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Reims v Montpellier — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 6 October 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

4–2
3.72 – 0.87 xG
Shots
18 – 10
On target
5 – 3
Shots in box
13 – 3
xG per shot
0.21 – 0.09
Set-piece xG
1.43 – 0.00
Goals − xG
+0.28 – +1.13
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.01.02.13.14.20'15'30'45'60'75'90'Marshall Munetsi 5' — goalKeito Nakamura 24' — goalArnaud Nordin 36' — goalOumar Diakité 56' — goalArnaud Nordin 90' — goalTeddy Teuma 92' — goal
Reims 3.72 xGMontpellier 0.87 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Marshall Munetsi 5' — Goal (0.55 xG, Open Play)Yaya Fofana 10' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Arnaud Nordin 11' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Oumar Diakité 20' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Nhoa Sangui 21' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Aurélio Buta 22' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Marshall Munetsi 22' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, From Corner)Akor Adams 23' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Keito Nakamura 24' — Goal (0.03 xG, Open Play)Yaya Fofana 26' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Téji Savanier 35' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Arnaud Nordin 36' — Goal (0.01 xG, Open Play)Birama Touré 39' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Téji Savanier 41' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Marshall Munetsi 45' — Saved Shot (0.57 xG, Open Play)Marshall Munetsi 45' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Wahbi Khazri 46' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Oumar Diakité 52' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Oumar Diakité 56' — Goal (0.41 xG, Open Play)Oumar Diakité 64' — Missed Shot (0.28 xG, Open Play)Akor Adams 67' — Missed Shot (0.63 xG, Open Play)Oumar Diakité 70' — Missed Shot (0.44 xG, From Corner)Teddy Teuma 85' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Direct Freekick)Arnaud Nordin 90' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)Mohamed Daramy 91' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Teddy Teuma 92' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Arnaud Nordin 93' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Emmanuel Agbadou 96' — Missed Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)
Reims attacking right Montpellier attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Reims Marshall Munetsi 0.55 Open Play Goal Oumar Diakité
10' Reims Yaya Fofana 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Oumar Diakité
11' Montpellier Arnaud Nordin 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Falaye Sacko
20' Reims Oumar Diakité 0.08 Open Play Blocked Shot Junya Ito
21' Reims Nhoa Sangui 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
22' Reims Aurélio Buta 0.04 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
22' Reims Marshall Munetsi 0.11 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Aurélio Buta
23' Montpellier Akor Adams 0.06 Open Play Saved Shot Arnaud Nordin
24' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Goal
26' Reims Yaya Fofana 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
35' Montpellier Téji Savanier 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
36' Montpellier Arnaud Nordin 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Goal Wahbi Khazri
39' Montpellier Birama Touré 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Téji Savanier
41' Montpellier Téji Savanier 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
45' Reims Marshall Munetsi 0.57 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Junya Ito
45' Reims Marshall Munetsi 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Junya Ito
46' Montpellier Wahbi Khazri 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Téji Savanier
52' Reims Oumar Diakité 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Emmanuel Agbadou
56' Reims Oumar Diakité 0.41 Open Play Goal Keito Nakamura
64' Reims Oumar Diakité 0.28 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Junya Ito
67' Montpellier Akor Adams 0.63 Open Play Missed Shot Lucas Mincarelli Davin
70' Reims Oumar Diakité 0.44 From Corner Missed Shot Teddy Teuma
85' Reims Teddy Teuma 0.07 Direct Freekick Left Foot Missed Shot
90' Montpellier Arnaud Nordin 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Goal
91' Reims Mohamed Daramy 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Amadou Koné
92' Reims Teddy Teuma 0.76 Left Foot Goal
93' Montpellier Arnaud Nordin 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Téji Savanier
96' Reims Emmanuel Agbadou 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Mohamed Daramy

Players

Reims

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Emmanuel Agbadou DC 90 0 0 1 1 0.11 0.04 0.84
Aurélio Buta DR 90 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.11 1.28
Nhoa Sangui DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.59
Yehvann Diouf GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Valentin Atangana Edoa DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.35
Cédric Kipré DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.11
Marshall Munetsi DMC 86 1 0 4 0 1.28 0.00 1.25
Keito Nakamura AML 85 1 1 1 1 0.03 0.41 0.56
Junya Ito AMR 85 0 0 0 4 0.00 0.99 1.01
Oumar Diakité FW 76 1 1 5 2 1.25 0.57 2.09
Yaya Fofana AMC 64 0 0 2 0 0.10 0.00 0.67
Teddy Teuma Sub 26 1 0 2 1 0.83 0.44 0.06
Amine Salama Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Mohamed Daramy Sub 5 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.11 0.17
Mamadou Diakhon Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.17
Amadou Koné Sub 4 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.06

Montpellier

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Akor Adams FW 90 0 0 2 0 0.68 0.00 0.71
Arnaud Nordin AMR 90 2 0 4 1 0.13 0.06 0.20
Téji Savanier AMC 90 0 0 2 3 0.03 0.06 0.09
Falaye Sacko DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.08
Joris Chotard DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Modibo Sagnan DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Dimitry Bertaud GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Lucas Mincarelli Davin DL 84 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.63 0.02
Stefan Dzodic DC 76 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Birama Touré DMC 70 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Wahbi Khazri AML 70 0 1 1 1 0.02 0.01 0.12
Axel Gueguin Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gabriel Barès Sub 20 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Enzo Tchato Mbiayi Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Issiaga Sylla Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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