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Remo v Corinthians — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 2 December 2026 · BRA-Serie A · 2627

Brasileirão results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Remo win
39.8%
model 38.0%
Draw
29.0%
model 29.3%
Corinthians win
31.2%
model 32.7%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (648 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 14.0%
  2. 1-0 9.6%
  3. 0-0 9.4%
  4. 0-1 8.7%
  5. 2-1 8.3%

Goals

Over 2.545.4% Under 2.554.6%
BTTS yes51.8% BTTS no48.2%
Remo 1+72.8% Remo 2+37.4%
Corinthians 1+69.6% Corinthians 2+33.4%

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.19. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
78/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
98%
★ Best pick
Corinthians (+0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 51%
63.7% fair odds 1.57
moderate signal · 1134 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Corinthians (0:2)
Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%
83.6% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 504 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Remo.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Remo have an estimated 39.8% win probability, against 31.2% for Corinthians and 29.0% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Remo and 1.19 for Corinthians.

Why Remo

Nothing in the data singles out Remo.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.0%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.30 to 1.19. Draws run at 27% in this competition.

Why Corinthians can win

Corinthians carry the stronger rating, 1548 Elo against 1450.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Remo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Corinthians, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Remo: 47% possession, 15.2 shots a match, 12.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Corinthians: 53% possession, 13.4 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-10-25 14:59 · team_stats 2026-10-25 06:07 · availability 2026-10-25 15:02 · prediction 2026-09-18 10:37 ·

Remo are the model's most likely outcome at 39.8%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 14.0%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Live TV

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.30–1.19 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.20–1.16 1-1 14% 42% 49%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to win 35.8% 36.4% 48.9% 0.74× 2.75
Corinthians to win 33.9% 30.4% 24.0% 1.27× 3.29
Draw 30.3% 30.4% 27.3% 1.11× 3.29
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo & not both score 20.7% 21.8% 28.1% 0.78× 4.59
Draw & both teams score 19.7% 18.0% 20.8% 0.86× 5.56
Corinthians & not both score 19.5% 18.0% 13.8% 1.30× 5.56
Remo & both teams score 15.2% 18.0% 21.0% 0.86× 5.57
Corinthians & both teams score 14.5% 13.3% 10.3% 1.29× 7.53
Draw & not both score 10.6% 13.3% 6.7% 1.99× 7.54
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo & under 3.5 27.5% 26.1% 36.8% 0.71× 3.84
Corinthians & under 3.5 26.2% 26.1% 18.6% 1.40× 3.84
Remo & over 1.5 25.7% 26.1% 36.7% 0.71× 3.84
Draw & under 2.5 24.9% 21.6% 20.2% 1.07× 4.63
Draw & under 3.5 24.9% 21.6% 20.2% 1.07× 4.63
Corinthians & over 1.5 24.2% 21.6% 17.1% 1.26× 4.63
Draw & over 1.5 19.7% 18.0% 20.8% 0.87× 5.56
Remo & over 2.5 18.9% 18.0% 27.5% 0.66× 5.56
Corinthians & over 2.5 17.8% 18.0% 13.2% 1.37× 5.56
Remo & under 2.5 16.9% 18.0% 21.6% 0.83× 5.56
Corinthians & under 2.5 16.1% 18.0% 11.0% 1.64× 5.56
Draw & under 1.5 10.6% 12.8% 6.7% 1.93× 7.79
Remo & under 1.5 10.1% 12.8% 12.4% 1.04× 7.79
Corinthians & under 1.5 9.7% 7.9% 7.0% 1.13× 12.63
Remo & over 3.5 8.3% 7.9% 12.2% 0.65× 12.63
Corinthians & over 3.5 7.7% 7.9% 5.6% 1.43× 12.63
Draw & over 2.5 5.4% 7.9% 7.3% 1.08× 12.63
Draw & over 3.5 5.4% 7.9% 7.3% 1.08× 12.63
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (1UP) 51.4% 52.4% — — 1.91
Corinthians (1UP) 49.8% 44.1% — — 2.27
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (2UP) 35.8% 37.4% — — 2.68
Corinthians (2UP) 33.9% 30.5% — — 3.28
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 39.4% 36.3% — — 2.76
Corinthians to win 2nd half 30.7% 34.1% — — 2.93
Remo to win 2nd half 29.9% 26.1% — — 3.83
2nd half away goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians under 1.5 in 2nd half 84.5% 84.4% — — 1.19
Corinthians over 0.5 in 2nd half 50.3% 52.6% — — 1.90
Corinthians under 0.5 in 2nd half 49.7% 47.4% — — 2.11
Corinthians over 1.5 in 2nd half 15.5% 15.6% — — 6.39
2nd half home goals O/U 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo under 1.5 in 2nd half 84.9% 82.8% — — 1.21
Remo under 0.5 in 2nd half 50.4% 55.1% — — 1.82
Remo over 0.5 in 2nd half 49.6% 44.9% — — 2.23
Remo over 1.5 in 2nd half 15.1% 17.2% — — 5.82
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians (+2.5) 94.8% 92.1% 90.8% 1.01× 1.09
Corinthians (+1.5) 84.2% 82.6% 76.8% 1.07× 1.21
Remo (+0.5) 66.1% 68.7% 76.0% 0.90× 1.46
Corinthians (+0.5) 64.2% 63.0% 51.1% 1.23× 1.59
Remo (-0.5) 35.8% 37.0% 48.9% 0.76× 2.70
Corinthians (-0.5) 33.9% 31.3% 24.0% 1.31× 3.19
Remo (-1.5) 15.8% 17.4% 23.2% 0.75× 5.74
Remo (-2.5) 5.2% 7.9% 9.2% 0.85× 12.71
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians to concede 70.0% 72.4% 79.7% 0.91× 1.38
Corinthians clean sheet 30.0% 27.6% 20.3% 1.36× 3.62
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians clean sheet in 1st half 59.6% 57.1% — — 1.75
Corinthians to concede in 1st half 40.4% 42.9% — — 2.33
Away clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians clean sheet in 2nd half 50.4% 54.7% — — 1.83
Corinthians to concede in 2nd half 49.6% 45.3% — — 2.21
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians over 2.5 corners 82.3% 81.4% — — 1.23
Corinthians over 3.5 corners 69.7% 67.6% — — 1.48
Corinthians under 6.5 corners 68.1% 67.6% — — 1.48
Corinthians under 5.5 corners 56.8% 57.2% — — 1.75
Corinthians over 4.5 corners 56.1% 57.2% — — 1.75
Corinthians under 4.5 corners 43.9% 42.8% — — 2.33
Corinthians over 5.5 corners 43.2% 42.8% — — 2.33
Corinthians over 6.5 corners 31.9% 32.4% — — 3.09
Corinthians under 3.5 corners 30.3% 32.4% — — 3.09
Corinthians under 2.5 corners 17.7% 18.6% — — 5.38
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians under 3.5 goals 96.9% 97.5% 97.9% 1.00× 1.03
Corinthians under 2.5 goals 88.7% 87.8% 90.8% 0.97× 1.14
Corinthians over 0.5 goals 68.8% 68.0% 65.4% 1.04× 1.47
Corinthians under 1.5 goals 67.6% 68.0% 71.9% 0.95× 1.47
Corinthians over 1.5 goals 32.4% 32.0% 28.1% 1.14× 3.13
Corinthians under 0.5 goals 31.2% 32.0% 34.6% 0.92× 3.13
Corinthians over 2.5 goals 11.3% 12.2% 9.2% 1.32× 8.21
Corinthians over 3.5 goals 3.1% 2.5% 2.1% 1.21× 39.91
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians under 1.5 in 1st half 92.0% 93.8% — — 1.07
Corinthians under 0.5 in 1st half 62.8% 63.4% — — 1.58
Corinthians over 0.5 in 1st half 37.2% 36.6% — — 2.73
Corinthians over 1.5 in 1st half 8.0% 6.2% — — 16.08
Away highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians scores equally in both 42.2% 43.5% — — 2.30
Corinthians scores more in 2nd half 36.3% 37.5% — — 2.67
Corinthians scores more in 1st half 21.4% 21.8% — — 4.59
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (away no bet) 54.2% 51.7% 64.2% 0.81× 1.93
Draw (away no bet) 45.8% 48.3% 35.8% 1.35× 2.07
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians even goals 54.9% 52.6% 54.9% 0.96× 1.90
Corinthians odd goals 45.1% 47.4% 45.1% 1.05× 2.11
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 89.6% 88.0% — — 1.14
Both halves over 1.5 goals 10.4% 12.0% — — 8.34
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 56.3% 60.2% — — 1.66
Both halves under 1.5 goals 43.7% 39.8% — — 2.51
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 48.1% 46.2% — — 2.17
Remo to score 2+ in a row 27.0% 25.0% — — 4.00
Corinthians to score 2+ in a row 25.6% 25.0% — — 4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row 14.8% 12.1% — — 8.27
Remo to score 3+ in a row 7.8% 5.5% — — 18.04
Corinthians to score 3+ in a row 7.1% 5.5% — — 18.10
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians corners (+3.5) 80.0% 74.8% — — 1.34
Remo corners (+3.5) 79.3% 74.8% — — 1.34
Corinthians corners (+2.5) 72.9% 70.7% — — 1.41
Remo corners (+2.5) 72.1% 70.7% — — 1.41
Corinthians corners (+1.5) 64.5% 61.8% — — 1.62
Remo corners (+1.5) 63.6% 61.8% — — 1.62
Corinthians corners (-1.5) 36.4% 38.2% — — 2.62
Remo corners (-1.5) 35.5% 38.2% — — 2.62
Corinthians corners (-2.5) 27.9% 29.3% — — 3.42
Remo corners (-2.5) 27.1% 29.3% — — 3.42
Corinthians corners (-3.5) 20.7% 25.2% — — 3.97
Remo corners (-3.5) 20.0% 25.2% — — 3.97
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 39.6% 34.0% — — 2.94
0-8 corners 33.2% 33.2% — — 3.01
9-11 corners 27.1% 31.2% — — 3.21
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 75.5% 76.6% — — 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 68.2% 67.8% — — 1.47
Over 8.5 corners 66.8% 67.8% — — 1.47
Under 11.5 corners 60.4% 63.2% — — 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 57.5% 57.9% — — 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 51.6% 53.1% — — 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 48.4% 46.9% — — 2.13
Under 9.5 corners 42.5% 42.1% — — 2.38
Over 11.5 corners 39.6% 36.8% — — 2.72
Under 8.5 corners 33.2% 32.2% — — 3.11
Over 12.5 corners 31.8% 32.2% — — 3.11
Under 7.5 corners 24.5% 23.4% — — 4.27
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.1% — — 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.9% — — 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 14.3% 11.5% 13.7% 0.84× 8.71
0-0 10.6% 11.5% 6.7% 1.72× 8.72
1-0 10.1% 11.5% 12.4% 0.93× 8.72
0-1 9.7% 7.4% 7.0% 1.06× 13.51
1-2 7.6% 7.4% 6.2% 1.20× 13.51
2-0 6.8% 7.4% 9.4% 0.79× 13.51
2-1 7.9% 7.4% 10.8% 0.69× 13.51
0-2 6.4% 7.4% 4.1% 1.79× 13.51
0-3 2.5% 1.7% 1.7% 0.98× 58.31
0-4 0.7% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.32
1-3 3.0% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.30
1-4 0.9% 1.7% 0.3% 5.40× 58.31
2-2 4.6% 1.7% 5.6% 0.31× 58.29
2-3 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 0.98× 58.31
2-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.3% 5.40× 58.32
3-0 2.7% 1.7% 4.8% 0.36× 58.30
3-1 3.2% 1.7% 4.0% 0.43× 58.30
3-2 1.8% 1.7% 2.9% 0.60× 58.31
3-3 0.7% 1.7% 1.9% 0.90× 58.32
3-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.2% 10.80× 58.32
4-0 0.8% 1.7% 1.1% 1.54× 58.31
4-1 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 0.83× 58.31
4-2 0.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.80× 58.32
4-3 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 5.40× 58.32
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 10.80× 58.32
Any other score 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 0.68× 58.31
DNB 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians (2nd half DNB) 50.6% 53.3% — — 1.88
Remo (2nd half DNB) 49.4% 46.7% — — 2.14
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo leading at HT (DNB) 53.3% 56.5% — — 1.77
Corinthians leading at HT (DNB) 46.7% 43.5% — — 2.30
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo or Corinthians (12) 69.7% 69.6% 72.7% 0.96× 1.44
Remo or draw (1X) 66.1% 69.6% 76.0% 0.92× 1.44
Corinthians or draw (X2) 64.2% 63.7% 51.1% 1.25× 1.57
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo or draw at HT 75.5% 79.4% — — 1.26
Corinthians or draw at HT 72.0% 74.7% — — 1.34
Remo or Corinthians at HT 52.6% 47.7% — — 2.10
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo or draw (1UP) 66.1% 76.2% — — 1.31
Corinthians or draw (1UP) 64.2% 71.7% — — 1.40
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians or draw in 2nd half 70.1% 73.9% — — 1.35
Remo or draw in 2nd half 69.3% 65.9% — — 1.52
Remo or Corinthians in 2nd half 60.6% 63.7% — — 1.57
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 66.9% 68.1% — — 1.47
Neither half drawn 33.1% 31.9% — — 3.13
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (DNB) 51.4% 50.9% 67.1% 0.76× 1.97
Corinthians (DNB) 48.6% 49.1% 32.9% 1.49× 2.04
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to score first 45.5% 45.9% — — 2.18
Corinthians to score first 44.0% 41.7% — — 2.40
No goal scored 10.6% 9.4% — — 10.61
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 50.7% 51.3% 48.3% 1.06× 1.95
Both teams to score 49.3% 48.7% 51.7% 0.94× 2.05
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both score & under 2.5 43.5% 41.6% 38.9% 1.07× 2.40
Both score & over 2.5 35.0% 34.6% 38.3% 0.90× 2.89
Both score & under 2.5 14.3% 12.4% 13.7% 0.91× 8.08
Not both score & over 2.5 7.2% 8.3% 9.5% 0.87× 12.08
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 89.0% 85.6% 87.1% 0.98× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 11.0% 14.4% 12.9% 1.12× 6.96
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 74.6% 73.8% — — 1.36
Both teams to score in 2nd half 25.4% 26.2% — — 3.82
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 63.2% 65.9% — — 1.52
Both score 2nd half only 21.6% 20.9% — — 4.78
Both score 1st half only 11.5% 10.8% — — 9.29
Both score in both halves 3.8% 4.9% — — 20.34
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 84.8% 83.2% — — 1.20
Both teams to score by HT 15.2% 16.8% — — 5.96
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half without a goal 52.5% 53.0% — — 1.89
A goal in each half 47.5% 47.0% — — 2.13
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 48.2% 47.2% 49.7% 0.95× 2.12
0-1 goals 30.4% 30.7% 25.7% 1.19× 3.26
4-6 goals 20.4% 22.9% 24.3% 0.94× 4.37
7+ goals 1.1% 1.8% 0.6% 2.89× 54.43
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians to score exactly 1 36.3% 35.9% 37.5% 0.96× 2.78
Corinthians to score exactly 0 31.2% 33.8% 34.6% 0.98× 2.96
Corinthians to score exactly 2 21.2% 22.3% 19.0% 1.17× 4.49
Corinthians to score 3+ 11.3% 12.9% 9.2% 1.40× 7.77
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to score exactly 1 36.1% 35.6% 34.3% 1.04× 2.81
Remo to score exactly 0 30.0% 32.6% 20.3% 1.60× 3.07
Remo to score exactly 2 21.7% 23.3% 27.1% 0.86× 4.29
Remo to score 3+ 12.1% 14.3% 18.6% 0.77× 6.99
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 47.4% 52.3% — — 1.91
Remo leading at HT 28.0% 25.3% — — 3.96
Corinthians leading at HT 24.5% 20.6% — — 4.85
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo -1: 2 64.2% 62.5% — — 1.60
Remo -1: X 20.1% 23.5% — — 4.26
Remo -1: 1 15.8% 17.5% — — 5.72
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians (0:1) 64.2% 61.4% 51.1% 1.20× 1.63
Draw (0:1) 20.1% 24.2% 25.9% 0.94× 4.13
Remo (0:1) 15.8% 17.8% 23.2% 0.77× 5.61
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians (0:2) 84.2% 83.0% 76.8% 1.08× 1.21
Draw (0:2) 10.6% 11.0% 14.1% 0.78× 9.11
Remo (0:2) 5.2% 7.7% 9.2% 0.83× 13.07
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians (0:3) 94.8% 92.7% 90.8% 1.02× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 3.8% 2.4% 6.7% 0.36× 42.06
Remo (0:3) 1.4% 2.4% 2.7% 0.88× 42.17
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians (0:4) 98.6% 98.1% 97.3% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.1% 1.2% 1.7% 0.70× 82.05
Remo (0:4) 0.3% 1.2% 1.1% 1.10× 82.14
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (1:0) 66.1% 70.1% 76.0% 0.92× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 19.4% 17.1% 14.6% 1.17× 5.84
Corinthians (1:0) 14.5% 12.7% 9.5% 1.34× 7.86
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo (2:0) 85.5% 88.5% 90.5% 0.98× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 9.9% 6.4% 6.2% 1.03× 15.64
Corinthians (2:0) 4.7% 2.3% 3.5% 0.66× 43.60
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 45.1% 48.6% — — 2.06
Halves equal 29.0% 26.2% — — 3.81
1st half highest scoring 25.9% 26.2% — — 3.82
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to concede 68.8% 66.7% 65.4% 1.02× 1.50
Remo clean sheet 31.2% 33.3% 34.6% 0.96× 3.01
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo clean sheet in 1st half 62.8% 63.3% — — 1.58
Remo to concede in 1st half 37.2% 36.7% — — 2.72
Home clean sheet 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to concede in 2nd half 50.3% 52.7% — — 1.90
Remo clean sheet in 2nd half 49.7% 47.3% — — 2.12
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo over 2.5 corners 81.9% 81.0% — — 1.24
Remo over 3.5 corners 69.2% 66.7% — — 1.50
Remo under 6.5 corners 68.7% 66.7% — — 1.50
Remo under 5.5 corners 57.5% 57.5% — — 1.74
Remo over 4.5 corners 55.5% 57.5% — — 1.74
Remo under 4.5 corners 44.5% 42.5% — — 2.35
Remo over 5.5 corners 42.5% 42.5% — — 2.35
Remo over 6.5 corners 31.3% 33.3% — — 3.01
Remo under 3.5 corners 30.8% 33.3% — — 3.01
Remo under 2.5 corners 18.1% 19.0% — — 5.25
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo under 3.5 goals 96.6% 96.4% 94.3% 1.02× 1.04
Remo under 2.5 goals 87.9% 87.3% 81.4% 1.07× 1.15
Remo over 0.5 goals 70.0% 68.0% 79.7% 0.85× 1.47
Remo under 1.5 goals 66.2% 67.9% 54.4% 1.25× 1.47
Remo over 1.5 goals 33.8% 32.1% 45.6% 0.70× 3.12
Remo under 0.5 goals 30.0% 32.0% 20.3% 1.58× 3.12
Remo over 2.5 goals 12.1% 12.7% 18.6% 0.69× 7.85
Remo over 3.5 goals 3.4% 3.6% 5.7% 0.64× 27.52
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo under 1.5 in 1st half 90.5% 94.6% — — 1.06
Remo under 0.5 in 1st half 59.6% 57.0% — — 1.76
Remo over 0.5 in 1st half 40.4% 43.0% — — 2.33
Remo over 1.5 in 1st half 9.5% 5.4% — — 18.55
Home highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo scores equally in both 41.7% 42.1% — — 2.38
Remo scores more in 2nd half 34.5% 33.3% — — 3.01
Remo scores more in 1st half 23.8% 21.1% — — 4.73
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians (home no bet) 52.8% 51.4% 46.7% 1.10× 1.95
Draw (home no bet) 47.2% 48.6% 53.3% 0.91× 2.06
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo even goals 54.5% 50.7% 51.6% 0.98× 1.97
Remo odd goals 45.5% 49.3% 48.4% 1.02× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 37.6% 39.2% — — 2.55
HT 1-0 19.2% 18.5% — — 5.40
HT 0-1 17.2% 18.5% — — 5.41
HT 1-1 9.2% 6.9% — — 14.43
HT 2-0 5.0% 6.9% — — 14.50
HT 0-2 4.1% 2.4% — — 41.94
Any other HT score 2.7% 2.4% — — 42.03
HT 2-1 2.3% 2.4% — — 42.06
HT 1-2 2.1% 2.4% — — 42.07
HT 2-2 0.5% 2.4% — — 42.17
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo at HT / Remo at FT 20.5% 21.6% — — 4.62
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 19.9% 16.8% — — 5.95
Corinthians at HT / Corinthians at FT 17.9% 16.8% — — 5.95
Draw at HT / Corinthians at FT 13.9% 12.7% — — 7.90
Draw at HT / Remo at FT 13.6% 12.7% — — 7.90
Remo at HT / Draw at FT 5.5% 6.1% — — 16.49
Corinthians at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% — — 28.79
Remo at HT / Corinthians at FT 2.1% 3.5% — — 28.89
Corinthians at HT / Remo at FT 1.8% 3.5% — — 28.91
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo to score last 45.5% 46.4% — — 2.16
Corinthians to score last 44.0% 40.2% — — 2.49
No goal scored 10.6% 8.8% — — 11.34
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 89.4% 91.6% — — 1.09
Remo to lead by 1 at any time 51.4% 50.8% — — 1.97
Corinthians to lead by 1 at any time 49.8% 44.4% — — 2.25
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 40.0% 39.2% — — 2.55
Remo to lead by 2 at any time 20.7% 19.5% — — 5.12
Corinthians to lead by 2 at any time 19.4% 14.9% — — 6.70
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 12.4% 10.5% — — 9.51
Remo to lead by 3 at any time 6.5% 6.7% — — 15.00
Corinthians to lead by 3 at any time 5.9% 6.7% — — 15.03
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians most corners 45.7% 46.9% — — 2.13
Remo most corners 44.7% 43.5% — — 2.30
Corners level 9.6% 8.3% — — 11.98
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.1% 87.4% 88.7% 0.99× 1.14
1-4 goals 80.3% 83.4% 81.7% 1.02× 1.20
2-6 goals 68.5% 68.8% 73.8% 0.93× 1.45
1-3 goals 68.0% 68.8% 68.7% 1.00× 1.45
2-5 goals 66.3% 68.8% 69.7% 0.99× 1.45
2-4 goals 60.4% 63.3% 62.7% 1.01× 1.58
2-3 goals 48.2% 48.5% 49.7% 0.98× 2.06
1-2 goals 47.3% 48.5% 45.9% 1.06× 2.06
3-6 goals 41.1% 43.6% 47.1% 0.92× 2.29
3-5 goals 38.8% 39.2% 43.0% 0.91× 2.55
3-4 goals 33.0% 35.2% 36.0% 0.98× 2.84
4-6 goals 20.4% 24.5% 24.3% 1.01× 4.09
4-5 goals 18.1% 18.8% 20.2% 0.93× 5.31
5-6 goals 8.1% 8.9% 11.3% 0.79× 11.26
7+ goals 1.1% 2.6% 0.6% 4.02× 39.21
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Remo never behind 39.7% 44.2% — — 2.26
Corinthians never behind 38.0% 44.1% — — 2.27
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.2% 50.9% 49.2% 1.03× 1.96
Even number of goals 52.8% 49.1% 50.8% 0.97× 2.04
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 57.4% 57.7% — — 1.74
Odd goals in 1st half 42.6% 42.4% — — 2.36
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 54.0% 52.0% — — 1.93
Odd goals in 2nd half 46.0% 48.0% — — 2.08
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 96.6% 95.4% 95.2% 1.00× 1.05
Under 4.5 goals 90.8% 92.3% 88.3% 1.05× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 89.4% 87.6% 93.3% 0.94× 1.14
Under 3.5 goals 78.6% 77.3% 75.2% 1.03× 1.29
Over 1.5 goals 69.6% 66.3% 74.3% 0.89× 1.51
Under 2.5 goals 57.8% 58.6% 52.4% 1.12× 1.71
Over 2.5 goals 42.2% 41.4% 47.6% 0.87× 2.42
Under 1.5 goals 30.4% 33.7% 25.7% 1.31× 2.97
Over 3.5 goals 21.4% 22.7% 24.8% 0.92× 4.41
Under 0.5 goals 10.6% 12.4% 6.7% 1.86× 8.06
Over 4.5 goals 9.2% 7.7% 11.7% 0.66× 12.94
Over 5.5 goals 3.4% 4.6% 4.8% 0.96× 21.84
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 98.9% 97.2% 99.3% 0.98× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 96.4% 97.2% 94.9% 1.02× 1.03
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 89.5% 86.8% 86.5% 1.00× 1.15
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 73.0% 72.4% 67.9% 1.07× 1.38
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 58.1% 55.8% 64.9% 0.86× 1.79
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 41.9% 44.2% 35.1% 1.26× 2.26
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 27.0% 27.6% 32.1% 0.86× 3.62
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 10.5% 13.2% 13.5% 0.98× 7.55
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 3.6% 2.8% 5.1% 0.55× 35.57
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 1.1% 2.8% 0.7% 4.24× 35.64
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 92.3% 92.6% — — 1.08
Under 1.5 in 1st half 74.0% 71.5% — — 1.40
Over 0.5 in 1st half 62.4% 63.2% — — 1.58
Under 0.5 in 1st half 37.6% 36.8% — — 2.72
Over 1.5 in 1st half 26.0% 28.5% — — 3.51
Over 2.5 in 1st half 7.7% 7.4% — — 13.59
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 83.7% 83.0% — — 1.21
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 74.5% 77.7% — — 1.29
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 59.3% 55.3% — — 1.81
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 40.7% 44.7% — — 2.24
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 25.5% 22.3% — — 4.48
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 16.3% 17.0% — — 5.87
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians not to score in both halves 81.3% 84.1% — — 1.19
Remo not to score in both halves 80.0% 78.6% — — 1.27
Remo to score in both halves 20.0% 21.4% — — 4.68
Corinthians to score in both halves 18.7% 15.9% — — 6.31
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 49.3% 50.7% 51.7% 0.98× 1.97
Only Remo scores 20.7% 22.3% 28.1% 0.79× 4.49
Only Corinthians scores 19.5% 16.0% 13.8% 1.16× 6.23
Neither team scores 10.6% 11.0% 6.7% 1.65× 9.07
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 27.5% 24.9% 26.8% 0.93× 4.02
Exactly 3 goals 20.7% 22.6% 23.0% 0.98× 4.43
Exactly 1 goals 19.8% 17.5% 19.2% 0.91× 5.73
Exactly 4 goals 12.3% 12.1% 13.2% 0.92× 8.25
Exactly 0 goals 10.6% 12.1% 6.7% 1.82× 8.25
Exactly 5 goals 5.8% 7.6% 7.1% 1.06× 13.15
6 or more goals 3.4% 4.5% 4.8% 0.94× 22.37
Total goals 1st half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No goals in 1st half 37.6% 37.4% — — 2.68
1 goal in 1st half 36.4% 37.3% — — 2.68
2 goals in 1st half 18.3% 15.6% — — 6.40
3+ goals in 1st half 7.7% 7.4% — — 13.59
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 40.7% 44.5% — — 2.25
1 goal in 2nd half 33.9% 33.8% — — 2.96
No goals in 2nd half 25.5% 29.3% — — 3.41
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians not to win both halves 92.3% 94.1% — — 1.06
Remo not to win both halves 91.4% 94.1% — — 1.06
Remo to win both halves 8.6% 5.9% — — 16.98
Corinthians to win both halves 7.7% 5.9% — — 17.04
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians to win neither half 52.5% 54.3% — — 1.84
Remo to win neither half 50.6% 54.2% — — 1.84
Remo to win either half 49.4% 45.8% — — 2.18
Corinthians to win either half 47.5% 45.7% — — 2.19
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Corinthians not to win to nil 80.5% 83.1% 86.2% 0.96× 1.20
Remo not to win to nil 79.3% 78.1% 71.9% 1.09× 1.28
Remo to win to nil 20.7% 21.9% 28.1% 0.78× 4.57
Corinthians to win to nil 19.5% 16.9% 13.8% 1.23× 5.91
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 30.3% 27.7% 27.3% 1.01× 3.61
Remo by 1 20.1% 24.1% 25.9% 0.93× 4.15
Corinthians by 1 19.4% 17.1% 14.6% 1.17× 5.86
Remo by 2 10.6% 11.7% 14.1% 0.83× 8.51
Corinthians by 2 9.9% 7.2% 6.2% 1.16× 13.89
Remo by 3+ 5.2% 7.2% 9.2% 0.78× 13.92
Corinthians by 3+ 4.7% 2.7% 3.5% 0.78× 36.79
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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