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Real Sociedad v Las Palmas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 December 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

0–0
1.25 – 0.84 xG
Shots
15 – 9
On target
4 – 3
Shots in box
10 – 4
xG per shot
0.08 – 0.09
Set-piece xG
0.03 – 0.12
Goals − xG
-1.26 – -0.84
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.71.11.40'15'30'45'60'75'90'
Real Sociedad 1.26 xGLas Palmas 0.84 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Luka Sucic 1' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Luka Sucic 4' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Martín Zubimendi 5' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Dário Essugo 10' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Jaime Mata 11' — Saved Shot (0.34 xG, Open Play)Alberto Moleiro 12' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Mika Mármol 12' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Alberto Moleiro 15' — Saved Shot (0.24 xG, Open Play)Mikel Oyarzabal 24' — Shot On Post (0.43 xG, Open Play)Sandro Ramírez 33' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Alberto Moleiro 46' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Sandro Ramírez 55' — Shot On Post (0.11 xG, Open Play)Sandro Ramírez 61' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Ander Barrenetxea 67' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Ander Barrenetxea 69' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Sergio Gómez 76' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Sergio Gómez 76' — Missed Shot (0.14 xG, Open Play)Ander Barrenetxea 77' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Luka Sucic 78' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, From Corner)Jon Ander Olasagasti 81' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Jon Ander Olasagasti 87' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Aihen Muñoz 89' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Luka Sucic 89' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Orri Óskarsson 94' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)
Real Sociedad attacking right Las Palmas attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Real Sociedad Luka Sucic 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
4' Real Sociedad Luka Sucic 0.01 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
5' Real Sociedad Martín Zubimendi 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Luka Sucic
10' Las Palmas Dário Essugo 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Alberto Moleiro
11' Las Palmas Jaime Mata 0.34 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot
12' Las Palmas Alberto Moleiro 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot Sandro Ramírez
12' Las Palmas Mika Mármol 0.03 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
15' Las Palmas Alberto Moleiro 0.24 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Javi Muñoz
24' Real Sociedad Mikel Oyarzabal 0.43 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post
33' Las Palmas Sandro Ramírez 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot
46' Las Palmas Alberto Moleiro 0.02 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot
55' Las Palmas Sandro Ramírez 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Shot On Post Alberto Moleiro
61' Las Palmas Sandro Ramírez 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Dário Essugo
67' Real Sociedad Ander Barrenetxea 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Jon Ander Olasagasti
69' Real Sociedad Ander Barrenetxea 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Martín Zubimendi
76' Real Sociedad Sergio Gómez 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Jon Ander Olasagasti
76' Real Sociedad Sergio Gómez 0.14 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
77' Real Sociedad Ander Barrenetxea 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
78' Real Sociedad Luka Sucic 0.01 From Corner Left Foot Saved Shot
81' Real Sociedad Jon Ander Olasagasti 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Luka Sucic
87' Real Sociedad Jon Ander Olasagasti 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Sergio Gómez
89' Real Sociedad Aihen Muñoz 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
89' Real Sociedad Luka Sucic 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Orri Óskarsson
94' Real Sociedad Orri Óskarsson 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Martín Zubimendi

Players

Las Palmas

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Mika Mármol DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.35
Dário Essugo MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.01 0.03
Kirian Rodríguez MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Juan Herzog DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.24
Jasper Cillessen GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.24
Scott McKenna DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.24
Sandro Ramírez FWR 86 0 0 3 1 0.16 0.03 0.36
Javi Muñoz DR 86 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.24 0.35
José Campaña MC 74 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jaime Mata FW 73 0 0 1 0 0.34 0.00 0.58
Alberto Moleiro FWL 61 0 0 3 2 0.30 0.12 0.36
Marvin Park Sub 29 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Benito Ramírez Sub 17 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Oliver McBurnie Sub 16 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Manu Fuster Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Enzo Loiodice Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Real Sociedad

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Sergio Gómez ML 90 0 0 2 1 0.25 0.09 0.39
Luka Sucic MC 90 0 0 4 2 0.16 0.06 0.42
Martín Zubimendi DMC 90 0 0 1 2 0.02 0.11 0.17
Igor Zubeldia DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.27
Jon Aramburu DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Remiro GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Naif Aguerd DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Mikel Oyarzabal FW 86 0 0 1 0 0.43 0.00 0.58
Javier López DL 86 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.09
Takefusa Kubo MR 68 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Brais Méndez MC 68 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Ander Barrenetxea Sub 22 0 0 3 0 0.19 0.00 0.19
Jon Ander Olasagasti Sub 22 0 0 2 2 0.12 0.18 0.35
Orri Óskarsson Sub 4 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.06 0.11
Aihen Muñoz Sub 4 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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