betaider.com
Sign in

Real Sociedad II v Girona — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 November 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Real Sociedad II win
30.9%
model 33.6%
Draw
23.8%
model 22.7%
Girona win
45.3%
model 43.7%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 10.1%
  2. 1-2 8.9%
  3. 2-1 7.7%
  4. 0-1 7.2%
  5. 2-2 6.6%

Goals

Over 2.562.3% Under 2.537.7%
BTTS yes63.4% BTTS no36.6%
Real Sociedad II 1+77.4% Real Sociedad II 2+43.8%
Girona 1+82.2% Girona 2+51.5%

Expected goals 1.49 – 1.73. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
57/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
96%
★ Best pick
Girona over 1.5 goals
Away goals O/U · usually 31%
51.1% fair odds 1.96
strong signal · 624 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Girona (0:2)
Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%
83.8% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Girona.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Girona have an estimated 45.3% win probability, against 30.9% for Real Sociedad II and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.49 for Real Sociedad II and 1.73 for Girona.

Why Real Sociedad II

Nothing in the data singles out Real Sociedad II.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.49 to 1.73. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Girona can win

Nothing in the data singles out Girona.

Key players

Girona's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Viktor Tsygankov (0.37), Azz-Eddine Ounahi (0.32), Bryan Gil Salvatierra (0.18).

Availability

No lineup on record for Real Sociedad II, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Real Sociedad II: 38% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Girona: 55% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 8.2 faced, 0.27 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Girona are the model's most likely outcome at 45.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.1%. Confidence 57/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

333 sports channels, playing now →

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Girona are finishing sharply below their chances — 4.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 3.1 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LWDLLLDDLD last 10 scored 8 from 12.7 xG conceded 12 from 15.1 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.49–1.73 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.74–1.83 1-1 9% 69% 69%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona to win 41.0% 42.9% 28.1% 1.53× 2.33
Real Sociedad II to win 37.4% 36.4% 45.5% 0.80× 2.75
Draw 21.6% 24.4% 26.5% 0.92× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona & both teams score 26.1% 25.2% 14.8% 1.70× 3.97
Real Sociedad II & both teams score 23.9% 21.8% 22.0% 0.99× 4.58
Draw & both teams score 19.0% 18.0% 17.5% 1.03× 5.56
Girona & not both score 14.9% 13.3% 13.4% 0.99× 7.53
Real Sociedad II & not both score 13.4% 13.3% 23.6% 0.56× 7.53
Draw & not both score 2.6% 4.9% 9.1% 0.53× 20.62
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona & over 1.5 35.7% 34.9% 19.5% 1.79× 2.87
Real Sociedad II & over 1.5 32.3% 30.8% 32.6% 0.94× 3.25
Girona & over 2.5 31.0% 30.8% 16.7% 1.85× 3.25
Real Sociedad II & over 2.5 28.0% 26.1% 26.3% 0.99× 3.84
Girona & under 3.5 21.1% 21.6% 19.6% 1.10× 4.63
Real Sociedad II & under 3.5 19.6% 18.0% 32.2% 0.56× 5.56
Girona & over 3.5 19.9% 18.0% 8.6% 2.09× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 19.0% 18.0% 17.5% 1.03× 5.56
Real Sociedad II & over 3.5 17.7% 18.0% 13.4% 1.34× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 11.3% 12.8% 20.2% 0.63× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 11.3% 12.8% 20.2% 0.63× 7.79
Draw & over 2.5 10.2% 12.8% 6.4% 2.01× 7.79
Draw & over 3.5 10.2% 12.8% 6.4% 2.01× 7.79
Girona & under 2.5 10.1% 12.8% 11.5% 1.11× 7.79
Real Sociedad II & under 2.5 9.4% 7.9% 19.3% 0.41× 12.63
Real Sociedad II & under 1.5 5.1% 7.9% 13.0% 0.61× 12.63
Girona & under 1.5 5.4% 7.9% 8.7% 0.91× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 2.6% 4.8% 9.1% 0.53× 20.82
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona (1UP) 61.0% 62.7% — — 1.59
Real Sociedad II (1UP) 58.0% 58.1% — — 1.72
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona (2UP) 41.0% 47.0% — — 2.13
Real Sociedad II (2UP) 37.4% 37.4% — — 2.67
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona to win 2nd half 37.8% 36.0% — — 2.78
Real Sociedad II to win 2nd half 32.3% 34.3% — — 2.91
2nd half drawn 29.8% 25.9% — — 3.85
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona under 1.5 in 2nd half 69.9% 70.3% — — 1.42
Girona over 0.5 in 2nd half 66.7% 70.0% — — 1.43
Girona under 0.5 in 2nd half 33.3% 30.0% — — 3.33
Girona over 1.5 in 2nd half 30.1% 29.7% — — 3.37
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 in 2nd half 73.9% 74.1% — — 1.35
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 in 2nd half 62.9% 63.3% — — 1.58
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 in 2nd half 37.1% 36.7% — — 2.73
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 in 2nd half 26.1% 25.9% — — 3.86
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona (+2.5) 92.0% 92.1% 92.3% 1.00× 1.09
Girona (+1.5) 81.0% 82.5% 80.4% 1.03× 1.21
Girona (+0.5) 62.6% 62.9% 54.5% 1.15× 1.59
Real Sociedad II (+0.5) 59.0% 57.0% 71.9% 0.79× 1.75
Girona (-0.5) 41.0% 43.0% 28.1% 1.53× 2.33
Real Sociedad II (-0.5) 37.4% 37.1% 45.5% 0.81× 2.70
Real Sociedad II (-1.5) 19.0% 17.5% 19.6% 0.89× 5.72
Real Sociedad II (-2.5) 8.0% 7.9% 7.7% 1.03× 12.68
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona to concede 82.5% 81.5% 77.6% 1.05× 1.23
Girona clean sheet 17.5% 18.5% 22.4% 0.82× 5.41
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona to concede in 1st half 52.7% 50.7% — — 1.97
Girona clean sheet in 1st half 47.3% 49.3% — — 2.03
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona to concede in 2nd half 62.9% 61.9% — — 1.62
Girona clean sheet in 2nd half 37.1% 38.1% — — 2.62
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona over 2.5 corners 79.2% 76.0% — — 1.32
Girona under 6.5 corners 78.5% 76.0% — — 1.32
Girona under 5.5 corners 67.0% 67.6% — — 1.48
Girona over 3.5 corners 63.7% 61.8% — — 1.62
Girona under 4.5 corners 52.6% 53.1% — — 1.89
Girona over 4.5 corners 47.4% 46.9% — — 2.13
Girona under 3.5 corners 36.3% 38.2% — — 2.62
Girona over 5.5 corners 33.0% 32.4% — — 3.09
Girona over 6.5 corners 21.5% 24.0% — — 4.17
Girona under 2.5 corners 20.8% 24.0% — — 4.17
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona under 3.5 goals 88.6% 87.8% 97.0% 0.91× 1.14
Girona over 0.5 goals 84.0% 81.5% 67.4% 1.21× 1.23
Girona under 2.5 goals 72.2% 71.9% 89.1% 0.81× 1.39
Girona over 1.5 goals 54.7% 53.6% 30.6% 1.75× 1.87
Girona under 1.5 goals 45.3% 46.5% 69.4% 0.67× 2.15
Girona over 2.5 goals 27.8% 28.1% 10.9% 2.58× 3.56
Girona under 0.5 goals 16.0% 18.5% 32.6% 0.57× 5.40
Girona over 3.5 goals 11.4% 12.2% 3.0% 4.01× 8.21
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona under 1.5 in 1st half 83.3% 83.2% — — 1.20
Girona over 0.5 in 1st half 51.9% 55.6% — — 1.80
Girona under 0.5 in 1st half 48.1% 44.4% — — 2.25
Girona over 1.5 in 1st half 16.7% 16.8% — — 5.97
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona scores more in 2nd half 44.0% 43.8% — — 2.29
Girona scores equally in both 31.8% 33.4% — — 3.00
Girona scores more in 1st half 24.3% 22.1% — — 4.52
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II (away no bet) 63.4% 61.9% 63.2% 0.98× 1.61
Draw (away no bet) 36.6% 38.1% 36.8% 1.03× 2.63
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona even goals 51.3% 52.6% 54.6% 0.96× 1.90
Girona odd goals 48.7% 47.4% 45.4% 1.04× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 73.1% 76.7% — — 1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals 26.9% 23.3% — — 4.30
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 78.4% 72.5% — — 1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals 21.6% 27.5% — — 3.64
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 69.3% 62.5% — — 1.60
Girona to score 2+ in a row 42.5% 38.7% — — 2.58
Real Sociedad II to score 2+ in a row 39.5% 36.7% — — 2.72
Either team to score 3+ in a row 29.2% 25.2% — — 3.96
Girona to score 3+ in a row 16.0% 16.2% — — 6.17
Real Sociedad II to score 3+ in a row 14.1% 12.1% — — 8.27
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona corners (+3.5) 86.3% 84.5% — — 1.18
Real Sociedad II corners (+3.5) 82.8% 79.8% — — 1.25
Girona corners (+2.5) 79.0% 74.8% — — 1.34
Real Sociedad II corners (+2.5) 74.6% 70.7% — — 1.41
Girona corners (+1.5) 69.7% 65.9% — — 1.52
Real Sociedad II corners (+1.5) 64.5% 61.8% — — 1.62
Girona corners (-1.5) 35.6% 38.2% — — 2.62
Real Sociedad II corners (-1.5) 30.3% 34.1% — — 2.93
Girona corners (-2.5) 25.4% 29.3% — — 3.42
Real Sociedad II corners (-2.5) 21.0% 25.2% — — 3.97
Girona corners (-3.5) 17.2% 20.2% — — 4.94
Real Sociedad II corners (-3.5) 13.7% 15.5% — — 6.44
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 47.4% 41.8% — — 2.39
9-11 corners 29.7% 31.2% — — 3.21
12+ corners 22.9% 25.7% — — 3.90
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 83.9% 80.7% — — 1.24
Under 11.5 corners 77.1% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 10.5 corners 68.6% 67.8% — — 1.48
Over 7.5 corners 64.1% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 9.5 corners 58.5% 57.9% — — 1.73
Over 8.5 corners 52.6% 53.2% — — 1.88
Under 8.5 corners 47.4% 46.8% — — 2.14
Over 9.5 corners 41.5% 42.1% — — 2.38
Under 7.5 corners 35.9% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 10.5 corners 31.4% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 11.5 corners 22.9% 23.4% — — 4.27
Over 12.5 corners 16.1% 19.3% — — 5.18
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 8.7% 7.4% 11.2% 0.66× 13.51
1-2 8.2% 7.4% 7.0% 1.05× 13.51
2-1 7.8% 7.4% 10.1% 0.74× 13.51
2-2 7.1% 7.4% 5.7% 1.31× 13.51
Any other score 7.0% 7.4% 2.7% 2.72× 13.51
0-1 5.4% 7.4% 8.7% 0.85× 13.51
1-0 5.1% 7.4% 13.0% 0.57× 13.51
1-3 5.0% 7.4% 3.7% 2.02× 13.51
0-0 2.6% 1.7% 9.1% 0.19× 58.30
0-2 4.7% 1.7% 2.9% 0.58× 58.29
0-3 2.9% 1.7% 1.3% 1.36× 58.30
0-4 1.3% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
1-4 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 2.05× 58.31
2-0 4.3% 1.7% 6.4% 0.27× 58.30
2-3 4.4% 1.7% 2.3% 0.74× 58.29
2-4 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.31
3-0 2.5% 1.7% 3.0% 0.56× 58.31
3-1 4.5% 1.7% 4.6% 0.37× 58.29
3-2 4.1% 1.7% 2.8% 0.61× 58.30
3-3 2.5% 1.7% 0.7% 2.34× 58.30
3-4 1.2% 1.7% 0.2% 8.18× 58.31
4-0 1.1% 1.7% 1.2% 1.49× 58.31
4-1 2.0% 1.7% 1.9% 0.91× 58.31
4-2 1.8% 1.7% 1.2% 1.49× 58.31
4-3 1.1% 1.7% 0.3% 5.45× 58.31
4-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.2% 8.18× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona (2nd half DNB) 53.9% 53.0% — — 1.89
Real Sociedad II (2nd half DNB) 46.1% 47.0% — — 2.13
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II leading at HT (DNB) 50.7% 55.7% — — 1.80
Girona leading at HT (DNB) 49.3% 44.3% — — 2.26
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II or Girona (12) 78.4% 75.6% 73.5% 1.03× 1.32
Girona or draw (X2) 62.6% 63.6% 54.5% 1.17× 1.57
Real Sociedad II or draw (1X) 59.0% 57.1% 71.9% 0.79× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II or draw at HT 68.9% 67.2% — — 1.49
Girona or draw at HT 68.0% 67.2% — — 1.49
Real Sociedad II or Girona at HT 63.1% 61.4% — — 1.63
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona or draw (1UP) 62.6% 71.6% — — 1.40
Real Sociedad II or draw (1UP) 59.0% 63.1% — — 1.58
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II or Girona in 2nd half 70.2% 74.1% — — 1.35
Girona or draw in 2nd half 67.7% 65.7% — — 1.52
Real Sociedad II or draw in 2nd half 62.2% 64.0% — — 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 56.0% 58.4% — — 1.71
Neither half drawn 44.0% 41.6% — — 2.40
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona (DNB) 52.4% 50.9% 38.2% 1.33× 1.96
Real Sociedad II (DNB) 47.6% 49.1% 61.8% 0.79× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona to score first 49.9% 46.1% — — 2.17
Real Sociedad II to score first 47.5% 46.0% — — 2.17
No goal scored 2.6% 4.2% — — 23.53
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 69.1% 58.5% 54.1% 1.08× 1.71
Not both teams to score 30.9% 41.5% 45.9% 0.90× 2.41
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 60.3% 50.3% 43.0% 1.17× 1.99
Not both score & under 2.5 22.0% 27.8% 39.7% 0.70× 3.60
Both score & under 2.5 8.7% 8.3% 11.2% 0.74× 12.06
Not both score & over 2.5 8.9% 8.3% 6.3% 1.32× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 71.6% 80.5% 85.6% 0.94× 1.24
Both teams to score 2+ 28.4% 19.5% 14.4% 1.36× 5.12
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 58.1% 65.1% — — 1.54
Both teams to score in 2nd half 41.9% 34.9% — — 2.87
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 42.3% 50.4% — — 1.99
Both score 2nd half only 30.4% 27.0% — — 3.71
Both score 1st half only 15.9% 14.9% — — 6.71
Both score in both halves 11.5% 10.7% — — 9.33
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 72.7% 79.5% — — 1.26
Both teams to score by HT 27.3% 20.5% — — 4.87
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 67.6% 66.1% — — 1.51
A half without a goal 32.4% 33.9% — — 2.95
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 40.8% 42.1% 26.7% 1.58× 2.37
2-3 goals 39.1% 35.1% 41.3% 0.85× 2.85
0-1 goals 13.0% 16.9% 30.6% 0.55× 5.91
7+ goals 7.1% 7.6% 1.6% 4.84× 13.13
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona to score exactly 1 29.3% 27.4% 36.9% 0.74× 3.65
Girona to score 3+ 27.8% 27.4% 10.9% 2.51× 3.65
Girona to score exactly 2 26.9% 27.4% 19.8% 1.38× 3.65
Girona to score exactly 0 16.0% 19.6% 32.6% 0.60× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 1 30.5% 32.5% 35.6% 0.91× 3.07
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 2 26.6% 26.5% 24.9% 1.06× 3.77
Real Sociedad II to score 3+ 25.4% 26.5% 17.2% 1.54× 3.77
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 0 17.5% 18.8% 22.4% 0.84× 5.33
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 36.9% 38.6% — — 2.59
Real Sociedad II leading at HT 32.0% 32.8% — — 3.05
Girona leading at HT 31.1% 32.8% — — 3.05
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona -1: 1 59.0% 56.8% — — 1.76
Girona -1: 2 21.8% 23.5% — — 4.26
Girona -1: X 19.3% 17.5% — — 5.70
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona (0:1) 62.6% 61.4% 54.5% 1.13× 1.63
Real Sociedad II (0:1) 19.0% 17.8% 19.6% 0.91× 5.61
Draw (0:1) 18.3% 17.8% 26.0% 0.69× 5.61
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona (0:2) 81.0% 82.9% 80.4% 1.03× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 11.0% 11.0% 12.1% 0.91× 9.10
Real Sociedad II (0:2) 8.0% 7.7% 7.7% 1.00× 13.04
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona (0:3) 92.0% 92.7% 92.3% 1.00× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.2% 5.8% 5.3% 1.08× 17.25
Real Sociedad II (0:3) 2.8% 2.4% 2.4% 0.99× 42.09
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona (0:4) 97.2% 98.1% 97.6% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 2.0% 1.2% 2.1% 0.58× 81.88
Real Sociedad II (0:4) 0.8% 1.2% 0.4% 2.91× 82.01
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II (1:0) 59.0% 58.4% 71.9% 0.81× 1.71
Girona (1:0) 21.8% 21.7% 10.3% 2.11× 4.61
Draw (1:0) 19.3% 17.1% 17.9% 0.95× 5.85
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II (2:0) 78.2% 80.5% 89.7% 0.90× 1.24
Draw (2:0) 12.2% 10.3% 7.1% 1.44× 9.72
Girona (2:0) 9.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.97× 15.66
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 51.9% 50.3% — — 1.99
1st half highest scoring 27.4% 26.2% — — 3.81
Halves equal 20.8% 24.4% — — 4.10
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II to concede 84.0% 80.9% 67.4% 1.20× 1.24
Real Sociedad II clean sheet 16.0% 19.1% 32.6% 0.58× 5.25
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II to concede in 1st half 51.9% 55.6% — — 1.80
Real Sociedad II clean sheet in 1st half 48.1% 44.4% — — 2.25
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II to concede in 2nd half 66.7% 66.9% — — 1.50
Real Sociedad II clean sheet in 2nd half 33.3% 33.1% — — 3.02
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II under 6.5 corners 81.6% 81.0% — — 1.24
Real Sociedad II over 2.5 corners 76.5% 76.5% — — 1.31
Real Sociedad II under 5.5 corners 70.9% 71.8% — — 1.39
Real Sociedad II over 3.5 corners 59.9% 57.5% — — 1.74
Real Sociedad II under 4.5 corners 56.7% 57.5% — — 1.74
Real Sociedad II over 4.5 corners 43.3% 42.5% — — 2.35
Real Sociedad II under 3.5 corners 40.1% 42.5% — — 2.35
Real Sociedad II over 5.5 corners 29.1% 28.2% — — 3.55
Real Sociedad II under 2.5 corners 23.5% 23.5% — — 4.26
Real Sociedad II over 6.5 corners 18.4% 19.0% — — 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II under 3.5 goals 90.1% 92.2% 93.7% 0.98× 1.08
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 goals 82.5% 82.2% 77.6% 1.06× 1.22
Real Sociedad II under 2.5 goals 74.6% 74.3% 82.8% 0.90× 1.35
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 goals 51.9% 53.2% 42.0% 1.27× 1.88
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 goals 48.1% 46.8% 58.0% 0.81× 2.14
Real Sociedad II over 2.5 goals 25.4% 25.7% 17.2% 1.50× 3.89
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 goals 17.5% 17.8% 22.4% 0.79× 5.62
Real Sociedad II over 3.5 goals 9.9% 7.8% 6.3% 1.24× 12.86
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 in 1st half 82.7% 84.0% — — 1.19
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 in 1st half 52.7% 50.5% — — 1.98
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 in 1st half 47.3% 49.5% — — 2.02
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 in 1st half 17.3% 16.0% — — 6.24
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II scores more in 2nd half 40.1% 42.2% — — 2.37
Real Sociedad II scores equally in both 33.2% 33.2% — — 3.01
Real Sociedad II scores more in 1st half 26.7% 27.7% — — 3.61
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona (home no bet) 65.5% 64.0% 51.4% 1.25× 1.56
Draw (home no bet) 34.5% 36.0% 48.6% 0.74× 2.78
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II even goals 51.5% 50.7% 51.7% 0.98× 1.97
Real Sociedad II odd goals 48.5% 49.3% 48.3% 1.02× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 22.7% 24.4% — — 4.10
HT 1-0 17.1% 18.6% — — 5.37
HT 0-1 16.7% 18.6% — — 5.37
HT 1-1 12.4% 11.0% — — 9.11
Any other HT score 7.7% 6.9% — — 14.47
HT 2-0 6.4% 6.9% — — 14.49
HT 0-2 6.1% 6.9% — — 14.49
HT 1-2 4.6% 2.4% — — 42.00
HT 2-1 4.7% 2.4% — — 41.99
HT 2-2 1.7% 2.4% — — 42.18
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona at HT / Girona at FT 23.2% 21.7% — — 4.61
Real Sociedad II at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT 22.4% 21.6% — — 4.62
Draw at HT / Girona at FT 14.1% 12.7% — — 7.89
Draw at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT 12.1% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 10.8% 12.6% — — 7.91
Real Sociedad II at HT / Draw at FT 5.8% 6.0% — — 16.66
Girona at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 6.0% — — 16.68
Real Sociedad II at HT / Girona at FT 3.8% 3.5% — — 28.65
Girona at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT 2.9% 3.5% — — 28.68
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona to score last 49.9% 46.6% — — 2.15
Real Sociedad II to score last 47.5% 46.5% — — 2.15
No goal scored 2.6% 4.2% — — 23.53
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 97.4% 95.7% — — 1.05
Girona to lead by 1 at any time 61.0% 61.3% — — 1.63
Real Sociedad II to lead by 1 at any time 58.0% 54.9% — — 1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 57.7% 54.9% — — 1.82
Girona to lead by 2 at any time 30.6% 29.8% — — 3.36
Real Sociedad II to lead by 2 at any time 27.7% 25.5% — — 3.92
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 23.9% 19.7% — — 5.08
Girona to lead by 3 at any time 12.8% 10.5% — — 9.55
Real Sociedad II to lead by 3 at any time 11.0% 10.4% — — 9.59
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona most corners 47.0% 47.0% — — 2.13
Real Sociedad II most corners 41.3% 43.5% — — 2.30
Corners level 11.7% 10.4% — — 9.58
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 82.2% 83.4% 85.8% 0.97× 1.20
2-6 goals 79.9% 78.7% 67.9% 1.16× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.8% 72.4% 64.4% 1.12× 1.38
1-4 goals 68.6% 68.8% 78.1% 0.88× 1.45
3-6 goals 62.2% 63.3% 47.7% 1.33× 1.58
2-4 goals 58.1% 59.1% 56.6% 1.04× 1.69
3-5 goals 54.0% 53.2% 44.1% 1.20× 1.88
1-3 goals 49.5% 48.5% 62.8% 0.77× 2.06
4-6 goals 40.8% 43.6% 26.7% 1.63× 2.30
3-4 goals 40.4% 43.6% 36.4% 1.20× 2.30
2-3 goals 39.1% 39.2% 41.3% 0.95× 2.55
4-5 goals 32.7% 35.2% 23.2% 1.52× 2.84
1-2 goals 28.2% 30.2% 41.8% 0.72× 3.31
5-6 goals 21.7% 24.5% 11.4% 2.14× 4.09
7+ goals 7.1% 8.9% 1.6% 5.65× 11.27
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona never behind 39.4% 44.1% — — 2.27
Real Sociedad II never behind 36.4% 44.0% — — 2.27
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.6% 50.9% 48.5% 1.05× 1.96
Odd number of goals 50.4% 49.1% 51.5% 0.95× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 52.5% 51.6% — — 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 47.5% 48.4% — — 2.06
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 50.6% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.4% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 97.4% 95.4% 90.9% 1.05× 1.05
Over 1.5 goals 87.0% 87.6% 69.4% 1.26× 1.14
Under 5.5 goals 84.8% 82.3% 94.9% 0.87× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 71.2% 72.5% 87.1% 0.83× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 69.2% 66.3% 49.2% 1.35× 1.51
Under 3.5 goals 52.1% 52.5% 71.8% 0.73× 1.90
Over 3.5 goals 47.9% 47.5% 28.2% 1.68× 2.11
Under 2.5 goals 30.8% 33.7% 50.8% 0.66× 2.97
Over 4.5 goals 28.8% 27.5% 12.9% 2.14× 3.63
Over 5.5 goals 15.2% 17.7% 5.1% 3.44× 5.65
Under 1.5 goals 13.0% 12.4% 30.6% 0.41× 8.06
Under 0.5 goals 2.6% 4.6% 9.1% 0.50× 21.88
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 92.3% 92.4% 98.4% 0.94× 1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 84.1% 81.1% 61.6% 1.32× 1.23
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 82.4% 81.1% 94.4% 0.86× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 64.4% 61.9% 84.8% 0.73× 1.62
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 60.9% 61.9% 35.7% 1.73× 1.62
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 39.1% 38.1% 64.3% 0.59× 2.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 35.6% 38.1% 15.2% 2.50× 2.63
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 17.6% 18.9% 5.6% 3.39× 5.29
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 15.9% 18.9% 38.4% 0.49× 5.30
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 7.7% 7.6% 1.6% 4.66× 13.15
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 81.4% 85.7% — — 1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half 77.3% 78.4% — — 1.28
Under 1.5 in 1st half 56.4% 63.7% — — 1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half 43.6% 36.3% — — 2.75
Under 0.5 in 1st half 22.7% 21.6% — — 4.62
Over 2.5 in 1st half 18.6% 14.3% — — 7.01
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 87.7% 85.5% — — 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 65.2% 68.6% — — 1.46
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 61.7% 61.6% — — 1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 38.3% 38.4% — — 2.61
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 34.8% 31.4% — — 3.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 12.3% 14.5% — — 6.90
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II not to score in both halves 66.8% 69.9% — — 1.43
Girona not to score in both halves 65.4% 69.8% — — 1.43
Girona to score in both halves 34.6% 30.2% — — 3.31
Real Sociedad II to score in both halves 33.2% 30.1% — — 3.32
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 69.1% 60.0% 54.1% 1.11× 1.67
Only Girona scores 14.9% 11.0% 13.4% 0.82× 9.05
Only Real Sociedad II scores 13.4% 11.0% 23.6% 0.47× 9.06
Neither team scores 2.6% 4.6% 9.1% 0.50× 21.74
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 21.3% 22.6% 21.1% 1.07× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 19.1% 17.5% 15.4% 1.13× 5.73
Exactly 2 goals 17.7% 17.5% 20.3% 0.86× 5.73
6 or more goals 15.2% 17.5% 5.1% 3.40× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 13.6% 12.1% 7.9% 1.54× 8.24
Exactly 1 goals 10.4% 12.1% 21.6% 0.56× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 2.6% 4.5% 9.1% 0.49× 22.40
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 33.7% 35.8% — — 2.79
2 goals in 1st half 24.9% 21.5% — — 4.65
No goals in 1st half 22.7% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 18.6% 15.7% — — 6.37
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 61.7% 58.7% — — 1.70
1 goal in 2nd half 26.0% 29.2% — — 3.43
No goals in 2nd half 12.3% 14.3% — — 7.00
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II not to win both halves 89.7% 88.0% — — 1.14
Girona not to win both halves 88.3% 88.0% — — 1.14
Girona to win both halves 11.7% 12.0% — — 8.32
Real Sociedad II to win both halves 10.3% 12.0% — — 8.36
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Girona to win either half 57.2% 59.1% — — 1.69
Real Sociedad II to win either half 54.0% 54.3% — — 1.84
Real Sociedad II to win neither half 46.0% 45.7% — — 2.19
Girona to win neither half 42.8% 40.9% — — 2.45
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad II not to win to nil 86.6% 88.1% 76.4% 1.15× 1.14
Girona not to win to nil 85.1% 88.1% 86.6% 1.02× 1.14
Girona to win to nil 14.9% 11.9% 13.4% 0.89× 8.40
Real Sociedad II to win to nil 13.4% 11.9% 23.6% 0.50× 8.41
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 21.6% 24.1% 26.5% 0.91× 4.15
Girona by 1 19.3% 17.1% 17.9% 0.95× 5.87
Real Sociedad II by 1 18.3% 17.0% 26.0% 0.66× 5.87
Girona by 2 12.2% 11.8% 7.1% 1.65× 8.51
Real Sociedad II by 2 11.0% 11.8% 12.1% 0.97× 8.51
Girona by 3+ 9.6% 7.2% 3.2% 2.21× 13.90
Real Sociedad II by 3+ 8.0% 7.2% 7.7% 0.94× 13.91
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide