Real Betis v Osasuna — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 11 October 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627

La Liga xG Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 06:09 UTC

Real Betis

15:00 UTC

Osasuna

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 8 Sep, 07:54 · 799h before kick-off

Real Betis win

49.7%

model 48.2%

Draw

22.4%

model 24.6%

Osasuna win

27.9%

model 27.2%

502228

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (476 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 11.7%
1-0 10.1%
2-1 9.5%
2-0 8.2%
0-1 7.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	52.6%	Under 2.5	47.4%
BTTS yes	55.0%	BTTS no	45.0%
Real Betis 1+	80.2%	Real Betis 2+	48.2%
Osasuna 1+	68.6%	Osasuna 2+	32.2%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.16. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

94/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

3-6 goals

Multi goal · usually 48%

52.3% fair odds 1.91

moderate signal · 1766 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Not both to score by HT

GG/NG half time · usually 83%

83.1% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1245 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Real Betis carry the stronger rating, 1641 Elo against 1483.
Real Betis have created 1.50 xG a match over their last five while Osasuna have allowed 1.27.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.
At home Real Betis average 1.66 xG a match.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Real Betis have an estimated 49.7% win probability, against 27.9% for Osasuna and 22.4% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.62 for Real Betis and 1.16 for Osasuna.

Why Real Betis

Real Betis carry the stronger rating, 1641 Elo against 1483. Real Betis have created 1.50 xG a match over their last five while Osasuna have allowed 1.27. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five. At home Real Betis average 1.66 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.4%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Osasuna can win

Osasuna have created 1.51 xG a match over their last five while Real Betis have allowed 1.81. Away from home Osasuna average 1.25 xG a match. Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Real Betis were missing 0.88 expected goal involvements a match against 0.45.

Key players

Real Betis's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Juan Camilo Hernández (0.44), Abdessamad Ezzalzouli (0.40), Antony (0.38). Osasuna's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Ante Budimir (0.61), Víctor Muñoz (0.27), Rubén García (0.20).

Availability

1 of Real Betis's top three contributors did not start their last match. 1 of Osasuna's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Real Betis: 54% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.35 xG a match from set pieces. Osasuna: 47% possession, 10.6 shots a match, 9.0 faced, 0.25 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-08 10:52 · team_stats 2026-09-08 06:03 · availability 2026-09-08 11:54 · prediction 2026-09-04 06:09 ·

Real Betis are the model's most likely outcome at 49.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.7%. Confidence 94/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Real Betis are conceding sharply fewer than expected — 5.1 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

DWDWLWWWLW last 10 scored 16 from 15.0 xG conceded 13 from 18.1 xG

Osasuna are finishing below their chances — 3.1 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 4.3 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

WLLLLLDWWL last 10 scored 12 from 15.1 xG conceded 17 from 12.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	482527	1.62–1.16	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	492526	1.60–1.08	1-1 12%	50%	53%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis to win	48.2%	49.3%	46.8%	1.05×	2.03
Osasuna to win	27.2%	27.6%	28.1%	0.98×	3.62
Draw	24.6%	22.2%	25.2%	0.88×	4.51

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis & not both score	25.2%	26.3%	25.3%	1.04×	3.80
Real Betis & both teams score	22.9%	22.6%	21.7%	1.04×	4.42
Draw & both teams score	18.4%	17.8%	20.2%	0.88×	5.63
Osasuna & both teams score	13.7%	12.2%	13.7%	0.89×	8.22
Osasuna & not both score	13.5%	12.2%	14.6%	0.84×	8.22
Draw & not both score	6.2%	7.3%	5.1%	1.43×	13.70

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis & over 1.5	38.1%	37.5%	34.1%	1.10×	2.66
Real Betis & under 3.5	32.1%	33.1%	33.0%	1.00×	3.02
Real Betis & over 2.5	29.9%	25.5%	28.0%	0.91×	3.92
Osasuna & over 1.5	20.0%	21.5%	21.2%	1.01×	4.65
Osasuna & under 3.5	19.7%	17.6%	21.7%	0.81×	5.69
Draw & over 1.5	18.4%	17.6%	20.2%	0.87×	5.69
Real Betis & under 2.5	18.2%	17.6%	18.9%	0.93×	5.69
Draw & under 2.5	17.9%	17.6%	20.1%	0.88×	5.69
Draw & under 3.5	17.9%	17.6%	20.1%	0.88×	5.69
Real Betis & over 3.5	16.1%	17.6%	13.9%	1.26×	5.70
Osasuna & over 2.5	15.9%	17.6%	16.7%	1.05×	5.70
Osasuna & under 2.5	11.3%	12.7%	11.6%	1.10×	7.87
Real Betis & under 1.5	10.1%	12.7%	12.8%	0.99×	7.87
Osasuna & over 3.5	7.5%	7.5%	6.6%	1.13×	13.41
Osasuna & under 1.5	7.2%	7.5%	7.1%	1.05×	13.41
Draw & over 2.5	6.8%	7.5%	5.2%	1.43×	13.41
Draw & over 3.5	6.8%	7.5%	5.2%	1.43×	13.41
Draw & under 1.5	6.2%	7.5%	5.1%	1.46×	13.42

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis (1UP)	63.3%	64.0%	63.2%	1.01×	1.56
Osasuna (1UP)	45.2%	44.4%	47.1%	0.94×	2.25

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis (2UP)	48.2%	49.6%	48.7%	1.02×	2.02
Osasuna (2UP)	27.2%	30.6%	29.7%	1.03×	3.27

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis to win 2nd half	41.8%	39.5%	39.5%	1.00×	2.53
2nd half drawn	34.7%	33.8%	33.0%	1.03×	2.96
Osasuna to win 2nd half	23.5%	22.3%	27.7%	0.81×	4.48

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna (+2.5)	89.5%	89.1%	90.0%	0.99×	1.12
Osasuna (+1.5)	74.8%	73.2%	79.2%	0.92×	1.37
Real Betis (+0.5)	72.8%	73.1%	71.9%	1.02×	1.37
Osasuna (+0.5)	51.8%	51.6%	53.2%	0.97×	1.94
Real Betis (-0.5)	48.2%	48.4%	46.8%	1.03×	2.07
Osasuna (-0.5)	27.2%	26.9%	28.1%	0.96×	3.72
Real Betis (-1.5)	25.2%	26.8%	20.8%	1.29×	3.73
Real Betis (-2.5)	10.5%	10.9%	10.0%	1.10×	9.14

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna to concede	80.2%	84.6%	80.4%	1.05×	1.18
Osasuna clean sheet	19.8%	15.4%	19.6%	0.79×	6.51

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna clean sheet in 1st half	51.5%	54.7%	51.9%	1.05×	1.83
Osasuna to concede in 1st half	48.5%	45.3%	48.1%	0.94×	2.21

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna under 6.5 corners	86.3%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Osasuna under 5.5 corners	77.0%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Osasuna over 2.5 corners	70.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Osasuna under 4.5 corners	64.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Osasuna over 3.5 corners	52.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Osasuna under 3.5 corners	47.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Osasuna over 4.5 corners	36.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Osasuna under 2.5 corners	29.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Osasuna over 5.5 corners	23.0%	24.0%	—	—	4.16
Osasuna over 6.5 corners	13.7%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna under 3.5 goals	97.0%	97.3%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Osasuna under 2.5 goals	88.9%	89.0%	90.0%	0.99×	1.12
Osasuna over 0.5 goals	68.6%	67.3%	69.7%	0.96×	1.49
Osasuna under 1.5 goals	67.8%	67.2%	68.1%	0.99×	1.49
Osasuna over 1.5 goals	32.2%	32.8%	31.9%	1.03×	3.05
Osasuna under 0.5 goals	31.4%	32.7%	30.3%	1.08×	3.06
Osasuna over 2.5 goals	11.1%	11.0%	10.0%	1.10×	9.09
Osasuna over 3.5 goals	3.0%	2.7%	2.7%	0.98×	37.34

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna under 1.5 in 1st half	90.3%	93.2%	93.3%	1.00×	1.07
Osasuna under 0.5 in 1st half	59.4%	59.4%	63.4%	0.94×	1.69
Osasuna over 0.5 in 1st half	40.6%	40.6%	36.6%	1.11×	2.46
Osasuna over 1.5 in 1st half	9.7%	6.8%	6.7%	1.01×	14.64

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis (away no bet)	66.2%	71.5%	65.1%	1.10×	1.40
Draw (away no bet)	33.8%	28.5%	34.9%	0.82×	3.51

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna even goals	54.9%	52.5%	53.9%	0.97×	1.91
Osasuna odd goals	45.1%	47.5%	46.1%	1.03×	2.10

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.3%	81.8%	86.9%	0.94×	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.7%	18.2%	13.1%	1.39×	5.50

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.8%	66.4%	62.4%	1.06×	1.51
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.2%	33.6%	37.6%	0.89×	2.98

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.0%	59.2%	52.3%	1.13×	1.69
Real Betis to score 2+ in a row	39.8%	37.5%	34.3%	1.09×	2.67
Osasuna to score 2+ in a row	23.6%	21.8%	23.6%	0.92×	4.59
Either team to score 3+ in a row	20.7%	21.7%	18.9%	1.15×	4.60
Real Betis to score 3+ in a row	14.9%	12.3%	13.0%	0.94×	8.16
Osasuna to score 3+ in a row	6.1%	7.3%	6.4%	1.15×	13.70

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis corners (+3.5)	91.5%	89.5%	—	—	1.12
Real Betis corners (+2.5)	86.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Real Betis corners (+1.5)	79.0%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Osasuna corners (+3.5)	73.0%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Osasuna corners (+2.5)	63.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Osasuna corners (+1.5)	52.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Real Betis corners (-1.5)	47.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Real Betis corners (-2.5)	36.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Real Betis corners (-3.5)	27.0%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Osasuna corners (-1.5)	21.0%	25.2%	—	—	3.98
Osasuna corners (-2.5)	13.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Osasuna corners (-3.5)	8.5%	10.5%	—	—	9.57

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.0%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
9-11 corners	29.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	25.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.6%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.5%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	65.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	66.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	55.9%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	55.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	44.1%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Over 10.5 corners	34.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	34.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 11.5 corners	25.5%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Over 12.5 corners	18.4%	19.3%	—	—	5.18

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.7%	11.6%	15.1%	0.77×	8.63
1-0	10.1%	11.6%	12.8%	0.90×	8.64
2-1	9.5%	7.3%	9.7%	0.75×	13.74
2-0	8.2%	7.3%	6.2%	1.17×	13.74
0-1	7.2%	7.3%	7.1%	1.02×	13.75
1-2	6.7%	7.3%	8.3%	0.87×	13.75
0-0	6.2%	7.3%	5.1%	1.42×	13.75
2-2	5.5%	7.3%	4.4%	1.67×	13.75
3-1	5.1%	7.3%	3.6%	2.01×	13.76
0-2	4.2%	1.8%	4.6%	0.39×	55.40
3-0	4.4%	1.8%	4.6%	0.39×	55.40
1-3	2.6%	1.8%	1.9%	0.97×	55.44
3-2	3.0%	1.8%	3.2%	0.56×	55.43
Any other score	3.1%	1.8%	3.0%	0.60×	55.43
0-3	1.6%	1.8%	2.0%	0.90×	55.47
2-3	2.1%	1.8%	2.2%	0.80×	55.46
4-0	1.8%	1.8%	1.6%	1.11×	55.46
4-1	2.1%	1.8%	2.0%	0.91×	55.46
4-2	1.2%	1.8%	1.4%	1.32×	55.48
0-4	0.5%	1.8%	0.9%	2.07×	55.50
1-4	0.8%	1.8%	0.5%	3.62×	55.49
2-4	0.6%	1.8%	0.5%	3.62×	55.49
3-3	1.1%	1.8%	1.0%	1.81×	55.48
3-4	0.3%	1.8%	0.4%	4.82×	55.50
4-3	0.5%	1.8%	0.7%	2.41×	55.50
4-4	0.1%	1.8%	0.1%	14.47×	55.51

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis leading at HT (DNB)	57.8%	56.8%	62.3%	0.91×	1.76
Osasuna leading at HT (DNB)	42.2%	43.2%	37.7%	1.14×	2.32

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis or Osasuna (12)	75.4%	77.8%	74.8%	1.04×	1.29
Real Betis or draw (1X)	72.8%	72.4%	71.9%	1.01×	1.38
Osasuna or draw (X2)	51.8%	50.7%	53.2%	0.95×	1.97

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis or draw at HT	75.6%	78.6%	78.5%	1.00×	1.27
Osasuna or draw at HT	66.5%	66.2%	64.5%	1.03×	1.51
Real Betis or Osasuna at HT	57.9%	58.2%	56.8%	1.02×	1.72

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis or draw (1UP)	72.8%	77.5%	78.2%	0.99×	1.29
Osasuna or draw (1UP)	51.8%	58.7%	60.1%	0.98×	1.70

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis or draw in 2nd half	76.5%	77.7%	72.3%	1.07×	1.29
Real Betis or Osasuna in 2nd half	65.3%	66.2%	67.0%	0.99×	1.51
Osasuna or draw in 2nd half	58.2%	60.5%	60.5%	1.00×	1.65

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.2%	59.4%	62.2%	0.96×	1.68
Neither half drawn	37.8%	40.6%	37.8%	1.07×	2.46

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis (DNB)	63.9%	62.5%	62.5%	1.00×	1.60
Osasuna (DNB)	36.1%	37.5%	37.5%	1.00×	2.67

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis to score first	54.7%	53.8%	55.4%	0.97×	1.86
Osasuna to score first	39.1%	37.3%	39.6%	0.94×	2.68
No goal scored	6.2%	6.2%	5.1%	1.22×	16.07

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.0%	56.6%	55.3%	1.02×	1.77
Not both teams to score	45.0%	43.4%	44.7%	0.97×	2.31

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.4%	42.3%	40.3%	1.05×	2.36
Not both score & under 2.5	35.8%	37.4%	35.4%	1.06×	2.67
Both score & under 2.5	11.7%	11.7%	15.1%	0.78×	8.53
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.7%	9.5%	0.92×	11.44

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	84.5%	81.3%	86.2%	0.94×	1.23
Both teams to score 2+	15.5%	18.7%	13.8%	1.35×	5.36

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.0%	70.4%	71.4%	0.99×	1.42
Both teams to score in 2nd half	29.0%	29.6%	28.6%	1.04×	3.38

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	57.0%	57.6%	60.3%	0.96×	1.74
Both score 2nd half only	23.3%	24.4%	23.1%	1.06×	4.10
Both score 1st half only	14.0%	11.6%	11.2%	1.03×	8.63
Both score in both halves	5.7%	6.4%	5.6%	1.15×	15.52

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	80.3%	83.1%	83.3%	1.00×	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	19.7%	16.9%	16.7%	1.01×	5.93

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.3%	55.5%	54.8%	1.01×	1.80
A half without a goal	44.7%	44.5%	45.2%	0.98×	2.25

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.2%	45.9%	49.8%	0.92×	2.18
4-6 goals	28.0%	27.7%	23.4%	1.18×	3.61
0-1 goals	23.5%	22.8%	24.8%	0.92×	4.38
7+ goals	2.3%	1.9%	2.2%	0.87×	51.37

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna to score exactly 1	36.4%	34.6%	38.0%	0.91×	2.89
Osasuna to score exactly 0	31.4%	33.2%	30.3%	1.10×	3.01
Osasuna to score exactly 2	21.0%	23.9%	22.0%	1.09×	4.18
Osasuna to score 3+	11.1%	13.4%	10.0%	1.34×	7.49

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis to score exactly 1	32.0%	30.6%	38.4%	0.80×	3.27
Real Betis to score exactly 2	26.0%	27.0%	22.7%	1.19×	3.70
Real Betis to score 3+	22.2%	22.9%	19.7%	1.17×	4.36
Real Betis to score exactly 0	19.8%	18.6%	19.6%	0.95×	5.39

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.1%	41.8%	43.2%	0.97×	2.39
Real Betis leading at HT	33.5%	33.8%	35.5%	0.95×	2.96
Osasuna leading at HT	24.4%	21.4%	21.5%	0.99×	4.68

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis -1: 2	51.8%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Real Betis -1: 1	25.2%	27.0%	—	—	3.71
Real Betis -1: X	23.0%	23.9%	—	—	4.18

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna (0:1)	51.8%	53.3%	53.2%	1.00×	1.88
Real Betis (0:1)	25.2%	26.2%	20.8%	1.26×	3.82
Draw (0:1)	23.0%	24.4%	26.2%	0.93×	4.10

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna (0:2)	74.8%	73.4%	79.2%	0.93×	1.36
Draw (0:2)	14.6%	11.8%	11.0%	1.08×	8.48
Real Betis (0:2)	10.5%	11.7%	10.0%	1.17×	8.57

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna (0:3)	89.5%	88.5%	90.0%	0.98×	1.13
Draw (0:3)	6.9%	6.9%	7.1%	0.97×	14.48
Real Betis (0:3)	3.6%	2.3%	3.0%	0.78×	42.80

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna (0:4)	96.4%	98.0%	97.0%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.6%	1.3%	2.4%	0.53×	80.03
Real Betis (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	0.7%	1.66×	80.81

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis (1:0)	72.8%	73.9%	71.9%	1.03×	1.35
Draw (1:0)	16.4%	16.3%	17.7%	0.92×	6.13
Osasuna (1:0)	10.8%	11.7%	10.6%	1.11×	8.53

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis (2:0)	89.2%	89.4%	89.4%	1.00×	1.12
Draw (2:0)	7.5%	6.6%	6.8%	0.96×	15.14
Osasuna (2:0)	3.4%	2.7%	3.9%	0.70×	36.99

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	46.8%	48.7%	51.3%	0.95×	2.05
1st half highest scoring	28.4%	26.1%	26.3%	0.99×	3.83
Halves equal	24.8%	23.2%	22.5%	1.03×	4.30

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis to concede	68.6%	67.0%	69.7%	0.96×	1.49
Real Betis clean sheet	31.4%	33.0%	30.3%	1.09×	3.03

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis clean sheet in 1st half	59.4%	59.2%	63.4%	0.93×	1.69
Real Betis to concede in 1st half	40.6%	40.8%	36.6%	1.12×	2.45

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis over 2.5 corners	84.5%	81.0%	—	—	1.23
Real Betis over 3.5 corners	71.7%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Real Betis under 6.5 corners	69.5%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Real Betis under 5.5 corners	57.1%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Real Betis over 4.5 corners	57.1%	57.6%	—	—	1.74
Real Betis under 4.5 corners	42.9%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Real Betis over 5.5 corners	42.9%	42.4%	—	—	2.36
Real Betis over 6.5 corners	30.5%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Real Betis under 3.5 corners	28.3%	28.2%	—	—	3.55
Real Betis under 2.5 corners	15.5%	19.0%	—	—	5.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis under 3.5 goals	91.8%	92.1%	92.7%	0.99×	1.09
Real Betis over 0.5 goals	80.2%	82.4%	80.4%	1.02×	1.21
Real Betis under 2.5 goals	77.8%	76.8%	80.3%	0.96×	1.30
Real Betis under 1.5 goals	51.8%	52.7%	57.8%	0.91×	1.90
Real Betis over 1.5 goals	48.2%	47.3%	42.2%	1.12×	2.12
Real Betis over 2.5 goals	22.2%	23.2%	19.7%	1.18×	4.30
Real Betis under 0.5 goals	19.8%	17.6%	19.6%	0.90×	5.67
Real Betis over 3.5 goals	8.2%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.61

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis under 1.5 in 1st half	85.7%	87.7%	86.0%	1.02×	1.14
Real Betis under 0.5 in 1st half	51.5%	54.7%	51.9%	1.05×	1.83
Real Betis over 0.5 in 1st half	48.5%	45.3%	48.1%	0.94×	2.21
Real Betis over 1.5 in 1st half	14.3%	12.3%	14.0%	0.88×	8.14

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	47.5%	51.4%	47.2%	1.09×	1.95
Osasuna (home no bet)	52.5%	48.6%	52.8%	0.92×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis even goals	52.0%	50.2%	47.4%	1.06×	1.99
Real Betis odd goals	48.0%	49.8%	52.6%	0.95×	2.01

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.6%	30.4%	32.1%	0.95×	3.29
HT 1-0	20.3%	22.6%	22.7%	0.99×	4.43
HT 0-1	15.9%	18.9%	16.2%	1.16×	5.30
HT 1-1	10.6%	11.2%	10.1%	1.10×	8.96
HT 2-0	6.7%	7.7%	6.2%	1.23×	13.01
Any other HT score	4.5%	2.5%	4.5%	0.56×	39.74
HT 0-2	4.2%	2.5%	3.1%	0.81×	39.76
HT 2-1	3.5%	2.5%	3.2%	0.77×	39.80
HT 1-2	2.8%	2.5%	1.5%	1.68×	39.84
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.5%	1.2%	2.01×	39.95

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis at HT / Real Betis at FT	27.4%	27.1%	26.5%	1.03×	3.69
Draw at HT / Real Betis at FT	17.6%	16.8%	18.0%	0.93×	5.96
Osasuna at HT / Osasuna at FT	15.8%	16.8%	12.9%	1.30×	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	14.6%	12.0%	14.0%	0.86×	8.34
Draw at HT / Osasuna at FT	9.9%	6.6%	11.5%	0.57×	15.15
Osasuna at HT / Draw at FT	5.5%	6.6%	6.1%	1.07×	15.26
Real Betis at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.4%	5.2%	0.65×	29.32
Osasuna at HT / Real Betis at FT	3.2%	3.4%	2.7%	1.24×	29.38
Real Betis at HT / Osasuna at FT	1.6%	3.4%	4.0%	0.85×	29.45

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis to score last	54.7%	53.8%	55.7%	0.97×	1.86
Osasuna to score last	39.1%	38.1%	39.3%	0.97×	2.62
No goal scored	6.2%	6.2%	5.1%	1.22×	16.07

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.8%	93.7%	94.9%	0.99×	1.07
Real Betis to lead by 1 at any time	63.3%	64.4%	63.2%	1.02×	1.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	47.7%	46.1%	41.6%	1.11×	2.17
Osasuna to lead by 1 at any time	45.2%	46.1%	47.1%	0.98×	2.17
Real Betis to lead by 2 at any time	31.8%	32.0%	26.5%	1.21×	3.12
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.5%	17.7%	16.7%	1.06×	5.66
Osasuna to lead by 2 at any time	16.2%	17.6%	15.5%	1.14×	5.67
Real Betis to lead by 3 at any time	12.9%	11.3%	12.2%	0.93×	8.82
Osasuna to lead by 3 at any time	4.7%	2.7%	4.6%	0.57×	37.74

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis most corners	59.1%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Osasuna most corners	30.2%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.60

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.5%	87.9%	89.2%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.9%	78.9%	81.2%	0.97×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.2%	73.7%	73.1%	1.01×	1.36
2-5 goals	70.2%	73.6%	69.5%	1.06×	1.36
1-3 goals	63.5%	62.3%	69.5%	0.90×	1.61
2-4 goals	61.6%	62.3%	61.5%	1.01×	1.61
3-6 goals	50.2%	52.3%	47.6%	1.10×	1.91
2-3 goals	46.2%	48.0%	49.8%	0.96×	2.08
3-5 goals	46.2%	48.0%	44.0%	1.09×	2.08
1-2 goals	41.2%	43.6%	45.3%	0.96×	2.29
3-4 goals	37.6%	38.8%	36.0%	1.08×	2.57
4-6 goals	28.0%	30.5%	23.4%	1.30×	3.28
4-5 goals	24.0%	24.8%	19.8%	1.25×	4.04
5-6 goals	12.5%	13.5%	11.7%	1.15×	7.43
7+ goals	2.3%	2.0%	2.2%	0.90×	49.38

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis never behind	48.6%	53.7%	52.9%	1.02×	1.86
Osasuna never behind	30.5%	36.0%	36.8%	0.98×	2.78

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.8%	50.1%	53.7%	0.93×	1.99
Even number of goals	50.2%	49.9%	46.3%	1.08×	2.01

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.7%	51.9%	53.6%	0.97×	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.3%	48.1%	46.4%	1.03×	2.08

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.1%	51.7%	49.7%	1.04×	1.94
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.9%	48.3%	50.3%	0.96×	2.07

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.8%	93.0%	94.9%	0.98×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.7%	93.0%	94.1%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.1%	88.7%	86.2%	1.03×	1.13
Over 1.5 goals	76.5%	78.2%	75.2%	1.04×	1.28
Under 3.5 goals	69.7%	65.6%	74.5%	0.88×	1.53
Over 2.5 goals	52.5%	53.5%	49.7%	1.08×	1.87
Under 2.5 goals	47.5%	46.5%	50.3%	0.92×	2.15
Over 3.5 goals	30.3%	34.4%	25.5%	1.35×	2.90
Under 1.5 goals	23.5%	21.8%	24.8%	0.88×	4.59
Over 4.5 goals	14.9%	11.3%	13.8%	0.82×	8.86
Over 5.5 goals	6.3%	7.0%	5.9%	1.20×	14.20
Under 0.5 goals	6.2%	7.0%	5.1%	1.38×	14.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.6%	97.2%	97.7%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.1%	92.7%	93.6%	0.99×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.4%	80.7%	84.3%	0.96×	1.24
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	69.1%	68.1%	66.7%	1.02×	1.47
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.0%	62.3%	66.3%	0.94×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.0%	37.7%	33.7%	1.12×	2.65
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.9%	31.9%	33.3%	0.96×	3.14
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.6%	19.3%	15.7%	1.23×	5.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.9%	7.3%	6.4%	1.14×	13.77
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.4%	2.8%	2.3%	1.19×	36.08

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.3%	88.1%	89.9%	0.98×	1.14
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.4%	68.6%	67.9%	1.01×	1.46
Under 1.5 in 1st half	66.8%	68.6%	70.8%	0.97×	1.46
Over 1.5 in 1st half	33.2%	31.4%	29.2%	1.08×	3.18
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.6%	31.4%	32.1%	0.98×	3.19
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.7%	11.9%	10.1%	1.18×	8.40

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.7%	80.3%	81.8%	0.98×	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.5%	80.3%	79.7%	1.01×	1.25
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.3%	51.8%	46.3%	1.12×	1.93
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.7%	48.2%	53.7%	0.90×	2.08
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.5%	19.7%	20.4%	0.97×	5.07
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.3%	19.7%	18.2%	1.08×	5.08

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna not to score in both halves	80.9%	81.5%	81.4%	1.00×	1.23
Real Betis not to score in both halves	70.1%	70.3%	73.7%	0.95×	1.42
Real Betis to score in both halves	29.9%	29.7%	26.3%	1.13×	3.36
Osasuna to score in both halves	19.1%	18.5%	18.6%	1.00×	5.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.0%	57.6%	55.3%	1.04×	1.74
Only Real Betis scores	25.2%	25.6%	25.3%	1.01×	3.91
Only Osasuna scores	13.5%	10.8%	14.6%	0.74×	9.23
Neither team scores	6.2%	6.6%	5.1%	1.30×	15.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.0%	21.6%	25.7%	0.84×	4.64
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	21.5%	24.3%	0.89×	4.64
Exactly 1 goals	17.3%	18.6%	19.8%	0.94×	5.39
Exactly 4 goals	15.4%	18.5%	11.8%	1.57×	5.40
Exactly 5 goals	8.6%	7.6%	8.1%	0.94×	13.12
6 or more goals	6.3%	7.6%	5.9%	1.30×	13.15
Exactly 0 goals	6.2%	7.6%	5.1%	1.49×	13.15

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.3%	50.9%	46.3%	1.10×	1.97
1 goal in 2nd half	32.4%	33.2%	35.6%	0.93×	3.02
No goals in 2nd half	20.3%	18.4%	18.2%	1.01×	5.43

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna not to win both halves	94.3%	93.4%	94.6%	0.99×	1.07
Real Betis not to win both halves	86.0%	87.5%	88.1%	0.99×	1.14
Real Betis to win both halves	14.0%	12.5%	11.9%	1.05×	7.99
Osasuna to win both halves	5.7%	6.6%	5.4%	1.23×	15.19

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Betis to win either half	61.3%	63.6%	63.0%	1.01×	1.57
Osasuna to win neither half	57.8%	59.5%	56.2%	1.06×	1.68
Osasuna to win either half	42.2%	40.5%	43.8%	0.92×	2.47
Real Betis to win neither half	38.7%	36.4%	37.0%	0.99×	2.75

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Osasuna not to win to nil	86.5%	88.2%	85.4%	1.03×	1.13
Real Betis not to win to nil	74.8%	74.4%	74.7%	1.00×	1.34
Real Betis to win to nil	25.2%	25.6%	25.3%	1.01×	3.91
Osasuna to win to nil	13.5%	11.8%	14.6%	0.81×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	24.6%	23.8%	25.2%	0.94×	4.21
Real Betis by 1	23.0%	23.7%	26.2%	0.91×	4.21
Osasuna by 1	16.4%	17.0%	17.7%	0.96×	5.90
Real Betis by 2	14.6%	11.9%	11.0%	1.08×	8.42
Real Betis by 3+	10.5%	11.8%	10.0%	1.19×	8.45
Osasuna by 2	7.5%	7.1%	6.8%	1.04×	14.10
Osasuna by 3+	3.4%	2.8%	3.9%	0.73×	35.30