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RasenBallsport Leipzig v Union Berlin — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 14 September 2024 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

Shots
14 – 10
On target
3 – 3
Shots in box
8 – 9
xG per shot
0.09 – 0.09
Set-piece xG
0.89 – 0.65
Goals − xG
-1.29 – -0.87
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.71.11.40'15'30'45'60'75'90'
RasenBallsport Leipzig 1.29 xGUnion Berlin 0.87 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Xavi Simons 1' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Loïs Openda 12' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Kevin Kampl 18' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Loïs Openda 20' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Amadou Haidara 27' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Benjamin Henrichs 42' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Benjamin Sesko 42' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Amadou Haidara 44' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Lukas Klostermann 45' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Janik Haberer 45' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Set Piece)Diogo Leite 46' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Xavi Simons 54' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Tom Rothe 57' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Diogo Leite 58' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Benjamin Henrichs 65' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Xavi Simons 67' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Loïs Openda 73' — Saved Shot (0.76 xG, )Yorbe Vertessen 75' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Janik Haberer 80' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Diogo Leite 81' — Missed Shot (0.35 xG, From Corner)Janik Haberer 87' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Woo-Yeong Jeong 87' — Blocked Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)David Raum 91' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Aljoscha Kemlein 94' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)
RasenBallsport Leipzig attacking right Union Berlin attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' RasenBallsport Leipzig Xavi Simons 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
12' RasenBallsport Leipzig Loïs Openda 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Benjamin Henrichs
18' RasenBallsport Leipzig Kevin Kampl 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot David Raum
20' RasenBallsport Leipzig Loïs Openda 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Benjamin Henrichs
27' RasenBallsport Leipzig Amadou Haidara 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Kevin Kampl
42' RasenBallsport Leipzig Benjamin Henrichs 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot David Raum
42' RasenBallsport Leipzig Benjamin Sesko 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Xavi Simons
44' RasenBallsport Leipzig Amadou Haidara 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
45' RasenBallsport Leipzig Lukas Klostermann 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
45' Union Berlin Janik Haberer 0.07 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot László Bénes
46' Union Berlin Diogo Leite 0.04 From Corner Saved Shot László Bénes
54' RasenBallsport Leipzig Xavi Simons 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Kevin Kampl
57' Union Berlin Tom Rothe 0.09 From Corner Saved Shot Yorbe Vertessen
58' Union Berlin Diogo Leite 0.03 From Corner Saved Shot Yorbe Vertessen
65' RasenBallsport Leipzig Benjamin Henrichs 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Xavi Simons
67' RasenBallsport Leipzig Xavi Simons 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Benjamin Henrichs
73' RasenBallsport Leipzig Loïs Openda 0.76 Right Foot Saved Shot
75' Union Berlin Yorbe Vertessen 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
80' Union Berlin Janik Haberer 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Blocked Shot
81' Union Berlin Diogo Leite 0.35 From Corner Missed Shot Yorbe Vertessen
87' Union Berlin Janik Haberer 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
87' Union Berlin Woo-Yeong Jeong 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Yorbe Vertessen
91' RasenBallsport Leipzig David Raum 0.04 Direct Freekick Left Foot Saved Shot
94' Union Berlin Aljoscha Kemlein 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot

Players

Union Berlin

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Diogo Leite DC 90 0 0 3 0 0.43 0.00 0.00
Janik Haberer DMR 90 0 0 3 0 0.14 0.00 0.22
Danilho Doekhi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Frederik Rönnow GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Kevin Vogt DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rani Khedira MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Tom Rothe DML 81 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.00
Andras Schafer MC 81 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Benedict Hollerbach FWR 69 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
László Bénes FWL 56 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.11 0.00
Tim Skarke FW 56 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yorbe Vertessen Sub 34 0 0 1 4 0.04 0.60 0.17
Jordan Siebatcheu Sub 34 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Woo-Yeong Jeong Sub 21 0 0 1 0 0.13 0.00 0.13
Aljoscha Kemlein Sub 9 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.00
Leopold Querfeld Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

RasenBallsport Leipzig

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Loïs Openda FW 90 0 0 3 0 0.86 0.00 0.15
Xavi Simons AMC 90 0 0 3 2 0.16 0.08 0.21
David Raum DML 90 0 0 1 2 0.04 0.06 0.11
Lukas Klostermann DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.15
Péter Gulácsi GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Castello Lukeba DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Kevin Kampl MC 88 0 0 1 2 0.05 0.06 0.13
Lutsharel Geertruida DC 88 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Benjamin Henrichs DMR 79 0 0 2 3 0.07 0.14 0.26
Amadou Haidara MC 66 0 0 2 0 0.06 0.00 0.18
Benjamin Sesko AMC 66 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.12
Arthur Vermeeren Sub 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Antonio Nusa Sub 24 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Christoph Baumgartner Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
El Chadaille Bitshiabu Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yussuf Poulsen Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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