Real Oviedo v Girona — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Real Oviedo

20:00 UTC

Girona

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 537h before kick-off

Real Oviedo win

36.7%

model 38.3%

Draw

26.6%

model 25.9%

Girona win

36.6%

model 35.8%

372737

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.3%
1-0 10.3%
0-1 9.9%
2-1 8.3%
1-2 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	47.5%	Under 2.5	52.5%
BTTS yes	52.1%	BTTS no	47.9%
Real Oviedo 1+	73.1%	Real Oviedo 2+	37.8%
Girona 1+	71.7%	Girona 2+	35.9%

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.26. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

58/100

Data quality

80/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 63%

68.0% fair odds 1.47

moderate signal · 2774 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Girona (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.7% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Nothing in the data singles out Real Oviedo.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Real Oviedo have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.6% for Girona and 26.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.31 for Real Oviedo and 1.26 for Girona.

Why Real Oviedo

Nothing in the data singles out Real Oviedo.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.6%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.31 to 1.26. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Girona can win

Girona carry the stronger rating, 1468 Elo against 1413.

Key players

Real Oviedo's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Federico Viñas (0.38), Ilyas Chaira (0.23), Thiago Fernández (0.23). Girona's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Viktor Tsygankov (0.37), Azz-Eddine Ounahi (0.32), Bryan Gil Salvatierra (0.18).

Availability

2 of Real Oviedo's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Real Oviedo: 56% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 10.8 faced, 0.27 xG a match from set pieces. Girona: 55% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 8.2 faced, 0.27 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Real Oviedo are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 58/100, data quality 80/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Real Oviedo are finishing below their chances — 3.3 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 2.6 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LWWDLLDLLL last 10 scored 8 from 11.3 xG conceded 16 from 18.6 xG

Girona are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 3.1 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LWDLLLDDLD last 10 scored 8 from 12.7 xG conceded 12 from 15.1 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	382636	1.31–1.26	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	432631	1.38–1.13	1-1 12%	46%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo to win	43.1%	42.9%	45.5%	0.94×	2.33
Girona to win	30.8%	30.4%	28.1%	1.08×	3.29
Draw	26.1%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo & not both score	24.6%	21.8%	23.6%	0.93×	4.58
Real Oviedo & both teams score	18.5%	18.0%	22.0%	0.82×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	18.2%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Girona & not both score	17.2%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.57
Girona & both teams score	13.6%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.53
Draw & not both score	7.8%	8.3%	9.1%	0.91×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo & over 1.5	31.5%	30.8%	32.6%	0.94×	3.25
Real Oviedo & under 3.5	31.7%	30.8%	32.2%	0.96×	3.25
Real Oviedo & over 2.5	23.8%	21.6%	26.3%	0.82×	4.63
Girona & under 3.5	23.6%	21.6%	19.6%	1.10×	4.63
Girona & over 1.5	21.4%	21.6%	19.5%	1.11×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.2%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Real Oviedo & under 2.5	19.3%	18.0%	19.3%	0.93×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.2%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Girona & over 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	16.7%	1.08×	5.56
Girona & under 2.5	14.6%	12.8%	11.5%	1.11×	7.79
Real Oviedo & under 1.5	11.6%	12.8%	13.0%	0.99×	7.79
Real Oviedo & over 3.5	11.4%	12.8%	13.4%	0.96×	7.79
Girona & under 1.5	9.4%	7.9%	8.7%	0.91×	12.63
Draw & under 1.5	7.8%	7.9%	9.1%	0.87×	12.63
Girona & over 3.5	7.2%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	5.9%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63
Draw & over 3.5	5.9%	7.9%	6.4%	1.24×	12.63

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (1UP)	57.9%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Girona (1UP)	47.1%	43.9%	—	—	2.28

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (2UP)	43.1%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Girona (2UP)	30.8%	30.4%	—	—	3.29

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	37.0%	36.0%	—	—	2.78
Real Oviedo to win 2nd half	34.9%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Girona to win 2nd half	28.1%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona under 1.5 in 2nd half	85.3%	86.9%	—	—	1.15
Girona under 0.5 in 2nd half	50.9%	52.3%	—	—	1.91
Girona over 0.5 in 2nd half	49.1%	47.7%	—	—	2.10
Girona over 1.5 in 2nd half	14.7%	13.1%	—	—	7.63

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo under 1.5 in 2nd half	81.3%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Real Oviedo over 0.5 in 2nd half	54.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
Real Oviedo under 0.5 in 2nd half	45.4%	44.8%	—	—	2.23
Real Oviedo over 1.5 in 2nd half	18.7%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (+2.5)	92.5%	92.1%	92.3%	1.00×	1.09
Girona (+1.5)	79.8%	78.5%	80.4%	0.98×	1.27
Real Oviedo (+0.5)	69.2%	68.7%	71.9%	0.96×	1.46
Girona (+0.5)	56.9%	57.0%	54.5%	1.05×	1.75
Real Oviedo (-0.5)	43.1%	43.0%	45.5%	0.94×	2.33
Girona (-0.5)	30.8%	31.3%	28.1%	1.11×	3.19
Real Oviedo (-1.5)	20.2%	21.5%	19.6%	1.10×	4.65
Real Oviedo (-2.5)	7.5%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to concede	74.9%	76.8%	77.6%	0.99×	1.30
Girona clean sheet	25.1%	23.2%	22.4%	1.04×	4.30

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona clean sheet in 1st half	55.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
Girona to concede in 1st half	44.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to concede in 2nd half	54.6%	55.0%	—	—	1.82
Girona clean sheet in 2nd half	45.4%	45.0%	—	—	2.22

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona under 6.5 corners	84.5%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Girona under 5.5 corners	74.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Girona over 2.5 corners	73.5%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Girona under 4.5 corners	60.8%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Girona over 3.5 corners	56.0%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Girona under 3.5 corners	44.0%	42.8%	—	—	2.33
Girona over 4.5 corners	39.2%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Girona under 2.5 corners	26.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Girona over 5.5 corners	25.5%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Girona over 6.5 corners	15.5%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona under 3.5 goals	97.2%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Girona under 2.5 goals	89.5%	87.8%	89.1%	0.99×	1.14
Girona under 1.5 goals	69.0%	68.0%	69.4%	0.98×	1.47
Girona over 0.5 goals	67.5%	68.0%	67.4%	1.01×	1.47
Girona under 0.5 goals	32.5%	32.0%	32.6%	0.98×	3.12
Girona over 1.5 goals	31.0%	32.0%	30.6%	1.05×	3.13
Girona over 2.5 goals	10.5%	12.2%	10.9%	1.12×	8.21
Girona over 3.5 goals	2.8%	2.5%	3.0%	0.82×	39.89

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona under 1.5 in 1st half	92.5%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Girona under 0.5 in 1st half	63.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Girona over 0.5 in 1st half	36.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Girona over 1.5 in 1st half	7.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.70

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona scores equally in both	43.1%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Girona scores more in 2nd half	35.7%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Girona scores more in 1st half	21.2%	22.1%	—	—	4.53

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (away no bet)	62.3%	61.9%	63.2%	0.98×	1.62
Draw (away no bet)	37.7%	38.1%	36.8%	1.03×	2.63

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona even goals	55.3%	56.9%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Girona odd goals	44.7%	43.1%	45.4%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	87.9%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	12.1%	12.1%	—	—	8.24

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	58.9%	60.5%	—	—	1.65
Both halves under 1.5 goals	41.1%	39.5%	—	—	2.53

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.3%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
Real Oviedo to score 2+ in a row	32.8%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Girona to score 2+ in a row	23.6%	19.6%	—	—	5.09
Either team to score 3+ in a row	16.8%	16.2%	—	—	6.16
Real Oviedo to score 3+ in a row	10.8%	12.0%	—	—	8.33
Girona to score 3+ in a row	6.2%	5.5%	—	—	18.06

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo corners (+3.5)	88.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Girona corners (+3.5)	81.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Real Oviedo corners (+2.5)	81.2%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Girona corners (+2.5)	73.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Real Oviedo corners (+1.5)	72.1%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Girona corners (+1.5)	62.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Real Oviedo corners (-1.5)	37.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Girona corners (-1.5)	27.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Real Oviedo corners (-2.5)	26.9%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Girona corners (-2.5)	18.8%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Real Oviedo corners (-3.5)	18.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Girona corners (-3.5)	12.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	50.7%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.21
12+ corners	20.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.90

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	86.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Under 11.5 corners	79.7%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	71.6%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	61.8%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	61.0%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 8.5 corners	50.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 8.5 corners	49.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 7.5 corners	39.0%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 9.5 corners	38.2%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 10.5 corners	28.4%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 11.5 corners	20.3%	23.4%	—	—	4.28
Over 12.5 corners	14.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.91

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.4%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.72
1-0	11.6%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.72
0-1	9.4%	7.4%	8.7%	0.85×	13.50
2-1	8.8%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
0-0	7.8%	7.4%	9.1%	0.81×	13.51
1-2	7.1%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
2-0	7.8%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.51
0-2	5.1%	7.4%	2.9%	2.52×	13.51
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.29
0-3	1.9%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.31
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	2.7%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.30
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.31
2-3	1.8%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
2-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-0	3.6%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.30
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.31
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.31
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
4-0	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-1	1.4%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
Any other score	1.9%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (2nd half DNB)	55.3%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
Girona (2nd half DNB)	44.7%	40.5%	—	—	2.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo leading at HT (DNB)	58.8%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Girona leading at HT (DNB)	41.2%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo or Girona (12)	73.9%	72.1%	73.5%	0.98×	1.39
Real Oviedo or draw (1X)	69.2%	69.6%	71.9%	0.97×	1.44
Girona or draw (X2)	56.9%	57.1%	54.5%	1.05×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo or draw at HT	77.4%	79.3%	—	—	1.26
Girona or draw at HT	67.8%	67.1%	—	—	1.49
Real Oviedo or Girona at HT	54.9%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo or draw (1UP)	69.2%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
Girona or draw (1UP)	56.9%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo or draw in 2nd half	71.9%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Girona or draw in 2nd half	65.1%	65.6%	—	—	1.52
Real Oviedo or Girona in 2nd half	63.0%	64.0%	—	—	1.56

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	65.7%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Neither half drawn	34.3%	32.0%	—	—	3.12

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (DNB)	58.3%	58.1%	61.8%	0.94×	1.72
Girona (DNB)	41.7%	41.9%	38.2%	1.10×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo to score first	50.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Girona to score first	41.3%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	7.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.3%	51.3%	54.1%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.7%	48.7%	45.9%	1.06×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	41.8%	41.6%	39.7%	1.05×	2.41
Both score & over 2.5	37.9%	38.4%	43.0%	0.89×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.9%	8.3%	6.3%	1.32×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	87.5%	85.6%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	12.5%	14.4%	14.4%	1.00×	6.95

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.3%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.7%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.5%	65.6%	—	—	1.53
Both score 2nd half only	22.3%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Both score 1st half only	11.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.32
Both score in both halves	4.4%	5.0%	—	—	20.16

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.8%	83.3%	—	—	1.20
Both teams to score by HT	16.2%	16.7%	—	—	6.00

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	50.3%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
A goal in each half	49.7%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	47.2%	41.3%	1.14×	2.12
0-1 goals	28.8%	26.6%	30.6%	0.87×	3.76
4-6 goals	23.0%	22.9%	26.7%	0.86×	4.37
7+ goals	1.4%	1.8%	1.6%	1.17×	54.36

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.9%	36.9%	0.97×	2.78
Girona to score exactly 0	32.5%	33.8%	32.6%	1.04×	2.96
Girona to score exactly 2	20.5%	22.3%	19.8%	1.13×	4.49
Girona to score 3+	10.5%	12.9%	10.9%	1.18×	7.77

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo to score exactly 1	34.7%	32.6%	35.6%	0.91×	3.07
Real Oviedo to score exactly 0	25.1%	26.5%	22.4%	1.18×	3.77
Real Oviedo to score exactly 2	24.0%	23.3%	24.9%	0.93×	4.29
Real Oviedo to score 3+	16.3%	18.8%	17.2%	1.09×	5.33

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	45.1%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Real Oviedo leading at HT	32.2%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
Girona leading at HT	22.6%	20.7%	—	—	4.82

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo -1: 2	56.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.76
Real Oviedo -1: X	22.9%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Real Oviedo -1: 1	20.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (0:1)	56.9%	55.8%	54.5%	1.02×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	22.9%	24.2%	26.0%	0.93×	4.13
Real Oviedo (0:1)	20.2%	24.2%	19.6%	1.23×	4.13

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (0:2)	79.8%	79.4%	80.4%	0.99×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	12.7%	11.0%	12.1%	0.91×	9.10
Real Oviedo (0:2)	7.5%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	13.04

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (0:3)	92.5%	92.7%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	5.2%	5.8%	5.3%	1.08×	17.25
Real Oviedo (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	2.4%	0.99×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (0:4)	97.8%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.7%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.92
Real Oviedo (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	82.04

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (1:0)	69.2%	70.2%	71.9%	0.98×	1.43
Draw (1:0)	18.7%	17.1%	17.9%	0.95×	5.85
Girona (1:0)	12.1%	12.7%	10.3%	1.24×	7.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo (2:0)	87.9%	88.5%	89.7%	0.99×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	8.4%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.68
Girona (2:0)	3.7%	2.3%	3.2%	0.71×	43.60

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.0%	48.7%	—	—	2.05
1st half highest scoring	27.2%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Halves equal	25.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.82

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo to concede	67.5%	66.7%	67.4%	0.99×	1.50
Real Oviedo clean sheet	32.5%	33.3%	32.6%	1.02×	3.00

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo clean sheet in 1st half	63.8%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Real Oviedo to concede in 1st half	36.2%	36.7%	—	—	2.73

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo clean sheet in 2nd half	50.9%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Real Oviedo to concede in 2nd half	49.1%	47.5%	—	—	2.10

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo under 6.5 corners	79.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Real Oviedo over 2.5 corners	78.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Real Oviedo under 5.5 corners	67.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Real Oviedo over 3.5 corners	63.1%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
Real Oviedo under 4.5 corners	53.2%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Real Oviedo over 4.5 corners	46.8%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Real Oviedo under 3.5 corners	36.9%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Real Oviedo over 5.5 corners	32.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Real Oviedo under 2.5 corners	21.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Real Oviedo over 6.5 corners	21.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo under 3.5 goals	94.8%	92.3%	93.7%	0.98×	1.08
Real Oviedo under 2.5 goals	83.7%	82.2%	82.8%	0.99×	1.22
Real Oviedo over 0.5 goals	74.9%	74.3%	77.6%	0.96×	1.35
Real Oviedo under 1.5 goals	59.7%	58.6%	58.0%	1.01×	1.71
Real Oviedo over 1.5 goals	40.3%	41.4%	42.0%	0.98×	2.42
Real Oviedo under 0.5 goals	25.1%	25.7%	22.4%	1.15×	3.89
Real Oviedo over 2.5 goals	16.3%	17.8%	17.2%	1.03×	5.62
Real Oviedo over 3.5 goals	5.2%	7.7%	6.3%	1.23×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo under 1.5 in 1st half	88.0%	90.3%	—	—	1.11
Real Oviedo under 0.5 in 1st half	55.2%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Real Oviedo over 0.5 in 1st half	44.9%	43.3%	—	—	2.31
Real Oviedo over 1.5 in 1st half	12.0%	9.7%	—	—	10.28

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo scores equally in both	38.3%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Real Oviedo scores more in 2nd half	36.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
Real Oviedo scores more in 1st half	25.0%	27.7%	—	—	3.61

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona (home no bet)	54.2%	51.4%	51.4%	1.00×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	45.8%	48.6%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo even goals	53.1%	50.7%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Real Oviedo odd goals	46.9%	49.3%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	35.1%	38.9%	—	—	2.57
HT 1-0	21.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	15.9%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
HT 1-1	9.4%	6.9%	—	—	14.44
HT 2-0	6.2%	6.9%	—	—	14.49
HT 0-2	3.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.06
Any other HT score	3.3%	2.4%	—	—	42.08
HT 2-1	2.8%	2.4%	—	—	42.11
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.16
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.4%	—	—	42.26

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo at HT / Real Oviedo at FT	25.1%	27.3%	—	—	3.67
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.4%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Girona at HT / Girona at FT	16.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Real Oviedo at FT	15.9%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Girona at FT	12.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Real Oviedo at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.67
Girona at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.62
Girona at HT / Real Oviedo at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.71
Real Oviedo at HT / Girona at FT	2.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.72

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo to score last	50.8%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Girona to score last	41.3%	40.0%	—	—	2.50
No goal scored	7.8%	7.5%	—	—	13.39

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	92.2%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Real Oviedo to lead by 1 at any time	57.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Girona to lead by 1 at any time	47.1%	44.5%	—	—	2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	42.8%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Real Oviedo to lead by 2 at any time	25.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.93
Girona to lead by 2 at any time	17.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	14.2%	10.5%	—	—	9.53
Real Oviedo to lead by 3 at any time	9.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.83
Girona to lead by 3 at any time	4.9%	1.7%	—	—	59.99

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo most corners	49.2%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Girona most corners	38.8%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.58

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.9%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.2%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
2-6 goals	69.7%	68.8%	67.9%	1.01×	1.45
1-3 goals	67.7%	68.8%	62.8%	1.10×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.9%	68.8%	64.4%	1.07×	1.45
2-4 goals	60.2%	63.3%	56.6%	1.12×	1.58
2-3 goals	46.7%	48.5%	41.3%	1.17×	2.06
1-2 goals	46.3%	48.5%	41.8%	1.16×	2.06
3-6 goals	44.4%	43.6%	47.7%	0.91×	2.29
3-5 goals	41.6%	43.6%	44.1%	0.99×	2.29
3-4 goals	34.8%	35.2%	36.4%	0.97×	2.84
4-6 goals	23.0%	24.5%	26.7%	0.92×	4.08
4-5 goals	20.2%	24.5%	23.2%	1.06×	4.09
5-6 goals	9.6%	8.9%	11.4%	0.78×	11.25
7+ goals	1.4%	2.6%	1.6%	1.62×	39.16

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo never behind	45.1%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Girona never behind	34.3%	36.3%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.7%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.96
Odd number of goals	50.3%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	56.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	43.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.5%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.5%	48.1%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	95.7%	95.4%	94.9%	1.01×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	90.9%	1.02×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	89.0%	87.6%	87.1%	1.01×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	75.6%	77.3%	71.8%	1.08×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	71.2%	72.5%	69.4%	1.04×	1.38
Under 2.5 goals	54.2%	52.5%	50.8%	1.03×	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	45.8%	47.5%	49.2%	0.97×	2.11
Under 1.5 goals	28.8%	27.5%	30.6%	0.90×	3.63
Over 3.5 goals	24.4%	22.7%	28.2%	0.81×	4.40
Over 4.5 goals	11.0%	12.4%	12.9%	0.96×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.94
Over 5.5 goals	4.3%	4.6%	5.1%	0.89×	21.85

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.5%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	95.4%	97.2%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	87.3%	86.7%	84.8%	1.02×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	68.9%	67.5%	64.3%	1.05×	1.48
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	61.4%	61.9%	61.6%	1.00×	1.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	38.6%	38.1%	38.4%	0.99×	2.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	31.1%	32.5%	35.7%	0.91×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	12.7%	13.3%	15.2%	0.87×	7.53
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.6%	2.8%	5.6%	0.51×	35.52
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.5%	2.8%	1.6%	1.72×	35.61

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	91.1%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	72.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half	64.9%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	35.1%	36.7%	—	—	2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half	28.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half	8.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.0%	79.1%	—	—	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	57.1%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	42.9%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	23.0%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona not to score in both halves	82.2%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
Real Oviedo not to score in both halves	75.5%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Real Oviedo to score in both halves	24.5%	21.6%	—	—	4.64
Girona to score in both halves	17.8%	15.7%	—	—	6.36

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.3%	53.8%	54.1%	1.00×	1.86
Only Real Oviedo scores	24.6%	22.3%	23.6%	0.94×	4.49
Only Girona scores	17.2%	16.0%	13.4%	1.19×	6.24
Neither team scores	7.8%	7.1%	9.1%	0.78×	14.04

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	25.3%	24.9%	20.3%	1.22×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.0%	22.6%	21.6%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.4%	22.6%	21.1%	1.07×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	13.4%	12.1%	15.4%	0.79×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	7.8%	7.6%	9.1%	0.83×	13.14
Exactly 5 goals	6.7%	7.6%	7.9%	0.97×	13.14
6 or more goals	4.3%	4.5%	5.1%	0.87×	22.37

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1 goal in 1st half	36.9%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
No goals in 1st half	35.1%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	19.2%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	8.9%	7.4%	—	—	13.45

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	42.9%	45.5%	—	—	2.20
1 goal in 2nd half	34.1%	33.9%	—	—	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	23.0%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona not to win both halves	93.7%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Real Oviedo not to win both halves	88.8%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Real Oviedo to win both halves	11.2%	12.0%	—	—	8.34
Girona to win both halves	6.3%	5.9%	—	—	17.06

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Oviedo to win either half	55.9%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Girona to win neither half	55.6%	59.1%	—	—	1.69
Girona to win either half	44.4%	40.9%	—	—	2.44
Real Oviedo to win neither half	44.1%	40.9%	—	—	2.45

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Girona not to win to nil	82.8%	83.1%	86.6%	0.96×	1.20
Real Oviedo not to win to nil	75.4%	78.1%	76.4%	1.02×	1.28
Real Oviedo to win to nil	24.6%	21.9%	23.6%	0.93×	4.57
Girona to win to nil	17.2%	16.9%	13.4%	1.26×	5.92

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.1%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.59
Real Oviedo by 1	22.9%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
Girona by 1	18.7%	17.0%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87
Real Oviedo by 2	12.7%	11.8%	12.1%	0.98×	8.51
Girona by 2	8.4%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.90
Real Oviedo by 3+	7.5%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.91
Girona by 3+	3.7%	2.7%	3.2%	0.84×	36.79