Remo v Botafogo — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 28 October 2026 · BRA-Serie A · 2627
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.2%
- 2-1 8.7%
- 1-2 8.1%
- 1-0 6.7%
- 2-2 6.3%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 57.7% | Under 2.5 | 42.3% |
| BTTS yes | 61.3% | BTTS no | 38.7% |
| Remo 1+ | 79.0% | Remo 2+ | 46.2% |
| Botafogo 1+ | 76.4% | Botafogo 2+ | 42.3% |
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.44. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out Remo.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Remo have an estimated 39.9% win probability, against 31.2% for Botafogo and 28.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.56 for Remo and 1.44 for Botafogo.
Why Remo
Nothing in the data singles out Remo.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 28.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.56 to 1.44. Draws run at 27% in this competition.
Why Botafogo can win
Botafogo carry the stronger rating, 1539 Elo against 1450.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Remo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Botafogo, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Remo: 47% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Botafogo: 45% possession, 18.4 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Remo's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-24 13:59 · team_stats 2026-10-24 06:04 · availability 2026-10-24 14:57 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·
Remo are the model's most likely outcome at 39.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.2%. Confidence 83/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.56–1.44 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.58–1.58 | 1-1 12% | 61% | 64% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to win | 37.3% | 36.4% | 48.9% | 0.74× | 2.75 |
| Botafogo to win | 37.2% | 36.4% | 24.0% | 1.52× | 2.75 |
| Draw | 25.5% | 27.9% | 27.3% | 1.02× | 3.59 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo & both teams score | 21.9% | 21.8% | 21.0% | 1.04× | 4.59 |
| Botafogo & both teams score | 21.8% | 21.8% | 10.3% | 2.11× | 4.59 |
| Draw & both teams score | 20.3% | 21.8% | 20.8% | 1.05× | 4.59 |
| Remo & not both score | 15.4% | 18.0% | 28.1% | 0.64× | 5.57 |
| Botafogo & not both score | 15.4% | 18.0% | 13.8% | 1.30× | 5.57 |
| Draw & not both score | 5.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 1.25× | 12.02 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo & over 1.5 | 31.5% | 30.8% | 36.7% | 0.84× | 3.25 |
| Botafogo & over 1.5 | 31.4% | 30.8% | 17.1% | 1.79× | 3.25 |
| Remo & over 2.5 | 26.2% | 26.1% | 27.5% | 0.95× | 3.84 |
| Botafogo & over 2.5 | 26.1% | 26.1% | 13.2% | 1.98× | 3.84 |
| Remo & under 3.5 | 22.2% | 21.6% | 36.8% | 0.59× | 4.63 |
| Botafogo & under 3.5 | 22.2% | 21.6% | 18.6% | 1.16× | 4.63 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 20.3% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 1.04× | 4.63 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 16.8% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 0.89× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 16.8% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 0.89× | 5.56 |
| Remo & over 3.5 | 15.0% | 18.0% | 12.2% | 1.47× | 5.56 |
| Botafogo & over 3.5 | 15.0% | 12.8% | 5.6% | 2.31× | 7.79 |
| Remo & under 2.5 | 11.1% | 12.8% | 21.6% | 0.59× | 7.79 |
| Botafogo & under 2.5 | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 1.17× | 7.79 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 1.08× | 12.63 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 1.08× | 12.63 |
| Remo & under 1.5 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 0.64× | 12.63 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 1.19× | 12.63 |
| Botafogo & under 1.5 | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 1.13× | 12.63 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (1UP) | 56.6% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Botafogo (1UP) | 56.5% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.73 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (2UP) | 37.3% | 37.4% | — | — | 2.67 |
| Botafogo (2UP) | 37.2% | 37.4% | — | — | 2.67 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo to win 2nd half | 34.7% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
| 2nd half drawn | 33.0% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.91 |
| Remo to win 2nd half | 32.3% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.91 |
2nd half away goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo under 1.5 in 2nd half | 75.6% | 78.8% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Botafogo over 0.5 in 2nd half | 61.2% | 60.1% | — | — | 1.66 |
| Botafogo under 0.5 in 2nd half | 38.8% | 39.9% | — | — | 2.51 |
| Botafogo over 1.5 in 2nd half | 24.4% | 21.2% | — | — | 4.72 |
2nd half home goals O/U 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo under 1.5 in 2nd half | 77.2% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.33 |
| Remo over 0.5 in 2nd half | 59.4% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Remo under 0.5 in 2nd half | 40.6% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Remo over 1.5 in 2nd half | 22.8% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo (+2.5) | 92.5% | 92.1% | 90.8% | 1.01× | 1.09 |
| Botafogo (+1.5) | 81.1% | 82.5% | 76.8% | 1.07× | 1.21 |
| Remo (+0.5) | 62.8% | 62.9% | 76.0% | 0.83× | 1.59 |
| Botafogo (+0.5) | 62.7% | 62.9% | 51.1% | 1.23× | 1.59 |
| Remo (-0.5) | 37.3% | 37.1% | 48.9% | 0.76× | 2.70 |
| Botafogo (-0.5) | 37.2% | 37.1% | 24.0% | 1.55× | 2.70 |
| Remo (-1.5) | 18.9% | 17.5% | 23.2% | 0.75× | 5.72 |
| Remo (-2.5) | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 0.86× | 12.69 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo to concede | 79.4% | 78.8% | 79.7% | 0.99× | 1.27 |
| Botafogo clean sheet | 20.6% | 21.2% | 20.3% | 1.04× | 4.72 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo clean sheet in 1st half | 50.7% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Botafogo to concede in 1st half | 49.3% | 49.4% | — | — | 2.03 |
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo to concede in 2nd half | 59.4% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Botafogo clean sheet in 2nd half | 40.6% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo over 2.5 corners | 80.8% | 81.4% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Botafogo under 6.5 corners | 70.5% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Botafogo over 3.5 corners | 67.6% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Botafogo under 5.5 corners | 59.4% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Botafogo over 4.5 corners | 53.6% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Botafogo under 4.5 corners | 46.4% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Botafogo over 5.5 corners | 40.6% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Botafogo under 3.5 corners | 32.4% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Botafogo over 6.5 corners | 29.5% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Botafogo under 2.5 corners | 19.2% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.38 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo under 3.5 goals | 92.4% | 92.3% | 97.9% | 0.94× | 1.08 |
| Botafogo over 0.5 goals | 79.3% | 76.3% | 65.4% | 1.17× | 1.31 |
| Botafogo under 2.5 goals | 78.9% | 76.3% | 90.8% | 0.84× | 1.31 |
| Botafogo under 1.5 goals | 53.2% | 53.5% | 71.9% | 0.74× | 1.87 |
| Botafogo over 1.5 goals | 46.8% | 46.5% | 28.1% | 1.65× | 2.15 |
| Botafogo over 2.5 goals | 21.1% | 23.7% | 9.2% | 2.58× | 4.21 |
| Botafogo under 0.5 goals | 20.7% | 23.7% | 34.6% | 0.69× | 4.22 |
| Botafogo over 3.5 goals | 7.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 3.71× | 13.05 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo under 1.5 in 1st half | 86.8% | 89.1% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Botafogo under 0.5 in 1st half | 53.2% | 55.7% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Botafogo over 0.5 in 1st half | 46.8% | 44.3% | — | — | 2.26 |
| Botafogo over 1.5 in 1st half | 13.2% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.20 |
Away highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo scores more in 2nd half | 41.5% | 43.7% | — | — | 2.29 |
| Botafogo scores equally in both | 35.0% | 33.5% | — | — | 2.99 |
| Botafogo scores more in 1st half | 23.5% | 22.1% | — | — | 4.52 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (away no bet) | 59.4% | 57.4% | 64.2% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 40.6% | 42.6% | 35.8% | 1.19× | 2.35 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo even goals | 52.1% | 52.6% | 54.9% | 0.96× | 1.90 |
| Botafogo odd goals | 47.9% | 47.4% | 45.1% | 1.05× | 2.11 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 79.2% | 81.3% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 20.8% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.34 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 72.5% | 67.4% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 27.5% | 32.6% | — | — | 3.07 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 63.0% | 60.1% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Remo to score 2+ in a row | 36.3% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Botafogo to score 2+ in a row | 36.2% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.74 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 24.2% | 19.7% | — | — | 5.09 |
| Remo to score 3+ in a row | 12.4% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.30 |
| Botafogo to score 3+ in a row | 12.3% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.31 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo corners (+3.5) | 80.7% | 79.8% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Botafogo corners (+3.5) | 79.3% | 74.8% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Remo corners (+2.5) | 73.6% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Botafogo corners (+2.5) | 72.0% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Remo corners (+1.5) | 65.3% | 65.9% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Botafogo corners (+1.5) | 63.4% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Remo corners (-1.5) | 36.6% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Botafogo corners (-1.5) | 34.7% | 34.1% | — | — | 2.93 |
| Remo corners (-2.5) | 28.0% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Botafogo corners (-2.5) | 26.4% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Remo corners (-3.5) | 20.7% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Botafogo corners (-3.5) | 19.3% | 20.2% | — | — | 4.94 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 37.5% | 34.0% | — | — | 2.94 |
| 0-8 corners | 35.1% | 34.0% | — | — | 2.94 |
| 9-11 corners | 27.4% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.21 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 73.9% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 70.2% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 64.9% | 63.2% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 62.5% | 63.2% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 55.5% | 57.9% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 53.8% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 46.2% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 44.5% | 42.1% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 37.5% | 36.8% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 35.1% | 36.8% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 29.8% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 26.1% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.1% | — | — | 2.00 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.6% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 0.84× | 8.72 |
| 1-2 | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 1.20× | 13.51 |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.51 |
| 2-2 | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 1.33× | 13.51 |
| 0-0 | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 1.11× | 13.51 |
| 0-1 | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 1.06× | 13.51 |
| 0-2 | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.79× | 13.51 |
| 1-0 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 0.60× | 13.51 |
| 2-0 | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 0.79× | 13.51 |
| 0-3 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.98× | 58.30 |
| 0-4 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.54× | 58.31 |
| 1-3 | 4.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.83× | 58.29 |
| 1-4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.40× | 58.31 |
| 2-3 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.98× | 58.30 |
| 2-4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.40× | 58.31 |
| 3-0 | 2.8% | 1.7% | 4.8% | 0.36× | 58.30 |
| 3-1 | 4.4% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 0.43× | 58.29 |
| 3-2 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.60× | 58.30 |
| 3-3 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.90× | 58.31 |
| 3-4 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.80× | 58.32 |
| 4-0 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.54× | 58.31 |
| 4-1 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.83× | 58.31 |
| 4-2 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.80× | 58.31 |
| 4-3 | 0.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.40× | 58.32 |
| 4-4 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.80× | 58.32 |
| Any other score | 4.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.68× | 58.29 |
DNB 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo (2nd half DNB) | 51.8% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Remo (2nd half DNB) | 48.2% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo leading at HT (DNB) | 52.5% | 55.9% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Botafogo leading at HT (DNB) | 47.5% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo or Botafogo (12) | 74.5% | 72.1% | 72.7% | 0.99× | 1.39 |
| Remo or draw (1X) | 62.8% | 63.6% | 76.0% | 0.84× | 1.57 |
| Botafogo or draw (X2) | 62.7% | 63.6% | 51.1% | 1.25× | 1.57 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo or draw at HT | 71.6% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Botafogo or draw at HT | 68.6% | 67.2% | — | — | 1.49 |
| Remo or Botafogo at HT | 59.8% | 57.2% | — | — | 1.75 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo or draw (1UP) | 62.8% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Botafogo or draw (1UP) | 62.7% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo or draw in 2nd half | 67.7% | 65.7% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Remo or Botafogo in 2nd half | 67.0% | 65.7% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Remo or draw in 2nd half | 65.3% | 65.6% | — | — | 1.52 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 58.8% | 58.5% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Neither half drawn | 41.2% | 41.5% | — | — | 2.41 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (DNB) | 50.1% | 50.9% | 67.1% | 0.76× | 1.97 |
| Botafogo (DNB) | 49.9% | 49.1% | 32.9% | 1.49× | 2.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to score first | 47.4% | 46.0% | — | — | 2.17 |
| Botafogo to score first | 47.3% | 46.0% | — | — | 2.17 |
| No goal scored | 5.2% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.54 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 64.0% | 56.7% | 51.7% | 1.10× | 1.76 |
| Not both teams to score | 36.0% | 43.3% | 48.3% | 0.90× | 2.31 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 52.4% | 47.3% | 38.3% | 1.24× | 2.12 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 27.3% | 33.3% | 38.9% | 0.86× | 3.00 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 0.91× | 8.09 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 0.87× | 12.06 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 78.1% | 79.7% | 87.1% | 0.91× | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 21.9% | 20.3% | 12.9% | 1.58× | 4.92 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 63.4% | 65.6% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 36.6% | 34.4% | — | — | 2.91 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 48.5% | 53.0% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 28.3% | 27.2% | — | — | 3.68 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.9% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.27 |
| Both score in both halves | 8.4% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.64 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 76.8% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 23.2% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.26 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 62.0% | 59.7% | — | — | 1.68 |
| A half without a goal | 38.0% | 40.3% | — | — | 2.48 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 44.5% | 42.1% | 49.7% | 0.85× | 2.37 |
| 4-6 goals | 34.6% | 30.8% | 24.3% | 1.27× | 3.25 |
| 0-1 goals | 16.7% | 20.2% | 25.7% | 0.79× | 4.95 |
| 7+ goals | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 2.91× | 54.08 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo to score exactly 1 | 32.6% | 33.8% | 37.5% | 0.90× | 2.96 |
| Botafogo to score exactly 2 | 25.7% | 27.4% | 19.0% | 1.44× | 3.66 |
| Botafogo to score 3+ | 21.1% | 22.3% | 9.2% | 2.42× | 4.49 |
| Botafogo to score exactly 0 | 20.7% | 22.3% | 34.6% | 0.64× | 4.49 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to score exactly 1 | 32.5% | 32.6% | 34.3% | 0.95× | 3.07 |
| Remo to score exactly 2 | 25.7% | 26.5% | 27.1% | 0.98× | 3.77 |
| Remo to score 3+ | 21.1% | 23.3% | 18.6% | 1.26× | 4.29 |
| Remo to score exactly 0 | 20.6% | 23.3% | 20.3% | 1.15× | 4.29 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 40.2% | 42.8% | — | — | 2.34 |
| Remo leading at HT | 31.4% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
| Botafogo leading at HT | 28.4% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo -1: 2 | 62.7% | 62.5% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Remo -1: 1 | 18.9% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.70 |
| Remo -1: X | 18.4% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.71 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo (0:1) | 62.7% | 61.4% | 51.1% | 1.20× | 1.63 |
| Remo (0:1) | 18.9% | 17.8% | 23.2% | 0.77× | 5.61 |
| Draw (0:1) | 18.4% | 17.8% | 25.9% | 0.69× | 5.61 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo (0:2) | 81.1% | 82.9% | 76.8% | 1.08× | 1.21 |
| Draw (0:2) | 11.4% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 0.78× | 9.10 |
| Remo (0:2) | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 0.83× | 13.04 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo (0:3) | 92.5% | 92.7% | 90.8% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 0.87× | 17.25 |
| Remo (0:3) | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.88× | 42.10 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo (0:4) | 97.5% | 98.1% | 97.3% | 1.01× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.70× | 81.90 |
| Remo (0:4) | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.10× | 82.03 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (1:0) | 62.8% | 65.3% | 76.0% | 0.86× | 1.53 |
| Botafogo (1:0) | 18.8% | 17.1% | 9.5% | 1.80× | 5.85 |
| Draw (1:0) | 18.4% | 17.1% | 14.6% | 1.17× | 5.85 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo (2:0) | 81.2% | 84.6% | 90.5% | 0.93× | 1.18 |
| Draw (2:0) | 11.3% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 1.66× | 9.73 |
| Botafogo (2:0) | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.83× | 15.69 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 49.2% | 48.8% | — | — | 2.05 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.6% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
| Halves equal | 24.2% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to concede | 79.3% | 76.1% | 65.4% | 1.16× | 1.31 |
| Remo clean sheet | 20.7% | 23.9% | 34.6% | 0.69× | 4.19 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo clean sheet in 1st half | 53.2% | 55.7% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Remo to concede in 1st half | 46.8% | 44.3% | — | — | 2.26 |
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to concede in 2nd half | 61.2% | 59.8% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Remo clean sheet in 2nd half | 38.8% | 40.2% | — | — | 2.49 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo over 2.5 corners | 81.7% | 81.0% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Remo under 6.5 corners | 69.2% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Remo over 3.5 corners | 68.8% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Remo under 5.5 corners | 58.0% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Remo over 4.5 corners | 55.0% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Remo under 4.5 corners | 45.0% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Remo over 5.5 corners | 42.0% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Remo under 3.5 corners | 31.2% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Remo over 6.5 corners | 30.8% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Remo under 2.5 corners | 18.3% | 19.0% | — | — | 5.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo under 3.5 goals | 92.4% | 92.2% | 94.3% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Remo over 0.5 goals | 79.4% | 77.7% | 79.7% | 0.98× | 1.29 |
| Remo under 2.5 goals | 78.9% | 77.7% | 81.4% | 0.95× | 1.29 |
| Remo under 1.5 goals | 53.1% | 53.2% | 54.4% | 0.98× | 1.88 |
| Remo over 1.5 goals | 46.9% | 46.8% | 45.6% | 1.03× | 2.14 |
| Remo over 2.5 goals | 21.1% | 22.3% | 18.6% | 1.20× | 4.49 |
| Remo under 0.5 goals | 20.6% | 22.3% | 20.3% | 1.10× | 4.49 |
| Remo over 3.5 goals | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.36× | 12.88 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo under 1.5 in 1st half | 85.1% | 90.1% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Remo under 0.5 in 1st half | 50.7% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Remo over 0.5 in 1st half | 49.3% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
| Remo over 1.5 in 1st half | 14.9% | 9.9% | — | — | 10.14 |
Home highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo scores more in 2nd half | 38.7% | 37.8% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Remo scores equally in both | 35.3% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Remo scores more in 1st half | 26.0% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.61 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo (home no bet) | 59.3% | 56.5% | 46.7% | 1.21× | 1.77 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 40.7% | 43.5% | 53.3% | 0.82× | 2.30 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo even goals | 52.1% | 50.7% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.97 |
| Remo odd goals | 47.9% | 49.3% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 27.1% | 28.2% | — | — | 3.54 |
| HT 1-0 | 18.2% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.37 |
| HT 0-1 | 16.9% | 18.6% | — | — | 5.37 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.7% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.12 |
| HT 2-0 | 6.2% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.49 |
| Any other HT score | 5.7% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.50 |
| HT 0-2 | 5.4% | 6.9% | — | — | 14.50 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.9% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.04 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.6% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.06 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.2% | 2.4% | — | — | 42.22 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo at HT / Remo at FT | 22.3% | 21.6% | — | — | 4.62 |
| Botafogo at HT / Botafogo at FT | 20.6% | 21.6% | — | — | 4.63 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 14.4% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.89 |
| Draw at HT / Botafogo at FT | 13.4% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Draw at HT / Remo at FT | 12.4% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Remo at HT / Draw at FT | 6.0% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.65 |
| Botafogo at HT / Draw at FT | 5.2% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.67 |
| Remo at HT / Botafogo at FT | 3.1% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.67 |
| Botafogo at HT / Remo at FT | 2.6% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.70 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to score last | 47.4% | 46.5% | — | — | 2.15 |
| Botafogo to score last | 47.3% | 46.5% | — | — | 2.15 |
| No goal scored | 5.2% | 7.4% | — | — | 13.54 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 94.8% | 92.7% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Remo to lead by 1 at any time | 56.6% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Botafogo to lead by 1 at any time | 56.5% | 54.9% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 52.2% | 50.8% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Remo to lead by 2 at any time | 26.4% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.92 |
| Botafogo to lead by 2 at any time | 26.3% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.93 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 19.9% | 15.0% | — | — | 6.68 |
| Remo to lead by 3 at any time | 10.0% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.80 |
| Botafogo to lead by 3 at any time | 9.9% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.80 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo most corners | 46.1% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Botafogo most corners | 44.1% | 43.5% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Corners level | 9.8% | 8.4% | — | — | 11.96 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 84.7% | 83.4% | 88.7% | 0.94× | 1.20 |
| 2-6 goals | 79.1% | 78.7% | 73.8% | 1.07× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 73.6% | 72.4% | 81.7% | 0.89× | 1.38 |
| 2-5 goals | 73.2% | 72.4% | 69.7% | 1.04× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.1% | 63.3% | 62.7% | 1.01× | 1.58 |
| 3-6 goals | 56.9% | 59.1% | 47.1% | 1.25× | 1.69 |
| 1-3 goals | 56.0% | 59.1% | 68.7% | 0.86× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 51.1% | 53.2% | 43.0% | 1.24× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 44.5% | 43.6% | 49.7% | 0.88× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 39.9% | 39.2% | 36.0% | 1.09× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 34.6% | 35.2% | 24.3% | 1.45× | 2.84 |
| 1-2 goals | 33.7% | 35.2% | 45.9% | 0.77× | 2.84 |
| 4-5 goals | 28.7% | 30.2% | 20.2% | 1.50× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 17.0% | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.67× | 5.31 |
| 7+ goals | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 4.04× | 39.03 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo never behind | 38.3% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Botafogo never behind | 38.2% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.0% | 50.9% | 49.2% | 1.03× | 1.96 |
| Even number of goals | 52.0% | 49.1% | 50.8% | 0.97× | 2.04 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.0% | 51.6% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 46.0% | 48.4% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.9% | 51.9% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.1% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94.8% | 92.3% | 93.3% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 90.0% | 87.6% | 95.2% | 0.92× | 1.14 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.3% | 82.3% | 74.3% | 1.11× | 1.22 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 78.8% | 77.3% | 88.3% | 0.88× | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.1% | 61.7% | 47.6% | 1.30× | 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61.2% | 61.7% | 75.2% | 0.82× | 1.62 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38.9% | 38.3% | 52.4% | 0.73× | 2.61 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38.8% | 38.3% | 24.8% | 1.55× | 2.61 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 21.2% | 22.7% | 11.7% | 1.93× | 4.41 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16.7% | 17.7% | 25.7% | 0.69× | 5.65 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 10.0% | 12.4% | 4.8% | 2.60× | 8.07 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 1.16× | 12.95 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 95.5% | 97.2% | 99.3% | 0.98× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 88.7% | 86.7% | 94.9% | 0.91× | 1.15 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 78.5% | 75.9% | 64.9% | 1.17× | 1.32 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 74.3% | 72.4% | 86.5% | 0.84× | 1.38 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 50.1% | 51.9% | 67.9% | 0.76× | 1.93 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 49.9% | 48.1% | 32.1% | 1.50× | 2.08 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 25.7% | 27.6% | 13.5% | 2.04× | 3.62 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 21.5% | 24.1% | 35.1% | 0.69× | 4.15 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 11.3% | 13.3% | 5.1% | 2.59× | 7.54 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 4.25× | 35.53 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 85.5% | 89.1% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 72.9% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 62.2% | 63.2% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 37.8% | 36.8% | — | — | 2.72 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 27.1% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 14.5% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.18 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 83.9% | 83.3% | — | — | 1.20 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 71.8% | 77.5% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 55.4% | 54.8% | — | — | 1.83 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 44.6% | 45.2% | — | — | 2.21 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 28.2% | 22.5% | — | — | 4.45 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 16.1% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.98 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo not to score in both halves | 71.4% | 73.8% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Remo not to score in both halves | 70.7% | 73.8% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Remo to score in both halves | 29.3% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
| Botafogo to score in both halves | 28.6% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.82 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 64.0% | 60.4% | 51.7% | 1.17× | 1.66 |
| Only Remo scores | 15.4% | 16.0% | 28.1% | 0.57× | 6.25 |
| Only Botafogo scores | 15.4% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 1.16× | 6.25 |
| Neither team scores | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 1.07× | 14.06 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 22.2% | 22.6% | 26.8% | 0.84× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.3% | 22.6% | 23.0% | 0.98× | 4.43 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 17.6% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 1.33× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 11.5% | 12.1% | 19.2% | 0.63× | 8.25 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 11.1% | 12.1% | 7.1% | 1.70× | 8.25 |
| 6 or more goals | 10.0% | 12.1% | 4.8% | 2.55× | 8.25 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 1.14× | 13.14 |
Total goals 1st half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 1st half | 35.0% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| No goals in 1st half | 27.1% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| 2 goals in 1st half | 23.3% | 21.5% | — | — | 4.66 |
| 3+ goals in 1st half | 14.5% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.26 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 55.4% | 54.0% | — | — | 1.85 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 28.5% | 29.2% | — | — | 3.42 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 16.1% | 16.4% | — | — | 6.10 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo not to win both halves | 90.0% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Remo not to win both halves | 89.7% | 88.0% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Remo to win both halves | 10.3% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.36 |
| Botafogo to win both halves | 10.0% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.37 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Remo to win either half | 53.4% | 54.3% | — | — | 1.84 |
| Botafogo to win either half | 53.1% | 54.3% | — | — | 1.84 |
| Botafogo to win neither half | 46.9% | 45.7% | — | — | 2.19 |
| Remo to win neither half | 46.6% | 45.7% | — | — | 2.19 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo not to win to nil | 84.6% | 83.1% | 86.2% | 0.96× | 1.20 |
| Remo not to win to nil | 84.6% | 83.1% | 71.9% | 1.16× | 1.20 |
| Remo to win to nil | 15.4% | 16.9% | 28.1% | 0.60× | 5.92 |
| Botafogo to win to nil | 15.4% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 1.22× | 5.92 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 25.5% | 27.9% | 27.3% | 1.02× | 3.59 |
| Remo by 1 | 18.4% | 17.0% | 25.9% | 0.66× | 5.87 |
| Botafogo by 1 | 18.4% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 1.17× | 5.87 |
| Remo by 2 | 11.4% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 0.83× | 8.51 |
| Botafogo by 2 | 11.3% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 1.90× | 8.51 |
| Remo by 3+ | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 0.78× | 13.91 |
| Botafogo by 3+ | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 2.06× | 13.91 |