Real Valladolid v FC Andorra — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627
La Liga
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the chances say
Real Valladolid are finishing below their chances — 3.5 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 5.7 goals above expected, which tends to correct.
Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.
What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.06–1.36 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.01–1.40 | 0-1 13% | 43% | 48% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra to win | 44.0% | 44.0% | 28.0% | 1.57× | 2.27 |
| Real Valladolid to win | 29.4% | 27.6% | 45.5% | 0.61× | 3.62 |
| Draw | 26.6% | 27.6% | 26.6% | 1.04× | 3.63 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra & not both score | 26.2% | 26.3% | 13.4% | 1.96× | 3.80 |
| Draw & both teams score | 17.9% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 1.01× | 5.63 |
| FC Andorra & both teams score | 17.8% | 17.8% | 14.7% | 1.21× | 5.63 |
| Real Valladolid & not both score | 17.1% | 17.7% | 23.6% | 0.75× | 5.63 |
| Real Valladolid & both teams score | 12.3% | 12.2% | 22.0% | 0.55× | 8.23 |
| Draw & not both score | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 0.80× | 13.65 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra & under 3.5 | 33.2% | 33.2% | 19.6% | 1.69× | 3.02 |
| FC Andorra & over 1.5 | 31.5% | 33.1% | 19.4% | 1.71× | 3.02 |
| Real Valladolid & under 3.5 | 23.3% | 21.5% | 32.2% | 0.67× | 4.65 |
| FC Andorra & over 2.5 | 23.3% | 21.5% | 16.6% | 1.30× | 4.65 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 21.2% | 21.5% | 20.3% | 1.06× | 4.65 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 21.2% | 21.5% | 20.3% | 1.06× | 4.65 |
| FC Andorra & under 2.5 | 20.7% | 21.5% | 11.6% | 1.86× | 4.65 |
| Real Valladolid & over 1.5 | 19.7% | 17.6% | 32.6% | 0.54× | 5.69 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 17.9% | 17.6% | 17.5% | 1.00× | 5.69 |
| Real Valladolid & under 2.5 | 14.7% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.86 |
| Real Valladolid & over 2.5 | 14.7% | 12.7% | 26.3% | 0.48× | 7.86 |
| FC Andorra & under 1.5 | 12.5% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 1.46× | 7.86 |
| FC Andorra & over 3.5 | 10.8% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 1.49× | 7.87 |
| Real Valladolid & under 1.5 | 9.8% | 7.5% | 13.0% | 0.57× | 13.40 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 0.82× | 13.40 |
| Real Valladolid & over 3.5 | 6.2% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 0.56× | 13.42 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 1.16× | 13.42 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 1.16× | 13.42 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra (1UP) | 58.1% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Real Valladolid (1UP) | 45.2% | 44.4% | — | — | 2.25 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra (2UP) | 44.0% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Real Valladolid (2UP) | 29.4% | 30.8% | — | — | 3.25 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra to win 2nd half | 37.6% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.67 |
| 2nd half drawn | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | — | 2.67 |
| Real Valladolid to win 2nd half | 24.9% | 22.4% | — | — | 4.46 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra (+2.5) | 96.8% | 97.2% | 92.3% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| FC Andorra (+1.5) | 88.9% | 89.0% | 80.5% | 1.11× | 1.12 |
| FC Andorra (+0.5) | 70.6% | 73.0% | 54.5% | 1.34× | 1.37 |
| Real Valladolid (+0.5) | 56.0% | 57.1% | 72.0% | 0.79× | 1.75 |
| FC Andorra (-0.5) | 44.0% | 42.9% | 28.0% | 1.53× | 2.33 |
| Real Valladolid (-0.5) | 29.4% | 27.0% | 45.5% | 0.59× | 3.71 |
| Real Valladolid (-1.5) | 11.1% | 11.0% | 19.5% | 0.56× | 9.12 |
| Real Valladolid (-2.5) | 3.2% | 2.8% | 7.7% | 0.37× | 35.13 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra to concede | 65.2% | 70.9% | 77.5% | 0.92× | 1.41 |
| FC Andorra clean sheet | 34.8% | 29.1% | 22.5% | 1.29× | 3.44 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra clean sheet in 1st half | 63.5% | 60.7% | — | — | 1.65 |
| FC Andorra to concede in 1st half | 36.5% | 39.3% | — | — | 2.54 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra under 3.5 goals | 95.1% | 97.3% | 97.0% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| FC Andorra under 2.5 goals | 84.4% | 82.3% | 89.2% | 0.92× | 1.22 |
| FC Andorra over 0.5 goals | 74.3% | 72.0% | 67.3% | 1.07× | 1.39 |
| FC Andorra under 1.5 goals | 60.7% | 64.1% | 69.4% | 0.92× | 1.56 |
| FC Andorra over 1.5 goals | 39.3% | 35.9% | 30.6% | 1.18× | 2.78 |
| FC Andorra under 0.5 goals | 25.7% | 28.0% | 32.7% | 0.86× | 3.57 |
| FC Andorra over 2.5 goals | 15.6% | 17.7% | 10.8% | 1.64× | 5.65 |
| FC Andorra over 3.5 goals | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.89× | 36.85 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra under 1.5 in 1st half | 89.7% | 87.7% | — | — | 1.14 |
| FC Andorra under 0.5 in 1st half | 58.1% | 59.3% | — | — | 1.69 |
| FC Andorra over 0.5 in 1st half | 41.9% | 40.7% | — | — | 2.46 |
| FC Andorra over 1.5 in 1st half | 10.3% | 12.3% | — | — | 8.16 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid (away no bet) | 52.5% | 51.4% | 63.1% | 0.81× | 1.95 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 47.5% | 48.6% | 36.9% | 1.32× | 2.06 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra even goals | 53.3% | 52.4% | 54.7% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| FC Andorra odd goals | 46.7% | 47.6% | 45.3% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 89.1% | 86.5% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 10.9% | 13.5% | — | — | 7.40 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 56.6% | 55.8% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 43.4% | 44.2% | — | — | 2.26 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 49.4% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
| FC Andorra to score 2+ in a row | 32.4% | 33.9% | — | — | 2.95 |
| Real Valladolid to score 2+ in a row | 21.6% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.60 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 15.8% | 17.8% | — | — | 5.62 |
| FC Andorra to score 3+ in a row | 10.6% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.23 |
| Real Valladolid to score 3+ in a row | 5.4% | 7.3% | — | — | 13.73 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 1.33× | 8.63 |
| 1-1 | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 1.03× | 8.63 |
| 1-0 | 9.8% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 0.56× | 13.74 |
| 0-0 | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 0.80× | 13.74 |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 1.03× | 13.74 |
| 0-2 | 8.3% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 2.47× | 13.74 |
| 2-1 | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 0.72× | 13.75 |
| 2-0 | 5.0% | 1.8% | 6.4% | 0.28× | 55.38 |
| 0-3 | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.43× | 55.42 |
| 1-3 | 3.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 0.51× | 55.41 |
| 2-2 | 4.6% | 1.8% | 5.7% | 0.32× | 55.39 |
| 0-4 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.45× | 55.48 |
| 1-4 | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.15× | 55.48 |
| 2-3 | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.78× | 55.46 |
| 3-0 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 0.59× | 55.46 |
| 3-1 | 2.4% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 0.40× | 55.45 |
| 3-2 | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 0.64× | 55.47 |
| Any other score | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 0.66× | 55.47 |
| 2-4 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.45× | 55.49 |
| 3-3 | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.45× | 55.49 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 8.58× | 55.50 |
| 4-0 | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.56× | 55.50 |
| 4-1 | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.95× | 55.49 |
| 4-2 | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.56× | 55.50 |
| 4-3 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 5.72× | 55.50 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 8.58× | 55.51 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra leading at HT (DNB) | 55.6% | 56.5% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Real Valladolid leading at HT (DNB) | 44.4% | 43.5% | — | — | 2.30 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid or FC Andorra (12) | 73.4% | 72.4% | 73.4% | 0.99× | 1.38 |
| FC Andorra or draw (X2) | 70.6% | 72.4% | 54.5% | 1.33× | 1.38 |
| Real Valladolid or draw (1X) | 56.0% | 56.0% | 72.0% | 0.78× | 1.79 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra or draw at HT | 76.3% | 78.7% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Real Valladolid or draw at HT | 70.2% | 71.4% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Real Valladolid or FC Andorra at HT | 53.5% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra or draw (1UP) | 70.6% | 77.3% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Real Valladolid or draw (1UP) | 56.0% | 63.8% | — | — | 1.57 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra or draw in 2nd half | 75.1% | 77.6% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Real Valladolid or FC Andorra in 2nd half | 62.5% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Real Valladolid or draw in 2nd half | 62.4% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 66.9% | 66.1% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Neither half drawn | 33.1% | 33.9% | — | — | 2.95 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra (DNB) | 59.9% | 63.5% | 38.1% | 1.66× | 1.58 |
| Real Valladolid (DNB) | 40.1% | 36.5% | 61.9% | 0.59× | 2.74 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra to score first | 51.4% | 53.6% | — | — | 1.87 |
| Real Valladolid to score first | 39.9% | 37.4% | — | — | 2.68 |
| No goal scored | 8.7% | 6.3% | — | — | 15.91 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 51.9% | 52.9% | 46.0% | 1.15× | 1.89 |
| Both teams to score | 48.1% | 47.1% | 54.0% | 0.87× | 2.12 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 44.1% | 42.3% | 39.8% | 1.06× | 2.36 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 35.6% | 37.4% | 42.9% | 0.87× | 2.68 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 1.04× | 8.53 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 1.38× | 11.47 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 88.8% | 85.6% | 85.6% | 1.00× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 11.2% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 1.00× | 6.94 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 74.9% | 70.5% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 25.1% | 29.5% | — | — | 3.39 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 63.6% | 59.6% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 21.2% | 24.4% | — | — | 4.11 |
| Both score 1st half only | 11.4% | 11.5% | — | — | 8.66 |
| Both score in both halves | 3.8% | 4.8% | — | — | 20.79 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 84.8% | 83.3% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 15.2% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.97 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 52.4% | 54.7% | — | — | 1.83 |
| A goal in each half | 47.6% | 45.3% | — | — | 2.21 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 46.7% | 45.9% | 41.4% | 1.11× | 2.18 |
| 0-1 goals | 30.9% | 31.5% | 30.7% | 1.03× | 3.17 |
| 4-6 goals | 21.2% | 22.7% | 26.6% | 0.86× | 4.40 |
| 7+ goals | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.22× | 51.87 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra to score exactly 1 | 34.9% | 33.3% | 36.9% | 0.90× | 3.00 |
| FC Andorra to score exactly 0 | 25.7% | 27.0% | 32.7% | 0.83× | 3.70 |
| FC Andorra to score exactly 2 | 23.7% | 24.0% | 19.9% | 1.21× | 4.17 |
| FC Andorra to score 3+ | 15.6% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 1.69× | 5.46 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid to score exactly 1 | 36.7% | 36.0% | 35.6% | 1.01× | 2.78 |
| Real Valladolid to score exactly 0 | 34.8% | 30.6% | 22.5% | 1.36× | 3.27 |
| Real Valladolid to score exactly 2 | 19.4% | 18.6% | 25.0% | 0.74× | 5.39 |
| Real Valladolid to score 3+ | 9.1% | 8.1% | 17.1% | 0.47× | 12.37 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 46.5% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
| FC Andorra leading at HT | 29.8% | 28.6% | — | — | 3.49 |
| Real Valladolid leading at HT | 23.7% | 21.3% | — | — | 4.69 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra -1: 1 | 56.0% | 56.0% | — | — | 1.79 |
| FC Andorra -1: X | 23.5% | 24.0% | — | — | 4.17 |
| FC Andorra -1: 2 | 20.5% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.18 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra (0:1) | 70.6% | 68.4% | 54.5% | 1.25× | 1.46 |
| Draw (0:1) | 18.3% | 18.3% | 26.1% | 0.70× | 5.46 |
| Real Valladolid (0:1) | 11.1% | 10.6% | 19.5% | 0.54× | 9.45 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra (0:2) | 88.9% | 89.8% | 80.5% | 1.12× | 1.11 |
| Draw (0:2) | 7.8% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 0.60× | 13.91 |
| Real Valladolid (0:2) | 3.2% | 3.0% | 7.7% | 0.39× | 33.16 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra (0:3) | 96.8% | 97.1% | 92.3% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Draw (0:3) | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 0.43× | 43.05 |
| Real Valladolid (0:3) | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 0.95× | 43.43 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra (0:4) | 99.2% | 98.1% | 97.6% | 1.01× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 0.59× | 81.04 |
| Real Valladolid (0:4) | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 2.93× | 81.28 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid (1:0) | 56.0% | 57.1% | 72.0% | 0.79× | 1.75 |
| Draw (1:0) | 23.5% | 23.0% | 18.0% | 1.28× | 4.35 |
| FC Andorra (1:0) | 20.5% | 22.9% | 10.2% | 2.24× | 4.38 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid (2:0) | 79.5% | 78.0% | 89.8% | 0.87× | 1.28 |
| Draw (2:0) | 13.0% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 1.72× | 8.25 |
| FC Andorra (2:0) | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.03× | 15.14 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 46.9% | 48.7% | — | — | 2.05 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.7% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
| Halves equal | 26.4% | 26.1% | — | — | 3.83 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid to concede | 74.3% | 71.3% | 67.3% | 1.06× | 1.40 |
| Real Valladolid clean sheet | 25.7% | 28.7% | 32.7% | 0.88× | 3.49 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid clean sheet in 1st half | 58.1% | 59.1% | — | — | 1.69 |
| Real Valladolid to concede in 1st half | 41.9% | 40.9% | — | — | 2.45 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid under 3.5 goals | 97.7% | 97.8% | 93.7% | 1.04× | 1.02 |
| Real Valladolid under 2.5 goals | 90.9% | 92.0% | 82.9% | 1.11× | 1.09 |
| Real Valladolid under 1.5 goals | 71.6% | 72.7% | 58.0% | 1.25× | 1.38 |
| Real Valladolid over 0.5 goals | 65.2% | 68.7% | 77.5% | 0.89× | 1.46 |
| Real Valladolid under 0.5 goals | 34.8% | 31.3% | 22.5% | 1.39× | 3.19 |
| Real Valladolid over 1.5 goals | 28.4% | 27.3% | 42.0% | 0.65× | 3.66 |
| Real Valladolid over 2.5 goals | 9.1% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 0.46× | 12.58 |
| Real Valladolid over 3.5 goals | 2.3% | 2.2% | 6.3% | 0.36× | 44.66 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid under 1.5 in 1st half | 92.4% | 93.1% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Real Valladolid under 0.5 in 1st half | 63.5% | 60.5% | — | — | 1.65 |
| Real Valladolid over 0.5 in 1st half | 36.5% | 39.5% | — | — | 2.53 |
| Real Valladolid over 1.5 in 1st half | 7.6% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.54 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra (home no bet) | 62.3% | 61.4% | 51.3% | 1.20× | 1.63 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 37.7% | 38.6% | 48.7% | 0.79× | 2.59 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid even goals | 56.1% | 58.0% | 51.8% | 1.12× | 1.73 |
| Real Valladolid odd goals | 43.9% | 42.0% | 48.2% | 0.87× | 2.38 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 36.9% | 36.5% | — | — | 2.74 |
| HT 0-1 | 20.1% | 22.6% | — | — | 4.43 |
| HT 1-0 | 16.8% | 18.9% | — | — | 5.29 |
| HT 1-1 | 9.0% | 7.7% | — | — | 12.98 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.4% | 7.7% | — | — | 13.03 |
| HT 2-0 | 3.8% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.78 |
| Any other HT score | 2.9% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.84 |
| HT 1-2 | 2.5% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.86 |
| HT 2-1 | 2.1% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.88 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.6% | 2.5% | — | — | 39.97 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra at HT / FC Andorra at FT | 23.9% | 21.5% | — | — | 4.66 |
| Draw at HT / FC Andorra at FT | 17.7% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 17.1% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.96 |
| Real Valladolid at HT / Real Valladolid at FT | 16.2% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Real Valladolid at FT | 11.7% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.36 |
| Real Valladolid at HT / Draw at FT | 5.1% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.27 |
| FC Andorra at HT / Draw at FT | 4.4% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.33 |
| Real Valladolid at HT / FC Andorra at FT | 2.5% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.41 |
| FC Andorra at HT / Real Valladolid at FT | 1.5% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.45 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra to score last | 51.4% | 53.6% | — | — | 1.87 |
| Real Valladolid to score last | 40.0% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| No goal scored | 8.7% | 6.3% | — | — | 15.91 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 91.3% | 93.7% | — | — | 1.07 |
| FC Andorra to lead by 1 at any time | 58.1% | 59.6% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Real Valladolid to lead by 1 at any time | 45.2% | 46.1% | — | — | 2.17 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 41.3% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.38 |
| FC Andorra to lead by 2 at any time | 25.8% | 25.9% | — | — | 3.86 |
| Real Valladolid to lead by 2 at any time | 15.6% | 17.6% | — | — | 5.67 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 13.4% | 11.3% | — | — | 8.82 |
| FC Andorra to lead by 3 at any time | 9.1% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.12 |
| Real Valladolid to lead by 3 at any time | 4.3% | 2.6% | — | — | 37.86 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 87.7% | 87.9% | 85.8% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 81.6% | 81.5% | 78.0% | 1.04× | 1.23 |
| 1-3 goals | 69.0% | 68.4% | 62.9% | 1.09× | 1.46 |
| 2-6 goals | 67.9% | 68.3% | 67.9% | 1.01× | 1.46 |
| 2-5 goals | 65.5% | 68.3% | 64.3% | 1.06× | 1.46 |
| 2-4 goals | 59.4% | 58.8% | 56.5% | 1.04× | 1.70 |
| 1-2 goals | 48.0% | 48.0% | 41.9% | 1.15× | 2.08 |
| 2-3 goals | 46.7% | 48.0% | 41.4% | 1.16× | 2.08 |
| 3-6 goals | 42.2% | 43.6% | 47.6% | 0.92× | 2.29 |
| 3-5 goals | 39.7% | 38.9% | 44.0% | 0.88× | 2.57 |
| 3-4 goals | 33.6% | 34.1% | 36.2% | 0.94× | 2.93 |
| 4-6 goals | 21.2% | 24.7% | 26.6% | 0.93× | 4.05 |
| 4-5 goals | 18.7% | 18.1% | 23.0% | 0.79× | 5.52 |
| 5-6 goals | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 0.77× | 11.31 |
| 7+ goals | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.27× | 49.83 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Andorra never behind | 46.2% | 53.6% | — | — | 1.87 |
| Real Valladolid never behind | 33.2% | 36.2% | — | — | 2.76 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.8% | 50.1% | 48.4% | 1.04× | 1.99 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.2% | 49.9% | 51.6% | 0.97× | 2.01 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 56.7% | 55.3% | — | — | 1.81 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 43.3% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 52.7% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 47.3% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 96.4% | 95.6% | 94.9% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 91.3% | 92.9% | 90.9% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 90.3% | 92.9% | 87.1% | 1.07× | 1.08 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 77.6% | 78.3% | 72.0% | 1.09× | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69.1% | 65.5% | 69.3% | 0.95× | 1.53 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 56.7% | 57.7% | 50.9% | 1.13× | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43.3% | 42.3% | 49.1% | 0.86× | 2.36 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 30.9% | 34.5% | 30.7% | 1.12× | 2.90 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22.4% | 21.7% | 28.0% | 0.78× | 4.60 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9.7% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 0.55× | 14.13 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 0.77× | 14.15 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 0.85× | 22.89 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 98.8% | 97.2% | 98.4% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 96.1% | 97.2% | 94.4% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 88.9% | 88.1% | 84.8% | 1.04× | 1.13 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 71.7% | 72.1% | 64.5% | 1.12× | 1.39 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 58.4% | 55.4% | 61.5% | 0.90× | 1.80 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 41.6% | 44.6% | 38.5% | 1.16× | 2.24 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 28.3% | 27.9% | 35.5% | 0.79× | 3.58 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 11.1% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 0.78× | 8.44 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 0.50× | 35.85 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 1.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.69× | 36.27 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 92.0% | 92.2% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 73.8% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 63.1% | 63.1% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 36.9% | 36.9% | — | — | 2.71 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 26.2% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.63 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 8.0% | 7.8% | — | — | 12.85 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 83.0% | 82.1% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 75.8% | 80.2% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 58.8% | 54.3% | — | — | 1.84 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 41.2% | 45.7% | — | — | 2.19 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 24.2% | 19.8% | — | — | 5.06 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 17.0% | 17.9% | — | — | 5.58 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid not to score in both halves | 83.5% | 81.6% | — | — | 1.23 |
| FC Andorra not to score in both halves | 76.7% | 78.1% | — | — | 1.28 |
| FC Andorra to score in both halves | 23.3% | 21.9% | — | — | 4.56 |
| Real Valladolid to score in both halves | 16.5% | 18.4% | — | — | 5.42 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 48.1% | 49.5% | 54.0% | 0.92× | 2.02 |
| Only FC Andorra scores | 26.2% | 25.6% | 13.4% | 1.91× | 3.90 |
| Only Real Valladolid scores | 17.1% | 16.4% | 23.6% | 0.69× | 6.10 |
| Neither team scores | 8.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 0.73× | 14.98 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 25.8% | 24.7% | 20.4% | 1.21× | 4.05 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 22.2% | 21.5% | 21.6% | 1.00× | 4.64 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 21.0% | 21.5% | 21.1% | 1.02× | 4.64 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 12.6% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 0.81× | 8.09 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 0.83× | 13.12 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 0.97× | 13.15 |
| 6 or more goals | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 0.85× | 22.93 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 41.2% | 46.3% | — | — | 2.16 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 34.6% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 24.2% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.38 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid not to win both halves | 94.1% | 93.4% | — | — | 1.07 |
| FC Andorra not to win both halves | 88.8% | 87.6% | — | — | 1.14 |
| FC Andorra to win both halves | 11.2% | 12.4% | — | — | 8.07 |
| Real Valladolid to win both halves | 5.9% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.18 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid to win neither half | 57.3% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| FC Andorra to win either half | 56.2% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| FC Andorra to win neither half | 43.8% | 40.6% | — | — | 2.46 |
| Real Valladolid to win either half | 42.7% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Valladolid not to win to nil | 82.9% | 83.3% | 76.4% | 1.09× | 1.20 |
| FC Andorra not to win to nil | 73.8% | 74.4% | 86.6% | 0.86× | 1.34 |
| FC Andorra to win to nil | 26.2% | 25.6% | 13.4% | 1.91× | 3.90 |
| Real Valladolid to win to nil | 17.1% | 16.7% | 23.6% | 0.71× | 5.98 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 26.6% | 28.0% | 26.6% | 1.05× | 3.57 |
| FC Andorra by 1 | 23.5% | 23.8% | 18.0% | 1.32× | 4.21 |
| Real Valladolid by 1 | 18.3% | 17.0% | 26.1% | 0.65× | 5.89 |
| FC Andorra by 2 | 13.0% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 1.69× | 8.43 |
| Real Valladolid by 2 | 7.8% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 0.59× | 14.09 |
| FC Andorra by 3+ | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 2.18× | 14.10 |
| Real Valladolid by 3+ | 3.2% | 2.8% | 7.7% | 0.37× | 35.31 |