3% 1.62× 4.63
Rapid Vienna & under 2.5 20.0% 18.0% 16.2% 1.11× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 19.0% 18.0% 19.7% 0.91× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 19.0% 18.0% 19.7% 0.91× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 17.8% 18.0% 18.3% 0.98× 5.56
SV Josko Ried & over 1.5 13.8% 12.8% 25.4% 0.51× 7.79
SV Josko Ried & under 3.5 13.6% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.79
SV Josko Ried & over 2.5 11.0% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.79
Rapid Vienna & under 1.5 9.8% 7.9% 9.0% 0.88× 12.63
SV Josko Ried & under 2.5 7.5% 7.9% 11.6% 0.68× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 7.1% 7.9% 7.4% 1.08× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.9% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.9% 7.9% 5.9% 1.33× 12.63
SV Josko Ried & under 1.5 4.6% 4.8% 6.2% 0.78× 20.81
SV Josko Ried & over 3.5 4.8% 4.8% 9.5% 0.51× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (1UP) 70.0% 70.3% — — 1.42
SV Josko Ried (1UP) 36.7% 34.0% — — 2.94
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (2UP) 56.6% 54.7% — — 1.83
SV Josko Ried (2UP) 18.5% 17.2% — — 5.81
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to win 2nd half 46.0% 45.4% — — 2.20
2nd half drawn 34.2% 34.2% — — 2.93
SV Josko Ried to win 2nd half 19.8% 18.1% — — 5.53
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried under 1.5 in 2nd half 88.3% 86.9% — — 1.15
SV Josko Ried under 0.5 in 2nd half 55.7% 54.3% — — 1.84
SV Josko Ried over 0.5 in 2nd half 44.3% 45.7% — — 2.19
SV Josko Ried over 1.5 in 2nd half 11.7% 13.1% — — 7.61
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna under 1.5 in 2nd half 71.7% 74.3% — — 1.35
Rapid Vienna over 0.5 in 2nd half 65.0% 70.6% — — 1.42
Rapid Vienna under 0.5 in 2nd half 35.0% 29.4% — — 3.41
Rapid Vienna over 1.5 in 2nd half 28.3% 25.7% — — 3.89
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried (+2.5) 84.4% 82.6% 90.7% 0.91× 1.21
Rapid Vienna (+0.5) 81.5% 82.5% 68.6% 1.20× 1.21
SV Josko Ried (+1.5) 66.6% 68.7% 77.0% 0.89× 1.46
Rapid Vienna (-0.5) 56.6% 57.0% 43.5% 1.31× 1.75
SV Josko Ried (+0.5) 43.4% 43.0% 56.5% 0.76× 2.33
Rapid Vienna (-1.5) 33.4% 31.3% 23.0% 1.36× 3.19
SV Josko Ried (-0.5) 18.5% 17.5% 31.4% 0.56× 5.73
Rapid Vienna (-2.5) 15.6% 17.4% 9.3% 1.88× 5.74
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried to concede 84.2% 81.6% 78.1% 1.04× 1.23
SV Josko Ried clean sheet 15.8% 18.4% 21.9% 0.84× 5.43
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried to concede in 1st half 54.7% 50.6% — — 1.98
SV Josko Ried clean sheet in 1st half 45.3% 49.4% — — 2.03
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried to concede in 2nd half 65.0% 65.6% — — 1.53
SV Josko Ried clean sheet in 2nd half 35.0% 34.4% — — 2.91
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried under 6.5 corners 90.6% 89.9% — — 1.11
SV Josko Ried under 5.5 corners 83.2% 81.4% — — 1.23
SV Josko Ried under 4.5 corners 71.7% 71.6% — — 1.40
SV Josko Ried over 2.5 corners 63.0% 61.8% — — 1.62
SV Josko Ried under 3.5 corners 55.9% 57.2% — — 1.75
SV Josko Ried over 3.5 corners 44.1% 42.8% — — 2.33
SV Josko Ried under 2.5 corners 37.0% 38.2% — — 2.62
SV Josko Ried over 4.5 corners 28.3% 28.4% — — 3.52
SV Josko Ried over 5.5 corners 16.8% 18.6% — — 5.38
SV Josko Ried over 6.5 corners 9.4% 10.1% — — 9.87
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried under 3.5 goals 98.3% 97.5% 96.9% 1.01× 1.03
SV Josko Ried under 2.5 goals 92.4% 92.3% 86.9% 1.06× 1.08
SV Josko Ried under 1.5 goals 74.5% 71.9% 64.8% 1.11× 1.39
SV Josko Ried over 0.5 goals 62.2% 63.2% 70.3% 0.90× 1.58
SV Josko Ried under 0.5 goals 37.8% 36.8% 29.7% 1.24× 2.72
SV Josko Ried over 1.5 goals 25.5% 28.1% 35.2% 0.80× 3.55
SV Josko Ried over 2.5 goals 7.6% 7.7% 13.1% 0.59× 13.06
SV Josko Ried over 3.5 goals 1.7% 2.5% 3.1% 0.81× 39.98
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried under 1.5 in 1st half 94.1% 93.9% — — 1.07
SV Josko Ried under 0.5 in 1st half 67.7% 70.0% — — 1.43
SV Josko Ried over 0.5 in 1st half 32.3% 30.0% — — 3.33
SV Josko Ried over 1.5 in 1st half 5.9% 6.1% — — 16.28
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried scores equally in both 46.9% 48.1% — — 2.08
SV Josko Ried scores more in 2nd half 33.2% 33.2% — — 3.01
SV Josko Ried scores more in 1st half 20.0% 18.3% — — 5.48
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (away no bet) 69.4% 66.4% 63.1% 1.05× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 30.6% 33.6% 36.9% 0.91× 2.98
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried even goals 57.1% 56.9% 53.4% 1.07× 1.76
SV Josko Ried odd goals 42.9% 43.1% 46.6% 0.93× 2.32
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 83.9% 82.9% — — 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 16.1% 17.1% — — 5.84
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 66.2% 68.3% — — 1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals 33.8% 31.7% — — 3.15
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 59.2% 55.2% — — 1.81
Rapid Vienna to score 2+ in a row 47.4% 46.1% — — 2.17
Either team to score 3+ in a row 23.9% 19.6% — — 5.09
Rapid Vienna to score 3+ in a row 20.4% 19.6% — — 5.11
SV Josko Ried to score 2+ in a row 17.5% 16.2% — — 6.17
SV Josko Ried to score 3+ in a row 3.7% 2.6% — — 38.54
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna corners (+3.5) 95.3% 95.7% — — 1.05
Rapid Vienna corners (+2.5) 92.0% 89.6% — — 1.12
Rapid Vienna corners (+1.5) 86.9% 84.5% — — 1.18
SV Josko Ried corners (+3.5) 60.8% 61.8% — — 1.62
Rapid Vienna corners (-1.5) 60.6% 61.8% — — 1.62
SV Josko Ried corners (+2.5) 50.2% 52.4% — — 1.91
Rapid Vienna corners (-2.5) 49.8% 47.6% — — 2.10
SV Josko Ried corners (+1.5) 39.4% 38.2% — — 2.62
Rapid Vienna corners (-3.5) 39.2% 38.2% — — 2.62
SV Josko Ried corners (-1.5) 13.1% 15.5% — — 6.45
SV Josko Ried corners (-2.5) 8.0% 10.4% — — 9.59
SV Josko Ried corners (-3.5) 4.7% 4.3% — — 23.42
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 42.1% 38.3% — — 2.61
9-11 corners 29.1% 31.2% — — 3.20
12+ corners 28.7% 31.2% — — 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 78.6% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 11.5 corners 71.3% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 68.4% 67.8% — — 1.47
Under 10.5 corners 62.5% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 8.5 corners 57.9% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 9.5 corners 52.6% 53.1% — — 1.88
Over 9.5 corners 47.4% 46.9% — — 2.13
Under 8.5 corners 42.1% 42.1% — — 2.38
Over 10.5 corners 37.5% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 7.5 corners 31.6% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 28.7% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 21.4% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 11.9% 11.5% 12.6% 0.91× 8.72
2-0 10.2% 11.5% 7.4% 1.56× 8.72
1-0 9.8% 7.4% 9.0% 0.82× 13.51
2-1 9.9% 7.4% 10.5% 0.71× 13.51
0-0 7.1% 7.4% 7.4% 1.01× 13.51
1-2 5.2% 7.4% 7.8% 0.94× 13.51
3-0 6.2% 7.4% 4.3% 1.73× 13.51
3-1 6.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.64× 13.51
2-2 4.8% 1.7% 5.5% 0.31× 58.29
0-1 4.6% 1.7% 6.2% 0.28× 58.29
0-2 2.8% 1.7% 5.7% 0.30× 58.30
0-3 0.9% 1.7% 3.1% 0.56× 58.31
0-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.5% 3.61× 58.32
1-3 1.7% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.31
1-4 0.4% 1.7% 1.0% 1.80× 58.32
2-3 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.31
2-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.5% 3.61× 58.32
3-2 3.0% 1.7% 1.7% 1.03× 58.30
3-3 1.0% 1.7% 0.7% 2.41× 58.31
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.41× 58.32
4-0 2.9% 1.7% 1.0% 1.81× 58.30
4-1 2.8% 1.7% 1.9% 0.90× 58.30
4-2 1.4% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.31
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.2% 7.22× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.22× 58.32
Any other score 4.3% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (2nd half DNB) 69.9% 67.1% — — 1.49
SV Josko Ried (2nd half DNB) 30.1% 32.9% — — 3.04
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna leading at HT (DNB) 71.7% 73.9% — — 1.35
SV Josko Ried leading at HT (DNB) 28.3% 26.1% — — 3.84
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna or draw (1X) 81.5% 80.6% 68.6% 1.17× 1.24
Rapid Vienna or SV Josko Ried (12) 75.1% 75.5% 74.6% 1.01× 1.32
SV Josko Ried or draw (X2) 43.4% 46.1% 56.5% 0.82× 2.17
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna or draw at HT 83.4% 84.0% — — 1.19
Rapid Vienna or SV Josko Ried at HT 58.7% 57.7% — — 1.73
SV Josko Ried or draw at HT 57.9% 57.7% — — 1.73
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna or draw (1UP) 81.5% 88.6% — — 1.13
SV Josko Ried or draw (1UP) 43.4% 52.7% — — 1.90
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna or draw in 2nd half 80.2% 81.9% — — 1.22
Rapid Vienna or SV Josko Ried in 2nd half 65.8% 65.8% — — 1.52
SV Josko Ried or draw in 2nd half 54.0% 54.6% — — 1.83
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 60.1% 61.2% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 39.9% 38.8% — — 2.58
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (DNB) 75.4% 74.7% 58.1% 1.29× 1.34
SV Josko Ried (DNB) 24.6% 25.3% 41.9% 0.60× 3.95
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to score first 60.8% 63.9% — — 1.57
SV Josko Ried to score first 32.1% 27.7% — — 3.61
No goal scored 7.1% 7.4% — — 13.46
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 53.6% 51.3% 55.8% 0.92× 1.95
Not both teams to score 46.4% 48.7% 44.2% 1.10× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 41.7% 41.6% 43.5% 0.96× 2.41
Not both score & under 2.5 34.6% 34.6% 34.7% 1.00× 2.89
Both score & under 2.5 11.9% 12.4% 12.6% 0.98× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 11.8% 12.4% 9.7% 1.27× 8.09
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 86.0% 85.6% 86.9% 0.98× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 14.0% 14.4% 13.1% 1.10× 6.94
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 70.8% 73.6% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 29.2% 26.4% — — 3.79
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 58.0% 60.0% — — 1.67
Both score 2nd half only 24.1% 21.0% — — 4.76
Both score 1st half only 12.8% 10.8% — — 9.27
Both score in both halves 5.1% 6.8% — — 14.78
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 82.1% 83.1% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 17.9% 16.9% — — 5.92
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 56.4% 56.9% — — 1.76
A half without a goal 43.6% 43.1% — — 2.32
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.2% 47.2% 49.9% 0.95× 2.12
4-6 goals 28.7% 26.6% 26.6% 1.00× 3.76
0-1 goals 21.6% 22.9% 22.1% 1.04× 4.37
7+ goals 2.5% 1.8% 1.9% 0.97× 54.28
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried to score exactly 0 37.8% 35.9% 29.7% 1.21× 2.78
SV Josko Ried to score exactly 1 36.8% 35.9% 35.4% 1.02× 2.78
SV Josko Ried to score exactly 2 17.9% 19.6% 22.3% 0.88× 5.11
SV Josko Ried to score 3+ 7.6% 8.5% 13.1% 0.65× 11.70
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to score exactly 1 29.2% 26.6% 34.9% 0.76× 3.77
Rapid Vienna to score 3+ 28.1% 26.6% 18.3% 1.45× 3.77
Rapid Vienna to score exactly 2 26.9% 26.5% 25.4% 1.04× 3.77
Rapid Vienna to score exactly 0 15.8% 18.7% 21.9% 0.86× 5.34
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna leading at HT 42.1% 42.3% — — 2.36
Draw at HT 41.3% 42.3% — — 2.36
SV Josko Ried leading at HT 16.6% 16.0% — — 6.25
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna -1: 2 43.4% 42.8% — — 2.34
Rapid Vienna -1: 1 33.4% 30.1% — — 3.33
Rapid Vienna -1: X 23.2% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried (0:1) 43.4% 42.7% 56.5% 0.75× 2.34
Rapid Vienna (0:1) 33.4% 30.1% 23.0% 1.31× 3.32
Draw (0:1) 23.2% 24.2% 20.7% 1.17× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried (0:2) 66.6% 72.2% 77.0% 0.94× 1.39
Draw (0:2) 17.8% 15.3% 14.0% 1.09× 6.55
Rapid Vienna (0:2) 15.6% 15.2% 9.3% 1.65× 6.56
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried (0:3) 84.4% 85.4% 90.7% 0.94× 1.17
Draw (0:3) 9.6% 5.8% 6.2% 0.94× 17.19
Rapid Vienna (0:3) 6.0% 5.8% 3.3% 1.74× 17.25
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried (0:4) 94.0% 94.6% 96.7% 0.98× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 4.1% 1.2% 1.7% 0.74× 81.72
Rapid Vienna (0:4) 2.0% 1.2% 1.9% 0.64× 81.95
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (1:0) 81.5% 81.4% 68.6% 1.19× 1.23
Draw (1:0) 11.7% 12.7% 16.4% 0.77× 7.87
SV Josko Ried (1:0) 6.8% 6.9% 15.2% 0.45× 14.49
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (2:0) 93.2% 94.0% 84.8% 1.11× 1.06
Draw (2:0) 5.0% 2.3% 10.2% 0.22× 43.58
SV Josko Ried (2:0) 1.8% 2.3% 5.2% 0.44× 43.78
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.0% 48.7% — — 2.05
1st half highest scoring 26.8% 26.2% — — 3.82
Halves equal 26.2% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to concede 62.2% 63.7% 70.3% 0.91× 1.57
Rapid Vienna clean sheet 37.8% 36.3% 29.7% 1.22× 2.75
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna clean sheet in 1st half 67.7% 70.3% — — 1.42
Rapid Vienna to concede in 1st half 32.3% 29.7% — — 3.37
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna clean sheet in 2nd half 55.7% 54.5% — — 1.83
Rapid Vienna to concede in 2nd half 44.3% 45.5% — — 2.20
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna over 2.5 corners 88.9% 86.3% — — 1.16
Rapid Vienna over 3.5 corners 78.7% 76.5% — — 1.31
Rapid Vienna over 4.5 corners 66.2% 66.7% — — 1.50
Rapid Vienna under 6.5 corners 59.4% 57.5% — — 1.74
Rapid Vienna over 5.5 corners 53.1% 52.6% — — 1.90
Rapid Vienna under 5.5 corners 46.9% 47.4% — — 2.11
Rapid Vienna over 6.5 corners 40.6% 42.5% — — 2.35
Rapid Vienna under 4.5 corners 33.8% 33.3% — — 3.01
Rapid Vienna under 3.5 corners 21.3% 23.5% — — 4.26
Rapid Vienna under 2.5 corners 11.1% 13.7% — — 7.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna under 3.5 goals 88.4% 87.3% 92.4% 0.94× 1.15
Rapid Vienna over 0.5 goals 84.2% 82.2% 78.1% 1.05× 1.22
Rapid Vienna under 2.5 goals 71.9% 74.2% 81.7% 0.91× 1.35
Rapid Vienna over 1.5 goals 55.0% 58.6% 43.5% 1.35× 1.71
Rapid Vienna under 1.5 goals 45.0% 41.4% 56.5% 0.73× 2.42
Rapid Vienna over 2.5 goals 28.1% 25.8% 18.3% 1.41× 3.88
Rapid Vienna under 0.5 goals 15.8% 17.8% 21.9% 0.81× 5.63
Rapid Vienna over 3.5 goals 11.6% 12.7% 7.6% 1.68× 7.85
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna under 1.5 in 1st half 81.1% 83.7% — — 1.20
Rapid Vienna over 0.5 in 1st half 54.7% 50.4% — — 1.98
Rapid Vienna under 0.5 in 1st half 45.3% 49.6% — — 2.02
Rapid Vienna over 1.5 in 1st half 18.9% 16.3% — — 6.14
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna scores more in 2nd half 41.0% 42.0% — — 2.38
Rapid Vienna scores equally in both 32.0% 33.2% — — 3.01
Rapid Vienna scores more in 1st half 27.0% 27.8% — — 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 57.5% 56.4% 44.8% 1.26× 1.77
SV Josko Ried (home no bet) 42.5% 43.6% 55.2% 0.79× 2.29
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna even goals 51.3% 50.7% 52.0% 0.97× 1.97
Rapid Vienna odd goals 48.7% 49.3% 48.0% 1.03× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 30.9% 33.1% — — 3.02
HT 1-0 24.1% 24.3% — — 4.11
HT 0-1 11.7% 11.0% — — 9.11
HT 1-1 9.7% 6.9% — — 14.43
HT 2-0 9.6% 6.9% — — 14.43
Any other HT score 5.3% 6.9% — — 14.49
HT 2-1 3.8% 2.4% — — 41.96
HT 0-2 2.3% 2.4% — — 42.06
HT 1-2 1.8% 2.4% — — 42.09
HT 2-2 0.7% 2.4% — — 42.16
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna at HT / Rapid Vienna at FT 35.5% 40.7% — — 2.45
Draw at HT / Rapid Vienna at FT 18.3% 16.8% — — 5.95
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 15.4% 16.8% — — 5.96
SV Josko Ried at HT / SV Josko Ried at FT 9.4% 6.1% — — 16.38
Draw at HT / SV Josko Ried at FT 7.6% 6.1% — — 16.43
Rapid Vienna at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.1% — — 16.50
SV Josko Ried at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.5% — — 28.81
SV Josko Ried at HT / Rapid Vienna at FT 2.8% 3.5% — — 28.87
Rapid Vienna at HT / SV Josko Ried at FT 1.5% 3.5% — — 28.92
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to score last 60.9% 62.1% — — 1.61
SV Josko Ried to score last 31.9% 32.4% — — 3.09
No goal scored 7.1% 7.4% — — 13.46
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.9% 92.7% — — 1.08
Rapid Vienna to lead by 1 at any time 70.0% 69.6% — — 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 50.8% 50.8% — — 1.97
Rapid Vienna to lead by 2 at any time 39.9% 34.8% — — 2.88
SV Josko Ried to lead by 1 at any time 36.7% 34.7% — — 2.89
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 21.0% 19.5% — — 5.12
Rapid Vienna to lead by 3 at any time 18.3% 14.9% — — 6.71
SV Josko Ried to lead by 2 at any time 11.1% 10.5% — — 9.54
SV Josko Ried to lead by 3 at any time 2.7% 1.6% — — 62.33
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna most corners 70.9% 70.5% — — 1.42
SV Josko Ried most corners 20.2% 25.9% — — 3.87
Corners level 8.9% 8.3% — — 11.98
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.2% 87.4% 86.2% 1.01× 1.14
1-4 goals 77.4% 78.7% 79.3% 0.99× 1.27
2-6 goals 75.9% 78.7% 76.2% 1.03× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.7% 72.3% 71.5% 1.01× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.9% 63.3% 64.6% 0.98× 1.58
1-3 goals 61.7% 63.3% 64.6% 0.98× 1.58
3-6 goals 51.0% 53.2% 51.3% 1.04× 1.88
2-3 goals 47.2% 48.5% 49.9% 0.97× 2.06
3-5 goals 46.8% 48.5% 46.6% 1.04× 2.06
1-2 goals 39.4% 39.2% 39.9% 0.98× 2.55
3-4 goals 38.0% 39.2% 39.7% 0.99× 2.55
4-6 goals 28.7% 30.2% 26.6% 1.14× 3.31
4-5 goals 24.5% 24.5% 21.9% 1.12× 4.09
5-6 goals 13.0% 14.8% 11.9% 1.25× 6.75
7+ goals 2.5% 2.6% 1.9% 1.34× 39.14
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna never behind 56.2% 62.4% — — 1.60
SV Josko Ried never behind 22.9% 25.0% — — 4.00
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.5% 50.9% 47.7% 1.07× 1.96
Even number of goals 52.5% 49.1% 52.3% 0.94× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.1% 57.5% — — 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 44.9% 42.5% — — 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.7% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.3% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 93.3% 92.3% 93.3% 0.99× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 92.9% 92.3% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 84.5% 82.3% 86.5% 0.95× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 78.4% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 68.8% 66.3% 71.7% 0.92× 1.51
Over 2.5 goals 53.5% 52.5% 53.0% 0.99× 1.90
Under 2.5 goals 46.5% 47.5% 47.0% 1.01× 2.11
Over 3.5 goals 31.2% 33.7% 28.3% 1.19× 2.97
Under 1.5 goals 21.6% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.41
Over 4.5 goals 15.5% 17.7% 13.5% 1.31× 5.66
Under 0.5 goals 7.1% 7.7% 7.4% 1.05× 12.95
Over 5.5 goals 6.7% 7.7% 6.7% 1.16× 12.95
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.4% 97.2% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 92.7% 92.4% 92.9% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 81.6% 81.1% 84.1% 0.96× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 71.2% 72.4% 70.6% 1.03× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 59.9% 55.8% 62.5% 0.89× 1.79
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 40.1% 44.2% 37.5% 1.18× 2.26
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 28.8% 27.6% 29.4% 0.94× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 18.4% 18.9% 15.9% 1.19× 5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 7.3% 7.6% 7.1% 1.06× 13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.6% 2.8% 2.0% 1.41× 35.59
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 88.3% 89.0% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 69.1% 68.6% — — 1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half 66.7% 68.5% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half 33.3% 31.5% — — 3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half 30.9% 31.4% — — 3.18
Over 2.5 in 1st half 11.7% 11.0% — — 9.13
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 80.1% 82.9% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 77.4% 79.7% — — 1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 51.0% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 49.0% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 22.6% 20.3% — — 4.92
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 19.9% 17.1% — — 5.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried not to score in both halves 85.7% 85.4% — — 1.17
Rapid Vienna not to score in both halves 64.4% 63.4% — — 1.58
Rapid Vienna to score in both halves 35.6% 36.6% — — 2.73
SV Josko Ried to score in both halves 14.3% 14.6% — — 6.86
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 53.6% 53.8% 55.8% 0.96× 1.86
Only Rapid Vienna scores 30.6% 33.3% 22.6% 1.47× 3.01
Only SV Josko Ried scores 8.7% 7.1% 14.7% 0.48× 14.02
Neither team scores 7.1% 7.1% 7.4% 0.97× 14.03
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 24.9% 22.6% 25.2% 0.90× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 24.9% 0.91× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 15.7% 17.5% 15.0% 1.17× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 14.5% 12.1% 15.0% 0.81× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 8.8% 7.6% 7.1% 1.07× 13.14
Exactly 0 goals 7.1% 7.6% 7.4% 1.03× 13.14
6 or more goals 6.7% 7.6% 6.7% 1.14× 13.15
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.8% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 30.9% 35.6% — — 2.81
2 goals in 1st half 21.6% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 11.7% 10.9% — — 9.21
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 49.0% 44.9% — — 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 31.1% 33.7% — — 2.97
No goals in 2nd half 19.9% 16.8% — — 5.96
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried not to win both halves 96.6% 97.2% — — 1.03
Rapid Vienna not to win both halves 80.4% 83.7% — — 1.20
Rapid Vienna to win both halves 19.6% 16.3% — — 6.13
SV Josko Ried to win both halves 3.4% 2.8% — — 35.61
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to win either half 68.5% 67.8% — — 1.48
SV Josko Ried to win neither half 67.0% 67.7% — — 1.48
SV Josko Ried to win either half 33.0% 32.3% — — 3.10
Rapid Vienna to win neither half 31.5% 32.2% — — 3.10
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
SV Josko Ried not to win to nil 91.3% 92.1% 85.3% 1.08× 1.09
Rapid Vienna not to win to nil 69.4% 69.7% 77.4% 0.90× 1.44
Rapid Vienna to win to nil 30.6% 30.3% 22.6% 1.34× 3.30
SV Josko Ried to win to nil 8.7% 7.9% 14.7% 0.54× 12.60
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 24.9% 24.1% 25.4% 0.95× 4.15
Rapid Vienna by 1 23.2% 24.1% 20.7% 1.17× 4.15
Rapid Vienna by 2 17.8% 17.0% 14.0% 1.22× 5.87
Rapid Vienna by 3+ 15.6% 17.0% 9.3% 1.84× 5.87
SV Josko Ried by 1 11.7% 11.7% 16.4% 0.72× 8.51
SV Josko Ried by 2 5.0% 2.7% 10.2% 0.27× 36.78
SV Josko Ried by 3+ 1.8% 2.7% 5.2% 0.52× 36.88
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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