Real Sociedad II v Leganes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 December 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Real Sociedad II

20:00 UTC

Leganes

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 26 Oct, 10:59 · 993h before kick-off

Real Sociedad II win

44.1%

model 42.7%

Draw

27.9%

model 27.3%

Leganes win

28.0%

model 30.0%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-0 13.0%
1-1 12.8%
0-1 10.4%
0-0 9.6%
2-1 8.4%

Goals

Over 2.5	40.8%	Under 2.5	59.2%
BTTS yes	46.2%	BTTS no	53.8%
Real Sociedad II 1+	72.4%	Real Sociedad II 2+	36.9%
Leganes 1+	64.2%	Leganes 2+	27.5%

Expected goals 1.29 – 1.03. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 46%

53.4% fair odds 1.87

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Leganes (0:2)

Handicap 0:2 · usually 80%

83.5% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Real Sociedad II carry the stronger rating, 1469 Elo against 1429.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Real Sociedad II have an estimated 44.1% win probability, against 28.0% for Leganes and 27.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.29 for Real Sociedad II and 1.03 for Leganes.

Why Real Sociedad II

Real Sociedad II carry the stronger rating, 1469 Elo against 1429.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. A combined 2.32 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Leganes can win

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Leganes's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Raba (0.38), Miguel De la Fuente (0.20), Diego García (0.19).

Availability

No lineup on record for Real Sociedad II, so availability is unknown. 2 of Leganes's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Real Sociedad II: 38% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Leganes: 41% possession, 8.0 shots a match, 18.2 faced, 0.41 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-26 10:06 · team_stats 2026-10-26 06:08 · availability 2026-10-26 14:59 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Real Sociedad II are the model's most likely outcome at 44.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-0 at 13.0%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Leganes are conceding fewer than expected — 2.8 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LDLDDDWLWW last 10 scored 13 from 13.3 xG conceded 13 from 15.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	432730	1.29–1.03	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	422830	1.24–1.00	1-0 14%	39%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II to win	42.0%	42.9%	45.5%	0.94×	2.33
Leganes to win	30.0%	30.4%	28.1%	1.08×	3.30
Draw	28.0%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.58

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II & not both score	26.5%	25.2%	23.6%	1.07×	3.97
Leganes & not both score	18.6%	18.0%	13.4%	1.34×	5.56
Draw & both teams score	17.6%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.56
Real Sociedad II & both teams score	15.5%	18.0%	22.0%	0.82×	5.57
Leganes & both teams score	11.4%	13.3%	14.8%	0.90×	7.54
Draw & not both score	10.4%	13.3%	9.1%	1.45×	7.54

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II & under 3.5	33.3%	30.8%	32.2%	0.96×	3.25
Real Sociedad II & over 1.5	28.4%	26.1%	32.6%	0.80×	3.84
Leganes & under 3.5	24.7%	21.6%	19.6%	1.10×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	23.3%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	23.3%	21.6%	20.2%	1.07×	4.63
Real Sociedad II & under 2.5	21.7%	21.6%	19.3%	1.12×	4.63
Real Sociedad II & over 2.5	20.2%	21.6%	26.3%	0.82×	4.63
Leganes & over 1.5	19.0%	18.0%	19.5%	0.92×	5.55
Draw & over 1.5	17.6%	18.0%	17.5%	1.03×	5.55
Leganes & under 2.5	16.3%	18.0%	11.5%	1.56×	5.56
Real Sociedad II & under 1.5	13.6%	12.8%	13.0%	0.99×	7.79
Leganes & over 2.5	13.7%	12.8%	16.7%	0.77×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	10.4%	12.8%	9.1%	1.41×	7.79
Leganes & under 1.5	11.0%	12.8%	8.7%	1.48×	7.79
Real Sociedad II & over 3.5	8.7%	7.9%	13.4%	0.59×	12.63
Leganes & over 3.5	5.4%	7.9%	8.6%	0.92×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.7%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.7%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (1UP)	55.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Leganes (1UP)	44.7%	38.8%	—	—	2.58

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (2UP)	42.0%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Leganes (2UP)	30.0%	30.1%	—	—	3.32

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half drawn	39.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Real Sociedad II to win 2nd half	33.4%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
Leganes to win 2nd half	26.9%	26.1%	—	—	3.84

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes under 1.5 in 2nd half	87.9%	87.1%	—	—	1.15
Leganes under 0.5 in 2nd half	55.0%	52.6%	—	—	1.90
Leganes over 0.5 in 2nd half	45.0%	47.4%	—	—	2.11
Leganes over 1.5 in 2nd half	12.1%	12.9%	—	—	7.78

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 in 2nd half	84.3%	82.5%	—	—	1.21
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 in 2nd half	50.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 in 2nd half	49.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 in 2nd half	15.7%	17.5%	—	—	5.73

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (+2.5)	93.7%	92.1%	92.3%	1.00×	1.09
Leganes (+1.5)	81.6%	82.6%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Real Sociedad II (+0.5)	70.0%	68.7%	71.9%	0.96×	1.46
Leganes (+0.5)	58.0%	57.1%	54.5%	1.05×	1.75
Real Sociedad II (-0.5)	42.0%	42.9%	45.5%	0.94×	2.33
Leganes (-0.5)	30.0%	31.3%	28.1%	1.11×	3.19
Real Sociedad II (-1.5)	18.4%	17.4%	19.6%	0.89×	5.74
Real Sociedad II (-2.5)	6.3%	7.9%	7.7%	1.03×	12.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to concede	70.9%	76.6%	77.6%	0.99×	1.31
Leganes clean sheet	29.1%	23.4%	22.4%	1.04×	4.28

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes clean sheet in 1st half	58.8%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
Leganes to concede in 1st half	41.2%	43.5%	—	—	2.30

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to concede in 2nd half	50.6%	54.3%	—	—	1.84
Leganes clean sheet in 2nd half	49.4%	45.7%	—	—	2.19

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes under 6.5 corners	84.7%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Leganes under 5.5 corners	74.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Leganes over 2.5 corners	73.2%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Leganes under 4.5 corners	61.1%	61.7%	—	—	1.62
Leganes over 3.5 corners	55.7%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
Leganes under 3.5 corners	44.3%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Leganes over 4.5 corners	38.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
Leganes under 2.5 corners	26.8%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Leganes over 5.5 corners	25.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.53
Leganes over 6.5 corners	15.3%	18.6%	—	—	5.38

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes under 3.5 goals	98.1%	97.5%	97.0%	1.01×	1.03
Leganes under 2.5 goals	92.0%	92.3%	89.1%	1.04×	1.08
Leganes under 1.5 goals	73.7%	71.9%	69.4%	1.04×	1.39
Leganes over 0.5 goals	63.1%	63.2%	67.4%	0.94×	1.58
Leganes under 0.5 goals	36.9%	36.8%	32.6%	1.13×	2.72
Leganes over 1.5 goals	26.3%	28.1%	30.6%	0.92×	3.55
Leganes over 2.5 goals	8.0%	7.7%	10.9%	0.70×	13.07
Leganes over 3.5 goals	1.9%	2.5%	3.0%	0.83×	39.87

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes under 1.5 in 1st half	93.9%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Leganes under 0.5 in 1st half	67.1%	70.3%	—	—	1.42
Leganes over 0.5 in 1st half	32.9%	29.7%	—	—	3.36
Leganes over 1.5 in 1st half	6.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.60

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes scores equally in both	46.2%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
Leganes scores more in 2nd half	33.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Leganes scores more in 1st half	20.2%	21.7%	—	—	4.60

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (away no bet)	60.0%	57.4%	63.2%	0.91×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	40.0%	42.6%	36.8%	1.16×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes even goals	56.8%	56.9%	54.6%	1.04×	1.76
Leganes odd goals	43.2%	43.1%	45.4%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	91.1%	91.4%	—	—	1.10
Both halves over 1.5 goals	8.9%	8.7%	—	—	11.56

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	52.2%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Both halves under 1.5 goals	47.8%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	45.5%	46.0%	—	—	2.17
Real Sociedad II to score 2+ in a row	28.8%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Leganes to score 2+ in a row	20.3%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Either team to score 3+ in a row	13.6%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
Real Sociedad II to score 3+ in a row	8.8%	5.5%	—	—	18.06
Leganes to score 3+ in a row	4.9%	2.6%	—	—	38.01

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II corners (+3.5)	90.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Real Sociedad II corners (+2.5)	85.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Real Sociedad II corners (+1.5)	77.7%	74.8%	—	—	1.34
Leganes corners (+3.5)	74.6%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
Leganes corners (+2.5)	65.0%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Leganes corners (+1.5)	54.1%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Real Sociedad II corners (-1.5)	45.9%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Real Sociedad II corners (-2.5)	35.0%	38.1%	—	—	2.62
Real Sociedad II corners (-3.5)	25.4%	29.2%	—	—	3.42
Leganes corners (-1.5)	22.3%	25.2%	—	—	3.97
Leganes corners (-2.5)	14.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Leganes corners (-3.5)	9.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	42.9%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
9-11 corners	30.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	26.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	80.7%	80.7%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	73.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	68.1%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	64.3%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Over 8.5 corners	57.1%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	54.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	46.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Under 8.5 corners	42.9%	42.1%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	35.7%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Under 7.5 corners	31.9%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Over 11.5 corners	26.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	19.3%	19.3%	—	—	5.17

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.6%	11.5%	13.0%	0.88×	8.71
1-1	12.9%	11.5%	11.2%	1.02×	8.71
0-1	11.0%	11.5%	8.7%	1.32×	8.72
0-0	10.4%	11.5%	9.1%	1.26×	8.72
1-2	6.6%	7.4%	7.0%	1.05×	13.51
2-0	8.2%	7.4%	6.4%	1.16×	13.51
2-1	8.2%	7.4%	10.1%	0.74×	13.51
0-2	5.3%	7.4%	2.9%	2.52×	13.51
0-3	1.8%	1.7%	1.3%	1.36×	58.31
0-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
1-3	2.2%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.31
1-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.8%	2.04×	58.32
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	5.7%	0.30×	58.30
2-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.3%	0.74×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-0	3.4%	1.7%	3.0%	0.56×	58.30
3-1	3.4%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.30
3-2	1.7%	1.7%	2.8%	0.61×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	0.7%	2.34×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
4-0	1.0%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.31
4-1	1.0%	1.7%	1.9%	0.91×	58.31
4-2	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.49×	58.32
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.45×	58.32
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.2%	8.18×	58.32
Any other score	1.2%	1.7%	2.7%	0.63×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (2nd half DNB)	55.4%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
Leganes (2nd half DNB)	44.6%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II leading at HT (DNB)	58.8%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Leganes leading at HT (DNB)	41.2%	44.3%	—	—	2.26

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II or Leganes (12)	72.0%	72.1%	73.5%	0.98×	1.39
Real Sociedad II or draw (1X)	70.0%	69.6%	71.9%	0.97×	1.44
Leganes or draw (X2)	58.0%	57.1%	54.5%	1.05×	1.75

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II or draw at HT	78.6%	79.6%	—	—	1.26
Leganes or draw at HT	69.5%	67.2%	—	—	1.49
Real Sociedad II or Leganes at HT	51.8%	48.5%	—	—	2.06

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II or draw (1UP)	70.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Leganes or draw (1UP)	58.0%	63.0%	—	—	1.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II or draw in 2nd half	73.1%	73.9%	—	—	1.35
Leganes or draw in 2nd half	66.6%	66.0%	—	—	1.52
Real Sociedad II or Leganes in 2nd half	60.3%	63.5%	—	—	1.58

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	69.1%	68.4%	—	—	1.46
Neither half drawn	30.9%	31.6%	—	—	3.17

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (DNB)	58.3%	58.1%	61.8%	0.94×	1.72
Leganes (DNB)	41.7%	41.9%	38.2%	1.10×	2.39

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II to score first	49.6%	46.0%	—	—	2.18
Leganes to score first	40.0%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	10.4%	9.3%	—	—	10.73

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.5%	55.0%	45.9%	1.20×	1.82
Both teams to score	44.5%	45.0%	54.1%	0.83×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	48.5%	44.3%	39.7%	1.12×	2.26
Both score & over 2.5	31.6%	34.6%	43.0%	0.80×	2.89
Both score & under 2.5	12.9%	12.4%	11.2%	1.10×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	7.1%	8.3%	6.3%	1.32×	12.07

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.8%	89.0%	85.6%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.2%	11.0%	14.4%	0.77×	9.08

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	77.3%	75.2%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	22.7%	24.8%	—	—	4.04

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	66.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Both score 2nd half only	19.6%	15.0%	—	—	6.65
Both score 1st half only	10.4%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.1%	4.9%	—	—	20.53

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	86.5%	84.9%	—	—	1.18
Both teams to score by HT	13.5%	15.1%	—	—	6.60

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	56.1%	56.9%	—	—	1.76
A goal in each half	43.9%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.3%	47.2%	41.3%	1.14×	2.12
0-1 goals	35.0%	30.8%	30.6%	1.01×	3.25
4-6 goals	17.9%	20.2%	26.7%	0.76×	4.94
7+ goals	0.8%	1.8%	1.6%	1.17×	54.48

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to score exactly 0	36.9%	35.9%	32.6%	1.10×	2.78
Leganes to score exactly 1	36.8%	35.9%	36.9%	0.97×	2.78
Leganes to score exactly 2	18.3%	19.5%	19.8%	0.99×	5.12
Leganes to score 3+	8.0%	8.5%	10.9%	0.78×	11.70

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.5%	35.6%	1.00×	2.81
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 0	29.1%	26.6%	22.4%	1.18×	3.77
Real Sociedad II to score exactly 2	22.2%	23.3%	24.9%	0.93×	4.29
Real Sociedad II to score 3+	12.8%	14.3%	17.2%	0.83×	6.99

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	48.2%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Real Sociedad II leading at HT	30.5%	32.8%	—	—	3.05
Leganes leading at HT	21.4%	20.4%	—	—	4.91

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II -1: 2	58.0%	56.8%	—	—	1.76
Real Sociedad II -1: X	23.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.25
Real Sociedad II -1: 1	18.4%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (0:1)	58.0%	55.8%	54.5%	1.02×	1.79
Draw (0:1)	23.6%	24.2%	26.0%	0.93×	4.13
Real Sociedad II (0:1)	18.4%	17.8%	19.6%	0.91×	5.61

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (0:2)	81.6%	82.9%	80.4%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	12.1%	11.0%	12.1%	0.91×	9.10
Real Sociedad II (0:2)	6.3%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	13.07

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (0:3)	93.7%	92.7%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.6%	2.4%	5.3%	0.45×	41.94
Real Sociedad II (0:3)	1.7%	2.4%	2.4%	0.99×	42.06

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (0:4)	98.3%	98.1%	97.6%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.3%	1.2%	2.1%	0.58×	81.76
Real Sociedad II (0:4)	0.4%	1.2%	0.4%	2.91×	81.86

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (1:0)	70.0%	70.2%	71.9%	0.98×	1.42
Draw (1:0)	19.1%	17.1%	17.9%	0.95×	5.84
Leganes (1:0)	11.0%	12.7%	10.3%	1.24×	7.88

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II (2:0)	89.0%	88.5%	89.7%	0.99×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.9%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.65
Leganes (2:0)	3.1%	2.3%	3.2%	0.70×	43.73

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	45.4%	48.6%	—	—	2.06
Halves equal	27.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
1st half highest scoring	26.8%	26.2%	—	—	3.81

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II to concede	63.1%	63.7%	67.4%	0.94×	1.57
Real Sociedad II clean sheet	36.9%	36.3%	32.6%	1.11×	2.75

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II clean sheet in 1st half	67.1%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
Real Sociedad II to concede in 1st half	32.9%	29.4%	—	—	3.40

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II clean sheet in 2nd half	55.0%	52.7%	—	—	1.90
Real Sociedad II to concede in 2nd half	45.0%	47.3%	—	—	2.11

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II over 2.5 corners	85.1%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Real Sociedad II over 3.5 corners	72.2%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Real Sociedad II under 6.5 corners	69.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Real Sociedad II over 4.5 corners	57.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Real Sociedad II under 5.5 corners	57.1%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Real Sociedad II over 5.5 corners	42.9%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Real Sociedad II under 4.5 corners	42.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Real Sociedad II over 6.5 corners	30.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Real Sociedad II under 3.5 corners	27.8%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Real Sociedad II under 2.5 corners	14.9%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II under 3.5 goals	96.3%	96.4%	93.7%	1.03×	1.04
Real Sociedad II under 2.5 goals	87.2%	87.3%	82.8%	1.05×	1.15
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 goals	70.9%	74.2%	77.6%	0.96×	1.35
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 goals	65.0%	63.6%	58.0%	1.10×	1.57
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 goals	35.0%	36.4%	42.0%	0.87×	2.75
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 goals	29.1%	25.8%	22.4%	1.15×	3.88
Real Sociedad II over 2.5 goals	12.8%	12.7%	17.2%	0.74×	7.85
Real Sociedad II over 3.5 goals	3.7%	3.6%	6.3%	0.58×	27.52

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II under 1.5 in 1st half	90.0%	94.6%	—	—	1.06
Real Sociedad II under 0.5 in 1st half	58.8%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Real Sociedad II over 0.5 in 1st half	41.2%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Real Sociedad II over 1.5 in 1st half	10.0%	5.4%	—	—	18.39

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II scores equally in both	41.0%	41.6%	—	—	2.40
Real Sociedad II scores more in 2nd half	34.9%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Real Sociedad II scores more in 1st half	24.1%	21.1%	—	—	4.74

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes (home no bet)	51.8%	51.4%	51.4%	1.00×	1.95
Draw (home no bet)	48.2%	48.6%	48.6%	1.00×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II even goals	54.2%	50.8%	51.7%	0.98×	1.97
Real Sociedad II odd goals	45.8%	49.2%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.4%	38.8%	—	—	2.58
HT 1-0	21.0%	24.3%	—	—	4.11
HT 0-1	15.8%	18.5%	—	—	5.39
HT 1-1	8.3%	6.9%	—	—	14.53
HT 2-0	5.6%	6.9%	—	—	14.57
HT 0-2	3.1%	2.4%	—	—	42.20
Any other HT score	2.5%	2.4%	—	—	42.24
HT 2-1	2.2%	2.4%	—	—	42.26
HT 1-2	1.7%	2.4%	—	—	42.29
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	—	—	42.37

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT	23.9%	21.6%	—	—	4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	18.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Leganes at HT / Leganes at FT	15.3%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Leganes at FT	13.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Real Sociedad II at HT / Draw at FT	4.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Leganes at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Leganes at HT / Real Sociedad II at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.96
Real Sociedad II at HT / Leganes at FT	1.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.96

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II to score last	49.6%	46.4%	—	—	2.15
Leganes to score last	40.0%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
No goal scored	10.4%	8.7%	—	—	11.47

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	89.6%	91.7%	—	—	1.09
Real Sociedad II to lead by 1 at any time	55.4%	54.8%	—	—	1.82
Leganes to lead by 1 at any time	44.7%	39.3%	—	—	2.55
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	38.1%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Real Sociedad II to lead by 2 at any time	23.1%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Leganes to lead by 2 at any time	15.0%	14.8%	—	—	6.76
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	11.6%	10.6%	—	—	9.45
Real Sociedad II to lead by 3 at any time	7.6%	6.7%	—	—	15.03
Leganes to lead by 3 at any time	4.0%	1.6%	—	—	61.39

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II most corners	57.3%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Leganes most corners	31.8%	34.4%	—	—	2.91
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	86.9%	87.4%	85.8%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	82.0%	83.4%	78.1%	1.07×	1.20
1-3 goals	70.9%	72.3%	62.8%	1.15×	1.38
2-6 goals	64.2%	63.3%	67.9%	0.93×	1.58
2-5 goals	62.4%	63.3%	64.4%	0.98×	1.58
2-4 goals	57.4%	59.1%	56.6%	1.04×	1.69
1-2 goals	51.0%	53.2%	41.8%	1.27×	1.88
2-3 goals	46.3%	48.4%	41.3%	1.17×	2.06
3-6 goals	37.8%	39.2%	47.7%	0.82×	2.55
3-5 goals	36.0%	39.2%	44.1%	0.89×	2.55
3-4 goals	31.0%	35.2%	36.4%	0.97×	2.84
4-6 goals	17.9%	18.8%	26.7%	0.70×	5.31
4-5 goals	16.1%	18.8%	23.2%	0.81×	5.31
5-6 goals	6.8%	8.9%	11.4%	0.78×	11.27
7+ goals	0.8%	2.5%	1.6%	1.62×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad II never behind	44.9%	48.9%	—	—	2.05
Leganes never behind	34.2%	36.4%	—	—	2.75

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	50.0%	50.9%	48.5%	1.05×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.0%	49.1%	51.5%	0.95×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.37

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	53.5%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	46.5%	48.0%	—	—	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	97.4%	95.4%	94.9%	1.01×	1.05
Under 4.5 goals	92.4%	92.3%	87.1%	1.06×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	89.6%	87.6%	90.9%	0.96×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	81.3%	82.3%	71.8%	1.15×	1.22
Over 1.5 goals	65.0%	66.3%	69.4%	0.96×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	61.4%	61.7%	50.8%	1.21×	1.62
Over 2.5 goals	38.6%	38.3%	49.2%	0.78×	2.61
Under 1.5 goals	35.0%	33.7%	30.6%	1.10×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	18.7%	17.7%	28.2%	0.63×	5.65
Under 0.5 goals	10.4%	12.4%	9.1%	1.36×	8.07
Over 4.5 goals	7.6%	7.7%	12.9%	0.60×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	2.7%	4.6%	5.1%	0.89×	21.83

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	99.2%	97.2%	98.4%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	97.2%	97.2%	94.4%	1.03×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	91.4%	92.4%	84.8%	1.09×	1.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	76.6%	75.9%	64.3%	1.18×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	52.5%	51.9%	61.6%	0.84×	1.93
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	47.5%	48.1%	38.4%	1.25×	2.08
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	23.4%	24.1%	35.7%	0.68×	4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	8.6%	7.6%	15.2%	0.50×	13.18
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	2.8%	2.8%	5.6%	0.50×	35.60
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	0.8%	2.8%	1.6%	1.72×	35.66

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.2%	92.9%	—	—	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.2%	78.1%	—	—	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.6%	63.3%	—	—	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.4%	36.7%	—	—	2.73
Over 1.5 in 1st half	23.8%	21.9%	—	—	4.57
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.00

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	85.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	72.9%	77.8%	—	—	1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	62.7%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	37.3%	38.6%	—	—	2.59
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	27.1%	22.2%	—	—	4.51
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	14.4%	14.8%	—	—	6.78

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes not to score in both halves	85.2%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Real Sociedad II not to score in both halves	79.2%	78.5%	—	—	1.27
Real Sociedad II to score in both halves	20.8%	21.5%	—	—	4.65
Leganes to score in both halves	14.8%	14.6%	—	—	6.87

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.5%	46.6%	54.1%	0.86×	2.15
Only Real Sociedad II scores	26.5%	26.1%	23.6%	1.10×	3.84
Only Leganes scores	18.6%	16.0%	13.4%	1.20×	6.23
Neither team scores	10.4%	11.0%	9.1%	1.21×	9.07

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.4%	24.9%	20.3%	1.22×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	24.6%	22.6%	21.6%	1.05×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	19.9%	17.5%	21.1%	0.83×	5.73
Exactly 4 goals	11.1%	12.1%	15.4%	0.79×	8.26
Exactly 0 goals	10.4%	12.1%	9.1%	1.33×	8.26
Exactly 5 goals	5.0%	4.5%	7.9%	0.57×	22.32
6 or more goals	2.7%	4.5%	5.1%	0.87×	22.36

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.4%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
1 goal in 1st half	36.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
2 goals in 1st half	17.0%	15.7%	—	—	6.37
3+ goals in 1st half	6.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.00

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	37.3%	39.7%	—	—	2.52
1 goal in 2nd half	35.6%	39.5%	—	—	2.53
No goals in 2nd half	27.1%	29.1%	—	—	3.44

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes not to win both halves	94.3%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
Real Sociedad II not to win both halves	89.9%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Real Sociedad II to win both halves	10.1%	12.0%	—	—	8.36
Leganes to win both halves	5.7%	5.8%	—	—	17.25

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes to win neither half	57.5%	59.0%	—	—	1.69
Real Sociedad II to win either half	53.8%	54.4%	—	—	1.84
Real Sociedad II to win neither half	46.2%	45.6%	—	—	2.19
Leganes to win either half	42.5%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Leganes not to win to nil	81.4%	83.1%	86.6%	0.96×	1.20
Real Sociedad II not to win to nil	73.5%	75.3%	76.4%	0.99×	1.33
Real Sociedad II to win to nil	26.5%	24.7%	23.6%	1.05×	4.05
Leganes to win to nil	18.6%	16.9%	13.4%	1.26×	5.91

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	28.0%	27.9%	26.5%	1.05×	3.59
Real Sociedad II by 1	23.6%	24.1%	26.0%	0.93×	4.15
Leganes by 1	19.1%	17.0%	17.9%	0.95×	5.87
Real Sociedad II by 2	12.1%	11.8%	12.1%	0.98×	8.51
Leganes by 2	7.9%	7.2%	7.1%	1.01×	13.91
Real Sociedad II by 3+	6.3%	7.2%	7.7%	0.94×	13.91
Leganes by 3+	3.1%	2.7%	3.2%	0.83×	36.88