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RasenBallsport Leipzig v Bochum — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 August 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

1–0
0.94 – 1.32 xG
Shots
13 – 10
On target
3 – 3
Shots in box
10 – 5
xG per shot
0.07 – 0.15
Set-piece xG
0.26 – 0.17
Goals − xG
+0.05 – -1.47
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.81.21.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Antonio Nusa 58' — goal
RasenBallsport Leipzig 0.95 xGBochum 1.47 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Moritz Broschinski 10' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Loïs Openda 17' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Philipp Hofmann 23' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Loïs Openda 24' — Saved Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Lukas Daschner 29' — Blocked Shot (0.49 xG, Open Play)Moritz Broschinski 29' — Saved Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Amadou Haidara 29' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Loïs Openda 39' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Amadou Haidara 41' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Set Piece)Willi Orban 41' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Philipp Hofmann 45' — Saved Shot (0.40 xG, Open Play)Benjamin Sesko 49' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Benjamin Henrichs 55' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Antonio Nusa 58' — Goal (0.12 xG, Open Play)Xavi Simons 58' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Xavi Simons 60' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Xavi Simons 61' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Aliou Balde 80' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Maximilian Wittek 85' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Maximilian Wittek 85' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Myron Boadu 85' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Set Piece)David Raum 87' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Erhan Masovic 91' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)
RasenBallsport Leipzig attacking right Bochum attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
10' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Anthony Losilla
17' RasenBallsport Leipzig Loïs Openda 0.03 Open Play — Missed Shot Mohamed Simakan
23' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Moritz Broschinski
24' RasenBallsport Leipzig Loïs Openda 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Xavi Simons
29' Bochum Lukas Daschner 0.49 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot —
29' Bochum Moritz Broschinski 0.32 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot —
29' RasenBallsport Leipzig Amadou Haidara 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Xavi Simons
39' RasenBallsport Leipzig Loïs Openda 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mohamed Simakan
41' RasenBallsport Leipzig Amadou Haidara 0.07 Set Piece — Blocked Shot Mohamed Simakan
41' RasenBallsport Leipzig Willi Orban 0.09 From Corner — Missed Shot David Raum
45' Bochum Philipp Hofmann 0.40 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Lukas Daschner
49' RasenBallsport Leipzig Benjamin Sesko 0.08 From Corner — Missed Shot David Raum
55' RasenBallsport Leipzig Benjamin Henrichs 0.02 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot —
58' RasenBallsport Leipzig Antonio Nusa 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
58' RasenBallsport Leipzig Xavi Simons 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Antonio Nusa
60' RasenBallsport Leipzig Xavi Simons 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot David Raum
61' RasenBallsport Leipzig Xavi Simons 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Benjamin Henrichs
80' Bochum Aliou Balde 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Matús Bero
85' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.06 Direct Freekick Left Foot Blocked Shot —
85' Bochum Maximilian Wittek 0.02 Set Piece Left Foot Blocked Shot —
85' Bochum Myron Boadu 0.05 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot Maximilian Wittek
87' RasenBallsport Leipzig David Raum 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Yussuf Poulsen
91' Bochum Erhan Masovic 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Aliou Balde

Players

RasenBallsport Leipzig

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Xavi Simons AMC 90 0 0 3 2 0.22 0.20 0.45
David Raum DL 90 0 0 1 3 0.09 0.21 0.45
Péter Gulácsi GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Castello Lukeba DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Kevin Kampl DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16
Loïs Openda FW 89 0 0 3 0 0.18 0.00 0.18
Willi Orban DC 88 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.21
Amadou Haidara AMC 78 0 0 2 0 0.15 0.00 0.18
Benjamin Sesko FW 78 0 0 1 0 0.08 0.00 0.20
Mohamed Simakan DR 58 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.13 0.06
Nicolas Seiwald DMC 58 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Antonio Nusa Sub 32 1 0 1 1 0.12 0.12 0.34
Benjamin Henrichs Sub 32 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.06 0.10
Lukas Klostermann Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yussuf Poulsen Sub 12 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.09
Christoph Baumgartner Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Bochum

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Maximilian Wittek DL 90 0 0 2 1 0.08 0.05 0.40
Erhan Masovic DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.00
Felix Passlack DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.01
Matús Bero MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.45
Patrick Drewes GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ibrahima Sissoko DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Moritz Broschinski FW 89 0 0 2 1 0.35 0.01 0.36
Jakov Medic DC 89 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Philipp Hofmann FW 74 0 0 2 0 0.41 0.00 0.41
Anthony Losilla MC 74 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.03
Lukas Daschner AMC 66 0 0 1 1 0.49 0.40 0.89
Myron Boadu Sub 24 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.00
Aliou Balde Sub 16 0 0 1 1 0.05 0.04 0.05
Mats Pannewig Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Samuel Bamba Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tim Oermann Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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