betaider.com
Sign in

Rayo Vallecano v Real Valladolid — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 7 February 2025 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–0
2.87 – 0.61 xG
Shots
20 – 8
On target
5 – 3
Shots in box
11 – 5
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.08
Set-piece xG
0.08 – 0.12
Goals − xG
-1.88 – -0.61
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.62.43.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Álvaro García 70' — goal
Rayo Vallecano 2.88 xGReal Valladolid 0.61 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Florian Lejeune 4' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Marcos de Sousa 6' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Isi Palazón 9' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Javi Sánchez 13' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Direct Freekick)Abdul Mumin 30' — Blocked Shot (0.34 xG, Open Play)Florian Lejeune 30' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Direct Freekick)Pathé Ciss 36' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Isi Palazón 42' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Sergi Guardiola 42' — Missed Shot (0.44 xG, Open Play)Isi Palazón 44' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Álvaro García 46' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Álvaro García 50' — Blocked Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Álvaro García 51' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Isi Palazón 52' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Sergi Guardiola 53' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Pedro Díaz 58' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jorge De Frutos 60' — Saved Shot (0.49 xG, Open Play)Pedro Díaz 60' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Chuki 61' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Isi Palazón 67' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Álvaro García 70' — Goal (0.30 xG, Open Play)Marcos de Sousa 74' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Set Piece)Pep Chavarría 78' — Missed Shot (0.52 xG, Open Play)Juan Latasa 81' — Missed Shot (0.37 xG, Open Play)Mario Martín 83' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Juan Latasa 84' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Álvaro García 87' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Juan Latasa 93' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)
Rayo Vallecano attacking right Real Valladolid attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
4' Rayo Vallecano Florian Lejeune 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Pathé Ciss
6' Real Valladolid Marcos de Sousa 0.04 Open Play Missed Shot Antonio Candela
9' Rayo Vallecano Isi Palazón 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Pep Chavarría
13' Real Valladolid Javi Sánchez 0.06 Direct Freekick Right Foot Saved Shot
30' Rayo Vallecano Abdul Mumin 0.34 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
30' Rayo Vallecano Florian Lejeune 0.03 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot
36' Rayo Vallecano Pathé Ciss 0.03 From Corner Missed Shot Jorge De Frutos
42' Rayo Vallecano Isi Palazón 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
42' Rayo Vallecano Sergi Guardiola 0.44 Open Play Missed Shot Florian Lejeune
44' Rayo Vallecano Isi Palazón 0.12 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Pep Chavarría
46' Rayo Vallecano Álvaro García 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Pedro Díaz
50' Rayo Vallecano Álvaro García 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Andrei Ratiu
51' Rayo Vallecano Álvaro García 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
52' Rayo Vallecano Isi Palazón 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Álvaro García
53' Rayo Vallecano Sergi Guardiola 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Florian Lejeune
58' Rayo Vallecano Pedro Díaz 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Álvaro García
60' Rayo Vallecano Jorge De Frutos 0.49 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
60' Rayo Vallecano Pedro Díaz 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Isi Palazón
61' Real Valladolid Chuki 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Tamás Nikitscher
67' Rayo Vallecano Isi Palazón 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Pep Chavarría
70' Rayo Vallecano Álvaro García 0.30 Open Play Left Foot Goal Jorge De Frutos
74' Real Valladolid Marcos de Sousa 0.01 Set Piece Saved Shot Luis Pérez
78' Rayo Vallecano Pep Chavarría 0.52 Open Play Missed Shot Pedro Díaz
81' Real Valladolid Juan Latasa 0.37 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Anuar Mohamed
83' Real Valladolid Mario Martín 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Florian Grillitsch
84' Real Valladolid Juan Latasa 0.05 From Corner Blocked Shot Darwin Machís
87' Rayo Vallecano Álvaro García 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Óscar Valentín
93' Real Valladolid Juan Latasa 0.01 Open Play Missed Shot David Torres

Players

Rayo Vallecano

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Álvaro García AML 90 1 0 5 2 0.56 0.11 0.67
Pep Chavarría DL 90 0 0 1 3 0.52 0.20 1.15
Abdul Mumin DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.34 0.00 0.82
Florian Lejeune DC 90 0 0 2 2 0.05 0.53 1.72
Augusto Batalla GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Andrei Ratiu DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.14 1.01
Jorge De Frutos AMR 86 0 1 1 2 0.49 0.33 1.81
Isi Palazón AMC 86 0 0 5 1 0.29 0.01 0.52
Sergi Guardiola Sub 71 0 0 2 0 0.53 0.00 1.04
Pedro Díaz Sub 68 0 0 2 2 0.08 0.58 0.65
Pathé Ciss DMC 49 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.02 0.14
Óscar Valentín Sub 41 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.16
Unai López DMC 22 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Sergio Camello FW 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Óscar Trejo Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Adrián Embarba Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Real Valladolid

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Mario Martín MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.06
Luis Pérez MR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.37
Karl Hein GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.37
Joseph Aidoo DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.37
David Torres DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.38
Tamás Nikitscher DMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.42
Anuar Mohamed ML 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.37 0.46
Marcos de Sousa FW 81 0 0 2 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Antonio Candela DR 81 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.04 0.04
Chuki MC 69 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.05
Javi Sánchez DC 61 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.00
Adam Aznou Sub 29 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Florian Grillitsch Sub 21 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.43
Juan Latasa Sub 9 0 0 3 0 0.43 0.00 0.38
Darwin Machís Sub 9 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.00
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide