betaider.com
Sign in

Real Valladolid v FC Andorra — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 5 September 2026 · ESP-La Liga 2 · 2627

La Liga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Real Valladolid win
29.4%
Draw
26.6%
FC Andorra win
44.0%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Real Valladolid are finishing below their chances — 3.5 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding sharply more than the chances against them merit — 5.7 goals above expected, which tends to correct.

LLLLLLLLLL last 10 scored 8 from 11.5 xG conceded 27 from 21.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.06–1.36 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.01–1.40 0-1 13% 43% 48%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra to win 44.0% 44.0% 28.0% 1.57× 2.27
Real Valladolid to win 29.4% 27.6% 45.5% 0.61× 3.62
Draw 26.6% 27.6% 26.6% 1.04× 3.63
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra & not both score 26.2% 26.3% 13.4% 1.96× 3.80
Draw & both teams score 17.9% 17.8% 17.5% 1.01× 5.63
FC Andorra & both teams score 17.8% 17.8% 14.7% 1.21× 5.63
Real Valladolid & not both score 17.1% 17.7% 23.6% 0.75× 5.63
Real Valladolid & both teams score 12.3% 12.2% 22.0% 0.55× 8.23
Draw & not both score 8.7% 7.3% 9.1% 0.80× 13.65
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra & under 3.5 33.2% 33.2% 19.6% 1.69× 3.02
FC Andorra & over 1.5 31.5% 33.1% 19.4% 1.71× 3.02
Real Valladolid & under 3.5 23.3% 21.5% 32.2% 0.67× 4.65
FC Andorra & over 2.5 23.3% 21.5% 16.6% 1.30× 4.65
Draw & under 2.5 21.2% 21.5% 20.3% 1.06× 4.65
Draw & under 3.5 21.2% 21.5% 20.3% 1.06× 4.65
FC Andorra & under 2.5 20.7% 21.5% 11.6% 1.86× 4.65
Real Valladolid & over 1.5 19.7% 17.6% 32.6% 0.54× 5.69
Draw & over 1.5 17.9% 17.6% 17.5% 1.00× 5.69
Real Valladolid & under 2.5 14.7% 12.7% 19.3% 0.66× 7.86
Real Valladolid & over 2.5 14.7% 12.7% 26.3% 0.48× 7.86
FC Andorra & under 1.5 12.5% 12.7% 8.7% 1.46× 7.86
FC Andorra & over 3.5 10.8% 12.7% 8.5% 1.49× 7.87
Real Valladolid & under 1.5 9.8% 7.5% 13.0% 0.57× 13.40
Draw & under 1.5 8.7% 7.5% 9.1% 0.82× 13.40
Real Valladolid & over 3.5 6.2% 7.5% 13.3% 0.56× 13.42
Draw & over 2.5 5.4% 7.5% 6.4% 1.16× 13.42
Draw & over 3.5 5.4% 7.5% 6.4% 1.16× 13.42
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra (1UP) 58.1% 62.3% 1.60
Real Valladolid (1UP) 45.2% 44.4% 2.25
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra (2UP) 44.0% 46.7% 2.14
Real Valladolid (2UP) 29.4% 30.8% 3.25
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra to win 2nd half 37.6% 37.5% 2.67
2nd half drawn 37.5% 37.5% 2.67
Real Valladolid to win 2nd half 24.9% 22.4% 4.46
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra (+2.5) 96.8% 97.2% 92.3% 1.05× 1.03
FC Andorra (+1.5) 88.9% 89.0% 80.5% 1.11× 1.12
FC Andorra (+0.5) 70.6% 73.0% 54.5% 1.34× 1.37
Real Valladolid (+0.5) 56.0% 57.1% 72.0% 0.79× 1.75
FC Andorra (-0.5) 44.0% 42.9% 28.0% 1.53× 2.33
Real Valladolid (-0.5) 29.4% 27.0% 45.5% 0.59× 3.71
Real Valladolid (-1.5) 11.1% 11.0% 19.5% 0.56× 9.12
Real Valladolid (-2.5) 3.2% 2.8% 7.7% 0.37× 35.13
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra to concede 65.2% 70.9% 77.5% 0.92× 1.41
FC Andorra clean sheet 34.8% 29.1% 22.5% 1.29× 3.44
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra clean sheet in 1st half 63.5% 60.7% 1.65
FC Andorra to concede in 1st half 36.5% 39.3% 2.54
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra under 3.5 goals 95.1% 97.3% 97.0% 1.00× 1.03
FC Andorra under 2.5 goals 84.4% 82.3% 89.2% 0.92× 1.22
FC Andorra over 0.5 goals 74.3% 72.0% 67.3% 1.07× 1.39
FC Andorra under 1.5 goals 60.7% 64.1% 69.4% 0.92× 1.56
FC Andorra over 1.5 goals 39.3% 35.9% 30.6% 1.18× 2.78
FC Andorra under 0.5 goals 25.7% 28.0% 32.7% 0.86× 3.57
FC Andorra over 2.5 goals 15.6% 17.7% 10.8% 1.64× 5.65
FC Andorra over 3.5 goals 4.9% 2.7% 3.0% 0.89× 36.85
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra under 1.5 in 1st half 89.7% 87.7% 1.14
FC Andorra under 0.5 in 1st half 58.1% 59.3% 1.69
FC Andorra over 0.5 in 1st half 41.9% 40.7% 2.46
FC Andorra over 1.5 in 1st half 10.3% 12.3% 8.16
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid (away no bet) 52.5% 51.4% 63.1% 0.81× 1.95
Draw (away no bet) 47.5% 48.6% 36.9% 1.32× 2.06
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra even goals 53.3% 52.4% 54.7% 0.96× 1.91
FC Andorra odd goals 46.7% 47.6% 45.3% 1.05× 2.10
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 89.1% 86.5% 1.16
Both halves over 1.5 goals 10.9% 13.5% 7.40
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 56.6% 55.8% 1.79
Both halves under 1.5 goals 43.4% 44.2% 2.26
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 49.4% 47.8% 2.09
FC Andorra to score 2+ in a row 32.4% 33.9% 2.95
Real Valladolid to score 2+ in a row 21.6% 21.8% 4.60
Either team to score 3+ in a row 15.8% 17.8% 5.62
FC Andorra to score 3+ in a row 10.6% 12.1% 8.23
Real Valladolid to score 3+ in a row 5.4% 7.3% 13.73
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-1 12.5% 11.6% 8.7% 1.33× 8.63
1-1 12.5% 11.6% 11.2% 1.03× 8.63
1-0 9.8% 7.3% 13.0% 0.56× 13.74
0-0 8.7% 7.3% 9.1% 0.80× 13.74
1-2 8.7% 7.3% 7.0% 1.03× 13.74
0-2 8.3% 7.3% 2.9% 2.47× 13.74
2-1 6.8% 7.3% 10.1% 0.72× 13.75
2-0 5.0% 1.8% 6.4% 0.28× 55.38
0-3 3.7% 1.8% 1.3% 1.43× 55.42
1-3 3.9% 1.8% 3.6% 0.51× 55.41
2-2 4.6% 1.8% 5.7% 0.32× 55.39
0-4 1.3% 1.8% 0.7% 2.45× 55.48
1-4 1.3% 1.8% 0.8% 2.15× 55.48
2-3 2.1% 1.8% 2.3% 0.78× 55.46
3-0 1.8% 1.8% 3.0% 0.59× 55.46
3-1 2.4% 1.8% 4.5% 0.40× 55.45
3-2 1.6% 1.8% 2.8% 0.64× 55.47
Any other score 1.7% 1.8% 2.7% 0.66× 55.47
2-4 0.7% 1.8% 0.7% 2.45× 55.49
3-3 0.7% 1.8% 0.7% 2.45× 55.49
3-4 0.2% 1.8% 0.2% 8.58× 55.50
4-0 0.5% 1.8% 1.2% 1.56× 55.50
4-1 0.6% 1.8% 1.9% 0.95× 55.49
4-2 0.4% 1.8% 1.2% 1.56× 55.50
4-3 0.2% 1.8% 0.3% 5.72× 55.50
4-4 0.1% 1.8% 0.2% 8.58× 55.51
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra leading at HT (DNB) 55.6% 56.5% 1.77
Real Valladolid leading at HT (DNB) 44.4% 43.5% 2.30
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid or FC Andorra (12) 73.4% 72.4% 73.4% 0.99× 1.38
FC Andorra or draw (X2) 70.6% 72.4% 54.5% 1.33× 1.38
Real Valladolid or draw (1X) 56.0% 56.0% 72.0% 0.78× 1.79
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra or draw at HT 76.3% 78.7% 1.27
Real Valladolid or draw at HT 70.2% 71.4% 1.40
Real Valladolid or FC Andorra at HT 53.5% 52.1% 1.92
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra or draw (1UP) 70.6% 77.3% 1.29
Real Valladolid or draw (1UP) 56.0% 63.8% 1.57
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra or draw in 2nd half 75.1% 77.6% 1.29
Real Valladolid or FC Andorra in 2nd half 62.5% 62.5% 1.60
Real Valladolid or draw in 2nd half 62.4% 62.5% 1.60
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 66.9% 66.1% 1.51
Neither half drawn 33.1% 33.9% 2.95
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra (DNB) 59.9% 63.5% 38.1% 1.66× 1.58
Real Valladolid (DNB) 40.1% 36.5% 61.9% 0.59× 2.74
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra to score first 51.4% 53.6% 1.87
Real Valladolid to score first 39.9% 37.4% 2.68
No goal scored 8.7% 6.3% 15.91
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 51.9% 52.9% 46.0% 1.15× 1.89
Both teams to score 48.1% 47.1% 54.0% 0.87× 2.12
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 44.1% 42.3% 39.8% 1.06× 2.36
Both score & over 2.5 35.6% 37.4% 42.9% 0.87× 2.68
Both score & under 2.5 12.5% 11.7% 11.2% 1.04× 8.53
Not both score & over 2.5 7.8% 8.7% 6.3% 1.38× 11.47
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 88.8% 85.6% 85.6% 1.00× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 11.2% 14.4% 14.4% 1.00× 6.94
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 74.9% 70.5% 1.42
Both teams to score in 2nd half 25.1% 29.5% 3.39
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 63.6% 59.6% 1.68
Both score 2nd half only 21.2% 24.4% 4.11
Both score 1st half only 11.4% 11.5% 8.66
Both score in both halves 3.8% 4.8% 20.79
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 84.8% 83.3% 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 15.2% 16.7% 5.97
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 52.4% 54.7% 1.83
A goal in each half 47.6% 45.3% 2.21
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 46.7% 45.9% 41.4% 1.11× 2.18
0-1 goals 30.9% 31.5% 30.7% 1.03× 3.17
4-6 goals 21.2% 22.7% 26.6% 0.86× 4.40
7+ goals 1.2% 1.9% 1.6% 1.22× 51.87
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra to score exactly 1 34.9% 33.3% 36.9% 0.90× 3.00
FC Andorra to score exactly 0 25.7% 27.0% 32.7% 0.83× 3.70
FC Andorra to score exactly 2 23.7% 24.0% 19.9% 1.21× 4.17
FC Andorra to score 3+ 15.6% 18.3% 10.8% 1.69× 5.46
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid to score exactly 1 36.7% 36.0% 35.6% 1.01× 2.78
Real Valladolid to score exactly 0 34.8% 30.6% 22.5% 1.36× 3.27
Real Valladolid to score exactly 2 19.4% 18.6% 25.0% 0.74× 5.39
Real Valladolid to score 3+ 9.1% 8.1% 17.1% 0.47× 12.37
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 46.5% 47.9% 2.09
FC Andorra leading at HT 29.8% 28.6% 3.49
Real Valladolid leading at HT 23.7% 21.3% 4.69
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra -1: 1 56.0% 56.0% 1.79
FC Andorra -1: X 23.5% 24.0% 4.17
FC Andorra -1: 2 20.5% 23.9% 4.18
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra (0:1) 70.6% 68.4% 54.5% 1.25× 1.46
Draw (0:1) 18.3% 18.3% 26.1% 0.70× 5.46
Real Valladolid (0:1) 11.1% 10.6% 19.5% 0.54× 9.45
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra (0:2) 88.9% 89.8% 80.5% 1.12× 1.11
Draw (0:2) 7.8% 7.2% 12.0% 0.60× 13.91
Real Valladolid (0:2) 3.2% 3.0% 7.7% 0.39× 33.16
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra (0:3) 96.8% 97.1% 92.3% 1.05× 1.03
Draw (0:3) 2.5% 2.3% 5.4% 0.43× 43.05
Real Valladolid (0:3) 0.8% 2.3% 2.4% 0.95× 43.43
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra (0:4) 99.2% 98.1% 97.6% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 0.6% 1.2% 2.1% 0.59× 81.04
Real Valladolid (0:4) 0.1% 1.2% 0.4% 2.93× 81.28
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid (1:0) 56.0% 57.1% 72.0% 0.79× 1.75
Draw (1:0) 23.5% 23.0% 18.0% 1.28× 4.35
FC Andorra (1:0) 20.5% 22.9% 10.2% 2.24× 4.38
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid (2:0) 79.5% 78.0% 89.8% 0.87× 1.28
Draw (2:0) 13.0% 12.1% 7.0% 1.72× 8.25
FC Andorra (2:0) 7.5% 6.6% 3.3% 2.03× 15.14
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 46.9% 48.7% 2.05
1st half highest scoring 26.7% 26.1% 3.83
Halves equal 26.4% 26.1% 3.83
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid to concede 74.3% 71.3% 67.3% 1.06× 1.40
Real Valladolid clean sheet 25.7% 28.7% 32.7% 0.88× 3.49
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid clean sheet in 1st half 58.1% 59.1% 1.69
Real Valladolid to concede in 1st half 41.9% 40.9% 2.45
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid under 3.5 goals 97.7% 97.8% 93.7% 1.04× 1.02
Real Valladolid under 2.5 goals 90.9% 92.0% 82.9% 1.11× 1.09
Real Valladolid under 1.5 goals 71.6% 72.7% 58.0% 1.25× 1.38
Real Valladolid over 0.5 goals 65.2% 68.7% 77.5% 0.89× 1.46
Real Valladolid under 0.5 goals 34.8% 31.3% 22.5% 1.39× 3.19
Real Valladolid over 1.5 goals 28.4% 27.3% 42.0% 0.65× 3.66
Real Valladolid over 2.5 goals 9.1% 8.0% 17.1% 0.46× 12.58
Real Valladolid over 3.5 goals 2.3% 2.2% 6.3% 0.36× 44.66
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid under 1.5 in 1st half 92.4% 93.1% 1.07
Real Valladolid under 0.5 in 1st half 63.5% 60.5% 1.65
Real Valladolid over 0.5 in 1st half 36.5% 39.5% 2.53
Real Valladolid over 1.5 in 1st half 7.6% 6.9% 14.54
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra (home no bet) 62.3% 61.4% 51.3% 1.20× 1.63
Draw (home no bet) 37.7% 38.6% 48.7% 0.79× 2.59
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid even goals 56.1% 58.0% 51.8% 1.12× 1.73
Real Valladolid odd goals 43.9% 42.0% 48.2% 0.87× 2.38
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 36.9% 36.5% 2.74
HT 0-1 20.1% 22.6% 4.43
HT 1-0 16.8% 18.9% 5.29
HT 1-1 9.0% 7.7% 12.98
HT 0-2 5.4% 7.7% 13.03
HT 2-0 3.8% 2.5% 39.78
Any other HT score 2.9% 2.5% 39.84
HT 1-2 2.5% 2.5% 39.86
HT 2-1 2.1% 2.5% 39.88
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.5% 39.97
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra at HT / FC Andorra at FT 23.9% 21.5% 4.66
Draw at HT / FC Andorra at FT 17.7% 16.8% 5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 17.1% 16.8% 5.96
Real Valladolid at HT / Real Valladolid at FT 16.2% 16.8% 5.97
Draw at HT / Real Valladolid at FT 11.7% 12.0% 8.36
Real Valladolid at HT / Draw at FT 5.1% 6.5% 15.27
FC Andorra at HT / Draw at FT 4.4% 3.4% 29.33
Real Valladolid at HT / FC Andorra at FT 2.5% 3.4% 29.41
FC Andorra at HT / Real Valladolid at FT 1.5% 3.4% 29.45
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra to score last 51.4% 53.6% 1.87
Real Valladolid to score last 40.0% 38.2% 2.62
No goal scored 8.7% 6.3% 15.91
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 91.3% 93.7% 1.07
FC Andorra to lead by 1 at any time 58.1% 59.6% 1.68
Real Valladolid to lead by 1 at any time 45.2% 46.1% 2.17
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 41.3% 42.1% 2.38
FC Andorra to lead by 2 at any time 25.8% 25.9% 3.86
Real Valladolid to lead by 2 at any time 15.6% 17.6% 5.67
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 13.4% 11.3% 8.82
FC Andorra to lead by 3 at any time 9.1% 7.1% 14.12
Real Valladolid to lead by 3 at any time 4.3% 2.6% 37.86
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 87.7% 87.9% 85.8% 1.02× 1.14
1-4 goals 81.6% 81.5% 78.0% 1.04× 1.23
1-3 goals 69.0% 68.4% 62.9% 1.09× 1.46
2-6 goals 67.9% 68.3% 67.9% 1.01× 1.46
2-5 goals 65.5% 68.3% 64.3% 1.06× 1.46
2-4 goals 59.4% 58.8% 56.5% 1.04× 1.70
1-2 goals 48.0% 48.0% 41.9% 1.15× 2.08
2-3 goals 46.7% 48.0% 41.4% 1.16× 2.08
3-6 goals 42.2% 43.6% 47.6% 0.92× 2.29
3-5 goals 39.7% 38.9% 44.0% 0.88× 2.57
3-4 goals 33.6% 34.1% 36.2% 0.94× 2.93
4-6 goals 21.2% 24.7% 26.6% 0.93× 4.05
4-5 goals 18.7% 18.1% 23.0% 0.79× 5.52
5-6 goals 8.5% 8.8% 11.5% 0.77× 11.31
7+ goals 1.2% 2.0% 1.6% 1.27× 49.83
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
FC Andorra never behind 46.2% 53.6% 1.87
Real Valladolid never behind 33.2% 36.2% 2.76
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of goals 49.8% 50.1% 48.4% 1.04× 1.99
Odd number of goals 50.2% 49.9% 51.6% 0.97× 2.01
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 56.7% 55.3% 1.81
Odd goals in 1st half 43.3% 44.7% 2.24
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.7% 51.7% 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.3% 48.3% 2.07
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.4% 95.6% 94.9% 1.01× 1.05
Over 0.5 goals 91.3% 92.9% 90.9% 1.02× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 90.3% 92.9% 87.1% 1.07× 1.08
Under 3.5 goals 77.6% 78.3% 72.0% 1.09× 1.28
Over 1.5 goals 69.1% 65.5% 69.3% 0.95× 1.53
Under 2.5 goals 56.7% 57.7% 50.9% 1.13× 1.73
Over 2.5 goals 43.3% 42.3% 49.1% 0.86× 2.36
Under 1.5 goals 30.9% 34.5% 30.7% 1.12× 2.90
Over 3.5 goals 22.4% 21.7% 28.0% 0.78× 4.60
Over 4.5 goals 9.7% 7.1% 12.9% 0.55× 14.13
Under 0.5 goals 8.7% 7.1% 9.1% 0.77× 14.15
Over 5.5 goals 3.6% 4.4% 5.1% 0.85× 22.89
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.8% 97.2% 98.4% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.1% 97.2% 94.4% 1.03× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 88.9% 88.1% 84.8% 1.04× 1.13
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 71.7% 72.1% 64.5% 1.12× 1.39
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 58.4% 55.4% 61.5% 0.90× 1.80
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 41.6% 44.6% 38.5% 1.16× 2.24
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 28.3% 27.9% 35.5% 0.79× 3.58
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 11.1% 11.9% 15.2% 0.78× 8.44
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.9% 2.8% 5.6% 0.50× 35.85
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.2% 2.8% 1.6% 1.69× 36.27
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 92.0% 92.2% 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 73.8% 72.5% 1.38
Over 0.5 in 1st half 63.1% 63.1% 1.59
Under 0.5 in 1st half 36.9% 36.9% 2.71
Over 1.5 in 1st half 26.2% 27.5% 3.63
Over 2.5 in 1st half 8.0% 7.8% 12.85
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 83.0% 82.1% 1.22
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 75.8% 80.2% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 58.8% 54.3% 1.84
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 41.2% 45.7% 2.19
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 24.2% 19.8% 5.06
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 17.0% 17.9% 5.58
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid not to score in both halves 83.5% 81.6% 1.23
FC Andorra not to score in both halves 76.7% 78.1% 1.28
FC Andorra to score in both halves 23.3% 21.9% 4.56
Real Valladolid to score in both halves 16.5% 18.4% 5.42
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 48.1% 49.5% 54.0% 0.92× 2.02
Only FC Andorra scores 26.2% 25.6% 13.4% 1.91× 3.90
Only Real Valladolid scores 17.1% 16.4% 23.6% 0.69× 6.10
Neither team scores 8.7% 6.7% 9.1% 0.73× 14.98
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.8% 24.7% 20.4% 1.21× 4.05
Exactly 1 goals 22.2% 21.5% 21.6% 1.00× 4.64
Exactly 3 goals 21.0% 21.5% 21.1% 1.02× 4.64
Exactly 4 goals 12.6% 12.4% 15.2% 0.81× 8.09
Exactly 0 goals 8.7% 7.6% 9.1% 0.83× 13.12
Exactly 5 goals 6.1% 7.6% 7.9% 0.97× 13.15
6 or more goals 3.6% 4.4% 5.1% 0.85× 22.93
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 41.2% 46.3% 2.16
1 goal in 2nd half 34.6% 33.2% 3.01
No goals in 2nd half 24.2% 18.6% 5.38
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid not to win both halves 94.1% 93.4% 1.07
FC Andorra not to win both halves 88.8% 87.6% 1.14
FC Andorra to win both halves 11.2% 12.4% 8.07
Real Valladolid to win both halves 5.9% 6.6% 15.18
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid to win neither half 57.3% 59.5% 1.68
FC Andorra to win either half 56.2% 59.4% 1.68
FC Andorra to win neither half 43.8% 40.6% 2.46
Real Valladolid to win either half 42.7% 40.5% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Real Valladolid not to win to nil 82.9% 83.3% 76.4% 1.09× 1.20
FC Andorra not to win to nil 73.8% 74.4% 86.6% 0.86× 1.34
FC Andorra to win to nil 26.2% 25.6% 13.4% 1.91× 3.90
Real Valladolid to win to nil 17.1% 16.7% 23.6% 0.71× 5.98
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 26.6% 28.0% 26.6% 1.05× 3.57
FC Andorra by 1 23.5% 23.8% 18.0% 1.32× 4.21
Real Valladolid by 1 18.3% 17.0% 26.1% 0.65× 5.89
FC Andorra by 2 13.0% 11.9% 7.0% 1.69× 8.43
Real Valladolid by 2 7.8% 7.1% 12.0% 0.59× 14.09
FC Andorra by 3+ 7.5% 7.1% 3.3% 2.18× 14.10
Real Valladolid by 3+ 3.2% 2.8% 7.7% 0.37× 35.31
betaider.com

Sport

Football sections

Preferences

Appearance
Aider Reading the Football model · online
Open the Radar
Bet slip
Open full page
to move to open esc to close See all results

On this page

Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

Press esc to close Read the full guide