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Remo v Botafogo — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 28 October 2026 · BRA-Serie A · 2627

Brasileirão results-only Prediction generated

v

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Remo win
39.9%
model 39.4%
Draw
28.9%
model 26.3%
Botafogo win
31.2%
model 34.3%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.2%
  2. 2-1 8.7%
  3. 1-2 8.1%
  4. 1-0 6.7%
  5. 2-2 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.557.7% Under 2.542.3%
BTTS yes61.3% BTTS no38.7%
Remo 1+79.0% Remo 2+46.2%
Botafogo 1+76.4% Botafogo 2+42.3%

Expected goals 1.56 – 1.44. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
83/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Over 2.5 goals
Over/Under · usually 48%
57.2% fair odds 1.75
moderate signal · 1220 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Botafogo not to win to nil
Win to nil · usually 86%
83.3% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 1180 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Remo.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Remo have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.2% for Botafogo and 28.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.56 for Remo and 1.44 for Botafogo.

Why Remo

Nothing in the data singles out Remo.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 28.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.56 to 1.44. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Botafogo can win

Botafogo carry the stronger rating, 1539 Elo against 1450.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Remo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Botafogo, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Remo: 47% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Botafogo: 45% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Remo's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Remo are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.2%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.56–1.44 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.58–1.58 1-1 12% 61% 64%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to win 37.3% 36.4% 48.9% 0.74× 2.75
Botafogo to win 37.2% 36.4% 24.0% 1.52× 2.75
Draw 25.5% 27.9% 27.3% 1.02× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo & both teams score 21.9% 21.8% 21.0% 1.04× 4.59
Botafogo & both teams score 21.8% 21.8% 10.3% 2.11× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 20.3% 21.8% 20.8% 1.05× 4.59
Remo & not both score 15.4% 18.0% 28.1% 0.64× 5.57
Botafogo & not both score 15.4% 18.0% 13.8% 1.30× 5.57
Draw & not both score 5.2% 8.3% 6.7% 1.25× 12.02
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo & over 1.5 31.5% 30.8% 36.7% 0.84× 3.25
Botafogo & over 1.5 31.4% 30.8% 17.1% 1.79× 3.25
Remo & over 2.5 26.2% 26.1% 27.5% 0.95× 3.84
Botafogo & over 2.5 26.1% 26.1% 13.2% 1.98× 3.84
Remo & under 3.5 22.2% 21.6% 36.8% 0.59× 4.63
Botafogo & under 3.5 22.2% 21.6% 18.6% 1.16× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 20.3% 21.6% 20.8% 1.04× 4.63
Draw & under 2.5 16.8% 18.0% 20.2% 0.89× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 16.8% 18.0% 20.2% 0.89× 5.56
Remo & over 3.5 15.0% 18.0% 12.2% 1.47× 5.56
Botafogo & over 3.5 15.0% 12.8% 5.6% 2.31× 7.79
Remo & under 2.5 11.1% 12.8% 21.6% 0.59× 7.79
Botafogo & under 2.5 11.0% 12.8% 11.0% 1.17× 7.79
Draw & over 2.5 8.7% 7.9% 7.3% 1.08× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 8.7% 7.9% 7.3% 1.08× 12.63
Remo & under 1.5 5.8% 7.9% 12.4% 0.64× 12.63
Draw & under 1.5 5.2% 7.9% 6.7% 1.19× 12.63
Botafogo & under 1.5 5.7% 7.9% 7.0% 1.13× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (1UP) 56.6% 58.0% — — 1.72
Botafogo (1UP) 56.5% 58.0% — — 1.73
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (2UP) 37.3% 37.4% — — 2.67
Botafogo (2UP) 37.2% 37.4% — — 2.67
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo to win 2nd half 34.7% 34.4% — — 2.91
2nd half drawn 33.0% 34.3% — — 2.91
Remo to win 2nd half 32.3% 34.3% — — 2.91
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo under 1.5 in 2nd half 75.6% 78.8% — — 1.27
Botafogo over 0.5 in 2nd half 61.2% 60.1% — — 1.66
Botafogo under 0.5 in 2nd half 38.8% 39.9% — — 2.51
Botafogo over 1.5 in 2nd half 24.4% 21.2% — — 4.72
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo under 1.5 in 2nd half 77.2% 75.5% — — 1.33
Remo over 0.5 in 2nd half 59.4% 58.0% — — 1.72
Remo under 0.5 in 2nd half 40.6% 42.0% — — 2.38
Remo over 1.5 in 2nd half 22.8% 24.5% — — 4.08
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo (+2.5) 92.5% 92.1% 90.8% 1.01× 1.09
Botafogo (+1.5) 81.1% 82.5% 76.8% 1.07× 1.21
Remo (+0.5) 62.8% 62.9% 76.0% 0.83× 1.59
Botafogo (+0.5) 62.7% 62.9% 51.1% 1.23× 1.59
Remo (-0.5) 37.3% 37.1% 48.9% 0.76× 2.70
Botafogo (-0.5) 37.2% 37.1% 24.0% 1.55× 2.70
Remo (-1.5) 18.9% 17.5% 23.2% 0.75× 5.72
Remo (-2.5) 7.5% 7.9% 9.2% 0.86× 12.69
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo to concede 79.4% 78.8% 79.7% 0.99× 1.27
Botafogo clean sheet 20.6% 21.2% 20.3% 1.04× 4.72
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo clean sheet in 1st half 50.7% 50.6% — — 1.98
Botafogo to concede in 1st half 49.3% 49.4% — — 2.03
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo to concede in 2nd half 59.4% 57.4% — — 1.74
Botafogo clean sheet in 2nd half 40.6% 42.6% — — 2.35
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo over 2.5 corners 80.8% 81.4% — — 1.23
Botafogo under 6.5 corners 70.5% 71.6% — — 1.40
Botafogo over 3.5 corners 67.6% 67.6% — — 1.48
Botafogo under 5.5 corners 59.4% 57.2% — — 1.75
Botafogo over 4.5 corners 53.6% 53.1% — — 1.89
Botafogo under 4.5 corners 46.4% 46.9% — — 2.13
Botafogo over 5.5 corners 40.6% 42.8% — — 2.34
Botafogo under 3.5 corners 32.4% 32.4% — — 3.09
Botafogo over 6.5 corners 29.5% 28.4% — — 3.52
Botafogo under 2.5 corners 19.2% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo under 3.5 goals 92.4% 92.3% 97.9% 0.94× 1.08
Botafogo over 0.5 goals 79.3% 76.3% 65.4% 1.17× 1.31
Botafogo under 2.5 goals 78.9% 76.3% 90.8% 0.84× 1.31
Botafogo under 1.5 goals 53.2% 53.5% 71.9% 0.74× 1.87
Botafogo over 1.5 goals 46.8% 46.5% 28.1% 1.65× 2.15
Botafogo over 2.5 goals 21.1% 23.7% 9.2% 2.58× 4.21
Botafogo under 0.5 goals 20.7% 23.7% 34.6% 0.69× 4.22
Botafogo over 3.5 goals 7.6% 7.7% 2.1% 3.71× 13.05
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo under 1.5 in 1st half 86.8% 89.1% — — 1.12
Botafogo under 0.5 in 1st half 53.2% 55.7% — — 1.80
Botafogo over 0.5 in 1st half 46.8% 44.3% — — 2.26
Botafogo over 1.5 in 1st half 13.2% 10.9% — — 9.20
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo scores more in 2nd half 41.5% 43.7% — — 2.29
Botafogo scores equally in both 35.0% 33.5% — — 2.99
Botafogo scores more in 1st half 23.5% 22.1% — — 4.52
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (away no bet) 59.4% 57.4% 64.2% 0.90× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 40.6% 42.6% 35.8% 1.19× 2.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo even goals 52.1% 52.6% 54.9% 0.96× 1.90
Botafogo odd goals 47.9% 47.4% 45.1% 1.05× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 79.2% 81.3% — — 1.23
Both halves over 1.5 goals 20.8% 18.7% — — 5.34
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 72.5% 67.4% — — 1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals 27.5% 32.6% — — 3.07
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 63.0% 60.1% — — 1.67
Remo to score 2+ in a row 36.3% 36.6% — — 2.74
Botafogo to score 2+ in a row 36.2% 36.6% — — 2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row 24.2% 19.7% — — 5.09
Remo to score 3+ in a row 12.4% 12.0% — — 8.30
Botafogo to score 3+ in a row 12.3% 12.0% — — 8.31
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo corners (+3.5) 80.7% 79.8% — — 1.25
Botafogo corners (+3.5) 79.3% 74.8% — — 1.34
Remo corners (+2.5) 73.6% 70.7% — — 1.41
Botafogo corners (+2.5) 72.0% 70.7% — — 1.41
Remo corners (+1.5) 65.3% 65.9% — — 1.52
Botafogo corners (+1.5) 63.4% 61.8% — — 1.62
Remo corners (-1.5) 36.6% 38.2% — — 2.62
Botafogo corners (-1.5) 34.7% 34.1% — — 2.93
Remo corners (-2.5) 28.0% 29.3% — — 3.42
Botafogo corners (-2.5) 26.4% 29.3% — — 3.42
Remo corners (-3.5) 20.7% 25.2% — — 3.97
Botafogo corners (-3.5) 19.3% 20.2% — — 4.94
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 37.5% 34.0% — — 2.94
0-8 corners 35.1% 34.0% — — 2.94
9-11 corners 27.4% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 73.9% 72.5% — — 1.38
Under 12.5 corners 70.2% 72.5% — — 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 64.9% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 11.5 corners 62.5% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 55.5% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 53.8% 53.2% — — 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 46.2% 46.8% — — 2.14
Under 9.5 corners 44.5% 42.1% — — 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 37.5% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 8.5 corners 35.1% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 12.5 corners 29.8% 27.5% — — 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 26.1% 27.5% — — 3.64
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 2.00
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 11.6% 11.5% 13.7% 0.84× 8.72
1-2 8.4% 7.4% 6.2% 1.20× 13.51
2-1 8.4% 7.4% 10.8% 0.69× 13.51
2-2 6.6% 7.4% 5.6% 1.33× 13.51
0-0 5.2% 7.4% 6.7% 1.11× 13.51
0-1 5.7% 7.4% 7.0% 1.06× 13.51
0-2 5.3% 7.4% 4.1% 1.79× 13.51
1-0 5.8% 7.4% 12.4% 0.60× 13.51
2-0 5.3% 7.4% 9.4% 0.79× 13.51
0-3 2.8% 1.7% 1.7% 0.98× 58.30
0-4 1.1% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.31
1-3 4.4% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.29
1-4 1.7% 1.7% 0.3% 5.40× 58.31
2-3 3.5% 1.7% 1.7% 0.98× 58.30
2-4 1.4% 1.7% 0.3% 5.40× 58.31
3-0 2.8% 1.7% 4.8% 0.36× 58.30
3-1 4.4% 1.7% 4.0% 0.43× 58.29
3-2 3.5% 1.7% 2.9% 0.60× 58.30
3-3 1.8% 1.7% 1.9% 0.90× 58.31
3-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.2% 10.80× 58.32
4-0 1.1% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.31
4-1 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.31
4-2 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 1.80× 58.31
4-3 0.7% 1.7% 0.3% 5.40× 58.32
4-4 0.3% 1.7% 0.2% 10.80× 58.32
Any other score 4.4% 1.7% 2.5% 0.68× 58.29
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo (2nd half DNB) 51.8% 52.8% — — 1.90
Remo (2nd half DNB) 48.2% 47.2% — — 2.12
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo leading at HT (DNB) 52.5% 55.9% — — 1.79
Botafogo leading at HT (DNB) 47.5% 44.1% — — 2.27
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo or Botafogo (12) 74.5% 72.1% 72.7% 0.99× 1.39
Remo or draw (1X) 62.8% 63.6% 76.0% 0.84× 1.57
Botafogo or draw (X2) 62.7% 63.6% 51.1% 1.25× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo or draw at HT 71.6% 74.9% — — 1.34
Botafogo or draw at HT 68.6% 67.2% — — 1.49
Remo or Botafogo at HT 59.8% 57.2% — — 1.75
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo or draw (1UP) 62.8% 71.6% — — 1.40
Botafogo or draw (1UP) 62.7% 71.6% — — 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo or draw in 2nd half 67.7% 65.7% — — 1.52
Remo or Botafogo in 2nd half 67.0% 65.7% — — 1.52
Remo or draw in 2nd half 65.3% 65.6% — — 1.52
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 58.8% 58.5% — — 1.71
Neither half drawn 41.2% 41.5% — — 2.41
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (DNB) 50.1% 50.9% 67.1% 0.76× 1.97
Botafogo (DNB) 49.9% 49.1% 32.9% 1.49× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to score first 47.4% 46.0% — — 2.17
Botafogo to score first 47.3% 46.0% — — 2.17
No goal scored 5.2% 7.4% — — 13.54
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 64.0% 56.7% 51.7% 1.10× 1.76
Not both teams to score 36.0% 43.3% 48.3% 0.90× 2.31
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 52.4% 47.3% 38.3% 1.24× 2.12
Not both score & under 2.5 27.3% 33.3% 38.9% 0.86× 3.00
Both score & under 2.5 11.6% 12.4% 13.7% 0.91× 8.09
Not both score & over 2.5 8.7% 8.3% 9.5% 0.87× 12.06
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 78.1% 79.7% 87.1% 0.91× 1.26
Both teams to score 2+ 21.9% 20.3% 12.9% 1.58× 4.92
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 63.4% 65.6% — — 1.53
Both teams to score in 2nd half 36.6% 34.4% — — 2.91
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 48.5% 53.0% — — 1.89
Both score 2nd half only 28.3% 27.2% — — 3.68
Both score 1st half only 14.9% 10.8% — — 9.27
Both score in both halves 8.4% 6.8% — — 14.64
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 76.8% 81.0% — — 1.24
Both teams to score by HT 23.2% 19.0% — — 5.26
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 62.0% 59.7% — — 1.68
A half without a goal 38.0% 40.3% — — 2.48
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 44.5% 42.1% 49.7% 0.85× 2.37
4-6 goals 34.6% 30.8% 24.3% 1.27× 3.25
0-1 goals 16.7% 20.2% 25.7% 0.79× 4.95
7+ goals 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 2.91× 54.08
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo to score exactly 1 32.6% 33.8% 37.5% 0.90× 2.96
Botafogo to score exactly 2 25.7% 27.4% 19.0% 1.44× 3.66
Botafogo to score 3+ 21.1% 22.3% 9.2% 2.42× 4.49
Botafogo to score exactly 0 20.7% 22.3% 34.6% 0.64× 4.49
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to score exactly 1 32.5% 32.6% 34.3% 0.95× 3.07
Remo to score exactly 2 25.7% 26.5% 27.1% 0.98× 3.77
Remo to score 3+ 21.1% 23.3% 18.6% 1.26× 4.29
Remo to score exactly 0 20.6% 23.3% 20.3% 1.15× 4.29
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 40.2% 42.8% — — 2.34
Remo leading at HT 31.4% 32.8% — — 3.05
Botafogo leading at HT 28.4% 25.1% — — 3.98
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo -1: 2 62.7% 62.5% — — 1.60
Remo -1: 1 18.9% 17.5% — — 5.70
Remo -1: X 18.4% 17.5% — — 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo (0:1) 62.7% 61.4% 51.1% 1.20× 1.63
Remo (0:1) 18.9% 17.8% 23.2% 0.77× 5.61
Draw (0:1) 18.4% 17.8% 25.9% 0.69× 5.61
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo (0:2) 81.1% 82.9% 76.8% 1.08× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 11.4% 11.0% 14.1% 0.78× 9.10
Remo (0:2) 7.5% 7.7% 9.2% 0.83× 13.04
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo (0:3) 92.5% 92.7% 90.8% 1.02× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.0% 5.8% 6.7% 0.87× 17.25
Remo (0:3) 2.5% 2.4% 2.7% 0.88× 42.10
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo (0:4) 97.5% 98.1% 97.3% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.8% 1.2% 1.7% 0.70× 81.90
Remo (0:4) 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 1.10× 82.03
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (1:0) 62.8% 65.3% 76.0% 0.86× 1.53
Botafogo (1:0) 18.8% 17.1% 9.5% 1.80× 5.85
Draw (1:0) 18.4% 17.1% 14.6% 1.17× 5.85
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (2:0) 81.2% 84.6% 90.5% 0.93× 1.18
Draw (2:0) 11.3% 10.3% 6.2% 1.66× 9.73
Botafogo (2:0) 7.5% 6.4% 3.5% 1.83× 15.69
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.2% 48.8% — — 2.05
1st half highest scoring 26.6% 26.2% — — 3.82
Halves equal 24.2% 24.5% — — 4.08
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to concede 79.3% 76.1% 65.4% 1.16× 1.31
Remo clean sheet 20.7% 23.9% 34.6% 0.69× 4.19
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo clean sheet in 1st half 53.2% 55.7% — — 1.80
Remo to concede in 1st half 46.8% 44.3% — — 2.26
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to concede in 2nd half 61.2% 59.8% — — 1.67
Remo clean sheet in 2nd half 38.8% 40.2% — — 2.49
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo over 2.5 corners 81.7% 81.0% — — 1.24
Remo under 6.5 corners 69.2% 66.7% — — 1.50
Remo over 3.5 corners 68.8% 66.7% — — 1.50
Remo under 5.5 corners 58.0% 57.5% — — 1.74
Remo over 4.5 corners 55.0% 57.5% — — 1.74
Remo under 4.5 corners 45.0% 42.5% — — 2.35
Remo over 5.5 corners 42.0% 42.5% — — 2.35
Remo under 3.5 corners 31.2% 33.3% — — 3.01
Remo over 6.5 corners 30.8% 33.3% — — 3.01
Remo under 2.5 corners 18.3% 19.0% — — 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo under 3.5 goals 92.4% 92.2% 94.3% 0.98× 1.08
Remo over 0.5 goals 79.4% 77.7% 79.7% 0.98× 1.29
Remo under 2.5 goals 78.9% 77.7% 81.4% 0.95× 1.29
Remo under 1.5 goals 53.1% 53.2% 54.4% 0.98× 1.88
Remo over 1.5 goals 46.9% 46.8% 45.6% 1.03× 2.14
Remo over 2.5 goals 21.1% 22.3% 18.6% 1.20× 4.49
Remo under 0.5 goals 20.6% 22.3% 20.3% 1.10× 4.49
Remo over 3.5 goals 7.6% 7.8% 5.7% 1.36× 12.88
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo under 1.5 in 1st half 85.1% 90.1% — — 1.11
Remo under 0.5 in 1st half 50.7% 50.4% — — 1.98
Remo over 0.5 in 1st half 49.3% 49.6% — — 2.02
Remo over 1.5 in 1st half 14.9% 9.9% — — 10.14
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo scores more in 2nd half 38.7% 37.8% — — 2.65
Remo scores equally in both 35.3% 37.7% — — 2.65
Remo scores more in 1st half 26.0% 27.7% — — 3.61
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo (home no bet) 59.3% 56.5% 46.7% 1.21× 1.77
Draw (home no bet) 40.7% 43.5% 53.3% 0.82× 2.30
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo even goals 52.1% 50.7% 51.6% 0.98× 1.97
Remo odd goals 47.9% 49.3% 48.4% 1.02× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 27.1% 28.2% — — 3.54
HT 1-0 18.2% 18.6% — — 5.37
HT 0-1 16.9% 18.6% — — 5.37
HT 1-1 11.7% 11.0% — — 9.12
HT 2-0 6.2% 6.9% — — 14.49
Any other HT score 5.7% 6.9% — — 14.50
HT 0-2 5.4% 6.9% — — 14.50
HT 2-1 3.9% 2.4% — — 42.04
HT 1-2 3.6% 2.4% — — 42.06
HT 2-2 1.2% 2.4% — — 42.22
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo at HT / Remo at FT 22.3% 21.6% — — 4.62
Botafogo at HT / Botafogo at FT 20.6% 21.6% — — 4.63
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 14.4% 12.7% — — 7.89
Draw at HT / Botafogo at FT 13.4% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Remo at FT 12.4% 12.7% — — 7.90
Remo at HT / Draw at FT 6.0% 6.0% — — 16.65
Botafogo at HT / Draw at FT 5.2% 6.0% — — 16.67
Remo at HT / Botafogo at FT 3.1% 3.5% — — 28.67
Botafogo at HT / Remo at FT 2.6% 3.5% — — 28.70
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to score last 47.4% 46.5% — — 2.15
Botafogo to score last 47.3% 46.5% — — 2.15
No goal scored 5.2% 7.4% — — 13.54
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.8% 92.7% — — 1.08
Remo to lead by 1 at any time 56.6% 54.9% — — 1.82
Botafogo to lead by 1 at any time 56.5% 54.9% — — 1.82
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 52.2% 50.8% — — 1.97
Remo to lead by 2 at any time 26.4% 25.5% — — 3.92
Botafogo to lead by 2 at any time 26.3% 25.5% — — 3.93
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 19.9% 15.0% — — 6.68
Remo to lead by 3 at any time 10.0% 6.8% — — 14.80
Botafogo to lead by 3 at any time 9.9% 6.8% — — 14.80
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo most corners 46.1% 47.0% — — 2.13
Botafogo most corners 44.1% 43.5% — — 2.30
Corners level 9.8% 8.4% — — 11.96
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 84.7% 83.4% 88.7% 0.94× 1.20
2-6 goals 79.1% 78.7% 73.8% 1.07× 1.27
1-4 goals 73.6% 72.4% 81.7% 0.89× 1.38
2-5 goals 73.2% 72.4% 69.7% 1.04× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.1% 63.3% 62.7% 1.01× 1.58
3-6 goals 56.9% 59.1% 47.1% 1.25× 1.69
1-3 goals 56.0% 59.1% 68.7% 0.86× 1.69
3-5 goals 51.1% 53.2% 43.0% 1.24× 1.88
2-3 goals 44.5% 43.6% 49.7% 0.88× 2.29
3-4 goals 39.9% 39.2% 36.0% 1.09× 2.55
4-6 goals 34.6% 35.2% 24.3% 1.45× 2.84
1-2 goals 33.7% 35.2% 45.9% 0.77× 2.84
4-5 goals 28.7% 30.2% 20.2% 1.50× 3.31
5-6 goals 17.0% 18.8% 11.3% 1.67× 5.31
7+ goals 4.2% 2.6% 0.6% 4.04× 39.03
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo never behind 38.3% 44.1% — — 2.27
Botafogo never behind 38.2% 44.1% — — 2.27
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.0% 50.9% 49.2% 1.03× 1.96
Even number of goals 52.0% 49.1% 50.8% 0.97× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.0% 51.6% — — 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 46.0% 48.4% — — 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.9% 51.9% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.1% 48.1% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.8% 92.3% 93.3% 0.99× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 90.0% 87.6% 95.2% 0.92× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 83.3% 82.3% 74.3% 1.11× 1.22
Under 4.5 goals 78.8% 77.3% 88.3% 0.88× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 61.1% 61.7% 47.6% 1.30× 1.62
Under 3.5 goals 61.2% 61.7% 75.2% 0.82× 1.62
Under 2.5 goals 38.9% 38.3% 52.4% 0.73× 2.61
Over 3.5 goals 38.8% 38.3% 24.8% 1.55× 2.61
Over 4.5 goals 21.2% 22.7% 11.7% 1.93× 4.41
Under 1.5 goals 16.7% 17.7% 25.7% 0.69× 5.65
Over 5.5 goals 10.0% 12.4% 4.8% 2.60× 8.07
Under 0.5 goals 5.2% 7.7% 6.7% 1.16× 12.95
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 95.5% 97.2% 99.3% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 88.7% 86.7% 94.9% 0.91× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 78.5% 75.9% 64.9% 1.17× 1.32
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 74.3% 72.4% 86.5% 0.84× 1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 50.1% 51.9% 67.9% 0.76× 1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 49.9% 48.1% 32.1% 1.50× 2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 25.7% 27.6% 13.5% 2.04× 3.62
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 21.5% 24.1% 35.1% 0.69× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 11.3% 13.3% 5.1% 2.59× 7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 4.5% 2.8% 0.7% 4.25× 35.53
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 85.5% 89.1% — — 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 72.9% 71.6% — — 1.40
Under 1.5 in 1st half 62.2% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 1.5 in 1st half 37.8% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 0.5 in 1st half 27.1% 28.4% — — 3.52
Over 2.5 in 1st half 14.5% 10.9% — — 9.18
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 83.9% 83.3% — — 1.20
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 71.8% 77.5% — — 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 55.4% 54.8% — — 1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 44.6% 45.2% — — 2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 28.2% 22.5% — — 4.45
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 16.1% 16.7% — — 5.98
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo not to score in both halves 71.4% 73.8% — — 1.35
Remo not to score in both halves 70.7% 73.8% — — 1.36
Remo to score in both halves 29.3% 26.2% — — 3.82
Botafogo to score in both halves 28.6% 26.2% — — 3.82
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 64.0% 60.4% 51.7% 1.17× 1.66
Only Remo scores 15.4% 16.0% 28.1% 0.57× 6.25
Only Botafogo scores 15.4% 16.0% 13.8% 1.16× 6.25
Neither team scores 5.2% 7.1% 6.7% 1.07× 14.06
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 22.2% 22.6% 26.8% 0.84× 4.43
Exactly 3 goals 22.3% 22.6% 23.0% 0.98× 4.43
Exactly 4 goals 17.6% 17.5% 13.2% 1.33× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 11.5% 12.1% 19.2% 0.63× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 11.1% 12.1% 7.1% 1.70× 8.25
6 or more goals 10.0% 12.1% 4.8% 2.55× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 5.2% 7.6% 6.7% 1.14× 13.14
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1 goal in 1st half 35.0% 37.3% — — 2.68
No goals in 1st half 27.1% 28.5% — — 3.51
2 goals in 1st half 23.3% 21.5% — — 4.66
3+ goals in 1st half 14.5% 10.8% — — 9.26
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 55.4% 54.0% — — 1.85
1 goal in 2nd half 28.5% 29.2% — — 3.42
No goals in 2nd half 16.1% 16.4% — — 6.10
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo not to win both halves 90.0% 88.0% — — 1.14
Remo not to win both halves 89.7% 88.0% — — 1.14
Remo to win both halves 10.3% 12.0% — — 8.36
Botafogo to win both halves 10.0% 12.0% — — 8.37
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to win either half 53.4% 54.3% — — 1.84
Botafogo to win either half 53.1% 54.3% — — 1.84
Botafogo to win neither half 46.9% 45.7% — — 2.19
Remo to win neither half 46.6% 45.7% — — 2.19
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Botafogo not to win to nil 84.6% 83.1% 86.2% 0.96× 1.20
Remo not to win to nil 84.6% 83.1% 71.9% 1.16× 1.20
Remo to win to nil 15.4% 16.9% 28.1% 0.60× 5.92
Botafogo to win to nil 15.4% 16.9% 13.8% 1.22× 5.92
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 25.5% 27.9% 27.3% 1.02× 3.59
Remo by 1 18.4% 17.0% 25.9% 0.66× 5.87
Botafogo by 1 18.4% 17.0% 14.6% 1.17× 5.87
Remo by 2 11.4% 11.8% 14.1% 0.83× 8.51
Botafogo by 2 11.3% 11.8% 6.2% 1.90× 8.51
Remo by 3+ 7.5% 7.2% 9.2% 0.78× 13.91
Botafogo by 3+ 7.5% 7.2% 3.5% 2.06× 13.91
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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