betaider.com
Sign in

Real Sociedad v Levante — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627

La Liga xG Prediction generated

2–1
2.92 – 0.75 xG
Shots
17 – 6
On target
3 – 2
Shots in box
14 – 4
xG per shot
0.17 – 0.13
Set-piece xG
0.09 – 0.26
Goals − xG
-0.96 – +0.25

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Real Sociedad win
45.4%
model 44.7%
Draw
23.8%
model 24.1%
Levante win
30.8%
model 31.2%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.2%
  2. 2-1 9.2%
  3. 1-0 8.4%
  4. 1-2 7.5%
  5. 2-0 6.9%

Goals

Over 2.557.1% Under 2.542.9%
BTTS yes59.4% BTTS no40.6%
Real Sociedad 1+80.6% Real Sociedad 2+48.8%
Levante 1+73.7% Levante 2+38.6%

Expected goals 1.64 – 1.34. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
93/100
Data quality
100/100
Model agreement
93%
★ Best pick
Either team to lead by 2 at any time
Lead at any time · usually 42%
51.0% fair odds 1.96
moderate signal · 1182 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 2.5 in 1st half
Over/Under 1HT · usually 90%
83.9% fair odds 1.19
moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Real Sociedad have created 1.45 xG a match over their last five while Levante have allowed 2.16.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.
  • At home Real Sociedad average 1.44 xG a match.
  • They have had 7 days' rest to Levante's 4.

Risk factors

  • Real Sociedad have scored 2.80 a match from 1.45 xG over five matches, which usually corrects.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Real Sociedad have an estimated 45.4% win probability, against 30.8% for Levante and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.64 for Real Sociedad and 1.33 for Levante.

Why Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad have created 1.45 xG a match over their last five while Levante have allowed 2.16. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five. At home Real Sociedad average 1.44 xG a match. They have had 7 days' rest to Levante's 4.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.8%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Levante can win

Levante have created 1.61 xG a match over their last five while Real Sociedad have allowed 1.92. Away from home Levante average 0.83 xG a match.

Key players

Real Sociedad's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mikel Oyarzabal (0.50), Orri Óskarsson (0.36), Carlos Soler (0.23). Levante's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Iván Romero (0.41), Carlos Espí (0.40), Roger Brugué (0.37).

Availability

1 of Levante's top three contributors did not start their last match. 45% of Levante's last eleven are new to the club this window.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Real Sociedad: 47% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.35 xG a match from set pieces. Levante: 42% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.29 xG a match from set pieces. Real Sociedad's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Real Sociedad are the model's most likely outcome at 45.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%. Confidence 93/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Real Sociedad are finishing above their chances — 2.8 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off.

LLWDWLWWWW last 10 scored 19 from 16.2 xG conceded 18 from 17.8 xG

Levante are conceding fewer than expected — 3.6 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

LDWDLLDDWL last 10 scored 16 from 14.5 xG conceded 19 from 22.6 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTSOutcome
ai-blend 1.64–1.34 0% 0% 0% Home ✓
dc-xg 1.96–1.35 1-1 10% 64% 64% Home ✓
dc-xg-oos 1.92–1.34 1-1 10% 63% 63% Home ✓
deep 1.96–1.35 1-1 10% 64% 64% Home ✓

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad to win 51.6% 51.5% 46.4% 1.11× 1.94
Levante to win 26.4% 27.9% 28.4% 0.98× 3.58
Draw 21.9% 24.5% 25.4% 0.96× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad & both teams score 29.4% 25.2% 21.7% 1.16× 3.97
Real Sociedad & not both score 22.2% 21.8% 24.8% 0.88× 4.58
Draw & both teams score 18.3% 18.0% 20.2% 0.89× 5.56
Levante & both teams score 16.0% 18.0% 14.1% 1.27× 5.57
Levante & not both score 10.5% 13.3% 14.4% 0.92× 7.54
Draw & not both score 3.7% 4.9% 5.3% 0.93× 20.55
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad & over 1.5 44.5% 40.3% 33.9% 1.19× 2.48
Real Sociedad & over 2.5 37.5% 34.9% 28.0% 1.24× 2.87
Real Sociedad & under 3.5 28.2% 26.1% 32.4% 0.81× 3.84
Real Sociedad & over 3.5 23.4% 21.6% 14.1% 1.53× 4.63
Levante & over 1.5 21.5% 21.6% 21.5% 1.01× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 18.3% 18.0% 20.2% 0.89× 5.56
Levante & over 2.5 18.1% 18.0% 17.2% 1.05× 5.56
Levante & under 3.5 16.3% 18.0% 21.4% 0.84× 5.56
Real Sociedad & under 2.5 14.2% 12.8% 18.5% 0.70× 7.79
Draw & under 2.5 13.3% 12.8% 20.3% 0.63× 7.79
Draw & under 3.5 13.3% 12.8% 20.3% 0.63× 7.79
Levante & over 3.5 10.1% 12.8% 7.1% 1.80× 7.79
Draw & over 2.5 8.6% 7.9% 5.1% 1.54× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 8.6% 7.9% 5.1% 1.54× 12.63
Levante & under 2.5 8.3% 7.9% 11.3% 0.70× 12.63
Real Sociedad & under 1.5 7.2% 7.9% 12.6% 0.63× 12.63
Levante & under 1.5 4.9% 4.8% 7.0% 0.69× 20.81
Draw & under 1.5 3.7% 4.8% 5.3% 0.91× 20.81
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad (1UP) 68.1% 70.2% 62.8% 1.12× 1.43
Levante (1UP) 47.0% 43.9% 47.2% 0.93× 2.28
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad (2UP) 51.6% 54.9% 48.1% 1.14× 1.82
Levante (2UP) 26.4% 25.2% 30.0% 0.84× 3.97
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad to win 2nd half 42.0% 41.8% 39.6% 1.06× 2.39
2nd half drawn 31.0% 34.1% 32.9% 1.04× 2.93
Levante to win 2nd half 27.1% 26.0% 27.6% 0.94× 3.84
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante under 1.5 in 2nd half 79.8% 79.3% 84.2% 0.94× 1.26
Levante over 0.5 in 2nd half 56.4% 54.3% 52.2% 1.04× 1.84
Levante under 0.5 in 2nd half 43.6% 45.7% 47.8% 0.96× 2.19
Levante over 1.5 in 2nd half 20.2% 20.7% 15.8% 1.31× 4.84
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad under 1.5 in 2nd half 69.4% 70.9% 79.6% 0.89× 1.41
Real Sociedad over 0.5 in 2nd half 67.1% 70.7% 59.1% 1.20× 1.41
Real Sociedad under 0.5 in 2nd half 32.9% 29.3% 40.9% 0.72× 3.42
Real Sociedad over 1.5 in 2nd half 30.6% 29.1% 20.4% 1.43× 3.43
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante (+2.5) 85.9% 88.5% 89.8% 0.98× 1.13
Real Sociedad (+0.5) 73.6% 73.7% 71.6% 1.03× 1.36
Levante (+1.5) 70.2% 73.6% 79.3% 0.93× 1.36
Real Sociedad (-0.5) 51.6% 52.4% 46.4% 1.13× 1.91
Levante (+0.5) 48.4% 47.6% 53.6% 0.89× 2.10
Real Sociedad (-1.5) 29.8% 26.4% 20.7% 1.28× 3.79
Levante (-0.5) 26.4% 26.3% 28.4% 0.93× 3.80
Real Sociedad (-2.5) 14.1% 11.5% 10.2% 1.14× 8.67
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante to concede 85.9% 86.2% 80.5% 1.07× 1.16
Levante clean sheet 14.1% 13.8% 19.5% 0.71× 7.26
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante to concede in 1st half 57.1% 57.0% 47.7% 1.20× 1.75
Levante clean sheet in 1st half 42.9% 43.0% 52.3% 0.82× 2.33
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante to concede in 2nd half 67.1% 65.8% 59.1% 1.11× 1.52
Levante clean sheet in 2nd half 32.9% 34.2% 40.9% 0.84× 2.92
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante under 6.5 corners 87.4% 85.2% — — 1.17
Levante under 5.5 corners 78.5% 76.1% — — 1.32
Levante over 2.5 corners 68.9% 67.6% — — 1.48
Levante under 4.5 corners 65.8% 67.6% — — 1.48
Levante over 3.5 corners 50.7% 53.1% — — 1.89
Levante under 3.5 corners 49.3% 46.9% — — 2.13
Levante over 4.5 corners 34.2% 32.4% — — 3.09
Levante under 2.5 corners 31.1% 32.4% — — 3.09
Levante over 5.5 corners 21.5% 23.9% — — 4.18
Levante over 6.5 corners 12.6% 14.8% — — 6.78
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante under 3.5 goals 95.2% 97.5% 97.1% 1.00× 1.03
Levante under 2.5 goals 84.5% 81.5% 89.4% 0.91× 1.23
Levante over 0.5 goals 74.1% 71.9% 70.1% 1.03× 1.39
Levante under 1.5 goals 60.9% 63.2% 67.9% 0.93× 1.58
Levante over 1.5 goals 39.1% 36.8% 32.1% 1.15× 2.72
Levante under 0.5 goals 25.9% 28.1% 29.9% 0.94× 3.55
Levante over 2.5 goals 15.5% 18.5% 10.6% 1.74× 5.41
Levante over 3.5 goals 4.8% 2.5% 2.9% 0.86× 39.82
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante under 1.5 in 1st half 90.4% 93.7% 92.7% 1.01× 1.07
Levante under 0.5 in 1st half 59.4% 62.1% 63.2% 0.98× 1.61
Levante over 0.5 in 1st half 40.6% 37.9% 36.8% 1.03× 2.64
Levante over 1.5 in 1st half 9.6% 6.3% 7.3% 0.86× 15.94
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante scores more in 2nd half 40.2% 43.4% 37.7% 1.15× 2.30
Levante scores equally in both 38.4% 37.5% 41.6% 0.90× 2.67
Levante scores more in 1st half 21.4% 21.8% 20.8% 1.05× 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad (away no bet) 70.2% 68.3% 64.7% 1.06× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 29.8% 31.7% 35.3% 0.90× 3.16
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante even goals 53.4% 52.6% 53.2% 0.99× 1.90
Levante odd goals 46.6% 47.4% 46.8% 1.01× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 77.1% 81.2% 85.8% 0.95× 1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals 22.9% 18.8% 14.2% 1.33× 5.31
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 74.6% 67.8% 62.5% 1.08× 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 25.4% 32.2% 37.5% 0.86× 3.11
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 66.2% 62.4% 52.6% 1.19× 1.60
Real Sociedad to score 2+ in a row 48.2% 46.2% 34.5% 1.34× 2.17
Levante to score 2+ in a row 27.8% 25.1% 23.9% 1.05× 3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row 27.6% 25.1% 19.2% 1.30× 3.99
Real Sociedad to score 3+ in a row 20.4% 19.6% 13.1% 1.49× 5.11
Levante to score 3+ in a row 7.8% 5.5% 6.6% 0.85× 18.04
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad corners (+3.5) 95.5% 95.7% — — 1.05
Real Sociedad corners (+2.5) 92.5% 89.6% — — 1.12
Real Sociedad corners (+1.5) 88.0% 84.5% — — 1.18
Real Sociedad corners (-1.5) 64.7% 61.8% — — 1.62
Levante corners (+3.5) 55.3% 57.1% — — 1.75
Real Sociedad corners (-2.5) 54.7% 52.4% — — 1.91
Levante corners (+2.5) 45.3% 47.6% — — 2.10
Real Sociedad corners (-3.5) 44.7% 42.9% — — 2.33
Levante corners (+1.5) 35.3% 38.2% — — 2.62
Levante corners (-1.5) 12.0% 15.5% — — 6.45
Levante corners (-2.5) 7.5% 10.4% — — 9.59
Levante corners (-3.5) 4.5% 4.3% — — 23.43
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 40.2% 38.3% — — 2.61
0-8 corners 30.7% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 29.0% 31.2% — — 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 78.2% 76.6% — — 1.31
Over 8.5 corners 69.3% 67.8% — — 1.47
Under 12.5 corners 68.4% 67.8% — — 1.47
Over 9.5 corners 59.5% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 11.5 corners 59.8% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 50.4% 53.1% — — 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 49.6% 46.9% — — 2.13
Under 9.5 corners 40.5% 42.1% — — 2.38
Over 11.5 corners 40.2% 42.1% — — 2.38
Over 12.5 corners 31.6% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 8.5 corners 30.7% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 21.8% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 9.7% 7.4% 15.2% 0.49× 13.51
2-1 9.5% 7.4% 9.7% 0.76× 13.51
1-0 7.2% 7.4% 12.6% 0.59× 13.51
1-2 6.5% 7.4% 8.2% 0.91× 13.51
2-0 7.0% 7.4% 6.0% 1.24× 13.51
2-2 6.4% 7.4% 4.2% 1.76× 13.51
3-1 6.2% 7.4% 3.6% 2.04× 13.51
Any other score 6.1% 7.4% 3.4% 2.18× 13.51
0-1 4.9% 1.7% 7.0% 0.24× 58.29
0-0 3.7% 1.7% 5.3% 0.33× 58.30
0-2 3.3% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.30
0-3 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 0.82× 58.31
0-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.8% 2.10× 58.32
1-3 2.9% 1.7% 2.1% 0.82× 58.30
1-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.5% 3.67× 58.31
2-3 2.9% 1.7% 2.3% 0.73× 58.30
2-4 1.0% 1.7% 0.6% 2.94× 58.31
3-0 4.6% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.29
3-2 4.2% 1.7% 3.2% 0.54× 58.30
3-3 1.9% 1.7% 1.1% 1.63× 58.31
3-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.4% 4.90× 58.32
4-0 2.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.05× 58.31
4-1 3.0% 1.7% 2.1% 0.82× 58.30
4-2 2.0% 1.7% 1.3% 1.33× 58.31
4-3 0.9% 1.7% 0.7% 2.45× 58.31
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.1% 14.66× 58.32
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad (2nd half DNB) 60.8% 62.6% 58.9% 1.06× 1.60
Levante (2nd half DNB) 39.2% 37.4% 41.1% 0.91× 2.67
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad leading at HT (DNB) 65.9% 74.0% 61.5% 1.20× 1.35
Levante leading at HT (DNB) 34.1% 26.0% 38.5% 0.68× 3.84
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad or Levante (12) 78.1% 75.5% 74.7% 1.01× 1.32
Real Sociedad or draw (1X) 73.6% 72.1% 71.6% 1.01× 1.39
Levante or draw (X2) 48.4% 48.5% 53.6% 0.91× 2.06
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad or draw at HT 78.8% 79.5% 78.1% 1.02× 1.26
Real Sociedad or Levante at HT 62.0% 60.9% 56.8% 1.07× 1.64
Levante or draw at HT 59.2% 57.7% 65.0% 0.89× 1.73
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad or draw (1UP) 73.6% 79.6% 78.0% 1.02× 1.26
Levante or draw (1UP) 48.4% 53.4% 60.3% 0.89× 1.87
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad or draw in 2nd half 72.9% 74.0% 72.4% 1.02× 1.35
Real Sociedad or Levante in 2nd half 69.0% 65.9% 67.1% 0.98× 1.52
Levante or draw in 2nd half 58.0% 58.2% 60.4% 0.96× 1.72
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 57.2% 58.7% 62.1% 0.95× 1.70
Neither half drawn 42.8% 41.3% 37.9% 1.09× 2.42
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad (DNB) 66.2% 67.3% 62.0% 1.09× 1.49
Levante (DNB) 33.8% 32.7% 38.0% 0.86× 3.06
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad to score first 57.0% 62.2% 55.2% 1.13× 1.61
Levante to score first 39.3% 32.9% 39.7% 0.83× 3.04
No goal scored 3.7% 4.3% 5.3% 0.82× 23.11
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 63.6% 56.6% 55.8% 1.01× 1.77
Not both teams to score 36.4% 43.4% 44.2% 0.98× 2.31
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 54.0% 47.3% 40.8% 1.16× 2.12
Not both score & under 2.5 26.1% 33.3% 34.8% 0.96× 3.00
Not both score & over 2.5 10.3% 12.4% 9.5% 1.31× 8.09
Both score & under 2.5 9.7% 8.3% 15.2% 0.55× 12.07
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 77.2% 79.7% 85.9% 0.93× 1.26
Both teams to score 2+ 22.8% 20.3% 14.1% 1.44× 4.93
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 62.1% 65.9% 70.7% 0.93× 1.52
Both teams to score in 2nd half 37.9% 34.1% 29.3% 1.16× 2.93
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 47.7% 53.1% 59.7% 0.89× 1.88
Both score 2nd half only 29.1% 27.3% 23.8% 1.15× 3.67
Both score 1st half only 14.4% 10.8% 11.1% 0.97× 9.25
Both score in both halves 8.8% 6.9% 5.6% 1.22× 14.59
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 76.8% 81.1% 83.4% 0.97× 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 23.2% 18.9% 16.6% 1.13× 5.30
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 63.8% 59.7% 55.2% 1.08× 1.68
A half without a goal 36.2% 40.3% 44.8% 0.90× 2.48
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 42.1% 42.1% 49.3% 0.85× 2.37
4-6 goals 37.0% 35.1% 23.7% 1.48× 2.85
0-1 goals 15.7% 20.2% 24.7% 0.82× 4.95
7+ goals 5.1% 7.6% 2.6% 2.95× 13.21
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante to score exactly 1 35.0% 33.8% 38.1% 0.89× 2.96
Levante to score exactly 0 25.9% 27.4% 29.9% 0.92× 3.65
Levante to score exactly 2 23.6% 22.3% 21.6% 1.03× 4.49
Levante to score 3+ 15.5% 19.5% 10.6% 1.84× 5.12
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad to score 3+ 31.2% 32.6% 19.7% 1.65× 3.07
Real Sociedad to score exactly 1 27.6% 26.6% 38.3% 0.69× 3.77
Real Sociedad to score exactly 2 27.1% 26.5% 22.7% 1.17× 3.77
Real Sociedad to score exactly 0 14.1% 14.3% 19.5% 0.73× 6.98
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad leading at HT 40.8% 42.3% 35.0% 1.21× 2.37
Draw at HT 38.0% 39.1% 43.2% 0.90× 2.56
Levante leading at HT 21.2% 20.5% 21.9% 0.94× 4.88
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad -1: 2 48.4% 47.0% — — 2.13
Real Sociedad -1: 1 29.8% 26.5% — — 3.77
Real Sociedad -1: X 21.9% 23.5% — — 4.26
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante (0:1) 48.4% 46.2% 53.6% 0.86× 2.17
Real Sociedad (0:1) 29.8% 27.0% 20.7% 1.31× 3.70
Draw (0:1) 21.9% 24.2% 25.8% 0.94× 4.13
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante (0:2) 70.2% 75.6% 79.3% 0.95× 1.32
Draw (0:2) 15.6% 15.2% 10.6% 1.43× 6.56
Real Sociedad (0:2) 14.1% 11.0% 10.2% 1.08× 9.09
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante (0:3) 85.9% 90.6% 89.8% 1.01× 1.10
Draw (0:3) 8.5% 5.8% 7.1% 0.82× 17.21
Real Sociedad (0:3) 5.6% 5.8% 3.2% 1.84× 17.26
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante (0:4) 94.4% 94.6% 96.8% 0.98× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 3.7% 1.2% 2.3% 0.52× 81.76
Real Sociedad (0:4) 1.9% 1.2% 0.9% 1.30× 81.96
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad (1:0) 73.6% 72.4% 71.6% 1.01× 1.38
Draw (1:0) 15.1% 17.1% 17.5% 0.98× 5.85
Levante (1:0) 11.3% 12.7% 11.0% 1.16× 7.88
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad (2:0) 88.7% 88.5% 89.0% 0.99× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 7.4% 6.4% 7.0% 0.91× 15.67
Levante (2:0) 3.9% 2.3% 4.1% 0.56× 43.64
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 51.0% 50.2% 51.3% 0.98× 1.99
1st half highest scoring 27.0% 26.2% 25.8% 1.02× 3.82
Halves equal 22.0% 24.3% 23.1% 1.06× 4.11
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad to concede 74.1% 73.1% 70.1% 1.04× 1.37
Real Sociedad clean sheet 25.9% 26.9% 29.9% 0.90× 3.72
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad clean sheet in 1st half 59.4% 62.1% 63.2% 0.98× 1.61
Real Sociedad to concede in 1st half 40.6% 37.9% 36.8% 1.03× 2.64
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad to concede in 2nd half 56.4% 54.6% 52.2% 1.05× 1.83
Real Sociedad clean sheet in 2nd half 43.6% 45.4% 47.8% 0.95× 2.20
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad over 2.5 corners 92.8% 89.2% — — 1.12
Real Sociedad over 3.5 corners 85.2% 86.2% — — 1.16
Real Sociedad over 4.5 corners 75.0% 76.5% — — 1.31
Real Sociedad over 5.5 corners 63.2% 62.3% — — 1.61
Real Sociedad over 6.5 corners 51.1% 52.6% — — 1.90
Real Sociedad under 6.5 corners 48.9% 47.4% — — 2.11
Real Sociedad under 5.5 corners 36.8% 37.7% — — 2.65
Real Sociedad under 4.5 corners 25.0% 23.5% — — 4.26
Real Sociedad under 3.5 corners 14.8% 13.8% — — 7.26
Real Sociedad under 2.5 corners 7.2% 10.8% — — 9.30
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad under 3.5 goals 86.5% 87.3% 92.4% 0.94× 1.15
Real Sociedad over 0.5 goals 85.9% 87.2% 80.5% 1.08× 1.15
Real Sociedad under 2.5 goals 68.8% 68.0% 80.3% 0.85× 1.47
Real Sociedad over 1.5 goals 58.3% 58.6% 42.3% 1.39× 1.71
Real Sociedad under 1.5 goals 41.7% 41.4% 57.7% 0.72× 2.42
Real Sociedad over 2.5 goals 31.2% 32.0% 19.7% 1.62× 3.12
Real Sociedad under 0.5 goals 14.1% 12.8% 19.5% 0.65× 7.84
Real Sociedad over 3.5 goals 13.5% 12.7% 7.6% 1.68× 7.84
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad under 1.5 in 1st half 79.2% 77.2% 85.8% 0.90× 1.30
Real Sociedad over 0.5 in 1st half 57.1% 56.9% 47.7% 1.19× 1.76
Real Sociedad under 0.5 in 1st half 42.9% 43.1% 52.3% 0.82× 2.32
Real Sociedad over 1.5 in 1st half 20.8% 22.8% 14.2% 1.61× 4.39
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad scores more in 2nd half 41.6% 42.0% 40.4% 1.04× 2.38
Real Sociedad scores equally in both 30.9% 33.1% 32.2% 1.03× 3.02
Real Sociedad scores more in 1st half 27.6% 27.9% 27.5% 1.01× 3.59
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante (home no bet) 54.6% 51.4% 52.8% 0.97× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 45.4% 48.6% 47.2% 1.03× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad even goals 51.0% 50.7% 47.4% 1.07× 1.97
Real Sociedad odd goals 49.0% 49.3% 52.6% 0.94× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 25.5% 28.4% 32.2% 0.88× 3.52
HT 1-0 21.6% 24.3% 22.0% 1.10× 4.12
HT 0-1 13.3% 11.0% 16.0% 0.69× 9.10
HT 1-1 11.2% 11.0% 10.1% 1.09× 9.12
HT 2-0 9.1% 6.9% 6.7% 1.04× 14.43
Any other HT score 6.9% 6.9% 4.5% 1.55× 14.47
HT 2-1 4.7% 2.4% 3.0% 0.78× 41.90
HT 0-2 3.5% 2.4% 3.6% 0.66× 41.98
HT 1-2 2.9% 2.4% 1.6% 1.45× 42.02
HT 2-2 1.2% 2.4% 1.2% 2.03× 42.13
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad at HT / Real Sociedad at FT 32.6% 32.3% 26.2% 1.23× 3.09
Draw at HT / Real Sociedad at FT 16.0% 16.8% 17.9% 0.94× 5.96
Levante at HT / Levante at FT 13.5% 12.7% 13.2% 0.96× 7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 11.8% 12.6% 14.1% 0.90× 7.91
Draw at HT / Levante at FT 10.3% 12.6% 11.5% 1.10× 7.92
Real Sociedad at HT / Draw at FT 5.6% 6.1% 5.2% 1.18× 16.48
Levante at HT / Draw at FT 4.5% 3.5% 6.3% 0.55× 28.80
Levante at HT / Real Sociedad at FT 3.1% 3.5% 2.6% 1.35× 28.86
Real Sociedad at HT / Levante at FT 2.6% 3.5% 3.9% 0.90× 28.88
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad to score last 57.0% 56.4% 54.9% 1.03× 1.78
Levante to score last 39.3% 38.8% 39.9% 0.97× 2.57
No goal scored 3.7% 4.3% 5.3% 0.82× 23.11
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.3% 95.6% 94.7% 1.01× 1.05
Real Sociedad to lead by 1 at any time 68.1% 69.5% 62.8% 1.11× 1.44
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 55.6% 54.9% 41.9% 1.31× 1.82
Levante to lead by 1 at any time 47.0% 44.4% 47.2% 0.94× 2.25
Real Sociedad to lead by 2 at any time 38.0% 34.7% 26.5% 1.31× 2.88
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 23.3% 19.6% 17.2% 1.14× 5.11
Levante to lead by 2 at any time 18.1% 14.9% 15.8% 0.94× 6.71
Real Sociedad to lead by 3 at any time 17.5% 14.9% 12.4% 1.20× 6.72
Levante to lead by 3 at any time 5.8% 6.7% 4.9% 1.35× 15.03
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad most corners 73.9% 70.6% — — 1.42
Levante most corners 18.2% 19.2% — — 5.21
Corners level 7.9% 8.3% — — 11.99
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.5% 83.4% 88.7% 0.94× 1.20
2-6 goals 79.1% 78.7% 72.9% 1.08× 1.27
1-4 goals 72.4% 72.4% 80.5% 0.90× 1.38
2-5 goals 72.4% 72.4% 69.3% 1.04× 1.38
2-4 goals 60.4% 63.3% 61.1% 1.04× 1.58
3-6 goals 59.1% 59.1% 47.7% 1.24× 1.69
1-3 goals 54.2% 53.2% 68.7% 0.77× 1.88
3-5 goals 52.4% 53.2% 44.0% 1.21× 1.88
2-3 goals 42.1% 43.6% 49.3% 0.88× 2.29
3-4 goals 40.3% 43.6% 35.9% 1.22× 2.29
4-6 goals 37.0% 39.2% 23.7% 1.65× 2.55
1-2 goals 32.1% 35.2% 44.7% 0.79× 2.84
4-5 goals 30.4% 35.2% 20.1% 1.75× 2.84
5-6 goals 18.8% 18.8% 11.9% 1.58× 5.31
7+ goals 5.1% 8.9% 2.6% 3.45× 11.29
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad never behind 49.4% 56.7% 52.8% 1.07× 1.76
Levante never behind 28.3% 30.1% 37.2% 0.81× 3.33
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 49.9% 50.9% 53.7% 0.95× 1.96
Even number of goals 50.1% 49.1% 46.3% 1.06× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.3% 51.8% 54.5% 0.95× 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 46.7% 48.2% 45.6% 1.06× 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.0% 51.9% 49.3% 1.05× 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 49.0% 48.1% 50.7% 0.95× 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.3% 95.4% 94.7% 1.01× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 88.2% 87.6% 93.8% 0.93× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 84.3% 82.3% 75.4% 1.09× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 76.1% 77.3% 85.6% 0.90× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 64.2% 61.8% 50.1% 1.23× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 57.8% 58.6% 73.8% 0.79× 1.71
Over 3.5 goals 42.2% 41.4% 26.2% 1.58× 2.42
Under 2.5 goals 35.8% 38.2% 49.9% 0.77× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 23.9% 22.7% 14.4% 1.58× 4.40
Under 1.5 goals 15.7% 17.7% 24.7% 0.72× 5.66
Over 5.5 goals 11.8% 12.4% 6.2% 2.00× 8.06
Under 0.5 goals 3.7% 4.6% 5.3% 0.87× 21.84
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 94.5% 92.4% 97.3% 0.95× 1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 86.6% 86.7% 93.3% 0.93× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 80.3% 81.1% 67.0% 1.21× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 70.8% 72.4% 83.7% 0.86× 1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 54.1% 51.9% 34.4% 1.51× 1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 45.9% 48.1% 65.6% 0.73× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 29.2% 27.6% 16.3% 1.70× 3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 19.7% 18.9% 33.0% 0.57× 5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 13.4% 13.3% 6.7% 1.97× 7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 5.5% 7.6% 2.7% 2.84× 13.18
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 84.2% 85.8% 90.0% 0.95× 1.17
Over 0.5 in 1st half 74.5% 71.5% 67.8% 1.05× 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 60.4% 63.1% 70.0% 0.90× 1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half 39.6% 36.9% 30.0% 1.23× 2.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half 25.5% 28.5% 32.2% 0.89× 3.51
Over 2.5 in 1st half 15.8% 14.2% 10.0% 1.42× 7.06
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 85.7% 85.4% 82.1% 1.04× 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 69.2% 68.8% 79.0% 0.87× 1.45
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 57.8% 55.2% 46.7% 1.18× 1.81
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 42.2% 44.8% 53.3% 0.84× 2.23
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 30.8% 31.2% 21.0% 1.49× 3.20
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 14.3% 14.6% 17.9% 0.82× 6.84
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante not to score in both halves 77.1% 78.5% 81.0% 0.97× 1.27
Real Sociedad not to score in both halves 61.7% 63.2% 73.7% 0.86× 1.58
Real Sociedad to score in both halves 38.3% 36.8% 26.3% 1.40× 2.71
Levante to score in both halves 22.9% 21.5% 19.0% 1.13× 4.66
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 63.6% 60.3% 55.8% 1.08× 1.66
Only Real Sociedad scores 22.2% 22.3% 24.8% 0.90× 4.49
Only Levante scores 10.5% 11.0% 14.4% 0.77× 9.07
Neither team scores 3.7% 4.6% 5.3% 0.88× 21.63
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.1% 22.6% 24.1% 0.94× 4.43
Exactly 2 goals 20.0% 22.6% 25.4% 0.89× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 18.3% 17.5% 11.9% 1.47× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 12.1% 12.1% 19.5% 0.62× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 12.1% 12.1% 8.3% 1.46× 8.25
6 or more goals 11.8% 12.1% 6.2% 1.96× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 3.7% 4.5% 5.3% 0.85× 22.36
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 34.9% 35.7% 37.9% 0.94× 2.80
No goals in 1st half 25.5% 28.5% 32.2% 0.88× 3.51
2 goals in 1st half 23.8% 21.5% 20.1% 1.07× 4.65
3+ goals in 1st half 15.8% 15.5% 10.0% 1.56× 6.43
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 57.8% 54.1% 46.7% 1.16× 1.85
1 goal in 2nd half 27.8% 29.4% 35.5% 0.83× 3.40
No goals in 2nd half 14.3% 14.5% 17.9% 0.81× 6.90
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante not to win both halves 94.3% 94.2% 94.6% 1.00× 1.06
Real Sociedad not to win both halves 82.9% 83.8% 88.1% 0.95× 1.19
Real Sociedad to win both halves 17.1% 16.2% 11.9% 1.35× 6.18
Levante to win both halves 5.7% 5.8% 5.4% 1.08× 17.18
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad to win either half 65.6% 67.6% 62.6% 1.08× 1.48
Levante to win neither half 57.5% 59.1% 55.9% 1.06× 1.69
Levante to win either half 42.5% 40.9% 44.1% 0.93× 2.45
Real Sociedad to win neither half 34.4% 32.4% 37.4% 0.87× 3.09
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Levante not to win to nil 89.5% 88.1% 85.6% 1.03× 1.14
Real Sociedad not to win to nil 77.8% 78.1% 75.2% 1.04× 1.28
Real Sociedad to win to nil 22.2% 21.9% 24.8% 0.88× 4.57
Levante to win to nil 10.5% 11.9% 14.4% 0.83× 8.43
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Sociedad by 1 21.9% 24.1% 25.8% 0.93× 4.15
Draw 21.9% 24.1% 25.4% 0.95× 4.15
Real Sociedad by 2 15.6% 17.0% 10.6% 1.60× 5.87
Levante by 1 15.1% 17.0% 17.5% 0.97× 5.87
Real Sociedad by 3+ 14.1% 11.8% 10.2% 1.16× 8.51
Levante by 2 7.4% 7.2% 7.0% 1.03× 13.91
Levante by 3+ 3.9% 2.7% 4.1% 0.66× 36.81
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.81.72.53.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Orri Óskarsson 5' — goalNacho Pérez 22' — goalBeñat Turrientes 26' — goal
Real Sociedad 2.96 xGLevante 0.75 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Orri Óskarsson 5' — Blocked Shot (0.44 xG, Open Play)Orri Óskarsson 5' — Goal (0.55 xG, Open Play)Nacho Pérez 22' — Goal (0.26 xG, Open Play)Hector Fort 23' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Orri Óskarsson 24' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, From Corner)Thiago Fernández 25' — Missed Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Beñat Turrientes 26' — Goal (0.08 xG, Open Play)Gonçalo Guedes 26' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Orri Óskarsson 28' — Missed Shot (0.38 xG, Open Play)Orri Óskarsson 29' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Gonçalo Guedes 30' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Orri Óskarsson 32' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Luka Sucic 36' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Iván Romero 39' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Jon Ander Olasagasti 41' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Gonçalo Guedes 47' — Missed Shot (0.34 xG, Open Play)Daniel Requena 49' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Etta Eyong 63' — Missed Shot (0.24 xG, Set Piece)Orri Óskarsson 64' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Gonçalo Guedes 66' — Missed Shot (0.38 xG, Open Play)Jon Aramburu 66' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Mikel Oyarzabal 78' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Arsen Zakharyan 89' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)
Real Sociedad attacking right Levante attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Real Sociedad Orri Óskarsson 0.44 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Hector Fort
5' Real Sociedad Orri Óskarsson 0.55 Open Play Right Foot Goal —
22' Levante Nacho Pérez 0.26 Open Play Right Foot Goal Thiago Fernández
23' Real Sociedad Hector Fort 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Jon Gorrotxategi
24' Real Sociedad Orri Óskarsson 0.09 From Corner — Missed Shot Beñat Turrientes
25' Levante Thiago Fernández 0.13 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Iván Romero
26' Real Sociedad Beñat Turrientes 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Goal Gonçalo Guedes
26' Real Sociedad Gonçalo Guedes 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
28' Real Sociedad Orri Óskarsson 0.38 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gonçalo Guedes
29' Real Sociedad Orri Óskarsson 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot —
30' Real Sociedad Gonçalo Guedes 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Hector Fort
32' Real Sociedad Orri Óskarsson 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Mikel Oyarzabal
36' Real Sociedad Luka Sucic 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Gonçalo Guedes
39' Levante Iván Romero 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Thiago Fernández
41' Levante Jon Ander Olasagasti 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot —
47' Real Sociedad Gonçalo Guedes 0.34 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Luka Sucic
49' Levante Daniel Requena 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Iván Romero
63' Levante Etta Eyong 0.24 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot Víctor García
64' Real Sociedad Orri Óskarsson 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ander Barrenetxea
66' Real Sociedad Gonçalo Guedes 0.38 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Ander Barrenetxea
66' Real Sociedad Jon Aramburu 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gonçalo Guedes
78' Real Sociedad Mikel Oyarzabal 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Ander Barrenetxea
89' Real Sociedad Arsen Zakharyan 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Job Ochieng

Players

Real Sociedad

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Mikel Oyarzabal FW 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.08 1.28
Jon Martín DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.50
Sergio Gómez DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.10
Remiro GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.53
Mamadou Sarr DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.58
Jon Gorrotxategi MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 1.17
Orri Óskarsson FW 87 1 0 7 0 1.69 0.00 1.60
Gonçalo Guedes ML 87 0 1 4 4 0.87 0.62 1.56
Beñat Turrientes MC 73 1 0 1 1 0.08 0.09 0.64
Luka Sucic MR 64 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.34 1.10
Hector Fort DR 64 0 0 1 2 0.07 0.54 1.01
Jon Aramburu Sub 26 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.54
Ander Barrenetxea Sub 26 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.47 0.47
Yangel Herrera Sub 17 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Arsen Zakharyan Sub 3 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.07
Job Ochieng Sub 3 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.07 0.07

Levante

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Nacho Pérez DR 90 1 0 1 0 0.26 0.00 0.39
Jon Ander Olasagasti MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.00
Aissa Mandi DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Ifeanyi Ndukwe DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Manuel Sánchez DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mat Ryan GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.05
Thiago Fernández ML 82 0 1 1 2 0.13 0.32 0.45
Daniel Requena MC 82 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.32
Iván Romero FW 64 0 0 1 2 0.06 0.18 0.23
Petar Ratkov FW 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.13
Roger Brugué MR 48 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Víctor García Sub 42 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.24 0.00
Etta Eyong Sub 26 0 0 1 0 0.24 0.00 0.00
Axel Tape Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yanis Musuayi Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Paco Cortés Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
↑↓ to move ↵ to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide