Rapperswil-Jona v Yverdon Sport — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 11 September 2026 · SUI-Challenge League · 2627

SUI-Challenge League results-only Prediction generated 10 Sep 2026, 19:28 UTC

Rapperswil-Jona

2–0

17:30 UTC

Yverdon Sport

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Final pre-match price, taken 11 Sep, 11:38 · 6h before kick-off

Rapperswil-Jona win

17.9%

model 17.9%

Draw

23.7%

model 22.8%

Yverdon Sport win

58.4%

model 59.2%

182458

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,262 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.3%
1-2 9.7%
0-2 8.3%
1-3 7.1%
0-1 6.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	65.4%	Under 2.5	34.6%
BTTS yes	62.8%	BTTS no	37.2%
Rapperswil-Jona 1+	69.0%	Rapperswil-Jona 2+	32.7%
Yverdon Sport 1+	88.9%	Yverdon Sport 2+	64.5%

Expected goals 1.17 – 2.20. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

22/100

Data quality

20/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Yverdon Sport (DNB)

Draw no bet · usually 43%

77.3% fair odds 1.29

strong signal · 2436 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Yverdon Sport or draw at HT

Double chance 1HT

83.8% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 975 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five.
Away from home Yverdon Sport average 1.35 xG a match.

Risk factors

Data quality is 20/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
Rapperswil-Jona have only 0 matches on record.
Yverdon Sport have only 1 matches on record.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Yverdon Sport have an estimated 58.4% win probability, against 23.7% for the draw and 17.9% for Rapperswil-Jona. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.17 for Rapperswil-Jona and 2.20 for Yverdon Sport.

Why Rapperswil-Jona

At home Rapperswil-Jona average 1.35 xG a match. They have had 14 days' rest to Yverdon Sport's 5.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.7%.

Why Yverdon Sport can win

Form is good: 3.00 points a match from the last five. Away from home Yverdon Sport average 1.35 xG a match.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Rapperswil-Jona, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Yverdon Sport, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Rapperswil-Jona: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Yverdon Sport: 50% possession, 12.0 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-11 15:19 · team_stats 2026-09-11 06:03 · availability 2026-09-11 15:38 · prediction 2026-09-10 19:28 ·

Yverdon Sport are the model's most likely outcome at 58.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.3%. Confidence 22/100, data quality 20/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS	Outcome
ai-blend	182359	1.17–2.20	0%	0%	0%	Away ✗
ai-blend-oos	192458	1.23–2.19	0%	0%	0%	Away ✗
dc-xg	182260	1.28–2.37	1-2 9%	71%	67%	Away ✗

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport to win	60.3%	58.0%	33.2%	1.75×	1.72
Draw	21.5%	24.6%	22.6%	1.09×	4.07
Rapperswil-Jona to win	18.2%	19.4%	44.7%	0.43×	5.16

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport & both teams score	36.3%	32.9%	19.4%	1.70×	3.04
Yverdon Sport & not both score	23.9%	21.8%	14.3%	1.52×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	18.0%	16.6%	1.09×	5.55
Rapperswil-Jona & both teams score	12.7%	13.3%	22.6%	0.59×	7.55
Rapperswil-Jona & not both score	5.5%	8.4%	22.6%	0.37×	11.97
Draw & not both score	3.9%	4.9%	6.5%	0.76×	20.36

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport & over 1.5	55.4%	54.4%	29.5%	1.84×	1.84
Yverdon Sport & over 2.5	48.1%	44.8%	23.0%	1.94×	2.23
Yverdon Sport & over 3.5	32.9%	31.0%	12.4%	2.50×	3.22
Yverdon Sport & under 3.5	27.3%	25.9%	21.2%	1.22×	3.85
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	16.6%	1.08×	5.57
Rapperswil-Jona & over 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	36.4%	0.49×	5.57
Rapperswil-Jona & over 2.5	14.0%	12.9%	30.4%	0.42×	7.78
Draw & under 2.5	13.1%	12.9%	14.7%	0.87×	7.78
Draw & under 3.5	13.1%	12.9%	14.7%	0.87×	7.78
Yverdon Sport & under 2.5	12.2%	12.9%	10.6%	1.21×	7.78
Rapperswil-Jona & under 3.5	10.1%	12.9%	30.4%	0.42×	7.78
Rapperswil-Jona & over 3.5	8.1%	8.0%	14.7%	0.54×	12.57
Draw & over 2.5	8.4%	8.0%	8.3%	0.96×	12.57
Draw & over 3.5	8.4%	8.0%	8.3%	0.96×	12.57
Yverdon Sport & under 1.5	4.9%	4.9%	4.1%	1.17×	20.57
Rapperswil-Jona & under 2.5	4.2%	4.9%	14.7%	0.33×	20.58
Draw & under 1.5	3.9%	4.9%	6.5%	0.75×	20.58
Rapperswil-Jona & under 1.5	2.0%	4.9%	8.8%	0.55×	20.59

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport (1UP)	75.4%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Rapperswil-Jona (1UP)	40.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport (2UP)	60.3%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Rapperswil-Jona (2UP)	18.2%	17.5%	—	—	5.72

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport to win 2nd half	53.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
2nd half drawn	28.1%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Rapperswil-Jona to win 2nd half	18.8%	19.1%	—	—	5.23

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.8%	79.4%	—	—	1.26
Yverdon Sport under 1.5 in 2nd half	58.5%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Yverdon Sport over 1.5 in 2nd half	41.5%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Yverdon Sport under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.2%	20.6%	—	—	4.86

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rapperswil-Jona under 1.5 in 2nd half	83.4%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Rapperswil-Jona over 0.5 in 2nd half	51.7%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Rapperswil-Jona under 0.5 in 2nd half	48.3%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Rapperswil-Jona over 1.5 in 2nd half	16.6%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport (+2.5)	97.5%	96.3%	88.5%	1.09×	1.04
Yverdon Sport (+1.5)	92.2%	92.1%	78.8%	1.17×	1.09
Yverdon Sport (+0.5)	81.8%	82.6%	55.3%	1.49×	1.21
Yverdon Sport (-0.5)	60.3%	63.0%	33.2%	1.90×	1.59
Rapperswil-Jona (+0.5)	39.7%	37.0%	66.8%	0.55×	2.71
Rapperswil-Jona (-0.5)	18.2%	17.4%	44.7%	0.39×	5.75
Rapperswil-Jona (-1.5)	7.8%	7.9%	21.2%	0.37×	12.69
Rapperswil-Jona (-2.5)	2.5%	3.7%	11.5%	0.32×	26.89

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport to concede	72.1%	77.1%	79.7%	0.97×	1.30
Yverdon Sport clean sheet	27.9%	22.9%	20.3%	1.13×	4.37

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport clean sheet in 1st half	57.7%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Yverdon Sport to concede in 1st half	42.3%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport to concede in 2nd half	51.7%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Yverdon Sport clean sheet in 2nd half	48.3%	47.2%	—	—	2.12

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport over 0.5 goals	90.6%	92.2%	71.4%	1.29×	1.09
Yverdon Sport under 3.5 goals	78.6%	76.1%	93.5%	0.81×	1.31
Yverdon Sport over 1.5 goals	68.4%	67.9%	43.3%	1.57×	1.47
Yverdon Sport under 2.5 goals	57.9%	58.9%	82.9%	0.71×	1.70
Yverdon Sport over 2.5 goals	42.1%	41.1%	17.1%	2.41×	2.43
Yverdon Sport under 1.5 goals	31.6%	32.1%	56.7%	0.57×	3.11
Yverdon Sport over 3.5 goals	21.4%	23.9%	6.5%	3.70×	4.19
Yverdon Sport under 0.5 goals	9.4%	7.8%	28.6%	0.27×	12.80

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport under 1.5 in 1st half	75.5%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Yverdon Sport over 0.5 in 1st half	61.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Yverdon Sport under 0.5 in 1st half	38.8%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Yverdon Sport over 1.5 in 1st half	24.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport scores more in 2nd half	48.0%	48.5%	—	—	2.06
Yverdon Sport scores equally in both	26.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.83
Yverdon Sport scores more in 1st half	25.1%	26.0%	—	—	3.84

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	54.2%	51.3%	33.6%	1.53×	1.95
Rapperswil-Jona (away no bet)	45.8%	48.7%	66.4%	0.73×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport even goals	50.4%	52.8%	58.5%	0.90×	1.90
Yverdon Sport odd goals	49.6%	47.2%	41.5%	1.14×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	72.1%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	27.9%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	80.1%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Both halves under 1.5 goals	19.9%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	72.2%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Yverdon Sport to score 2+ in a row	58.8%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row	34.7%	29.2%	—	—	3.43
Yverdon Sport to score 3+ in a row	29.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Rapperswil-Jona to score 2+ in a row	24.2%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Rapperswil-Jona to score 3+ in a row	6.1%	5.6%	—	—	17.84

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	10.0%	11.4%	7.4%	1.54×	8.80
1-1	9.2%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.53
1-2	9.4%	7.4%	8.3%	0.89×	13.53
0-2	7.3%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.53
1-3	7.4%	7.4%	6.0%	1.23×	13.53
0-3	5.8%	7.4%	3.2%	2.29×	13.53
2-1	5.1%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.53
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.9%	1.07×	13.53
0-0	3.9%	1.7%	6.5%	0.27×	57.66
0-1	4.9%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	57.65
0-4	3.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	57.66
1-0	2.0%	1.7%	8.8%	0.20×	57.67
1-4	4.4%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	57.66
2-0	2.1%	1.7%	6.5%	0.27×	57.67
2-3	4.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	57.66
2-4	2.8%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	57.67
3-0	0.9%	1.7%	4.6%	0.38×	57.67
3-1	2.2%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	57.67
3-2	2.5%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	57.67
3-3	2.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.94×	57.67
3-4	1.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	57.67
4-0	0.3%	1.7%	2.3%	0.75×	57.68
4-1	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	57.68
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	57.68
4-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	57.68
4-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.76×	57.68

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport (2nd half DNB)	73.9%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Rapperswil-Jona (2nd half DNB)	26.1%	31.5%	—	—	3.18

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport leading at HT (DNB)	68.1%	73.5%	—	—	1.36
Rapperswil-Jona leading at HT (DNB)	31.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.78

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport or draw (X2)	81.8%	80.6%	55.3%	1.46×	1.24
Rapperswil-Jona or Yverdon Sport (12)	78.5%	75.4%	77.4%	0.97×	1.33
Rapperswil-Jona or draw (1X)	39.7%	42.0%	66.8%	0.63×	2.38

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport or draw at HT	79.6%	80.1%	—	—	1.25
Rapperswil-Jona or Yverdon Sport at HT	63.9%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Rapperswil-Jona or draw at HT	56.5%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport or draw (1UP)	81.8%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Rapperswil-Jona or draw (1UP)	40.4%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport or draw in 2nd half	81.3%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Rapperswil-Jona or Yverdon Sport in 2nd half	71.9%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
Rapperswil-Jona or draw in 2nd half	46.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	47.5%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
A half drawn	52.5%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport (DNB)	76.8%	74.3%	42.6%	1.74×	1.35
Rapperswil-Jona (DNB)	23.2%	25.7%	57.4%	0.45×	3.88

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport to score first	62.4%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Rapperswil-Jona to score first	33.7%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
No goal scored	3.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.31

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	66.7%	57.7%	57.6%	1.00×	1.73
Not both teams to score	33.3%	42.3%	42.4%	1.00×	2.37

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	57.5%	46.9%	49.3%	0.95×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	20.3%	28.4%	30.9%	0.92×	3.53
Not both score & over 2.5	13.0%	12.3%	12.0%	1.02×	8.16
Both score & under 2.5	9.2%	8.4%	8.8%	0.96×	11.93

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	75.0%	80.2%	81.6%	0.98×	1.25
Both teams to score 2+	25.0%	19.8%	18.4%	1.08×	5.04

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	60.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half	39.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	44.4%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
Both score 2nd half only	29.5%	26.7%	—	—	3.75
Both score 1st half only	16.0%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
Both score in both halves	10.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	73.9%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	26.1%	20.0%	—	—	5.00

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	69.2%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
A half without a goal	30.8%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	41.8%	41.9%	30.4%	1.38×	2.39
2-3 goals	39.8%	35.0%	47.5%	0.74×	2.86
0-1 goals	10.8%	17.1%	18.4%	0.93×	5.84
7+ goals	7.6%	7.6%	4.6%	1.66×	13.11

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport to score 3+	42.1%	37.2%	17.1%	2.18×	2.69
Yverdon Sport to score exactly 2	26.3%	27.6%	26.7%	1.03×	3.62
Yverdon Sport to score exactly 1	22.2%	22.5%	28.6%	0.79×	4.45
Yverdon Sport to score exactly 0	9.4%	8.8%	28.6%	0.31×	11.41

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rapperswil-Jona to score exactly 1	35.6%	35.5%	31.8%	1.12×	2.82
Rapperswil-Jona to score exactly 0	27.9%	26.2%	20.3%	1.29×	3.82
Rapperswil-Jona to score exactly 2	22.8%	23.3%	26.3%	0.89×	4.28
Rapperswil-Jona to score 3+	13.8%	14.3%	22.6%	0.63×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport leading at HT	43.5%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Draw at HT	36.1%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Rapperswil-Jona leading at HT	20.4%	19.9%	—	—	5.02

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport -1: 2	39.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Yverdon Sport -1: 1	39.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Yverdon Sport -1: X	20.4%	23.6%	—	—	4.23

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport (0:1)	81.8%	77.3%	55.3%	1.40×	1.29
Draw (0:1)	10.4%	13.9%	24.0%	0.58×	7.19
Rapperswil-Jona (0:1)	7.8%	9.1%	21.2%	0.43×	10.97

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport (0:2)	92.2%	91.0%	78.8%	1.15×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	5.3%	7.7%	10.1%	0.76×	13.02
Rapperswil-Jona (0:2)	2.5%	3.8%	11.5%	0.33×	26.51

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport (0:3)	97.5%	96.6%	88.5%	1.09×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.8%	2.4%	6.9%	0.34×	42.38
Rapperswil-Jona (0:3)	0.7%	2.4%	5.1%	0.47×	42.43

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport (0:4)	99.3%	98.1%	94.9%	1.03×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.5%	1.2%	3.2%	0.38×	81.77
Rapperswil-Jona (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	2.3%	0.53×	81.81

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport (1:0)	39.9%	37.2%	19.4%	1.92×	2.69
Rapperswil-Jona (1:0)	39.7%	37.2%	66.8%	0.56×	2.69
Draw (1:0)	20.4%	21.7%	14.3%	1.52×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rapperswil-Jona (2:0)	60.1%	66.3%	80.6%	0.82×	1.51
Yverdon Sport (2:0)	21.8%	18.7%	5.5%	3.39×	5.34
Draw (2:0)	18.1%	15.5%	14.3%	1.08×	6.46

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.5%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	25.9%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Halves equal	22.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rapperswil-Jona to concede	90.6%	93.3%	71.4%	1.31×	1.07
Rapperswil-Jona clean sheet	9.4%	6.7%	28.6%	0.23×	14.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rapperswil-Jona to concede in 1st half	61.2%	64.0%	—	—	1.56
Rapperswil-Jona clean sheet in 1st half	38.8%	36.0%	—	—	2.78

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rapperswil-Jona to concede in 2nd half	75.8%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Rapperswil-Jona clean sheet in 2nd half	24.2%	17.8%	—	—	5.63

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rapperswil-Jona under 3.5 goals	95.9%	96.3%	90.3%	1.07×	1.04
Rapperswil-Jona under 2.5 goals	86.2%	87.2%	77.4%	1.13×	1.15
Rapperswil-Jona over 0.5 goals	72.1%	74.3%	79.7%	0.93×	1.35
Rapperswil-Jona under 1.5 goals	63.5%	63.3%	51.6%	1.23×	1.58
Rapperswil-Jona over 1.5 goals	36.5%	36.7%	48.4%	0.76×	2.73
Rapperswil-Jona under 0.5 goals	27.9%	25.7%	20.3%	1.27×	3.89
Rapperswil-Jona over 2.5 goals	13.8%	12.8%	22.6%	0.57×	7.82
Rapperswil-Jona over 3.5 goals	4.1%	3.7%	9.7%	0.38×	26.96

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rapperswil-Jona under 1.5 in 1st half	89.4%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Rapperswil-Jona under 0.5 in 1st half	57.7%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Rapperswil-Jona over 0.5 in 1st half	42.3%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
Rapperswil-Jona over 1.5 in 1st half	10.6%	10.1%	—	—	9.89

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rapperswil-Jona scores equally in both	40.2%	42.3%	—	—	2.36
Rapperswil-Jona scores more in 2nd half	35.5%	37.6%	—	—	2.66
Rapperswil-Jona scores more in 1st half	24.4%	21.6%	—	—	4.63

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport (home no bet)	73.7%	66.3%	59.5%	1.12×	1.51
Draw (home no bet)	26.3%	33.7%	40.5%	0.83×	2.97

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rapperswil-Jona even goals	53.9%	50.4%	51.2%	0.99×	1.98
Rapperswil-Jona odd goals	46.1%	49.6%	48.8%	1.02×	2.02

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	22.6%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-1	21.0%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	12.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	11.9%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 0-2	10.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
Any other HT score	8.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.00
HT 1-2	5.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-0	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
HT 2-1	3.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 2-2	1.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.59

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport at HT / Yverdon Sport at FT	37.3%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
Draw at HT / Yverdon Sport at FT	18.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	11.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Rapperswil-Jona at HT / Rapperswil-Jona at FT	10.4%	12.6%	—	—	7.91
Draw at HT / Rapperswil-Jona at FT	6.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
Rapperswil-Jona at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Rapperswil-Jona at HT / Yverdon Sport at FT	4.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Yverdon Sport at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.74
Yverdon Sport at HT / Rapperswil-Jona at FT	1.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport to score last	62.6%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Rapperswil-Jona to score last	33.5%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	3.9%	4.3%	—	—	23.31

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.1%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Yverdon Sport to lead by 1 at any time	75.4%	77.9%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	62.1%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Yverdon Sport to lead by 2 at any time	48.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Rapperswil-Jona to lead by 1 at any time	40.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	30.1%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Yverdon Sport to lead by 3 at any time	26.0%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Rapperswil-Jona to lead by 2 at any time	14.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
Rapperswil-Jona to lead by 3 at any time	4.1%	1.7%	—	—	60.36

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	81.5%	83.3%	77.4%	1.08×	1.20
1-5 goals	79.9%	78.5%	84.3%	0.93×	1.27
2-5 goals	73.0%	72.3%	72.4%	1.00×	1.38
1-4 goals	65.9%	68.8%	77.0%	0.89×	1.45
3-6 goals	62.9%	63.2%	56.7%	1.11×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.0%	59.3%	65.0%	0.91×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.3%	53.4%	51.6%	1.03×	1.87
1-3 goals	46.7%	48.5%	59.4%	0.82×	2.06
4-6 goals	41.8%	43.6%	30.4%	1.43×	2.29
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	44.2%	0.99×	2.30
2-3 goals	39.8%	39.3%	47.5%	0.83×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.3%	35.3%	25.3%	1.39×	2.83
1-2 goals	25.6%	30.6%	33.2%	0.92×	3.27
5-6 goals	22.5%	24.8%	12.9%	1.92×	4.04
7+ goals	7.6%	9.0%	4.6%	1.95×	11.15

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport never behind	55.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Rapperswil-Jona never behind	20.7%	24.2%	—	—	4.14

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.4%	51.0%	49.3%	1.03×	1.96
Even number of goals	52.6%	49.0%	50.7%	0.97×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.0%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.0%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.1%	95.4%	93.5%	1.02×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.2%	87.5%	81.6%	1.07×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	83.8%	82.2%	90.3%	0.91×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	70.5%	72.4%	60.8%	1.19×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	69.8%	66.0%	82.9%	0.80×	1.52
Under 3.5 goals	50.6%	53.0%	65.4%	0.81×	1.89
Over 3.5 goals	49.4%	47.0%	34.6%	1.36×	2.13
Over 4.5 goals	30.2%	34.0%	17.1%	1.99×	2.94
Under 2.5 goals	29.5%	27.6%	39.2%	0.70×	3.62
Over 5.5 goals	16.2%	17.8%	9.7%	1.84×	5.61
Under 1.5 goals	10.8%	12.5%	18.4%	0.68×	7.97
Under 0.5 goals	3.9%	4.6%	6.5%	0.71×	21.75

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	91.6%	92.4%	95.1%	0.97×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	86.7%	86.6%	76.7%	1.13×	1.16
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	81.2%	80.5%	89.6%	0.90×	1.24
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	62.6%	61.6%	46.9%	1.31×	1.62
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	62.6%	61.6%	79.3%	0.78×	1.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	37.4%	38.4%	53.1%	0.72×	2.61
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	37.4%	38.4%	20.7%	1.86×	2.61
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	18.8%	19.5%	10.4%	1.87×	5.12
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	13.3%	13.4%	23.3%	0.58×	7.47
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	8.4%	7.6%	4.9%	1.57×	13.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	81.0%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	77.4%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	55.7%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Over 1.5 in 1st half	44.3%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Under 0.5 in 1st half	22.6%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half	19.0%	13.8%	—	—	7.23

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	87.9%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	63.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	63.7%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	36.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	36.3%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.1%	14.6%	—	—	6.86

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rapperswil-Jona not to score in both halves	78.1%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Yverdon Sport not to score in both halves	53.6%	55.8%	—	—	1.79
Yverdon Sport to score in both halves	46.4%	44.2%	—	—	2.26
Rapperswil-Jona to score in both halves	21.9%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	66.7%	60.2%	57.6%	1.05×	1.66
Only Yverdon Sport scores	23.9%	22.0%	14.3%	1.54×	4.54
Only Rapperswil-Jona scores	5.5%	7.1%	22.6%	0.31×	14.07
Neither team scores	3.9%	4.6%	6.5%	0.72×	21.61

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.4%	26.7%	0.84×	4.46
Exactly 4 goals	19.2%	17.6%	18.0%	0.98×	5.70
Exactly 2 goals	18.7%	17.6%	21.2%	0.83×	5.70
6 or more goals	16.2%	17.5%	9.7%	1.81×	5.70
Exactly 5 goals	14.0%	12.1%	7.8%	1.54×	8.30
Exactly 1 goals	6.9%	7.8%	12.4%	0.63×	12.86
Exactly 0 goals	3.9%	4.5%	6.5%	0.70×	22.23

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	33.1%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
No goals in 1st half	22.6%	21.7%	—	—	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	19.0%	15.3%	—	—	6.54

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	63.7%	58.7%	—	—	1.71
1 goal in 2nd half	24.2%	23.1%	—	—	4.33
No goals in 2nd half	12.1%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rapperswil-Jona not to win both halves	96.0%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Yverdon Sport not to win both halves	76.6%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Yverdon Sport to win both halves	23.4%	24.8%	—	—	4.03
Rapperswil-Jona to win both halves	4.0%	2.8%	—	—	35.58

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport to win either half	73.2%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Rapperswil-Jona to win neither half	64.8%	65.1%	—	—	1.54
Rapperswil-Jona to win either half	35.2%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Yverdon Sport to win neither half	26.8%	27.1%	—	—	3.70

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Rapperswil-Jona not to win to nil	94.5%	92.1%	77.4%	1.19×	1.09
Yverdon Sport not to win to nil	76.1%	78.3%	85.7%	0.91×	1.28
Yverdon Sport to win to nil	23.9%	21.7%	14.3%	1.52×	4.62
Rapperswil-Jona to win to nil	5.5%	7.9%	22.6%	0.35×	12.69

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Yverdon Sport by 3+	21.8%	24.2%	5.5%	4.37×	4.14
Draw	21.5%	24.2%	22.6%	1.07×	4.14
Yverdon Sport by 1	20.4%	24.2%	14.3%	1.69×	4.14
Yverdon Sport by 2	18.1%	16.9%	14.3%	1.18×	5.92
Rapperswil-Jona by 1	10.4%	11.7%	24.0%	0.49×	8.53
Rapperswil-Jona by 2	5.3%	7.3%	10.1%	0.72×	13.77
Rapperswil-Jona by 3+	2.5%	2.8%	11.5%	0.24×	35.61

Shot-level data has not been ingested for this match yet. Run python -m pipeline.ingest_understat to fill it in.