Real Sociedad v Getafe — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 December 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627

La Liga xG Prediction generated 18 Sep 2026, 10:37 UTC

Real Sociedad

16:00 UTC

Getafe

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 24 Oct, 10:57 · 1,205h before kick-off

Real Sociedad win

44.2%

model 43.5%

Draw

27.9%

model 27.4%

Getafe win

27.9%

model 29.1%

442828

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.9%
1-0 12.4%
0-1 9.6%
0-0 9.2%
2-1 8.6%

Goals

Over 2.5	42.6%	Under 2.5	57.4%
BTTS yes	47.8%	BTTS no	52.2%
Real Sociedad 1+	73.8%	Real Sociedad 2+	38.8%
Getafe 1+	64.8%	Getafe 2+	28.0%

Expected goals 1.34 – 1.04. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

92/100

Data quality

90/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Not both teams to score

GG/NG · usually 44%

53.4% fair odds 1.87

moderate signal · 1528 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Getafe not to win to nil

Win to nil · usually 86%

83.2% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Real Sociedad carry the stronger rating, 1555 Elo against 1508.
Real Sociedad have created 1.45 xG a match over their last five while Getafe have allowed 1.68.
Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.
At home Real Sociedad average 1.44 xG a match.

Risk factors

Real Sociedad have scored 2.80 a match from 1.45 xG over five matches, which usually corrects.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Real Sociedad have an estimated 44.2% win probability, against 27.9% for Getafe and 27.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.34 for Real Sociedad and 1.04 for Getafe.

Why Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad carry the stronger rating, 1555 Elo against 1508. Real Sociedad have created 1.45 xG a match over their last five while Getafe have allowed 1.68. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five. At home Real Sociedad average 1.44 xG a match.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 27.9%. A combined 2.38 expected goals is a low-scoring profile, and low totals mean more level finishes. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Getafe can win

Getafe have created 0.76 xG a match over their last five while Real Sociedad have allowed 1.92. Away from home Getafe average 0.38 xG a match.

Key players

Real Sociedad's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mikel Oyarzabal (0.50), Orri Óskarsson (0.36), Carlos Soler (0.23). Getafe's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Martín Satriano (0.35), Enes Ünal (0.29), Ramón Terrats (0.28).

Availability

1 of Getafe's top three contributors did not start their last match. Getafe had a player sent off last time out, worth about 0.02 expected goal involvements a match. 45% of Getafe's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Real Sociedad: 47% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.35 xG a match from set pieces. Getafe: 31% possession, 11.6 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.20 xG a match from set pieces. Real Sociedad's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Real Sociedad are the model's most likely outcome at 44.2%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.9%. Confidence 92/100, data quality 90/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

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Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Real Sociedad are finishing above their chances — 3.5 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off.

DLLWDWLWWW last 10 scored 18 from 14.5 xG conceded 18 from 19.2 xG

Getafe are conceding sharply fewer than expected — 5.8 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WLWLDDLWLD last 10 scored 6 from 7.6 xG conceded 11 from 16.8 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	442729	1.34–1.04	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	462826	1.35–0.95	1-0 14%	40%	45%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad to win	53.5%	51.5%	46.3%	1.11×	1.94
Draw	25.5%	27.9%	25.5%	1.09×	3.59
Getafe to win	21.1%	24.4%	28.3%	0.86×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad & not both score	33.0%	29.6%	24.8%	1.19×	3.38
Real Sociedad & both teams score	20.5%	21.8%	21.6%	1.01×	4.59
Draw & both teams score	16.7%	18.0%	20.3%	0.88×	5.57
Getafe & not both score	12.2%	13.3%	14.3%	0.93×	7.54
Draw & not both score	8.8%	8.3%	5.3%	1.58×	12.01
Getafe & both teams score	8.8%	8.3%	14.1%	0.59×	12.01

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad & over 1.5	39.8%	34.9%	33.8%	1.03×	2.86
Real Sociedad & under 3.5	39.2%	34.9%	32.3%	1.08×	2.87
Real Sociedad & over 2.5	29.1%	26.1%	28.0%	0.93×	3.84
Real Sociedad & under 2.5	24.3%	21.6%	18.4%	1.17×	4.63
Draw & under 2.5	20.7%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Draw & under 3.5	20.7%	21.6%	20.4%	1.06×	4.63
Draw & over 1.5	16.7%	18.0%	20.3%	0.89×	5.56
Getafe & under 3.5	17.2%	18.0%	21.3%	0.85×	5.56
Real Sociedad & under 1.5	13.7%	12.8%	12.6%	1.02×	7.79
Real Sociedad & over 3.5	14.2%	12.8%	14.1%	0.91×	7.79
Getafe & over 1.5	13.4%	12.8%	21.4%	0.60×	7.79
Getafe & under 2.5	11.0%	12.8%	11.4%	1.13×	7.79
Getafe & over 2.5	10.1%	12.8%	17.0%	0.75×	7.79
Draw & under 1.5	8.8%	7.9%	5.3%	1.50×	12.63
Getafe & under 1.5	7.7%	7.9%	7.1%	1.12×	12.63
Draw & over 2.5	4.8%	4.8%	5.2%	0.93×	20.81
Draw & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	5.2%	0.93×	20.81
Getafe & over 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	7.2%	0.67×	20.81

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad (1UP)	65.7%	70.0%	62.7%	1.12×	1.43
Getafe (1UP)	36.8%	34.0%	47.1%	0.72×	2.94

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad (2UP)	53.5%	55.1%	48.1%	1.15×	1.82
Getafe (2UP)	21.1%	23.3%	29.9%	0.78×	4.30

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad to win 2nd half	45.2%	45.7%	39.6%	1.15×	2.19
2nd half drawn	35.3%	35.9%	33.0%	1.09×	2.78
Getafe to win 2nd half	19.5%	18.3%	27.6%	0.66×	5.46

2nd half away goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe under 1.5 in 2nd half	90.1%	91.5%	84.2%	1.09×	1.09
Getafe under 0.5 in 2nd half	59.0%	54.6%	47.9%	1.14×	1.83
Getafe over 0.5 in 2nd half	41.0%	45.4%	52.1%	0.87×	2.20
Getafe over 1.5 in 2nd half	9.9%	8.5%	15.8%	0.54×	11.77

2nd half home goals O/U 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad under 1.5 in 2nd half	74.6%	74.1%	79.6%	0.93×	1.35
Real Sociedad over 0.5 in 2nd half	62.2%	63.3%	59.1%	1.07×	1.58
Real Sociedad under 0.5 in 2nd half	37.8%	36.7%	40.9%	0.90×	2.72
Real Sociedad over 1.5 in 2nd half	25.4%	25.9%	20.4%	1.27×	3.86

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (+2.5)	88.3%	88.5%	89.8%	0.99×	1.13
Real Sociedad (+0.5)	78.9%	78.5%	71.7%	1.10×	1.27
Getafe (+1.5)	71.9%	73.7%	79.3%	0.93×	1.36
Real Sociedad (-0.5)	53.5%	52.4%	46.3%	1.13×	1.91
Getafe (+0.5)	46.5%	47.6%	53.7%	0.89×	2.10
Real Sociedad (-1.5)	28.1%	26.3%	20.7%	1.27×	3.80
Getafe (-0.5)	21.1%	21.5%	28.3%	0.76×	4.65
Real Sociedad (-2.5)	11.7%	11.5%	10.2%	1.13×	8.67

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to concede	79.0%	78.8%	80.5%	0.98×	1.27
Getafe clean sheet	21.0%	21.2%	19.5%	1.09×	4.72

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe clean sheet in 1st half	55.5%	56.9%	52.3%	1.09×	1.76
Getafe to concede in 1st half	44.5%	43.1%	47.7%	0.90×	2.32

Away clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to concede in 2nd half	62.2%	61.8%	59.1%	1.05×	1.62
Getafe clean sheet in 2nd half	37.8%	38.2%	40.9%	0.93×	2.62

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe under 6.5 corners	90.4%	89.9%	—	—	1.11
Getafe under 5.5 corners	82.8%	81.4%	—	—	1.23
Getafe under 4.5 corners	71.0%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Getafe over 2.5 corners	64.1%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Getafe under 3.5 corners	54.9%	53.1%	—	—	1.89
Getafe over 3.5 corners	45.1%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Getafe under 2.5 corners	35.9%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Getafe over 4.5 corners	29.0%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Getafe over 5.5 corners	17.2%	18.6%	—	—	5.38
Getafe over 6.5 corners	9.6%	10.1%	—	—	9.88

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe under 3.5 goals	98.8%	97.5%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Getafe under 2.5 goals	94.1%	92.3%	89.4%	1.03×	1.08
Getafe under 1.5 goals	78.2%	76.3%	67.9%	1.12×	1.31
Getafe over 0.5 goals	58.3%	59.4%	70.0%	0.85×	1.68
Getafe under 0.5 goals	41.7%	40.6%	30.0%	1.35×	2.46
Getafe over 1.5 goals	21.8%	23.7%	32.1%	0.74×	4.21
Getafe over 2.5 goals	5.9%	7.7%	10.6%	0.72×	13.07
Getafe over 3.5 goals	1.2%	2.5%	2.9%	0.85×	39.97

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe under 1.5 in 1st half	95.2%	95.9%	92.8%	1.03×	1.04
Getafe under 0.5 in 1st half	70.7%	68.4%	63.1%	1.08×	1.46
Getafe over 0.5 in 1st half	29.3%	31.6%	36.9%	0.86×	3.17
Getafe over 1.5 in 1st half	4.8%	4.1%	7.2%	0.57×	24.34

Away highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe scores equally in both	49.7%	48.0%	41.7%	1.15×	2.08
Getafe scores more in 2nd half	31.5%	33.4%	37.6%	0.89×	3.00
Getafe scores more in 1st half	18.8%	17.8%	20.8%	0.86×	5.61

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad (away no bet)	67.7%	66.4%	64.5%	1.03×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.3%	33.6%	35.5%	0.95×	2.98

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe even goals	58.7%	57.0%	53.2%	1.07×	1.76
Getafe odd goals	41.3%	43.0%	46.8%	0.92×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	89.4%	88.0%	85.9%	1.02×	1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals	10.6%	12.0%	14.1%	0.85×	8.30

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	57.6%	60.4%	62.4%	0.97×	1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals	42.4%	39.6%	37.6%	1.06×	2.52

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	51.3%	50.9%	52.4%	0.97×	1.96
Real Sociedad to score 2+ in a row	39.7%	36.7%	34.5%	1.06×	2.72
Either team to score 3+ in a row	18.2%	16.3%	19.2%	0.85×	6.15
Getafe to score 2+ in a row	15.6%	16.2%	23.8%	0.68×	6.17
Real Sociedad to score 3+ in a row	15.1%	16.2%	13.2%	1.23×	6.17
Getafe to score 3+ in a row	3.2%	2.6%	6.5%	0.40×	38.79

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad corners (+3.5)	95.8%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Real Sociedad corners (+2.5)	92.6%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Real Sociedad corners (+1.5)	87.8%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Real Sociedad corners (-1.5)	62.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Getafe corners (+3.5)	58.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Real Sociedad corners (-2.5)	51.8%	52.4%	—	—	1.91
Getafe corners (+2.5)	48.2%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Real Sociedad corners (-3.5)	41.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Getafe corners (+1.5)	37.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Getafe corners (-1.5)	12.2%	15.5%	—	—	6.45
Getafe corners (-2.5)	7.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Getafe corners (-3.5)	4.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.42

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	39.1%	34.0%	—	—	2.94
12+ corners	31.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.7%	31.2%	—	—	3.21

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	76.5%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	71.2%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	68.8%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	60.9%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	59.7%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	50.4%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.6%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	40.3%	42.1%	—	—	2.38
Under 8.5 corners	39.1%	36.8%	—	—	2.72
Over 11.5 corners	31.2%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Under 7.5 corners	28.8%	27.5%	—	—	3.64
Over 12.5 corners	23.5%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.9%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-0	13.7%	11.5%	12.6%	0.91×	8.72
1-1	12.0%	11.5%	15.3%	0.75×	8.72
2-0	10.7%	11.5%	6.0%	1.91×	8.72
0-0	8.8%	7.4%	5.3%	1.40×	13.51
2-1	9.3%	7.4%	9.6%	0.77×	13.50
0-1	7.7%	7.4%	7.1%	1.05×	13.51
1-2	5.2%	7.4%	8.1%	0.91×	13.51
3-0	5.6%	7.4%	4.5%	1.66×	13.51
3-1	4.9%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.29
0-2	3.3%	1.7%	4.5%	0.38×	58.30
0-3	1.0%	1.7%	2.0%	0.86×	58.31
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.8%	2.08×	58.32
1-3	1.5%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
1-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.5%	3.65×	58.32
2-2	4.1%	1.7%	4.2%	0.41×	58.30
2-3	1.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.73×	58.31
2-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.92×	58.32
3-2	2.1%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.31
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	1.1%	1.62×	58.32
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.4%	4.86×	58.32
4-0	2.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.04×	58.31
4-1	1.9%	1.7%	2.1%	0.81×	58.31
4-2	0.8%	1.7%	1.3%	1.33×	58.31
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.43×	58.32
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	14.59×	58.32
Any other score	2.4%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.31

DNB 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad (2nd half DNB)	69.9%	67.3%	58.9%	1.14×	1.49
Getafe (2nd half DNB)	30.1%	32.7%	41.1%	0.80×	3.06

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad leading at HT (DNB)	65.9%	73.8%	61.5%	1.20×	1.36
Getafe leading at HT (DNB)	34.2%	26.2%	38.5%	0.68×	3.81

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad or draw (1X)	78.9%	75.6%	71.7%	1.05×	1.32
Real Sociedad or Getafe (12)	74.5%	72.1%	74.5%	0.97×	1.39
Getafe or draw (X2)	46.5%	48.5%	53.7%	0.90×	2.06

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad or draw at HT	82.1%	84.2%	78.1%	1.08×	1.19
Getafe or draw at HT	65.5%	67.1%	65.0%	1.03×	1.49
Real Sociedad or Getafe at HT	52.3%	47.8%	56.8%	0.84×	2.09

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad or draw (1UP)	78.9%	84.2%	78.0%	1.08×	1.19
Getafe or draw (1UP)	46.5%	53.3%	60.3%	0.88×	1.88

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad or draw in 2nd half	80.5%	81.7%	72.4%	1.13×	1.22
Real Sociedad or Getafe in 2nd half	64.7%	64.1%	67.0%	0.96×	1.56
Getafe or draw in 2nd half	54.8%	54.3%	60.4%	0.90×	1.84

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	66.2%	68.0%	62.1%	1.10×	1.47
Neither half drawn	33.8%	32.0%	37.9%	0.84×	3.13

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad (DNB)	71.7%	71.5%	62.0%	1.15×	1.40
Getafe (DNB)	28.3%	28.5%	38.0%	0.75×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad to score first	58.5%	62.3%	55.1%	1.13×	1.61
Getafe to score first	32.8%	27.5%	39.7%	0.69×	3.64
No goal scored	8.8%	7.5%	5.3%	1.42×	13.33

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	54.0%	51.3%	44.2%	1.16×	1.95
Both teams to score	46.0%	48.7%	55.8%	0.87×	2.05

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	44.1%	41.6%	34.9%	1.19×	2.40
Both score & over 2.5	34.1%	34.5%	40.7%	0.85×	2.90
Both score & under 2.5	12.0%	12.4%	15.3%	0.81×	8.09
Not both score & over 2.5	9.8%	8.3%	9.4%	0.88×	12.06

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	89.9%	85.6%	85.8%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	10.1%	14.4%	14.2%	1.01×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	74.5%	73.8%	70.8%	1.04×	1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half	25.5%	26.2%	29.2%	0.90×	3.81

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	64.8%	65.9%	59.7%	1.10×	1.52
Both score 2nd half only	22.2%	21.3%	23.7%	0.90×	4.70
Both score 1st half only	9.7%	6.9%	11.2%	0.61×	14.58
Both score in both halves	3.3%	4.9%	5.7%	0.87×	20.38

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	87.0%	85.3%	83.3%	1.02×	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	13.0%	14.7%	16.7%	0.88×	6.81

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half without a goal	52.8%	52.8%	44.9%	1.18×	1.89
A goal in each half	47.2%	47.2%	55.1%	0.86×	2.12

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	47.1%	47.2%	49.2%	0.96×	2.12
0-1 goals	30.1%	30.7%	24.7%	1.24×	3.26
4-6 goals	21.6%	22.9%	23.7%	0.96×	4.37
7+ goals	1.2%	1.8%	2.6%	0.71×	54.38

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to score exactly 0	41.7%	37.3%	30.0%	1.24×	2.68
Getafe to score exactly 1	36.5%	35.9%	38.1%	0.94×	2.78
Getafe to score exactly 2	15.9%	19.6%	21.6%	0.90×	5.11
Getafe to score 3+	5.9%	8.5%	10.6%	0.81×	11.72

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad to score exactly 1	32.8%	32.6%	38.3%	0.85×	3.07
Real Sociedad to score exactly 2	25.6%	26.5%	22.7%	1.17×	3.77
Real Sociedad to score exactly 0	21.0%	23.3%	19.5%	1.19×	4.29
Real Sociedad to score 3+	20.6%	23.3%	19.7%	1.18×	4.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	47.7%	52.2%	43.2%	1.21×	1.92
Real Sociedad leading at HT	34.5%	32.9%	35.0%	0.94×	3.04
Getafe leading at HT	17.9%	15.8%	21.9%	0.72×	6.33

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad -1: 2	46.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Real Sociedad -1: 1	28.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Real Sociedad -1: X	25.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (0:1)	46.5%	46.1%	53.7%	0.86×	2.17
Real Sociedad (0:1)	28.1%	27.0%	20.7%	1.31×	3.70
Draw (0:1)	25.4%	27.0%	25.7%	1.05×	3.70

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (0:2)	71.9%	75.7%	79.3%	0.95×	1.32
Draw (0:2)	16.4%	15.3%	10.6%	1.45×	6.54
Real Sociedad (0:2)	11.7%	11.0%	10.2%	1.07×	9.10

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (0:3)	88.3%	90.7%	89.8%	1.01×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	7.7%	5.8%	7.2%	0.81×	17.20
Real Sociedad (0:3)	3.9%	2.4%	3.2%	0.75×	42.04

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe (0:4)	96.1%	98.1%	96.8%	1.01×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.8%	1.2%	2.4%	0.52×	81.79
Real Sociedad (0:4)	1.1%	1.2%	0.9%	1.30×	81.98

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad (1:0)	78.9%	78.7%	71.7%	1.10×	1.27
Draw (1:0)	14.2%	12.7%	17.5%	0.73×	7.87
Getafe (1:0)	6.8%	6.9%	10.9%	0.63×	14.50

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad (2:0)	93.2%	94.0%	89.1%	1.06×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	5.2%	6.4%	7.1%	0.90×	15.71
Getafe (2:0)	1.7%	2.3%	4.0%	0.57×	43.73

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.4%	50.3%	51.2%	0.98×	1.99
Halves equal	26.1%	26.2%	23.1%	1.14×	3.82
1st half highest scoring	23.5%	24.5%	25.8%	0.95×	4.09

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad to concede	58.3%	60.7%	70.0%	0.87×	1.65
Real Sociedad clean sheet	41.7%	39.3%	30.0%	1.31×	2.54

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad clean sheet in 1st half	70.7%	67.2%	63.1%	1.06×	1.49
Real Sociedad to concede in 1st half	29.3%	32.8%	36.9%	0.89×	3.05

Home clean sheet 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad clean sheet in 2nd half	59.0%	55.1%	47.9%	1.15×	1.82
Real Sociedad to concede in 2nd half	41.0%	44.9%	52.1%	0.86×	2.23

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad over 2.5 corners	90.4%	89.2%	—	—	1.12
Real Sociedad over 3.5 corners	81.1%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
Real Sociedad over 4.5 corners	69.2%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Real Sociedad over 5.5 corners	56.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Real Sociedad under 6.5 corners	56.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Real Sociedad under 5.5 corners	43.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Real Sociedad over 6.5 corners	43.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Real Sociedad under 4.5 corners	30.8%	33.3%	—	—	3.01
Real Sociedad under 3.5 corners	18.9%	19.0%	—	—	5.25
Real Sociedad under 2.5 corners	9.6%	10.8%	—	—	9.26

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad under 3.5 goals	92.7%	92.2%	92.4%	1.00×	1.08
Real Sociedad under 2.5 goals	79.4%	77.7%	80.3%	0.97×	1.29
Real Sociedad over 0.5 goals	79.0%	77.7%	80.5%	0.97×	1.29
Real Sociedad under 1.5 goals	53.8%	53.2%	57.7%	0.92×	1.88
Real Sociedad over 1.5 goals	46.2%	46.8%	42.3%	1.11×	2.14
Real Sociedad under 0.5 goals	21.0%	22.3%	19.5%	1.14×	4.49
Real Sociedad over 2.5 goals	20.6%	22.3%	19.7%	1.13×	4.49
Real Sociedad over 3.5 goals	7.3%	7.8%	7.6%	1.02×	12.88

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad under 1.5 in 1st half	88.2%	90.3%	85.9%	1.05×	1.11
Real Sociedad under 0.5 in 1st half	55.5%	56.7%	52.3%	1.08×	1.76
Real Sociedad over 0.5 in 1st half	44.5%	43.3%	47.7%	0.91×	2.31
Real Sociedad over 1.5 in 1st half	11.8%	9.7%	14.1%	0.69×	10.29

Home highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad scores more in 2nd half	43.6%	42.3%	40.4%	1.05×	2.37
Real Sociedad scores equally in both	34.9%	33.2%	32.3%	1.03×	3.01
Real Sociedad scores more in 1st half	21.6%	21.2%	27.4%	0.77×	4.71

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.7%	51.4%	47.4%	1.09×	1.95
Getafe (home no bet)	45.3%	48.6%	52.6%	0.92×	2.06

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad even goals	52.2%	50.7%	47.5%	1.07×	1.97
Real Sociedad odd goals	47.8%	49.3%	52.5%	0.94×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	39.3%	39.4%	32.2%	1.23×	2.54
HT 1-0	23.1%	24.4%	22.0%	1.11×	4.10
HT 0-1	13.6%	11.0%	16.1%	0.68×	9.10
HT 1-1	8.0%	6.9%	10.1%	0.68×	14.46
HT 2-0	6.8%	6.9%	6.6%	1.05×	14.48
Any other HT score	2.7%	2.4%	4.5%	0.53×	42.12
HT 0-2	2.4%	2.4%	3.5%	0.67×	42.14
HT 2-1	2.4%	2.4%	3.1%	0.77×	42.14
HT 1-2	1.4%	2.4%	1.6%	1.44×	42.21
HT 2-2	0.4%	2.4%	1.2%	2.01×	42.27

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad at HT / Real Sociedad at FT	29.2%	27.5%	26.3%	1.05×	3.64
Draw at HT / Real Sociedad at FT	21.6%	21.6%	17.8%	1.22×	4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	16.8%	16.7%	14.1%	1.18×	5.97
Getafe at HT / Getafe at FT	10.6%	12.6%	13.2%	0.96×	7.91
Draw at HT / Getafe at FT	9.3%	6.0%	11.5%	0.52×	16.56
Getafe at HT / Draw at FT	4.5%	3.5%	6.4%	0.55×	28.63
Real Sociedad at HT / Draw at FT	4.1%	3.5%	5.2%	0.67×	28.64
Getafe at HT / Real Sociedad at FT	2.8%	3.5%	2.6%	1.35×	28.69
Real Sociedad at HT / Getafe at FT	1.2%	3.5%	3.8%	0.92×	28.75

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad to score last	58.5%	56.4%	54.9%	1.03×	1.77
Getafe to score last	32.8%	32.6%	39.9%	0.82×	3.06
No goal scored	8.8%	7.5%	5.3%	1.42×	13.33

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	91.2%	92.6%	94.7%	0.98×	1.08
Real Sociedad to lead by 1 at any time	65.7%	69.3%	62.7%	1.11×	1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	43.9%	39.2%	41.9%	0.93×	2.55
Getafe to lead by 1 at any time	36.8%	34.6%	47.1%	0.73×	2.89
Real Sociedad to lead by 2 at any time	33.5%	29.9%	26.5%	1.13×	3.35
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	15.9%	14.9%	17.2%	0.87×	6.71
Real Sociedad to lead by 3 at any time	13.5%	10.5%	12.5%	0.84×	9.54
Getafe to lead by 2 at any time	10.5%	10.4%	15.8%	0.66×	9.60
Getafe to lead by 3 at any time	2.4%	1.6%	4.8%	0.33×	62.35

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad most corners	72.5%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Getafe most corners	18.9%	19.2%	—	—	5.20
Corners level	8.6%	8.4%	—	—	11.97

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.5%	87.4%	88.6%	0.99×	1.14
1-4 goals	81.2%	83.4%	80.4%	1.04×	1.20
2-6 goals	68.7%	68.8%	72.9%	0.94×	1.45
1-3 goals	68.4%	68.8%	68.6%	1.00×	1.45
2-5 goals	66.1%	68.8%	69.2%	0.99×	1.45
2-4 goals	59.9%	59.1%	61.0%	0.97×	1.69
1-2 goals	47.3%	48.5%	44.9%	1.08×	2.06
2-3 goals	47.1%	48.5%	49.2%	0.98×	2.06
3-6 goals	42.7%	43.6%	47.5%	0.92×	2.29
3-5 goals	40.2%	43.6%	43.8%	0.99×	2.30
3-4 goals	33.9%	35.2%	35.6%	0.99×	2.84
4-6 goals	21.6%	24.5%	23.7%	1.03×	4.09
4-5 goals	19.1%	18.8%	20.1%	0.94×	5.31
5-6 goals	8.8%	8.9%	12.0%	0.74×	11.25
7+ goals	1.2%	2.6%	2.6%	0.99×	39.17

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad never behind	54.4%	62.6%	52.9%	1.18×	1.60
Getafe never behind	25.5%	29.9%	37.3%	0.80×	3.35

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.6%	50.9%	53.6%	0.95×	1.96
Even number of goals	50.4%	49.1%	46.4%	1.06×	2.04

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	57.7%	57.9%	54.3%	1.07×	1.73
Odd goals in 1st half	42.3%	42.1%	45.7%	0.92×	2.38

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.5%	51.9%	49.4%	1.05×	1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.5%	48.1%	50.6%	0.95×	2.08

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	96.2%	95.4%	93.8%	1.02×	1.05
Over 0.5 goals	91.2%	92.3%	94.7%	0.97×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	90.0%	87.6%	85.5%	1.02×	1.14
Under 3.5 goals	77.2%	77.3%	73.8%	1.05×	1.29
Over 1.5 goals	69.9%	66.3%	75.3%	0.88×	1.51
Under 2.5 goals	56.1%	58.6%	50.1%	1.17×	1.71
Over 2.5 goals	43.9%	41.4%	49.9%	0.83×	2.42
Under 1.5 goals	30.1%	33.7%	24.7%	1.36×	2.97
Over 3.5 goals	22.9%	22.7%	26.2%	0.87×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	10.0%	12.4%	14.5%	0.86×	8.07
Under 0.5 goals	8.8%	7.7%	5.3%	1.46×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	3.8%	4.6%	6.2%	0.73×	21.86

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	98.7%	97.2%	97.3%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	96.0%	97.2%	93.2%	1.04×	1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	88.5%	86.7%	83.6%	1.04×	1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	71.0%	72.4%	65.6%	1.10×	1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	59.3%	55.8%	66.9%	0.83×	1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	40.7%	44.2%	33.1%	1.34×	2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	29.0%	27.6%	34.4%	0.80×	3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	11.5%	13.3%	16.4%	0.81×	7.54
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	4.0%	2.8%	6.8%	0.41×	35.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	1.3%	2.8%	2.7%	1.05×	35.62

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	93.1%	92.7%	90.0%	1.03×	1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half	76.0%	78.3%	70.1%	1.12×	1.28
Over 0.5 in 1st half	60.7%	63.1%	67.8%	0.93×	1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half	39.3%	36.9%	32.2%	1.15×	2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half	24.0%	21.7%	29.9%	0.73×	4.61
Over 2.5 in 1st half	6.9%	7.3%	10.0%	0.73×	13.72

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	80.9%	83.2%	79.0%	1.05×	1.20
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	77.7%	79.1%	82.0%	0.97×	1.26
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	55.8%	54.8%	53.4%	1.03×	1.83
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	44.2%	45.2%	46.6%	0.97×	2.21
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	22.3%	20.9%	18.0%	1.16×	4.79
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	19.1%	16.8%	21.0%	0.80×	5.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe not to score in both halves	88.0%	85.6%	81.0%	1.06×	1.17
Real Sociedad not to score in both halves	72.3%	73.9%	73.6%	1.00×	1.35
Real Sociedad to score in both halves	27.7%	26.1%	26.4%	0.99×	3.83
Getafe to score in both halves	12.0%	14.4%	19.0%	0.76×	6.94

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.0%	50.7%	55.8%	0.91×	1.97
Only Real Sociedad scores	33.0%	33.3%	24.8%	1.34×	3.00
Only Getafe scores	12.2%	11.0%	14.3%	0.77×	9.06
Neither team scores	8.8%	7.1%	5.3%	1.35×	14.03

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	26.0%	24.9%	25.5%	0.98×	4.02
Exactly 1 goals	21.3%	22.6%	19.5%	1.16×	4.43
Exactly 3 goals	21.1%	22.6%	23.9%	0.95×	4.43
Exactly 4 goals	12.8%	12.1%	11.9%	1.02×	8.25
Exactly 0 goals	8.8%	7.6%	5.3%	1.44×	13.13
Exactly 5 goals	6.2%	7.6%	8.3%	0.91×	13.14
6 or more goals	3.8%	4.5%	6.2%	0.72×	22.38

Total goals 1st half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No goals in 1st half	39.3%	37.4%	32.2%	1.16×	2.67
1 goal in 1st half	36.7%	37.3%	38.0%	0.98×	2.68
2 goals in 1st half	17.2%	15.6%	20.0%	0.78×	6.39
3+ goals in 1st half	6.9%	7.3%	10.0%	0.73×	13.72

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	44.2%	45.6%	46.6%	0.98×	2.19
1 goal in 2nd half	33.5%	33.9%	35.5%	0.96×	2.95
No goals in 2nd half	22.3%	22.9%	18.0%	1.27×	4.36

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe not to win both halves	96.5%	97.2%	94.7%	1.03×	1.03
Real Sociedad not to win both halves	84.4%	83.9%	88.0%	0.95×	1.19
Real Sociedad to win both halves	15.6%	16.1%	12.0%	1.34×	6.22
Getafe to win both halves	3.5%	2.8%	5.3%	0.53×	35.38

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe to win neither half	66.2%	67.6%	55.8%	1.21×	1.48
Real Sociedad to win either half	64.1%	65.1%	62.5%	1.04×	1.54
Real Sociedad to win neither half	35.9%	34.9%	37.5%	0.93×	2.87
Getafe to win either half	33.8%	32.4%	44.2%	0.73×	3.09

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Getafe not to win to nil	87.8%	88.1%	85.7%	1.03×	1.14
Real Sociedad not to win to nil	67.0%	69.6%	75.2%	0.93×	1.44
Real Sociedad to win to nil	33.0%	30.4%	24.8%	1.22×	3.30
Getafe to win to nil	12.2%	11.9%	14.3%	0.83×	8.41

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Real Sociedad by 1	25.4%	27.9%	25.7%	1.08×	3.59
Draw	25.5%	27.9%	25.5%	1.09×	3.59
Real Sociedad by 2	16.4%	17.0%	10.6%	1.61×	5.87
Getafe by 1	14.2%	11.8%	17.5%	0.67×	8.50
Real Sociedad by 3+	11.7%	11.8%	10.2%	1.15×	8.51
Getafe by 2	5.2%	7.2%	7.1%	1.02×	13.92
Getafe by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	4.0%	0.68×	36.85