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Real Sociedad II v Córdoba — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 December 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Real Sociedad II win
48.2%
model 45.7%
Draw
22.6%
model 23.9%
Córdoba win
29.2%
model 30.4%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (522 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.2%
  2. 1-0 9.3%
  3. 2-1 9.2%
  4. 0-1 7.3%
  5. 1-2 7.3%

Goals

Over 2.555.2% Under 2.544.8%
BTTS yes57.4% BTTS no42.6%
Real Sociedad II 1+80.2% Real Sociedad II 2+48.1%
Córdoba 1+72.0% Córdoba 2+36.4%

Expected goals 1.62 – 1.27. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
52/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
95%
★ Best pick
2-6 goals
Multi goal · usually 68%
78.8% fair odds 1.27
moderate signal · 2624 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 goals
Home goals O/U · usually 78%
82.6% fair odds 1.21
moderate signal · 1431 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Real Sociedad II.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Real Sociedad II have an estimated 48.2% win probability, against 29.2% for Córdoba and 22.6% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.62 for Real Sociedad II and 1.27 for Córdoba.

Why Real Sociedad II

Nothing in the data singles out Real Sociedad II.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.6%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Córdoba can win

Nothing in the data singles out Córdoba.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Real Sociedad II, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Córdoba, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Real Sociedad II: 38% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Córdoba: 57% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 14.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Real Sociedad II are the model's most likely outcome at 48.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%. Confidence 52/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.62–1.27 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.77–1.23 1-1 11% 58% 59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II to win 50.3% 51.5% 45.5% 1.13× 1.94
Córdoba to win 26.8% 27.9% 28.1% 0.99× 3.58
Draw 22.8% 24.5% 26.5% 0.92× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II & both teams score 25.8% 25.2% 22.0% 1.14× 3.97
Real Sociedad II & not both score 24.5% 21.8% 23.6% 0.92× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 18.1% 18.0% 17.5% 1.03× 5.56
Córdoba & both teams score 14.6% 13.3% 14.8% 0.90× 7.54
Córdoba & not both score 12.3% 13.3% 13.4% 0.99× 7.54
Draw & not both score 4.7% 4.9% 9.1% 0.54× 20.48
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II & over 1.5 41.3% 40.3% 32.6% 1.23× 2.48
Real Sociedad II & over 2.5 33.5% 30.8% 26.3% 1.17× 3.25
Real Sociedad II & under 3.5 31.0% 30.7% 32.2% 0.96× 3.25
Córdoba & over 1.5 20.5% 21.6% 19.5% 1.11× 4.63
Real Sociedad II & over 3.5 19.3% 18.0% 13.4% 1.34× 5.55
Draw & over 1.5 18.1% 18.0% 17.5% 1.03× 5.55
Córdoba & under 3.5 18.3% 18.0% 19.6% 0.92× 5.55
Real Sociedad II & under 2.5 16.8% 18.0% 19.3% 0.93× 5.56
Córdoba & over 2.5 16.7% 18.0% 16.7% 1.08× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 15.3% 18.0% 20.2% 0.89× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 15.3% 18.0% 20.2% 0.89× 5.56
Córdoba & under 2.5 10.1% 12.8% 11.5% 1.11× 7.79
Real Sociedad II & under 1.5 9.0% 7.9% 13.0% 0.61× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 7.6% 7.9% 6.4% 1.24× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 7.6% 7.9% 6.4% 1.24× 12.63
Córdoba & over 3.5 8.5% 7.9% 8.6% 0.92× 12.63
Córdoba & under 1.5 6.4% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 4.7% 4.8% 9.1% 0.53× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II (1UP) 65.9% 70.1% — — 1.43
Córdoba (1UP) 45.8% 43.7% — — 2.29
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II (2UP) 50.3% 55.1% — — 1.82
Córdoba (2UP) 26.8% 25.2% — — 3.97
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II to win 2nd half 41.0% 41.9% — — 2.39
2nd half drawn 32.8% 34.0% — — 2.94
Córdoba to win 2nd half 26.1% 26.0% — — 3.84
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 2nd half 83.0% 84.1% — — 1.19
Córdoba over 0.5 in 2nd half 52.3% 52.5% — — 1.91
Córdoba under 0.5 in 2nd half 47.8% 47.5% — — 2.10
Córdoba over 1.5 in 2nd half 17.0% 15.9% — — 6.30
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 in 2nd half 73.2% 74.4% — — 1.34
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 in 2nd half 63.6% 63.2% — — 1.58
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 in 2nd half 36.4% 36.8% — — 2.72
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 in 2nd half 26.8% 25.6% — — 3.91
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba (+2.5) 87.8% 88.5% 92.3% 0.96× 1.13
Real Sociedad II (+0.5) 73.2% 73.7% 71.9% 1.02× 1.36
Córdoba (+1.5) 72.5% 73.7% 80.4% 0.92× 1.36
Real Sociedad II (-0.5) 50.3% 52.4% 45.5% 1.15× 1.91
Córdoba (+0.5) 49.7% 47.6% 54.5% 0.87× 2.10
Real Sociedad II (-1.5) 27.5% 26.3% 19.6% 1.34× 3.80
Córdoba (-0.5) 26.8% 26.3% 28.1% 0.94× 3.80
Real Sociedad II (-2.5) 12.2% 11.5% 7.7% 1.51× 8.67
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba to concede 83.0% 81.5% 77.6% 1.05× 1.23
Córdoba clean sheet 17.0% 18.5% 22.4% 0.83× 5.40
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba to concede in 1st half 53.3% 50.9% — — 1.96
Córdoba clean sheet in 1st half 46.7% 49.1% — — 2.04
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba to concede in 2nd half 63.6% 61.9% — — 1.62
Córdoba clean sheet in 2nd half 36.4% 38.1% — — 2.63
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba over 2.5 corners 89.2% 85.2% — — 1.17
Córdoba over 3.5 corners 78.7% 76.0% — — 1.32
Córdoba over 4.5 corners 65.7% 67.6% — — 1.48
Córdoba under 6.5 corners 61.0% 61.7% — — 1.62
Córdoba over 5.5 corners 51.9% 53.1% — — 1.88
Córdoba under 5.5 corners 48.1% 46.9% — — 2.13
Córdoba over 6.5 corners 39.0% 38.3% — — 2.61
Córdoba under 4.5 corners 34.3% 32.4% — — 3.09
Córdoba under 3.5 corners 21.3% 24.0% — — 4.18
Córdoba under 2.5 corners 10.8% 14.8% — — 6.78
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba under 3.5 goals 96.3% 97.5% 97.0% 1.01× 1.03
Córdoba under 2.5 goals 87.2% 87.8% 89.1% 0.99× 1.14
Córdoba over 0.5 goals 70.8% 71.8% 67.4% 1.07× 1.39
Córdoba under 1.5 goals 65.1% 68.0% 69.4% 0.98× 1.47
Córdoba over 1.5 goals 34.9% 32.0% 30.6% 1.05× 3.12
Córdoba under 0.5 goals 29.2% 28.2% 32.6% 0.86× 3.55
Córdoba over 2.5 goals 12.8% 12.2% 10.9% 1.12× 8.20
Córdoba over 3.5 goals 3.7% 2.5% 3.0% 0.83× 39.78
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba under 1.5 in 1st half 91.2% 93.9% — — 1.07
Córdoba under 0.5 in 1st half 61.1% 63.1% — — 1.58
Córdoba over 0.5 in 1st half 38.9% 36.9% — — 2.71
Córdoba over 1.5 in 1st half 8.8% 6.1% — — 16.34
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba scores equally in both 40.8% 43.6% — — 2.29
Córdoba scores more in 2nd half 37.3% 37.3% — — 2.68
Córdoba scores more in 1st half 21.9% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II (away no bet) 68.8% 66.5% 63.2% 1.05× 1.51
Draw (away no bet) 31.2% 33.5% 36.8% 0.91× 2.98
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba even goals 54.3% 52.6% 54.6% 0.96× 1.90
Córdoba odd goals 45.7% 47.4% 45.4% 1.04× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 81.4% 83.1% — — 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 18.6% 16.9% — — 5.92
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 69.1% 68.0% — — 1.47
Both halves under 1.5 goals 30.9% 32.0% — — 3.12
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 61.2% 59.9% — — 1.67
Real Sociedad II to score 2+ in a row 43.7% 38.8% — — 2.58
Córdoba to score 2+ in a row 25.2% 24.9% — — 4.02
Either team to score 3+ in a row 23.7% 19.6% — — 5.11
Real Sociedad II to score 3+ in a row 17.4% 16.1% — — 6.19
Córdoba to score 3+ in a row 6.7% 5.5% — — 18.23
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba corners (+3.5) 92.3% 89.6% — — 1.12
Córdoba corners (+2.5) 87.7% 84.5% — — 1.18
Córdoba corners (+1.5) 81.2% 79.8% — — 1.25
Real Sociedad II corners (+3.5) 68.4% 65.9% — — 1.52
Real Sociedad II corners (+2.5) 58.5% 57.2% — — 1.75
Córdoba corners (-1.5) 52.2% 52.4% — — 1.91
Real Sociedad II corners (+1.5) 47.8% 47.6% — — 2.10
Córdoba corners (-2.5) 41.5% 42.8% — — 2.34
Córdoba corners (-3.5) 31.6% 34.1% — — 2.93
Real Sociedad II corners (-1.5) 18.8% 20.2% — — 4.94
Real Sociedad II corners (-2.5) 12.3% 15.5% — — 6.45
Real Sociedad II corners (-3.5) 7.7% 10.4% — — 9.60
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 35.8% 34.0% — — 2.94
12+ corners 33.7% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 30.5% 33.2% — — 3.01
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 74.6% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 7.5 corners 74.3% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 66.3% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 8.5 corners 64.2% 63.3% — — 1.58
Under 10.5 corners 56.7% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 53.6% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 9.5 corners 46.4% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 10.5 corners 43.3% 42.1% — — 2.37
Under 8.5 corners 35.8% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 11.5 corners 33.7% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 25.7% 27.5% — — 3.64
Over 12.5 corners 25.4% 27.5% — — 3.64
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 10.6% 11.5% 11.2% 1.02× 8.72
1-0 9.0% 7.4% 13.0% 0.57× 13.51
2-1 9.6% 7.4% 10.1% 0.74× 13.51
1-2 6.7% 7.4% 7.0% 1.05× 13.51
2-0 7.8% 7.4% 6.4% 1.16× 13.51
0-1 6.4% 7.4% 8.7% 0.85× 13.51
2-2 5.9% 7.4% 5.7% 1.31× 13.51
3-1 5.7% 7.4% 4.6% 1.60× 13.51
0-0 4.7% 1.7% 9.1% 0.19× 58.29
0-2 3.8% 1.7% 2.9% 0.58× 58.30
0-3 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 1.36× 58.31
0-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.32
1-3 2.7% 1.7% 3.7% 0.47× 58.30
1-4 0.8% 1.7% 0.8% 2.05× 58.31
2-3 2.4% 1.7% 2.3% 0.74× 58.31
2-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
3-0 4.6% 1.7% 3.0% 0.56× 58.29
3-2 3.5% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 58.30
3-3 1.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.2% 8.18× 58.32
4-0 2.0% 1.7% 1.2% 1.49× 58.31
4-1 2.5% 1.7% 1.9% 0.91× 58.31
4-2 1.5% 1.7% 1.2% 1.49× 58.31
4-3 0.6% 1.7% 0.3% 5.45× 58.32
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 8.18× 58.32
Any other score 4.3% 1.7% 2.7% 0.63× 58.30
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II (2nd half DNB) 61.1% 62.8% — — 1.59
Córdoba (2nd half DNB) 38.9% 37.2% — — 2.69
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II leading at HT (DNB) 64.0% 66.6% — — 1.50
Córdoba leading at HT (DNB) 36.0% 33.4% — — 3.00
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II or Córdoba (12) 77.2% 75.5% 73.5% 1.03× 1.32
Real Sociedad II or draw (1X) 73.2% 72.1% 71.9% 1.00× 1.39
Córdoba or draw (X2) 49.7% 48.5% 54.5% 0.89× 2.06
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II or draw at HT 78.5% 79.6% — — 1.26
Córdoba or draw at HT 61.7% 61.0% — — 1.64
Real Sociedad II or Córdoba at HT 59.8% 57.5% — — 1.74
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II or draw (1UP) 73.2% 79.6% — — 1.26
Córdoba or draw (1UP) 49.7% 53.2% — — 1.88
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II or draw in 2nd half 73.9% 74.0% — — 1.35
Real Sociedad II or Córdoba in 2nd half 67.2% 66.0% — — 1.52
Córdoba or draw in 2nd half 59.0% 58.1% — — 1.72
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 60.1% 61.2% — — 1.63
Neither half drawn 39.9% 38.8% — — 2.58
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II (DNB) 65.2% 67.4% 61.8% 1.09× 1.48
Córdoba (DNB) 34.8% 32.6% 38.2% 0.85× 3.07
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II to score first 56.2% 62.4% — — 1.60
Córdoba to score first 39.1% 32.8% — — 3.05
No goal scored 4.7% 4.4% — — 22.70
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 58.5% 55.0% 54.1% 1.02× 1.82
Not both teams to score 41.5% 45.0% 45.9% 0.98× 2.22
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 48.0% 44.3% 43.0% 1.03× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 31.7% 34.6% 39.7% 0.87× 2.89
Both score & under 2.5 10.6% 12.4% 11.2% 1.10× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 9.8% 8.3% 6.3% 1.32× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 81.6% 82.6% 85.6% 0.96× 1.21
Both teams to score 2+ 18.4% 17.4% 14.4% 1.21× 5.75
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 66.9% 67.2% — — 1.49
Both teams to score in 2nd half 33.1% 32.8% — — 3.05
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 53.1% 54.8% — — 1.83
Both score 2nd half only 26.2% 26.8% — — 3.73
Both score 1st half only 13.8% 10.8% — — 9.28
Both score in both halves 6.9% 6.8% — — 14.75
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 79.3% 81.1% — — 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 20.7% 18.9% — — 5.29
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 58.9% 57.0% — — 1.75
A half without a goal 41.1% 43.0% — — 2.33
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.5% 42.2% 41.3% 1.02× 2.37
4-6 goals 32.0% 30.7% 26.7% 1.15× 3.25
0-1 goals 20.1% 22.9% 30.6% 0.75× 4.37
7+ goals 3.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.17× 54.22
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba to score exactly 1 35.9% 35.9% 36.9% 0.97× 2.78
Córdoba to score exactly 0 29.2% 27.4% 32.6% 0.84× 3.64
Córdoba to score exactly 2 22.1% 22.3% 19.8% 1.12× 4.49
Córdoba to score 3+ 12.8% 12.9% 10.9% 1.18× 7.76
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 1 30.1% 32.6% 35.6% 0.91× 3.07
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 2 26.7% 26.6% 24.9% 1.06× 3.77
Real Sociedad II to score 3+ 26.2% 26.5% 17.2% 1.54× 3.77
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 0 17.0% 18.8% 22.4% 0.84× 5.32
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 40.2% 42.5% — — 2.35
Real Sociedad II leading at HT 38.3% 39.0% — — 2.56
Córdoba leading at HT 21.5% 20.4% — — 4.91
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II -1: 2 49.7% 46.9% — — 2.13
Real Sociedad II -1: 1 27.5% 26.5% — — 3.77
Real Sociedad II -1: X 22.8% 23.5% — — 4.25
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba (0:1) 49.7% 46.1% 54.5% 0.85× 2.17
Real Sociedad II (0:1) 27.5% 27.0% 19.6% 1.38× 3.70
Draw (0:1) 22.8% 24.2% 26.0% 0.93× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba (0:2) 72.5% 75.6% 80.4% 0.94× 1.32
Draw (0:2) 15.2% 15.2% 12.1% 1.26× 6.57
Real Sociedad II (0:2) 12.2% 11.0% 7.7% 1.44× 9.10
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba (0:3) 87.8% 90.6% 92.3% 0.98× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 7.7% 5.8% 5.3% 1.09× 17.24
Real Sociedad II (0:3) 4.5% 2.4% 2.4% 0.99× 41.94
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba (0:4) 95.5% 98.1% 97.6% 1.00× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 3.1% 1.2% 2.1% 0.58× 81.56
Real Sociedad II (0:4) 1.4% 1.2% 0.4% 2.92× 81.75
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II (1:0) 73.2% 72.5% 71.9% 1.01× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 16.0% 17.1% 17.9% 0.95× 5.85
Córdoba (1:0) 10.9% 12.7% 10.3% 1.24× 7.88
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II (2:0) 89.1% 88.5% 89.7% 0.99× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 7.4% 6.4% 7.1% 0.90× 15.66
Córdoba (2:0) 3.5% 2.3% 3.2% 0.70× 43.71
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.2% 48.7% — — 2.05
1st half highest scoring 27.7% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 23.1% 24.5% — — 4.08
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II to concede 70.8% 73.0% 67.4% 1.08× 1.37
Real Sociedad II clean sheet 29.2% 27.0% 32.6% 0.83× 3.70
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II clean sheet in 1st half 61.1% 63.1% — — 1.59
Real Sociedad II to concede in 1st half 38.9% 36.9% — — 2.71
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II to concede in 2nd half 52.3% 52.5% — — 1.90
Real Sociedad II clean sheet in 2nd half 47.8% 47.5% — — 2.11
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II under 6.5 corners 84.0% 81.0% — — 1.24
Real Sociedad II over 2.5 corners 74.0% 71.9% — — 1.39
Real Sociedad II under 5.5 corners 73.9% 71.9% — — 1.39
Real Sociedad II under 4.5 corners 60.0% 62.3% — — 1.61
Real Sociedad II over 3.5 corners 56.7% 57.5% — — 1.74
Real Sociedad II under 3.5 corners 43.3% 42.5% — — 2.35
Real Sociedad II over 4.5 corners 40.0% 37.7% — — 2.65
Real Sociedad II under 2.5 corners 26.0% 28.1% — — 3.56
Real Sociedad II over 5.5 corners 26.1% 28.1% — — 3.56
Real Sociedad II over 6.5 corners 16.0% 19.0% — — 5.26
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II under 3.5 goals 89.6% 87.3% 93.7% 0.93× 1.15
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 goals 83.0% 82.2% 77.6% 1.06× 1.22
Real Sociedad II under 2.5 goals 73.8% 74.2% 82.8% 0.90× 1.35
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 goals 52.9% 53.2% 42.0% 1.27× 1.88
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 goals 47.1% 46.8% 58.0% 0.81× 2.14
Real Sociedad II over 2.5 goals 26.2% 25.8% 17.2% 1.50× 3.88
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 goals 17.0% 17.8% 22.4% 0.79× 5.62
Real Sociedad II over 3.5 goals 10.4% 12.7% 6.3% 2.02× 7.86
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 in 1st half 82.2% 84.1% — — 1.19
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 in 1st half 53.3% 50.7% — — 1.97
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 in 1st half 46.7% 49.3% — — 2.03
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 in 1st half 17.8% 15.9% — — 6.27
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II scores more in 2nd half 40.4% 41.6% — — 2.40
Real Sociedad II scores equally in both 32.8% 33.3% — — 3.01
Real Sociedad II scores more in 1st half 26.8% 27.8% — — 3.60
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba (home no bet) 54.0% 51.5% 51.4% 1.00× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 46.0% 48.5% 48.6% 1.00× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II even goals 51.4% 50.7% 51.7% 0.98× 1.97
Real Sociedad II odd goals 48.6% 49.3% 48.3% 1.02× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 28.5% 28.5% — — 3.52
HT 1-0 21.8% 24.3% — — 4.11
HT 0-1 14.1% 11.0% — — 9.08
HT 1-1 10.7% 11.0% — — 9.11
HT 2-0 8.3% 6.9% — — 14.53
Any other HT score 5.5% 6.9% — — 14.57
HT 2-1 4.1% 2.4% — — 42.14
HT 0-2 3.5% 2.4% — — 42.18
HT 1-2 2.6% 2.4% — — 42.23
HT 2-2 1.0% 2.4% — — 42.34
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT 30.8% 32.8% — — 3.05
Draw at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT 16.6% 16.8% — — 5.97
Córdoba at HT / Córdoba at FT 14.0% 12.7% — — 7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 12.9% 12.7% — — 7.89
Draw at HT / Córdoba at FT 10.6% 12.7% — — 7.90
Real Sociedad II at HT / Draw at FT 5.3% 6.0% — — 16.54
Córdoba at HT / Draw at FT 4.6% 3.5% — — 28.85
Córdoba at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT 2.9% 3.5% — — 28.92
Real Sociedad II at HT / Córdoba at FT 2.2% 3.5% — — 28.94
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II to score last 56.2% 56.6% — — 1.77
Córdoba to score last 39.1% 38.8% — — 2.58
No goal scored 4.7% 4.4% — — 22.70
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 95.3% 95.5% — — 1.05
Real Sociedad II to lead by 1 at any time 65.9% 69.2% — — 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 51.3% 50.6% — — 1.98
Córdoba to lead by 1 at any time 45.8% 44.3% — — 2.26
Real Sociedad II to lead by 2 at any time 34.8% 29.8% — — 3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 20.1% 19.5% — — 5.14
Córdoba to lead by 2 at any time 16.8% 14.8% — — 6.75
Real Sociedad II to lead by 3 at any time 15.0% 14.8% — — 6.76
Córdoba to lead by 3 at any time 5.0% 6.6% — — 15.15
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba most corners 63.0% 60.6% — — 1.65
Real Sociedad II most corners 27.2% 31.1% — — 3.22
Corners level 9.9% 8.4% — — 11.97
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.9% 87.4% 85.8% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 76.8% 78.7% 78.1% 1.01× 1.27
2-6 goals 76.5% 78.7% 67.9% 1.16× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.5% 72.3% 64.4% 1.12× 1.38
2-4 goals 61.4% 63.3% 56.6% 1.12× 1.58
1-3 goals 59.9% 59.1% 62.8% 0.94× 1.69
3-6 goals 54.4% 53.2% 47.7% 1.11× 1.88
3-5 goals 49.3% 48.4% 44.1% 1.10× 2.06
2-3 goals 44.5% 43.6% 41.3% 1.06× 2.29
3-4 goals 39.2% 39.2% 36.4% 1.08× 2.55
1-2 goals 37.5% 39.2% 41.8% 0.94× 2.55
4-6 goals 32.0% 35.2% 26.7% 1.32× 2.84
4-5 goals 26.9% 30.2% 23.2% 1.30× 3.31
5-6 goals 15.2% 18.8% 11.4% 1.65× 5.31
7+ goals 3.4% 2.6% 1.6% 1.63× 39.12
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II never behind 49.5% 56.9% — — 1.76
Córdoba never behind 29.4% 30.0% — — 3.34
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.6% 50.9% 48.5% 1.05× 1.97
Odd number of goals 50.4% 49.1% 51.5% 0.95× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.0% 51.7% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 46.0% 48.3% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.3% 52.0% — — 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.7% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 95.3% 95.4% 90.9% 1.05× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 91.6% 92.3% 94.9% 0.97× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 81.5% 82.3% 87.1% 0.94× 1.22
Over 1.5 goals 79.9% 77.3% 69.4% 1.11× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 64.6% 61.7% 71.8% 0.86× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 57.8% 58.6% 49.2% 1.19× 1.71
Under 2.5 goals 42.2% 41.4% 50.8% 0.81× 2.42
Over 3.5 goals 35.4% 38.3% 28.2% 1.36× 2.61
Under 1.5 goals 20.1% 22.7% 30.6% 0.74× 4.41
Over 4.5 goals 18.5% 17.7% 12.9% 1.37× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 8.4% 7.7% 5.1% 1.51× 12.93
Under 0.5 goals 4.7% 4.6% 9.1% 0.50× 21.80
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.5% 97.2% 98.4% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 90.6% 92.4% 94.4% 0.98× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 77.7% 75.9% 84.8% 0.90× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 74.2% 72.4% 61.6% 1.17× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 54.4% 51.9% 64.3% 0.81× 1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 45.6% 48.1% 35.7% 1.35× 2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 25.8% 27.6% 38.4% 0.72× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 22.3% 24.1% 15.2% 1.58× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 9.4% 7.6% 5.6% 1.36× 13.17
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.5% 2.8% 1.6% 1.72× 35.58
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 86.7% 89.0% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 71.5% 71.3% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 64.3% 63.5% — — 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 35.7% 36.5% — — 2.74
Under 0.5 in 1st half 28.5% 28.7% — — 3.49
Over 2.5 in 1st half 13.3% 11.0% — — 9.08
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 82.7% 83.0% — — 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 74.4% 77.9% — — 1.28
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 52.1% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 47.9% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 25.6% 22.1% — — 4.52
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 17.3% 17.0% — — 5.87
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba not to score in both halves 79.7% 78.5% — — 1.27
Real Sociedad II not to score in both halves 66.1% 70.0% — — 1.43
Real Sociedad II to score in both halves 33.9% 30.0% — — 3.33
Córdoba to score in both halves 20.3% 21.5% — — 4.65
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 58.5% 58.6% 54.1% 1.08× 1.71
Only Real Sociedad II scores 24.5% 22.3% 23.6% 0.94× 4.49
Only Córdoba scores 12.3% 11.0% 13.4% 0.82× 9.07
Neither team scores 4.7% 4.6% 9.1% 0.51× 21.53
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 21.1% 1.07× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 22.1% 22.6% 20.3% 1.11× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 16.8% 17.5% 15.4% 1.13× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 15.4% 17.4% 21.6% 0.81× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 10.1% 12.1% 7.9% 1.54× 8.26
6 or more goals 8.4% 7.6% 5.1% 1.48× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 4.7% 4.5% 9.1% 0.49× 22.33
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.9% 37.2% — — 2.69
No goals in 1st half 28.5% 28.7% — — 3.49
2 goals in 1st half 22.4% 21.4% — — 4.67
3+ goals in 1st half 13.3% 10.9% — — 9.17
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 52.1% 51.2% — — 1.95
1 goal in 2nd half 30.6% 33.9% — — 2.95
No goals in 2nd half 17.3% 16.7% — — 5.98
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba not to win both halves 94.4% 94.2% — — 1.06
Real Sociedad II not to win both halves 84.3% 83.6% — — 1.20
Real Sociedad II to win both halves 15.7% 16.4% — — 6.08
Córdoba to win both halves 5.6% 5.8% — — 17.25
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II to win either half 63.7% 65.0% — — 1.54
Córdoba to win neither half 57.9% 59.1% — — 1.69
Córdoba to win either half 42.1% 40.9% — — 2.44
Real Sociedad II to win neither half 36.3% 35.0% — — 2.86
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Córdoba not to win to nil 87.7% 88.1% 86.6% 1.02× 1.14
Real Sociedad II not to win to nil 75.5% 78.1% 76.4% 1.02× 1.28
Real Sociedad II to win to nil 24.5% 21.9% 23.6% 0.93× 4.57
Córdoba to win to nil 12.3% 11.9% 13.4% 0.89× 8.42
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II by 1 22.8% 24.1% 26.0% 0.93× 4.15
Draw 22.8% 24.1% 26.5% 0.91× 4.15
Córdoba by 1 16.0% 17.0% 17.9% 0.95× 5.87
Real Sociedad II by 2 15.2% 17.0% 12.1% 1.41× 5.87
Real Sociedad II by 3+ 12.2% 11.8% 7.7% 1.54× 8.51
Córdoba by 2 7.4% 7.2% 7.1% 1.01× 13.91
Córdoba by 3+ 3.5% 2.7% 3.2% 0.83× 36.86
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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