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Reims v Le Havre — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 19 January 2025 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

1–1
1.49 – 1.29 xG
Shots
11 – 7
On target
3 – 2
Shots in box
5 – 6
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.18
Set-piece xG
0.57 – 1.22
Goals − xG
-0.50 – -0.29
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.40.81.31.70'15'30'45'60'75'90'Marshall Munetsi 25' — goalArouna Sangante 66' — goal
Reims 1.50 xGLe Havre 1.29 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Joseph Okumu 19' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Marshall Munetsi 25' — Goal (0.53 xG, From Corner)Emmanuel Sabbi 33' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Oussama Targhaline 45' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Keito Nakamura 50' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Mamadou Diakhon 50' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Oumar Diakité 63' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Valentin Atangana Edoa 63' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Arouna Sangante 66' — Goal (0.12 xG, From Corner)Gautier Lloris 66' — Shot On Post (0.80 xG, From Corner)Issa Soumaré 66' — Saved Shot (0.17 xG, From Corner)Keito Nakamura 74' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Valentin Atangana Edoa 74' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Yassine Kechta 79' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Amine Salama 85' — Missed Shot (0.51 xG, Open Play)Amine Salama 94' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Keito Nakamura 95' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Yassine Kechta 96' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Reims attacking right Le Havre attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
19' Reims Joseph Okumu 0.04 From Corner Saved Shot
25' Reims Marshall Munetsi 0.53 From Corner Right Foot Goal
33' Le Havre Emmanuel Sabbi 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
45' Le Havre Oussama Targhaline 0.06 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
50' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Valentin Atangana Edoa
50' Reims Mamadou Diakhon 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Teddy Teuma
63' Reims Oumar Diakité 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Junya Ito
63' Reims Valentin Atangana Edoa 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
66' Le Havre Arouna Sangante 0.12 From Corner Right Foot Goal Gautier Lloris
66' Le Havre Gautier Lloris 0.80 From Corner Left Foot Shot On Post
66' Le Havre Issa Soumaré 0.17 From Corner Saved Shot Yanis Zouaoui
74' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Teddy Teuma
74' Reims Valentin Atangana Edoa 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
79' Le Havre Yassine Kechta 0.06 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Issa Soumaré
85' Reims Amine Salama 0.51 Open Play Missed Shot Junya Ito
94' Reims Amine Salama 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
95' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Junya Ito
96' Le Havre Yassine Kechta 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Yoann Salmier

Players

Le Havre

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Gautier Lloris DC 90 0 1 1 1 0.80 0.12 0.00
Arouna Sangante DR 90 1 0 1 0 0.12 0.00 0.00
Oussama Targhaline MC 90 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.00
Mathieu Gorgelin GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rassoul Ndiaye MC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yanis Zouaoui DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.17 0.00
Étienne Youté DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Emmanuel Sabbi FW 79 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.05
Antoine Joujou ML 79 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Loïc Négo MR 66 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
André Ayew FW 65 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Koka Sub 25 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Issa Soumaré Sub 24 0 0 1 1 0.17 0.06 0.00
Yassine Kechta Sub 11 0 0 2 0 0.09 0.00 0.03
Josué Casimir Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yoann Salmier Sub 1 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.03

Reims

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Marshall Munetsi DMC 90 1 0 1 0 0.53 0.00 0.10
Keito Nakamura FW 90 0 0 3 0 0.14 0.00 0.14
Valentin Atangana Edoa DMC 90 0 0 2 1 0.09 0.09 0.31
Joseph Okumu DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.04 0.00 0.67
Junya Ito AMR 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.64 0.69
Cédric Kipré DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.16
Aurélio Buta DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Yehvann Diouf GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nhoa Sangui DL 79 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Teddy Teuma AMC 79 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.05 0.15
Mamadou Diakhon AML 63 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Oumar Diakité Sub 27 0 0 1 0 0.10 0.00 0.13
Amine Salama Sub 11 0 0 2 0 0.57 0.00 0.57
Sergio Akieme Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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