RasenBallsport Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 10 October 2026 · GER-Bundesliga · 2627

Bundesliga xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 06:09 UTC

RasenBallsport Leipzig

13:30 UTC

Eintracht Frankfurt

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 10 Sep, 11:32 · 722h before kick-off

RasenBallsport Leipzig win

62.3%

model 62.4%

Draw

18.9%

model 19.0%

Eintracht Frankfurt win

18.8%

model 18.6%

621919

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (248 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.5%
1-1 8.2%
2-0 7.9%
3-1 7.4%
1-0 6.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	68.6%	Under 2.5	31.4%
BTTS yes	63.2%	BTTS no	36.8%
RasenBallsport Leipzig 1+	90.3%	RasenBallsport Leipzig 2+	67.6%
Eintracht Frankfurt 1+	70.1%	Eintracht Frankfurt 2+	34.0%

Expected goals 2.33 – 1.21. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

83/100

Data quality

75/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

RasenBallsport Leipzig (-0.5)

Asian handicap · usually 42%

63.9% fair odds 1.56

strong signal · 1022 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw (1UP)

Double chance 1UP · usually 74%

83.7% fair odds 1.19

moderate signal · 424 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

RasenBallsport Leipzig carry the stronger rating, 1603 Elo against 1453.
RasenBallsport Leipzig have created 2.43 xG a match over their last five while Eintracht Frankfurt have allowed 2.00.
At home RasenBallsport Leipzig average 3.22 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

RasenBallsport Leipzig have an estimated 62.3% win probability, against 18.9% for the draw and 18.8% for Eintracht Frankfurt. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.33 for RasenBallsport Leipzig and 1.21 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Why RasenBallsport Leipzig

RasenBallsport Leipzig carry the stronger rating, 1603 Elo against 1453. RasenBallsport Leipzig have created 2.43 xG a match over their last five while Eintracht Frankfurt have allowed 2.00. At home RasenBallsport Leipzig average 3.22 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 18.9%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Eintracht Frankfurt can win

Eintracht Frankfurt have created 1.71 xG a match over their last five while RasenBallsport Leipzig have allowed 1.58. Away from home Eintracht Frankfurt average 1.40 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: RasenBallsport Leipzig were missing 1.85 expected goal involvements a match against 0.76.

Key players

RasenBallsport Leipzig's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Rômulo (0.56), Christoph Baumgartner (0.55), Yan Diomande (0.52). Eintracht Frankfurt's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Jonathan Burkardt (0.48), Younes Ebnoutalib (0.37), Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga (0.33).

Availability

3 of RasenBallsport Leipzig's top three contributors did not start their last match. 27% of RasenBallsport Leipzig's last eleven are new to the club this window. 1 of Eintracht Frankfurt's top three contributors did not start their last match. 36% of Eintracht Frankfurt's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

RasenBallsport Leipzig: 59% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 13.5 faced, 0.58 xG a match from set pieces. Eintracht Frankfurt: 55% possession, 13.6 shots a match, 15.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. RasenBallsport Leipzig's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-10 15:23 · team_stats 2026-09-09 06:03 · availability 2026-09-10 15:32 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

RasenBallsport Leipzig are the model's most likely outcome at 62.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.5%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

RasenBallsport Leipzig are finishing below their chances — 2.3 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings.

WWWWWLWLWL last 10 scored 22 from 24.3 xG conceded 15 from 15.8 xG

Eintracht Frankfurt are conceding more than the chances against them merit — 3.0 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

LDWLDLLDDL last 10 scored 16 from 17.1 xG conceded 23 from 20.0 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	621919	2.33–1.21	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	591922	2.38–1.43	2-1 9%	73%	69%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to win	62.3%	58.0%	41.6%	1.39×	1.73
Eintracht Frankfurt to win	19.3%	19.4%	33.7%	0.58×	5.14
Draw	18.4%	19.4%	24.8%	0.78×	5.15

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig & both teams score	38.1%	33.2%	22.2%	1.50×	3.01
RasenBallsport Leipzig & not both score	24.2%	21.9%	19.6%	1.11×	4.58
Draw & both teams score	16.1%	17.9%	19.1%	0.94×	5.58
Eintracht Frankfurt & both teams score	13.0%	13.3%	18.4%	0.72×	7.54
Eintracht Frankfurt & not both score	6.2%	8.4%	15.5%	0.54×	11.94
Draw & not both score	2.2%	4.9%	5.9%	0.84×	20.39

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig & over 1.5	56.8%	55.0%	35.4%	1.55×	1.82
RasenBallsport Leipzig & over 2.5	50.0%	45.1%	29.4%	1.53×	2.22
RasenBallsport Leipzig & over 3.5	35.3%	34.8%	20.3%	1.72×	2.87
RasenBallsport Leipzig & under 3.5	27.1%	26.0%	21.5%	1.21×	3.84
Draw & over 1.5	16.1%	18.0%	19.1%	0.94×	5.56
Eintracht Frankfurt & over 1.5	16.3%	18.0%	27.8%	0.65×	5.56
Eintracht Frankfurt & over 2.5	14.3%	12.9%	23.6%	0.55×	7.76
RasenBallsport Leipzig & under 2.5	12.4%	12.9%	12.3%	1.04×	7.76
Eintracht Frankfurt & under 3.5	10.7%	12.9%	19.8%	0.65×	7.76
Draw & over 2.5	8.8%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.65
Draw & under 2.5	9.6%	7.9%	15.5%	0.51×	12.65
Draw & over 3.5	8.8%	7.9%	9.5%	0.83×	12.65
Draw & under 3.5	9.6%	7.9%	15.5%	0.51×	12.65
Eintracht Frankfurt & over 3.5	8.5%	7.9%	14.1%	0.56×	12.65
RasenBallsport Leipzig & under 1.5	5.5%	7.9%	6.3%	1.25×	12.65
Eintracht Frankfurt & under 2.5	5.0%	4.8%	10.3%	0.47×	20.85
Eintracht Frankfurt & under 1.5	3.0%	4.8%	6.0%	0.80×	20.86
Draw & under 1.5	2.2%	4.8%	5.9%	0.82×	20.87

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (1UP)	76.9%	78.8%	59.6%	1.32×	1.27
Eintracht Frankfurt (1UP)	41.5%	39.2%	52.9%	0.74×	2.55

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (2UP)	62.3%	67.7%	45.0%	1.50×	1.48
Eintracht Frankfurt (2UP)	19.3%	17.6%	36.6%	0.48×	5.68

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to win 2nd half	49.9%	45.7%	37.1%	1.23×	2.19
2nd half drawn	27.4%	26.4%	33.4%	0.79×	3.79
Eintracht Frankfurt to win 2nd half	22.7%	23.1%	29.6%	0.78×	4.33

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt under 1.5 in 2nd half	79.3%	79.7%	79.2%	1.01×	1.26
Eintracht Frankfurt over 0.5 in 2nd half	57.0%	55.4%	56.6%	0.98×	1.80
Eintracht Frankfurt under 0.5 in 2nd half	43.0%	44.6%	43.4%	1.03×	2.24
Eintracht Frankfurt over 1.5 in 2nd half	20.7%	20.3%	20.8%	0.98×	4.93

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 0.5 in 2nd half	75.2%	75.6%	62.1%	1.22×	1.32
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 1.5 in 2nd half	59.4%	59.1%	74.8%	0.79×	1.69
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 1.5 in 2nd half	40.6%	40.9%	25.2%	1.62×	2.44
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 0.5 in 2nd half	24.8%	24.4%	37.9%	0.64×	4.10

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (+0.5)	80.7%	82.4%	66.3%	1.24×	1.21
Eintracht Frankfurt (+2.5)	77.0%	78.4%	88.3%	0.89×	1.28
RasenBallsport Leipzig (-0.5)	62.3%	62.9%	41.6%	1.51×	1.59
Eintracht Frankfurt (+1.5)	58.9%	57.0%	75.3%	0.76×	1.75
RasenBallsport Leipzig (-1.5)	41.1%	43.0%	24.7%	1.74×	2.33
Eintracht Frankfurt (+0.5)	37.7%	37.1%	58.4%	0.64×	2.70
RasenBallsport Leipzig (-2.5)	23.0%	21.6%	11.7%	1.84×	4.63
Eintracht Frankfurt (-0.5)	19.3%	17.6%	33.7%	0.52×	5.70

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt to concede	91.5%	91.6%	78.8%	1.16×	1.09
Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet	8.5%	8.4%	21.2%	0.40×	11.90

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt to concede in 1st half	65.8%	69.1%	51.8%	1.33×	1.45
Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet in 1st half	34.2%	30.9%	48.2%	0.64×	3.24

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt to concede in 2nd half	75.2%	74.6%	62.1%	1.20×	1.34
Eintracht Frankfurt clean sheet in 2nd half	24.8%	25.4%	37.9%	0.67×	3.94

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt under 3.5 goals	95.4%	97.5%	92.6%	1.05×	1.03
Eintracht Frankfurt under 2.5 goals	85.0%	87.8%	79.0%	1.11×	1.14
Eintracht Frankfurt over 0.5 goals	73.5%	71.9%	74.7%	0.96×	1.39
Eintracht Frankfurt under 1.5 goals	61.6%	63.1%	57.1%	1.10×	1.59
Eintracht Frankfurt over 1.5 goals	38.4%	36.9%	42.9%	0.86×	2.71
Eintracht Frankfurt under 0.5 goals	26.5%	28.1%	25.3%	1.11×	3.56
Eintracht Frankfurt over 2.5 goals	15.0%	12.2%	21.0%	0.58×	8.22
Eintracht Frankfurt over 3.5 goals	4.6%	2.5%	7.4%	0.34×	39.94

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt under 1.5 in 1st half	91.4%	94.1%	85.7%	1.10×	1.06
Eintracht Frankfurt under 0.5 in 1st half	61.5%	64.0%	54.4%	1.18×	1.56
Eintracht Frankfurt over 0.5 in 1st half	38.5%	36.0%	45.6%	0.79×	2.78
Eintracht Frankfurt over 1.5 in 1st half	8.6%	5.9%	14.3%	0.41×	17.06

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt scores more in 2nd half	41.6%	43.8%	36.9%	1.19×	2.28
Eintracht Frankfurt scores equally in both	38.5%	36.5%	38.8%	0.94×	2.74
Eintracht Frankfurt scores more in 1st half	19.9%	18.1%	24.4%	0.74×	5.52

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (away no bet)	77.2%	73.6%	62.6%	1.18×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	22.8%	26.4%	37.4%	0.71×	3.79

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt even goals	53.5%	52.8%	53.2%	0.99×	1.89
Eintracht Frankfurt odd goals	46.5%	47.2%	46.8%	1.01×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	69.8%	72.3%	75.8%	0.95×	1.38
Both halves over 1.5 goals	30.2%	27.7%	24.2%	1.14×	3.61

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	81.4%	77.5%	72.3%	1.07×	1.29
Both halves under 1.5 goals	18.6%	22.5%	27.7%	0.81×	4.44

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	74.1%	72.2%	66.9%	1.08×	1.39
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score 2+ in a row	60.8%	59.9%	42.3%	1.41×	1.67
Either team to score 3+ in a row	36.6%	36.5%	29.5%	1.24×	2.74
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score 3+ in a row	31.0%	29.0%	17.6%	1.65×	3.44
Eintracht Frankfurt to score 2+ in a row	25.3%	25.0%	34.7%	0.72×	4.00
Eintracht Frankfurt to score 3+ in a row	6.4%	5.6%	12.8%	0.44×	17.81

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	11.4%	11.4%	5.4%	2.13×	8.74
2-1	9.1%	7.4%	6.8%	1.09×	13.50
1-1	7.4%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.50
2-0	6.8%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.50
3-1	7.5%	7.4%	6.2%	1.20×	13.50
1-0	5.5%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.50
2-2	6.0%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.50
3-0	5.6%	7.4%	2.7%	2.75×	13.50
1-2	4.9%	1.7%	6.8%	0.25×	58.29
3-2	5.0%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.29
0-0	2.2%	1.7%	5.9%	0.29×	58.31
0-1	3.0%	1.7%	6.0%	0.29×	58.30
0-2	2.0%	1.7%	4.4%	0.39×	58.31
0-3	0.9%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.31
0-4	0.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.32
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.31
1-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.7%	0.99×	58.32
2-3	2.7%	1.7%	2.7%	0.64×	58.30
2-4	0.9%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.31
3-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.0%	0.57×	58.31
3-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.4%	1.20×	58.32
4-0	3.5%	1.7%	3.6%	0.47×	58.30
4-1	4.6%	1.7%	2.2%	0.77×	58.29
4-2	3.1%	1.7%	1.1%	1.55×	58.30
4-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.81×	58.31
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.61×	58.32

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (2nd half DNB)	68.7%	70.0%	55.6%	1.26×	1.43
Eintracht Frankfurt (2nd half DNB)	31.3%	30.0%	44.4%	0.67×	3.34

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig leading at HT (DNB)	75.0%	77.2%	55.5%	1.39×	1.30
Eintracht Frankfurt leading at HT (DNB)	25.0%	22.8%	44.5%	0.51×	4.39

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig or Eintracht Frankfurt (12)	81.6%	80.6%	75.2%	1.07×	1.24
RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw (1X)	80.7%	80.6%	66.3%	1.22×	1.24
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw (X2)	37.7%	42.0%	58.4%	0.72×	2.38

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw at HT	83.4%	84.5%	70.7%	1.20×	1.18
RasenBallsport Leipzig or Eintracht Frankfurt at HT	66.5%	66.3%	65.8%	1.01×	1.51
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw at HT	50.2%	47.5%	63.4%	0.75×	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw (1UP)	80.7%	88.3%	73.5%	1.20×	1.13
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw (1UP)	41.5%	52.5%	65.1%	0.81×	1.90

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig or draw in 2nd half	77.3%	76.9%	70.4%	1.09×	1.30
RasenBallsport Leipzig or Eintracht Frankfurt in 2nd half	72.6%	73.6%	66.6%	1.11×	1.36
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw in 2nd half	50.1%	54.3%	62.9%	0.86×	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	48.2%	50.2%	46.3%	1.08×	1.99
A half drawn	51.8%	49.8%	53.7%	0.93×	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (DNB)	76.4%	74.5%	55.3%	1.35×	1.34
Eintracht Frankfurt (DNB)	23.6%	25.5%	44.7%	0.57×	3.92

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score first	63.5%	64.6%	50.7%	1.27×	1.55
Eintracht Frankfurt to score first	34.2%	27.3%	43.6%	0.63×	3.66
No goal scored	2.2%	4.2%	5.9%	0.72×	23.59

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	67.3%	58.3%	59.3%	0.98×	1.72
Not both teams to score	32.7%	41.7%	40.7%	1.03×	2.40

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	59.9%	47.4%	49.7%	0.95×	2.11
Not both score & under 2.5	19.6%	21.7%	28.2%	0.77×	4.61
Not both score & over 2.5	13.1%	12.3%	12.7%	0.97×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	7.4%	8.3%	9.8%	0.85×	12.00

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	72.9%	80.6%	79.7%	1.01×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	27.1%	19.4%	20.3%	0.96×	5.15

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	57.1%	66.2%	65.6%	1.01×	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	42.9%	33.8%	34.4%	0.98×	2.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	42.7%	50.0%	51.7%	0.97×	2.00
Both score 2nd half only	32.0%	26.6%	27.7%	0.96×	3.76
Both score 1st half only	14.5%	10.8%	14.1%	0.76×	9.29
Both score in both halves	10.8%	10.7%	6.8%	1.57×	9.35

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	74.7%	80.1%	79.2%	1.01×	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	25.3%	19.9%	20.8%	0.96×	5.02

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	70.5%	72.5%	66.9%	1.08×	1.38
A half without a goal	29.5%	27.5%	33.1%	0.83×	3.63

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	43.6%	42.1%	39.9%	1.05×	2.38
2-3 goals	36.7%	35.1%	38.8%	0.91×	2.85
0-1 goals	10.8%	16.9%	17.9%	0.94×	5.93
7+ goals	9.0%	7.6%	3.8%	2.01×	13.10

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt to score exactly 1	35.2%	36.0%	32.0%	1.12×	2.78
Eintracht Frankfurt to score exactly 0	26.5%	27.4%	25.3%	1.08×	3.65
Eintracht Frankfurt to score exactly 2	23.4%	22.4%	22.0%	1.02×	4.47
Eintracht Frankfurt to score 3+	15.0%	12.9%	21.0%	0.61×	7.78

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score 3+	44.8%	35.0%	27.4%	1.28×	2.86
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score exactly 2	25.8%	26.5%	22.6%	1.17×	3.78
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score exactly 1	20.9%	23.2%	29.1%	0.80×	4.31
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score exactly 0	8.5%	10.4%	21.2%	0.49×	9.66

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig leading at HT	49.8%	52.5%	36.6%	1.43×	1.91
Draw at HT	33.5%	33.7%	34.2%	0.99×	2.96
Eintracht Frankfurt leading at HT	16.6%	15.5%	29.3%	0.53×	6.44

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig -1: 1	41.1%	42.7%	—	—	2.34
RasenBallsport Leipzig -1: 2	37.7%	37.4%	—	—	2.68
RasenBallsport Leipzig -1: X	21.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:1)	41.1%	42.6%	24.7%	1.73×	2.35
Eintracht Frankfurt (0:1)	37.7%	37.4%	58.4%	0.64×	2.68
Draw (0:1)	21.2%	24.3%	17.1%	1.42×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt (0:2)	58.9%	62.9%	75.3%	0.84×	1.59
RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:2)	23.0%	20.3%	11.7%	1.74×	4.91
Draw (0:2)	18.1%	15.3%	13.1%	1.16×	6.55

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt (0:3)	77.0%	80.4%	88.3%	0.91×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	12.1%	10.0%	5.1%	1.97×	10.02
RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:3)	10.9%	10.0%	6.8%	1.46×	10.04

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt (0:4)	89.1%	92.1%	93.2%	0.99×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	6.5%	4.6%	5.2%	0.88×	21.69
RasenBallsport Leipzig (0:4)	4.5%	1.2%	1.7%	0.69×	83.23

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (1:0)	80.7%	81.3%	66.3%	1.23×	1.23
Draw (1:0)	11.4%	12.8%	16.5%	0.78×	7.84
Eintracht Frankfurt (1:0)	7.9%	6.9%	17.4%	0.40×	14.40

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig (2:0)	92.1%	93.9%	82.6%	1.14×	1.07
Draw (2:0)	5.3%	6.4%	10.0%	0.65×	15.52
Eintracht Frankfurt (2:0)	2.6%	2.3%	7.6%	0.30×	43.69

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	53.1%	50.4%	46.9%	1.07×	1.98
1st half highest scoring	26.6%	26.5%	26.3%	1.01×	3.77
Halves equal	20.2%	24.0%	26.9%	0.89×	4.16

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to concede	73.5%	73.1%	74.7%	0.98×	1.37
RasenBallsport Leipzig clean sheet	26.5%	26.9%	25.3%	1.06×	3.72

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig clean sheet in 1st half	61.5%	64.1%	54.4%	1.18×	1.56
RasenBallsport Leipzig to concede in 1st half	38.5%	35.9%	45.6%	0.79×	2.78

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to concede in 2nd half	57.0%	55.5%	56.6%	0.98×	1.80
RasenBallsport Leipzig clean sheet in 2nd half	43.0%	44.5%	43.4%	1.02×	2.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 0.5 goals	91.5%	92.2%	78.8%	1.17×	1.08
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 3.5 goals	76.5%	77.7%	88.6%	0.88×	1.29
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 1.5 goals	70.6%	74.2%	49.8%	1.49×	1.35
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 2.5 goals	55.2%	58.8%	72.6%	0.81×	1.70
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 2.5 goals	44.8%	41.2%	27.4%	1.51×	2.42
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 1.5 goals	29.4%	25.8%	50.2%	0.51×	3.88
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 3.5 goals	23.5%	22.3%	11.4%	1.96×	4.49
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 0.5 goals	8.5%	7.8%	21.2%	0.37×	12.87

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 1.5 in 1st half	70.9%	79.7%	80.8%	0.99×	1.26
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 0.5 in 1st half	65.8%	67.9%	51.8%	1.31×	1.47
RasenBallsport Leipzig under 0.5 in 1st half	34.2%	32.1%	48.2%	0.67×	3.11
RasenBallsport Leipzig over 1.5 in 1st half	29.1%	20.3%	19.2%	1.06×	4.92

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig scores more in 2nd half	44.3%	42.5%	37.7%	1.13×	2.35
RasenBallsport Leipzig scores more in 1st half	28.9%	28.1%	25.7%	1.09×	3.57
RasenBallsport Leipzig scores equally in both	26.8%	28.0%	36.8%	0.76×	3.57

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt (home no bet)	51.2%	51.5%	57.6%	0.89×	1.94
Draw (home no bet)	48.8%	48.5%	42.4%	1.14×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig even goals	50.4%	50.6%	52.5%	0.96×	1.98
RasenBallsport Leipzig odd goals	49.6%	49.4%	47.5%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	22.6%	24.2%	19.3%	1.25×	4.14
HT 0-0	21.1%	24.1%	23.3%	1.04×	4.14
HT 2-0	12.1%	10.9%	9.5%	1.15×	9.16
HT 1-1	11.0%	10.9%	9.8%	1.11×	9.17
Any other HT score	10.6%	10.9%	6.7%	1.64×	9.17
HT 0-1	10.2%	10.9%	16.5%	0.66×	9.18
HT 2-1	5.9%	7.1%	4.3%	1.66×	14.04
HT 0-2	2.5%	2.3%	7.1%	0.32×	43.52
HT 1-2	2.7%	2.3%	3.5%	0.66×	43.51
HT 2-2	1.4%	2.3%	1.3%	1.81×	43.60

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT / RasenBallsport Leipzig at FT	42.1%	43.2%	28.1%	1.54×	2.32
Draw at HT / RasenBallsport Leipzig at FT	16.7%	16.7%	10.6%	1.58×	5.97
Eintracht Frankfurt at HT / Eintracht Frankfurt at FT	9.3%	6.0%	20.3%	0.30×	16.61
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.2%	6.0%	13.9%	0.43×	16.61
Draw at HT / Eintracht Frankfurt at FT	7.6%	6.0%	10.0%	0.60×	16.66
RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT / Draw at FT	5.3%	6.0%	5.1%	1.18×	16.73
Eintracht Frankfurt at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	6.0%	0.58×	28.77
Eintracht Frankfurt at HT / RasenBallsport Leipzig at FT	3.5%	3.5%	3.3%	1.04×	28.79
RasenBallsport Leipzig at HT / Eintracht Frankfurt at FT	2.4%	3.5%	3.8%	0.91×	28.83

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score last	63.5%	62.2%	49.8%	1.25×	1.61
Eintracht Frankfurt to score last	34.2%	33.0%	44.5%	0.74×	3.03
No goal scored	2.2%	4.2%	5.9%	0.72×	23.59

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	97.8%	95.7%	94.1%	1.02×	1.05
RasenBallsport Leipzig to lead by 1 at any time	76.9%	78.1%	59.6%	1.31×	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	63.9%	61.4%	55.9%	1.10×	1.63
RasenBallsport Leipzig to lead by 2 at any time	50.1%	50.7%	33.1%	1.53×	1.97
Eintracht Frankfurt to lead by 1 at any time	41.5%	39.2%	52.9%	0.74×	2.55
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	31.8%	29.3%	25.7%	1.14×	3.41
RasenBallsport Leipzig to lead by 3 at any time	27.5%	25.5%	15.5%	1.64×	3.92
Eintracht Frankfurt to lead by 2 at any time	14.6%	10.5%	23.6%	0.45×	9.52
Eintracht Frankfurt to lead by 3 at any time	4.3%	1.7%	10.3%	0.16×	60.16

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	80.2%	83.4%	78.5%	1.06×	1.20
1-5 goals	79.4%	78.6%	83.2%	0.94×	1.27
2-5 goals	70.9%	72.4%	71.2%	1.02×	1.38
1-4 goals	64.6%	63.4%	72.3%	0.88×	1.58
3-6 goals	64.1%	63.4%	58.5%	1.08×	1.58
2-4 goals	56.1%	59.1%	60.3%	0.98×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.7%	53.2%	51.3%	1.04×	1.88
1-3 goals	45.2%	48.6%	50.8%	0.96×	2.06
4-6 goals	43.6%	43.6%	39.9%	1.09×	2.30
3-4 goals	39.9%	39.2%	40.3%	0.97×	2.55
2-3 goals	36.7%	39.2%	38.8%	1.01×	2.55
4-5 goals	34.2%	35.3%	32.6%	1.08×	2.83
1-2 goals	24.7%	24.5%	32.1%	0.76×	4.08
5-6 goals	24.1%	24.5%	18.4%	1.34×	4.08
7+ goals	9.0%	8.8%	3.8%	2.33×	11.31

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig never behind	56.3%	62.5%	47.1%	1.33×	1.60
Eintracht Frankfurt never behind	20.8%	24.2%	40.4%	0.60×	4.14

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	44.8%	1.14×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	55.2%	0.89×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.2%	51.7%	52.6%	0.98×	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.8%	48.3%	47.4%	1.02×	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.6%	52.0%	52.9%	0.98×	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.4%	48.0%	47.1%	1.02×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	97.8%	95.4%	94.1%	1.01×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.2%	87.6%	82.1%	1.07×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	81.7%	82.3%	88.9%	0.93×	1.22
Over 2.5 goals	73.0%	72.5%	62.2%	1.17×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	66.9%	66.2%	78.0%	0.85×	1.51
Over 3.5 goals	52.6%	52.6%	43.5%	1.21×	1.90
Under 3.5 goals	47.4%	47.4%	56.5%	0.84×	2.11
Over 4.5 goals	33.1%	33.8%	22.0%	1.53×	2.96
Under 2.5 goals	27.0%	27.5%	37.8%	0.73×	3.63
Over 5.5 goals	18.3%	17.7%	11.1%	1.60×	5.65
Under 1.5 goals	10.8%	12.4%	17.9%	0.69×	8.08
Under 0.5 goals	2.2%	4.6%	5.9%	0.78×	21.95

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	90.1%	92.4%	95.9%	0.96×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	87.2%	86.7%	77.7%	1.12×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	78.5%	75.9%	87.6%	0.87×	1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	66.1%	67.4%	53.5%	1.26×	1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	58.9%	55.6%	72.0%	0.77×	1.80
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	41.1%	44.4%	28.0%	1.58×	2.25
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	33.9%	32.6%	46.5%	0.70×	3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	21.5%	24.1%	12.4%	1.94×	4.14
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	12.8%	13.3%	22.3%	0.59×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	9.9%	7.6%	4.1%	1.86×	13.13

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	79.4%	78.9%	84.8%	0.93×	1.27
Over 0.5 in 1st half	78.9%	78.9%	76.7%	1.03×	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	53.9%	56.8%	58.8%	0.97×	1.76
Over 1.5 in 1st half	46.1%	43.2%	41.2%	1.05×	2.31
Under 0.5 in 1st half	21.1%	21.1%	23.3%	0.91×	4.74
Over 2.5 in 1st half	20.6%	21.1%	15.2%	1.39×	4.74

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	89.3%	85.5%	84.3%	1.01×	1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	65.5%	67.4%	55.3%	1.22×	1.48
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	61.3%	61.6%	73.4%	0.84×	1.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	38.7%	38.4%	26.6%	1.44×	2.60
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	34.5%	32.6%	44.7%	0.73×	3.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	10.7%	14.5%	15.7%	0.92×	6.89

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt not to score in both halves	78.1%	78.3%	72.4%	1.08×	1.28
RasenBallsport Leipzig not to score in both halves	50.5%	55.4%	64.8%	0.86×	1.80
RasenBallsport Leipzig to score in both halves	49.5%	44.6%	35.2%	1.27×	2.24
Eintracht Frankfurt to score in both halves	21.9%	21.7%	27.6%	0.79×	4.60

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	67.3%	59.7%	59.3%	1.01×	1.68
Only RasenBallsport Leipzig scores	24.2%	22.3%	19.6%	1.14×	4.49
Only Eintracht Frankfurt scores	6.2%	7.2%	15.5%	0.46×	13.92
Neither team scores	2.2%	4.7%	5.9%	0.79×	21.51

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	20.5%	22.6%	18.8%	1.20×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	19.4%	17.4%	21.7%	0.80×	5.73
6 or more goals	18.3%	17.4%	11.1%	1.58×	5.73
Exactly 2 goals	16.2%	17.4%	20.1%	0.87×	5.73
Exactly 5 goals	14.8%	12.1%	11.1%	1.09×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	8.5%	7.6%	12.2%	0.63×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	2.2%	4.5%	5.9%	0.76×	22.44

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	32.8%	35.9%	35.7%	1.01×	2.79
2 goals in 1st half	25.6%	28.5%	26.1%	1.09×	3.51
No goals in 1st half	21.1%	21.7%	23.3%	0.93×	4.61
3+ goals in 1st half	20.6%	21.7%	15.2%	1.42×	4.61

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	65.5%	58.7%	55.3%	1.06×	1.70
1 goal in 2nd half	23.9%	23.1%	29.2%	0.79×	4.33
No goals in 2nd half	10.7%	14.3%	15.7%	0.91×	6.98

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt not to win both halves	96.2%	97.2%	90.5%	1.07×	1.03
RasenBallsport Leipzig not to win both halves	75.1%	75.0%	84.2%	0.89×	1.33
RasenBallsport Leipzig to win both halves	24.9%	25.0%	15.8%	1.58×	4.00
Eintracht Frankfurt to win both halves	3.8%	2.8%	9.5%	0.29×	35.66

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig to win either half	74.9%	73.1%	57.8%	1.26×	1.37
Eintracht Frankfurt to win neither half	64.5%	65.1%	50.6%	1.29×	1.54
Eintracht Frankfurt to win either half	35.5%	34.9%	49.4%	0.71×	2.87
RasenBallsport Leipzig to win neither half	25.1%	26.9%	42.2%	0.64×	3.71

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Eintracht Frankfurt not to win to nil	93.8%	92.0%	84.5%	1.09×	1.09
RasenBallsport Leipzig not to win to nil	75.8%	78.1%	80.4%	0.97×	1.28
RasenBallsport Leipzig to win to nil	24.2%	21.9%	19.6%	1.12×	4.56
Eintracht Frankfurt to win to nil	6.2%	8.0%	15.5%	0.51×	12.53

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
RasenBallsport Leipzig by 3+	23.0%	24.2%	11.7%	2.06×	4.14
RasenBallsport Leipzig by 1	21.2%	24.2%	17.1%	1.41×	4.14
Draw	18.4%	16.9%	24.8%	0.68×	5.91
RasenBallsport Leipzig by 2	18.1%	16.9%	13.1%	1.29×	5.91
Eintracht Frankfurt by 1	11.4%	11.8%	16.5%	0.72×	8.50
Eintracht Frankfurt by 2	5.3%	7.2%	10.0%	0.73×	13.82
Eintracht Frankfurt by 3+	2.6%	2.7%	7.6%	0.36×	36.68