Real Sociedad v Levante — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 25 October 2026 · ESP-La Liga · 2627
La Liga
xG Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (624 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 11.2%
- 2-1 9.2%
- 1-0 8.4%
- 1-2 7.5%
- 2-0 6.9%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 57.1% | Under 2.5 | 42.9% |
| BTTS yes | 59.4% | BTTS no | 40.6% |
| Real Sociedad 1+ | 80.6% | Real Sociedad 2+ | 48.8% |
| Levante 1+ | 73.7% | Levante 2+ | 38.6% |
Expected goals 1.64 – 1.34. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Real Sociedad have created 1.45 xG a match over their last five while Levante have allowed 2.16.
- Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.
- At home Real Sociedad average 1.44 xG a match.
- They have had 7 days' rest to Levante's 4.
Risk factors
- Real Sociedad have scored 2.80 a match from 1.45 xG over five matches, which usually corrects.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Real Sociedad have an estimated 45.4% win probability, against 30.8% for Levante and 23.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.64 for Real Sociedad and 1.33 for Levante.
Why Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad have created 1.45 xG a match over their last five while Levante have allowed 2.16. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five. At home Real Sociedad average 1.44 xG a match. They have had 7 days' rest to Levante's 4.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 23.8%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.
Why Levante can win
Levante have created 1.61 xG a match over their last five while Real Sociedad have allowed 1.92. Away from home Levante average 0.83 xG a match.
Key players
Real Sociedad's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mikel Oyarzabal (0.50), Orri Óskarsson (0.36), Carlos Soler (0.23). Levante's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Iván Romero (0.41), Carlos Espí (0.40), Roger Brugué (0.37).
Availability
1 of Levante's top three contributors did not start their last match. 45% of Levante's last eleven are new to the club this window.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Real Sociedad: 47% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 18.6 faced, 0.35 xG a match from set pieces. Levante: 42% possession, 12.4 shots a match, 14.8 faced, 0.29 xG a match from set pieces. Real Sociedad's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
Real Sociedad are the model's most likely outcome at 45.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%. Confidence 93/100, data quality 100/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the chances say
Real Sociedad are finishing above their chances — 2.8 goals more than expected across 10 matches, which usually cools off.
Levante are conceding fewer than expected — 3.6 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.
Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.
What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.64–1.34 | 0% | 0% | 0% | Home ✓ | |
| dc-xg | 1.96–1.35 | 1-1 10% | 64% | 64% | Home ✓ | |
| dc-xg-oos | 1.92–1.34 | 1-1 10% | 63% | 63% | Home ✓ | |
| deep | 1.96–1.35 | 1-1 10% | 64% | 64% | Home ✓ |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to win | 51.6% | 51.5% | 46.4% | 1.11× | 1.94 |
| Levante to win | 26.4% | 27.9% | 28.4% | 0.98× | 3.58 |
| Draw | 21.9% | 24.5% | 25.4% | 0.96× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad & both teams score | 29.4% | 25.2% | 21.7% | 1.16× | 3.97 |
| Real Sociedad & not both score | 22.2% | 21.8% | 24.8% | 0.88× | 4.58 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.3% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 0.89× | 5.56 |
| Levante & both teams score | 16.0% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 1.27× | 5.57 |
| Levante & not both score | 10.5% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 0.92× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 0.93× | 20.55 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad & over 1.5 | 44.5% | 40.3% | 33.9% | 1.19× | 2.48 |
| Real Sociedad & over 2.5 | 37.5% | 34.9% | 28.0% | 1.24× | 2.87 |
| Real Sociedad & under 3.5 | 28.2% | 26.1% | 32.4% | 0.81× | 3.84 |
| Real Sociedad & over 3.5 | 23.4% | 21.6% | 14.1% | 1.53× | 4.63 |
| Levante & over 1.5 | 21.5% | 21.6% | 21.5% | 1.01× | 4.63 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.3% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 0.89× | 5.56 |
| Levante & over 2.5 | 18.1% | 18.0% | 17.2% | 1.05× | 5.56 |
| Levante & under 3.5 | 16.3% | 18.0% | 21.4% | 0.84× | 5.56 |
| Real Sociedad & under 2.5 | 14.2% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 0.70× | 7.79 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 13.3% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 0.63× | 7.79 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 13.3% | 12.8% | 20.3% | 0.63× | 7.79 |
| Levante & over 3.5 | 10.1% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 1.80× | 7.79 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.54× | 12.63 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.54× | 12.63 |
| Levante & under 2.5 | 8.3% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 0.70× | 12.63 |
| Real Sociedad & under 1.5 | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 0.63× | 12.63 |
| Levante & under 1.5 | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 0.69× | 20.81 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 0.91× | 20.81 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad (1UP) | 68.1% | 70.2% | 62.8% | 1.12× | 1.43 |
| Levante (1UP) | 47.0% | 43.9% | 47.2% | 0.93× | 2.28 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad (2UP) | 51.6% | 54.9% | 48.1% | 1.14× | 1.82 |
| Levante (2UP) | 26.4% | 25.2% | 30.0% | 0.84× | 3.97 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to win 2nd half | 42.0% | 41.8% | 39.6% | 1.06× | 2.39 |
| 2nd half drawn | 31.0% | 34.1% | 32.9% | 1.04× | 2.93 |
| Levante to win 2nd half | 27.1% | 26.0% | 27.6% | 0.94× | 3.84 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante under 1.5 in 2nd half | 79.8% | 79.3% | 84.2% | 0.94× | 1.26 |
| Levante over 0.5 in 2nd half | 56.4% | 54.3% | 52.2% | 1.04× | 1.84 |
| Levante under 0.5 in 2nd half | 43.6% | 45.7% | 47.8% | 0.96× | 2.19 |
| Levante over 1.5 in 2nd half | 20.2% | 20.7% | 15.8% | 1.31× | 4.84 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad under 1.5 in 2nd half | 69.4% | 70.9% | 79.6% | 0.89× | 1.41 |
| Real Sociedad over 0.5 in 2nd half | 67.1% | 70.7% | 59.1% | 1.20× | 1.41 |
| Real Sociedad under 0.5 in 2nd half | 32.9% | 29.3% | 40.9% | 0.72× | 3.42 |
| Real Sociedad over 1.5 in 2nd half | 30.6% | 29.1% | 20.4% | 1.43× | 3.43 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante (+2.5) | 85.9% | 88.5% | 89.8% | 0.98× | 1.13 |
| Real Sociedad (+0.5) | 73.6% | 73.7% | 71.6% | 1.03× | 1.36 |
| Levante (+1.5) | 70.2% | 73.6% | 79.3% | 0.93× | 1.36 |
| Real Sociedad (-0.5) | 51.6% | 52.4% | 46.4% | 1.13× | 1.91 |
| Levante (+0.5) | 48.4% | 47.6% | 53.6% | 0.89× | 2.10 |
| Real Sociedad (-1.5) | 29.8% | 26.4% | 20.7% | 1.28× | 3.79 |
| Levante (-0.5) | 26.4% | 26.3% | 28.4% | 0.93× | 3.80 |
| Real Sociedad (-2.5) | 14.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 1.14× | 8.67 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante to concede | 85.9% | 86.2% | 80.5% | 1.07× | 1.16 |
| Levante clean sheet | 14.1% | 13.8% | 19.5% | 0.71× | 7.26 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante to concede in 1st half | 57.1% | 57.0% | 47.7% | 1.20× | 1.75 |
| Levante clean sheet in 1st half | 42.9% | 43.0% | 52.3% | 0.82× | 2.33 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante to concede in 2nd half | 67.1% | 65.8% | 59.1% | 1.11× | 1.52 |
| Levante clean sheet in 2nd half | 32.9% | 34.2% | 40.9% | 0.84× | 2.92 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante under 6.5 corners | 87.4% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Levante under 5.5 corners | 78.5% | 76.1% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Levante over 2.5 corners | 68.9% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Levante under 4.5 corners | 65.8% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Levante over 3.5 corners | 50.7% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Levante under 3.5 corners | 49.3% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Levante over 4.5 corners | 34.2% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Levante under 2.5 corners | 31.1% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Levante over 5.5 corners | 21.5% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.18 |
| Levante over 6.5 corners | 12.6% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.78 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante under 3.5 goals | 95.2% | 97.5% | 97.1% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Levante under 2.5 goals | 84.5% | 81.5% | 89.4% | 0.91× | 1.23 |
| Levante over 0.5 goals | 74.1% | 71.9% | 70.1% | 1.03× | 1.39 |
| Levante under 1.5 goals | 60.9% | 63.2% | 67.9% | 0.93× | 1.58 |
| Levante over 1.5 goals | 39.1% | 36.8% | 32.1% | 1.15× | 2.72 |
| Levante under 0.5 goals | 25.9% | 28.1% | 29.9% | 0.94× | 3.55 |
| Levante over 2.5 goals | 15.5% | 18.5% | 10.6% | 1.74× | 5.41 |
| Levante over 3.5 goals | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.86× | 39.82 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante under 1.5 in 1st half | 90.4% | 93.7% | 92.7% | 1.01× | 1.07 |
| Levante under 0.5 in 1st half | 59.4% | 62.1% | 63.2% | 0.98× | 1.61 |
| Levante over 0.5 in 1st half | 40.6% | 37.9% | 36.8% | 1.03× | 2.64 |
| Levante over 1.5 in 1st half | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 0.86× | 15.94 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante scores more in 2nd half | 40.2% | 43.4% | 37.7% | 1.15× | 2.30 |
| Levante scores equally in both | 38.4% | 37.5% | 41.6% | 0.90× | 2.67 |
| Levante scores more in 1st half | 21.4% | 21.8% | 20.8% | 1.05× | 4.59 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad (away no bet) | 70.2% | 68.3% | 64.7% | 1.06× | 1.46 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 29.8% | 31.7% | 35.3% | 0.90× | 3.16 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante even goals | 53.4% | 52.6% | 53.2% | 0.99× | 1.90 |
| Levante odd goals | 46.6% | 47.4% | 46.8% | 1.01× | 2.11 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 77.1% | 81.2% | 85.8% | 0.95× | 1.23 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 22.9% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 1.33× | 5.31 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 74.6% | 67.8% | 62.5% | 1.08× | 1.48 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 25.4% | 32.2% | 37.5% | 0.86× | 3.11 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 66.2% | 62.4% | 52.6% | 1.19× | 1.60 |
| Real Sociedad to score 2+ in a row | 48.2% | 46.2% | 34.5% | 1.34× | 2.17 |
| Levante to score 2+ in a row | 27.8% | 25.1% | 23.9% | 1.05× | 3.99 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 27.6% | 25.1% | 19.2% | 1.30× | 3.99 |
| Real Sociedad to score 3+ in a row | 20.4% | 19.6% | 13.1% | 1.49× | 5.11 |
| Levante to score 3+ in a row | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 0.85× | 18.04 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad corners (+3.5) | 95.5% | 95.7% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Real Sociedad corners (+2.5) | 92.5% | 89.6% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Real Sociedad corners (+1.5) | 88.0% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Real Sociedad corners (-1.5) | 64.7% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Levante corners (+3.5) | 55.3% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Real Sociedad corners (-2.5) | 54.7% | 52.4% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Levante corners (+2.5) | 45.3% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Real Sociedad corners (-3.5) | 44.7% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Levante corners (+1.5) | 35.3% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Levante corners (-1.5) | 12.0% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
| Levante corners (-2.5) | 7.5% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.59 |
| Levante corners (-3.5) | 4.5% | 4.3% | — | — | 23.43 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 40.2% | 38.3% | — | — | 2.61 |
| 0-8 corners | 30.7% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.0% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 78.2% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 69.3% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 68.4% | 67.8% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 59.5% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 59.8% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 50.4% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 49.6% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 40.5% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 40.2% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 31.6% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 30.7% | 32.2% | — | — | 3.11 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 21.8% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.1% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 9.7% | 7.4% | 15.2% | 0.49× | 13.51 |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 0.76× | 13.51 |
| 1-0 | 7.2% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 0.59× | 13.51 |
| 1-2 | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 0.91× | 13.51 |
| 2-0 | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.24× | 13.51 |
| 2-2 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 1.76× | 13.51 |
| 3-1 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 2.04× | 13.51 |
| Any other score | 6.1% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.18× | 13.51 |
| 0-1 | 4.9% | 1.7% | 7.0% | 0.24× | 58.29 |
| 0-0 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.33× | 58.30 |
| 0-2 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 0.39× | 58.30 |
| 0-3 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.82× | 58.31 |
| 0-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.10× | 58.32 |
| 1-3 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.82× | 58.30 |
| 1-4 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.67× | 58.31 |
| 2-3 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.73× | 58.30 |
| 2-4 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.94× | 58.31 |
| 3-0 | 4.6% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 0.39× | 58.29 |
| 3-2 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.54× | 58.30 |
| 3-3 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.63× | 58.31 |
| 3-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 4.90× | 58.32 |
| 4-0 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.05× | 58.31 |
| 4-1 | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.82× | 58.30 |
| 4-2 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.33× | 58.31 |
| 4-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.45× | 58.31 |
| 4-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 14.66× | 58.32 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad (2nd half DNB) | 60.8% | 62.6% | 58.9% | 1.06× | 1.60 |
| Levante (2nd half DNB) | 39.2% | 37.4% | 41.1% | 0.91× | 2.67 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad leading at HT (DNB) | 65.9% | 74.0% | 61.5% | 1.20× | 1.35 |
| Levante leading at HT (DNB) | 34.1% | 26.0% | 38.5% | 0.68× | 3.84 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad or Levante (12) | 78.1% | 75.5% | 74.7% | 1.01× | 1.32 |
| Real Sociedad or draw (1X) | 73.6% | 72.1% | 71.6% | 1.01× | 1.39 |
| Levante or draw (X2) | 48.4% | 48.5% | 53.6% | 0.91× | 2.06 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad or draw at HT | 78.8% | 79.5% | 78.1% | 1.02× | 1.26 |
| Real Sociedad or Levante at HT | 62.0% | 60.9% | 56.8% | 1.07× | 1.64 |
| Levante or draw at HT | 59.2% | 57.7% | 65.0% | 0.89× | 1.73 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad or draw (1UP) | 73.6% | 79.6% | 78.0% | 1.02× | 1.26 |
| Levante or draw (1UP) | 48.4% | 53.4% | 60.3% | 0.89× | 1.87 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad or draw in 2nd half | 72.9% | 74.0% | 72.4% | 1.02× | 1.35 |
| Real Sociedad or Levante in 2nd half | 69.0% | 65.9% | 67.1% | 0.98× | 1.52 |
| Levante or draw in 2nd half | 58.0% | 58.2% | 60.4% | 0.96× | 1.72 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 57.2% | 58.7% | 62.1% | 0.95× | 1.70 |
| Neither half drawn | 42.8% | 41.3% | 37.9% | 1.09× | 2.42 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad (DNB) | 66.2% | 67.3% | 62.0% | 1.09× | 1.49 |
| Levante (DNB) | 33.8% | 32.7% | 38.0% | 0.86× | 3.06 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to score first | 57.0% | 62.2% | 55.2% | 1.13× | 1.61 |
| Levante to score first | 39.3% | 32.9% | 39.7% | 0.83× | 3.04 |
| No goal scored | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 0.82× | 23.11 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 63.6% | 56.6% | 55.8% | 1.01× | 1.77 |
| Not both teams to score | 36.4% | 43.4% | 44.2% | 0.98× | 2.31 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 54.0% | 47.3% | 40.8% | 1.16× | 2.12 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 26.1% | 33.3% | 34.8% | 0.96× | 3.00 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 10.3% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 1.31× | 8.09 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 9.7% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 0.55× | 12.07 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 77.2% | 79.7% | 85.9% | 0.93× | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 22.8% | 20.3% | 14.1% | 1.44× | 4.93 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 62.1% | 65.9% | 70.7% | 0.93× | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 37.9% | 34.1% | 29.3% | 1.16× | 2.93 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 47.7% | 53.1% | 59.7% | 0.89× | 1.88 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 29.1% | 27.3% | 23.8% | 1.15× | 3.67 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.4% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 0.97× | 9.25 |
| Both score in both halves | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 1.22× | 14.59 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 76.8% | 81.1% | 83.4% | 0.97× | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 23.2% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 1.13× | 5.30 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 63.8% | 59.7% | 55.2% | 1.08× | 1.68 |
| A half without a goal | 36.2% | 40.3% | 44.8% | 0.90× | 2.48 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 42.1% | 42.1% | 49.3% | 0.85× | 2.37 |
| 4-6 goals | 37.0% | 35.1% | 23.7% | 1.48× | 2.85 |
| 0-1 goals | 15.7% | 20.2% | 24.7% | 0.82× | 4.95 |
| 7+ goals | 5.1% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 2.95× | 13.21 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante to score exactly 1 | 35.0% | 33.8% | 38.1% | 0.89× | 2.96 |
| Levante to score exactly 0 | 25.9% | 27.4% | 29.9% | 0.92× | 3.65 |
| Levante to score exactly 2 | 23.6% | 22.3% | 21.6% | 1.03× | 4.49 |
| Levante to score 3+ | 15.5% | 19.5% | 10.6% | 1.84× | 5.12 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to score 3+ | 31.2% | 32.6% | 19.7% | 1.65× | 3.07 |
| Real Sociedad to score exactly 1 | 27.6% | 26.6% | 38.3% | 0.69× | 3.77 |
| Real Sociedad to score exactly 2 | 27.1% | 26.5% | 22.7% | 1.17× | 3.77 |
| Real Sociedad to score exactly 0 | 14.1% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 0.73× | 6.98 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad leading at HT | 40.8% | 42.3% | 35.0% | 1.21× | 2.37 |
| Draw at HT | 38.0% | 39.1% | 43.2% | 0.90× | 2.56 |
| Levante leading at HT | 21.2% | 20.5% | 21.9% | 0.94× | 4.88 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad -1: 2 | 48.4% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Real Sociedad -1: 1 | 29.8% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Real Sociedad -1: X | 21.9% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante (0:1) | 48.4% | 46.2% | 53.6% | 0.86× | 2.17 |
| Real Sociedad (0:1) | 29.8% | 27.0% | 20.7% | 1.31× | 3.70 |
| Draw (0:1) | 21.9% | 24.2% | 25.8% | 0.94× | 4.13 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante (0:2) | 70.2% | 75.6% | 79.3% | 0.95× | 1.32 |
| Draw (0:2) | 15.6% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 1.43× | 6.56 |
| Real Sociedad (0:2) | 14.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 1.08× | 9.09 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante (0:3) | 85.9% | 90.6% | 89.8% | 1.01× | 1.10 |
| Draw (0:3) | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 0.82× | 17.21 |
| Real Sociedad (0:3) | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.84× | 17.26 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante (0:4) | 94.4% | 94.6% | 96.8% | 0.98× | 1.06 |
| Draw (0:4) | 3.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 0.52× | 81.76 |
| Real Sociedad (0:4) | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.30× | 81.96 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad (1:0) | 73.6% | 72.4% | 71.6% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| Draw (1:0) | 15.1% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 0.98× | 5.85 |
| Levante (1:0) | 11.3% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 1.16× | 7.88 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad (2:0) | 88.7% | 88.5% | 89.0% | 0.99× | 1.13 |
| Draw (2:0) | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 0.91× | 15.67 |
| Levante (2:0) | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 0.56× | 43.64 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 51.0% | 50.2% | 51.3% | 0.98× | 1.99 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.0% | 26.2% | 25.8% | 1.02× | 3.82 |
| Halves equal | 22.0% | 24.3% | 23.1% | 1.06× | 4.11 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to concede | 74.1% | 73.1% | 70.1% | 1.04× | 1.37 |
| Real Sociedad clean sheet | 25.9% | 26.9% | 29.9% | 0.90× | 3.72 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad clean sheet in 1st half | 59.4% | 62.1% | 63.2% | 0.98× | 1.61 |
| Real Sociedad to concede in 1st half | 40.6% | 37.9% | 36.8% | 1.03× | 2.64 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to concede in 2nd half | 56.4% | 54.6% | 52.2% | 1.05× | 1.83 |
| Real Sociedad clean sheet in 2nd half | 43.6% | 45.4% | 47.8% | 0.95× | 2.20 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad over 2.5 corners | 92.8% | 89.2% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Real Sociedad over 3.5 corners | 85.2% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Real Sociedad over 4.5 corners | 75.0% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Real Sociedad over 5.5 corners | 63.2% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Real Sociedad over 6.5 corners | 51.1% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Real Sociedad under 6.5 corners | 48.9% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| Real Sociedad under 5.5 corners | 36.8% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Real Sociedad under 4.5 corners | 25.0% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
| Real Sociedad under 3.5 corners | 14.8% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.26 |
| Real Sociedad under 2.5 corners | 7.2% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.30 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad under 3.5 goals | 86.5% | 87.3% | 92.4% | 0.94× | 1.15 |
| Real Sociedad over 0.5 goals | 85.9% | 87.2% | 80.5% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Real Sociedad under 2.5 goals | 68.8% | 68.0% | 80.3% | 0.85× | 1.47 |
| Real Sociedad over 1.5 goals | 58.3% | 58.6% | 42.3% | 1.39× | 1.71 |
| Real Sociedad under 1.5 goals | 41.7% | 41.4% | 57.7% | 0.72× | 2.42 |
| Real Sociedad over 2.5 goals | 31.2% | 32.0% | 19.7% | 1.62× | 3.12 |
| Real Sociedad under 0.5 goals | 14.1% | 12.8% | 19.5% | 0.65× | 7.84 |
| Real Sociedad over 3.5 goals | 13.5% | 12.7% | 7.6% | 1.68× | 7.84 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad under 1.5 in 1st half | 79.2% | 77.2% | 85.8% | 0.90× | 1.30 |
| Real Sociedad over 0.5 in 1st half | 57.1% | 56.9% | 47.7% | 1.19× | 1.76 |
| Real Sociedad under 0.5 in 1st half | 42.9% | 43.1% | 52.3% | 0.82× | 2.32 |
| Real Sociedad over 1.5 in 1st half | 20.8% | 22.8% | 14.2% | 1.61× | 4.39 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad scores more in 2nd half | 41.6% | 42.0% | 40.4% | 1.04× | 2.38 |
| Real Sociedad scores equally in both | 30.9% | 33.1% | 32.2% | 1.03× | 3.02 |
| Real Sociedad scores more in 1st half | 27.6% | 27.9% | 27.5% | 1.01× | 3.59 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante (home no bet) | 54.6% | 51.4% | 52.8% | 0.97× | 1.94 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 45.4% | 48.6% | 47.2% | 1.03× | 2.06 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad even goals | 51.0% | 50.7% | 47.4% | 1.07× | 1.97 |
| Real Sociedad odd goals | 49.0% | 49.3% | 52.6% | 0.94× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 25.5% | 28.4% | 32.2% | 0.88× | 3.52 |
| HT 1-0 | 21.6% | 24.3% | 22.0% | 1.10× | 4.12 |
| HT 0-1 | 13.3% | 11.0% | 16.0% | 0.69× | 9.10 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 1.09× | 9.12 |
| HT 2-0 | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 1.04× | 14.43 |
| Any other HT score | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.55× | 14.47 |
| HT 2-1 | 4.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 0.78× | 41.90 |
| HT 0-2 | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 0.66× | 41.98 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.45× | 42.02 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.03× | 42.13 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad at HT / Real Sociedad at FT | 32.6% | 32.3% | 26.2% | 1.23× | 3.09 |
| Draw at HT / Real Sociedad at FT | 16.0% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 0.94× | 5.96 |
| Levante at HT / Levante at FT | 13.5% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 0.96× | 7.90 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 0.90× | 7.91 |
| Draw at HT / Levante at FT | 10.3% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 1.10× | 7.92 |
| Real Sociedad at HT / Draw at FT | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.18× | 16.48 |
| Levante at HT / Draw at FT | 4.5% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 0.55× | 28.80 |
| Levante at HT / Real Sociedad at FT | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.35× | 28.86 |
| Real Sociedad at HT / Levante at FT | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 0.90× | 28.88 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to score last | 57.0% | 56.4% | 54.9% | 1.03× | 1.78 |
| Levante to score last | 39.3% | 38.8% | 39.9% | 0.97× | 2.57 |
| No goal scored | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 0.82× | 23.11 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 96.3% | 95.6% | 94.7% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Real Sociedad to lead by 1 at any time | 68.1% | 69.5% | 62.8% | 1.11× | 1.44 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 55.6% | 54.9% | 41.9% | 1.31× | 1.82 |
| Levante to lead by 1 at any time | 47.0% | 44.4% | 47.2% | 0.94× | 2.25 |
| Real Sociedad to lead by 2 at any time | 38.0% | 34.7% | 26.5% | 1.31× | 2.88 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 23.3% | 19.6% | 17.2% | 1.14× | 5.11 |
| Levante to lead by 2 at any time | 18.1% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 0.94× | 6.71 |
| Real Sociedad to lead by 3 at any time | 17.5% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 1.20× | 6.72 |
| Levante to lead by 3 at any time | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 1.35× | 15.03 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad most corners | 73.9% | 70.6% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Levante most corners | 18.2% | 19.2% | — | — | 5.21 |
| Corners level | 7.9% | 8.3% | — | — | 11.99 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 84.5% | 83.4% | 88.7% | 0.94× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 79.1% | 78.7% | 72.9% | 1.08× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 72.4% | 72.4% | 80.5% | 0.90× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 72.4% | 72.4% | 69.3% | 1.04× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 60.4% | 63.3% | 61.1% | 1.04× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 59.1% | 59.1% | 47.7% | 1.24× | 1.69 |
| 1-3 goals | 54.2% | 53.2% | 68.7% | 0.77× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 52.4% | 53.2% | 44.0% | 1.21× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 42.1% | 43.6% | 49.3% | 0.88× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 40.3% | 43.6% | 35.9% | 1.22× | 2.29 |
| 4-6 goals | 37.0% | 39.2% | 23.7% | 1.65× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 32.1% | 35.2% | 44.7% | 0.79× | 2.84 |
| 4-5 goals | 30.4% | 35.2% | 20.1% | 1.75× | 2.84 |
| 5-6 goals | 18.8% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 1.58× | 5.31 |
| 7+ goals | 5.1% | 8.9% | 2.6% | 3.45× | 11.29 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad never behind | 49.4% | 56.7% | 52.8% | 1.07× | 1.76 |
| Levante never behind | 28.3% | 30.1% | 37.2% | 0.81× | 3.33 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 49.9% | 50.9% | 53.7% | 0.95× | 1.96 |
| Even number of goals | 50.1% | 49.1% | 46.3% | 1.06× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 53.3% | 51.8% | 54.5% | 0.95× | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 46.7% | 48.2% | 45.6% | 1.06× | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.0% | 51.9% | 49.3% | 1.05× | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.0% | 48.1% | 50.7% | 0.95× | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96.3% | 95.4% | 94.7% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 88.2% | 87.6% | 93.8% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.3% | 82.3% | 75.4% | 1.09× | 1.22 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 76.1% | 77.3% | 85.6% | 0.90× | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.2% | 61.8% | 50.1% | 1.23× | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 57.8% | 58.6% | 73.8% | 0.79× | 1.71 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.2% | 41.4% | 26.2% | 1.58× | 2.42 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35.8% | 38.2% | 49.9% | 0.77× | 2.61 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 23.9% | 22.7% | 14.4% | 1.58× | 4.40 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15.7% | 17.7% | 24.7% | 0.72× | 5.66 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 11.8% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 2.00× | 8.06 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 0.87× | 21.84 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 94.5% | 92.4% | 97.3% | 0.95× | 1.08 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 86.6% | 86.7% | 93.3% | 0.93× | 1.15 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 80.3% | 81.1% | 67.0% | 1.21× | 1.23 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 70.8% | 72.4% | 83.7% | 0.86× | 1.38 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 54.1% | 51.9% | 34.4% | 1.51× | 1.93 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 45.9% | 48.1% | 65.6% | 0.73× | 2.08 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 29.2% | 27.6% | 16.3% | 1.70× | 3.62 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 19.7% | 18.9% | 33.0% | 0.57× | 5.28 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 13.4% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 1.97× | 7.54 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 5.5% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 2.84× | 13.18 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 84.2% | 85.8% | 90.0% | 0.95× | 1.17 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 74.5% | 71.5% | 67.8% | 1.05× | 1.40 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 60.4% | 63.1% | 70.0% | 0.90× | 1.59 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 39.6% | 36.9% | 30.0% | 1.23× | 2.71 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 25.5% | 28.5% | 32.2% | 0.89× | 3.51 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 15.8% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 1.42× | 7.06 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 85.7% | 85.4% | 82.1% | 1.04× | 1.17 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 69.2% | 68.8% | 79.0% | 0.87× | 1.45 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 57.8% | 55.2% | 46.7% | 1.18× | 1.81 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 42.2% | 44.8% | 53.3% | 0.84× | 2.23 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 30.8% | 31.2% | 21.0% | 1.49× | 3.20 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 14.3% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 0.82× | 6.84 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante not to score in both halves | 77.1% | 78.5% | 81.0% | 0.97× | 1.27 |
| Real Sociedad not to score in both halves | 61.7% | 63.2% | 73.7% | 0.86× | 1.58 |
| Real Sociedad to score in both halves | 38.3% | 36.8% | 26.3% | 1.40× | 2.71 |
| Levante to score in both halves | 22.9% | 21.5% | 19.0% | 1.13× | 4.66 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 63.6% | 60.3% | 55.8% | 1.08× | 1.66 |
| Only Real Sociedad scores | 22.2% | 22.3% | 24.8% | 0.90× | 4.49 |
| Only Levante scores | 10.5% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 0.77× | 9.07 |
| Neither team scores | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 0.88× | 21.63 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.1% | 22.6% | 24.1% | 0.94× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 20.0% | 22.6% | 25.4% | 0.89× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 18.3% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 1.47× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 12.1% | 12.1% | 19.5% | 0.62× | 8.25 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 12.1% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 1.46× | 8.25 |
| 6 or more goals | 11.8% | 12.1% | 6.2% | 1.96× | 8.25 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 0.85× | 22.36 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 34.9% | 35.7% | 37.9% | 0.94× | 2.80 |
| No goals in 1st half | 25.5% | 28.5% | 32.2% | 0.88× | 3.51 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 23.8% | 21.5% | 20.1% | 1.07× | 4.65 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 15.8% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 1.56× | 6.43 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 57.8% | 54.1% | 46.7% | 1.16× | 1.85 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 27.8% | 29.4% | 35.5% | 0.83× | 3.40 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 14.3% | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.81× | 6.90 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante not to win both halves | 94.3% | 94.2% | 94.6% | 1.00× | 1.06 |
| Real Sociedad not to win both halves | 82.9% | 83.8% | 88.1% | 0.95× | 1.19 |
| Real Sociedad to win both halves | 17.1% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 1.35× | 6.18 |
| Levante to win both halves | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 1.08× | 17.18 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to win either half | 65.6% | 67.6% | 62.6% | 1.08× | 1.48 |
| Levante to win neither half | 57.5% | 59.1% | 55.9% | 1.06× | 1.69 |
| Levante to win either half | 42.5% | 40.9% | 44.1% | 0.93× | 2.45 |
| Real Sociedad to win neither half | 34.4% | 32.4% | 37.4% | 0.87× | 3.09 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levante not to win to nil | 89.5% | 88.1% | 85.6% | 1.03× | 1.14 |
| Real Sociedad not to win to nil | 77.8% | 78.1% | 75.2% | 1.04× | 1.28 |
| Real Sociedad to win to nil | 22.2% | 21.9% | 24.8% | 0.88× | 4.57 |
| Levante to win to nil | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 0.83× | 8.43 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad by 1 | 21.9% | 24.1% | 25.8% | 0.93× | 4.15 |
| Draw | 21.9% | 24.1% | 25.4% | 0.95× | 4.15 |
| Real Sociedad by 2 | 15.6% | 17.0% | 10.6% | 1.60× | 5.87 |
| Levante by 1 | 15.1% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 0.97× | 5.87 |
| Real Sociedad by 3+ | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 1.16× | 8.51 |
| Levante by 2 | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 1.03× | 13.91 |
| Levante by 3+ | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 0.66× | 36.81 |
Reading the xG timeline
Expected goals by minute
Reading the shot map
Shot map
Every shot
| Min | Team | Player | xG | Situation | Body part | Result | Assisted by |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5' |
|
Orri Óskarsson | 0.44 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Hector Fort |
| 5' |
|
Orri Óskarsson | 0.55 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | — |
| 22' |
|
Nacho Pérez | 0.26 | Open Play | Right Foot | Goal | Thiago Fernández |
| 23' |
|
Hector Fort | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Jon Gorrotxategi |
| 24' |
|
Orri Óskarsson | 0.09 | From Corner | — | Missed Shot | Beñat Turrientes |
| 25' |
|
Thiago Fernández | 0.13 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Iván Romero |
| 26' |
|
Beñat Turrientes | 0.08 | Open Play | Left Foot | Goal | Gonçalo Guedes |
| 26' |
|
Gonçalo Guedes | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 28' |
|
Orri Óskarsson | 0.38 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Gonçalo Guedes |
| 29' |
|
Orri Óskarsson | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 30' |
|
Gonçalo Guedes | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Hector Fort |
| 32' |
|
Orri Óskarsson | 0.08 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Mikel Oyarzabal |
| 36' |
|
Luka Sucic | 0.07 | Open Play | Left Foot | Saved Shot | Gonçalo Guedes |
| 39' |
|
Iván Romero | 0.06 | Open Play | Right Foot | Saved Shot | Thiago Fernández |
| 41' |
|
Jon Ander Olasagasti | 0.02 | From Corner | Left Foot | Missed Shot | — |
| 47' |
|
Gonçalo Guedes | 0.34 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Luka Sucic |
| 49' |
|
Daniel Requena | 0.05 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Iván Romero |
| 63' |
|
Etta Eyong | 0.24 | Set Piece | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Víctor García |
| 64' |
|
Orri Óskarsson | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Ander Barrenetxea |
| 66' |
|
Gonçalo Guedes | 0.38 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Ander Barrenetxea |
| 66' |
|
Jon Aramburu | 0.09 | Open Play | Right Foot | Missed Shot | Gonçalo Guedes |
| 78' |
|
Mikel Oyarzabal | 0.02 | Open Play | Left Foot | Missed Shot | Ander Barrenetxea |
| 89' |
|
Arsen Zakharyan | 0.07 | Open Play | Right Foot | Blocked Shot | Job Ochieng |
Players
Real Sociedad
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikel Oyarzabal FW | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 1.28 |
| Jon Martín DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Sergio Gómez DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.10 |
| Remiro GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.53 |
| Mamadou Sarr DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.58 |
| Jon Gorrotxategi MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1.17 |
| Orri Óskarsson FW | 87 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1.69 | 0.00 | 1.60 |
| Gonçalo Guedes ML | 87 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0.87 | 0.62 | 1.56 |
| Beñat Turrientes MC | 73 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.64 |
| Luka Sucic MR | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0.34 | 1.10 |
| Hector Fort DR | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.07 | 0.54 | 1.01 |
| Jon Aramburu Sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| Ander Barrenetxea Sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| Yangel Herrera Sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Arsen Zakharyan Sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Job Ochieng Sub | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
Levante
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | KP | xG | xA | xGChain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacho Pérez DR | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.39 |
| Jon Ander Olasagasti MC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Aissa Mandi DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ifeanyi Ndukwe DC | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Manuel Sánchez DL | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Mat Ryan GK | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Thiago Fernández ML | 82 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.13 | 0.32 | 0.45 |
| Daniel Requena MC | 82 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.32 |
| Iván Romero FW | 64 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.23 |
| Petar Ratkov FW | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Roger Brugué MR | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Víctor García Sub | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.00 |
| Etta Eyong Sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Axel Tape Sub | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Yanis Musuayi Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Paco Cortés Sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |