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Real Betis v Rayo Vallecano — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 22 December 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–1
1.93 – 0.88 xG
Shots
14 – 10
On target
5 – 4
Shots in box
10 – 7
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.09
Set-piece xG
0.86 – 0.13
Goals − xG
-0.93 – +0.12
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.51.11.62.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Isco 36' — goalIsi Palazón 50' — goal
Real Betis 1.93 xGRayo Vallecano 0.88 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Vitor Roque 1' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Giovani Lo Celso 2' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Vitor Roque 5' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 9' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Marc Bartra 9' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Pathé Ciss 15' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Pathé Ciss 15' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Pep Chavarría 18' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Randy Nteka 18' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, From Corner)Isco 36' — Goal (0.74 xG, )Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 45' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Adrián Embarba 48' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Isi Palazón 50' — Goal (0.01 xG, Open Play)Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 53' — Saved Shot (0.34 xG, Open Play)Vitor Roque 54' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Vitor Roque 56' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Andrei Ratiu 58' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Adrián Embarba 75' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Isi Palazón 75' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Vitor Roque 75' — Saved Shot (0.21 xG, Open Play)Romain Perraud 79' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Cédric Bakambu 81' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Cédric Bakambu 83' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Jorge De Frutos 90' — Missed Shot (0.47 xG, Open Play)
Real Betis attacking right Rayo Vallecano attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Real Betis Vitor Roque 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Isco
2' Real Betis Giovani Lo Celso 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
5' Real Betis Vitor Roque 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Isco
9' Real Betis Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Giovani Lo Celso
9' Real Betis Marc Bartra 0.06 From Corner Missed Shot Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
15' Rayo Vallecano Pathé Ciss 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Pep Chavarría
15' Rayo Vallecano Pathé Ciss 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Isi Palazón
18' Rayo Vallecano Pep Chavarría 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Álvaro García
18' Rayo Vallecano Randy Nteka 0.11 From Corner Missed Shot Adrián Embarba
36' Real Betis Isco 0.74 Right Foot Goal
45' Real Betis Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Sergi Altimira
48' Rayo Vallecano Adrián Embarba 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Jorge De Frutos
50' Rayo Vallecano Isi Palazón 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Goal
53' Real Betis Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 0.34 Open Play Saved Shot Vitor Roque
54' Real Betis Vitor Roque 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
56' Real Betis Vitor Roque 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Isco
58' Rayo Vallecano Andrei Ratiu 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Unai López
75' Rayo Vallecano Adrián Embarba 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
75' Rayo Vallecano Isi Palazón 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
75' Real Betis Vitor Roque 0.21 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Giovani Lo Celso
79' Real Betis Romain Perraud 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Giovani Lo Celso
81' Real Betis Cédric Bakambu 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Juanmi
83' Real Betis Cédric Bakambu 0.13 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Assane Diao
90' Rayo Vallecano Jorge De Frutos 0.47 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Andrei Ratiu

Players

Real Betis

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Marc Bartra DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.29
Giovani Lo Celso AMR 90 0 0 1 3 0.04 0.29 0.32
Romain Perraud DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.51
Johnny Cardoso DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.38
Francisco Vieites GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Diego Llorente DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.57
Vitor Roque FW 84 0 0 5 1 0.37 0.34 0.71
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli AML 83 0 0 3 2 0.52 0.08 0.59
Youssouf Sabaly DR 77 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.38
Sergi Altimira DMC 69 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.12 0.46
Isco AMC 68 1 0 1 3 0.74 0.13 0.47
Pablo Fornals Sub 22 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.21
Assane Diao Sub 21 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.13 0.13
Aitor Ruibal Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Juanmi Sub 7 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.05
Cédric Bakambu Sub 6 0 0 2 0 0.18 0.00 0.18

Rayo Vallecano

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Pep Chavarría DL 90 0 0 1 1 0.09 0.02 0.14
Pathé Ciss DMC 90 0 0 2 0 0.04 0.00 0.02
Andrei Ratiu DR 90 0 0 1 1 0.03 0.47 0.62
Augusto Batalla GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Aridane Hernández DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Florian Lejeune DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Isi Palazón AMC 83 1 0 2 1 0.07 0.02 0.07
Adrián Embarba AMR 83 0 0 2 1 0.07 0.11 0.16
Randy Nteka FW 68 0 0 1 0 0.11 0.00 0.00
Unai López DMC 68 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.15
Jorge De Frutos Sub 45 0 0 1 1 0.47 0.03 0.49
Álvaro García AML 45 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.09
Óscar Valentín Sub 22 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.47
Sergio Camello Sub 22 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Óscar Trejo Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.47
Alfonso Espino Sub 7 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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