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Reims v Rennes — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 1 September 2024 · FRA-Ligue 1 · 2425

Ligue 1 xG

2–1
2.01 – 1.03 xG
Shots
11 – 13
On target
7 – 5
Shots in box
6 – 10
xG per shot
0.18 – 0.08
Set-piece xG
0.16 – 0.19
Goals − xG
-0.01 – -0.03
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.11.72.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Leo Østigard 12' — goalJunya Ito 40' — goalOumar Diakité 47' — goal
Reims 2.01 xGRennes 1.03 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Marshall Munetsi 6' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 8' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Ludovic Blas 8' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Hans Hateboer 10' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 11' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Leo Østigard 12' — Goal (0.10 xG, From Corner)Oumar Diakité 15' — Missed Shot (0.48 xG, Open Play)Emmanuel Agbadou 23' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Keito Nakamura 33' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Hans Hateboer 34' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Amine Gouiri 35' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Junya Ito 40' — Goal (0.39 xG, Open Play)Amine Gouiri 45' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Amine Gouiri 46' — Missed Shot (0.37 xG, Open Play)Oumar Diakité 47' — Goal (0.48 xG, Open Play)Emmanuel Agbadou 54' — Saved Shot (0.15 xG, Set Piece)Oumar Diakité 57' — Saved Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Adrien Truffert 59' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Alidu Seidu 66' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Albert Grønbæk 69' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Keito Nakamura 73' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Emmanuel Agbadou 81' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Baptiste Santamaria 87' — Saved Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Valentin Atangana Edoa 96' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Reims attacking right Rennes attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
6' Reims Marshall Munetsi 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
8' Rennes Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Ludovic Blas
8' Rennes Ludovic Blas 0.08 Open Play Saved Shot Hans Hateboer
10' Rennes Hans Hateboer 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Albert Grønbæk
11' Rennes Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Albert Grønbæk
12' Rennes Leo Østigard 0.10 From Corner Goal Ludovic Blas
15' Reims Oumar Diakité 0.48 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Yaya Fofana
23' Reims Emmanuel Agbadou 0.02 From Corner Saved Shot Junya Ito
33' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Valentin Atangana Edoa
34' Rennes Hans Hateboer 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Adrien Truffert
35' Rennes Amine Gouiri 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Ludovic Blas
40' Reims Junya Ito 0.39 Open Play Goal Yaya Fofana
45' Rennes Amine Gouiri 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Albert Grønbæk
46' Rennes Amine Gouiri 0.37 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga
47' Reims Oumar Diakité 0.48 Open Play Goal Aurélio Buta
54' Reims Emmanuel Agbadou 0.15 Set Piece Saved Shot Junya Ito
57' Reims Oumar Diakité 0.32 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Emmanuel Agbadou
59' Rennes Adrien Truffert 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
66' Rennes Alidu Seidu 0.03 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot
69' Rennes Albert Grønbæk 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Azor Matusiwa
73' Reims Keito Nakamura 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Marshall Munetsi
81' Reims Emmanuel Agbadou 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Teddy Teuma
87' Rennes Baptiste Santamaria 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Leo Østigard
96' Reims Valentin Atangana Edoa 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Teddy Teuma

Players

Reims

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Emmanuel Agbadou DC 90 0 0 3 1 0.18 0.32 1.69
Marshall Munetsi MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.05 0.15
Valentin Atangana Edoa MC 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.03 0.78
Yehvann Diouf GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.48
Joseph Okumu DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.83
Nhoa Sangui DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.24
Aurélio Buta DR 89 0 1 0 1 0.00 0.48 0.88
Junya Ito FWR 84 1 0 1 2 0.39 0.16 1.19
Keito Nakamura FWL 84 0 0 2 0 0.07 0.00 0.95
Oumar Diakité FW 75 1 0 3 0 1.28 0.00 1.34
Yaya Fofana MC 75 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.87 1.22
Teddy Teuma Sub 15 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.04 0.04
Amine Salama Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Reda Khadra Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
Cédric Kipré Sub 6 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Thibault De Smet Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Rennes

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Amine Gouiri FW 90 0 0 3 0 0.46 0.00 0.42
Leo Østigard DC 90 1 0 1 1 0.10 0.02 0.32
Albert Grønbæk ML 90 0 0 1 3 0.06 0.12 0.56
Christopher Wooh DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.21
Azor Matusiwa MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.21
Steve Mandanda GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.08
Ludovic Blas MR 76 0 1 1 3 0.08 0.24 0.22
Hans Hateboer DR 75 0 0 2 1 0.10 0.08 0.61
Glen Kamara MC 75 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.11
Arnaud Kalimuendo Muinga FW 67 0 0 2 1 0.15 0.37 0.64
Adrien Truffert DL 67 0 0 1 1 0.04 0.08 0.12
Alidu Seidu Sub 23 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.02
Andrés Gómez Sub 23 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Baptiste Santamaria Sub 15 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Lorenz Assignon Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Henrik Meister Sub 14 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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